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Bayesian inference in phylogeny

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words, it compares how different trees predict the observed data. The introduction of a model of evolution in ML analyses presents an advantage over MP as the probability of nucleotide substitutions and rates of these substitutions are taken into account, explaining the phylogenetic relationships of taxa in a more realistic way. An important consideration of this method is the branch length, which parsimony ignores, with changes being more likely to happen along long branches than short ones. This approach might eliminate long branch attraction and explain the greater consistency of ML over MP. Although considered by many to be the best approach to inferring phylogenies from a theoretical point of view, ML is computationally intensive and it is almost impossible to explore all trees as there are too many. Bayesian inference also incorporates a model of evolution and the main advantages over MP and ML are that it is computationally more efficient than traditional methods, it quantifies and addresses the source of uncertainty and is able to incorporate complex models of evolution.
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which all branch lengths are changed in every cycle. The LOCAL algorithms modifies the tree by selecting an internal branch of the tree at random. The nodes at the ends of this branch are each connected to two other branches. One of each pair is chosen at random. Imagine taking these three selected edges and stringing them like a clothesline from left to right, where the direction (left/right) is also selected at random. The two endpoints of the first branch selected will have a sub-tree hanging like a piece of clothing strung to the line. The algorithm proceeds by multiplying the three selected branches by a common random amount, akin to stretching or shrinking the clothesline. Finally the leftmost of the two hanging sub-trees is disconnected and reattached to the clothesline at a location selected uniformly at random. This would be the candidate tree.
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lead to overconfidence in the results? Are bootstrap values more robust than posterior probabilities? One fact underlying this controversy is that all data are used during Bayesian analysis and the calculation of posterior probabilities, while the nature of bootstrapping means that most bootstrap replicates will be missing some of the original data. As a result, bipartitions (branches) supported by relatively few characters in the dataset may receive very high posterior probabilities but moderate or even low bootstrap support, as many of the bootstrap replicates don't contain enough of the critical characters to retrieve the bipartition.
2706:, a phylogenetic phenomenon where taxa with long branches (numerous character state changes) tend to appear more closely related in the phylogeny than they really are. For morphological data, recent simulation studies suggest that parsimony may be less accurate than trees built using Bayesian approaches, potentially due to overprecision, although this has been disputed. Studies using novel simulation methods have demonstrated that differences between inference methods result from the search strategy and consensus method employed, rather than the optimization used. 2746:
models, the most standard model of DNA substitution, the 4x4 also called JC69, which assumes that changes across nucleotides occur with equal probability. It also implements a number of 20x20 models of amino acid substitution, and codon models of DNA substitution. It offers different methods for relaxing the assumption of equal substitutions rates across nucleotide sites. MrBayes is also able to infer ancestral states accommodating uncertainty to the phylogenetic tree and model parameters.
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maximum parsimony (MP), maximum likelihood (ML), and minimum evolution (ME) criteria, and the same can be expected for stochastic tree search using MCMC. This problem will result in samples not approximating correctly to the posterior density. The (MCÂł) improves the mixing of Markov chains in presence of multiple local peaks in the posterior density. It runs multiple (m) chains in parallel, each for n iterations and with different stationary distributions
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three independent groups: Bruce Rannala and Ziheng Yang in Berkeley, Bob Mau in Madison, and Shuying Li in University of Iowa, the last two being PhD students at the time. The approach has become very popular since the release of the MrBayes software in 2001, and is now one of the most popular methods in molecular phylogenetics.
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of times. The number of times a single tree is visited during the course of the chain is an approximation of its posterior probability. Some of the most common algorithms used in MCMC methods include the Metropolis–Hastings algorithms, the Metropolis-Coupling MCMC (MC³) and the LOCAL algorithm of Larget and Simon.
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MrBayes 3.2 was released in 2012 The new version allows the users to run multiple analyses in parallel. It also provides faster likelihood calculations and allow these calculations to be delegated to graphics processing unites (GPUs). Version 3.2 provides wider outputs options compatible with FigTree
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Controversy of using prior probabilities. Using prior probabilities for Bayesian analysis has been seen by many as an advantage as it provides a way of incorporating information from sources other than the data being analyzed. However, when such external information is lacking, one is forced to use a
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combines the information in the prior and in the data likelihood to create the so-called posterior probability of trees, which is the probability that the tree is correct given the data, the prior and the likelihood model. Bayesian inference was introduced into molecular phylogenetics in the 1990s by
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Bootstrap values vs posterior probabilities. It has been observed that bootstrap support values, calculated under parsimony or maximum likelihood, tend to be lower than the posterior probabilities obtained by Bayesian inference. This leads to a number of questions such as: Do posterior probabilities
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is proposed. Secondly, the probability of this new state to be correct is calculated. Thirdly, a new random variable (0,1) is proposed. If this new value is less than the acceptance probability the new state is accepted and the state of the chain is updated. This process is run thousands or millions
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MrBayes uses MCMC to approximate the posterior probabilities of trees. The user can change assumptions of the substitution model, priors and the details of the MCÂł analysis. It also allows the user to remove and add taxa and characters to the analysis. The program includes, among several nucleotide
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MrBayes is a free software tool that performs Bayesian inference of phylogeny. It was originally written by John P. Huelsenbeck and Frederik Ronquist in 2001. As Bayesian methods increased in popularity, MrBayes became one of the software of choice for many molecular phylogeneticists. It is offered
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MrBayes 3 was a completely reorganized and restructured version of the original MrBayes. The main novelty was the ability of the software to accommodate heterogeneity of data sets. This new framework allows the user to mix models and take advantages of the efficiency of Bayesian MCMC analysis when
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As in maximum parsimony, maximum likelihood will evaluate alternative trees. However it considers the probability of each tree explaining the given data based on a model of evolution. In this case, the tree with the highest probability of explaining the data is chosen over the other ones. In other
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There are many approaches to reconstructing phylogenetic trees, each with advantages and disadvantages, and there is no straightforward answer to “what is the best method?”. Maximum parsimony (MP) and maximum likelihood (ML) are traditional methods widely used for the estimation of phylogenies and
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The LOCAL algorithms offers a computational advantage over previous methods and demonstrates that a Bayesian approach is able to assess uncertainty computationally practical in larger trees. The LOCAL algorithm is an improvement of the GLOBAL algorithm presented in Mau, Newton and Larget (1999) in
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Metropolis-coupled MCMC algorithm (MCÂł) has been proposed to solve a practical concern of the Markov chain moving across peaks when the target distribution has multiple local peaks, separated by low valleys, are known to exist in the tree space. This is the case during heuristic tree search under
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has the effect of flattening out the distribution, similar to heating a metal. In such a distribution, it is easier to traverse between peaks (separated by valleys) than in the original distribution. After each iteration, a swap of states between two randomly chosen chains is proposed through a
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At the end of the run, output from only the cold chain is used, while those from the hot chains are discarded. Heuristically, the hot chains will visit the local peaks rather easily, and swapping states between chains will let the cold chain occasionally jump valleys, leading to better mixing.
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The Bayesian approach to phylogenetic reconstruction combines the prior probability of a tree P(A) with the likelihood of the data (B) to produce a posterior probability distribution on trees P(A|B). The posterior probability of a tree will be the probability that the tree is correct, given the
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percentage. For the same reason that it has been widely used, its simplicity, MP has also received criticism and has been pushed into the background by ML and Bayesian methods. MP presents several problems and limitations. As shown by Felsenstein (1978), MP might be statistically inconsistent,
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Model choice. The results of the Bayesian analysis of a phylogeny are directly correlated to the model of evolution chosen so it is important to choose a model that fits the observed data, otherwise inferences in the phylogeny will be erroneous. Many scientists have raised questions about the
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Bayesian inference or the inverse probability method was the standard approach in statistical thinking until the early 1900s before RA Fisher developed what's now known as the classical/frequentist/Fisherian inference. Computational difficulties and philosophical objections had prevented the
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and it does not require a model of evolutionary change. MP gives the most simple explanation for a given set of data, reconstructing a phylogenetic tree that includes as few changes across the sequences as possible. The support of the tree branches is represented by
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for Macintosh, Windows, and UNIX operating systems and it has a command-line interface. The program uses the standard MCMC algorithm as well as the Metropolis coupled MCMC variant. MrBayes reads aligned matrices of sequences (DNA or amino acids) in the standard
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prior even if it is impossible to use a statistical distribution to represent total ignorance. It is also a concern that the Bayesian posterior probabilities may reflect subjective opinions when the prior is arbitrary and subjective.
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Chronogram obtained from molecular clock analysis using BEAST. Pie chart in each node indicates the possible ancestral distributions inferred from Bayesian Binary MCMC analysis (BBM)
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This table includes some of the most common phylogenetic software used for inferring phylogenies under a Bayesian framework. Some of them do not use exclusively Bayesian methods.
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Alonso R, Crawford AJ, Bermingham E (March 2012). "Molecular phylogeny of an endemic radiation of Cuban toads (Bufonidae: Peltophryne) based on mitochondrial and nuclear genes".
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Filipowicz N, Renner SS (July 2012). "Brunfelsia (Solanaceae): a genus evenly divided between South America and radiations on Cuba and other Antillean islands".
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interpretation of Bayesian inference when the model is unknown or incorrect. For example, an oversimplified model might give higher posterior probabilities.
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Rannala, Bruce; Yang, Ziheng (September 1996). "Probability distribution of molecular evolutionary trees: A new method of phylogenetic inference".
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is ideally suited for implementation on parallel machines, since each chain will in general require the same amount of computation per iteration.
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Pagel M, Meade A (June 2006). "Bayesian analysis of correlated evolution of discrete characters by reversible-jump Markov chain Monte Carlo".
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Metropolis N, Rosenbluth AW, Rosenbluth MN, Teller AH, Teller E (June 1953). "Equation of state calculations by fast computing machines".
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The algorithm keeps running until it reaches an equilibrium distribution. It also assumes that the probability of proposing a new tree T
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Bayesian Inference has extensively been used by molecular phylogeneticists for a wide number of applications. Some of these include:
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dealing with different type of data (e.g. protein, nucleotide, and morphological). It uses the Metropolis-Coupling MCMC by default.
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is unstable, proposed swaps will seldom be accepted. This is the reason for using several chains which differ only incrementally.
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meaning that as more and more data (e.g. sequence length) is accumulated, results can converge on an incorrect tree and lead to
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Ronquist F, Teslenko M, van der Mark P, Ayres DL, Darling A, Höhna S, Larget B, Liu L, Suchard MA, Huelsenbeck JP (May 2012).
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GarcĂ­a-Sandoval R (January 2014). "Why some clades have low bootstrap frequencies and high Bayesian posterior probabilities".
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Swofford DL, Olsen GJ, Waddell PJ, Hillis DM (1996). "Phylogenetic inference". In Hillis DM, Moritz C, Mable BK (eds.).
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Maximum Parsimony recovers one or more optimal trees based on a matrix of discrete characters for a certain group of
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Felsenstein J (December 1978). "Cases in which parsimony or compatibility methods will be positively misleading".
5863: 5789: 4761:"Armadillo 1.1: an original workflow platform for designing and conducting phylogenetic analysis and simulations" 3776:"Weighted parsimony outperforms other methods of phylogenetic inference under models appropriate for morphology" 5914: 125: 3678:"Fluctuations in population fecundity drive variation in demographic connectivity and metapopulation dynamics" 2797:
A program for Bayesian inference and model choice across a wide range of phylogenetic and evolutionary models.
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Bouckaert R, Heled J, KĂĽhnert D, Vaughan T, Wu CH, Xie D, Suchard MA, Rambaut A, Drummond AJ (April 2014).
1302: 5902: 5626: 5499: 2703: 2681: 2405: 4685:"Inferences from DNA data: population histories, evolutionary processes and forensic match probabilities" 4320:"Maximum-likelihood estimation of phylogeny from DNA sequences when substitution rates differ over sites" 1119: 5878: 5556: 5200:"A phylogenetic framework for evolutionary study of the nightshades (Solanaceae): a dated 1000-tip tree" 2275: 3725:
O'Reilly JE, Puttick MN, Parry L, Tanner AR, Tarver JE, Fleming J, Pisani D, Donoghue PC (April 2016).
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Geyer CJ (1991). "Markov chain Monte Carlo maximum likelihood.". In Keramidas EM, Kaufman SM (eds.).
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Hastings WK (April 1970). "Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications".
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MCMC methods can be described in three steps: first using a stochastic mechanism a new state for the
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Castorani MC, Reed DC, Raimondi PT, Alberto F, Bell TW, Cavanaugh KC, et al. (January 2017).
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Non-parametric methods for modeling among-site variation in nucleotide or amino-acid propensities.
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A potential transition from one state to another (i → j) using a transition probability function q
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Bayesian inference refers to a probabilistic method developed by Reverend Thomas Bayes based on
5367:"Assessing phenotypic correlation through the multivariate phylogenetic latent liability model" 5609: 5461: 5443: 5404: 5386: 5347: 5288: 5239: 5180: 5139: 5096: 5037: 5002: 4943: 4849: 4800: 4733: 4665: 4621: 4580: 4539: 4480: 4431: 4382: 4341: 4285: 4244: 4203: 4162: 4103: 4035: 4014:"Comparison of Bayesian and maximum likelihood bootstrap measures of phylogenetic reliability" 3994: 3953: 3889: 3866: 3815: 3807: 3756: 3707: 3623: 3549: 3488: 3407: 3324: 3297: 3201: 3152: 3100: 679: 117: 2844:
R Bouckaert, J Heled, D KĂĽhnert, T Vaughan, CH Wu, D Xie, MA Suchard, A Rambaut, AJ Drummond.
2588: 2559: 1467: 1437: 1272: 1242: 1166: 619: 5698: 5652: 5451: 5435: 5394: 5378: 5337: 5327: 5278: 5270: 5229: 5219: 5170: 5131: 5086: 5076: 5029: 4992: 4982: 4933: 4923: 4884: 4839: 4831: 4790: 4780: 4725: 4696: 4655: 4611: 4570: 4529: 4519: 4470: 4462: 4421: 4413: 4372: 4331: 4275: 4234: 4193: 4182:"Reliability of Bayesian posterior probabilities and bootstrap frequencies in phylogenetics" 4152: 4142: 4093: 4062: 4025: 3984: 3943: 3933: 3856: 3846: 3797: 3787: 3746: 3738: 3697: 3689: 3658: 3613: 3580: 3480: 3442: 3397: 3389: 3348: 3287: 3240: 3183: 3142: 3092: 2640: 2095:{\displaystyle h(t)=\left(1/4\right)^{n_{1}+n_{2}}\left(1/4+3/4{e^{-4/3t}}^{n_{1}}\right)\ } 454:
are chosen to improve mixing. For example, one can choose incremental heating of the form:
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Update branch length by choosing new value uniformly at random from a window of half-width
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Milne I, Lindner D, Bayer M, Husmeier D, McGuire G, Marshall DF, Wright F (January 2009).
4336: 4319: 3585: 3568: 3147: 3130: 2955: 2353: 5259:"Bayesian estimation of speciation and extinction from incomplete fossil occurrence data" 2617: 2536: 2379: 2330: 2249: 1219: 1196: 1096: 838: 815: 745: 5323: 5215: 5159:"Miocene dispersal drives island radiations in the palm tribe Trachycarpeae (Arecaceae)" 5127: 5072: 4978: 4880: 4776: 4515: 4138: 3929: 3476: 3438: 3385: 3131:"Bayesian phylogenetic inference using DNA sequences: a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method" 3088: 100: 5773: 5456: 5399: 5366: 5342: 5307: 5283: 5258: 5234: 5199: 5091: 5056: 4997: 4962: 4844: 4819: 4795: 4760: 4534: 4499: 4475: 4450: 4426: 4401: 4157: 4122: 3861: 3834: 3751: 3726: 3702: 3677: 3402: 3369: 1601: 4239: 4222: 3948: 3913: 3292: 3275: 2236:{\displaystyle h(t)=\left(1/4-1/4{e^{-4/3t}}^{n_{2}}\right)(\lambda e^{-\lambda t})\ } 5930: 5768: 5738: 5645: 5522: 4888: 4745: 3618: 3601: 3569:"Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for the Bayesian analysis of phylogenetic trees" 3260: 3188: 3171: 2698: 4835: 4616: 4599: 4377: 4360: 3546:
Computing Science and Statistics: Proceedings of the 23rd Symposium on the Interface
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from the rest. Suppose also that we have (randomly) selected branches with lengths
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Bayesian Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampler for phylogenetic reconstruction.
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
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Laplace P (1774). "Memoire sur la Probabilite des Causes par les Evenements".
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Workflow platform dedicated to phylogenetic and general bioinformatic analysis
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Schäffer S, Koblmüller S, Pfingstl T, Sturmbauer C, Krisper G (August 2010).
4987: 3914:"Overcredibility of molecular phylogenies obtained by Bayesian phylogenetics" 3851: 3811: 3446: 2866: 5883: 5847: 5842: 5837: 5732: 5614: 5439: 5274: 5175: 5158: 4928: 4911: 4701: 4684: 4660: 4643: 4575: 4558: 4466: 4417: 4147: 4098: 4081: 4030: 4013: 3989: 3972: 3835:"Morphological phylogenetics evaluated using novel evolutionary simulations" 3553: 3353: 3336: 3328: 108: 5465: 5408: 5351: 5292: 5243: 5184: 5143: 5100: 5041: 5006: 4947: 4853: 4804: 4737: 4669: 4625: 4584: 4543: 4484: 4435: 4386: 4289: 4248: 4207: 4166: 4107: 4039: 3998: 3957: 3938: 3870: 3819: 3760: 3742: 3711: 3693: 3627: 3411: 3301: 3205: 1361:, be the current length of the clothesline. We select the new length to be 1116:
chains are run and only one chain is used for inference. For this reason,
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Ronquist F (September 2004). "Bayesian inference of character evolution".
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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society)
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Douady CJ, Delsuc F, Boucher Y, Doolittle WF, Douzery EJ (February 2003).
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The ratio, R, of the probabilities (or probability density functions) of T
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Keating JN, Sansom RS, Sutton MD, Knight CG, Garwood RJ (February 2020).
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Bayesian concordance using modified greedy consensus of unrooted quartets
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Cybis G, Sinsheimer J, Bedford T, Mather A, Lemey P, Suchard MA (2015).
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Silvestro D, Schnitzler J, Liow LH, Antonelli A, Salamin N (May 2014).
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Nascimento, FabrĂ­cia F.; Reis, Mario dos; Yang, Ziheng (October 2017).
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Bayesian inference, multiple models, mixture model (auto-partitioning)
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Tiger phylogenetic relationships, bootstrap values shown in branches.
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widespread adoption of the Bayesian approach until the 1990s, when
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de Villemereuil P, Wells JA, Edwards RD, Blomberg SP (June 2012).
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Bayesian inference of trees using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods
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both use character information directly, as Bayesian methods do.
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Bayesian inference, relaxed molecular clock, demographic history
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is accepted as the current tree with probability R, otherwise T
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Lemey P, Rambaut A, Drummond AJ, Suchard MA (September 2009).
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are variable, assume exponential prior distribution with rate
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Suppose we began by selecting the internal branch with length
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prior, the data, and the correctness of the likelihood model.
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Erixon P, Svennblad B, Britton T, Oxelman B (October 2003).
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Särkinen T, Bohs L, Olmstead RG, Knapp S (September 2013).
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Lord E, Leclercq M, Boc A, Diallo AB, Makarenkov V (2012).
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E. Lord, M. Leclercq, A. Boc, A.B. Diallo and V. Makarenkov
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Tolkoff M, Alfaro M, Baele G, Lemey P, Suchard MA (2018).
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Bayesian inference, demographic history, population splits
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Simultaneous Bayesian inference of alignment and phylogeny
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At this point the process is repeated from Step 2 N times.
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Drummond AJ, Suchard MA, Xie D, Rambaut A (August 2012).
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Mau, Bob; Newton, Michael A.; Larget, Bret (March 1999).
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from each side, and that we oriented these branches. Let
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Model dynamics of species diversification and extinction
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Bayesian Analysis of Trees With Internal Node Generation
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Maddison DR, Swofford DL, Maddison WP (December 1997).
3370:"A biologist's guide to Bayesian phylogenetic analysis" 3227:
Li, Shuying; Pearl, Dennis K.; Doss, Hani (June 2000).
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Inference and evaluation of uncertainty of phylogenies.
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A software platform for Bayesian evolutionary analysis
4644:"Bayesian estimation of concordance among gene trees" 2800:
Zangh, Huelsenbeck, Der Mark, Ronquist & Teslenko
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Geneious provides genome and proteome research tools
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Bayesian inference, alignment as well as tree search
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Bayesian inference of phylogeny background and bases
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Movement of the chain to state j with probability α
44: 34: 24: 3274:Huelsenbeck, J. P.; Ronquist, F. (1 August 2001). 2652: 2629: 2606: 2577: 2548: 2525: 2489: 2450: 2391: 2368: 2342: 2316: 2261: 2235: 2094: 1931:{\displaystyle 1/4\left(1/4-1/4e^{-4/3t}\right)\ } 1930: 1835:{\displaystyle 1/4\left(1/4+3/4e^{-4/3t}\right)\ } 1834: 1741: 1687: 1664: 1637: 1610: 1582: 1491: 1456: 1426: 1353: 1291: 1261: 1231: 1208: 1185: 1143: 1108: 1082: 1015: 850: 827: 804: 757: 734: 697: 668: 637: 616:are heated chains. Note that raising the density 608: 563: 446: 399: 369: 333: 286: 3458: 3456: 3043:Inference of ancestral character state evolution. 1941:Thus the unnormalized posterior distribution is: 1093:An obvious disadvantage of the algorithm is that 3971:Alfaro ME, Zoller S, Lutzoni F (February 2003). 3518:. Sunderland, Massachusetts: Sinauer Associates. 2863:N. Lartillot, N. Rodrigue, D. Stubbs, J. Richer 148:One of the most common MCMC methods used is the 128:algorithms revolutionized Bayesian computation. 4127:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 3907: 3905: 3233:Journal of the American Statistical Association 2819:A. J. Drummond, A. Rambaut & M. A. Suchard 4121:Yang, Ziheng; Zhu, Tianqi (20 February 2018). 578:with the correct target density, while chains 16:Statistical method for molecular phylogenetics 5507: 4683:Wilson IJ, Weale ME, Balding DJ (June 2003). 3888:. Sunderland, MA: Sinauer. pp. 407–514. 3124: 3122: 2813:Bayesian Evolutionary Analysis Sampling Trees 2533:. We will compare results for two values of 1742:{\displaystyle p(t)=\lambda e^{-\lambda t}\ } 66: 8: 4307:. New York: Academic Press. pp. 21–132. 3912:Suzuki Y, Glazko GV, Nei M (December 2002). 2975:https://github.com/armadilloUQAM/armadillo2/ 2949:http://www.evolution.rdg.ac.uk/BayesPhy.html 19: 5157:Bacon CD, Baker WJ, Simmons MP (May 2012). 3533:. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press. 3531:Molecular Evolution: A Statistical Approach 167:, is selected from the collection of trees. 5514: 5500: 5492: 4359:Ronquist F, Huelsenbeck JP (August 2003). 4221:Huelsenbeck JP, Ronquist F (August 2001). 3055:Elucidate patterns in pathogens dispersal. 2867:http://www.atgc-montpellier.fr/phylobayes/ 73: 59: 5455: 5398: 5341: 5331: 5308:"Bayesian phylogeography finds its roots" 5282: 5233: 5223: 5174: 5090: 5080: 4996: 4986: 4937: 4927: 4910:Antonelli A, SanmartĂ­n I (October 2011). 4843: 4794: 4784: 4700: 4659: 4615: 4574: 4533: 4523: 4474: 4425: 4376: 4335: 4279: 4238: 4197: 4156: 4146: 4097: 4055:Israel Journal of Ecology & Evolution 4029: 3988: 3947: 3937: 3860: 3850: 3801: 3791: 3750: 3701: 3617: 3600:Mau B, Newton MA, Larget B (March 1999). 3584: 3401: 3352: 3291: 3187: 3146: 2642: 2619: 2590: 2561: 2538: 2508: 2502: 2472: 2466: 2428: 2419: 2407: 2381: 2355: 2332: 2306: 2292: 2283: 2277: 2251: 2215: 2192: 2187: 2173: 2166: 2161: 2152: 2138: 2113: 2076: 2071: 2057: 2050: 2045: 2036: 2022: 2006: 1993: 1988: 1975: 1949: 1907: 1900: 1888: 1874: 1858: 1853: 1811: 1804: 1792: 1778: 1762: 1757: 1724: 1700: 1677: 1656: 1650: 1629: 1623: 1603: 1569: 1559: 1552: 1547: 1544: 1509: 1507: 1469: 1445: 1439: 1403: 1372: 1366: 1342: 1329: 1316: 1304: 1280: 1274: 1250: 1244: 1221: 1198: 1174: 1168: 1132: 1124: 1121: 1098: 1062: 1053: 1038: 1032: 992: 979: 960: 947: 926: 913: 894: 881: 874: 866: 840: 817: 770: 747: 717: 711: 681: 655: 650: 621: 583: 503: 499: 468: 462: 412: 388: 382: 352: 346: 299: 266: 260: 4598:Suchard MA, Redelings BD (August 2006). 3774:Goloboff PA, Torres A, Arias JS (2018). 3058:Inference of phenotypic trait evolution. 2990:A. J. Drummond,M.Suchard,V.Lefort et al. 2770: 2667: 2664:Maximum parsimony and maximum likelihood 219:, is the same probability of proposing T 99: 3067: 812:. A swap between the states of chains 241:and remains in i with probability 1 – α 112:Metaphor illustrating MCMC method steps 18: 5116:Molecular Phylogenetics and Evolution 4557:Lartillot N, Philippe H (June 2004). 4337:10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a040082 3586:10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a026160 3148:10.1093/oxfordjournals.molbev.a025811 3129:Yang, Z.; Rannala, B. (1 July 1997). 1618:of a 2-taxon tree under JC, in which 1354:{\displaystyle m=t_{1}+t_{8}+t_{9}\ } 7: 5909: 2911:http://www.stat.wisc.edu/~ane/bucky/ 2804:https://nbisweden.github.io/MrBayes/ 2451:{\displaystyle h(t^{\star })/h(t)\ } 1155:LOCAL algorithm of Larget and Simon 1144:{\displaystyle \mathrm {MC} ^{3}\ } 215:when we are at the old tree state T 5942:Applications of Bayesian inference 3886:Molecular Systematics, 2nd edition 2926:I. J. Wilson, D. Weale, D.Balding 2895:Bayesian concordance of gene trees 2399:. The acceptance probability is: 2317:{\displaystyle t^{\star }=|t+U|\ } 1128: 1125: 14: 5022:Trends in Ecology & Evolution 2350:is uniformly distributed between 805:{\displaystyle j=1,2,\ldots ,m\ } 447:{\displaystyle j=2,3,\ldots ,m\ } 334:{\displaystyle j=1,2,\ldots ,m\ } 5908: 5897: 5896: 5749:Phylogenetic comparative methods 5573: 5371:The Annals of Applied Statistics 4889:10.1111/j.1365-2699.2011.02594.x 3682:Proceedings. Biological Sciences 3619:10.1111/j.0006-341x.1999.00001.x 3567:Larget B, Simon DL (June 1999). 3189:10.1111/j.0006-341x.1999.00001.x 2930:http://www.maths.abdn.ac.uk/Ëśijw 1464:is a uniform random variable on 193:is accepted as the current tree. 5754:Phylogenetic niche conservatism 4648:Molecular Biology and Evolution 4563:Molecular Biology and Evolution 4455:Molecular Biology and Evolution 4371:(12). Oxford, England: 1572–4. 4324:Molecular Biology and Evolution 4240:10.1093/bioinformatics/17.8.754 4086:Molecular Biology and Evolution 4018:Molecular Biology and Evolution 3977:Molecular Biology and Evolution 3573:Molecular Biology and Evolution 3465:The Journal of Chemical Physics 3293:10.1093/bioinformatics/17.8.754 3135:Molecular Biology and Evolution 2269:centered at the current value: 735:{\displaystyle \theta ^{(j)}\ } 574:so that the first chain is the 370:{\displaystyle \pi _{1}=\pi \ } 178:is computed as follows: R = f(T 126:Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) 20:Bayesian inference in phylogeny 5424:"Phylogenetic Factor Analysis" 4305:Evolution of Protein Molecules 3374:Nature Ecology & Evolution 3317:L'AcadĂ©mie Royale des Sciences 3245:10.1080/01621459.2000.10474227 3077:Journal of Molecular Evolution 2764:List of phylogenetics software 2758:List of phylogenetics software 2442: 2436: 2425: 2412: 2307: 2293: 2227: 2205: 2124: 2118: 1960: 1954: 1711: 1705: 1535: 1529: 1521: 1515: 1483: 1471: 1418: 1415: 1396: 1390: 1074: 1068: 1050: 1044: 1004: 999: 993: 985: 972: 967: 961: 953: 938: 933: 927: 919: 906: 901: 895: 887: 858:is accepted with probability: 742:be the current state in chain 724: 718: 632: 626: 535: 532: 520: 508: 496: 489: 480: 474: 278: 272: 1: 4836:10.1093/bioinformatics/btn575 4617:10.1093/bioinformatics/btl175 4378:10.1093/bioinformatics/btg180 4233:(8). Oxford, England: 754–5. 3046:Inference of ancestral areas. 609:{\displaystyle 2,3,\ldots ,m} 377:is the target density, while 287:{\displaystyle \pi _{j}(.)\ } 150:Metropolis–Hastings algorithm 144:Metropolis–Hastings algorithm 5333:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000520 4786:10.1371/journal.pone.0029903 4525:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003537 4303:Jukes TH, Cantor CR (1969). 4067:10.1080/15659801.2014.937900 1598:To estimate a branch length 5937:Computational phylogenetics 5674:Phylogenetic reconciliation 5581:Evolutionary biology portal 5537:Computational phylogenetics 5136:10.1016/j.ympev.2012.02.026 2962:Armadillo Workflow Platform 2854:PhyloBayes / PhyloBayes MPI 706:Metropolis-type step. Let 5958: 5312:PLOS Computational Biology 5034:10.1016/j.tree.2004.07.002 4504:PLOS Computational Biology 4080:Yang, Z. (18 April 2007). 3049:Molecular dating analysis. 3009:I.Milne, D.Lindner, et al. 3006:GUI wrapper around MrBayes 2987:GUI wrapper around MrBayes 2968:GUI wrapper around MrBayes 2761: 2714:Pitfalls and controversies 2526:{\displaystyle n_{2}=30\ } 2490:{\displaystyle n_{1}=70\ } 1688:{\displaystyle \lambda \ } 400:{\displaystyle \pi _{j}\ } 5892: 5864:Phylogenetic nomenclature 5568: 4199:10.1080/10635150390235485 3394:10.1038/s41559-017-0280-x 3037:Inference of phylogenies. 2981:Geneious (MrBayes plugin) 54: 45:Optimally search criteria 5482:MrBayes official website 5225:10.1186/1471-2148-13-214 5204:BMC Evolutionary Biology 5082:10.1186/1471-2148-10-246 5061:BMC Evolutionary Biology 4988:10.1186/1471-2148-12-102 4967:BMC Evolutionary Biology 4318:Yang Z (November 1993). 2882:Suchard MA, Redelings BD 2754:and other tree viewers. 1845:for unvaried sites, and 698:{\displaystyle T>1\ } 5744:Molecular phylogenetics 5694:Distance-matrix methods 5542:Molecular phylogenetics 4869:Journal of Biogeography 4718:The American Naturalist 4702:10.1111/1467-985X.00264 4281:10.1093/sysbio/46.4.590 4148:10.1073/pnas.1712673115 3663:10.1093/sysbio/27.4.401 3333:English translation by 2994:http://www.geneious.com 2886:http://www.bali-phy.org 2823:https://beast.community 2607:{\displaystyle w=0.5\ } 2578:{\displaystyle w=0.1\ } 1645:sites are unvaried and 1492:{\displaystyle (0,1)\ } 1457:{\displaystyle U_{1}\ } 1292:{\displaystyle t_{9}\ } 1262:{\displaystyle t_{1}\ } 1186:{\displaystyle t_{8}\ } 638:{\displaystyle \pi (.)} 341:, where the first one, 250:Metropolis-coupled MCMC 160:, is randomly selected. 39:Molecular phylogenetics 5764:Phylogenetics software 5678:Probabilistic methods 5627:Long branch attraction 5487:BEAST official website 3939:10.1073/pnas.212646199 3852:10.1093/sysbio/syaa012 3743:10.1098/rsbl.2016.0081 3694:10.1098/rspb.2016.2086 3514:Felsenstein J (2004). 3447:10.1093/biomet/57.1.97 3033: 3003:Phylogenetic inference 2794:Phylogenetic inference 2704:long branch attraction 2685: 2682:long branch attraction 2673: 2654: 2653:{\displaystyle 2000\ } 2637:and update the length 2631: 2608: 2579: 2550: 2527: 2491: 2452: 2393: 2370: 2344: 2318: 2263: 2237: 2096: 1932: 1836: 1743: 1689: 1666: 1639: 1612: 1584: 1493: 1458: 1428: 1355: 1293: 1263: 1233: 1210: 1187: 1145: 1110: 1084: 1017: 852: 829: 806: 759: 736: 699: 670: 639: 610: 565: 448: 401: 371: 335: 288: 113: 105: 88:inference of phylogeny 5557:Evolutionary taxonomy 5440:10.1093/sysbio/syx066 5275:10.1093/sysbio/syu006 5176:10.1093/sysbio/syr123 4929:10.1093/sysbio/syr062 4661:10.1093/molbev/msl170 4576:10.1093/molbev/msh112 4467:10.1093/molbev/mss075 4418:10.1093/sysbio/sys029 4099:10.1093/molbev/msm081 4031:10.1093/molbev/msg042 3990:10.1093/molbev/msg028 3516:Inferring phylogenies 3354:10.1214/ss/1177013620 3031: 3013:http://www.topali.org 2848:http://www.beast2.org 2679: 2671: 2655: 2632: 2609: 2580: 2551: 2528: 2492: 2453: 2394: 2371: 2345: 2319: 2264: 2238: 2097: 1933: 1837: 1744: 1690: 1667: 1665:{\displaystyle n_{2}} 1640: 1638:{\displaystyle n_{1}} 1613: 1594:Assessing convergence 1585: 1494: 1459: 1429: 1356: 1294: 1264: 1234: 1211: 1193:that separates taxa 1188: 1146: 1111: 1085: 1018: 853: 830: 807: 760: 737: 700: 671: 669:{\displaystyle 1/T\ } 640: 611: 566: 449: 402: 372: 336: 289: 111: 103: 5716:Three-taxon analysis 5622:Phylogenetic network 2837:Bayesian inference, 2641: 2618: 2589: 2560: 2537: 2501: 2465: 2406: 2380: 2369:{\displaystyle -w\ } 2354: 2331: 2276: 2250: 2112: 1948: 1852: 1756: 1699: 1676: 1649: 1622: 1602: 1506: 1468: 1438: 1365: 1303: 1273: 1243: 1220: 1197: 1167: 1120: 1097: 1031: 865: 839: 816: 769: 746: 710: 680: 649: 620: 582: 461: 411: 381: 345: 298: 259: 29:Evolutionary biology 5759:Phylogenetic signal 5324:2009PLSCB...5E0520L 5216:2013BMCEE..13..214S 5128:2012MolPE..64....1F 5073:2010BMCEE..10..246S 4979:2012BMCEE..12..102V 4881:2012JBiog..39..434A 4777:2012PLoSO...729903L 4516:2014PLSCB..10E3537B 4139:2018PNAS..115.1854Y 3930:2002PNAS...9916138S 3477:1953JChPh..21.1087M 3439:1970Bimka..57...97H 3386:2017NatEE...1.1446N 3341:Statistical Science 3335:Stigler SM (1986). 3089:1996JMolE..43..304R 2630:{\displaystyle 5\ } 2549:{\displaystyle w\ } 2392:{\displaystyle w\ } 2343:{\displaystyle U\ } 2262:{\displaystyle w\ } 1232:{\displaystyle B\ } 1209:{\displaystyle A\ } 1109:{\displaystyle m\ } 851:{\displaystyle j\ } 828:{\displaystyle i\ } 758:{\displaystyle j\ } 163:A neighbour tree, T 21: 5687:Bayesian inference 5682:Maximum likelihood 5428:Systematic Biology 5383:10.1214/15-AOAS821 5263:Systematic Biology 5163:Systematic Biology 4916:Systematic Biology 4406:Systematic Biology 4268:Systematic Biology 4186:Systematic Biology 3839:Systematic Biology 3688:(1847): 20162086. 3651:Systematic Zoology 3097:10.1007/BF02338839 3034: 2954:2020-02-19 at the 2945:M. Pagel, A. Meade 2686: 2674: 2650: 2627: 2604: 2575: 2546: 2523: 2487: 2448: 2389: 2366: 2340: 2314: 2259: 2233: 2092: 1928: 1832: 1739: 1685: 1662: 1635: 1608: 1580: 1489: 1454: 1424: 1351: 1289: 1259: 1229: 1206: 1183: 1141: 1106: 1080: 1013: 848: 825: 802: 755: 732: 695: 666: 635: 606: 561: 444: 397: 367: 331: 284: 156:An initial tree, T 114: 106: 49:Bayesian inference 5924: 5923: 5669:Maximum parsimony 5662:Inference methods 5610:Phylogenetic tree 3793:10.1111/cla.12205 3485:10.1063/1.1699114 3380:(10): 1446–1454. 3018: 3017: 2936:Bayes Phylogenies 2841:, multiple models 2649: 2626: 2603: 2574: 2545: 2522: 2486: 2447: 2388: 2365: 2339: 2313: 2258: 2232: 2105:or, alternately, 2091: 1927: 1831: 1738: 1695:. The density is 1684: 1611:{\displaystyle t} 1579: 1575: 1539: 1488: 1453: 1423: 1350: 1288: 1258: 1228: 1205: 1182: 1140: 1105: 1079: 1012: 1008: 847: 824: 801: 754: 731: 694: 665: 548: 545: 443: 396: 366: 330: 283: 83: 82: 35:Subclassification 5949: 5912: 5911: 5900: 5899: 5699:Neighbor-joining 5653:Ghost population 5583: 5578: 5577: 5516: 5509: 5502: 5493: 5470: 5469: 5459: 5419: 5413: 5412: 5402: 5362: 5356: 5355: 5345: 5335: 5303: 5297: 5296: 5286: 5254: 5248: 5247: 5237: 5227: 5195: 5189: 5188: 5178: 5154: 5148: 5147: 5111: 5105: 5104: 5094: 5084: 5052: 5046: 5045: 5017: 5011: 5010: 5000: 4990: 4958: 4952: 4951: 4941: 4931: 4907: 4901: 4900: 4864: 4858: 4857: 4847: 4815: 4809: 4808: 4798: 4788: 4756: 4750: 4749: 4713: 4707: 4706: 4704: 4680: 4674: 4673: 4663: 4636: 4630: 4629: 4619: 4595: 4589: 4588: 4578: 4554: 4548: 4547: 4537: 4527: 4495: 4489: 4488: 4478: 4446: 4440: 4439: 4429: 4397: 4391: 4390: 4380: 4356: 4350: 4349: 4339: 4315: 4309: 4308: 4300: 4294: 4293: 4283: 4259: 4253: 4252: 4242: 4218: 4212: 4211: 4201: 4177: 4171: 4170: 4160: 4150: 4133:(8): 1854–1859. 4118: 4112: 4111: 4101: 4092:(8): 1639–1655. 4077: 4071: 4070: 4050: 4044: 4043: 4033: 4009: 4003: 4002: 3992: 3968: 3962: 3961: 3951: 3941: 3924:(25): 16138–43. 3909: 3900: 3899: 3881: 3875: 3874: 3864: 3854: 3830: 3824: 3823: 3805: 3795: 3771: 3765: 3764: 3754: 3722: 3716: 3715: 3705: 3673: 3667: 3666: 3646: 3640: 3639: 3621: 3597: 3591: 3590: 3588: 3564: 3558: 3557: 3541: 3535: 3534: 3526: 3520: 3519: 3511: 3505: 3504: 3460: 3451: 3450: 3422: 3416: 3415: 3405: 3365: 3359: 3358: 3356: 3332: 3312: 3306: 3305: 3295: 3271: 3265: 3264: 3239:(450): 493–508. 3224: 3218: 3217: 3191: 3167: 3161: 3160: 3150: 3126: 3117: 3116: 3072: 2771: 2733:MrBayes software 2659: 2657: 2656: 2651: 2647: 2636: 2634: 2633: 2628: 2624: 2613: 2611: 2610: 2605: 2601: 2584: 2582: 2581: 2576: 2572: 2555: 2553: 2552: 2547: 2543: 2532: 2530: 2529: 2524: 2520: 2513: 2512: 2496: 2494: 2493: 2488: 2484: 2477: 2476: 2457: 2455: 2454: 2449: 2445: 2432: 2424: 2423: 2398: 2396: 2395: 2390: 2386: 2375: 2373: 2372: 2367: 2363: 2349: 2347: 2346: 2341: 2337: 2323: 2321: 2320: 2315: 2311: 2310: 2296: 2288: 2287: 2268: 2266: 2265: 2260: 2256: 2242: 2240: 2239: 2234: 2230: 2226: 2225: 2204: 2200: 2199: 2198: 2197: 2196: 2186: 2185: 2184: 2177: 2156: 2142: 2101: 2099: 2098: 2093: 2089: 2088: 2084: 2083: 2082: 2081: 2080: 2070: 2069: 2068: 2061: 2040: 2026: 2013: 2012: 2011: 2010: 1998: 1997: 1987: 1983: 1979: 1937: 1935: 1934: 1929: 1925: 1924: 1920: 1919: 1918: 1911: 1892: 1878: 1862: 1841: 1839: 1838: 1833: 1829: 1828: 1824: 1823: 1822: 1815: 1796: 1782: 1766: 1748: 1746: 1745: 1740: 1736: 1735: 1734: 1694: 1692: 1691: 1686: 1682: 1671: 1669: 1668: 1663: 1661: 1660: 1644: 1642: 1641: 1636: 1634: 1633: 1617: 1615: 1614: 1609: 1589: 1587: 1586: 1581: 1577: 1576: 1574: 1573: 1564: 1563: 1558: 1557: 1556: 1545: 1540: 1538: 1524: 1510: 1498: 1496: 1495: 1490: 1486: 1463: 1461: 1460: 1455: 1451: 1450: 1449: 1433: 1431: 1430: 1425: 1421: 1408: 1407: 1377: 1376: 1360: 1358: 1357: 1352: 1348: 1347: 1346: 1334: 1333: 1321: 1320: 1298: 1296: 1295: 1290: 1286: 1285: 1284: 1268: 1266: 1265: 1260: 1256: 1255: 1254: 1238: 1236: 1235: 1230: 1226: 1215: 1213: 1212: 1207: 1203: 1192: 1190: 1189: 1184: 1180: 1179: 1178: 1150: 1148: 1147: 1142: 1138: 1137: 1136: 1131: 1115: 1113: 1112: 1107: 1103: 1089: 1087: 1086: 1081: 1077: 1067: 1066: 1057: 1043: 1042: 1022: 1020: 1019: 1014: 1010: 1009: 1007: 1003: 1002: 984: 983: 971: 970: 952: 951: 941: 937: 936: 918: 917: 905: 904: 886: 885: 875: 857: 855: 854: 849: 845: 834: 832: 831: 826: 822: 811: 809: 808: 803: 799: 764: 762: 761: 756: 752: 741: 739: 738: 733: 729: 728: 727: 704: 702: 701: 696: 692: 675: 673: 672: 667: 663: 659: 644: 642: 641: 636: 615: 613: 612: 607: 570: 568: 567: 562: 546: 543: 539: 538: 507: 473: 472: 453: 451: 450: 445: 441: 406: 404: 403: 398: 394: 393: 392: 376: 374: 373: 368: 364: 357: 356: 340: 338: 337: 332: 328: 293: 291: 290: 285: 281: 271: 270: 223:when we are at T 75: 68: 61: 22: 5957: 5956: 5952: 5951: 5950: 5948: 5947: 5946: 5927: 5926: 5925: 5920: 5888: 5852: 5826: 5800:Symplesiomorphy 5778: 5720: 5657: 5586: 5579: 5572: 5566: 5530:Relevant fields 5525: 5520: 5478: 5473: 5421: 5420: 5416: 5364: 5363: 5359: 5318:(9): e1000520. 5305: 5304: 5300: 5256: 5255: 5251: 5197: 5196: 5192: 5156: 5155: 5151: 5113: 5112: 5108: 5054: 5053: 5049: 5019: 5018: 5014: 4960: 4959: 4955: 4909: 4908: 4904: 4866: 4865: 4861: 4817: 4816: 4812: 4758: 4757: 4753: 4715: 4714: 4710: 4682: 4681: 4677: 4638: 4637: 4633: 4597: 4596: 4592: 4569:(6): 1095–109. 4556: 4555: 4551: 4510:(4): e1003537. 4497: 4496: 4492: 4448: 4447: 4443: 4399: 4398: 4394: 4358: 4357: 4353: 4330:(6): 1396–401. 4317: 4316: 4312: 4302: 4301: 4297: 4261: 4260: 4256: 4220: 4219: 4215: 4179: 4178: 4174: 4120: 4119: 4115: 4079: 4078: 4074: 4052: 4051: 4047: 4011: 4010: 4006: 3970: 3969: 3965: 3911: 3910: 3903: 3896: 3883: 3882: 3878: 3832: 3831: 3827: 3773: 3772: 3768: 3737:(4): 20160081. 3731:Biology Letters 3724: 3723: 3719: 3675: 3674: 3670: 3648: 3647: 3643: 3599: 3598: 3594: 3566: 3565: 3561: 3543: 3542: 3538: 3529:Yang Z (2014). 3528: 3527: 3523: 3513: 3512: 3508: 3462: 3461: 3454: 3424: 3423: 3419: 3367: 3366: 3362: 3334: 3314: 3313: 3309: 3273: 3272: 3268: 3226: 3225: 3221: 3169: 3168: 3164: 3128: 3127: 3120: 3074: 3073: 3069: 3065: 3023: 2956:Wayback Machine 2766: 2760: 2735: 2716: 2666: 2639: 2638: 2616: 2615: 2587: 2586: 2558: 2557: 2535: 2534: 2504: 2499: 2498: 2468: 2463: 2462: 2415: 2404: 2403: 2378: 2377: 2352: 2351: 2329: 2328: 2279: 2274: 2273: 2248: 2247: 2211: 2188: 2162: 2160: 2134: 2130: 2110: 2109: 2072: 2046: 2044: 2018: 2014: 2002: 1989: 1971: 1967: 1966: 1946: 1945: 1896: 1870: 1866: 1850: 1849: 1800: 1774: 1770: 1754: 1753: 1720: 1697: 1696: 1674: 1673: 1652: 1647: 1646: 1625: 1620: 1619: 1600: 1599: 1596: 1565: 1548: 1546: 1525: 1511: 1504: 1503: 1466: 1465: 1441: 1436: 1435: 1399: 1368: 1363: 1362: 1338: 1325: 1312: 1301: 1300: 1276: 1271: 1270: 1246: 1241: 1240: 1218: 1217: 1195: 1194: 1170: 1165: 1164: 1157: 1123: 1118: 1117: 1095: 1094: 1058: 1034: 1029: 1028: 988: 975: 956: 943: 942: 922: 909: 890: 877: 876: 863: 862: 837: 836: 814: 813: 767: 766: 744: 743: 713: 708: 707: 678: 677: 647: 646: 618: 617: 580: 579: 495: 464: 459: 458: 409: 408: 384: 379: 378: 348: 343: 342: 296: 295: 262: 257: 256: 252: 244: 240: 234: 226: 222: 218: 214: 203: 199: 192: 185: 181: 177: 173: 166: 159: 146: 98: 79: 17: 12: 11: 5: 5955: 5953: 5945: 5944: 5939: 5929: 5928: 5922: 5921: 5919: 5918: 5906: 5893: 5890: 5889: 5887: 5886: 5881: 5876: 5871: 5866: 5860: 5858: 5854: 5853: 5851: 5850: 5845: 5840: 5834: 5832: 5828: 5827: 5825: 5824: 5823: 5822: 5817: 5812: 5804: 5803: 5802: 5797: 5786: 5784: 5780: 5779: 5777: 5776: 5774:Phylogeography 5771: 5766: 5761: 5756: 5751: 5746: 5741: 5736: 5728: 5726: 5725:Current topics 5722: 5721: 5719: 5718: 5713: 5712: 5711: 5706: 5701: 5691: 5690: 5689: 5684: 5676: 5671: 5665: 5663: 5659: 5658: 5656: 5655: 5650: 5649: 5648: 5638: 5629: 5624: 5619: 5618: 5617: 5607: 5606: 5605: 5594: 5592: 5591:Basic concepts 5588: 5587: 5585: 5584: 5569: 5567: 5565: 5564: 5559: 5554: 5549: 5544: 5539: 5533: 5531: 5527: 5526: 5521: 5519: 5518: 5511: 5504: 5496: 5490: 5489: 5484: 5477: 5476:External links 5474: 5472: 5471: 5434:(3): 384–399. 5414: 5377:(2): 969–991. 5357: 5298: 5249: 5190: 5149: 5106: 5047: 5012: 4953: 4922:(5): 596–615. 4902: 4859: 4824:Bioinformatics 4810: 4751: 4730:10.1086/503444 4708: 4675: 4631: 4610:(16): 2047–8. 4604:Bioinformatics 4590: 4549: 4490: 4461:(8): 1969–73. 4441: 4392: 4365:Bioinformatics 4351: 4310: 4295: 4274:(4): 590–621. 4254: 4227:Bioinformatics 4213: 4172: 4113: 4072: 4045: 4004: 3963: 3901: 3894: 3876: 3845:(5): 897–912. 3825: 3786:(4): 407–437. 3766: 3717: 3668: 3641: 3592: 3559: 3536: 3521: 3506: 3471:(6): 1087–92. 3452: 3417: 3360: 3347:(3): 359–378. 3307: 3286:(8): 754–755. 3280:Bioinformatics 3266: 3219: 3162: 3141:(7): 717–724. 3118: 3083:(3): 304–311. 3066: 3064: 3061: 3060: 3059: 3056: 3053: 3050: 3047: 3044: 3041: 3038: 3022: 3019: 3016: 3015: 3010: 3007: 3004: 3001: 2997: 2996: 2991: 2988: 2985: 2982: 2978: 2977: 2972: 2969: 2966: 2963: 2959: 2958: 2946: 2943: 2940: 2937: 2933: 2932: 2927: 2924: 2921: 2918: 2914: 2913: 2908: 2899: 2896: 2893: 2889: 2888: 2883: 2880: 2877: 2874: 2870: 2869: 2864: 2861: 2858: 2855: 2851: 2850: 2845: 2842: 2835: 2832: 2826: 2825: 2820: 2817: 2814: 2811: 2807: 2806: 2801: 2798: 2795: 2792: 2788: 2787: 2784: 2781: 2778: 2775: 2762:Main article: 2759: 2756: 2734: 2731: 2730: 2729: 2725: 2721: 2715: 2712: 2665: 2662: 2646: 2623: 2600: 2597: 2594: 2571: 2568: 2565: 2542: 2519: 2516: 2511: 2507: 2483: 2480: 2475: 2471: 2459: 2458: 2444: 2441: 2438: 2435: 2431: 2427: 2422: 2418: 2414: 2411: 2385: 2362: 2359: 2336: 2325: 2324: 2309: 2305: 2302: 2299: 2295: 2291: 2286: 2282: 2255: 2244: 2243: 2229: 2224: 2221: 2218: 2214: 2210: 2207: 2203: 2195: 2191: 2183: 2180: 2176: 2172: 2169: 2165: 2159: 2155: 2151: 2148: 2145: 2141: 2137: 2133: 2129: 2126: 2123: 2120: 2117: 2103: 2102: 2087: 2079: 2075: 2067: 2064: 2060: 2056: 2053: 2049: 2043: 2039: 2035: 2032: 2029: 2025: 2021: 2017: 2009: 2005: 2001: 1996: 1992: 1986: 1982: 1978: 1974: 1970: 1965: 1962: 1959: 1956: 1953: 1939: 1938: 1923: 1917: 1914: 1910: 1906: 1903: 1899: 1895: 1891: 1887: 1884: 1881: 1877: 1873: 1869: 1865: 1861: 1857: 1843: 1842: 1827: 1821: 1818: 1814: 1810: 1807: 1803: 1799: 1795: 1791: 1788: 1785: 1781: 1777: 1773: 1769: 1765: 1761: 1733: 1730: 1727: 1723: 1719: 1716: 1713: 1710: 1707: 1704: 1681: 1659: 1655: 1632: 1628: 1607: 1595: 1592: 1591: 1590: 1572: 1568: 1562: 1555: 1551: 1543: 1537: 1534: 1531: 1528: 1523: 1520: 1517: 1514: 1485: 1482: 1479: 1476: 1473: 1448: 1444: 1420: 1417: 1414: 1411: 1406: 1402: 1398: 1395: 1392: 1389: 1386: 1383: 1380: 1375: 1371: 1345: 1341: 1337: 1332: 1328: 1324: 1319: 1315: 1311: 1308: 1283: 1279: 1253: 1249: 1225: 1202: 1177: 1173: 1156: 1153: 1135: 1130: 1127: 1102: 1076: 1073: 1070: 1065: 1061: 1056: 1052: 1049: 1046: 1041: 1037: 1024: 1023: 1006: 1001: 998: 995: 991: 987: 982: 978: 974: 969: 966: 963: 959: 955: 950: 946: 940: 935: 932: 929: 925: 921: 916: 912: 908: 903: 900: 897: 893: 889: 884: 880: 873: 870: 844: 821: 798: 795: 792: 789: 786: 783: 780: 777: 774: 751: 726: 723: 720: 716: 691: 688: 685: 662: 658: 654: 634: 631: 628: 625: 605: 602: 599: 596: 593: 590: 587: 572: 571: 560: 557: 554: 551: 542: 537: 534: 531: 528: 525: 522: 519: 516: 513: 510: 506: 502: 498: 494: 491: 488: 485: 482: 479: 476: 471: 467: 440: 437: 434: 431: 428: 425: 422: 419: 416: 391: 387: 363: 360: 355: 351: 327: 324: 321: 318: 315: 312: 309: 306: 303: 280: 277: 274: 269: 265: 251: 248: 247: 246: 242: 238: 235: 232: 224: 220: 216: 212: 209: 208: 205: 201: 197: 196:If R < 1, T 194: 190: 187: 183: 179: 175: 171: 168: 164: 161: 157: 145: 142: 118:Bayes' theorem 104:Bayes' Theorem 97: 94: 81: 80: 78: 77: 70: 63: 55: 52: 51: 46: 42: 41: 36: 32: 31: 26: 25:Classification 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 5954: 5943: 5940: 5938: 5935: 5934: 5932: 5917: 5916: 5907: 5905: 5904: 5895: 5894: 5891: 5885: 5882: 5880: 5877: 5875: 5872: 5870: 5867: 5865: 5862: 5861: 5859: 5855: 5849: 5846: 5844: 5841: 5839: 5836: 5835: 5833: 5829: 5821: 5818: 5816: 5813: 5811: 5808: 5807: 5805: 5801: 5798: 5796: 5793: 5792: 5791: 5788: 5787: 5785: 5781: 5775: 5772: 5770: 5769:Phylogenomics 5767: 5765: 5762: 5760: 5757: 5755: 5752: 5750: 5747: 5745: 5742: 5740: 5739:DNA barcoding 5737: 5735: 5734: 5730: 5729: 5727: 5723: 5717: 5714: 5710: 5709:Least squares 5707: 5705: 5702: 5700: 5697: 5696: 5695: 5692: 5688: 5685: 5683: 5680: 5679: 5677: 5675: 5672: 5670: 5667: 5666: 5664: 5660: 5654: 5651: 5647: 5646:Ghost lineage 5644: 5643: 5642: 5639: 5637: 5633: 5630: 5628: 5625: 5623: 5620: 5616: 5613: 5612: 5611: 5608: 5604: 5601: 5600: 5599: 5596: 5595: 5593: 5589: 5582: 5576: 5571: 5563: 5560: 5558: 5555: 5553: 5550: 5548: 5545: 5543: 5540: 5538: 5535: 5534: 5532: 5528: 5524: 5523:Phylogenetics 5517: 5512: 5510: 5505: 5503: 5498: 5497: 5494: 5488: 5485: 5483: 5480: 5479: 5475: 5467: 5463: 5458: 5453: 5449: 5445: 5441: 5437: 5433: 5429: 5425: 5418: 5415: 5410: 5406: 5401: 5396: 5392: 5388: 5384: 5380: 5376: 5372: 5368: 5361: 5358: 5353: 5349: 5344: 5339: 5334: 5329: 5325: 5321: 5317: 5313: 5309: 5302: 5299: 5294: 5290: 5285: 5280: 5276: 5272: 5269:(3): 349–67. 5268: 5264: 5260: 5253: 5250: 5245: 5241: 5236: 5231: 5226: 5221: 5217: 5213: 5209: 5205: 5201: 5194: 5191: 5186: 5182: 5177: 5172: 5169:(3): 426–42. 5168: 5164: 5160: 5153: 5150: 5145: 5141: 5137: 5133: 5129: 5125: 5121: 5117: 5110: 5107: 5102: 5098: 5093: 5088: 5083: 5078: 5074: 5070: 5066: 5062: 5058: 5051: 5048: 5043: 5039: 5035: 5031: 5028:(9): 475–81. 5027: 5023: 5016: 5013: 5008: 5004: 4999: 4994: 4989: 4984: 4980: 4976: 4972: 4968: 4964: 4957: 4954: 4949: 4945: 4940: 4935: 4930: 4925: 4921: 4917: 4913: 4906: 4903: 4898: 4894: 4890: 4886: 4882: 4878: 4875:(3): 434–51. 4874: 4870: 4863: 4860: 4855: 4851: 4846: 4841: 4837: 4833: 4829: 4825: 4821: 4814: 4811: 4806: 4802: 4797: 4792: 4787: 4782: 4778: 4774: 4771:(1): e29903. 4770: 4766: 4762: 4755: 4752: 4747: 4743: 4739: 4735: 4731: 4727: 4724:(6): 808–25. 4723: 4719: 4712: 4709: 4703: 4698: 4695:(2): 155–88. 4694: 4690: 4686: 4679: 4676: 4671: 4667: 4662: 4657: 4654:(2): 412–26. 4653: 4649: 4645: 4641: 4635: 4632: 4627: 4623: 4618: 4613: 4609: 4605: 4601: 4594: 4591: 4586: 4582: 4577: 4572: 4568: 4564: 4560: 4553: 4550: 4545: 4541: 4536: 4531: 4526: 4521: 4517: 4513: 4509: 4505: 4501: 4494: 4491: 4486: 4482: 4477: 4472: 4468: 4464: 4460: 4456: 4452: 4445: 4442: 4437: 4433: 4428: 4423: 4419: 4415: 4412:(3): 539–42. 4411: 4407: 4403: 4396: 4393: 4388: 4384: 4379: 4374: 4370: 4366: 4362: 4355: 4352: 4347: 4343: 4338: 4333: 4329: 4325: 4321: 4314: 4311: 4306: 4299: 4296: 4291: 4287: 4282: 4277: 4273: 4269: 4265: 4258: 4255: 4250: 4246: 4241: 4236: 4232: 4228: 4224: 4217: 4214: 4209: 4205: 4200: 4195: 4192:(5): 665–73. 4191: 4187: 4183: 4176: 4173: 4168: 4164: 4159: 4154: 4149: 4144: 4140: 4136: 4132: 4128: 4124: 4117: 4114: 4109: 4105: 4100: 4095: 4091: 4087: 4083: 4076: 4073: 4068: 4064: 4060: 4056: 4049: 4046: 4041: 4037: 4032: 4027: 4024:(2): 248–54. 4023: 4019: 4015: 4008: 4005: 4000: 3996: 3991: 3986: 3983:(2): 255–66. 3982: 3978: 3974: 3967: 3964: 3959: 3955: 3950: 3945: 3940: 3935: 3931: 3927: 3923: 3919: 3915: 3908: 3906: 3902: 3897: 3895:9780878932825 3891: 3887: 3880: 3877: 3872: 3868: 3863: 3858: 3853: 3848: 3844: 3840: 3836: 3829: 3826: 3821: 3817: 3813: 3809: 3804: 3799: 3794: 3789: 3785: 3781: 3777: 3770: 3767: 3762: 3758: 3753: 3748: 3744: 3740: 3736: 3732: 3728: 3721: 3718: 3713: 3709: 3704: 3699: 3695: 3691: 3687: 3683: 3679: 3672: 3669: 3664: 3660: 3657:(4): 401–10. 3656: 3652: 3645: 3642: 3637: 3633: 3629: 3625: 3620: 3615: 3611: 3607: 3603: 3596: 3593: 3587: 3582: 3578: 3574: 3570: 3563: 3560: 3555: 3551: 3547: 3540: 3537: 3532: 3525: 3522: 3517: 3510: 3507: 3502: 3498: 3494: 3490: 3486: 3482: 3478: 3474: 3470: 3466: 3459: 3457: 3453: 3448: 3444: 3440: 3436: 3433:(1): 97–109. 3432: 3428: 3421: 3418: 3413: 3409: 3404: 3399: 3395: 3391: 3387: 3383: 3379: 3375: 3371: 3364: 3361: 3355: 3350: 3346: 3342: 3338: 3330: 3326: 3322: 3318: 3311: 3308: 3303: 3299: 3294: 3289: 3285: 3281: 3277: 3270: 3267: 3262: 3258: 3254: 3250: 3246: 3242: 3238: 3234: 3230: 3223: 3220: 3215: 3211: 3207: 3203: 3199: 3195: 3190: 3185: 3181: 3177: 3173: 3166: 3163: 3158: 3154: 3149: 3144: 3140: 3136: 3132: 3125: 3123: 3119: 3114: 3110: 3106: 3102: 3098: 3094: 3090: 3086: 3082: 3078: 3071: 3068: 3062: 3057: 3054: 3051: 3048: 3045: 3042: 3039: 3036: 3035: 3030: 3026: 3020: 3014: 3011: 3008: 3005: 3002: 2999: 2998: 2995: 2992: 2989: 2986: 2983: 2980: 2979: 2976: 2973: 2970: 2967: 2964: 2961: 2960: 2957: 2953: 2950: 2947: 2944: 2941: 2938: 2935: 2934: 2931: 2928: 2925: 2922: 2919: 2916: 2915: 2912: 2909: 2907: 2903: 2900: 2897: 2894: 2891: 2890: 2887: 2884: 2881: 2878: 2875: 2872: 2871: 2868: 2865: 2862: 2859: 2856: 2853: 2852: 2849: 2846: 2843: 2840: 2836: 2833: 2831: 2828: 2827: 2824: 2821: 2818: 2815: 2812: 2809: 2808: 2805: 2802: 2799: 2796: 2793: 2790: 2789: 2786:Website link 2785: 2782: 2779: 2776: 2773: 2772: 2769: 2765: 2757: 2755: 2751: 2747: 2743: 2741: 2732: 2726: 2722: 2718: 2717: 2713: 2711: 2707: 2705: 2700: 2695: 2690: 2683: 2678: 2670: 2663: 2661: 2644: 2621: 2598: 2595: 2592: 2569: 2566: 2563: 2540: 2517: 2514: 2509: 2505: 2481: 2478: 2473: 2469: 2439: 2433: 2429: 2420: 2416: 2409: 2402: 2401: 2400: 2383: 2360: 2357: 2334: 2303: 2300: 2297: 2289: 2284: 2280: 2272: 2271: 2270: 2253: 2222: 2219: 2216: 2212: 2208: 2201: 2193: 2189: 2181: 2178: 2174: 2170: 2167: 2163: 2157: 2153: 2149: 2146: 2143: 2139: 2135: 2131: 2127: 2121: 2115: 2108: 2107: 2106: 2085: 2077: 2073: 2065: 2062: 2058: 2054: 2051: 2047: 2041: 2037: 2033: 2030: 2027: 2023: 2019: 2015: 2007: 2003: 1999: 1994: 1990: 1984: 1980: 1976: 1972: 1968: 1963: 1957: 1951: 1944: 1943: 1942: 1921: 1915: 1912: 1908: 1904: 1901: 1897: 1893: 1889: 1885: 1882: 1879: 1875: 1871: 1867: 1863: 1859: 1855: 1848: 1847: 1846: 1825: 1819: 1816: 1812: 1808: 1805: 1801: 1797: 1793: 1789: 1786: 1783: 1779: 1775: 1771: 1767: 1763: 1759: 1752: 1751: 1750: 1731: 1728: 1725: 1721: 1717: 1714: 1708: 1702: 1679: 1657: 1653: 1630: 1626: 1605: 1593: 1570: 1566: 1560: 1553: 1549: 1541: 1532: 1526: 1518: 1512: 1502: 1501: 1500: 1480: 1477: 1474: 1446: 1442: 1412: 1409: 1404: 1400: 1393: 1387: 1384: 1381: 1378: 1373: 1369: 1343: 1339: 1335: 1330: 1326: 1322: 1317: 1313: 1309: 1306: 1281: 1277: 1251: 1247: 1223: 1200: 1175: 1171: 1161: 1154: 1152: 1133: 1100: 1091: 1071: 1063: 1059: 1054: 1047: 1039: 1035: 996: 989: 980: 976: 964: 957: 948: 944: 930: 923: 914: 910: 898: 891: 882: 878: 871: 868: 861: 860: 859: 842: 819: 796: 793: 790: 787: 784: 781: 778: 775: 772: 749: 721: 714: 689: 686: 683: 660: 656: 652: 645:to the power 629: 623: 603: 600: 597: 594: 591: 588: 585: 577: 558: 555: 552: 549: 540: 529: 526: 523: 517: 514: 511: 504: 500: 492: 486: 483: 477: 469: 465: 457: 456: 455: 438: 435: 432: 429: 426: 423: 420: 417: 414: 389: 385: 361: 358: 353: 349: 325: 322: 319: 316: 313: 310: 307: 304: 301: 275: 267: 263: 249: 236: 230: 229: 228: 206: 195: 188: 169: 162: 155: 154: 153: 151: 143: 141: 138: 133: 129: 127: 121: 119: 110: 102: 95: 93: 90: 89: 76: 71: 69: 64: 62: 57: 56: 53: 50: 47: 43: 40: 37: 33: 30: 27: 23: 5913: 5901: 5874:Sister group 5857:Nomenclature 5820:Autapomorphy 5815:Synapomorphy 5795:Plesiomorphy 5783:Group traits 5731: 5686: 5603:Cladogenesis 5598:Phylogenesis 5431: 5427: 5417: 5374: 5370: 5360: 5315: 5311: 5301: 5266: 5262: 5252: 5207: 5203: 5193: 5166: 5162: 5152: 5119: 5115: 5109: 5064: 5060: 5050: 5025: 5021: 5015: 4970: 4966: 4956: 4919: 4915: 4905: 4872: 4868: 4862: 4830:(1): 126–7. 4827: 4823: 4813: 4768: 4764: 4754: 4721: 4717: 4711: 4692: 4688: 4678: 4651: 4647: 4634: 4607: 4603: 4593: 4566: 4562: 4552: 4507: 4503: 4493: 4458: 4454: 4444: 4409: 4405: 4395: 4368: 4364: 4354: 4327: 4323: 4313: 4304: 4298: 4271: 4267: 4257: 4230: 4226: 4216: 4189: 4185: 4175: 4130: 4126: 4116: 4089: 4085: 4075: 4058: 4054: 4048: 4021: 4017: 4007: 3980: 3976: 3966: 3921: 3917: 3885: 3879: 3842: 3838: 3828: 3783: 3779: 3769: 3734: 3730: 3720: 3685: 3681: 3671: 3654: 3650: 3644: 3609: 3605: 3595: 3579:(6): 750–9. 3576: 3572: 3562: 3545: 3539: 3530: 3524: 3515: 3509: 3468: 3464: 3430: 3426: 3420: 3377: 3373: 3363: 3344: 3340: 3320: 3316: 3310: 3283: 3279: 3269: 3236: 3232: 3222: 3179: 3175: 3165: 3138: 3134: 3080: 3076: 3070: 3024: 3021:Applications 2767: 2752: 2748: 2744: 2740:NEXUS format 2736: 2708: 2691: 2687: 2460: 2326: 2245: 2104: 1940: 1844: 1597: 1162: 1158: 1092: 1027:However, if 1025: 573: 253: 210: 147: 137:Markov chain 134: 130: 122: 115: 85: 84: 5869:Crown group 5831:Group types 5562:Systematics 5122:(1): 1–11. 4939:10261/34829 4061:(1): 41–4. 3803:11336/57822 3612:(1): 1–12. 3329:10010866843 3323:: 621–656. 3182:(1): 1–12. 2777:Description 2680:Example of 189:If R ≥ 1, T 5931:Categories 5547:Cladistics 5210:(1): 214. 5067:(1): 246. 4973:(1): 102. 3780:Cladistics 3606:Biometrics 3427:Biometrika 3176:Biometrics 3063:References 2461:Example: 576:cold chain 5884:Supertree 5848:Polyphyly 5843:Paraphyly 5838:Monophyly 5810:Apomorphy 5790:Primitive 5733:PhyloCode 5615:Cladogram 5448:1063-5157 5391:1932-6157 4746:205984494 3812:0748-3007 3261:122459537 2699:bootstrap 2421:⋆ 2358:− 2285:⋆ 2220:λ 2217:− 2209:λ 2168:− 2147:− 2052:− 1902:− 1883:− 1806:− 1729:λ 1726:− 1718:λ 1680:λ 1554:⋆ 1542:× 1410:− 1394:λ 1388:⁡ 1374:⋆ 1072:θ 1060:π 1048:θ 1036:π 990:θ 977:π 958:θ 945:π 924:θ 911:π 892:θ 879:π 869:α 791:… 715:θ 624:π 598:… 550:λ 527:− 518:λ 493:θ 487:π 478:θ 466:π 433:… 386:π 362:π 350:π 320:… 264:π 86:Bayesian 5903:Category 5806:Derived 5552:Taxonomy 5466:28950376 5409:27053974 5352:19779555 5293:24510972 5244:24283922 5185:22223444 5144:22425729 5101:20701742 5042:16701310 5007:22741602 4948:21856636 4854:18984599 4805:22253821 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589:, 586:2 559:, 556:0 541:, 536:] 533:) 530:1 524:j 521:( 515:+ 512:1 509:[ 505:/ 501:1 497:) 490:( 484:= 481:) 475:( 470:j 439:m 436:, 430:, 427:3 424:, 421:2 418:= 415:j 390:j 359:= 354:1 326:m 323:, 317:, 314:2 311:, 308:1 305:= 302:j 279:) 276:. 273:( 268:j 245:. 225:j 221:i 217:i 213:j 202:i 198:j 191:j 186:) 184:i 180:j 176:i 172:j 165:j 158:i 74:e 67:t 60:v

Index

Evolutionary biology
Molecular phylogenetics
Bayesian inference
v
t
e
inference of phylogeny


Bayes' theorem
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)
Markov chain
Metropolis–Hastings algorithm
cold chain


long branch attraction
taxa
bootstrap
long branch attraction
NEXUS format
List of phylogenetics software
https://nbisweden.github.io/MrBayes/
https://beast.community
BEAST 2
packages
http://www.beast2.org
http://www.atgc-montpellier.fr/phylobayes/
http://www.bali-phy.org
C. Ané

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