Knowledge (XXG)

Profit risk

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358:, or profitability systems that they use to keep track of their customer/member relationship activities. The data in these systems can be analyzed and grouped to gain insights into profitability contribution of each customer/member, product, market, delivery channels, and salespeople. Reports illustrating the concentrations of net income are used by senior management to show (1) the location of the concentrations in the income statement, (2) the levels of the concentrations, and (3) the predictions for future earning losses to be drawn from the concentrations. Often, these reports examine earnings contributions by 330:
customer accounts, a loss of a limited number of products, a loss of a select market, a loss of a small number of delivery channels, and/or a loss of a few salespeople can result in significant net income volatility. At this stage, income loss risk is present and the company has reached a level of profit risk that is unhealthy for sustaining net income. The method for quantifying and assessing this potential income loss risk and the volatility that it creates to the company's income statement is profit risk measurement and management. For financial institutions, profit risk management is similar to the
346:, which states that approximately 20% of a company's customers drive 80% of the business. This rule and principle may be appropriate for some industries, but not for the financial services industry. According to Rich Weissman, it is true that this small group of customers dominate the income statement, but the old "80/20" rule no longer applies. "There are real-life examples where financial institutions have seen profit risk ratios as high as 300 percent. Their top 10 percent of customer/member relationships accounted for three times net earnings – a "300/10" rule!" 36: 320:
where the income statement lacks income diversification and income variability, so that the income statement's high concentration in a limited number of customer accounts, products, markets, delivery channels, and salespeople puts the company at risk levels that project the company's inability to
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When a company's earnings are derived from a limited number of customer accounts, products, markets, delivery channels (e.g., branches/stores/other delivery points), and/or salespeople, these concentrations result in significant net income risk that can be quantified. A loss of just a handful of
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grow earnings with high potential for future earnings losses. Profit risk can exist even when a company is growing in earnings, which can cause earnings growth to decline when levels of concentration become excessive.
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tool that focuses on understanding concentrations within the income statement and assessing the risk associated with those concentrations from a net income perspective.
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strategies commonly used for investment asset allocations, real estate diversification, and other portfolio risk management techniques.
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To measure these concentrations and manage profit risk, the most important tools for financial institutions may be their MCIF,
1224: 1027: 549: 251: 623: 35: 362:(groupings of customers or other units of analysis by 10% increments), illustrating concentrations for each 10% group. 910: 802: 974: 371: 313: 1062: 643: 331: 920: 885: 890: 504: 1229: 950: 935: 877: 616: 925: 309: 1267: 1169: 1142: 1127: 895: 750: 671: 62: 566: 1272: 1204: 1194: 1149: 1082: 915: 666: 517: 465: 1262: 1219: 730: 1239: 1234: 1214: 1102: 905: 863: 760: 686: 405: 305: 301: 230: 85: 57: 536:
Reprinted with permission from The Mortgage Press; Profit Risk: The third leg of risk management
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industry, in that it complements other risk management methodologies commonly used in the
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The concept of profit risk is loosely akin to the well known "80/20" rule or the
1249: 1209: 955: 940: 740: 718: 706: 658: 376: 100: 76: 43: 546: 832: 812: 726: 722: 209: 161: 455:", Michigan Bankers Magazine, March/April 2009, p 12-14, Retrieved 05/06/2010 1179: 518:
For Bank Marketing, Re-Focus the Pareto Principle on Customer Profitability
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Profit risk is a risk measurement methodology most appropriate for the
1159: 359: 527:", Bank Systems and Technology, November 2009 Retrieved 05/06/2010 1174: 612: 415:", California Banker Magazine, August 2008 Retrieved 05/06/2010 556:", CUNA Operations and Sales/Services Council, August, 2005 435:", The Mortgage Press, December 2004 Retrieved 05/06/2010 468:", ABA Bank Marketing, Jan-Feb, 2006 Retrieved 05/06/2010 603:
Profit Risk: The Third Critical Piece of Risk Management
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Bank Marketers Measure Profit Risk in Changing Times
1015: 876: 841: 793: 705: 657: 650: 505:Pareto Principle and the Infinite Value of CRM 426:Profit Risk – The Third Leg of Risk Management 624: 259: 8: 654: 631: 617: 609: 266: 252: 18: 567:Are You Getting the Most from Your MCIF? 406:Managing Profit Risk to Avoid a Meltdown 397: 229: 222: 179: 151: 123: 75: 42: 26: 7: 466:Profit Decile Report: An Eye-Opener 14: 569:", ABA Banking Journal, June 1995 547:Pinpointing Preferences with MCIF 906:Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) 34: 1225:Strategic financial management 1028:Asset and liability management 1: 464:Coffey, John and Palm, Gene " 803:Operational risk management 578:Retail Profit Management, " 1310: 975:Proportional hazards model 926:Interest rate immunization 492:Diversification Strategies 372:Asset liability management 314:asset liability management 277: 1294:Financial risk management 1258: 644:financial risk management 921:First-hitting-time model 886:Arbitrage pricing theory 278:Not to be confused with 1230:Stress test (financial) 936:Modern portfolio theory 507:" Retrieved 05/06/2010 494:" Retrieved 05/06/2010 310:credit risk management 1268:Investment management 1170:Investment management 896:Replicating portfolio 672:Sovereign credit risk 296:Alternate definitions 1273:Mathematical finance 1205:Risk-return spectrum 1195:Mathematical finance 1150:Fundamental analysis 1083:Exchange traded fund 667:Consumer credit risk 16:Risk management tool 1263:Financial economics 1220:Statistical finance 986:Value-at-Risk (VaR) 891:Black–Scholes model 731:Holding period risk 503:Website Magazine, " 479:Profit in the Drink 1240:Structured product 1235:Structured finance 1215:Speculative attack 901:Cash flow matching 864:Non-financial risk 761:Interest rate risk 687:Concentration risk 585:2010-03-22 at the 552:2011-07-25 at the 523:2010-03-23 at the 451:2010-06-11 at the 431:2011-07-10 at the 411:2011-07-10 at the 306:financial services 302:financial services 231:Non-financial risk 86:Interest rate risk 58:Concentration risk 1281: 1280: 1053:Corporate finance 1048:Capital structure 1002:Cash flow at risk 998:Liquidity at risk 971:Survival analysis 872: 871: 818:Reputational risk 692:Credit derivative 565:Duclaux, Denise " 276: 275: 190:Reputational risk 1301: 1155:Growth investing 1073:Enterprise value 1023:Asset allocation 1006:Earnings at risk 988:and extensions ( 931:Market portfolio 795:Operational risk 780:Refinancing risk 655: 633: 626: 619: 610: 590: 576: 570: 563: 557: 545:Totty, Patrick " 543: 537: 534: 528: 514: 508: 501: 495: 488: 482: 477:Weissman, Rich " 475: 469: 462: 456: 444:Weissman, Rich " 442: 436: 424:Weissman, Rich " 422: 416: 404:Weissman, Rich " 402: 382:Pareto principle 344:Pareto principle 318:income statement 268: 261: 254: 195:Operational risk 134:Refinancing risk 38: 19: 1309: 1308: 1304: 1303: 1302: 1300: 1299: 1298: 1284: 1283: 1282: 1277: 1254: 1190:Systematic risk 1088:Expected return 1068:Economic bubble 1063:Diversification 1058:Cost of capital 1011: 868: 837: 789: 771:Volatility risk 735:Price area risk 701: 677:Settlement risk 646: 637: 598: 593: 587:Wayback Machine 577: 573: 564: 560: 554:Wayback Machine 544: 540: 535: 531: 525:Wayback Machine 516:Wang, Hongjie " 515: 511: 502: 498: 490:Investopedia, " 489: 485: 476: 472: 463: 459: 453:Wayback Machine 443: 439: 433:Wayback Machine 423: 419: 413:Wayback Machine 403: 399: 395: 387:Risk management 368: 352: 340: 332:diversification 327: 298: 290:risk management 283: 272: 153:Investment risk 111:Volatility risk 53:Settlement risk 17: 12: 11: 5: 1307: 1305: 1297: 1296: 1286: 1285: 1279: 1278: 1276: 1275: 1270: 1265: 1259: 1256: 1255: 1253: 1252: 1247: 1242: 1237: 1232: 1227: 1222: 1217: 1212: 1207: 1202: 1197: 1192: 1187: 1182: 1177: 1172: 1167: 1162: 1157: 1152: 1147: 1146: 1145: 1140: 1135: 1130: 1125: 1120: 1115: 1110: 1105: 1100: 1090: 1085: 1080: 1075: 1070: 1065: 1060: 1055: 1050: 1045: 1040: 1035: 1030: 1025: 1019: 1017: 1016:Basic concepts 1013: 1012: 1010: 1009: 994:Margin at risk 990:Profit at risk 983: 981:Tracking error 978: 968: 963: 958: 953: 951:Risk-free rate 948: 943: 938: 933: 928: 923: 918: 913: 908: 903: 898: 893: 888: 882: 880: 874: 873: 870: 869: 867: 866: 861: 856: 851: 849:Execution risk 845: 843: 839: 838: 836: 835: 830: 828:Political risk 825: 820: 815: 810: 805: 799: 797: 791: 790: 788: 787: 776:Liquidity risk 773: 768: 766:Inflation risk 763: 758: 756:Margining risk 753: 748: 746:Valuation risk 743: 738: 715:Commodity risk 711: 709: 703: 702: 700: 699: 697:Securitization 694: 689: 684: 679: 674: 669: 663: 661: 652: 648: 647: 640:Financial risk 638: 636: 635: 628: 621: 613: 607: 606: 597: 596:External links 594: 592: 591: 571: 558: 538: 529: 509: 496: 483: 470: 457: 437: 417: 396: 394: 391: 390: 389: 384: 379: 374: 367: 364: 351: 348: 339: 336: 326: 323: 297: 294: 280:Profit at risk 274: 273: 271: 270: 263: 256: 248: 245: 244: 243: 242: 240:Stranded asset 234: 233: 227: 226: 220: 219: 218: 217: 212: 207: 205:Political risk 202: 197: 192: 184: 183: 177: 176: 175: 174: 172:Valuation risk 169: 167:Execution risk 164: 156: 155: 149: 148: 147: 146: 144:Margining risk 141: 136: 128: 127: 125:Liquidity risk 121: 120: 119: 118: 113: 108: 106:Commodity risk 103: 98: 93: 91:Inflation risk 88: 80: 79: 73: 72: 71: 70: 65: 63:Sovereign risk 60: 55: 47: 46: 40: 39: 31: 30: 28:Financial risk 24: 23: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1306: 1295: 1292: 1291: 1289: 1274: 1271: 1269: 1266: 1264: 1261: 1260: 1257: 1251: 1248: 1246: 1245:Systemic risk 1243: 1241: 1238: 1236: 1233: 1231: 1228: 1226: 1223: 1221: 1218: 1216: 1213: 1211: 1208: 1206: 1203: 1201: 1198: 1196: 1193: 1191: 1188: 1186: 1183: 1181: 1178: 1176: 1173: 1171: 1168: 1166: 1163: 1161: 1158: 1156: 1153: 1151: 1148: 1144: 1141: 1139: 1136: 1134: 1131: 1129: 1126: 1124: 1121: 1119: 1116: 1114: 1111: 1109: 1106: 1104: 1101: 1099: 1096: 1095: 1094: 1091: 1089: 1086: 1084: 1081: 1079: 1076: 1074: 1071: 1069: 1066: 1064: 1061: 1059: 1056: 1054: 1051: 1049: 1046: 1044: 1043:Capital asset 1041: 1039: 1036: 1034: 1033:Asset pricing 1031: 1029: 1026: 1024: 1021: 1020: 1018: 1014: 1007: 1003: 999: 995: 991: 987: 984: 982: 979: 976: 972: 969: 967: 966:Sortino ratio 964: 962: 959: 957: 954: 952: 949: 947: 944: 942: 939: 937: 934: 932: 929: 927: 924: 922: 919: 917: 914: 912: 909: 907: 904: 902: 899: 897: 894: 892: 889: 887: 884: 883: 881: 879: 875: 865: 862: 860: 859:Systemic risk 857: 855: 852: 850: 847: 846: 844: 840: 834: 831: 829: 826: 824: 821: 819: 816: 814: 811: 809: 808:Business risk 806: 804: 801: 800: 798: 796: 792: 785: 781: 777: 774: 772: 769: 767: 764: 762: 759: 757: 754: 752: 749: 747: 744: 742: 739: 736: 732: 728: 724: 720: 716: 713: 712: 710: 708: 704: 698: 695: 693: 690: 688: 685: 683: 680: 678: 675: 673: 670: 668: 665: 664: 662: 660: 656: 653: 649: 645: 641: 634: 629: 627: 622: 620: 615: 614: 611: 604: 600: 599: 595: 588: 584: 581: 580:Decile Report 575: 572: 568: 562: 559: 555: 551: 548: 542: 539: 533: 530: 526: 522: 519: 513: 510: 506: 500: 497: 493: 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215:Moral hazard 200:Country risk 139:Deposit risk 68:Default risk 1250:Toxic asset 1210:Speculation 1143:social work 1128:engineering 956:Risk parity 941:Omega ratio 854:Profit risk 741:Equity risk 719:Volume risk 707:Market risk 659:Credit risk 377:Credit risk 350:Measurement 325:Description 286:Profit risk 224:Profit risk 101:Equity risk 77:Market risk 44:Credit risk 833:Legal risk 813:Model risk 727:Shape risk 723:Basis risk 651:Categories 393:References 308:industry: 210:Legal risk 162:Model risk 1180:Risk pool 1093:Financial 1288:Category 1103:analysis 1038:Bad debt 916:Drawdown 878:Modeling 583:Archived 550:Archived 521:Archived 449:Archived 429:Archived 409:Archived 366:See also 1118:betting 1108:analyst 1098:adviser 751:FX risk 360:deciles 1160:Hazard 911:Copula 778:(e.g. 717:(e.g. 1165:Hedge 1123:crime 1113:asset 946:RAROC 842:Other 338:Basis 288:is a 1175:Risk 1138:risk 642:and 312:and 1133:law 1078:ESG 356:CRM 1290:: 1004:, 1000:, 996:, 992:, 782:, 733:, 729:, 725:, 721:, 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Index

Financial risk

Credit risk
Settlement risk
Concentration risk
Sovereign risk
Default risk
Market risk
Interest rate risk
Inflation risk
Currency risk
Equity risk
Commodity risk
Volatility risk
Systemic risk
Liquidity risk
Refinancing risk
Deposit risk
Margining risk
Investment risk
Model risk
Execution risk
Valuation risk
Business risk
Reputational risk
Operational risk
Country risk
Political risk
Legal risk
Moral hazard

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