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Lies, damned lies, and statistics

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31: 218:, page 74 November 26, 1885: "A well-known lawyer, now a judge, once grouped witnesses into three classes: simple liars, damned liars, and experts. He did not mean that the expert uttered things which he knew to be untrue, but that by the emphasis which he laid on certain statements, and by what has been defined as a highly cultivated faculty of evasion, the effect was actually worse than if he had." 145:
on June 8, 1891, published June 13, 1891, p. 93(–94): NATIONAL PENSIONS London, 8 June 1891 "Sir, —It has been wittily remarked that there are three kinds of falsehood: the first is a 'fib,' the second is a downright lie, and the third and most aggravated is statistics. It is on statistics and
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1868 ff.; 1882–4 President of the Statistical Society): "An old jest runs to the effect that there are three degrees of comparison among liars. There are liars, there are outrageous liars, and there are scientific experts. This has lately been adapted to throw dirt upon statistics. There are three
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ADDRESSES, PAPERS AND DISCUSSIONS IN THE SECTION ON ... SURGERY AND ANATOMY AT THE Forty-Fifth Annual Meeting OF THE American Medical Association, ... HELD AT ... SAN FRANCISCO, CAL., JUNE 5–8, 1894., CHICAGO: PRINTED AT THE OFFICE OF THE JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION,
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Gaither's Dictionary of Scientific Quotations: A Collection of Approximately 27,000 Quotations Pertaining to Archaeology, Architecture, Astronomy, Biology, Botany, Chemistry, Cosmology, Darwinism, Engineering, Geology, Mathematics, Medicine, Nature, Nursing, Paleontology, Philosophy, Physics
135:
The phrase is quoted frequently in 1895, but here is a 1894 example: "His less enthusiastic neighbor thinks of the proverbial kinds of falsehoods, “lies, damned lies, and statistics,” and replies: “Reports of large numbers of cases subjected to operation seldom fail to beget a suspicion of
92:
in 1907. "Figures often beguile me," Twain wrote, "particularly when I have the arranging of them myself; in which case the remark attributed to Disraeli would often apply with justice and force: 'There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.'"
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was held Wednesday night to protest against certain dismissals from one of the quarries ...." He observed that the speeches of the Bishops on the disestablishment question reminded him that there were three degrees of untruth—a fib, a lie, and statistics
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and confronted with statistical numbers he believed to be manufactured, this French physiologist stated: "Thus the alteration of the truth which is already manifesting itself in the progressive form of lying and perjury, offers us, in the
72:. However, the phrase is not found in any of Disraeli's works and the earliest known appearances were years after his death. Several other people have been listed as originators of the quote, and it is often attributed to Twain himself. 261:, the statistics." In White's opinion, the world had a need of this phrase, many people "would have been proud" to coin it, and the origins are now obscured, as the phrase passed "from wit to wit". White is referring to the work of 204:
the paper was previously read at a meeting of the Australasian Association for the Advancement of Science at Hobart in January 1892. Robert Giffen (1837–1910, Walter Bagehot's assistant editor at
352: 1014: 775:, p. 15, Ainsi l'altération de la vérité qui se manifeste déjà sous la forme progressive du mensonge et du parjure, nous offre-t-elle, au superlatif, la statistique. 265:, however, Delaunay's text, while using the phrase, does not explicitly attribute it to Magendie. John Bibby and David R. Bellhouse also mention Magendie's authorship. 128:
as attributing the phrase to a "wise statesman", but he may have been referring to a future statesman rather than a past one. The phrase has also been attributed to
624: 117: 1153: 179:"Sir Charles Dilke was saying the other day that false statements might be arranged according to their degree under three heads, fibs, lies, and statistics." 156:
questioner, signing as "St Swithin", asked for the originator of the phrase, indicating common usage even at that date. The pseudonym has been attributed to
139:
A Dictionary of English Folklore claims that the earliest instance resembling the phrase found in print is a letter written in the British newspaper
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The Derby Mercury (Derby, England), October 21, 1891; Issue 9223 "Sir Charles Dilke and the Bishops" "A mass meeting of the slate quarry-men of
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There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies and statistics. attributed to Disraeli in Mark Twain Autobiography (1924) vol. 1;
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Quotes, Damned Quotes, And-: An Anthology of Sayings, Epithets, and Witticisms - Several of Them Something to Do with Statistics
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in 1892, was a variation on a phrase about three types of unreliable witnesses, a liar, a damned liar, and an expert from the
171: 82: 319:
Lies, Damned Lies, and Drug War Statistics: A Critical Analysis of Claims Made by the Office of National Drug Control Policy
146:
on the absence of statistics that the advocate of national pensions relies ..." Later, in October 1891, as a query in
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list archives include numerous posts by Stephen Goranson that cite research into uses soon after the above. They include:
229:, noted "Talked politics, scandal, and the three classes of witnesses—liars, d—d liars, and experts." Quoted in 1900 in 348:, the form of cancer with which he was diagnosed in 1982, has a "median survival time of eight months" is misleading. 1244: 1184: 516: 241: 211:
degrees of comparison, it is said, in lying. There are lies, there are outrageous lies, and there are statistics."
113: 121: 1229: 164: 756: 677: 390: 345: 230: 105: 822: 301: 141: 1023: 1191: 1054: 1008: 463: 174:(1843–1911) is reported twice in October 1891 to have used the phrase, without attributing it to others: 88: 991:[There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics. Etymology of the aphorism]. 281: 1162: 245: 101: 1239: 712: 226: 109: 975: 967: 932: 916: 737: 665: 567: 542: 58: 61:. It is also sometimes colloquially used to doubt statistics used to prove an opponent's point. 839: 489: 17: 1173: 1118: 1060: 1033: 924: 852: 844: 594: 588: 496: 468: 402: 341: 326: 308: 148: 69: 39: 1081: 1203: 996: 957: 908: 834: 689: 534: 394: 201: 398: 1114: 285: 298:
Damned Lies and Statistics: Untangling Numbers from the Media, Politicians, and Activists
521:"Parliamentary representation in England illustrated by the elections of 1892 and 1895" 97: 1000: 733: 644:
SOME SURGICAL SINS. ADDRESS OF CHAIRMAN OF THE SECTION. BY JOHN B. ROBERTS, A.M., M.D.
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The phrase has been used in the title of a number of popular expositions, including:
262: 249: 206: 197: 760: 962: 945: 912: 988: 1027: 989:"Существуют три вида обмана: ложь, наглая ложь и статистика. Этимология афоризма" 458: 1024:"Les doctrines médicales au début du XIXe siècle. Louis et la méthode numérique" 278:
Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics: The Manipulation of Public Opinion in America
258: 157: 669: 454: 322: 187: 65: 50: 35: 971: 928: 920: 848: 294:(1985), by John Bibby – an attempt to untangle the history of this quotation. 34:
The origin of the phrase "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" is unclear, but
304: 153: 871:"The West Wing: Season 1, Episode 21 : Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics" 856: 120:, who used the phrase in 1895 and two years later became president of the 54: 870: 1131: 936: 896: 546: 344:
begins by repeating this quote. Gould explains how the statistic that
222: 590:
Anglo-Norman Studies XIX: Proceedings of the Battle Conference, 1996
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Alternative attributions include, among many others (for example
68:(among others), who attributed it to the British prime minister 1135: 292:
Quotes, Damned Quotes ..... some of them to do with statistics
248:(1783–1855). According to White, while arguing against using 763:(2 vols), London: Macmillan 1900, Vol. I, pp. 255, 257–258. 495:, Springer Science & Business Media, p. 2399, 321:(2014), by Matthew B. Robinson & Renee G. Scherlen 425: 423: 421: 488:Gaither, Carl C.; Cavazos-Gaither, Alma E. (2012), 64:The phrase was popularized in the United States by 1110:Statistics Done Wrong: The Woefully Complete Guide 614: 1013:: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of September 2024 ( 351:"Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics" is the title of 57:, "one of the best, and best-known" critiques of 49:" is a phrase describing the persuasive power of 1147: 225:meeting held on 5 December 1885, recorded by 8: 761:The Life and Letters of Thomas Henry Huxley 593:. Boydell & Brewer Ltd. pp. 307–. 235:The Life and Letters of Thomas Henry Huxley 1154: 1140: 1132: 1095:(3). Statistical Society of Canada: 43–45. 840:10.1001/virtualmentor.2013.15.1.mnar1-1301 558: 556: 378: 376: 374: 987:Деружинский, Григорий Викторович (2015). 961: 838: 808: 784: 526:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 441: 130:Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington 616:"How to succeed by stating the obvious" 370: 27:Phrase criticising misuse of statistics 1032:(in French). Oxford University Press. 1006: 693:2 (6) (1892), 209–238, first paragraph 125: 796: 772: 429: 116:, and British politician and scholar 80:Mark Twain popularized the saying in 7: 1179:Correlation does not imply causation 399:10.1093/acref/9780199237173.001.0001 946:"Truth, Damn Truth, and Statistics" 734:"Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics" 564:"Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics" 181:The Bristol Mercury and Daily Post 108:English journalist and politician 25: 1198:Lies, damned lies, and statistics 1001:10.34023/2313-6383-2015-0-6-85-88 47:Lies, damned lies, and statistics 674:A Dictionary of English Folklore 587:Christopher Harper-Bill (1997). 459:"Chapters from My Autobiography" 950:Journal of Statistics Education 944:Velleman, Paul F. (July 2008). 627:from the original on 2022-06-14 386:Oxford Dictionary of Quotations 383:Elizabeth Knowles, ed. (2009). 18:Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics 1082:"Un jour, ce fut mon tour ..." 1029:Science, Medicine, and History 963:10.1080/10691898.2008.11889565 913:10.1080/00031305.1964.10482634 897:"Unkind Cuts at Statisticians" 895:White, Colin (December 1964). 823:"The Median Isn't the Message" 353:episode 21 in the first season 83:Chapters from My Autobiography 1: 1107:Reinhart, Alex (March 2015). 550:. The quote is on p. 87. 1080:Bellhouse, David R. (1987). 1026:. In Underwood, E.A. (ed.). 338:The Median Isn't the Message 214:That phrase can be found in 821:Gould, S. J. (2013-01-01). 172:Sir Charles Wentworth Dilke 1261: 1185:How to Lie with Statistics 183:, Monday, October 19, 1891 114:Jervoise Athelstane Baines 1169: 995:(in Russian) (6): 85–88. 901:The American Statistician 713:"Nature November 26 1885" 122:Royal Statistical Society 1059:. J. Bibby. p. 30. 196:The phrase, as noted by 165:American Dialect Society 124:. Courtney is quoted by 1022:Delaunay, Paul (1953). 702:1892 Jan talk, June pub 678:Oxford University Press 391:Oxford University Press 346:peritoneal mesothelioma 110:Henry Du Pré Labouchère 1003:(inactive 2024-09-12). 302:University of Delaware 282:W. W. Norton & Co. 280:, by Michael Wheeler ( 244:traces the origins to 136:unjustifiable risk.”" 42: 1192:Impression management 827:AMA Journal of Ethics 464:North American Review 89:North American Review 33: 1235:Misuse of statistics 1163:Misuse of statistics 1053:Bibby, John (1986). 102:Arthur James Balfour 227:Thomas Henry Huxley 118:Leonard H. Courtney 86:, published in the 993:Вопросы статистики 738:University of York 666:Jacqueline Simpson 568:University of York 59:applied statistics 43: 1245:Benjamin Disraeli 1217: 1216: 1174:Circular analysis 1066:978-0-946544-01-1 1039:978-0-598-60762-1 672:(Editor) (2003). 600:978-0-85115-707-8 469:Project Gutenberg 342:Stephen Jay Gould 246:François Magendie 149:Notes and Queries 142:National Observer 70:Benjamin Disraeli 40:Benjamin Disraeli 38:attributed it to 16:(Redirected from 1252: 1204:Misleading graph 1156: 1149: 1142: 1133: 1128: 1096: 1086: 1076: 1074: 1073: 1049: 1047: 1046: 1018: 1012: 1004: 983: 965: 940: 882: 881: 879: 878: 867: 861: 860: 842: 818: 812: 806: 800: 794: 788: 782: 776: 770: 764: 754: 748: 747: 745: 744: 730: 724: 723: 721: 720: 709: 703: 700: 694: 690:Economic Journal 686: 680: 663: 657: 651: 645: 642: 636: 635: 633: 632: 618: 611: 605: 604: 584: 578: 577: 575: 574: 560: 551: 549: 513: 507: 505: 485: 479: 478: 476: 475: 451: 445: 439: 433: 427: 416: 415: 380: 288:paperback 1978). 221:A minute of the 202:Economic Journal 53:to bolster weak 21: 1260: 1259: 1255: 1254: 1253: 1251: 1250: 1249: 1230:English phrases 1220: 1219: 1218: 1213: 1165: 1160: 1125: 1117:. p. 176. 1115:No Starch Press 1106: 1103: 1101:Further reading 1084: 1079: 1071: 1069: 1067: 1052: 1044: 1042: 1040: 1021: 1005: 986: 943: 894: 891: 886: 885: 876: 874: 869: 868: 864: 820: 819: 815: 807: 803: 795: 791: 783: 779: 771: 767: 757:Huxley, Leonard 755: 751: 742: 740: 732: 731: 727: 718: 716: 711: 710: 706: 701: 697: 687: 683: 664: 660: 652: 648: 643: 639: 630: 628: 621:The Independent 613: 612: 608: 601: 586: 585: 581: 572: 570: 562: 561: 554: 539:10.2307/2979754 515: 514: 510: 503: 487: 486: 482: 473: 471: 453: 452: 448: 440: 436: 428: 419: 409: 382: 381: 372: 367: 271: 78: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1258: 1256: 1248: 1247: 1242: 1237: 1232: 1222: 1221: 1215: 1214: 1212: 1211: 1206: 1201: 1194: 1189: 1181: 1176: 1170: 1167: 1166: 1161: 1159: 1158: 1151: 1144: 1136: 1130: 1129: 1124:978-1593276201 1123: 1102: 1099: 1098: 1097: 1077: 1065: 1050: 1038: 1019: 984: 941: 890: 887: 884: 883: 862: 813: 809:Bellhouse 1987 801: 789: 787:, p. 326. 777: 765: 749: 725: 704: 695: 681: 658: 646: 637: 623:. 1998-03-28. 606: 599: 579: 552: 519:(March 1896), 508: 501: 480: 457:(1906-09-07). 446: 434: 417: 407: 389:(7 ed.). 369: 368: 366: 363: 334: 333: 316: 313:978-0520219786 295: 289: 270: 267: 239: 238: 231:Leonard Huxley 219: 212: 193: 192: 184: 176: 175: 98:Walter Bagehot 77: 74: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1257: 1246: 1243: 1241: 1238: 1236: 1233: 1231: 1228: 1227: 1225: 1210: 1209:Sampling bias 1207: 1205: 1202: 1199: 1195: 1193: 1190: 1187: 1186: 1182: 1180: 1177: 1175: 1172: 1171: 1168: 1164: 1157: 1152: 1150: 1145: 1143: 1138: 1137: 1134: 1126: 1120: 1116: 1112: 1111: 1105: 1104: 1100: 1094: 1090: 1083: 1078: 1068: 1062: 1058: 1057: 1051: 1041: 1035: 1031: 1030: 1025: 1020: 1016: 1010: 1002: 998: 994: 990: 985: 981: 977: 973: 969: 964: 959: 955: 951: 947: 942: 938: 934: 930: 926: 922: 918: 914: 910: 906: 902: 898: 893: 892: 888: 872: 866: 863: 858: 854: 850: 846: 841: 836: 832: 828: 824: 817: 814: 811:, p. 45. 810: 805: 802: 799:, p. 30. 798: 793: 790: 786: 785:Delaunay 1953 781: 778: 774: 769: 766: 762: 758: 753: 750: 739: 735: 729: 726: 714: 708: 705: 699: 696: 692: 691: 685: 682: 679: 675: 671: 667: 662: 659: 656: 650: 647: 641: 638: 626: 622: 617: 610: 607: 602: 596: 592: 591: 583: 580: 569: 565: 559: 557: 553: 548: 544: 540: 536: 533:(1): 38–124, 532: 528: 527: 522: 518: 517:Baines, J. A. 512: 509: 504: 502:9781461411147 498: 494: 493: 484: 481: 470: 466: 465: 460: 456: 450: 447: 443: 442:Velleman 2008 438: 435: 432:, p. 15. 431: 426: 424: 422: 418: 414: 410: 408:9780199237173 404: 400: 396: 392: 388: 387: 379: 377: 375: 371: 364: 362: 361: 359: 358:The West Wing 355:of NBC drama 354: 349: 347: 343: 339: 332: 331:9781438448381 328: 324: 320: 317: 314: 310: 306: 303: 299: 296: 293: 290: 287: 283: 279: 276: 275: 274: 268: 266: 264: 263:Paul Delaunay 260: 255: 251: 250:blood-letting 247: 243: 236: 232: 228: 224: 220: 217: 213: 209: 208: 207:The Economist 203: 199: 198:Robert Giffen 195: 194: 189: 185: 182: 178: 177: 173: 170: 169: 168: 166: 161: 159: 155: 151: 150: 144: 143: 137: 133: 131: 127: 126:Baines (1896) 123: 119: 115: 112:(1831–1912), 111: 107: 103: 99: 94: 91: 90: 85: 84: 75: 73: 71: 67: 62: 60: 56: 52: 48: 41: 37: 32: 19: 1197: 1183: 1109: 1092: 1088: 1070:. Retrieved 1055: 1043:. 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IMDb.com 797:Bibby 1986 773:White 1964 743:2011-05-14 719:2015-07-07 670:Steve Roud 668:(Editor), 631:2017-02-22 573:2007-05-23 474:2007-05-23 455:Mark Twain 430:White 1964 365:References 336:The essay 323:SUNY Press 66:Mark Twain 51:statistics 36:Mark Twain 980:117611755 972:1069-1898 956:(2): 97. 929:0003-1305 921:1537-2731 849:2376-6980 252:to treat 188:Festiniog 55:arguments 857:23356812 625:Archived 937:2682462 889:Sources 547:2979754 106:radical 104:), the 76:History 1188:(1954) 1121:  1089:Liason 1063:  1036:  978:  970:  935:  927:  919:  855:  847:  715:. 1869 597:  545:  499:  405:  329:  311:  284:1976; 223:X Club 216:Nature 152:, the 1085:(PDF) 976:S2CID 968:eISSN 933:JSTOR 917:eISSN 655:1894. 543:JSTOR 254:fever 1119:ISBN 1061:ISBN 1034:ISBN 1015:link 925:ISSN 853:PMID 845:ISSN 595:ISBN 497:ISBN 403:ISBN 327:ISBN 309:ISBN 286:Dell 269:Uses 163:The 100:and 997:doi 958:doi 909:doi 835:doi 535:doi 492:... 395:doi 340:by 233:'s 1226:: 1113:. 1091:. 1087:. 1011:}} 1007:{{ 974:. 966:. 954:16 952:. 948:. 931:. 923:. 915:. 905:18 903:. 899:. 851:. 843:. 831:15 829:. 825:. 759:, 736:. 676:. 619:. 566:. 555:^ 541:, 531:59 529:, 523:, 467:. 461:. 420:^ 411:. 401:. 393:. 373:^ 325:; 315:). 160:. 132:. 1200:" 1196:" 1155:e 1148:t 1141:v 1127:. 1093:1 1075:. 1048:. 1017:) 999:: 982:. 960:: 939:. 911:: 880:. 859:. 837:: 746:. 722:. 634:. 603:. 576:. 537:: 506:. 477:. 444:. 397:: 360:. 237:. 45:" 20:)

Index

Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics

Mark Twain
Benjamin Disraeli
statistics
arguments
applied statistics
Mark Twain
Benjamin Disraeli
Chapters from My Autobiography
North American Review
Walter Bagehot
Arthur James Balfour
radical
Henry Du Pré Labouchère
Jervoise Athelstane Baines
Leonard H. Courtney
Royal Statistical Society
Baines (1896)
Arthur Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington
National Observer
Notes and Queries
pseudonymous
Eliza Gutch
American Dialect Society
Sir Charles Wentworth Dilke
Festiniog
Robert Giffen
Economic Journal
The Economist

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