Knowledge (XXG)

Long-Term Capital Management

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748:) that would defer foreign interest income for seven years, thereby being able to earn the more favorable capital gains treatment. LTCM purchased a call option on 1 million of their own shares (valued then at $ 800 million) for a premium paid to UBS of $ 300 million. This transaction was completed in three tranches: in June, August, and October 1997. Under the terms of the deal, UBS agreed to reinvest the $ 300 million premium directly back into LTCM for a minimum of three years. In order to hedge its exposure from being short the call option, UBS also purchased 1 million of LTCM shares. Put-call parity means that being short a call and long the same amount of notional as underlying the call is equivalent to being short a put. So the net effect of the transaction was for UBS to lend $ 300 million to LTCM at LIBOR+50 and to be short a put on 1 million shares. UBS's own motivation for the trade was to be able to invest in LTCM – a possibility that was not open to investors generally – and to become closer to LTCM as a client. LTCM quickly became the largest client of the hedge fund desk, generating $ 15 million in fees annually. 912:
was a flight to quality, bidding up the prices of the most liquid and benchmark securities that LTCM was short, and depressing the price of the less liquid securities it owned. This phenomenon occurred not merely in the US Treasury market but across the full spectrum of financial assets. Although LTCM was diversified, the nature of its strategy implied an exposure to a latent factor risk of the price of liquidity across markets. As a consequence, when a much larger flight to liquidity occurred than had been anticipated when constructing its portfolio, its positions designed to profit from convergence to fair value incurred large losses as expensive but liquid securities became more expensive, and cheap but illiquid securities became cheaper. By the end of August, the fund had lost $ 1.85 billion in capital.
667:: a flattening would depress the yields and raise the prices of longer-dated bonds, and raise the yields and depress the prices of shorter-dated bonds. It would therefore tend to create losses by making the 30-year bond that LTCM was short more expensive (and the 29.75-year bond they owned cheaper) even if there had been no change in the true relative valuation of the securities. This exposure to the shape of the yield curve could be managed at a portfolio level, and hedged out by entering a smaller steepener in other similar securities. 1255:. Haghani, Hilibrand, Leahy, and Rosenfeld signed up as principals of the new firm. By December 1999, they had raised $ 250 million for a fund that would continue many of LTCM's strategies – this time, using less leverage. With the credit crisis of 2008, JWM Partners LLC was hit with a 44% loss from September 2007 to February 2009 in its Relative Value Opportunity II fund. As such, JWM Hedge Fund was shut down in July 2009. Meriwether then launched a third hedge fund in 2010 called JM Advisors Management. A 2014 446: 949: 929:
because in their belief the present value of the future cashflows of the two securities should be similar. This might have happened in the long run, but due to its losses on other positions, LTCM had to unwind its position in Royal Dutch Shell. Lowenstein reports that the premium of Royal Dutch had increased to about 22%, which implies that LTCM incurred a large loss on this arbitrage strategy. LTCM lost $ 286 million in equity
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yields). Whereas it is possible to construct a single set of valuation curves for derivative instruments based on LIBOR-type fixings, it is not possible to do so for government bond securities because every bond has slightly different characteristics. It is therefore necessary to construct a theoretical model of what the relationships between different but closely related fixed income securities should be.
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LTCM was therefore dependent on the willingness of its counterparties in the government bond (repo) market to continue to finance their portfolio. If the company were unable to extend its financing agreements, then it would be forced to sell the securities it owned and to buy back the securities it was short at market prices, regardless of whether these were favorable from a valuation perspective.
481: â€“ funds which accepted stakes from 100 or fewer individuals each with more than $ 1 million in net worth were exempt from most of the regulations that bound other investment companies. The bulk of the money raised, in late 1993, came from companies and individuals connected to the financial industry. With the help of Merrill Lynch, LTCM also secured hundreds of millions of dollars from 3181: 2858: 453: 1280:(VaR) models had implied that the loss Long Term suffered in August was so unlikely that it ought never to have happened in the entire life of the universe. But that was because the models were working with just five years' worth of data. If the models had gone back even eleven years, they would have captured the 911:
in August and September 1998, when the Russian government defaulted on its domestic local currency bonds. This came as a surprise to many investors because according to traditional economic thinking of the time, a sovereign issuer should never need to default given access to the printing press. There
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in the New York Times article of July 1998, returns that month were circa -10%. One LTCM partner commented that because there was a clear temporary reason to explain the widening of arbitrage spreads, at the time it gave them more conviction that these trades would eventually return to fair value (as
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LTCM's strategies were compared to "picking up nickels in front of a bulldozer" – a likely small gain balanced against a small chance of a large loss, like the payouts from selling an out-of-the-money naked call option. This contrasts with the market efficiency aphorism that there are no $ 100 bills
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LLP. After the bailout by the other investors, the panic abated, and the positions formerly held by LTCM were eventually liquidated at a small profit to the rescuers. Although termed a bailout, the transaction effectively amounted to an orderly liquidation of the positions held by LTCM with creditor
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business in July 1998. Because the Salomon arbitrage group (where many of LTCM's strategies had first been incubated) had been a significant player in the kinds of strategies also pursued by LTCM, the liquidation of the Salomon portfolio (and its announcement itself) had the effect of depressing the
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Although 1997 had been a very profitable year for LTCM (27%), the lingering effects of the 1997 Asian crisis continued to shape developments in asset markets into 1998. Despite the crisis originating in Asia, its effects were not confined to that region. The rise in risk aversion had raised concerns
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found in his research that stocks were bound to have extreme outliers. Furthermore, he believed that, because they are subject to discontinuous price changes, real-life markets are inherently more risky than models. He became even more concerned when LTCM began adding stocks to their bond portfolio.
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In Q4 1997, a year in which it earned 27%, LTCM returned capital to investors. It also broadened its strategies to include new approaches in markets outside of fixed income: many of these were not market neutral – they were dependent on overall interest rates or stock prices going up (or down) – and
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the newly issued benchmark 30-year, which traded at a premium. Over time the valuations of the two bonds would tend to converge as the richness of the benchmark faded once a new benchmark was issued. If the coupons of the two bonds were similar, then this trade would create an exposure to changes in
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in the US – known as the benchmark – will be more liquid than bonds of similar but slightly shorter maturity that were issued previously. Trading is concentrated in the benchmark bond, and transaction costs are lower for buying or selling it. As a consequence, it tends to trade more expensively than
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These ideas were expanded in a 2016 CFA article written by Ron Rimkusk, which pointed out that the VaR model, one of the major quantitative analysis tool by LTCM, had several flaws in it. A VaR model is calculated based on historical data, but the data sample used by LTCM excluded previous economic
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involvement and supervision by the Federal Reserve Bank. No public money was injected or directly at risk, and the companies involved in providing support to LTCM were also those that stood to lose from its failure. The creditors themselves did not lose money from being involved in the transaction.
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to create a portfolio that was a significant multiple (varying over time depending on their portfolio composition) of investors' equity in the fund. It was also necessary to access the financing market in order to borrow the securities that they had sold short. In order to maintain their portfolio,
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In return, the participating banks got a 90% share in the fund and a promise that a supervisory board would be established. LTCM's partners received a 10% stake, still worth about $ 400 million, but this money was completely consumed by their debts. The partners once had $ 1.9 billion of their own
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Long-Term Capital Management did business with nearly every important person on Wall Street. Indeed, much of LTCM's capital was composed of funds from the same financial professionals with whom it traded. As LTCM teetered, Wall Street feared that Long-Term's failure could cause a chain reaction in
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Although periods of distress have often created tremendous opportunities for relative value strategies, this did not prove to be the case on this occasion, and the seeds of LTCM's demise were sown before the Russian default of 17 August 1998. LTCM had returned $ 2.7 bn to investors in Q4 of 1997,
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in the summer of 1997, when Royal Dutch traded at an 8%–10% premium relative to Shell. In total $ 2.3 billion was invested, half of which was "long" in Shell and the other half was "short" in Royal Dutch. LTCM was essentially betting that the share prices of Royal Dutch and Shell would converge
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LTCM was open about its overall strategy, but very secretive about its specific operations, including scattering trades among banks. And in perhaps a disconcerting note, "since Long-Term was flourishing, no one needed to know exactly what they were doing. All they knew was that the profits were
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Because these losses reduced the capital base of LTCM, and its ability to maintain the magnitude of its existing portfolio, LTCM was forced to liquidate a number of its positions at a highly unfavorable moment and suffer further losses. A vivid illustration of the consequences of these forced
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Fixed income securities pay a set of coupons at specified dates in the future, and make a defined redemption payment at maturity. Since bonds of similar maturities and the same credit quality are close substitutes for investors, there tends to be a close relationship between their prices (and
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Because LTCM was not the only fund pursuing such a strategy, and because the proprietary trading desks of the banks also held some similar trades, the divergence from fair value was made worse as these other positions were also liquidated. As rumors of LTCM's difficulties spread, some market
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After the bailout, Long-Term Capital Management continued operations. In the year following the bailout, it earned 10%. By early 2000, the fund had been liquidated, and the consortium of banks that financed the bailout had been paid back, but the collapse was devastating for many involved.
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Under prevailing US tax laws, there was a different treatment of long-term capital gains, which were taxed at 20.0 percent, and income, which was taxed at 39.6 percent. The earnings for partners in a hedge fund was taxed at the higher rate applying to income, and LTCM applied its financial
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LTCM's profit percentage for 1996 was 40%. However, for 1997, it was "only" 17%, which was actually right at average for hedge funds. A big reason was that other companies were by now following LTCM's example; greater competition left fewer arbitrage opportunities for LTCM themselves.
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offered then to buy out the fund's partners for $ 250 million, to inject $ 3.75 billion and to operate LTCM within Goldman's own trading division. The offer of $ 250 million was stunningly low to LTCM's partners because at the start of the year their firm had been worth $ 4.7 billion.
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concludes that LTCM grew such a large portion of such illiquid markets that there was no diversity in buyers in them, or no buyers at all, so the wisdom of the market did not function and it was impossible to determine a price for its assets (such as Danish bonds in September 1998).
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Some industry officials said that Federal Reserve Bank of New York involvement in the rescue, however benign, would encourage large financial institutions to assume more risk, in the belief that the Federal Reserve would intervene on their behalf in the event of trouble (see
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participants positioned in anticipation of a forced liquidation. Victor Haghani, a partner at LTCM, said about this time "it was as if there was someone out there with our exact portfolio,... only it was three times as large as ours, and they were liquidating all at once."
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LTCM was initially successful, with annualized returns (after fees) of around 21% in its first year, 43% in its second year and 41% in its third year. However, in 1998 it lost $ 4.6 billion in less than four months due to a combination of high leverage and exposure to the
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dashed. The theories of Merton and Scholes took a public beating. In its annual reports, Merrill Lynch observed that mathematical risk models "may provide a greater sense of security than warranted; therefore, reliance on these models should be limited."
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As a result, LTCM began investing in emerging-market debt and foreign currencies. Some of the major partners, particularly Myron Scholes, had their doubts about these new investments. For example, when LTCM took a major position in the
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LTCM attempted to create a splinter fund in 1996 called LTCM-X that would invest in even higher risk trades and focus on Latin American markets. LTCM turned to UBS to invest in and write the warrant for this new spin-off company.
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The main strategy was to find pairs of bonds which should have a predictable spread between their prices, and then when this spread widened further to basically place a bet that the two prices would come back towards each other.
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Because the magnitude of discrepancies in valuations in this kind of trade is small (for the benchmark Treasury convergence trade, typically a few basis points), in order to earn significant returns for investors, LTCM used
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Opaqueness may have made even more of a difference and investors may have had even a harder time judging the risk involved when LTCM moved from bond arbitrage into arbitrage involving common stocks and corporate mergers.
509:-type strategies). In fixed income the company was involved in US Treasuries, Japanese Government Bonds, UK Gilts, Italian BTPs, and Latin American debt, although their activities were not confined to these markets or to 2395: 1379: 1271:
proposed that LTCM's collapse stemmed in part from their use of only five years of financial data to prepare their mathematical models, thus drastically under-estimating the risks of a profound economic crisis:
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The fear was that there would be a chain reaction as the company liquidated its securities to cover its debt, leading to a drop in prices, which would force other companies to liquidate their own debt in a
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older bonds, but this expensiveness (or richness) tends to have a limited duration, because after a certain time there will be a new benchmark, and trading will shift to this security newly issued by the
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were two of the individual investors that Meriwether approached in 1993 to invest in the fund. Both analyzed the company but turned down the offer, considering the leverage plan to be too risky.
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In May and June 1998 returns from the fund were -6.42% and -10.14% respectively, reducing LTCM's capital by $ 461 million. This was further aggravated by the exit of Salomon Brothers from the
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since even though the Fed had not directly injected capital, its use of moral suasion to encourage creditor involvement emphasized its interest in supporting the financial system.
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LTCM faced challenges in deploying capital as their capital base grew due to initially strong returns, and as the magnitude of anomalies in market pricing diminished over time.
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organized a bailout of $ 3.625 billion by the major creditors to avoid a wider collapse in the financial markets. The principal negotiator for LTCM was general counsel
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Loomis, Carol J. (1998). "A House Built on Sand; John Meriwether's once-mighty Long-Term Capital has all but crumbled. So why did Warren Buffett offer to buy it?".
1292:, I would have been in a better position to understand events." To put it bluntly, the Nobel prize winners had known plenty of mathematics, but not enough history. 3723: 3598: 3462: 2077: 505:: using quantitative models to exploit deviations from fair value in the relationships between liquid securities across nations, and between asset classes (i.e. 1285: 389:, later a Principal at LTCM, the bond arbitrage group was responsible for 80–100% of Salomon's global total earnings from the late 1980s until the early 1990s. 3217: 1789: 3718: 3131: 1415: 1323: 2460:
Siconolfi, Michael; Pacelle, Mitchell; Raghavan, Anita (1998-11-16). "All Bets Are Off: How the Salesmanship And Brainpower Failed At Long-Term Capital".
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amongst investors regarding all markets heavily dependent on international capital flows, and this shaped asset pricing in markets outside Asia too.
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While J.M. presided over the firm and Rosenfeld ran it from day to day, Haghani and the slightly senior Hilibrand had the most influence on trading.
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and later the Italian central bank. By 24 February 1994, the day LTCM began trading, the company had amassed just over $ 1.01 billion in capital.
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At the beginning of 1998, the firm had equity of $ 4.7 billion and had borrowed over $ 124.5 billion with assets of around $ 129 billion, for a
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in the LTCM strategies was to purchase the old benchmark – now a 29.75-year bond, and which no longer had a significant premium – and to
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believed it was reckless to have the combination of high leverage and not accounting for rare or outlying scenarios. Software designer
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In June 1998 – which was before the Russian financial crisis – LTCM posted a 10% loss, which was their biggest monthly loss to date.
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crises such as those of 1987 and 1994. VaR also could not interpret extreme events such as a financial crisis in terms of timing.
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Meriwether chose to start a hedge fund to avoid the financial regulation imposed on more traditional investment vehicles, such as
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The total losses were found to be $ 4.6 billion. The losses in the major investment categories were (ordered by magnitude):
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Despite the fund's prominent leadership and strong growth at LTCM, there were skeptics from the very beginning. Investor
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After LTCM failed to raise more money on its own, it became clear it was running out of options. On September 23, 1998,
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The company, which had historically earned annualized compounded returns of almost 40% up to this point, experienced a
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they were not traditional convergence trades. By 1998, LTCM had accumulated extremely large positions in areas such as
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engineering expertise to legally transform income into capital gains. It did so by engaging in a transaction with UBS (
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coming in as promised," or at least perhaps what should have been a disconcerting note when looked at in hindsight.
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prices of the securities owned by LTCM and bidding up the prices of the securities LTCM was short. According to
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article stated that his later two funds used "the same investment strategy from his time at LTCM and Salomon."
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Fortune's Formula: The Untold Story of the Scientific Betting System that Beat the Casinos and Wall Street
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gave Meriwether less than one hour to accept the deal; the time lapsed before a deal could be worked out.
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liquidations is given by Lowenstein (2000). He reports that LTCM established an arbitrage position in the
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In 1993 Meriwether created Long-Term Capital as a hedge fund and recruited several Salomon bond traders;
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derivative positions with a notional value of approximately $ 1.25 trillion, most of which were in
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options (net short long-term S&P volatility). LTCM had become a major supplier of S&P 500
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in particular would wield substantial clout and two future winners of the Nobel Memorial Prize,
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Unbounded irrationality: Risk and organizational narcissism at Long Term Capital Management
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MacKenzie, Donald (2003). "Long-Term Capital Management and the Sociology of Arbitrage".
426:. LTCM managed trades in Long-Term Capital Portfolio LP, a partnership registered in the 3502: 3318: 3294: 3025: 3005: 2773: 2726: 2572: 1790:"The Epic Story Of How A 'Genius' Hedge Fund Almost Caused A Global Financial Meltdown" 1338: 1268: 1240: 1126: 1069: 1065: 1018: 887:
although it had also raised a total in capital of $ 1.066 bn from UBS and $ 133 m from
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Inventing Money: The story of Long-Term Capital Management and the legends behind it
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Meriwether and Strange Weather: Intelligence, Risk Management and Critical Thinking
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and more than half of this loss is accounted for by the Royal Dutch Shell trade.
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numerous markets, causing catastrophic losses throughout the financial system.
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Fenton-O'Creevy, Mark; Nicholson, Nigel; Soane, Emma; Willman, Paul (2004).
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was concerned about extraordinary events affecting the market. Economist
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The core investment strategy of the company was then known as involving
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US District Court of Connecticut judgement on tax status of LTCM losses
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When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management
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Infectious Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
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When Genius Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management
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lying on the street, as someone else has already picked them up.
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The company consisted of Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), a
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as a faith, rather than science. Nobel Prize winning economist
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Traders: Risks, Decisions, and Management in Financial Markets
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http://eml.berkeley.edu/~webfac/craine/e137_f03/137lessons.pdf
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including business owners and celebrities, as well as private
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A financial History of the United States Volume II: 1970–2001
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and invested monthly in U.S. Treasuries at constant maturity.
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Michael Lewis – NYT – How the Eggheads Cracked-January 1999
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An Engine, not a Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets
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resigned as a result of a $ 780 million loss incurred from
513:. LTCM was the brightest star on Wall Street at that time. 65:
1998 private bailout arranged by U.S. Fed; 2000 dissolution
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What Goes Up, The Uncensored History of Modern Wall Street
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GAO/GGD-00-67R Questions Concerning LTCM and Our Responses
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they did, but not without widening much further first).
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Global Derivative Debacles: From Theory to Malpractice
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Diminishing opportunities and broadening of strategies
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The ascent of money: a financial history of the world
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Zombie Economics: How Dead Ideas Still Walk among Us
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After helping unwind LTCM, John Meriwether launched
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money invested in LTCM, all of which was wiped out.
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Financial services companies disestablished in 2000
3119: 3053: 2961: 2915: 2906: 2865: 2832: 2787: 2754: 2702: 2693: 1783: 1781: 1779: 1777: 1775: 100: 80: 69: 61: 51: 43: 33: 2442:"Eric Rosenfeld talks about LTCM, ten years later" 1949: 1947: 1646: 1644: 1504: 1456: 1454: 1439:The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences 1997 2314:Crouhy, Michel; Galai, Dan; Mark, Robert (2006). 2288:Coy, Peter; Wooley, Suzanne (21 September 1998). 3684:Financial services companies established in 1994 2219:"John Meriwether to shut hedge fund - Bloomberg" 1663:Henriques, Diana B.; Kahn, Joseph (1998-12-06). 1507:The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World 369:Arbitrage group at Salomon; Masters in Finance, 330:'s campaign for Arkansas state attorney general 149:. Members of LTCM's board of directors included 1274: 218:Former vice chair and head of bond trading at 3211: 2671: 8: 2172:General Accounting Office, February 23, 2000 408:. Other principals included Eric Rosenfeld, 19: 3155:Alternative investment management companies 3132:Standards Board for Alternative Investments 2256:Financial Scandals, Scoundrels & Crises 2054:(February 25, 2010). Retrieved May 13, 2011 1833:Surowiecki, James (2005). "Chapter 11.IV". 1324:Commodity Futures Modernization Act of 2000 832:The value of $ 1,000 invested in LTCM, the 312:; former Harvard Business School professor 300:; former Harvard Business School professor 157:, who three years later in 1997 shared the 3218: 3204: 3196: 3180: 3036:Taxation of private equity and hedge funds 2912: 2699: 2678: 2664: 2656: 2205: 2193: 2181: 2150: 2121: 2000: 1988: 1976: 1964: 1953: 1877: 1865: 1820: 1747: 1471: 1469: 1239:, once considered a possible successor to 663:the shape of the typically upward sloping 18: 3599:Facebook–Cambridge Analytica data scandal 3311:Bank of Credit and Commerce International 2652:, in: Human Relations 56 (5), S. 523–540. 2509: 907:Such losses were accentuated through the 2613:Case Study: Long-Term Capital Management 1227:on LTCM, which had become significantly 1926:. USA: John Wiley & Sons. pp.  1837:. New York: Anchor Books. p. 240. 1549:"Chi-Fu Huang: From Theory to Practice" 1397: 459: 141:, the former vice-chairman and head of 2320:. New York: McGraw-Hill Professional. 2063:Wall Street Journal, 25 September 1998 1650: 1635: 1623: 1611: 1600: 1588: 1535: 640:For example, the most recently issued 602:Long emerging market equity hedged to 440: 200: 3724:2000 disestablishments in Connecticut 2736:fixed-income relative-value investing 434:and client relations were handled by 285:; was seen as potential successor to 237:Massachusetts Institute of Technology 7: 2231:from the original on 5 February 2021 1425:Stephen Slivinski, senior editor of 841:Riskier investments starting in 1997 1482:. London: Allen Lane. p. 329. 235:Leading scholar in finance; Ph.D., 3719:1994 establishments in Connecticut 1143:$ 371 mn in directional trades in 700:. The fund also invested in other 671:Leverage and portfolio composition 340:Arbitrage group at Salomon; Ph.D. 322:Arbitrage group at Salomon; Ph.D. 308:Arbitrage group at Salomon; Ph.D. 296:Arbitrage group at Salomon; Ph.D. 14: 3591:Wells Fargo account fraud scandal 2317:The Essentials of Risk Management 1187:Long-Term Capital was audited by 117:Long-Term Capital Management L.P. 3179: 3170: 3169: 3160: 3159: 3150: 3149: 2856: 1890:O'Rourke, Breffni (1997-09-09). 1788:Yang, Stephanie (Jul 11, 2014). 1026:Federal Reserve Bank of New York 954:Federal Reserve Bank of New York 451: 444: 183:Long-Term Capital Portfolio L.P. 132:Federal Reserve Bank of New York 25: 3709:Hedge fund firms in Connecticut 3559:Saradha Group financial scandal 3519:National Herald corruption case 2484:from the original on 2021-04-29 2448:from the original on 2020-11-11 2364:. Singapore: World Scientific. 2290:"Failed Wizards of Wall Street" 2266:from the original on 2021-04-23 2080:from the original on 2007-09-30 1902:from the original on 2016-04-14 1683:from the original on 2021-05-25 1359:Martingale (probability theory) 422:-incorporated company based in 3375:Lysine price-fixing conspiracy 2252:"Long-Term Capital Management" 1511:. The Penguin Press. pp.  479:Investment Company Act of 1940 1: 3247:Panic of 1890 (Baring crisis) 1416:"Too Interconnected to Fail?" 1137:$ 430 mn in Russia and other 909:1998 Russian financial crisis 882:1998 Russian financial crisis 876:1998 Russian financial crisis 599:Long emerging market currency 553:On-the-run/off-the-run spread 189:under the supervision of the 175:1998 Russian financial crisis 3674:Long-Term Capital Management 3583:1Malaysia Development Berhad 3495:Volkswagen emissions scandal 3391:Long-Term Capital Management 3351:Towers Financial Corporation 3010:security characteristic line 2592:Poundstone, William (2005). 2419:. New York: Back Bay Books. 2386:. Vol. 138, no. 8. 2099:"Lehman Says It's 'Solvent'" 1920:Bookstaber, Richard (2007). 1896:RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty 1024:Seeing no options left, the 834:Dow Jones Industrial Average 726:Secret and opaque operations 137:LTCM was founded in 1994 by 20:Long-Term Capital Management 3631:Facebook company files leak 3543:Indian coal allocation scam 2998:Capital asset pricing model 2717:Capital structure arbitrage 2539:. Oxford University Press. 2444:. MIT Tech TV. 2009-02-19. 2360:Jacque, Laurent L. (2010). 1354:Martingale (betting system) 867:1997 Asian financial crisis 861:1997 Asian financial crisis 722:on an unparalleled scale." 217: 171:1997 Asian financial crisis 16:Defunct American hedge fund 3740: 2800:Commodity trading advisors 2571:MacKenzie, Donald (2006). 2554:Gladwell, Malcolm (2002). 2250:Rimkus, Ron (2016-04-18). 2074:"Bloomberg.com: Exclusive" 2020:. Macmillan. p. 261. 1701:De Goede, Marieke (2001). 1538:, pp. 110–pgs 111–112 1286:last great Russian default 1243:, saw his future with the 1050:Credit Suisse First Boston 990:Morgan Stanley Dean Witter 879: 864: 212: 3641: 3233: 3145: 3137:Managed Funds Association 3081:High-net-worth individual 2854: 2335:Dunbar, Nicholas (2000). 1923:A Demon Of Our Own Design 1719:10.1080/13563460120060580 1218:Union Bank of Switzerland 1216:In 1998, the chairman of 1179:no substantial losses in 1153:pairs (such as VW, Shell) 746:Union Bank of Switzerland 694:interest rate derivatives 517:List of Major 1998 Trades 483:high-net-worth individual 467:were principals at LTCM. 208: 203: 161:for having developed the 24: 3679:1998 in economic history 3527:News Corporation scandal 3327:Indian stock market scam 2974:Arbitrage pricing theory 2415:Weiner, Eric J. (2007). 1503:Greenspan, Alan (2007). 1476:Ferguson, Niall (2008). 1231:due to LTCM's collapse. 1105:declined to participate. 688:of over 25 to 1. It had 536:Long US mortgages hedged 477:, as established by the 159:Nobel Prize in Economics 3086:Institutional investors 2979:Assets under management 2804:managed futures account 2463:The Wall Street Journal 1282:1987 stock market crash 165:of financial dynamics. 3455:Bayou Hedge Fund Group 3111:Sovereign wealth funds 2883:High-frequency trading 2732:Fixed income arbitrage 2520:10.1080/03085140303130 1369:St. Petersburg paradox 1306: 997: 837: 632:Fixed income arbitrage 621:Short high-tech stocks 522:Fixed Income Arbitrage 424:Greenwich, Connecticut 74:Greenwich, Connecticut 3263:Kinney Services, Inc. 2953:Structured securities 2769:Distressed securities 2741:Statistical arbitrage 2727:Equity market neutral 2722:Convertible arbitrage 2472:"Trillion Dollar Bet" 1707:New Political Economy 951: 831: 624:Convertible arbitrage 582:Equity relative value 487:university endowments 359:Executive at Salomon 273:Vice chairman of the 258:University of Chicago 224:University of Chicago 109:Investment management 3367:Sumitomo Corporation 3071:Financial endowments 3016:Fundamental analysis 2764:Shareholder activism 2746:Volatility arbitrage 2040:Kathryn M. Welling, 1835:The wisdom of crowds 1575:. 2011. p. 55. 1074:Salomon Smith Barney 994:Salomon Smith Barney 799:quantitative finance 686:debt-to-equity ratio 414:David W. Mullins Jr. 269:David W. Mullins Jr. 3714:Defunct hedge funds 3652:Accounting scandals 3185:List of hedge funds 3175:Hedge fund managers 3091:Insurance companies 3076:Fund of hedge funds 2984:Black–Scholes model 2898:Proprietary trading 2873:Algorithmic trading 2840:Fund of hedge funds 2498:Economy and Society 2480:. PBS. 2000-02-08. 2302:on January 29, 1999 1614:, pp. 125, 130 1349:Limits to arbitrage 1319:Black–Scholes model 1300:The Ascent of Money 1151:Dual-listed company 1145:developed countries 1131:$ 1.3 bn in equity 938:flight to liquidity 922:dual-listed company 698:interest rate swaps 542:Italian swap spread 503:convergence trading 262:Stanford University 163:Black–Scholes model 38:Investment services 21: 3694:Corporate scandals 3343:Metallgesellschaft 3227:Corporate scandals 3041:Technical analysis 2648:Stein, M. (2003): 2642:2020-11-04 at the 2630:2009-03-27 at the 2168:2012-04-19 at the 2138:2021-03-04 at the 2047:2016-12-21 at the 1765:2023-04-26 at the 1669:The New York Times 1591:, pp. 114–116 1573:When Genius Failed 1444:2006-04-27 at the 1421:2021-01-31 at the 1386:Black swan problem 1364:Probability theory 1014:Berkshire Hathaway 998: 838: 493:Trading strategies 283:Harvard University 241:Harvard University 105:Financial services 56:John W. Meriwether 3661: 3660: 3239:South Sea Company 3193: 3192: 3049: 3048: 2852: 2851: 2819:Long/short equity 2795:Convergence trade 2779:Special situation 2605:978-0-8090-4637-9 2598:. Hill and Wang. 2584:978-0-262-13460-6 2577:. The MIT Press. 2426:978-0-316-06637-2 2407:978-0-375-50317-7 2392:Lowenstein, Roger 2371:978-981-283-770-7 2352:978-0-471-89999-0 2327:978-0-07-142966-5 2153:, pp. 207–08 2027:978-0-8050-7510-6 2003:, pp. 203–04 1937:978-0-470-39375-8 1868:, pp. 124–25 1522:978-1-59420-131-8 1489:978-1-84614-106-5 1030:James G. Rickards 926:Royal Dutch Shell 690:off-balance sheet 471: 470: 376: 375: 114: 113: 3731: 3699:Financial crises 3654: 3647: 3634: 3626: 3618: 3610: 3602: 3594: 3586: 3578: 3570: 3562: 3554: 3546: 3538: 3530: 3522: 3514: 3511:2G spectrum case 3506: 3498: 3490: 3487:Anglo Irish Bank 3482: 3474: 3466: 3463:SociĂ©tĂ© GĂ©nĂ©rale 3458: 3450: 3442: 3434: 3426: 3418: 3410: 3402: 3394: 3386: 3378: 3370: 3362: 3354: 3346: 3338: 3330: 3322: 3314: 3306: 3298: 3290: 3282: 3274: 3271:Banco Ambrosiano 3266: 3258: 3250: 3242: 3220: 3213: 3206: 3197: 3183: 3182: 3173: 3172: 3163: 3162: 3153: 3152: 3096:Investment banks 2943:Foreign exchange 2913: 2860: 2700: 2680: 2673: 2666: 2657: 2609: 2588: 2567: 2562:. Archived from 2550: 2531: 2513: 2492: 2490: 2489: 2467: 2456: 2454: 2453: 2430: 2411: 2400:. Random House. 2387: 2375: 2356: 2331: 2310: 2308: 2307: 2298:. Archived from 2275: 2274: 2272: 2271: 2247: 2241: 2240: 2238: 2236: 2227:. July 8, 2009. 2215: 2209: 2203: 2197: 2191: 2185: 2179: 2173: 2160: 2154: 2148: 2142: 2130: 2124: 2119: 2113: 2112: 2110: 2109: 2095: 2089: 2088: 2086: 2085: 2070: 2064: 2061: 2055: 2038: 2032: 2031: 2010: 2004: 1998: 1992: 1986: 1980: 1974: 1968: 1962: 1956: 1951: 1942: 1941: 1917: 1911: 1910: 1908: 1907: 1887: 1881: 1875: 1869: 1863: 1857: 1856: 1830: 1824: 1823:, pp. 95–97 1818: 1812: 1811: 1809: 1807: 1798:. Archived from 1795:Business Insider 1785: 1770: 1757: 1751: 1745: 1739: 1738: 1698: 1692: 1691: 1689: 1688: 1660: 1654: 1648: 1639: 1633: 1627: 1621: 1615: 1609: 1603: 1598: 1592: 1586: 1580: 1579: 1569: 1563: 1562: 1560: 1554:. Archived from 1553: 1545: 1539: 1533: 1527: 1526: 1510: 1500: 1494: 1493: 1473: 1464: 1458: 1449: 1436: 1430: 1413: 1304: 1297:Niall Ferguson, 1257:Business Insider 1189:Price Waterhouse 1139:emerging markets 1084:SociĂ©tĂ© GĂ©nĂ©rale 785:Early skepticism 771:merger arbitrage 762:James Surowiecki 716:Zombie Economics 587:Emerging Markets 539:Swap curve Japan 511:government bonds 465:Robert C. Merton 455: 448: 441: 406:Robert C. Merton 383:Salomon Brothers 305:William Krasker 231:Robert C. Merton 220:Salomon Brothers 201: 187:recapitalization 155:Robert C. Merton 147:Salomon Brothers 125:highly leveraged 91:Robert C. Merton 29: 22: 3739: 3738: 3734: 3733: 3732: 3730: 3729: 3728: 3664: 3663: 3662: 3657: 3650: 3645: 3637: 3629: 3621: 3613: 3605: 3597: 3589: 3581: 3573: 3565: 3561:(2013–ongoing) 3557: 3549: 3541: 3533: 3525: 3521:(2010–ongoing) 3517: 3509: 3501: 3493: 3485: 3477: 3469: 3461: 3453: 3445: 3437: 3429: 3421: 3413: 3405: 3397: 3389: 3381: 3373: 3365: 3357: 3349: 3341: 3333: 3325: 3317: 3309: 3301: 3293: 3285: 3277: 3269: 3261: 3253: 3245: 3237: 3229: 3224: 3194: 3189: 3141: 3127:Fund governance 3115: 3045: 2969:Absolute return 2957: 2908: 2902: 2893:Program trading 2888:Prime brokerage 2861: 2848: 2828: 2824:Trend following 2809:Dedicated short 2783: 2750: 2707: 2695: 2689: 2684: 2644:Wayback Machine 2632:Wayback Machine 2606: 2591: 2585: 2570: 2553: 2547: 2534: 2511:10.1.1.457.9895 2495: 2487: 2485: 2470: 2459: 2451: 2449: 2440: 2437: 2435:Further reading 2427: 2414: 2408: 2390: 2379: 2372: 2359: 2353: 2334: 2328: 2313: 2305: 2303: 2287: 2284: 2279: 2278: 2269: 2267: 2249: 2248: 2244: 2234: 2232: 2217: 2216: 2212: 2206:Lowenstein 2000 2204: 2200: 2194:Lowenstein 2000 2192: 2188: 2182:Lowenstein 2000 2180: 2176: 2170:Wayback Machine 2161: 2157: 2151:Lowenstein 2000 2149: 2145: 2140:Wayback Machine 2131: 2127: 2122:Lowenstein 2000 2120: 2116: 2107: 2105: 2097: 2096: 2092: 2083: 2081: 2072: 2071: 2067: 2062: 2058: 2049:Wayback Machine 2039: 2035: 2028: 2012: 2011: 2007: 2001:Lowenstein 2000 1999: 1995: 1989:Lowenstein 2000 1987: 1983: 1977:Lowenstein 2000 1975: 1971: 1965:Lowenstein 2000 1963: 1959: 1954:Lowenstein 2000 1952: 1945: 1938: 1919: 1918: 1914: 1905: 1903: 1889: 1888: 1884: 1878:Lowenstein 2000 1876: 1872: 1866:Lowenstein 2000 1864: 1860: 1845: 1832: 1831: 1827: 1821:Lowenstein 2000 1819: 1815: 1805: 1803: 1787: 1786: 1773: 1767:Wayback Machine 1758: 1754: 1748:Lowenstein 2000 1746: 1742: 1700: 1699: 1695: 1686: 1684: 1662: 1661: 1657: 1649: 1642: 1634: 1630: 1622: 1618: 1610: 1606: 1599: 1595: 1587: 1583: 1571: 1570: 1566: 1558: 1551: 1547: 1546: 1542: 1534: 1530: 1523: 1502: 1501: 1497: 1490: 1475: 1474: 1467: 1459: 1452: 1446:Wayback Machine 1437: 1433: 1423:Wayback Machine 1414: 1399: 1394: 1315: 1305: 1296: 1265: 1214: 1103:CrĂ©dit Agricole 1094:Lehman Brothers 1088:$ 100 million: 1082:$ 125 million: 1036:$ 300 million: 982:Lehman Brothers 970:Chase Manhattan 946: 884: 878: 869: 863: 852:Norwegian krone 843: 826: 787: 754: 741: 728: 673: 634: 627:Index arbitrage 612: 594:emerging market 589: 568: 533:Euro Cross-Swap 524: 519: 495: 394:Larry Hilibrand 379:John Meriwether 336:Larry Hilibrand 293:Eric Rosenfeld 281:; Professor at 275:Federal Reserve 260:; Professor at 239:; Professor at 214:John Meriwether 199: 191:Federal Reserve 139:John Meriwether 107: 95:John Meriwether 93: 89: 83: 17: 12: 11: 5: 3737: 3735: 3727: 3726: 3721: 3716: 3711: 3706: 3701: 3696: 3691: 3686: 3681: 3676: 3666: 3665: 3659: 3658: 3656: 3655: 3648: 3642: 3639: 3638: 3636: 3635: 3627: 3619: 3611: 3603: 3595: 3593:(2016–ongoing) 3587: 3585:(2015–ongoing) 3579: 3571: 3569:(2013–ongoing) 3563: 3555: 3547: 3539: 3531: 3523: 3515: 3507: 3499: 3491: 3483: 3475: 3467: 3459: 3451: 3443: 3435: 3427: 3419: 3411: 3403: 3395: 3387: 3379: 3371: 3363: 3355: 3347: 3339: 3331: 3323: 3319:Robert Maxwell 3315: 3307: 3299: 3295:Bofors scandal 3291: 3283: 3275: 3267: 3259: 3251: 3243: 3234: 3231: 3230: 3225: 3223: 3222: 3215: 3208: 3200: 3191: 3190: 3188: 3187: 3177: 3167: 3157: 3146: 3143: 3142: 3140: 3139: 3134: 3129: 3123: 3121: 3117: 3116: 3114: 3113: 3108: 3103: 3101:Merchant banks 3098: 3093: 3088: 3083: 3078: 3073: 3068: 3066:Family offices 3063: 3057: 3055: 3051: 3050: 3047: 3046: 3044: 3043: 3038: 3033: 3028: 3026:Securitization 3023: 3018: 3013: 2995: 2981: 2976: 2971: 2965: 2963: 2959: 2958: 2956: 2955: 2950: 2945: 2940: 2935: 2930: 2925: 2919: 2917: 2910: 2904: 2903: 2901: 2900: 2895: 2890: 2885: 2880: 2875: 2869: 2867: 2863: 2862: 2855: 2853: 2850: 2849: 2847: 2846: 2836: 2834: 2830: 2829: 2827: 2826: 2821: 2816: 2811: 2806: 2797: 2791: 2789: 2785: 2784: 2782: 2781: 2776: 2774:Risk arbitrage 2771: 2766: 2760: 2758: 2752: 2751: 2749: 2748: 2743: 2738: 2729: 2724: 2719: 2713: 2711: 2709:relative value 2697: 2691: 2690: 2685: 2683: 2682: 2675: 2668: 2660: 2654: 2653: 2646: 2634: 2622: 2616: 2610: 2604: 2589: 2583: 2568: 2566:on 2011-02-24. 2560:The New Yorker 2551: 2545: 2532: 2504:(3): 349–380. 2493: 2468: 2457: 2436: 2433: 2432: 2431: 2425: 2412: 2406: 2388: 2377: 2370: 2357: 2351: 2332: 2326: 2311: 2283: 2280: 2277: 2276: 2242: 2210: 2198: 2186: 2174: 2155: 2143: 2125: 2114: 2090: 2065: 2056: 2052:welling@weeden 2033: 2026: 2014:Partnoy, Frank 2005: 1993: 1981: 1969: 1957: 1943: 1936: 1912: 1882: 1870: 1858: 1843: 1825: 1813: 1771: 1752: 1740: 1713:(2): 149–170. 1693: 1655: 1640: 1628: 1616: 1604: 1593: 1581: 1564: 1561:on 2015-09-23. 1540: 1528: 1521: 1495: 1488: 1465: 1450: 1431: 1396: 1395: 1393: 1390: 1389: 1388: 1383: 1376: 1371: 1366: 1361: 1356: 1351: 1346: 1341: 1339:James Rickards 1336: 1331: 1326: 1321: 1314: 1311: 1294: 1269:Niall Ferguson 1264: 1261: 1241:Alan Greenspan 1213: 1210: 1185: 1184: 1177: 1170: 1163: 1154: 1147: 1141: 1135: 1129: 1107: 1106: 1096: 1086: 1080: 1070:Morgan Stanley 1019:Warren Buffett 945: 942: 880:Main article: 877: 874: 865:Main article: 862: 859: 842: 839: 825: 822: 818:Charlie Munger 814:Warren Buffett 803:Paul Samuelson 786: 783: 753: 750: 740: 739:UBS investment 737: 727: 724: 712:John Quiggin's 706:equity options 672: 669: 656:One core trade 633: 630: 629: 628: 625: 622: 619: 611: 608: 607: 606: 600: 597: 588: 585: 584: 583: 580: 578:Risk arbitrage 575: 567: 564: 563: 562: 554: 551: 543: 540: 537: 534: 531: 523: 520: 518: 515: 494: 491: 469: 468: 457: 456: 449: 428:Cayman Islands 398:Victor Haghani 374: 373: 367: 365:Victor Haghani 361: 360: 357: 353: 352: 349: 348:James McEntee 345: 344: 338: 332: 331: 320: 314: 313: 306: 302: 301: 294: 290: 289: 287:Alan Greenspan 271: 265: 264: 256:model; Ph.D., 250: 244: 243: 233: 227: 226: 216: 210: 209: 206: 205: 204:LTCM Partners 198: 195: 112: 111: 102: 98: 97: 84: 81: 78: 77: 71: 67: 66: 63: 59: 58: 53: 49: 48: 45: 41: 40: 35: 31: 30: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 3736: 3725: 3722: 3720: 3717: 3715: 3712: 3710: 3707: 3705: 3702: 3700: 3697: 3695: 3692: 3690: 3687: 3685: 3682: 3680: 3677: 3675: 3672: 3671: 3669: 3653: 3649: 3644: 3643: 3640: 3632: 3628: 3624: 3620: 3616: 3612: 3608: 3604: 3600: 3596: 3592: 3588: 3584: 3580: 3576: 3572: 3568: 3564: 3560: 3556: 3552: 3548: 3544: 3540: 3536: 3532: 3528: 3524: 3520: 3516: 3512: 3508: 3504: 3500: 3496: 3492: 3488: 3484: 3480: 3476: 3472: 3468: 3464: 3460: 3456: 3452: 3448: 3444: 3440: 3436: 3432: 3428: 3424: 3420: 3416: 3412: 3408: 3404: 3400: 3396: 3392: 3388: 3384: 3380: 3376: 3372: 3368: 3364: 3360: 3356: 3352: 3348: 3344: 3340: 3336: 3332: 3328: 3324: 3320: 3316: 3312: 3308: 3304: 3300: 3296: 3292: 3288: 3284: 3280: 3279:Carrian Group 3276: 3272: 3268: 3264: 3260: 3256: 3252: 3248: 3244: 3240: 3236: 3235: 3232: 3228: 3221: 3216: 3214: 3209: 3207: 3202: 3201: 3198: 3186: 3178: 3176: 3168: 3166: 3158: 3156: 3148: 3147: 3144: 3138: 3135: 3133: 3130: 3128: 3125: 3124: 3122: 3118: 3112: 3109: 3107: 3106:Pension funds 3104: 3102: 3099: 3097: 3094: 3092: 3089: 3087: 3084: 3082: 3079: 3077: 3074: 3072: 3069: 3067: 3064: 3062: 3061:Vulture funds 3059: 3058: 3056: 3052: 3042: 3039: 3037: 3034: 3032: 3029: 3027: 3024: 3022: 3019: 3017: 3014: 3011: 3007: 3003: 2999: 2996: 2993: 2992:delta neutral 2989: 2985: 2982: 2980: 2977: 2975: 2972: 2970: 2967: 2966: 2964: 2960: 2954: 2951: 2949: 2948:Money markets 2946: 2944: 2941: 2939: 2936: 2934: 2931: 2929: 2926: 2924: 2921: 2920: 2918: 2914: 2911: 2905: 2899: 2896: 2894: 2891: 2889: 2886: 2884: 2881: 2879: 2876: 2874: 2871: 2870: 2868: 2864: 2859: 2845: 2844:Multi-manager 2841: 2838: 2837: 2835: 2831: 2825: 2822: 2820: 2817: 2815: 2812: 2810: 2807: 2805: 2801: 2798: 2796: 2793: 2792: 2790: 2786: 2780: 2777: 2775: 2772: 2770: 2767: 2765: 2762: 2761: 2759: 2757: 2753: 2747: 2744: 2742: 2739: 2737: 2733: 2730: 2728: 2725: 2723: 2720: 2718: 2715: 2714: 2712: 2710: 2705: 2701: 2698: 2692: 2688: 2681: 2676: 2674: 2669: 2667: 2662: 2661: 2658: 2651: 2647: 2645: 2641: 2638: 2635: 2633: 2629: 2626: 2623: 2620: 2617: 2614: 2611: 2607: 2601: 2597: 2596: 2590: 2586: 2580: 2576: 2575: 2569: 2565: 2561: 2557: 2552: 2548: 2546:9780199226450 2542: 2538: 2533: 2529: 2525: 2521: 2517: 2512: 2507: 2503: 2499: 2494: 2483: 2479: 2478: 2473: 2469: 2465: 2464: 2458: 2447: 2443: 2439: 2438: 2434: 2428: 2422: 2418: 2413: 2409: 2403: 2399: 2398: 2393: 2389: 2385: 2384: 2378: 2373: 2367: 2363: 2358: 2354: 2348: 2344: 2340: 2339: 2333: 2329: 2323: 2319: 2318: 2312: 2301: 2297: 2296: 2295:Business Week 2291: 2286: 2285: 2281: 2265: 2261: 2260:CFA Institute 2257: 2253: 2246: 2243: 2230: 2226: 2225: 2220: 2214: 2211: 2208:, p. 236 2207: 2202: 2199: 2196:, p. 235 2195: 2190: 2187: 2184:, p. 102 2183: 2178: 2175: 2171: 2167: 2164: 2159: 2156: 2152: 2147: 2144: 2141: 2137: 2134: 2129: 2126: 2123: 2118: 2115: 2104: 2100: 2094: 2091: 2079: 2075: 2069: 2066: 2060: 2057: 2053: 2050: 2046: 2043: 2037: 2034: 2029: 2023: 2019: 2015: 2009: 2006: 2002: 1997: 1994: 1991:, p. 211 1990: 1985: 1982: 1979:, p. 234 1978: 1973: 1970: 1966: 1961: 1958: 1955: 1950: 1948: 1944: 1939: 1933: 1929: 1925: 1924: 1916: 1913: 1901: 1897: 1893: 1886: 1883: 1879: 1874: 1871: 1867: 1862: 1859: 1854: 1850: 1846: 1844:9780385721707 1840: 1836: 1829: 1826: 1822: 1817: 1814: 1802:on 2021-05-15 1801: 1797: 1796: 1791: 1784: 1782: 1780: 1778: 1776: 1772: 1768: 1764: 1761: 1756: 1753: 1750:, p. 191 1749: 1744: 1741: 1736: 1732: 1728: 1724: 1720: 1716: 1712: 1708: 1704: 1697: 1694: 1682: 1678: 1674: 1670: 1666: 1659: 1656: 1653:, p. 142 1652: 1647: 1645: 1641: 1638:, p. 130 1637: 1632: 1629: 1626:, p. 120 1625: 1620: 1617: 1613: 1608: 1605: 1602: 1597: 1594: 1590: 1585: 1582: 1578: 1574: 1568: 1565: 1557: 1550: 1544: 1541: 1537: 1532: 1529: 1524: 1518: 1514: 1509: 1508: 1499: 1496: 1491: 1485: 1481: 1480: 1472: 1470: 1466: 1462: 1457: 1455: 1451: 1447: 1443: 1440: 1435: 1432: 1428: 1424: 1420: 1417: 1412: 1410: 1408: 1406: 1404: 1402: 1398: 1391: 1387: 1384: 1382: 1381: 1377: 1375: 1374:Value at risk 1372: 1370: 1367: 1365: 1362: 1360: 1357: 1355: 1352: 1350: 1347: 1345: 1344:Kurtosis risk 1342: 1340: 1337: 1335: 1334:Greenspan put 1332: 1330: 1327: 1325: 1322: 1320: 1317: 1316: 1312: 1310: 1302: 1301: 1293: 1291: 1287: 1283: 1279: 1278:value at risk 1273: 1270: 1262: 1260: 1258: 1254: 1249: 1246: 1242: 1238: 1232: 1230: 1226: 1223: 1219: 1211: 1209: 1205: 1203: 1199: 1198:Greenspan put 1193: 1190: 1182: 1178: 1175: 1171: 1168: 1164: 1162: 1159: 1155: 1152: 1148: 1146: 1142: 1140: 1136: 1134: 1130: 1128: 1124: 1123: 1122: 1119: 1117: 1116:vicious cycle 1111: 1104: 1100: 1097: 1095: 1091: 1087: 1085: 1081: 1079: 1075: 1071: 1067: 1063: 1062:Merrill Lynch 1059: 1058:Goldman Sachs 1055: 1054:Deutsche Bank 1051: 1047: 1043: 1039: 1038:Bankers Trust 1035: 1034: 1033: 1031: 1027: 1022: 1020: 1015: 1011: 1007: 1006:Goldman Sachs 1002: 995: 991: 987: 986:Merrill Lynch 983: 979: 975: 974:Goldman Sachs 971: 967: 963: 962:Bankers Trust 959: 955: 950: 943: 941: 939: 934: 932: 931:pairs trading 927: 923: 917: 913: 910: 905: 902: 901:Michael Lewis 897: 892: 890: 883: 875: 873: 868: 860: 858: 855: 853: 847: 840: 835: 830: 823: 821: 819: 815: 811: 808: 804: 800: 796: 792: 784: 782: 780: 776: 772: 766: 763: 758: 751: 749: 747: 738: 736: 732: 725: 723: 721: 717: 713: 709: 707: 703: 699: 695: 691: 687: 682: 679: 670: 668: 666: 661: 657: 653: 648: 643: 642:treasury bond 638: 631: 626: 623: 620: 617: 614: 613: 609: 605: 601: 598: 595: 591: 590: 586: 581: 579: 576: 573: 570: 569: 565: 561: 558: 555: 552: 550: 547: 544: 541: 538: 535: 532: 530: 526: 525: 521: 516: 514: 512: 508: 504: 499: 492: 490: 488: 484: 480: 476: 466: 462: 461:Myron Scholes 458: 454: 450: 447: 443: 442: 439: 437: 436:Merrill Lynch 433: 429: 425: 421: 416: 415: 411: 407: 403: 402:Myron Scholes 399: 395: 390: 388: 384: 380: 372: 368: 366: 363: 362: 358: 355: 354: 350: 347: 346: 343: 339: 337: 334: 333: 329: 325: 321: 319: 316: 315: 311: 307: 304: 303: 299: 295: 292: 291: 288: 284: 280: 276: 272: 270: 267: 266: 263: 259: 255: 254:Black–Scholes 252:Co-author of 251: 249: 248:Myron Scholes 246: 245: 242: 238: 234: 232: 229: 228: 225: 221: 215: 211: 207: 202: 196: 194: 192: 188: 184: 180: 176: 172: 166: 164: 160: 156: 152: 151:Myron Scholes 148: 144: 140: 135: 133: 129: 126: 122: 118: 110: 106: 103: 99: 96: 92: 88: 87:Myron Scholes 85: 79: 75: 72: 68: 64: 60: 57: 54: 50: 46: 42: 39: 36: 32: 28: 23: 3513:(2010–2019) 3471:Bear Stearns 3390: 3359:Barings Bank 2938:Fixed income 2814:Global macro 2756:Event-driven 2649: 2621:austhink.org 2594: 2573: 2564:the original 2559: 2556:"Blowing Up" 2536: 2501: 2497: 2486:. Retrieved 2475: 2461: 2450:. Retrieved 2416: 2396: 2381: 2361: 2341:. New York: 2337: 2316: 2304:. Retrieved 2300:the original 2293: 2282:Bibliography 2268:. Retrieved 2255: 2245: 2233:. Retrieved 2222: 2213: 2201: 2189: 2177: 2158: 2146: 2128: 2117: 2106:. Retrieved 2102: 2093: 2082:. Retrieved 2068: 2059: 2051: 2036: 2017: 2008: 1996: 1984: 1972: 1967:, p. 99 1960: 1922: 1915: 1904:. Retrieved 1895: 1885: 1880:, p. xv 1873: 1861: 1834: 1828: 1816: 1804:. Retrieved 1800:the original 1793: 1755: 1743: 1710: 1706: 1696: 1685:. Retrieved 1668: 1658: 1631: 1619: 1607: 1596: 1584: 1576: 1572: 1567: 1556:the original 1543: 1531: 1506: 1498: 1477: 1460: 1434: 1427:Region Focus 1426: 1378: 1307: 1298: 1275: 1266: 1256: 1253:JWM Partners 1250: 1233: 1229:in-the-money 1215: 1206: 1202:moral hazard 1194: 1186: 1172:$ 100 mn in 1165:$ 203 mn in 1156:$ 215 mn in 1149:$ 286 mn in 1125:$ 1.6 bn in 1120: 1112: 1108: 1099:Bear Stearns 1023: 1003: 999: 966:Bear Stearns 957: 944:1998 bailout 935: 918: 914: 906: 893: 885: 870: 856: 848: 844: 812: 791:Seth Klarman 788: 767: 759: 755: 742: 733: 729: 715: 710: 683: 674: 639: 635: 572:Short equity 546:Fixed income 500: 496: 475:mutual funds 472: 432:Bear Stearns 417: 410:Greg Hawkins 391: 387:Chi-fu Huang 377: 351:Bond trader 328:Bill Clinton 326:; worked on 318:Greg Hawkins 182: 181:hedge fund, 167: 136: 120: 116: 115: 70:Headquarters 3704:Hedge funds 3553:(2012–2013) 3497:(2008–2015) 3489:(2008–2011) 3481:(2008–2012) 3441:(2003-2005) 3385:(1999-2006) 3165:Hedge funds 2928:Derivatives 2923:Commodities 2878:Day trading 2788:Directional 2687:Hedge funds 1651:Dunbar 2000 1636:Dunbar 2000 1624:Dunbar 2000 1612:Dunbar 2000 1601:Loomis 1998 1589:Dunbar 2000 1536:Dunbar 2000 1329:Game theory 1276:The firm's 1225:put options 1167:S&P 500 1158:yield curve 978:J.P. Morgan 807:Eugene Fama 795:Mitch Kapor 775:S&P 500 720:speculation 702:derivatives 665:yield curve 616:Yield curve 604:S&P 500 529:swap spread 463:(left) and 356:Dick Leahy 145:trading at 3668:Categories 3607:Moser Baer 3303:Polly Peck 3120:Governance 2694:Investment 2488:2017-09-04 2452:2009-11-16 2306:2006-09-04 2270:2020-10-11 2235:11 January 2108:2020-10-31 2084:2017-03-08 1906:2015-08-22 1687:2015-08-22 1290:Depression 1267:Historian 1133:volatility 1066:J.P.Morgan 660:sell short 596:sovereigns 574:volatility 549:volatility 128:hedge fund 82:Key people 3255:Salad Oil 3054:Investors 2704:Arbitrage 2615:erisk.com 2528:145790602 2506:CiteSeerX 1735:220355463 1727:1356-3467 1677:0362-4331 1212:Aftermath 1183:arbitrage 1176:arbitrage 1174:junk bond 1161:arbitrage 896:arbitrage 560:arbitrage 557:Junk bond 527:Short US 507:Fed model 3646:See also 3615:Wirecard 3439:Parmalat 3431:WorldCom 3423:Adelphia 3287:Guinness 2696:strategy 2640:Archived 2628:Archived 2482:Archived 2446:Archived 2394:(2000). 2264:Archived 2229:Archived 2166:Archived 2136:Archived 2103:Barron's 2078:Archived 2045:Archived 2016:(2003). 1900:Archived 1853:61254310 1763:Archived 1681:Archived 1442:Archived 1419:Archived 1313:See also 1295:—  1263:Analysis 1042:Barclays 958:pictured 824:Downturn 704:such as 696:such as 678:leverage 652:Treasury 420:Delaware 277:; Ph.D. 197:Founding 123:) was a 101:Products 34:Industry 3575:Toshiba 3545:(2012) 3535:Olympus 3407:One.Tel 3335:Banesto 3297:(1990) 2916:Markets 2907:Related 2866:Trading 2383:Fortune 2224:Reuters 1806:12 July 1513:193–195 1237:Mullins 1222:writing 1090:Paribas 381:headed 222:; MBA, 62:Defunct 52:Founder 44:Founded 3633:(2021) 3625:(2020) 3623:Nikola 3617:(2020) 3609:(2019) 3601:(2018) 3577:(2015) 3537:(2011) 3529:(2011) 3505:(2009) 3503:Satyam 3473:(2008) 3465:(2008) 3457:(2005) 3449:(2004) 3433:(2002) 3425:(2002) 3417:(2001) 3409:(2001) 3401:(2000) 3393:(2000) 3383:Daewoo 3377:(1997) 3369:(1996) 3361:(1995) 3353:(1993) 3345:(1993) 3337:(1993) 3329:(1992) 3321:(1991) 3313:(1990) 3305:(1990) 3289:(1986) 3281:(1983) 3273:(1982) 3265:(1971) 3257:(1963) 3249:(1890) 3241:(1720) 2988:Greeks 2933:Equity 2602:  2581:  2543:  2526:  2508:  2423:  2404:  2368:  2349:  2324:  2024:  1934:  1928:97–124 1851:  1841:  1733:  1725:  1675:  1519:  1486:  1181:merger 1169:stocks 1012:, and 992:, and 924:(DLC) 647:liquid 618:trades 566:Equity 179:master 177:. The 76:, U.S. 3567:Forex 3479:Libor 3415:Enron 3399:CINAR 3031:Short 3021:Hedge 3002:alpha 2909:terms 2833:Other 2524:S2CID 2343:Wiley 1731:S2CID 1559:(PDF) 1552:(PDF) 1392:Notes 1127:swaps 1046:Chase 714:book 645:less 610:Other 592:Long 3447:Tyco 3006:beta 2962:Misc 2600:ISBN 2579:ISBN 2541:ISBN 2477:Nova 2421:ISBN 2402:ISBN 2366:ISBN 2347:ISBN 2322:ISBN 2237:2018 2022:ISBN 1932:ISBN 1849:OCLC 1839:ISBN 1808:2024 1723:ISSN 1673:ISSN 1517:ISBN 1484:ISBN 1101:and 1092:and 952:The 889:CSFB 816:and 779:vega 404:and 396:and 173:and 153:and 143:bond 121:LTCM 47:1994 3551:OCZ 2516:doi 1715:doi 1245:Fed 1078:UBS 1010:AIG 371:LSE 342:MIT 324:MIT 310:MIT 298:MIT 279:MIT 3670:: 3008:/ 3004:/ 2990:: 2842:/ 2802:/ 2734:/ 2558:. 2522:. 2514:. 2502:32 2500:. 2474:. 2345:. 2292:. 2262:. 2258:. 2254:. 2221:. 2101:. 2076:. 1946:^ 1930:. 1898:. 1894:. 1847:. 1792:. 1774:^ 1729:. 1721:. 1709:. 1705:. 1679:. 1671:. 1667:. 1643:^ 1515:. 1468:^ 1453:^ 1400:^ 1118:. 1076:, 1072:, 1068:, 1064:, 1060:, 1056:, 1052:, 1048:, 1044:, 1040:, 1008:, 988:, 984:, 980:, 976:, 972:, 968:, 964:, 708:. 654:. 438:. 134:. 3219:e 3212:t 3205:v 3012:) 3000:( 2994:) 2986:( 2706:/ 2679:e 2672:t 2665:v 2608:. 2587:. 2549:. 2530:. 2518:: 2491:. 2466:. 2455:. 2429:. 2410:. 2374:. 2355:. 2330:. 2309:. 2273:. 2239:. 2111:. 2087:. 2030:. 1940:. 1909:. 1855:. 1810:. 1737:. 1717:: 1711:6 1690:. 1525:. 1492:. 1303:. 996:. 956:( 119:(

Index

Long-Term Capital Management
Investment services
John W. Meriwether
Greenwich, Connecticut
Myron Scholes
Robert C. Merton
John Meriwether
Financial services
Investment management
highly leveraged
hedge fund
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
John Meriwether
bond
Salomon Brothers
Myron Scholes
Robert C. Merton
Nobel Prize in Economics
Black–Scholes model
1997 Asian financial crisis
1998 Russian financial crisis
master
recapitalization
Federal Reserve
John Meriwether
Salomon Brothers
University of Chicago
Robert C. Merton
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Harvard University

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