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Frequentist probability

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453:(a family of competing interpretations) considers degrees of belief: All practical "subjective" probability interpretations are so constrained to rationality as to avoid most subjectivity. Real subjectivity is repellent to some definitions of science which strive for results independent of the observer and analyst. Other applications of Bayesianism in science (e.g. logical Bayesianism) embrace the inherent subjectivity of many scientific studies and objects and use Bayesian reasoning to place boundaries and context on the influence of 3842: 3828: 3866: 3854: 244:. By the end of the 19th century the frequentist interpretation was well established and perhaps dominant in the sciences. The following generation established the tools of classical inferential statistics (significance testing, hypothesis testing and confidence intervals) all based on frequentist probability. 368:... The essential distinction between the frequentists and the non-frequentists is, I think, that the former, in an effort to avoid anything savouring of matters of opinion, seek to define probability in terms of the objective properties of a population, real or hypothetical, whereas the latter do not. 104:
In the frequentist interpretation, probabilities are discussed only when dealing with well-defined random experiments. The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment is called the sample space of the experiment. An event is defined as a particular subset of the sample space to be considered.
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considered the probabilities of testimonies, tables of mortality, judgments of tribunals, etc. which are unlikely candidates for classical probability. In this view, Poisson's contribution was his sharp criticism of the alternative "inverse" (subjective, Bayesian) probability interpretation. Any
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lived in a multi-lingual country and himself had regular correspondance and contacts with speakers of German and French, and published in Latin – all of which he spoke fluently. He comfortably and frequently used the three names "Jacob", "James", and "Jacques", depending on the language he was
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As an interpretation, it is not in conflict with the mathematical axiomatization of probability theory; rather, it provides guidance for how to apply mathematical probability theory to real-world situations. It offers distinct guidance in the construction and design of practical experiments,
433:. There are a variety of competing interpretations; All have problems. The frequentist interpretation does resolve difficulties with the classical interpretation, such as any problem where the natural symmetry of outcomes is not known. It does not address other issues, such as the 576:) and stated the need for randomness in the repeated samples or trials. He accepted in principle the possibility of multiple competing theories of probability, while expressing several specific reservations about the existing alternative probability interpretation. 96:, based on the natural symmetry of a problem, so, for example, the probabilities of dice games arise from the natural symmetric 6-sidedness of the cube. This classical interpretation stumbled at any statistical problem that has no natural symmetry for reasoning. 352:
3. ... we may broadly distinguish two main attitudes. One takes probability as 'a degree of rational belief', or some similar idea...the second defines probability in terms of frequencies of occurrence of events, or by relative proportions in 'populations' or
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assigns probabilities based on physical idealized symmetry (dice, coins, cards). The classical definition is at risk of circularity: Probabilities are defined by assuming equality of probabilities. In the absence of symmetry the utility of the definition is
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The frequentist interpretation is a philosophical approach to the definition and use of probabilities; it is one of several such approaches. It does not claim to capture all connotations of the concept 'probable' in colloquial speech of natural languages.
303:; Neyman formulated confidence intervals and contributed heavily to sampling theory; Neyman and Pearson paired in the creation of hypothesis testing. All valued objectivity, so the best interpretation of probability available to them was frequentist. 526:
Bernoulli provided a classical example of drawing many black and white pebbles from an urn (with replacement). The sample ratio allowed Bernoulli to infer the ratio in the urn, with tighter bounds as the number of samples increased.
40: 85:). Probabilities can be found (in principle) by a repeatable objective process (and are thus ideally devoid of opinion). The continued use of frequentist methods in scientific inference, however, has been called into question. 133:. As to whether this guidance is useful, or is apt to mis-interpretation, has been a source of controversy. Particularly when the frequency interpretation of probability is mistakenly assumed to be the only possible basis for 105:
For any given event, only one of two possibilities may hold: It occurs or it does not. The relative frequency of occurrence of an event, observed in a number of repetitions of the experiment, is a measure of the
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in 1933. The theory focuses on the valid operations on probability values rather than on the initial assignment of values; the mathematics is largely independent of any interpretation of probability.
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12. It might be thought that the differences between the frequentists and the non-frequentists (if I may call them such) are largely due to the differences of the domains which they purport to cover.
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An essay on the foundations and province of the theory of probability, with especial reference to its logical bearings and its application to moral and social science, and to statistics.
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A claim of the frequentist approach is that, as the number of trials increases, the change in the relative frequency will diminish. Hence, one can view a probability as the
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All were suspicious of "inverse probability" (the available alternative) with prior probabilities chosen by using the principle of indifference. Fisher said,
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shows how different interpretations, applied to the same data set, can lead to different conclusions about the 'statistical significance' of a result.
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While Neyman was a pure frequentist, Fisher's views of probability were unique: Both Fisher and Neyman had nuanced view of probability.
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used frequentist (and other) probability in derivations of the least squares method a century later, a generation before Poisson.
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The development of the frequentist account was motivated by the problems and paradoxes of the previously dominant viewpoint, the
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are considered by philosophy, the sciences and statistics. All are interested in the extraction of knowledge from observations—
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the mathematical foundations of probability were solidified and current terminology was introduced (all in the 20th century).
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Probability concepts were introduced and much of the mathematics of probability derived (prior to the 20th century)
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on all analysis. The historical roots of this concept extended to such non-numeric applications as legal evidence.
168:. Before speaking of it we should have to agree on an (idealized) model which would presumably run along the lines 2721: 2487: 2345: 418:
is a branch of mathematics. While its roots reach centuries into the past, it reached maturity with the axioms of
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Little imagination is required to construct such a model, but it appears both uninteresting and meaningless.
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Ars Conjectandi: Usum & applicationem praecedentis doctrinae in civilibus, moralibus, & oeconomicis
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The Art of Conjecture: The use and application of previous experience in civil, moral, and economic topics
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Historians can interpret the example as classical, frequentist, or subjective probability. David writes,
372:"The Frequency Theory of Probability" was used a generation earlier as a chapter title in Keynes (1921). 3762: 3704: 3647: 3473: 3366: 3275: 3001: 2885: 2744: 2626: 2618: 2433: 2329: 2307: 2266: 2231: 2198: 2144: 2119: 2074: 2013: 1973: 1775: 1598: 556:'s derivation of confidence intervals embraced the measure theoretic axioms of probability published by 229: 134: 74: 3841: 2731: 1085:""Repeated sampling from the same population?" A critique of Neyman and Pearson's responses to Fisher" 712:
Morey, Richard D.; Hoekstra, Rink; Rouder, Jeffrey N.; Lee, Michael D.; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan (2016).
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The primary historical sources in probability and statistics did not use the current terminology of
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views probability as a causative phenomenon rather than a purely descriptive or subjective one.
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of that event. This is the core conception of probability in the frequentist interpretation.
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offered a combination of mathematical and philosophical support for frequentism in the era.
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Bernoulli wrote generations before Bayes, LaPlace and Gauss. The controversy continues. —
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understood the concept of frequentist probability and published a critical proof (the
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There is no place in our system for speculations concerning the probability that the
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A history of Parametric Statistical Inference from Bernoulli to Fisher, 1713 to 1935
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Goodman, Steven N. (1999). "Toward evidence-based medical statistics. 1: The
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Major contributors to "classical" statistics in the early 20th century included
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The Empire of Chance : How probability changed science and everyday life
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has definitely started here the controversy on inverse probability ..."
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Gigerenzer, Gerd; Swijtink, Porter; Daston, Beatty; Daston, KrĂŒger (1989).
747: 690: 92:. In the classical interpretation, probability was defined in terms of the 1243:"Earliest known uses of some of the words of probability & statistics" 2300: 1918: 1795: 1790: 1785: 1757: 138: 30:"Statistical probability" redirects here. For the TV series episode, see 1373: 632:. Methodology in the Social Sciences. Guilford Publications. p. 4. 3805: 3506: 1295: 280:
was muted and implicit. (However, note that their later derivations of
39: 3727: 2708: 2682: 2662: 1913: 1704: 824:(1921). "Chapter VIII – The frequency theory of probability". 137:. So, for example, a list of mis-interpretations of the meaning of 1355: 860:. Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press. p. 110. 170:"out of infinitely many worlds one is selected at random ..." 38: 858:
The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and probability before Pascal
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Gilles, Donald (2000). "Chapter 5 – The frequency theory".
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An Introduction to Probability Theory and its Applications
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An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications
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Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London
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Exposition de la théorie des chances et des probabilités
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the probable is that which for the most part happens —
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classical statistical inference methods were developed
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Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH)
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Fairfield, Tasha; Charman, Andrew E. (15 May 2017).
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had published earlier in the decade. Neyman defined
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Transactions of the Cambridge Philosophical Society
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Transactions of the Cambridge Philosophical Society
187:The frequentist view may have been foreshadowed by 3017:Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) 1264: 1262: 1260: 199: 162: 1137: 1135: 979: 977: 1572: 1512:"The frequency interpretation in probability" 1063: 1061: 8: 816: 814: 301:"repeated sampling from the same population" 629:Bayesian Statistics for the Social Sciences 594: 592: 116:of the corresponding relative frequencies. 3626: 3613: 3530: 3336: 3205: 3180: 2951: 2927: 2655: 2438: 2239: 2226: 2009: 1996: 1635: 1626: 1613: 1579: 1565: 1557: 1476:First Course in Probability and Statistics 1089:European Journal for Philosophy of Science 1529: 1173: 1072:. New York, NY: Hafner. pp. 137–138. 1049: 737: 560:a few years earlier, and referenced the ' 1315: 1313: 1126:Statistical Methods for Research Workers 879: 877: 683:10.7326/0003-4819-130-12-199906150-00008 1326:The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy 588: 475: 3543:Kaplan–Meier estimator (product limit) 1219:Philosophical Theories of Probability 966:. Paris, FR: L. Hachette – via 541: 495:'s explicit and immediate disclaimer 7: 3853: 3553:Accelerated failure time (AFT) model 1343:. New York, NY: Wiley. pp. 1–2. 425:Applications and interpretations of 129:especially when contrasted with the 3865: 3148:Analysis of variance (ANOVA, anova) 1448:On the Concept of a Random Sequence 482:Feller's comment is a criticism of 3243:Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel statistics 1869:Pearson product-moment correlation 1462:Probability, Statistics, and Truth 1426:Mathematical Methods of Statistics 1194:Probability, Statistics, and Truth 765:-value statement, five years on". 284:did not use inverse probability.) 25: 718:Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 451:Subjective (Bayesian) probability 232:introduced the frequentist view. 3864: 3852: 3840: 3827: 3826: 1412:The Concept of a Random Sequence 1322:"Interpretations of probability" 1221:. 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(1992). 63:interpretation of probability 27:Interpretation of probability 2979:Coefficient of determination 2590:Uniformly most powerful test 564:(Bayesian) definitions that 366:I assert that this is not so 3893:Probability interpretations 3548:Proportional hazards models 3492:Spectral density estimation 3474:Vector autoregression (VAR) 2908:Maximum posterior estimator 2140:Randomized controlled trial 1485:Reichenbach, Hans (1949) . 1401:The Logic of Modern Physics 1070:Games, Gods, & Gambling 670:Annals of Internal Medicine 411:Probability interpretations 141:accompanies the article on 3909: 3308:Multivariate distributions 1728:Average absolute deviation 1101:10.1007/s13194-020-00309-6 408: 336:in 1949, to contrast with 180: 29: 3822: 3625: 3612: 3296:Structural equation model 3204: 3179: 2950: 2926: 2658: 2632:Score/Lagrange multiplier 2238: 2225: 2047:Sample size determination 2008: 1995: 1625: 1612: 1594: 1487:The Theory of Probability 1288:10.1093/biomet/36.1-2.101 1013:Bernoulli, Jakob (1713). 826:A Treatise on Probability 807:. 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Bk 1, Ch 2. 779:10.1111/1740-9713.01505 570:frequentist probability 131:Bayesian interpretation 55:Frequentist probability 3847:Mathematics portal 3668:Engineering statistics 3576:Nelson–Aalen estimator 3153:Analysis of covariance 3040:Ordinary least squares 2964:Pearson product-moment 2368:Statistical functional 2279:Empirical distribution 2112:Controlled experiments 1841:Frequency distribution 1619:Descriptive statistics 1531:10.1006/aama.1999.0653 1175:10.1098/rsta.1937.0005 562:subjective probability 463:Propensity probability 211: 183:History of probability 174: 166:sun will rise tomorrow 51: 3763:Population statistics 3705:System identification 3439:Autocorrelation (ACF) 3367:Exponential smoothing 3281:Discriminant analysis 3276:Canonical correlation 3140:Partition of variance 3002:Regression validation 2846:(Jonckheere–Terpstra) 2745:Likelihood-ratio test 2434:Frequentist inference 2346:Location–scale family 2267:Sampling distribution 2232:Statistical inference 2199:Cross-sectional study 2186:Observational studies 2145:Randomized experiment 1974:Stem-and-leaf display 1776:Central limit theorem 1510:Friedman, C. 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(1962). 517:speaking or writing. 484:Pierre-Simon Laplace 83:long-run probability 3758:Official statistics 3681:Methods engineering 3362:Seasonal adjustment 3130:Poisson regressions 3050:Bayesian regression 2989:Regression analysis 2969:Partial correlation 2941:Regression analysis 2540:Prediction interval 2535:Likelihood interval 2525:Confidence interval 2517:Interval estimation 2478:Unbiased estimators 2296:Model specification 2176:Up-and-down designs 1864:Partial correlation 1820:Index of dispersion 1738:Interquartile range 1549:University of Texas 1374:10.1017/pan.2017.14 1166:1937RSPTA.236..333N 1038:Statistical Science 626:Kaplan, D. (2014). 605:The Logic of Chance 544:, pp. â€Ż137–138 431:inductive reasoning 77:in infinitely many 48:The Logic of Chance 3778:Spatial statistics 3658:Medical statistics 3558:First hitting time 3512:Whittle likelihood 3163:Degrees of freedom 3158:Multivariate ANOVA 3091:Heteroscedasticity 2903:Bayesian estimator 2868:Bayesian inference 2717:Kolmogorov–Smirnov 2602:Randomization test 2572:Testing hypotheses 2545:Tolerance interval 2456:Maximum likelihood 2351:Exponential family 2284:Density estimation 2244:Statistical theory 2204:Natural experiment 2150:Scientific control 2067:Survey methodology 1753:Standard deviation 1458:von Mises, Richard 1361:Political Analysis 1190:von Mises, Richard 1145:(30 August 1937). 1083:Rubin, M. (2020). 416:Probability theory 332:was first used by 75:relative frequency 52: 3880: 3879: 3818: 3817: 3814: 3813: 3753:National accounts 3723:Actuarial science 3715:Social statistics 3608: 3607: 3604: 3603: 3600: 3599: 3535:Survival function 3520: 3519: 3382:Granger causality 3223:Contingency table 3198:Survival analysis 3175: 3174: 3171: 3170: 3027:Linear regression 2922: 2921: 2918: 2917: 2893:Credible interval 2862: 2861: 2645: 2644: 2461:Method of moments 2330:Parametric family 2291:Statistical model 2221: 2220: 2217: 2216: 2135:Random assignment 2057:Statistical power 1991: 1990: 1987: 1986: 1836:Contingency table 1806: 1805: 1673:Generalized/power 1497:Russell, Bertrand 1251:Leiden University 1021:] (in Latin). 999:978-87-7834-628-5 895:978-0-521-39838-1 639:978-1-4625-1667-4 558:Andrey Kolmogorov 420:Andrey Kolmogorov 405:Alternative views 340:, whom he called 322:According to the 197:, when he wrote: 16:(Redirected from 3900: 3868: 3867: 3856: 3855: 3845: 3844: 3830: 3829: 3733:Crime statistics 3627: 3614: 3531: 3497:Fourier analysis 3484:Frequency domain 3464: 3411: 3377:Structural break 3337: 3286:Cluster analysis 3233:Log-linear model 3206: 3181: 3122: 3096:Homoscedasticity 2952: 2928: 2847: 2839: 2831: 2830:(Kruskal–Wallis) 2815: 2800: 2755:Cross validation 2740: 2722:Anderson–Darling 2669: 2656: 2627:Likelihood-ratio 2619:Parametric tests 2597:Permutation test 2580:1- & 2-tails 2471:Minimum distance 2443:Point estimation 2439: 2390:Optimal decision 2341: 2240: 2227: 2209:Quasi-experiment 2159:Adaptive designs 2010: 1997: 1874:Rank correlation 1636: 1627: 1614: 1581: 1574: 1567: 1558: 1552: 1542: 1535: 1533: 1504: 1490: 1479: 1465: 1451: 1440: 1429: 1415: 1404: 1386: 1385: 1351: 1345: 1344: 1336: 1330: 1329: 1317: 1308: 1307: 1282:(1–2): 101–116. 1266: 1255: 1254: 1239: 1233: 1232: 1214: 1208: 1207: 1186: 1180: 1179: 1177: 1160:(767): 333–380. 1139: 1130: 1129: 1119: 1113: 1112: 1080: 1074: 1073: 1065: 1056: 1055: 1053: 1029: 1023: 1022: 1010: 1004: 1003: 992:. pp. 1–5. 981: 972: 971: 968:Internet Archive 954: 948: 947: 930: 924: 923: 906: 900: 899: 881: 872: 871: 849: 836: 830: 829: 818: 809: 808: 797: 791: 790: 764: 758: 752: 751: 741: 709: 703: 702: 677:(12): 995–1004. 666: 664: 657: 651: 650: 648: 646: 623: 617: 616: 610:Internet Archive 596: 577: 572:(under the name 551: 545: 524: 518: 514:Bernoulli family 506: 500: 480: 397:(Bayesian), and 342:non-frequentists 144: 21: 3908: 3907: 3903: 3902: 3901: 3899: 3898: 3897: 3883: 3882: 3881: 3876: 3839: 3810: 3772: 3709: 3695:quality control 3662: 3644:Clinical trials 3621: 3596: 3580: 3568:Hazard function 3562: 3516: 3478: 3462: 3425: 3421:Breusch–Godfrey 3409: 3386: 3326: 3301:Factor analysis 3247: 3228:Graphical model 3200: 3167: 3134: 3120: 3100: 3054: 3021: 2983: 2946: 2945: 2914: 2858: 2845: 2837: 2829: 2813: 2798: 2777:Rank statistics 2771: 2750:Model selection 2738: 2696:Goodness of fit 2690: 2667: 2641: 2613: 2566: 2511: 2500:Median unbiased 2428: 2339: 2272:Order statistic 2234: 2213: 2180: 2154: 2106: 2061: 2004: 2002:Data collection 1983: 1895: 1850: 1824: 1802: 1762: 1714: 1631:Continuous data 1621: 1608: 1590: 1585: 1555: 1540: 1536: 1509: 1501:Human Knowledge 1495: 1484: 1470: 1456: 1445: 1434: 1420: 1409: 1398: 1394: 1389: 1353: 1352: 1348: 1338: 1337: 1333: 1319: 1318: 1311: 1268: 1267: 1258: 1241: 1240: 1236: 1229: 1216: 1215: 1211: 1204: 1188: 1187: 1183: 1141: 1140: 1133: 1121: 1120: 1116: 1082: 1081: 1077: 1067: 1066: 1059: 1031: 1030: 1026: 1012: 1011: 1007: 1000: 983: 982: 975: 956: 955: 951: 932: 931: 927: 908: 907: 903: 896: 883: 882: 875: 868: 855: 838: 837: 833: 820: 819: 812: 799: 798: 794: 762: 760: 759: 755: 711: 710: 706: 662: 661: 659: 658: 654: 644: 642: 640: 625: 624: 620: 598: 597: 590: 586: 581: 580: 552: 548: 525: 521: 510:Jacob Bernoulli 507: 503: 481: 477: 472: 413: 407: 320: 247:Alternatively, 185: 179: 142: 122: 102: 35: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 3906: 3904: 3896: 3895: 3885: 3884: 3878: 3877: 3875: 3874: 3862: 3850: 3836: 3823: 3820: 3819: 3816: 3815: 3812: 3811: 3809: 3808: 3803: 3798: 3793: 3788: 3782: 3780: 3774: 3773: 3771: 3770: 3765: 3760: 3755: 3750: 3745: 3740: 3735: 3730: 3725: 3719: 3717: 3711: 3710: 3708: 3707: 3702: 3697: 3688: 3683: 3678: 3672: 3670: 3664: 3663: 3661: 3660: 3655: 3650: 3641: 3639:Bioinformatics 3635: 3633: 3623: 3622: 3617: 3610: 3609: 3606: 3605: 3602: 3601: 3598: 3597: 3595: 3594: 3588: 3586: 3582: 3581: 3579: 3578: 3572: 3570: 3564: 3563: 3561: 3560: 3555: 3550: 3545: 3539: 3537: 3528: 3522: 3521: 3518: 3517: 3515: 3514: 3509: 3504: 3499: 3494: 3488: 3486: 3480: 3479: 3477: 3476: 3471: 3466: 3458: 3453: 3448: 3447: 3446: 3444:partial (PACF) 3435: 3433: 3427: 3426: 3424: 3423: 3418: 3413: 3405: 3400: 3394: 3392: 3391:Specific tests 3388: 3387: 3385: 3384: 3379: 3374: 3369: 3364: 3359: 3354: 3349: 3343: 3341: 3334: 3328: 3327: 3325: 3324: 3323: 3322: 3321: 3320: 3305: 3304: 3303: 3293: 3291:Classification 3288: 3283: 3278: 3273: 3268: 3263: 3257: 3255: 3249: 3248: 3246: 3245: 3240: 3238:McNemar's test 3235: 3230: 3225: 3220: 3214: 3212: 3202: 3201: 3184: 3177: 3176: 3173: 3172: 3169: 3168: 3166: 3165: 3160: 3155: 3150: 3144: 3142: 3136: 3135: 3133: 3132: 3116: 3110: 3108: 3102: 3101: 3099: 3098: 3093: 3088: 3083: 3078: 3076:Semiparametric 3073: 3068: 3062: 3060: 3056: 3055: 3053: 3052: 3047: 3042: 3037: 3031: 3029: 3023: 3022: 3020: 3019: 3014: 3009: 3004: 2999: 2993: 2991: 2985: 2984: 2982: 2981: 2976: 2971: 2966: 2960: 2958: 2948: 2947: 2944: 2943: 2938: 2932: 2931: 2924: 2923: 2920: 2919: 2916: 2915: 2913: 2912: 2911: 2910: 2900: 2895: 2890: 2889: 2888: 2883: 2872: 2870: 2864: 2863: 2860: 2859: 2857: 2856: 2851: 2850: 2849: 2841: 2833: 2817: 2814:(Mann–Whitney) 2809: 2808: 2807: 2794: 2793: 2792: 2781: 2779: 2773: 2772: 2770: 2769: 2768: 2767: 2762: 2757: 2747: 2742: 2739:(Shapiro–Wilk) 2734: 2729: 2724: 2719: 2714: 2706: 2700: 2698: 2692: 2691: 2689: 2688: 2680: 2671: 2659: 2653: 2651:Specific tests 2647: 2646: 2643: 2642: 2640: 2639: 2634: 2629: 2623: 2621: 2615: 2614: 2612: 2611: 2606: 2605: 2604: 2594: 2593: 2592: 2582: 2576: 2574: 2568: 2567: 2565: 2564: 2563: 2562: 2557: 2547: 2542: 2537: 2532: 2527: 2521: 2519: 2513: 2512: 2510: 2509: 2504: 2503: 2502: 2497: 2496: 2495: 2490: 2475: 2474: 2473: 2468: 2463: 2458: 2447: 2445: 2436: 2430: 2429: 2427: 2426: 2421: 2416: 2415: 2414: 2404: 2399: 2398: 2397: 2387: 2386: 2385: 2380: 2375: 2365: 2360: 2355: 2354: 2353: 2348: 2343: 2327: 2326: 2325: 2320: 2315: 2305: 2304: 2303: 2298: 2288: 2287: 2286: 2276: 2275: 2274: 2264: 2259: 2254: 2248: 2246: 2236: 2235: 2230: 2223: 2222: 2219: 2218: 2215: 2214: 2212: 2211: 2206: 2201: 2196: 2190: 2188: 2182: 2181: 2179: 2178: 2173: 2168: 2162: 2160: 2156: 2155: 2153: 2152: 2147: 2142: 2137: 2132: 2127: 2122: 2116: 2114: 2108: 2107: 2105: 2104: 2102:Standard error 2099: 2094: 2089: 2088: 2087: 2082: 2071: 2069: 2063: 2062: 2060: 2059: 2054: 2049: 2044: 2039: 2034: 2032:Optimal design 2029: 2024: 2018: 2016: 2006: 2005: 2000: 1993: 1992: 1989: 1988: 1985: 1984: 1982: 1981: 1976: 1971: 1966: 1961: 1956: 1951: 1946: 1941: 1936: 1931: 1926: 1921: 1916: 1911: 1905: 1903: 1897: 1896: 1894: 1893: 1888: 1887: 1886: 1881: 1871: 1866: 1860: 1858: 1852: 1851: 1849: 1848: 1843: 1838: 1832: 1830: 1829:Summary tables 1826: 1825: 1823: 1822: 1816: 1814: 1808: 1807: 1804: 1803: 1801: 1800: 1799: 1798: 1793: 1788: 1778: 1772: 1770: 1764: 1763: 1761: 1760: 1755: 1750: 1745: 1740: 1735: 1730: 1724: 1722: 1716: 1715: 1713: 1712: 1707: 1702: 1701: 1700: 1695: 1690: 1685: 1680: 1675: 1670: 1665: 1663:Contraharmonic 1660: 1655: 1644: 1642: 1633: 1623: 1622: 1617: 1610: 1609: 1607: 1606: 1601: 1595: 1592: 1591: 1586: 1584: 1583: 1576: 1569: 1561: 1554: 1553: 1547:. Austin, TX: 1524:(3): 234–254. 1506: 1505: 1492: 1491: 1481: 1480: 1467: 1466: 1453: 1452: 1442: 1441: 1431: 1430: 1422:CramĂ©r, Harald 1417: 1416: 1406: 1405: 1395: 1393: 1390: 1388: 1387: 1368:(3): 363–380. 1346: 1331: 1309: 1256: 1249:. Leidin, NL: 1234: 1227: 1209: 1202: 1181: 1131: 1114: 1075: 1057: 1044:(2): 208–225. 1024: 1005: 998: 973: 970:(archive.org). 949: 925: 901: 894: 873: 866: 854: 853: 831: 810: 792: 753: 724:(1): 103–123. 704: 652: 638: 618: 612:(archive.org. 587: 585: 582: 579: 578: 546: 531: 530: 519: 512:of the famous 501: 490: 489: 474: 473: 471: 468: 467: 466: 459: 458: 455:subjectivities 447: 446: 409:Main article: 406: 403: 387: 386: 383: 380: 370: 369: 363: 360: 357: 354: 353:'collectives'; 319: 316: 181:Main article: 178: 175: 121: 118: 114:limiting value 101: 98: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 3905: 3894: 3891: 3890: 3888: 3873: 3872: 3863: 3861: 3860: 3851: 3849: 3848: 3843: 3837: 3835: 3834: 3825: 3824: 3821: 3807: 3804: 3802: 3801:Geostatistics 3799: 3797: 3794: 3792: 3789: 3787: 3784: 3783: 3781: 3779: 3775: 3769: 3768:Psychometrics 3766: 3764: 3761: 3759: 3756: 3754: 3751: 3749: 3746: 3744: 3741: 3739: 3736: 3734: 3731: 3729: 3726: 3724: 3721: 3720: 3718: 3716: 3712: 3706: 3703: 3701: 3698: 3696: 3692: 3689: 3687: 3684: 3682: 3679: 3677: 3674: 3673: 3671: 3669: 3665: 3659: 3656: 3654: 3651: 3649: 3645: 3642: 3640: 3637: 3636: 3634: 3632: 3631:Biostatistics 3628: 3624: 3620: 3615: 3611: 3593: 3592:Log-rank test 3590: 3589: 3587: 3583: 3577: 3574: 3573: 3571: 3569: 3565: 3559: 3556: 3554: 3551: 3549: 3546: 3544: 3541: 3540: 3538: 3536: 3532: 3529: 3527: 3523: 3513: 3510: 3508: 3505: 3503: 3500: 3498: 3495: 3493: 3490: 3489: 3487: 3485: 3481: 3475: 3472: 3470: 3467: 3465: 3463:(Box–Jenkins) 3459: 3457: 3454: 3452: 3449: 3445: 3442: 3441: 3440: 3437: 3436: 3434: 3432: 3428: 3422: 3419: 3417: 3416:Durbin–Watson 3414: 3412: 3406: 3404: 3401: 3399: 3398:Dickey–Fuller 3396: 3395: 3393: 3389: 3383: 3380: 3378: 3375: 3373: 3372:Cointegration 3370: 3368: 3365: 3363: 3360: 3358: 3355: 3353: 3350: 3348: 3347:Decomposition 3345: 3344: 3342: 3338: 3335: 3333: 3329: 3319: 3316: 3315: 3314: 3311: 3310: 3309: 3306: 3302: 3299: 3298: 3297: 3294: 3292: 3289: 3287: 3284: 3282: 3279: 3277: 3274: 3272: 3269: 3267: 3264: 3262: 3259: 3258: 3256: 3254: 3250: 3244: 3241: 3239: 3236: 3234: 3231: 3229: 3226: 3224: 3221: 3219: 3218:Cohen's kappa 3216: 3215: 3213: 3211: 3207: 3203: 3199: 3195: 3191: 3187: 3182: 3178: 3164: 3161: 3159: 3156: 3154: 3151: 3149: 3146: 3145: 3143: 3141: 3137: 3131: 3127: 3123: 3117: 3115: 3112: 3111: 3109: 3107: 3103: 3097: 3094: 3092: 3089: 3087: 3084: 3082: 3079: 3077: 3074: 3072: 3071:Nonparametric 3069: 3067: 3064: 3063: 3061: 3057: 3051: 3048: 3046: 3043: 3041: 3038: 3036: 3033: 3032: 3030: 3028: 3024: 3018: 3015: 3013: 3010: 3008: 3005: 3003: 3000: 2998: 2995: 2994: 2992: 2990: 2986: 2980: 2977: 2975: 2972: 2970: 2967: 2965: 2962: 2961: 2959: 2957: 2953: 2949: 2942: 2939: 2937: 2934: 2933: 2929: 2925: 2909: 2906: 2905: 2904: 2901: 2899: 2896: 2894: 2891: 2887: 2884: 2882: 2879: 2878: 2877: 2874: 2873: 2871: 2869: 2865: 2855: 2852: 2848: 2842: 2840: 2834: 2832: 2826: 2825: 2824: 2821: 2820:Nonparametric 2818: 2816: 2810: 2806: 2803: 2802: 2801: 2795: 2791: 2790:Sample median 2788: 2787: 2786: 2783: 2782: 2780: 2778: 2774: 2766: 2763: 2761: 2758: 2756: 2753: 2752: 2751: 2748: 2746: 2743: 2741: 2735: 2733: 2730: 2728: 2725: 2723: 2720: 2718: 2715: 2713: 2711: 2707: 2705: 2702: 2701: 2699: 2697: 2693: 2687: 2685: 2681: 2679: 2677: 2672: 2670: 2665: 2661: 2660: 2657: 2654: 2652: 2648: 2638: 2635: 2633: 2630: 2628: 2625: 2624: 2622: 2620: 2616: 2610: 2607: 2603: 2600: 2599: 2598: 2595: 2591: 2588: 2587: 2586: 2583: 2581: 2578: 2577: 2575: 2573: 2569: 2561: 2558: 2556: 2553: 2552: 2551: 2548: 2546: 2543: 2541: 2538: 2536: 2533: 2531: 2528: 2526: 2523: 2522: 2520: 2518: 2514: 2508: 2505: 2501: 2498: 2494: 2491: 2489: 2486: 2485: 2484: 2481: 2480: 2479: 2476: 2472: 2469: 2467: 2464: 2462: 2459: 2457: 2454: 2453: 2452: 2449: 2448: 2446: 2444: 2440: 2437: 2435: 2431: 2425: 2422: 2420: 2417: 2413: 2410: 2409: 2408: 2405: 2403: 2400: 2396: 2395:loss function 2393: 2392: 2391: 2388: 2384: 2381: 2379: 2376: 2374: 2371: 2370: 2369: 2366: 2364: 2361: 2359: 2356: 2352: 2349: 2347: 2344: 2342: 2336: 2333: 2332: 2331: 2328: 2324: 2321: 2319: 2316: 2314: 2311: 2310: 2309: 2306: 2302: 2299: 2297: 2294: 2293: 2292: 2289: 2285: 2282: 2281: 2280: 2277: 2273: 2270: 2269: 2268: 2265: 2263: 2260: 2258: 2255: 2253: 2250: 2249: 2247: 2245: 2241: 2237: 2233: 2228: 2224: 2210: 2207: 2205: 2202: 2200: 2197: 2195: 2192: 2191: 2189: 2187: 2183: 2177: 2174: 2172: 2169: 2167: 2164: 2163: 2161: 2157: 2151: 2148: 2146: 2143: 2141: 2138: 2136: 2133: 2131: 2128: 2126: 2123: 2121: 2118: 2117: 2115: 2113: 2109: 2103: 2100: 2098: 2097:Questionnaire 2095: 2093: 2090: 2086: 2083: 2081: 2078: 2077: 2076: 2073: 2072: 2070: 2068: 2064: 2058: 2055: 2053: 2050: 2048: 2045: 2043: 2040: 2038: 2035: 2033: 2030: 2028: 2025: 2023: 2020: 2019: 2017: 2015: 2011: 2007: 2003: 1998: 1994: 1980: 1977: 1975: 1972: 1970: 1967: 1965: 1962: 1960: 1957: 1955: 1952: 1950: 1947: 1945: 1942: 1940: 1937: 1935: 1932: 1930: 1927: 1925: 1924:Control chart 1922: 1920: 1917: 1915: 1912: 1910: 1907: 1906: 1904: 1902: 1898: 1892: 1889: 1885: 1882: 1880: 1877: 1876: 1875: 1872: 1870: 1867: 1865: 1862: 1861: 1859: 1857: 1853: 1847: 1844: 1842: 1839: 1837: 1834: 1833: 1831: 1827: 1821: 1818: 1817: 1815: 1813: 1809: 1797: 1794: 1792: 1789: 1787: 1784: 1783: 1782: 1779: 1777: 1774: 1773: 1771: 1769: 1765: 1759: 1756: 1754: 1751: 1749: 1746: 1744: 1741: 1739: 1736: 1734: 1731: 1729: 1726: 1725: 1723: 1721: 1717: 1711: 1708: 1706: 1703: 1699: 1696: 1694: 1691: 1689: 1686: 1684: 1681: 1679: 1676: 1674: 1671: 1669: 1666: 1664: 1661: 1659: 1656: 1654: 1651: 1650: 1649: 1646: 1645: 1643: 1641: 1637: 1634: 1632: 1628: 1624: 1620: 1615: 1611: 1605: 1602: 1600: 1597: 1596: 1593: 1589: 1582: 1577: 1575: 1570: 1568: 1563: 1562: 1559: 1550: 1546: 1539: 1538:"alt. source" 1532: 1527: 1523: 1519: 1518: 1513: 1508: 1507: 1502: 1498: 1494: 1493: 1488: 1483: 1482: 1477: 1473: 1472:Neyman, Jerzy 1469: 1468: 1463: 1459: 1455: 1454: 1449: 1444: 1443: 1438: 1433: 1432: 1427: 1423: 1419: 1418: 1413: 1408: 1407: 1402: 1397: 1396: 1391: 1383: 1379: 1375: 1371: 1367: 1363: 1362: 1357: 1350: 1347: 1342: 1335: 1332: 1327: 1323: 1316: 1314: 1310: 1305: 1301: 1297: 1293: 1289: 1285: 1281: 1277: 1276: 1271: 1270:Kendall, M.G. 1265: 1263: 1261: 1257: 1252: 1248: 1247:leidenuniv.nl 1244: 1238: 1235: 1230: 1228:9780415182751 1224: 1220: 1213: 1210: 1205: 1199: 1195: 1191: 1185: 1182: 1176: 1171: 1167: 1163: 1159: 1155: 1153: 1148: 1144: 1143:Neyman, Jerzy 1138: 1136: 1132: 1127: 1124: 1118: 1115: 1110: 1106: 1102: 1098: 1094: 1090: 1086: 1079: 1076: 1071: 1064: 1062: 1058: 1052: 1047: 1043: 1039: 1035: 1028: 1025: 1020: 1016: 1009: 1006: 1001: 995: 991: 987: 980: 978: 974: 969: 965: 964: 959: 958:Cournot, A.A. 953: 950: 945: 941: 940: 935: 929: 926: 921: 917: 916: 911: 905: 902: 897: 891: 887: 880: 878: 874: 869: 863: 859: 851: 850: 847: 846: 841: 835: 832: 827: 823: 817: 815: 811: 806: 802: 796: 793: 788: 784: 780: 776: 772: 768: 757: 754: 749: 745: 740: 735: 731: 727: 723: 719: 715: 708: 705: 700: 696: 692: 688: 684: 680: 676: 672: 671: 656: 653: 641: 635: 631: 630: 622: 619: 615: 611: 607: 606: 601: 595: 593: 589: 583: 575: 571: 567: 563: 559: 555: 550: 547: 543: 539: 537: 529: 528: 523: 520: 515: 511: 505: 502: 498: 497:in the source 494: 488: 487: 485: 479: 476: 469: 464: 461: 460: 456: 452: 449: 448: 443: 440: 439: 438: 436: 432: 428: 423: 421: 417: 412: 404: 402: 401:probability. 400: 396: 392: 384: 381: 378: 377: 376: 373: 367: 364: 361: 358: 355: 351: 350: 349: 347: 343: 339: 335: 331: 327: 326: 317: 315: 313: 309: 304: 302: 298: 294: 290: 285: 283: 282:least squares 279: 275: 272:criticism by 270: 266: 262: 258: 257:Bayes theorem 254: 250: 245: 243: 239: 235: 231: 227: 223: 219: 215: 210: 209: 208: 204: 198: 196: 195: 190: 184: 176: 173: 171: 167: 161: 159: 154: 152: 148: 140: 136: 132: 126: 119: 117: 115: 110: 108: 99: 97: 95: 91: 86: 84: 80: 76: 72: 68: 64: 60: 56: 49: 45: 41: 37: 33: 19: 3869: 3857: 3838: 3831: 3743:Econometrics 3693: / 3676:Chemometrics 3653:Epidemiology 3646: / 3619:Applications 3461:ARIMA model 3408:Q-statistic 3357:Stationarity 3253:Multivariate 3196: / 3192: / 3190:Multivariate 3188: / 3128: / 3124: / 2898:Bayes factor 2797:Signed rank 2709: 2683: 2675: 2663: 2358:Completeness 2194:Cohort study 2092:Opinion poll 2027:Missing data 2014:Study design 1969:Scatter plot 1891:Scatter plot 1884:Spearman's ρ 1846:Grouped data 1544: 1521: 1515: 1500: 1486: 1475: 1461: 1447: 1436: 1425: 1411: 1400: 1365: 1359: 1349: 1340: 1334: 1325: 1279: 1273: 1246: 1237: 1218: 1212: 1193: 1184: 1157: 1150: 1125: 1123:Fisher, R.A. 1117: 1095:(42): 1–15. 1092: 1088: 1078: 1069: 1041: 1037: 1027: 1018: 1014: 1008: 985: 962: 952: 943: 937: 928: 919: 913: 904: 885: 857: 852:discussed in 844: 834: 825: 822:Keynes, J.M. 804: 795: 773:(2): 16–19. 770: 767:Significance 766: 756: 721: 717: 707: 674: 668: 655: 643:. Retrieved 628: 621: 613: 604: 573: 569: 561: 554:Jerzy Neyman 549: 542:David (1962) 533: 522: 504: 496: 478: 424: 414: 398: 394: 390: 388: 374: 371: 365: 341: 334:M.G. Kendall 329: 323: 321: 307: 305: 300: 286: 246: 228:(1843), and 212: 206: 200: 192: 186: 169: 163: 155: 127: 123: 113: 111: 106: 103: 87: 82: 58: 54: 53: 47: 36: 18:Frequentists 3871:WikiProject 3786:Cartography 3748:Jurimetrics 3700:Reliability 3431:Time domain 3410:(Ljung–Box) 3332:Time-series 3210:Categorical 3194:Time-series 3186:Categorical 3121:(Bernoulli) 2956:Correlation 2936:Correlation 2732:Jarque–Bera 2704:Chi-squared 2466:M-estimator 2419:Asymptotics 2363:Sufficiency 2130:Interaction 2042:Replication 2022:Effect size 1979:Violin plot 1959:Radar chart 1939:Forest plot 1929:Correlogram 1879:Kendall's τ 934:Ellis, R.L. 910:Ellis, R.L. 427:probability 399:frequentist 330:frequentist 328:, the term 107:probability 67:probability 59:frequentism 3738:Demography 3456:ARMA model 3261:Regression 2838:(Friedman) 2799:(Wilcoxon) 2737:Normality 2727:Lilliefors 2674:Student's 2550:Resampling 2424:Robustness 2412:divergence 2402:Efficiency 2340:(monotone) 2335:Likelihood 2252:Population 2085:Stratified 2037:Population 1856:Dependence 1812:Count data 1743:Percentile 1720:Dispersion 1653:Arithmetic 1588:Statistics 1392:References 1275:Biometrika 1203:0486242145 867:0801865697 801:Feller, W. 667:fallacy". 600:Venn, John 435:dutch book 395:subjective 100:Definition 3119:Logistic 2886:posterior 2812:Rank sum 2560:Jackknife 2555:Bootstrap 2373:Bootstrap 2308:Parameter 2257:Statistic 2052:Statistic 1964:Run chart 1949:Pie chart 1944:Histogram 1934:Fan chart 1909:Bar chart 1791:L-moments 1678:Geometric 1460:(1939) . 1192:(1981) . 1109:221939887 840:Aristotle 787:233534109 602:(1888) . 584:Citations 574:classical 470:Footnotes 391:classical 348:observed 338:Bayesians 318:Etymology 312:von Mises 249:Bernoulli 203:Aristotle 189:Aristotle 44:John Venn 3887:Category 3833:Category 3526:Survival 3403:Johansen 3126:Binomial 3081:Isotonic 2668:(normal) 2313:location 2120:Blocking 2075:Sampling 1954:Q–Q plot 1919:Box plot 1901:Graphics 1796:Skewness 1786:Kurtosis 1758:Variance 1688:Heronian 1683:Harmonic 1499:(1948). 1474:(1950). 1424:(1946). 1304:18132087 960:(1843). 845:Rhetoric 803:(1957). 748:26450628 691:10383371 645:23 April 566:Jeffreys 491:Despite 445:limited. 242:Bertrand 207:Rhetoric 194:Rhetoric 139:p-values 3859:Commons 3806:Kriging 3691:Process 3648:studies 3507:Wavelet 3340:General 2507:Plug-in 2301:L space 2080:Cluster 1781:Moments 1599:Outline 1382:8862619 1296:2332534 1162:Bibcode 739:4742505 699:7534212 493:Laplace 346:Kendall 297:Pearson 278:Laplace 269:Laplace 265:Laplace 226:Cournot 214:Poisson 177:History 160:notes: 73:of its 69:as the 3728:Census 3318:Normal 3266:Manova 3086:Robust 2836:2-way 2828:1-way 2666:-test 2337:  1914:Biplot 1705:Median 1698:Lehmer 1640:Center 1380:  1302:  1294:  1225:  1200:  1107:  996:  892:  864:  785:  746:  736:  697:  689:  636:  295:, and 293:Neyman 289:Fisher 158:Feller 149:. 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Index

Frequentists
Statistical Probabilities

John Venn
interpretation of probability
probability
limit
relative frequency
trials
classical interpretation
principle of indifference
Bayesian interpretation
frequentist inference
p-values
statistical hypothesis testing
Jeffreys–Lindley paradox
Feller
sun will rise tomorrow
History of probability
Aristotle
Rhetoric
Aristotle
Rhetoric
Poisson
Mill
Ellis
Cournot
Fries
Venn
Boole

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