Knowledge (XXG)

Macro risk

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Another way macro risk is used is to differentiate between countries as potential places to invest. In this meaning, the level of a country's macro risk differentiates its level of political stability and its general growth opportunities from those of other countries, and thus helps identify
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Macro risk associated with stocks, funds, and portfolios is usually of concern to financial planners, securities traders, and investors with longer time horizons. Some of the macroeconomic variables that generate macro risk include
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Understanding that macro risk factors influence the intrinsic value of a particular investment is important because when the factors change values, errors can be introduced in the corresponding intrinsic value
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of future company earnings are used to estimate the current and expected value of the investment being studied. Macro risk factors include any economic variables that are used to construct these estimates.
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may try to reduce the overall exposure of their investments to different macro risk factors in order to reduce the impact of economic shocks. This may be accomplished using commercial
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Models that incorporate macro risk are generally of two types. One type focuses on how short-term changes in macro risk factors impact stock returns. These models include the
238: 173:. For example, economic turbulence that leads to higher or lower levels of approval for the president's policies would be a form of this macro risk. 311: 27:
or political factors. There are at least three different ways this phrase is applied. It can refer to economic or financial risk found in
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of countries, often updated annually, provide insight into their relative political and social stability and economic growth.
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Chong, James; Halcoussis, Dennis; Phillips, G. Michael (2011). "Does market volatility impact presidential approval?".
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preferred countries for investment either directly or through country or regionally oriented funds. Such analysis of
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Burmeister, Edwin; Wall, Kent D. (1986). "The arbitrage pricing theory and macroeconomic factor measures".
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is also used for the purposes of credit insurance on foreign sales and in other financial analysis such as
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A new application of macro risk is essentially a converse of the first two meanings; it refers to how
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Agmon, Tamir; Findlay, M. Chapman (Nov–Dec 1982). "Domestic Political Risk and Stock Valuation".
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Tainer, E.M. Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis (3e), Wiley, 2006
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which influence the volatility over time of investments, assets, portfolios, and the
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models. Used primarily by those focusing on longer term investments including
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Aretz, Kevin; Bartram, Söhnke M.; Pope, Peter F. (June 2010).
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The other models that incorporate macro risk data are
169:and fluctuations in financial variables generate 158:and other sophisticated financial products. 8: 312:The Economist’s Guide to Economic Indicators 79:, and even prices of raw materials such as 39:. Macro risk can also refer to types of 239:"Economic Forces and the Stock Market" 7: 197:10.1111/j.1540-6288.1986.tb01103.x 14: 117:, these models are examples of 345:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.006 333:Journal of Banking and Finance 101:models or the closely related 1: 121:analysis. In such analysis, 134:. Investors who follow the 399: 206:Financial Analysts Journal 281:Journal of Public Affairs 237:; Ross, Stephen (1986). 144:mathematical programming 88:arbitrage pricing theory 23:that is associated with 115:institutional investors 92:modern portfolio theory 383:Macroeconomic problems 160:International rankings 140:portfolio optimization 218:10.2469/faj.v38.n6.74 156:credit default swaps 103:fundamental analysis 94:families of models. 246:Journal of Business 142:tools or by using 111:financial planners 53:unemployment rates 136:Black Swan Theory 390: 364: 339:(6): 1383–1399. 330: 296: 275: 273: 272: 266: 260:. Archived from 243: 229: 200: 185:Financial Review 41:economic factors 398: 397: 393: 392: 391: 389: 388: 387: 368: 367: 328: 323: 320: 318:Further reading 303: 278: 270: 268: 264: 241: 232: 203: 182: 179: 119:intrinsic value 107:wealth managers 75:, agricultural 61:monetary policy 45:intrinsic value 12: 11: 5: 396: 394: 386: 385: 380: 378:Financial risk 370: 369: 366: 365: 319: 316: 315: 314: 309: 302: 301:External links 299: 298: 297: 293:10.1002/pa.410 287:(4): 387–394. 276: 258:10.1086/296344 252:(3): 383–403. 233:Chen, Nai-Fu; 230: 201: 178: 175: 171:political risk 167:macroeconomics 152:political risk 73:housing starts 69:exchange rates 65:interest rates 47:of companies. 37:political risk 21:financial risk 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 395: 384: 381: 379: 376: 375: 373: 362: 358: 354: 350: 346: 342: 338: 334: 327: 322: 321: 317: 313: 310: 308: 305: 304: 300: 294: 290: 286: 282: 277: 267:on 2009-03-20 263: 259: 255: 251: 247: 240: 236: 235:Roll, Richard 231: 227: 223: 219: 215: 211: 207: 202: 198: 194: 190: 186: 181: 180: 176: 174: 172: 168: 163: 161: 157: 153: 147: 145: 141: 137: 133: 127: 124: 120: 116: 112: 108: 104: 100: 95: 93: 89: 84: 82: 78: 74: 70: 66: 62: 58: 57:price indexes 54: 48: 46: 42: 38: 34: 30: 26: 25:macroeconomic 22: 18: 336: 332: 284: 280: 269:. Retrieved 262:the original 249: 245: 212:(6): 74–77. 209: 205: 188: 184: 164: 148: 128: 96: 85: 49: 16: 15: 191:(1): 1–20. 113:, and some 63:variables, 372:Categories 271:2008-12-01 177:References 17:Macro risk 353:153981367 146:methods. 132:forecasts 123:forecasts 99:valuation 90:and the 226:4478601 77:exports 361:646522 359:  351:  224:  29:stocks 349:S2CID 329:(PDF) 265:(PDF) 242:(PDF) 222:JSTOR 33:funds 357:SSRN 81:gold 31:and 341:doi 289:doi 254:doi 214:doi 193:doi 19:is 374:: 355:. 347:. 337:34 335:. 331:. 285:11 283:. 250:59 248:. 244:. 220:. 210:38 208:. 189:21 187:. 109:, 83:. 71:, 67:, 59:, 55:, 363:. 343:: 295:. 291:: 274:. 256:: 228:. 216:: 199:. 195::

Index

financial risk
macroeconomic
stocks
funds
political risk
economic factors
intrinsic value
unemployment rates
price indexes
monetary policy
interest rates
exchange rates
housing starts
exports
gold
arbitrage pricing theory
modern portfolio theory
valuation
fundamental analysis
wealth managers
financial planners
institutional investors
intrinsic value
forecasts
forecasts
Black Swan Theory
portfolio optimization
mathematical programming
political risk
credit default swaps

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