366:, the "new view, carefully presented and rigorously modeled by Grinin and Korotayev, provides a richer and more nuanced version of the “Great Divergence,” bridging many of the differences between the traditional and California viewpoints. Yet they go further. Amazingly, by building a model utilizing human capital (education), global population growth, and regional productivity, they show how both the Great Divergence and the recent “Great Convergence” (the economic catching up of developing countries) are phases of the same process of global modernization."
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factor on the social life of modern society, analyses celebrities as a special stratum and reasons for the rapid increase in the importance of social role of personal celebrity. He argues that personal celebrity is to be added to the list of those features that determine the major forms of inequality
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is widely debated. Grinin argues that on the whole globalization contributes to the change and reduction of state sovereign powers, and he investigates the reasons and consequences of the deliberate voluntary reduction of sovereign prerogatives as most states voluntarily and deliberately limit the
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Leonid Grinin connects major technological achievements with the
Cybernetic revolution. He thinks that the technologies will develop in the direction of self-regulating systems which will penetrate many spheres starting from medicine to food production. With respect to possible dramatic changes of
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and Peter
Skalnik is not sufficient, and suggests that it should be modified as "Early State – Developed State – Mature State", emphasizing that the differences between developed and early states are no less pronounced than the ones between the former and the mature states.
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He is a
Research Professor and Director of the Volgograd Center for Social Research, Deputy Director of the Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting at the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences
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Grinin L. ‘People of celebrity’ as a new social stratum and elite. In
Hierarchy and Power in the History of Civilizations: Cultural Dimensions (pp. 183–206). / Ed. by Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev. Moscow: KRASAND, 2009.
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Grinin, Leonid; Grinin, Anton L. Global
Technological Perspectives in the Light of Cybernetic Revolution and Theory of Long Cycles. Journal of Globalization Studies. Volume 6, Number 2 / November 2015.
275:; Craft-Agrarian; Industrial; and Information-Scientific/Cybernetic. To clear up the chronology of the beginning of each respective stage he proposes the three production revolutions: the Agrarian or
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of historical process. The transition from one stage to another is the change of all basic characteristics of the respective stage. As the starting point of such a change Grinin proposes the
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Dr. Grinin is the author of more than 500 scholarly publications in
Russian and English, including 30 monographs and other scholarly publications dealing with his research interests
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the human organism he argues that they may rise unprecedented ethical issues and seriously damage many vital aspects of our life including family relations, gender, and morals.
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Edited by: Leonid E. Grinin, Robert L. Carneiro, Dmitri M. Bondarenko, Nikolay N. Kradin, and Andrey V. Korotayev. Volgograd: Uchitel
Publishing house, 2004. Pp. 88–136.
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people' suggests defining the stratum of people whose occupation is connected with celebrity and whose major capital is celebrity with the notion ‘people of celebrity’.
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Grinin L. Production
Revolutions and Periodization of History: A Comparative and Theoretic-mathematical Approach. Social Evolution & History. Vol. 6, num, 2, 2007.
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Social
Macroevolution: Growth of the World System Integrity and a System of Phase Transitions. World Futures, Volume 65, Issue 7 October 2009, pages 477–506
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Grinin L. Early State, Developed State, Mature State: The
Statehood Evolutionary Sequence. Social Evolution & History. Vol. 7, num. 1, 2008, pp. 67-81
346:/aromorphosis as a universal / widely diffused social innovation that raises social systems’ complexity, adaptability, integrity, and interconnectedness.
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Goldstone, Jack A. "Great Divergence and Great Convergence in a Global Perspective." Social Evolution & History 15.2 (2016): 197-198.
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A series of the almanacs dedicated to various aspects of the application of mathematical methods to the study of history and society
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Handbook of Revolutions in the 21st Century. The New Waves of Revolutions, and the Causes and Effects of Disruptive Political Change
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Grinin L. Globalization and Sovereignty: Why do States Abandon their Sovereign Prerogatives? Age of Globalization. Number 1, 2008
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Will the Global Crisis Lead to Global Transformations? 1. The Global Financial System: Pros and Cons (in coauthorship with
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Aromorphoses in Biological and Social Evolution: Some General Rules for Biological and Social Forms of Macroevolution
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and long-term development of the political systems, world-systems studies, revolutions, historical demography.
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Grinin insists that the two-stage scheme of the state macroevolution (Early State – Mature State) proposed by
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A quantitative analysis of worldwide long-term technology growth: From 40,000 BCE to the early 22nd century.
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Kondratieff Waves: Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century. Volgograd: Uchitel, 2012
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In the world political science the subject of change, ‘diffusion’, or ‘disappearing’ of national
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Islamism, Arab Spring, and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives
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and evolution of technologies, technological forecasting, periodization of history, political
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principle that describes the major qualitative stages of the development of the world
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Dynamics of technological growth rate and the forthcoming singularity. In:
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The 21st century Singularity and global futures. A Big History perspective
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Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing.
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Among other things it has been suggested by Grinin to view social
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Periodization of History: A theoretic-mathematical analysis (in
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studies, economic cycles, the long-term trends in the cultural
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The Evolution of Statehood From Early States to Global Society
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Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective
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Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective
223:. In 2012 he was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal by
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he has also made a significant contribution to the current
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Grinin, L. E., Grinin, A. L., & Korotayev, A. (2017).
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In 2012 he was awarded with the Gold Kondratieff Medal by
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The Early State and its Analogues: A Comparative Analysis
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Grinin also investigates the influence of the personal
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235:Leonid Grinin's current research interests include
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607:"The International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation"
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438:. Social Evolution & History. Vol. 3. 2004.
552:The International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation
422:. Volgograd: ‘Uchitel’ Publishing House, 2012.
225:the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation
195:Historical Psychology and Sociology of History
88:the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation
523:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
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376:Philosophy, Sociology, and Theory of History
503:Technological Forecasting and Social Change
430:Early state, its Alternatives and Analogues
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201:(all in Russian), and a co-editor of the
382:Productive Forces and Historical Process
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687:Leonid Grinin & Andrey Korotayev.
350:Great Divergence and Great Convergence
166:Volgograd State Pedagogical University
115:Volgograd Center for Social Research;
65:Volgograd State Pedagogical University
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209:, as well as co-editor of yearbooks
515:. Springer, Cham, 2020, pp 287–344
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799:21st-century Russian philosophers
789:N. D. Kondratieff Medal laureates
570:Journal of Globalization Studies
296:Development of political systems
287:Future technological development
207:Journal of Globalization Studies
804:21st-century Russian historians
764:20th-century Russian historians
400:Global Crisis in Retroespective
172:in 1980. He got his Ph.D. from
419:Macrohistory and Globalization
259:Grinin suggests a four-staged
203:Social Evolution & History
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309:Globalization and sovereignty
145:; born in 1958) is a Russian
78:and typology of state systems
394:State and Historical Process
388:Formations and Civilizations
318:scope of their sovereignty.
32:1958 (age 65–66)
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444:History & Mathematics
436:Democracy and Early State
211:History & Mathematics
164:Region), Grinin attended
143:Леони́д Ефи́мович Гри́нин
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255:Periodization of history
794:Philosophers of history
779:History journal editors
362:debate. As is noted by
174:Moscow State University
135:Leonid Efimovich Grinin
705:(Springer, 2015, with
484:(Springer, 2015, with
468:. <co-editor, with
199:Philosophy and Society
774:World system scholars
281:Industrial Revolution
239:and macro-evolution,
191:History and Modernity
106:philosophy of history
769:Russian sociologists
759:People from Kamyshin
406:, 2010, in Russian).
331:and by analogy with
277:Neolithic Revolution
370:Select bibliography
322:People of celebrity
231:Major contributions
557:2013-10-12 at the
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749:1958 births
525:155 (2020)
315:sovereignty
237:Big History
147:philosopher
51:Nationality
743:Categories
617:2012-08-22
344:anagenesis
265:production
594:Evolution
328:celebrity
245:evolution
215:Evolution
176:in 1996.
162:Volgograd
119:- Moscow
734:Homepage
592:almanac
555:Archived
158:Kamyshin
156:Born in
36:Kamyshin
151:history
139:Russian
55:Russian
428:. In
279:; the
102:Fields
83:Awards
539:Notes
160:(the
472:and
335:'s '
213:and
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170:M.A.
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