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Nominal income target

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124: 3482:, said in July 2012 that "nominal income level targeting is an appropriate policy choice" because of what he claimed was its "safeguard against an unreasonable increase in inflation." However, "recognizing the difficult nature of that policy approach," he also suggested a "more modest proposal" of "a conditional approach, whereby the federal funds rate is not increased until the unemployment rate falls below 7 percent, at least, or until inflation rises above 3 percent over the medium term." 323:). An alternative target of three percent was proposed with the expectation of nominal growth mirroring the real growth rate, and zero average inflation. This lower target has the potential downside of being deflationary if real growth exceeds the three percent target, implying deflation. However, any nominal target could conceivably be either deflationary – or inflationary – if real growth sharply deviated from expectations in either direction. 63: 22: 306:
economy to trend growth. The name for this policy is NGDP level targeting (NGDPLT). The rate targeting alternative, which targets a constant growth rate per period allows growth to drift lower or higher over time than implied by straightforward compound growth, because each period's target growth depends on the nominal income in the prior only.
285:). Policy is loosened or tightened as needed to hit the target. Since the goal is to hit the target for the coming period, some method of forecasting the default value of the target must be devised to serve as the baseline that indicates the direction and magnitude of policy change required to change the outcome to match that target. 3492:
seemed to suggest that NGDP targeting was a more powerful policy tool than a higher inflation target, although he did not endorse the progressive monetary policy. As Summers notes, setting a target which does not depend on inflation adjustments is more reasonable, and NGDP targeting guarantees that
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supports nominal income targeting, on the basis that "A system of nominal GDP targeting would maintain or enhance the transparency associated with a system based on stated targets, while restoring the balance missing from a monetary policy based solely on the goal of price stability." Supporters of
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or policy errors push NGDP growth above or below the target, market monetarists argue that the bank should target the level rather than the rate of growth of NGDP. With level targeting if a recession pushes NGDP to 2% for one year, the bank adds the shortfall to the next year's target to return the
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Monetary policy that ensures a NGDP target is met by definition avoids recessions in nominal terms, and by maintaining aggregate demand softens recessions in real terms albeit by adding inflation to ensure NGDP is level. A US target of five percent growth is often recommended with the expectation
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Proponents contend that national income targeting would reduce positive and negative fluctuations in economic growth. In recovery from a recession, market monetarists believe concerns over inflation are unjustified and policy should instead focus on returning the economy to a normal growth path.
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One such mechanism is conventional economic forecasting. The central bank's forecast, that of some reified econometric model or an average of a group of forecasts prepared by independent groups are examples of such forecasts. Another method is to create a futures market for the target and adjust
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David Beckworth, a long-time proponent of NGDP targeting, produces a brief each quarter to describe the stance of monetary policy in the United States. In what he calls the "NGDP gap," Beckworth measures the "percentage difference between the neutral level of NGDP and the actual level of NGDP."
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Conversely, in an inflationary environment, it provides a glide path to stability without overreacting. Similarly, such a targeting policy can help the economy accommodate both positive and negative supply shocks, while minimizing collateral damage.
2242: 3261:, then the nominal income targeting eliminates the divergence of real output from its full information equilibrium. It is therefore concluded that nominal income targets are optimal under the condition of perfectly inelastic labour supply. 926: 2247:
This equation says that a negative productivity shock of, say, 5 percent is cancelled out by the increase in the price level of 5 percent, provided that the money wage is fixed. If we consider the full information level of output
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The central bank establishes a target level or growth rate of nominal economic activity within a currency zone (usually a single country) for a given period without adjusting for price level changes (
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Few academic publications analyze nominal income targeting. One study argues that similar monetary policy performs better than real income targeting during crises based on a theoretical model.
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might be targeting nominal income and not inflation (at least in the short term), as inflation was greater than one percent above its target, and income was growing at nearly five percent.
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as policy variables and prefer to use forward-looking markets. They advocate a nominal income target as a monetary policy rule because it simultaneously addresses prices and growth.
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export price decreases have greater effects because they represent larger fractions of the economy. India is regularly subject to supply shocks, such as good or bad
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report on inflation targeting, noting its concerns with GDP figures often being restated and therefore being unsuitable as a consistent monetary policy framework.
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increases the prices of imported goods. If a country targets its inflation rate when it suffers negative supply shocks, its real GDP becomes volatile.
969: 3965: 1760:{\displaystyle \ln {Y_{t}}={\frac {1-a}{a}}\left(\ln {P_{t}}-E_{t-1}-{\frac {d}{a+d}}E_{t-1}+b-{\frac {ac+bd}{a+d}}\right)+{\frac {1}{a}}s_{t}\;.} 4718: 3394:, with his blog "The Money Illusion." Supporters included Lars Christensen, blogging at "The Market Monetarist", Marcus Nunes at "Historinhas" 35: 3829: 3696: 3646: 2760:{\displaystyle \ln {Y_{t}}-\ln {Y_{t}^{*}}={\frac {1-a}{a}}(\ln {P_{t}}-E_{t-1})+{\frac {1-a}{a}}\cdot {\frac {d}{a+d}}(s_{t}-E_{t-1})\;.} 145: 4442: 222:(GDI). Central banks use a variety of techniques to hit their targets, including conventional tools such as interest rate targeting or 4035: 3761: 1385:{\displaystyle \ln {L_{t}^{d}}={\frac {1}{a}}\left(\ln {P_{t}}-E_{t-1}+s_{t}-{\frac {d}{a+d}}E_{t-1}+b-{\frac {ac+bd}{a+d}}\right)\;.} 72: 4698: 185: 167: 105: 49: 4055: 4406:
Benchimol, Jonathan; Fourçans, AndrĂ© (2012). "Money and risk in a DSGE framework : A Bayesian application to the Eurozone".
4577: 269:. They claimed that the crisis would have been far less severe had central banks adopted some form of nominal income targeting. 4310: 3479: 4761: 3797: 1997:{\displaystyle E_{t-1}={\frac {1-a}{a}}\left(-{\frac {d}{a+d}}E_{t-1}+b-{\frac {ac+bd}{a+d}}\right)+{\frac {1}{a}}E_{t-1}\;,} 529: 4461: 1428: 4090: 3789: 3613: 3398:
at "Uneasy Money", Josh Hendrickson at "The Everyday Economist", David Beckworth at "Macro and Other Market Musings" and
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As of fall 2011, the number and influence of economists who supported this approach was growing largely the result of a
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argued in favor of the stabilization of nominal income as a monetary policy norm as early as 1931 and as late as 1975.
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that it would on average comprise three percent real growth (the historical average growth rate during the so-called
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Benchimol, Jonathan; Fourçans, André (2019). "Central bank losses and monetary policy rules: a DSGE investigation".
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Title: Changing target Publication: The Economist Publisher: The Economist Newspaper Limited Date: Aug 27, 2011
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Negative supply shocks are more common in developing countries, because their economies are more vulnerable to
331: 4506: 3688: 3638: 3451: 235: 4678: 4342: 4787: 4725: 4646: 4642: 4536: 3816:(2012). "5. How Nominal GDP Targeting Could Have Prevented the Crash of 2008". In Beckworth, David (ed.). 2237:{\displaystyle \ln {Y_{t}}-E_{t-1}={\frac {1-a}{a}}(\ln {P_{t}}-E_{t-1})+{\frac {1}{a}}(s_{t}-E_{t-1})\;.} 223: 215: 3972: 3821: 3705: 3655: 3197: 258: 219: 3472:, has described himself as "attracted" to nominal income targeting, but declined to elaborate further. 3740: 2800: 234:
and expectations management to hit its target. The concept of NGDP targeting was formally proposed by
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Beckworth uses this finding to argue "whether monetary policy is expansionary or contractionary."
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described a nominal income target as a “reasonably good rule” for the conduct of monetary policy.
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Frankel argued countries who target NGDP have more flexibility in dealing with such shocks.
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is the market clearing level. Then consider the expected market clearing level of the wage:
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A developing country needs to follow a credible economic policy with which it can survive.
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Prices and Production and Other Works On Money, the Business Cycle, and the Gold Standard
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be labour demand and labour supply, respectively. They are expressed as follows:
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to manage national economic activity. Nominal aggregates are not adjusted for
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nominal income targeting often self-identify as market monetarists, although
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discussed the possibility of a nominal income target on September 21, 2010.
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NGDP targeting, the hot new monetary craze that just might end the downturn
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makes it difficult for the country to handle an adverse supply shock or a
4661: 4091:"Macro Musings Blog: Why a NGDP Level Target Trumps a Price Level Target" 3844: 4558: 4127: 3721: 3671: 3621: 3586: 3357: 2518:
Then the deviation of output from its full information level becomes:
4521:(November 2009), "'The Meaning of Internal Balance' Thirty Years On", 3930: 3133:
Macroeconomic stabilisation policy aims at minimising the variance of
214:. Nominal income aggregates that can serve as targets include nominal 4163: 4240: 3713: 3663: 3578: 4745: 3325:
often tells a developing country to target its inflation rate, but
4719:"Methods of Policy Accommodation at the Interest-Rate Lower Bound" 3925: 3818:
Boom and Bust Banking: The Causes and Cures of the Great Recession
4105: 3944:"Bank comes close to admitting it's targeting nominal GDP growth" 4255: 3411: 257:
The concept was resuscitated and popularized in the wake of the
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Emerging and developing countries should work on targeting NGDP
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Substituting into the labour demand equation, we write it as:
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policy until the market predicts that the target will be met.
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discussed optimal conditions for nominal income targets. Let
319:) and two percent inflation (as currently targeted by the US 3348:
and unrelated policy errors. Terms-of-trade shocks such as
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Jon Hartley, Economics and Finance, Forbes, 18 Aug 2014
3559:(September 1978), "The Meaning of "Internal Balance"", 3602:(December 1993), "The Meaning of "Internal Balance"", 3493:
when a real growth rate is low real rates become low.
631:{\displaystyle \ln {L_{t}^{s}}={\frac {1}{d}}\left\;,} 3241: 3200: 3139: 2856: 2803: 2776: 2527: 2350: 2286: 2254: 2016: 1779: 1525: 1506:{\displaystyle \ln {Y_{t}}=(1-a)\ln {L_{t}}+s_{t}\;,} 1431: 1401: 1163: 972: 937: 801: 728: 701: 674: 647: 532: 407: 372: 340: 4361:"Vince Cable hints coalition banking row is brewing" 4597:
Nominal income targets: an old wine in a new bottle
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Larry Summers backs a new idea for the Fed - almost
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Brad Plumer, Business, Washington Post, 20 Oct 2011
518:{\displaystyle \ln {L_{t}^{d}}={\frac {1}{a}}\left} 4051: 4049: 3846:Changing target Should the Fed target nominal GDP? 3539:"The case for GDI: a Q&A with Jeremy Nalewaik" 3253: 3227: 3186: 3122: 2839: 2789: 2759: 2507: 2333: 2272: 2236: 1996: 1759: 1505: 1414: 1384: 1143: 955: 920: 784: 714: 687: 660: 630: 517: 390: 358: 3514:"Goldman Sachs Recommends Fed Boost the Economy" 3436:encompasses more than nominal income targeting. 3910: 3908: 3906: 3876:International Review of Economics & Finance 4507:"A Market-Driven Nominal GDP Targeting Regime" 4011:"Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee" 3857: 3855: 4699:"Dear Ben: It's Time for Your Volcker Moment" 4311:"Dear Ben: It's Time for Your Volcker Moment" 8: 3414:-based campaign by several macroeconomists. 785:{\displaystyle b=\ln(1-a),\;\;(0<a<1)} 3187:{\displaystyle \ln {Y_{t}}-\ln {Y_{t}^{*}}} 2334:{\displaystyle \ln {W_{t}}=\ln {W_{t}^{*}}} 695:are the wage and price level respectively. 50:Learn how and when to remove these messages 3917:“Targeting Nominal Income: An Appraisal.” 3779:"A Discussion with Friedrich A. von Hayek" 3447:endorsed a nominal income target in 2011. 3116: 3115: 2753: 2501: 2500: 2230: 1990: 1753: 1499: 1378: 1137: 914: 760: 759: 624: 86:. Please do not remove this message until 4540: 4462:"Measuring Monetary Policy: the NGDP Gap" 3950:. London. August 16, 2011. 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(October 29, 2011). 131:This article includes a list of general 82:Relevant discussion may be found on the 4487: 3923:, vol. 93, no. 372, 1983, pp. 806–819. 3505: 261:by a group of economists (most notably 4677:McCallum, Bennett (October 21, 2011). 3995:: CS1 maint: archived copy as title ( 3988: 3861: 3689:"Stabilization Policy Ten Years After" 3639:"Stabilization policy ten years after" 4641:Ponnuru, Ramesh (November 12, 2010). 4579:Nominal GDP Targeting is Left, Right? 4455: 4453: 4451: 4089:Beckworth, David (November 2, 2010). 4036:"RBNZ defends monetary policy target" 3697:Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 3647:Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 7: 4760:Romer, Christina D. (10 June 2012). 4625:Beckworth, David (August 16, 2011). 3516:. Scribd. 2012-01-18. Archived from 3269:As of 2011, it was claimed that the 3194:, and this formula suggests that if 4445:D. Vinik, The Politico, 2 June 2015 2847:, we obtain the following formula: 4627:"How Would Monetary Stimulus Help" 4460:Beckworth, David (22 April 2020). 4309:Romer, Christina D. (2011-10-29). 3777:Hayek, Friedrich (April 9, 1975). 3248: 3228:{\displaystyle {\frac {a}{a+d}}=0} 265:) whose views came to be known as 137:it lacks sufficient corresponding 14: 4717:Woolsey, Bill (August 20, 2012). 4388:. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 4288:Quiggin, John (26 January 2012). 293:Level targeting vs rate targeting 31:This article has multiple issues. 4551:10.1111/j.1468-0297.2009.02315.x 4185:"Macro and Other Market Musings" 2840:{\displaystyle X_{t}=Y_{t}P_{t}} 122: 61: 20: 3480:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago 2280:, which is obtained by setting 226:, unconventional tools such as 39:or discuss these issues on the 4684:. Shadow Open Market Committee 4505:Sumner, Scott (24 July 2013). 4384:Evans, Charles (9 July 2012). 3112: 3109: 3088: 3048: 3003: 3000: 2979: 2939: 2919: 2907: 2750: 2747: 2734: 2702: 2657: 2654: 2633: 2593: 2227: 2224: 2211: 2179: 2163: 2160: 2139: 2099: 2075: 2054: 1987: 1974: 1896: 1883: 1817: 1796: 1681: 1668: 1628: 1607: 1516:it turns out that it becomes: 1465: 1453: 1329: 1316: 1263: 1242: 1134: 1121: 1046: 1025: 1003: 989: 779: 761: 753: 741: 206:. Such targets are adopted by 1: 4664:. The Economist. Aug 27, 2011 4276:After New Keynesian Economics 3790:American Enterprise Institute 3614:American Economic Association 3375:are skeptical of traditional 3278:Federal Open Market Committee 722:is a productivity shock. And 4422:10.1016/j.jmacro.2011.10.003 3931:www.jstor.org/stable/2232747 3605:The American Economic Review 3289:Reserve Bank of New Zealand 88:conditions to do so are met 4804: 4290:"Inflation target tyranny" 3889:10.1016/j.iref.2019.01.010 3754:Ludwig von Mises Institute 3390:The leading proponent was 3295:, responded directly to a 4409:Journal of Macroeconomics 4359:Clark, Tom (2012-03-24). 4256:"The Marginal Revolution" 3735:Hayek, Friedrich (2008). 3424:advocate NGDP targeting. 3314:to target its NGDP were: 3254:{\displaystyle d=\infty } 2273:{\displaystyle Y_{t}^{*}} 956:{\displaystyle W_{t}^{*}} 391:{\displaystyle L_{t}^{s}} 359:{\displaystyle L_{t}^{d}} 4164:"The Everyday Economist" 3933:. Accessed 13 Apr. 2021. 3420:, James Pethokoukis and 4679:"Nominal GDP Targeting" 4586:(published May 2, 2013) 4106:"The Market Monetarist" 3402:at "Monetary Freedom." 3265:Central bank discussion 152:more precise citations. 4744:Sumner, Scott (2011). 4647:National Review Online 3255: 3229: 3188: 3124: 2841: 2791: 2761: 2509: 2335: 2274: 2238: 1998: 1761: 1507: 1416: 1386: 1145: 957: 922: 786: 716: 689: 662: 632: 519: 392: 360: 224:open market operations 216:gross domestic product 204:monetary policy target 4594:(February 27, 2013), 3954:on November 28, 2011. 3822:Independent Institute 3706:Brookings Institution 3656:Brookings Institution 3427:Australian economist 3256: 3230: 3189: 3125: 2842: 2792: 2790:{\displaystyle X_{t}} 2762: 2510: 2336: 2275: 2239: 1999: 1770:Immediately we have 1762: 1508: 1417: 1415:{\displaystyle Y_{t}} 1387: 1146: 958: 923: 787: 717: 715:{\displaystyle s_{t}} 690: 688:{\displaystyle P_{t}} 663: 661:{\displaystyle W_{t}} 633: 520: 393: 361: 230:or interest rates on 220:gross domestic income 200:nominal income target 4746:"The Money Illusion" 4731:on September 1, 2012 4524:The Economic Journal 4241:"The Money Illusion" 4042:. December 28, 2023. 4016:. September 21, 2010 3920:The Economic Journal 3824:. pp. 129–165. 3562:The Economic Journal 3461:Among policymakers, 3450:In 1994, economists 3303:Developing countries 3239: 3198: 3137: 2854: 2801: 2774: 2525: 2348: 2284: 2252: 2014: 1777: 1523: 1429: 1399: 1161: 970: 935: 799: 726: 699: 672: 645: 530: 405: 370: 338: 259:2008 financial crash 4104:Christensen, Lars. 3948:The Daily Telegraph 3478:, president of the 3381:monetary aggregates 3327:inflation targeting 3293:inflation targeting 3182: 2899: 2570: 2372: 2329: 2269: 1185: 952: 823: 554: 429: 387: 355: 228:quantitative easing 218:(NGDP) and nominal 75:of this article is 4766:The New York Times 4703:The New York Times 4482:Bundled references 4315:The New York Times 4207:"Monetary Freedom" 3792:. pp. 12–13. 3737:Salerno, Joseph T. 3470:Business Secretary 3373:Market monetarists 3335:monetary expansion 3312:developing country 3251: 3225: 3184: 3168: 3120: 2885: 2837: 2787: 2757: 2556: 2505: 2358: 2331: 2315: 2270: 2255: 2234: 1994: 1757: 1503: 1412: 1382: 1171: 1141: 953: 938: 918: 809: 782: 712: 685: 658: 628: 540: 515: 415: 388: 373: 356: 341: 246:in 1980, although 4662:"Changing target" 4584:Project Syndicate 4058:Jeffrey Frankel, 3831:978-1-59813-076-8 3434:market monetarism 3368:Market monetarism 3342:natural disasters 3310:'s reasons for a 3291:, the pioneer of 3217: 3046: 3025: 2937: 2700: 2679: 2591: 2470: 2436: 2393: 2177: 2097: 1956: 1938: 1865: 1839: 1741: 1723: 1650: 1563: 1422:is expressed as 1371: 1298: 1198: 1103: 1082: 912: 879: 567: 442: 267:market monetarism 196: 195: 188: 178: 177: 170: 116: 115: 108: 54: 4795: 4769: 4756: 4754: 4752: 4740: 4738: 4736: 4730: 4724:. 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Archived from 3970: 3962: 3956: 3955: 3940: 3934: 3915:Bean, Charles R. 3912: 3901: 3900: 3870: 3864: 3859: 3850: 3842: 3836: 3835: 3814:Sumner, Scott B. 3810: 3804: 3803: 3786:Washington, D.C. 3783: 3774: 3768: 3767: 3747: 3732: 3726: 3725: 3693: 3681: 3675: 3674: 3643: 3631: 3625: 3624: 3596: 3590: 3589: 3553: 3547: 3546: 3535: 3529: 3528: 3526: 3525: 3510: 3490:Lawrence Summers 3476:Charles L. Evans 3260: 3258: 3257: 3252: 3234: 3232: 3231: 3226: 3218: 3216: 3202: 3193: 3191: 3190: 3185: 3183: 3181: 3176: 3157: 3156: 3155: 3129: 3127: 3126: 3121: 3108: 3107: 3106: 3087: 3086: 3068: 3067: 3066: 3047: 3045: 3031: 3026: 3021: 3010: 2999: 2998: 2997: 2978: 2977: 2959: 2958: 2957: 2938: 2936: 2925: 2905: 2900: 2898: 2893: 2874: 2873: 2872: 2846: 2844: 2843: 2838: 2836: 2835: 2826: 2825: 2813: 2812: 2796: 2794: 2793: 2788: 2786: 2785: 2766: 2764: 2763: 2758: 2746: 2745: 2733: 2732: 2714: 2713: 2701: 2699: 2685: 2680: 2675: 2664: 2653: 2652: 2651: 2632: 2631: 2613: 2612: 2611: 2592: 2587: 2576: 2571: 2569: 2564: 2545: 2544: 2543: 2514: 2512: 2511: 2506: 2499: 2498: 2486: 2482: 2481: 2480: 2471: 2469: 2455: 2450: 2449: 2437: 2435: 2424: 2407: 2394: 2389: 2378: 2373: 2371: 2366: 2340: 2338: 2337: 2332: 2330: 2328: 2323: 2304: 2303: 2302: 2279: 2277: 2276: 2271: 2268: 2263: 2243: 2241: 2240: 2235: 2223: 2222: 2210: 2209: 2191: 2190: 2178: 2170: 2159: 2158: 2157: 2138: 2137: 2119: 2118: 2117: 2098: 2093: 2082: 2074: 2073: 2072: 2053: 2052: 2034: 2033: 2032: 2007:and that yields 2003: 2001: 2000: 1995: 1986: 1985: 1973: 1972: 1957: 1949: 1944: 1940: 1939: 1937: 1926: 1909: 1895: 1894: 1882: 1881: 1866: 1864: 1850: 1840: 1835: 1824: 1816: 1815: 1814: 1795: 1794: 1766: 1764: 1763: 1758: 1752: 1751: 1742: 1734: 1729: 1725: 1724: 1722: 1711: 1694: 1680: 1679: 1667: 1666: 1651: 1649: 1635: 1627: 1626: 1625: 1606: 1605: 1587: 1586: 1585: 1564: 1559: 1548: 1543: 1542: 1541: 1512: 1510: 1509: 1504: 1498: 1497: 1485: 1484: 1483: 1449: 1448: 1447: 1421: 1419: 1418: 1413: 1411: 1410: 1391: 1389: 1388: 1383: 1377: 1373: 1372: 1370: 1359: 1342: 1328: 1327: 1315: 1314: 1299: 1297: 1283: 1278: 1277: 1262: 1261: 1260: 1241: 1240: 1222: 1221: 1220: 1199: 1191: 1186: 1184: 1179: 1150: 1148: 1147: 1142: 1133: 1132: 1120: 1119: 1104: 1102: 1088: 1083: 1081: 1070: 1053: 1045: 1044: 1043: 1024: 1023: 1002: 988: 987: 962: 960: 959: 954: 951: 946: 927: 925: 924: 919: 913: 911: 900: 899: 898: 885: 880: 878: 867: 850: 845: 844: 843: 824: 822: 817: 791: 789: 788: 783: 721: 719: 718: 713: 711: 710: 694: 692: 691: 686: 684: 683: 667: 665: 664: 659: 657: 656: 637: 635: 634: 629: 623: 619: 612: 611: 610: 591: 590: 589: 568: 560: 555: 553: 548: 524: 522: 521: 516: 514: 510: 509: 508: 490: 489: 488: 469: 468: 467: 443: 435: 430: 428: 423: 397: 395: 394: 389: 386: 381: 365: 363: 362: 357: 354: 349: 317:Great Moderation 310:Effective policy 191: 184: 173: 166: 162: 159: 153: 148:this article by 139:inline citations 126: 125: 118: 111: 104: 100: 97: 91: 65: 64: 57: 46: 24: 23: 16: 4803: 4802: 4798: 4797: 4796: 4794: 4793: 4792: 4783:Monetary policy 4773: 4772: 4759: 4750: 4748: 4743: 4734: 4732: 4728: 4721: 4716: 4707: 4705: 4696: 4687: 4685: 4681: 4676: 4667: 4665: 4660: 4651: 4649: 4640: 4631: 4629: 4624: 4621: 4609: 4607: 4605:Bank of England 4600: 4590: 4572: 4542:10.1.1.152.2160 4533:Wiley-Blackwell 4517: 4511:Mercatus Center 4504: 4501: 4499:Further reading 4496: 4495: 4489: 4479: 4470: 4468: 4466:Mercatus Center 4459: 4458: 4449: 4441: 4437: 4405: 4404: 4400: 4391: 4389: 4383: 4382: 4378: 4369: 4367: 4358: 4357: 4353: 4345: 4341: 4340: 4336: 4327: 4325: 4308: 4307: 4303: 4294: 4292: 4287: 4286: 4282: 4274: 4270: 4260: 4258: 4253: 4252: 4248: 4239:Sumner, Scott. 4238: 4237: 4233: 4225: 4221: 4211: 4209: 4205:Woolsey, Bill. 4204: 4203: 4199: 4189: 4187: 4183: 4182: 4178: 4168: 4166: 4162: 4161: 4157: 4147: 4146: 4142: 4132: 4130: 4126:Nunes, Marcus. 4125: 4124: 4120: 4110: 4108: 4103: 4102: 4098: 4088: 4087: 4083: 4075: 4071: 4070: 4066: 4054: 4047: 4034: 4033: 4029: 4019: 4017: 4013: 4009: 4008: 4004: 3987: 3981: 3979: 3975: 3968: 3966:"Archived copy" 3964: 3963: 3959: 3942: 3941: 3937: 3913: 3904: 3872: 3871: 3867: 3860: 3853: 3843: 3839: 3832: 3812: 3811: 3807: 3800: 3781: 3776: 3775: 3771: 3764: 3756:. p. 297. 3745: 3734: 3733: 3729: 3714:10.2307/2534285 3691: 3683: 3682: 3678: 3664:10.2307/2534285 3641: 3633: 3632: 3628: 3598: 3597: 3593: 3579:10.2307/2232044 3571:Wiley-Blackwell 3555: 3554: 3550: 3537: 3536: 3532: 3523: 3521: 3512: 3511: 3507: 3503: 3445:Christina Romer 3408: 3370: 3333:shock, because 3308:Jeffrey Frankel 3305: 3282:Federal reserve 3271:Bank of England 3267: 3237: 3236: 3206: 3196: 3195: 3147: 3135: 3134: 3098: 3072: 3058: 3035: 3011: 2989: 2963: 2949: 2926: 2906: 2864: 2852: 2851: 2827: 2817: 2804: 2799: 2798: 2777: 2772: 2771: 2737: 2718: 2705: 2689: 2665: 2643: 2617: 2603: 2577: 2535: 2523: 2522: 2490: 2472: 2459: 2441: 2425: 2408: 2399: 2395: 2379: 2346: 2345: 2341:, then we have 2294: 2282: 2281: 2250: 2249: 2214: 2195: 2182: 2149: 2123: 2109: 2083: 2064: 2038: 2024: 2012: 2011: 1977: 1958: 1927: 1910: 1886: 1867: 1854: 1845: 1841: 1825: 1806: 1780: 1775: 1774: 1743: 1712: 1695: 1671: 1652: 1639: 1617: 1591: 1577: 1569: 1565: 1549: 1533: 1521: 1520: 1489: 1475: 1439: 1427: 1426: 1402: 1397: 1396: 1360: 1343: 1319: 1300: 1287: 1269: 1252: 1226: 1212: 1204: 1200: 1159: 1158: 1124: 1105: 1092: 1071: 1054: 1035: 1009: 973: 968: 967: 933: 932: 901: 890: 886: 868: 851: 835: 797: 796: 724: 723: 702: 697: 696: 675: 670: 669: 648: 643: 642: 602: 581: 573: 569: 528: 527: 500: 480: 459: 448: 444: 403: 402: 368: 367: 336: 335: 329: 321:Federal Reserve 312: 295: 275: 252:Friedrich Hayek 248:Austrian School 232:excess reserves 192: 181: 180: 179: 174: 163: 157: 154: 144:Please help to 143: 127: 123: 112: 101: 95: 92: 81: 66: 62: 25: 21: 12: 11: 5: 4801: 4799: 4791: 4790: 4785: 4775: 4774: 4771: 4770: 4757: 4741: 4714: 4694: 4674: 4658: 4638: 4620: 4619:External links 4617: 4616: 4615: 4588: 4576:(2 May 2013), 4570: 4515: 4500: 4497: 4494: 4493: 4486: 4485: 4484: 4483: 4478: 4477: 4447: 4435: 4398: 4376: 4351: 4334: 4301: 4280: 4268: 4254:Cowen, Tyler. 4246: 4231: 4219: 4197: 4176: 4155: 4150:"Uneasy Money" 4140: 4118: 4096: 4081: 4064: 4062:, 24 June 2014 4045: 4027: 4002: 3957: 3935: 3902: 3883:(1): 289–303. 3865: 3851: 3837: 3830: 3805: 3798: 3769: 3763:978-1933550220 3762: 3727: 3676: 3626: 3591: 3548: 3530: 3504: 3502: 3499: 3488:In June 2015, 3467:United Kingdom 3407: 3404: 3369: 3366: 3362: 3361: 3352:increases and 3338: 3331:terms-of-trade 3319: 3304: 3301: 3266: 3263: 3250: 3247: 3244: 3224: 3221: 3215: 3212: 3209: 3205: 3180: 3175: 3171: 3166: 3163: 3160: 3154: 3150: 3145: 3142: 3131: 3130: 3119: 3114: 3111: 3105: 3101: 3096: 3093: 3090: 3085: 3082: 3079: 3075: 3071: 3065: 3061: 3056: 3053: 3050: 3044: 3041: 3038: 3034: 3029: 3024: 3020: 3017: 3014: 3008: 3005: 3002: 2996: 2992: 2987: 2984: 2981: 2976: 2973: 2970: 2966: 2962: 2956: 2952: 2947: 2944: 2941: 2935: 2932: 2929: 2924: 2921: 2918: 2915: 2912: 2909: 2903: 2897: 2892: 2888: 2883: 2880: 2877: 2871: 2867: 2862: 2859: 2834: 2830: 2824: 2820: 2816: 2811: 2807: 2784: 2780: 2768: 2767: 2756: 2752: 2749: 2744: 2740: 2736: 2731: 2728: 2725: 2721: 2717: 2712: 2708: 2704: 2698: 2695: 2692: 2688: 2683: 2678: 2674: 2671: 2668: 2662: 2659: 2656: 2650: 2646: 2641: 2638: 2635: 2630: 2627: 2624: 2620: 2616: 2610: 2606: 2601: 2598: 2595: 2590: 2586: 2583: 2580: 2574: 2568: 2563: 2559: 2554: 2551: 2548: 2542: 2538: 2533: 2530: 2516: 2515: 2504: 2497: 2493: 2489: 2485: 2479: 2475: 2468: 2465: 2462: 2458: 2453: 2448: 2444: 2440: 2434: 2431: 2428: 2423: 2420: 2417: 2414: 2411: 2405: 2402: 2398: 2392: 2388: 2385: 2382: 2376: 2370: 2365: 2361: 2356: 2353: 2327: 2322: 2318: 2313: 2310: 2307: 2301: 2297: 2292: 2289: 2267: 2262: 2258: 2245: 2244: 2233: 2229: 2226: 2221: 2217: 2213: 2208: 2205: 2202: 2198: 2194: 2189: 2185: 2181: 2176: 2173: 2168: 2165: 2162: 2156: 2152: 2147: 2144: 2141: 2136: 2133: 2130: 2126: 2122: 2116: 2112: 2107: 2104: 2101: 2096: 2092: 2089: 2086: 2080: 2077: 2071: 2067: 2062: 2059: 2056: 2051: 2048: 2045: 2041: 2037: 2031: 2027: 2022: 2019: 2005: 2004: 1993: 1989: 1984: 1980: 1976: 1971: 1968: 1965: 1961: 1955: 1952: 1947: 1943: 1936: 1933: 1930: 1925: 1922: 1919: 1916: 1913: 1907: 1904: 1901: 1898: 1893: 1889: 1885: 1880: 1877: 1874: 1870: 1863: 1860: 1857: 1853: 1848: 1844: 1838: 1834: 1831: 1828: 1822: 1819: 1813: 1809: 1804: 1801: 1798: 1793: 1790: 1787: 1783: 1768: 1767: 1756: 1750: 1746: 1740: 1737: 1732: 1728: 1721: 1718: 1715: 1710: 1707: 1704: 1701: 1698: 1692: 1689: 1686: 1683: 1678: 1674: 1670: 1665: 1662: 1659: 1655: 1648: 1645: 1642: 1638: 1633: 1630: 1624: 1620: 1615: 1612: 1609: 1604: 1601: 1598: 1594: 1590: 1584: 1580: 1575: 1572: 1568: 1562: 1558: 1555: 1552: 1546: 1540: 1536: 1531: 1528: 1514: 1513: 1502: 1496: 1492: 1488: 1482: 1478: 1473: 1470: 1467: 1464: 1461: 1458: 1455: 1452: 1446: 1442: 1437: 1434: 1409: 1405: 1393: 1392: 1381: 1376: 1369: 1366: 1363: 1358: 1355: 1352: 1349: 1346: 1340: 1337: 1334: 1331: 1326: 1322: 1318: 1313: 1310: 1307: 1303: 1296: 1293: 1290: 1286: 1281: 1276: 1272: 1268: 1265: 1259: 1255: 1250: 1247: 1244: 1239: 1236: 1233: 1229: 1225: 1219: 1215: 1210: 1207: 1203: 1197: 1194: 1189: 1183: 1178: 1174: 1169: 1166: 1152: 1151: 1140: 1136: 1131: 1127: 1123: 1118: 1115: 1112: 1108: 1101: 1098: 1095: 1091: 1086: 1080: 1077: 1074: 1069: 1066: 1063: 1060: 1057: 1051: 1048: 1042: 1038: 1033: 1030: 1027: 1022: 1019: 1016: 1012: 1008: 1005: 1001: 997: 994: 991: 986: 983: 980: 976: 950: 945: 941: 929: 928: 917: 910: 907: 904: 897: 893: 889: 883: 877: 874: 871: 866: 863: 860: 857: 854: 848: 842: 838: 833: 830: 827: 821: 816: 812: 807: 804: 781: 778: 775: 772: 769: 766: 763: 758: 755: 752: 749: 746: 743: 740: 737: 734: 731: 709: 705: 682: 678: 655: 651: 639: 638: 627: 622: 618: 615: 609: 605: 600: 597: 594: 588: 584: 579: 576: 572: 566: 563: 558: 552: 547: 543: 538: 535: 525: 513: 507: 503: 499: 496: 493: 487: 483: 478: 475: 472: 466: 462: 457: 454: 451: 447: 441: 438: 433: 427: 422: 418: 413: 410: 385: 380: 376: 353: 348: 344: 328: 325: 311: 308: 294: 291: 274: 271: 194: 193: 176: 175: 130: 128: 121: 114: 113: 69: 67: 60: 55: 29: 28: 26: 19: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 4800: 4789: 4788:Central banks 4786: 4784: 4781: 4780: 4778: 4767: 4763: 4758: 4747: 4742: 4727: 4720: 4715: 4704: 4700: 4695: 4680: 4675: 4663: 4659: 4648: 4644: 4639: 4628: 4623: 4622: 4618: 4606: 4599: 4598: 4593: 4592:Bean, Charlie 4589: 4585: 4581: 4580: 4575: 4571: 4568: 4564: 4560: 4556: 4552: 4548: 4543: 4538: 4535:: F442–F460, 4534: 4530: 4526: 4525: 4520: 4519:Bean, Charles 4516: 4512: 4508: 4503: 4502: 4498: 4491: 4488: 4481: 4480: 4467: 4463: 4456: 4454: 4452: 4448: 4444: 4439: 4436: 4431: 4427: 4423: 4419: 4416:(1): 95–111. 4415: 4411: 4410: 4402: 4399: 4387: 4380: 4377: 4366: 4362: 4355: 4352: 4344: 4338: 4335: 4324: 4320: 4316: 4312: 4305: 4302: 4291: 4284: 4281: 4277: 4272: 4269: 4257: 4250: 4247: 4242: 4235: 4232: 4228: 4223: 4220: 4208: 4201: 4198: 4186: 4180: 4177: 4165: 4159: 4156: 4151: 4144: 4141: 4129: 4128:"Historinhas" 4122: 4119: 4107: 4100: 4097: 4092: 4085: 4082: 4074: 4068: 4065: 4061: 4057: 4052: 4050: 4046: 4041: 4037: 4031: 4028: 4012: 4006: 4003: 3998: 3992: 3978:on 2011-11-08 3974: 3967: 3961: 3958: 3953: 3949: 3945: 3939: 3936: 3932: 3928: 3927: 3922: 3921: 3916: 3911: 3909: 3907: 3903: 3898: 3894: 3890: 3886: 3882: 3878: 3877: 3869: 3866: 3863: 3858: 3856: 3852: 3848: 3847: 3841: 3838: 3833: 3827: 3823: 3819: 3815: 3809: 3806: 3801: 3795: 3791: 3787: 3784:(Interview). 3780: 3773: 3770: 3765: 3759: 3755: 3751: 3744: 3743: 3738: 3731: 3728: 3723: 3719: 3715: 3711: 3707: 3703: 3699: 3698: 3690: 3686: 3680: 3677: 3673: 3669: 3665: 3661: 3657: 3653: 3649: 3648: 3640: 3636: 3630: 3627: 3623: 3619: 3615: 3611: 3607: 3606: 3601: 3595: 3592: 3588: 3584: 3580: 3576: 3572: 3568: 3564: 3563: 3558: 3552: 3549: 3544: 3540: 3534: 3531: 3520:on 2011-11-04 3519: 3515: 3509: 3506: 3500: 3498: 3494: 3491: 3486: 3483: 3481: 3477: 3473: 3471: 3468: 3464: 3459: 3457: 3453: 3448: 3446: 3442: 3437: 3435: 3430: 3425: 3423: 3419: 3415: 3413: 3405: 3403: 3401: 3397: 3396:David Glasner 3393: 3388: 3384: 3382: 3378: 3374: 3367: 3365: 3359: 3355: 3351: 3347: 3346:social unrest 3343: 3339: 3336: 3332: 3328: 3324: 3320: 3317: 3316: 3315: 3313: 3309: 3302: 3300: 3298: 3294: 3290: 3285: 3283: 3279: 3274: 3272: 3264: 3262: 3245: 3242: 3222: 3219: 3213: 3210: 3207: 3203: 3178: 3173: 3169: 3164: 3161: 3158: 3152: 3148: 3143: 3140: 3117: 3103: 3099: 3094: 3091: 3083: 3080: 3077: 3073: 3069: 3063: 3059: 3054: 3051: 3042: 3039: 3036: 3032: 3027: 3022: 3018: 3015: 3012: 3006: 2994: 2990: 2985: 2982: 2974: 2971: 2968: 2964: 2960: 2954: 2950: 2945: 2942: 2933: 2930: 2927: 2922: 2916: 2913: 2910: 2901: 2895: 2890: 2886: 2881: 2878: 2875: 2869: 2865: 2860: 2857: 2850: 2849: 2848: 2832: 2828: 2822: 2818: 2814: 2809: 2805: 2782: 2778: 2754: 2742: 2738: 2729: 2726: 2723: 2719: 2715: 2710: 2706: 2696: 2693: 2690: 2686: 2681: 2676: 2672: 2669: 2666: 2660: 2648: 2644: 2639: 2636: 2628: 2625: 2622: 2618: 2614: 2608: 2604: 2599: 2596: 2588: 2584: 2581: 2578: 2572: 2566: 2561: 2557: 2552: 2549: 2546: 2540: 2536: 2531: 2528: 2521: 2520: 2519: 2502: 2495: 2491: 2487: 2483: 2477: 2473: 2466: 2463: 2460: 2456: 2451: 2446: 2442: 2438: 2432: 2429: 2426: 2421: 2418: 2415: 2412: 2409: 2403: 2400: 2396: 2390: 2386: 2383: 2380: 2374: 2368: 2363: 2359: 2354: 2351: 2344: 2343: 2342: 2325: 2320: 2316: 2311: 2308: 2305: 2299: 2295: 2290: 2287: 2265: 2260: 2256: 2231: 2219: 2215: 2206: 2203: 2200: 2196: 2192: 2187: 2183: 2174: 2171: 2166: 2154: 2150: 2145: 2142: 2134: 2131: 2128: 2124: 2120: 2114: 2110: 2105: 2102: 2094: 2090: 2087: 2084: 2078: 2069: 2065: 2060: 2057: 2049: 2046: 2043: 2039: 2035: 2029: 2025: 2020: 2017: 2010: 2009: 2008: 1991: 1982: 1978: 1969: 1966: 1963: 1959: 1953: 1950: 1945: 1941: 1934: 1931: 1928: 1923: 1920: 1917: 1914: 1911: 1905: 1902: 1899: 1891: 1887: 1878: 1875: 1872: 1868: 1861: 1858: 1855: 1851: 1846: 1842: 1836: 1832: 1829: 1826: 1820: 1811: 1807: 1802: 1799: 1791: 1788: 1785: 1781: 1773: 1772: 1771: 1754: 1748: 1744: 1738: 1735: 1730: 1726: 1719: 1716: 1713: 1708: 1705: 1702: 1699: 1696: 1690: 1687: 1684: 1676: 1672: 1663: 1660: 1657: 1653: 1646: 1643: 1640: 1636: 1631: 1622: 1618: 1613: 1610: 1602: 1599: 1596: 1592: 1588: 1582: 1578: 1573: 1570: 1566: 1560: 1556: 1553: 1550: 1544: 1538: 1534: 1529: 1526: 1519: 1518: 1517: 1500: 1494: 1490: 1486: 1480: 1476: 1471: 1468: 1462: 1459: 1456: 1450: 1444: 1440: 1435: 1432: 1425: 1424: 1423: 1407: 1403: 1395:Since output 1379: 1374: 1367: 1364: 1361: 1356: 1353: 1350: 1347: 1344: 1338: 1335: 1332: 1324: 1320: 1311: 1308: 1305: 1301: 1294: 1291: 1288: 1284: 1279: 1274: 1270: 1266: 1257: 1253: 1248: 1245: 1237: 1234: 1231: 1227: 1223: 1217: 1213: 1208: 1205: 1201: 1195: 1192: 1187: 1181: 1176: 1172: 1167: 1164: 1157: 1156: 1155: 1138: 1129: 1125: 1116: 1113: 1110: 1106: 1099: 1096: 1093: 1089: 1084: 1078: 1075: 1072: 1067: 1064: 1061: 1058: 1055: 1049: 1040: 1036: 1031: 1028: 1020: 1017: 1014: 1010: 1006: 999: 995: 992: 984: 981: 978: 974: 966: 965: 964: 948: 943: 939: 915: 908: 905: 902: 895: 891: 887: 881: 875: 872: 869: 864: 861: 858: 855: 852: 846: 840: 836: 831: 828: 825: 819: 814: 810: 805: 802: 795: 794: 793: 776: 773: 770: 767: 764: 756: 750: 747: 744: 738: 735: 732: 729: 707: 703: 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Retrieved 4735:September 5, 4733:. Retrieved 4726:the original 4706:. Retrieved 4702: 4686:. Retrieved 4666:. Retrieved 4650:. Retrieved 4643:"Hard Money" 4630:. Retrieved 4608:, retrieved 4596: 4578: 4528: 4522: 4490: 4469:. Retrieved 4465: 4438: 4413: 4407: 4401: 4390:. Retrieved 4379: 4368:. Retrieved 4365:The Guardian 4364: 4354: 4337: 4326:. Retrieved 4314: 4304: 4293:. Retrieved 4283: 4271: 4259:. Retrieved 4249: 4234: 4222: 4210:. Retrieved 4200: 4188:. Retrieved 4179: 4167:. Retrieved 4158: 4143: 4131:. Retrieved 4121: 4109:. Retrieved 4099: 4084: 4067: 4060:The Guardian 4039: 4030: 4018:. Retrieved 4005: 3980:. Retrieved 3973:the original 3960: 3952:the original 3947: 3938: 3924: 3918: 3880: 3874: 3868: 3845: 3840: 3817: 3808: 3772: 3741: 3730: 3701: 3695: 3685:Tobin, James 3679: 3651: 3645: 3635:Tobin, James 3629: 3609: 3603: 3600:Meade, James 3594: 3566: 3560: 3557:Meade, James 3551: 3542: 3533: 3522:. 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Index

improve it
talk page
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neutrality
disputed
talk page
conditions to do so are met
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references
inline citations
improve
introducing
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monetary policy target
central banks
inflation
gross domestic product
gross domestic income
open market operations
quantitative easing
excess reserves
neo-Keynesian
James Meade
James Tobin
Austrian School
Friedrich Hayek
2008 financial crash
Scott Sumner
market monetarism

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