Knowledge (XXG)

Issue voting

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display the relationship between the number of people voting for the party and the consistency of the issue position. The equation “Y = a + bX” is used, where the variable “a” represents the minimal number of people voting for the party, “b” is a variable used to ensure that there is a positive gradient, "X" represents the consistency of the party's issue position, and Y represents the number of people who vote for the party.
647: 50: 919:; there are often many stances one could take. Voters often must settle for the candidate whose stances are closest to their own. This can prove difficult when two or more candidates have similar opinions, or when candidates have positions that are equally far from a voter's. An example of an issue which might be difficult to issue vote on is 1024:
are associated with certain goals or views on an issue, and that the voter's decision in selecting a candidate depends on the actual salience of the issue to the voter. This model is important when considering issue voting because it utilizes election agenda data to predict election outcome. A simple
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Voters typically choose a political party to affiliate with in one of two ways. The voter will create an opinion of an issue without consulting what a political party thinks about it, then choose the political party that best fits the opinion they already have, or the voter will study the opinions of
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attempted to explain the rise in issue voting through the fall in party voting. This decline of party voting, they claimed, came about because the proportion of the electorate with no party affiliation had fallen, and because the proportion of voters who cast votes for candidates from other parties
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published a symposium that hypothesized that there was a rise in issue voting in the 1960s. Nie and Anderson published an analysis of correlations with issue orientations in 1974 that attempted to revise the Michigan School's theory of the public's political belief systems' inherent limitations. In
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Some of the earliest research on issue voting done in 1960 found that voters often did not have enough information to link specific issues to individual candidates. Converse, in 1964, also concluded that voters did not have a sophisticated enough understanding of issues to be able to link them to
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stands on every issue, but rather a sense of which candidate they agree with the most. Voters use many different tactics to rationalize their view on a particular issue. Some people look at what has happened in the past and predict how they think a particular issue will affect them in the future.
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The Linear Position Model attempts to predict how strongly an individual will issue vote in an election. The model suggests that the more a voter and candidate agree on a particular issue, the better chance the candidate has of receiving the individual's vote. In this model, a graph is used to
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attempts to show the perceptions and decisions of voters when issue voting strategies are used in elections. This model assumes that if someone's issue preferences are placed on a hypothetical spatial field along with all possible candidates’ policy positions, the individual will vote for the
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A third problem that can complicate issue voting is if there are multiple issues that are equally salient to the voter. A candidate may have a similar position to a given voter on one issue, but may take a considerably different stance on another. An example of this occurred in the
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candidates. In 1966, Key was one of the first people to conclude that voters are able to connect issues to certain candidates and cast their vote based on that information. Despite the growing knowledge of the field, reliable evidence didn't begin to appear until the 1970s.
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While scholars employ many models to study voting habits, there are three primary models used in statistical studies of issue voting: the linear position model, the spatial model and the salience model. Each model takes a different approach to issue voting into account.
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has argued that voters are generally uninformed and that their actual vote choices do not reflect the vote choices that a fully informed voter would make. He concludes that since voters lack full information, they cannot truly be issue voters.
861:. Identifying as an independent allows voters to avoid the constraints of a polarized political party. An independent voter can hand-pick a candidate based upon their positions on various issues rather than on their political party. 816:
in 1960 determined that party identification was the primary force, which in turn strongly influenced the other two categories. These three factors make up the Michigan School's approach to modeling voting behavior.
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In order for a person to be an issue voter, they must be able to recognize that there is more than one opinion about a particular issue, have formed a solid opinion about it and be able to relate that to a specific
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spending. A voter may have a drastically different opinion from the available candidates on how much money should be spent on schools; this could lead the individual to vote based on party affiliation instead.
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A second complexity is that, oftentimes, problems do not line up on linear bases. That is, some issues may make it hard to even determine the candidate with the closest position. For example, in the
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A voter's understanding of parties' principles is strengthened and developed over time as a person gains experience with more political events. In order for an issue to create the foundation for
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Cho, Sungdai; Endersby, James W. (March 2003). "Issues, the spatial theory of voting, and British general elections: a comparison of proximity and directional models".
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Schweizer, Peter. (1994) Victory: The Reagan Administration's Secret Strategy That Hastened the Collapse of the Soviet Union. Atlanta Monthly Press, (1994) 213.
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study in 1944, it was assumed by political scientists that voting was based solely on issues. However, this study found little evidence of issue voting in the
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from their parties. Since a large portion of American voters are moderates, an increase has been seen in the number people who choose to affiliate as
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study found that voters switch between issue voting and party voting depending on how much information is available to them about a given candidate.
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Ordeshook, Peter C.; Davis, Otto A.; Hinich, Melvin J. (June 1970). "An expository development of a mathematical model of the electoral process".
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Rabinowitz, George; Jacoby, William; Prothro, James W. (February 1982). "Salience as a factor in the impact of issues on candidate evaluation".
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where "a"=Party 1, and "b"=Party 2. The more important the issue becomes, the more a voter favors a particular candidate or party on the issue.
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candidate whose political stances are closest to their own. Other models that follow the idea of “closeness” are called proximity models.
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A fourth problem is that voters may be unsophisticated and lack the knowledge necessary to vote based on issues. Political scientist
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Dennison, James; Kriesi, Hanspeter (2023). "Explaining Europe's transformed electoral landscape: structure, salience, and agendas".
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McCarty, Nolan, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal. Polarized America: The Dance of Ideology and Unequal Riches. MIT, 2006.
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Garzia, Diego; Marschall, Stefan (2016). "Research on Voting Advice Applications: State of the Art and Future Directions".
1712:. Diary of a Dark Horse: The 1980 Anderson Presidential Campaign. Carbondale: Southern Illinois University Press (1983) 24. 802:
loyalties. Research stemming from the study concluded that voters' motivations could be broken down into three categories:
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Enelow, James M. & Melvin J. Hinich. The Spatial Theory of Voting: An Introduction. Cambridge, Cambridgeshire:
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Nie, Norman H., Sidney Verba, and John R. Petrocik. (1999) The Changing American Voter. Bridgewater, NJ: Replica,
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strongly identify with the Democratic Party's advocacy for workers' rights, but unions also tend to not support
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In recent years, the United States has seen a rise in issue voting. This can be attributed to the increased
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Dennison, James (2019). "A Review of Public Issue Salience: Concepts, Determinants and Effects on Voting".
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choice, a voter must first be concerned about a particular issue and have some knowledge about that issue.
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Niemi, Richard G.; Bartels, Larry M. (November 1985). "New measures of issue salience: an evaluation".
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McCullough, B. Claire (Summer 1978). "Effects of variables using panel data: a review of techniques".
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Denver, David; Hands, Gordon (March 1990). "Issues, principles or ideology? How young voters decide".
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Rabinowitz, George; Macdonald, Stuart Elaine (March 1989). "A directional theory of issue voting".
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Frank, Miriam (Spring–Summer 2001). "Hard hats & homophobia: lesbians in the building trades".
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A voter does not need to have an in-depth understanding of every issue and knowledge of how a
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which have been or are a matter of controversy and are sources of disagreement between
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Carmines, Edward G.; Stimson, James A. (March 1980). "The two faces of issue voting".
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was a salient issue for voters. There were many proposed solutions to this problem;
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In Europe, issue voting has been used to explain the growth in electoral support for
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Kirkendall, Richard S. "Carter, Jimmy. Presidents: A Reference History. 2002.
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endorsed military intimidation through increased spending and innovation (the
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face the "issue voting vs. party voting" dilemma. Many Catholics support the
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the different parties and decide which party he or she agrees with the most.
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Campbell, Angus. The American Voter: An Abridgement. 1964, New York: Wiley,
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Vote=a(Saliency of the party's issues)+b(Saliency of the party's issues)
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Borre, Ole. Issue voting : an introduction. Aarhus; Oakville, CT:
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Many factors can complicate issue voting. First, issues are not always
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perceived competence on an issue in order to decide for whom to vote.
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Donsbach, Wolfgang. The International Encyclopedia of Communication.
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Kessel, John H. (June 1972). "Comment: the issues in issue voting".
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rules that allow voters to express opinions on multiple issues, see
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Nicholson, Stephen P. (2005) Voting the Agenda. Princeton, NJ.
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proposed diplomatic efforts to keep peace, and the independent
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stance which is backed by Republicans, but strongly oppose the
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The Salience Model asserts that the two major parties in the
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Moore, John Leo. Elections A to Z. 1999, Washington, D.C.:
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Issue voting is often contrasted with party voting. A 2010
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view of this model can be summarized with the equation:
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None of these answers are 911:Complications regarding issue voting 810:orientation, and issue orientation. 2001:Highton, Benjamin (January 2010). 1529:"How smart is the American voter?" 238:Plurality and majoritarian systems 14: 2322:American Political Science Review 2283:American Political Science Review 2033:American Political Science Review 1877:European Political Science Review 1744:American Political Science Review 824:American Political Science Review 348:Scorporo (negative vote transfer) 1527:Bartels, Larry M. (2008-11-03). 845:in the last century between the 645: 48: 743:University of California, Davis 1049:Experimental political science 753:, would thus be determined by 721:against their own or rank the 353:Mixed ballot transferable vote 1: 1373:Garzia and Marschall, 376–390 1054:Politics of the United States 969:2008 US presidential election 929:1980 US presidential election 1920:10.1016/0261-3794(90)90039-B 1391:Dennison and Kriesi, 483-501 1003:Linear Model of Issue Voting 630:End-to-end verifiable voting 290:Single non-transferable vote 1517:Carmines and Stimson, 78-91 1454:Carmines and Stimson, 78-91 1436:Carmines and Stimson, 78-91 1346:Carmines and Stimson, 78-91 830:The Changing American Voter 488:Voting patterns and effects 2449: 2132:10.1177/1532673X7900700102 2119:American Politics Research 1939:Cambridge University Press 955:advocated a return to the 879:Voting advice applications 310:Single transferable voting 247:First-past-the-post voting 18: 2022:10.1007/s11109-009-9104-2 1889:10.1017/S1755773923000085 1838:10.1080/08913810608443650 1579:Meier and Campbell, 26-43 1561:Meier and Campbell, 26-43 747:Low-information elections 503:Voting advice application 333:Mixed-member proportional 262:Plurality-at-large voting 2093:Public Opinion Quarterly 1868:10.1177/1478929918819264 1856:Political Studies Review 1256:Donsbach, "Issue Voting" 751:congressional candidates 368:Rural–urban proportional 363:Dual-member proportional 338:Additional member system 2158:Congressional Quarterly 1796:10.1023/A:1022616323373 1717:Aarhus University Press 784:History of issue voting 1004: 991:Models of issue voting 931:the growing threat of 759:presidential elections 518:Passive electioneering 419:Straight-ticket voting 1972:Policy & Internet 1597:Davis et al., 426-429 1059:Single-issue politics 1002: 373:Majority bonus system 358:Alternative Vote Plus 257:Instant-runoff voting 837:Rise in issue voting 828:1979, Nie et al. in 804:party identification 749:, such as those for 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2354: 2315: 2276: 2251:(4): 1212–1220. 2227: 2191: 2183:Andersen, Kristi 2181:Nie, Norman H.; 2153: 2143: 2109: 2070:Encyclopedia.com 2065: 2026: 2024: 1997: 1995: 1984:10.1002/poi3.140 1966: 1923: 1902: 1900: 1871: 1850: 1840: 1815: 1776: 1697: 1694: 1688: 1685: 1679: 1676: 1670: 1667: 1661: 1658: 1652: 1649: 1643: 1640: 1634: 1631: 1625: 1622: 1616: 1613: 1607: 1604: 1598: 1595: 1589: 1586: 1580: 1577: 1571: 1568: 1562: 1559: 1553: 1550: 1544: 1543: 1541: 1539: 1524: 1518: 1515: 1509: 1506: 1500: 1497: 1491: 1488: 1482: 1479: 1473: 1470: 1464: 1461: 1455: 1452: 1446: 1443: 1437: 1434: 1428: 1425: 1419: 1416: 1410: 1407: 1401: 1398: 1392: 1389: 1383: 1380: 1374: 1371: 1365: 1362: 1356: 1353: 1347: 1344: 1338: 1335: 1329: 1326: 1320: 1317: 1311: 1308: 1302: 1299: 1293: 1290: 1284: 1281: 1275: 1272: 1266: 1263: 1257: 1254: 1248: 1245: 1239: 1236: 1230: 1227: 1221: 1218: 1212: 1209: 1203: 1200: 1194: 1193:Campbell, 79, 98 1191: 1185: 1182: 1176: 1173: 1167: 1164: 1158: 1157:Highton, 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1277: 1271: 1268: 1262: 1259: 1253: 1250: 1244: 1241: 1238:Campbell, 104 1235: 1232: 1226: 1223: 1217: 1214: 1208: 1205: 1199: 1196: 1190: 1187: 1181: 1178: 1172: 1169: 1163: 1160: 1154: 1151: 1145: 1142: 1136: 1133: 1127: 1124: 1121:Dennison, 441 1118: 1115: 1109: 1106: 1100: 1097: 1091: 1088: 1085:Nicholson, 11 1082: 1079: 1073: 1070: 1064: 1060: 1057: 1055: 1052: 1050: 1047: 1045: 1044:Voting system 1042: 1041: 1037: 1035: 1029: 1028: 1023: 1022:United States 1019: 1015: 1014:Spatial Model 1011: 1007: 1006: 1001: 997: 990: 988: 985: 984:Larry Bartels 980: 978: 974: 970: 964: 962: 958: 954: 953:John Anderson 950: 946: 942: 941:Ronald Reagan 938: 934: 930: 925: 922: 918: 910: 908: 906: 905:green parties 902: 898: 897:radical right 893: 891: 887: 882: 880: 876: 874: 873:death penalty 870: 866: 862: 860: 856: 852: 848: 844: 836: 834: 831: 826: 825: 818: 815: 814: 809: 805: 801: 797: 793: 792: 783: 781: 779: 773: 771: 766: 762: 760: 756: 752: 748: 744: 739: 736: 728: 726: 724: 720: 716: 712: 708: 707:public policy 704: 700: 696: 692: 679: 674: 672: 667: 665: 660: 659: 657: 656: 653: 648: 643: 642: 631: 628: 626: 623: 621: 620:Secret ballot 618: 616: 613: 612: 611: 610: 605: 600: 597: 595: 592: 590: 587: 585: 582: 580: 577: 575: 572: 571: 570: 569: 563: 558: 557: 548: 547:Protest votes 544: 539: 538:Voter turnout 536: 534: 533:Voter fatigue 531: 529: 526: 524: 521: 519: 516: 514: 511: 509: 506: 504: 501: 499: 496: 495: 494: 493: 485: 484: 473: 470: 468: 465: 463: 460: 458: 455: 453: 450: 448: 445: 444: 443: 442: 439: 438:Protest votes 435: 430: 427: 425: 422: 420: 417: 415: 412: 410: 409:Fusion voting 407: 405: 402: 401: 400: 399: 391: 390: 379: 376: 374: 371: 369: 366: 364: 361: 359: 356: 354: 351: 349: 346: 344: 341: 339: 336: 334: 331: 330: 329: 328: 325: 321: 316: 313: 311: 308: 306: 303: 301: 298: 296: 293: 291: 288: 287: 286: 285: 282: 278: 273: 270: 268: 265: 263: 260: 258: 255: 253: 250: 248: 245: 244: 243: 242: 239: 235: 230: 225: 224: 213: 210: 208: 205: 203: 200: 199: 198: 197: 194: 190: 185: 182: 180: 177: 175: 172: 170: 169:Postal voting 167: 165: 164:Polling place 162: 160: 157: 155: 152: 150: 147: 145: 142: 140: 137: 136: 135: 134: 129: 124: 121: 119: 116: 114: 111: 109: 106: 105: 104: 103: 100: 96: 92: 87: 86:Sample ballot 84: 82: 79: 77: 74: 73: 72: 71: 68: 64: 56: 55: 51: 47: 46: 43: 39: 36: 32: 31: 26: 22: 21:social choice 2368:(1): 41–63. 2365: 2359: 2326: 2320: 2287: 2281: 2248: 2242: 2199: 2193: 2123: 2117: 2097: 2091: 2037: 2031: 2012: 2006: 1975: 1971: 1950: 1946: 1914:(1): 19–36. 1911: 1907: 1880: 1876: 1859: 1855: 1828: 1824: 1787: 1781: 1751:(1): 78–91. 1748: 1742: 1710:Bisnow, Mark 1692: 1683: 1674: 1665: 1656: 1651:Campbell, 93 1647: 1638: 1629: 1620: 1611: 1602: 1593: 1584: 1575: 1566: 1557: 1548: 1536:. Retrieved 1532: 1522: 1513: 1504: 1495: 1486: 1477: 1468: 1459: 1450: 1441: 1432: 1423: 1414: 1405: 1396: 1387: 1378: 1369: 1360: 1351: 1342: 1333: 1324: 1315: 1306: 1297: 1288: 1279: 1270: 1261: 1252: 1243: 1234: 1225: 1216: 1211:Denver,21-23 1207: 1202:Carmines, 78 1198: 1189: 1180: 1171: 1162: 1153: 1144: 1135: 1126: 1117: 1112:Campbell, 98 1108: 1099: 1090: 1081: 1072: 1033: 994: 981: 965: 949:Jimmy Carter 926: 914: 901:radical left 894: 886:labor unions 883: 877: 863: 843:polarization 840: 829: 822: 819: 811: 790: 787: 774: 767: 763: 755:party voting 740: 732: 691:issue voting 690: 687: 615:Election ink 599:Voter caging 508:Likely voter 429:Vote pairing 404:Issue voting 403: 202:Popular vote 184:Voting booth 149:Early voting 33:Part of the 2141:11244/25408 1427:Kessel, 461 1409:Kessel, 460 973:Afghanistan 957:containment 917:dichotomous 884:Members of 859:Independent 833:had risen. 723:candidates' 717:respective 715:candidates' 589:Vote buying 472:Spoilt vote 452:Donkey vote 179:Vote center 159:Open ballot 2412:Categories 2236:0735101876 1993:1814/45127 1898:1814/75387 1703:References 1669:Niemi,1212 1490:Bisnow, 24 1481:Kirkendall 1229:Moore, 246 1220:Moore, 245 1184:Denver, 21 1175:Denver, 20 1148:Denver, 20 1130:Denver, 21 1103:Denver, 21 1094:Denver, 20 1076:Denver, 19 890:gay rights 757:, whereas 719:principles 607:Prevention 447:Abstention 315:Spare vote 305:Party-list 139:Ballot box 131:Collection 113:Electorate 95:Candidates 2423:Elections 2390:144293995 2351:145664726 2273:143631621 2224:154743674 2150:154949765 2077:MIT Press 2062:147030583 1957:: 25–36. 1847:140857433 1812:152635457 1773:144834312 1588:Borre, 20 1570:Borre, 19 1552:Borre, 19 1382:Frank, 25 1301:Nie 47-73 933:Communism 921:education 865:Catholics 855:moderates 808:candidate 788:Prior to 735:candidate 701:based on 699:elections 689:The term 59:Balloting 1963:40342289 1804:30025956 1727:. (2001) 1678:Borre, 6 1660:Borre, 6 1642:Borre, 6 1606:Cho, 275 1533:LA Times 1508:Nie, 158 1499:Nie, 158 1445:Nie, 158 1418:Nie, 158 1400:Nie, 158 1364:Nie, 172 1319:Nie, 172 1038:See also 869:pro-life 849:and the 193:Counting 174:Precinct 2382:2130283 2343:1956436 2312:1161006 2304:1953842 2265:2130815 2216:2129245 2054:1957789 1941:, 1984. 1934:. 2008. 1765:1955648 1538:26 July 935:in the 67:Ballots 2418:Voting 2400:  2388:  2380:  2349:  2341:  2310:  2302:  2271:  2263:  2234:  2222:  2214:  2174:  2164:  2148:  2083:  2060:  2052:  1961:  1930:  1845:  1810:  1802:  1771:  1763:  1734:  1723:  903:, and 729:Causes 695:voters 123:Ticket 42:Voting 2386:S2CID 2378:JSTOR 2347:S2CID 2339:JSTOR 2308:S2CID 2300:JSTOR 2269:S2CID 2261:JSTOR 2220:S2CID 2212:JSTOR 2190:(PDF) 2146:S2CID 2058:S2CID 2050:JSTOR 1959:JSTOR 1953:(8). 1843:S2CID 1808:S2CID 1800:JSTOR 1769:S2CID 1761:JSTOR 1065:Notes 770:party 207:Tally 118:Slate 2398:ISBN 2232:ISBN 2172:ISBN 2162:ISBN 2081:ISBN 1955:SAGE 1928:ISBN 1732:ISBN 1721:ISBN 1540:2014 1012:The 977:Iraq 975:and 97:and 19:For 2370:doi 2331:doi 2292:doi 2253:doi 2204:doi 2136:hdl 2128:doi 2102:doi 2042:doi 2017:doi 1988:hdl 1980:doi 1916:doi 1893:hdl 1885:doi 1864:doi 1833:doi 1792:doi 1788:114 1753:doi 947:), 2414:: 2384:. 2376:. 2366:44 2364:. 2345:. 2337:. 2327:83 2325:. 2306:. 2298:. 2288:64 2286:. 2267:. 2259:. 2249:47 2247:. 2218:. 2210:. 2200:36 2198:. 2192:. 2160:, 2144:. 2134:. 2122:. 2098:42 2096:. 2079:. 2056:. 2048:. 2038:66 2036:. 2013:32 2011:. 2005:. 1986:. 1974:. 1949:. 1910:. 1891:. 1881:15 1879:. 1860:17 1858:. 1841:. 1829:18 1827:. 1823:. 1806:. 1798:. 1786:. 1767:. 1759:. 1749:74 1747:. 1719:. 1531:. 907:. 899:, 806:, 2392:. 2372:: 2353:. 2333:: 2314:. 2294:: 2275:. 2255:: 2226:. 2206:: 2152:. 2138:: 2130:: 2124:7 2108:. 2104:: 2064:. 2044:: 2025:. 2019:: 1996:. 1990:: 1982:: 1976:8 1965:. 1951:8 1922:. 1918:: 1912:9 1901:. 1895:: 1887:: 1870:. 1866:: 1849:. 1835:: 1814:. 1794:: 1775:. 1755:: 1542:. 677:e 670:t 663:v 27:.

Index

social choice
multi-issue voting
Politics series
Voting

Ballots
Absentee ballot
Provisional ballot
Sample ballot
Candidates
Ballot measures
Write-in candidate
Electorate
Slate
Ticket
Ballot box
Compulsory voting
Early voting
Electronic voting
Open ballot
Polling place
Postal voting
Precinct
Vote center
Voting booth
Counting
Popular vote
Tally
Voting machine
Electoral systems

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