83:, where he held positions of Chief of the Economic Research and Analysis Division and assistant director for Program Planning and Evaluation at the Census Bureau. He played a crucial role in the creation of a computerised technique for seasonally adjusting economic time series and was a significant contributor to the advancement of the
110:
The 's definition of a recession is, however, known to only a small number of specialists in business cycle studies. Many people use a much simpler definitionâa twoâquarter decline in real . While this definition is simplistic, it has worked quite well in the
119:
has "called" recession starts and ends, which it defines as "a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months" and involves examination of the depth, diffusion, and duration of the decline.
87:
program. Shiskin joined the Office of
Management and Budget in 1969 and assumed the role of Commissioner of Labour Statistics in 1973. While he was in this post, the United States experienced the most severe economic downturn since the
149:
Legislative
History of H.R. 17607, 89th Congress: Suspension of the Investment Credit and the Allowance of Accelerated Depreciation in the Case of Certain Real Property, Public Law 89-800. Eighty-ninth Congress, Second
128:
The annual Julius
Shiskin Award for Outstanding Achievement in Economic Statistics is sponsored by the Washington Statistical Society, American Statistical Association, and National Association of Business Economists.
115:
Many have since maintained that this two-quarter rule-of-thumb is the official definition of a recession in the United States. Since 1978, however, the
Business Cycle Dating Committee of the
147:
422:
44:
continues to be considered by many as the official definition. He authored two books and numerous articles in the field of statistics, and served as the ninth U.S. Commissioner of the
252:
68:
Shiskin taught economics and statistics at the
Rutgers university between the years of 1934 and 1938. From 1938 through 1942, he worked as a staff assistant for the
235:
Agencies, United States
Congress House Committee on Appropriations Subcommittee on Departments of Labor, and Health, Education, and Welfare, and Related (1976).
437:
214:
236:
442:
417:
383:
89:
387:
116:
69:
32:(October 13, 1912 â October 28, 1978) was an American economist. He is known for his contributions to establishing rules in the field of
432:
427:
22:
447:
336:
56:
Shiskin was born in New York on
October 13, 1912, and completed his primary education in New Jersey where he graduated from
272:
195:
Nomination - First session on Julius
Shiskin, of Maryland, to be commissioner of labor statistics, department of labor
238:
Departments of Labor and Health, Education, and
Welfare Appropriations for 1977: Department of Labor related agencies
45:
194:
412:
407:
298:
73:
164:
33:
246:
57:
200:(Report). Hearing before the Committee on Human Resources United States Senate. October 6, 1977.
344:
310:
102:
84:
401:
80:
37:
314:
60:. He was married to Frances Levine and they had two daughters, Laura and Carol.
369:
348:
41:
21:
146:
Means, United States
Congress House Committee on Ways and (1966).
20:
384:"Business Cycle Dating Procedure: Frequently Asked Questions"
72:, and from 1942 to 1945 he was the chief economist for the
219:. U.S. Government Printing Office. 1978. p. 2.
165:"The risk of redefining recession - May. 6, 2008"
153:. U.S. Government Printing Office. p. 1354.
423:Fellows of the American Statistical Association
273:"Julius Shiskin - History - U.S. Census Bureau"
241:. U.S. Government Printing Office. p. 632.
106:opinion piece about recessions, Shiskin wrote:
8:
251:: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (
271:US Census Bureau, Census History Staff.
372:. National Public Radio. June 24, 2022.
299:"In Memoriam: Julius Shiskin 1912â1978"
138:
244:
124:Memorial Award for Economic Statistics
7:
438:National Bureau of Economic Research
388:National Bureau of Economic Research
335:Shiskin, Julius (December 1, 1974).
266:
264:
262:
230:
228:
226:
209:
207:
189:
187:
185:
117:National Bureau of Economic Research
92:. Shiskin died on October 28, 1978.
70:National Bureau of Economic Research
443:United States Census Bureau people
14:
418:20th-century American economists
315:10.1080/00031305.1979.10482679
18:American economist (1912â1978)
1:
337:"The Changing Business Cycle"
48:from 1973 until his death.
464:
433:Rutgers University faculty
428:Bureau of Labor Statistics
297:Norwood, Janet L. (1979).
46:Bureau of Labor Statistics
448:Rutgers University alumni
303:The American Statistician
85:business-cycle statistics
113:
79:In 1945 he joined the
36:. His 1974 unofficial
26:
108:
24:
370:"Recession referees"
216:Monthly Labor Review
96:Recession definition
74:War Production Board
52:Family and education
34:economic statistics
341:The New York Times
58:Rutgers University
27:
455:
392:
391:
380:
374:
373:
366:
360:
359:
357:
355:
332:
326:
325:
323:
321:
294:
288:
287:
285:
283:
268:
257:
256:
250:
242:
232:
221:
220:
211:
202:
201:
199:
191:
180:
179:
177:
175:
161:
155:
154:
143:
90:Great Depression
40:definition of a
463:
462:
458:
457:
456:
454:
453:
452:
398:
397:
396:
395:
382:
381:
377:
368:
367:
363:
353:
351:
343:. p. 222.
334:
333:
329:
319:
317:
296:
295:
291:
281:
279:
270:
269:
260:
243:
234:
233:
224:
213:
212:
205:
197:
193:
192:
183:
173:
171:
163:
162:
158:
145:
144:
140:
135:
126:
98:
66:
54:
19:
12:
11:
5:
461:
459:
451:
450:
445:
440:
435:
430:
425:
420:
415:
410:
400:
399:
394:
393:
375:
361:
327:
289:
277:www.census.gov
258:
222:
203:
181:
156:
137:
136:
134:
131:
125:
122:
103:New York Times
97:
94:
65:
62:
53:
50:
30:Julius Shiskin
25:Julius Shiskin
17:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
460:
449:
446:
444:
441:
439:
436:
434:
431:
429:
426:
424:
421:
419:
416:
414:
411:
409:
406:
405:
403:
389:
385:
379:
376:
371:
365:
362:
350:
346:
342:
338:
331:
328:
316:
312:
308:
304:
300:
293:
290:
278:
274:
267:
265:
263:
259:
254:
248:
240:
239:
231:
229:
227:
223:
218:
217:
210:
208:
204:
196:
190:
188:
186:
182:
170:
169:money.cnn.com
166:
160:
157:
152:
151:
142:
139:
132:
130:
123:
121:
118:
112:
107:
105:
104:
95:
93:
91:
86:
82:
81:Census Bureau
77:
75:
71:
63:
61:
59:
51:
49:
47:
43:
39:
38:rule-of-thumb
35:
31:
23:
16:
378:
364:
352:. Retrieved
340:
330:
318:. Retrieved
306:
302:
292:
280:. Retrieved
276:
237:
215:
172:. Retrieved
168:
159:
148:
141:
127:
114:
109:
101:
99:
78:
67:
55:
29:
28:
15:
413:1978 deaths
408:1912 births
402:Categories
309:(3): 137.
133:References
100:In a 1974
349:0362-4331
247:cite book
42:recession
354:June 28,
320:July 23,
282:June 28,
174:June 28,
150:Session
347:
64:Career
198:(PDF)
111:past.
356:2023
345:ISSN
322:2023
284:2023
253:link
176:2023
311:doi
404::
386:.
339:.
307:33
305:.
301:.
275:.
261:^
249:}}
245:{{
225:^
206:^
184:^
167:.
76:.
390:.
358:.
324:.
313::
286:.
255:)
178:.
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.