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Rating percentage index

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neutral game counts as 1 win or 1 loss. This change was based on statistical data that consistently showed home teams in Division I basketball winning about two-thirds of the time. Note that this location adjustment applies only to the WP factor and not the OWP and OOWP factors. Only games against Division 1 teams are included for all RPI factors. As an example, if a team loses to Syracuse at home, beats them away, and then loses to Cincinnati away, their record would be 1–2. Considering the weighted aspect of the WP, their winning percentage is 1.4 / (1.4 + 1.4 + 0.6) = 0.4118
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1.3 against a team’s RPI and each road loss counts 0.7 against a team’s RPI. Neutral-site games have a value of 1.0, but the committee is studying how to determine if a game should be considered a neutral-site contest. The adjustment is based on data showing that home teams win about 62 percent of the time in Division I baseball." The change was made because of the discrepancy in the number of home games teams play. Some schools are able to play 35–40 of their 56 allowable games at home, while other teams, due to factors such as weather, may play only 20 home games.
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The formula used in NCAA baseball is the same as that used in basketball except for the adjustment of home and road records. Starting in 2013, college baseball RPI formula values each road victory as 1.3 instead of 1.0. Each home win is valued at 0.7 instead of 1.0. Conversely, each home loss counts
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This adjustment replaces the previous system of bonuses or penalties that teams received. Bonus points were awarded for beating top-75 non-conference opponents on the road and penalty points were given for losing to bottom-75 non-conference opponents at home. Bonuses and penalties were on a sliding
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Syracuse has played and beat the team in question (which, excluding the games against Syracuse, only lost to Cincinnati), lost to the team in question (excluding Syracuse, only lost to Cincinnati), and lost one other game (excluding Syracuse, this team has no WP). Syracuse's OWP is (0/1 + 0/1) / 2 =
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The OWP is calculated by taking the average of the WP's for each of the team's opponents with the requirement that all games against the team in question are removed from the equation. Continuing from the example above, assume Syracuse has played one other game and lost, while Cincinnati has played
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Some feel that the heavy emphasis upon strength of schedule gives an unfair advantage to teams from major conferences. Teams from "majors" are allowed to pick many of their non-conference opponents (often blatantly weaker teams). Teams from minor conferences, however, may only get one or two such
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For Division 1 NCAA Men's basketball, the WP factor of the RPI was updated in 2004 to account for differences in home, away, and neutral games. A home win now counts as 0.6 win, while a road win counts as 1.4 wins. Inversely, a home loss equals 1.4 losses, while a road loss counts as 0.6 loss. A
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In its current formulation, the index comprises a team's winning percentage (25%), its opponents' winning percentage (50%), and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents (25%). The opponents' winning percentage and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents both comprise the
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The RPI lacks theoretical justification from a statistical standpoint. Other ranking systems which include the margin of victory of games played or other statistics in addition to the win/loss results have been shown to be a better predictor of the outcomes of future games. However, because
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has successfully done this: It has become one of the top-rated RPI conferences, despite having very few of its teams ranked in the two national Top 25 polls. In 2006, the NCAA began to release its RPI calculations weekly starting in January. Independent sources, such as
414:, one criterion for determining selection to the NCAA Tournament has been performance against certain RPI quadrants. Typically, a quadrant 1 win is considered a "good win", while a quadrant 4 loss is considered a "bad loss". The quadrants are defined as follows: 164:
Continuing the example above, a team has played Syracuse twice and Cincinnati once. Syracuse has played one other game and lost, while Cincinnati has played two other games and won. Next, for simplicity, assume none of the unnamed teams has played any other games.
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Cincinnati has played the team in question (excluding Cincinnati, they went 1–1 vs. Syracuse) and won versus two other opponents each of which have no WP when games versus Cincinnati are excluded. Cincinnati's OWP is (1/2) / 1 = 0.5000.
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two other teams and won. The team in question has played Syracuse twice and therefore Syracuse must be counted twice. Thus the OWP of the team is (0/1 + 0/1 + 2/2) / 3 (number of opponents – Syracuse, Syracuse, Cincinnati). OWP = 0.3333
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The NCAA announced on August 22, 2018, that the RPI would no longer be used in the Division I men's basketball selection process and would be replaced by the aforementioned NET. This new metric takes the following into account:
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The RPI formula also has many flaws. Due to the heavy weighting of opponents winning percentage, beating a team with a bad RPI may actually hurt your RPI. In addition, losing to a good RPI team can help your RPI.
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The OOWP is calculated by taking the average of each Opponent's OWP. Note that the team in question is part of the team's OOWP. In fact, the most re-occurring opponent of your opponents is the team in question.
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conferences regularly compel their member teams to schedule opponents ranked in the top half of the RPI, which could boost the strength of that conference and/or its tougher-scheduling teams. In basketball, the
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Scoring margin — While included in the NET, teams receive no extra credit for wins by more than 10 points. Additionally, overtime games are assigned a 1-point victory margin, regardless of the actual score.
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strength of schedule (SOS). Thus, the SOS accounts for 75% of the RPI calculation and is 2/3 its opponents' winning percentage and 1/3 its opponents' opponents' winning percentages.
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Game date and order are not included in the NET—all games are treated equally, whether an early-season matchup or a conference tournament championship game.
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scale, separated into groups of 25, with the top bonus for a road win against a top-25 team and the worst penalty for a home loss to a bottom-25 opponent.
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in the past by teams or individuals in the context of gambling, the RPI can be used to mitigate motivation for such manipulation.
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teams are ranked. This system was in use from 1981 through 2018 to aid in the selecting and seeding of teams appearing in the
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The current and commonly used formula for determining the RPI of a college basketball team at any given time is as follows.
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where WP is Winning Percentage, OWP is Opponents' Winning Percentage and OOWP is Opponents' Opponents' Winning Percentage.
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The WP is calculated by taking a team's wins divided by the number of games it has played (i.e. wins plus losses).
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The quadrant system is still in use under the new NET system, with RPI ranking replaced by NET ranking.
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Quadrant 1: Home games vs. RPI teams ranked in the top 30; neutral games vs. 1-50; away games vs. 1-75.
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UConn: ((Kansas 0.6667) + (Kansas 0.6667) + (Duke 0.3333) + (Wisconsin 0.3889)) / (4 games) = 0.5139
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for the Division I men's basketball tournament. Effective immediately, it was replaced with the
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During the 2018 offseason, the NCAA announced that the RPI would no longer be used in the
532:"NCAA Evaluation Tool to replace RPI as team sorting tool for women's college basketball" 344:
UConn: ((Kansas 1.0) + (Kansas 1.0) + (Duke 1.0) + (Wisconsin 0.0)) / (4 games) = 0.7500
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The OOWP is calculated as (Syracuse's OWP + Syracuse's OWP + Cincinnati's OWP ) / 3.
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is a quantity used to rank sports teams based upon a team's wins and losses and its
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Kansas: ((UConn 0.7500) + (UConn 0.7500) + (Wisconsin 0.3889)) / (3 games) = 0.6296
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For the team in question, the OOWP is thus (0.0000 + 0.0000 + 0.5000) / 3 = 0.1667
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Wisconsin: ((UConn 0.7500) + (Duke 0.3333) + (Kansas 0.6667)) / (3 games) = 0.5833
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Quadrant 4: Home vs. 161-plus teams; neutral vs. 201-plus; away vs. 241-plus.
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Wisconsin: ((UConn 0.6667) + (Duke 0.0) + (Kansas 0.5)) / (3 games) = 0.3889
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Kansas: ((UConn 1.0) + (UConn 1.0) + (Wisconsin 0.0)) / (3 games) = 0.6667
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Quadrant 3: Home vs. 76-160 teams; neutral vs. 101-200; away vs. 136-240.
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Quadrant 2: Home vs. 31-75 teams; neutral vs. 51-100; away vs. 76-135.
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Here is the calculation of the WPs, OWPs, and OOWPs for each team:
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RPI = (0.4117 * 0.25) + (0.3333 * 0.50) + (0.1667 * 0.25) = 0.3113
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Duke: ((UConn 0.7500) + (Wisconsin 0.3889)) / (2 games) = 0.5694
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Quality of wins and losses, using the existing quadrant system
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Duke: ((UConn 0.6667) + (Wisconsin 0.0)) / (2 games) = 0.3333
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For the team in question, the RPI can now be calculated:
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Forecasting RPI based on simulations of future schedules
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Plugging in numbers from the above example gives you
956: 915: 872: 806: 775: 185:RPI = (WP * 0.25) + (OWP * 0.50) + (OOWP * 0.25) 143:RPI = (WP * 0.25) + (OWP * 0.50) + (OOWP * 0.25) 380:RPI = (WP * 0.25) + (OWP * 0.50) + (OOWP * 0.25) 334:Wisconsin: 0 / 3 = 0.0000 Weighted 0/3.4 = 0.000 328:Kansas: 2 / 3 = 0.6667 Weighted 2.0/2.6 = 0.7692 589: 587: 585: 583: 325:UConn: 3 / 4 = 0.7500 Weighted 2.6/3.2 = 0.8125 556: 554: 552: 435:Replacement with NET for Division I basketball 753: 331:Duke: 1 / 2 = 0.5000 Weighted 0.6/1.2 = 0.500 8: 450:Game location (home, away, or neutral court) 1025:NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament 81:NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament 869: 760: 746: 738: 108:the margin of victory has been manipulated 728:NET Rating Tracker by Team and Conference 638: 636: 634: 114:opponents in their schedules. Also, some 87:from its inception in 1982 through 2020. 933:Harris Interactive College Football Poll 376:These are then combined via the formula 201: 497: 645:"RPI formula altering for 2013 season" 456:Net offensive and defensive efficiency 928:FWAA-NFF Grantland Rice Super 16 Poll 7: 384:resulting in the following ratings: 696:Norlander, Matt (August 22, 2018). 594:Norlander, Matt (August 22, 2018). 199:Assume the following game results: 849:Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings 561:Borzello, Jeff (August 22, 2018). 25: 511:(Mailing list). February 15, 1981 834:English Chess Federation grading 643:Johnson, Greg (August 3, 2011). 675:Pete Grathoff (March 7, 2018). 1: 948:USA Today/Amway Coaches' Poll 859:Rating Percentage Index (RPI) 814:Advanced Football Analytics 807:Methods and computer models 530:Nixon, Rick (May 5, 2020). 1046: 121:Missouri Valley Conference 96:NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET) 1030:Tournament rating systems 824:Bowl Championship Series 36:, commonly known as the 854:Pythagorean expectation 34:rating percentage index 18:Rating Percentage Index 769:Sports rating systems 627:on February 28, 2008. 46:sports rating systems 793:Strength of schedule 447:Strength of schedule 42:strength of schedule 44:. It is one of the 27:Sports team ranking 943:NAIA Coaches' Poll 839:Litkenhous Ratings 819:ARGH Power Ratings 136:Basketball formula 85:women's tournament 83:as well as in the 1012: 1011: 916:Polls and opinion 911: 910: 397:Wisconsin: 0.3403 314: 313: 92:selection process 16:(Redirected from 1037: 870: 829:Dickinson System 762: 755: 748: 739: 713: 712: 710: 708: 693: 687: 686: 682:Kansas City Star 672: 666: 663: 657: 656: 654: 652: 640: 629: 628: 623:. Archived from 617: 611: 610: 608: 606: 591: 578: 577: 575: 573: 558: 547: 546: 544: 542: 527: 521: 520: 518: 516: 510: 502: 467:Baseball formula 202: 195:Extended example 21: 1045: 1044: 1040: 1039: 1038: 1036: 1035: 1034: 1015: 1014: 1013: 1008: 952: 907: 868: 802: 798:Win probability 771: 766: 726:Bracketologists 722: 717: 716: 706: 704: 695: 694: 690: 674: 673: 669: 664: 660: 650: 648: 642: 641: 632: 619: 618: 614: 604: 602: 593: 592: 581: 571: 569: 560: 559: 550: 540: 538: 529: 528: 524: 514: 512: 508: 504: 503: 499: 494: 482: 469: 437: 408: 197: 138: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1043: 1041: 1033: 1032: 1027: 1017: 1016: 1010: 1009: 1007: 1006: 1001: 996: 991: 986: 981: 979:Kenneth Massey 976: 971: 969:John Hollinger 966: 960: 958: 954: 953: 951: 950: 945: 940: 935: 930: 925: 919: 917: 913: 912: 909: 908: 906: 905: 900: 895: 890: 885: 879: 877: 867: 866: 861: 856: 851: 846: 841: 836: 831: 826: 821: 816: 810: 808: 804: 803: 801: 800: 795: 790: 785: 783:Home advantage 779: 777: 773: 772: 767: 765: 764: 757: 750: 742: 736: 735: 729: 721: 720:External links 718: 715: 714: 688: 667: 658: 630: 612: 579: 548: 522: 496: 495: 493: 490: 489: 488: 481: 478: 468: 465: 461: 460: 457: 454: 451: 448: 445: 436: 433: 429: 428: 425: 422: 419: 407: 404: 399: 398: 395: 392: 391:Kansas: 0.6830 389: 382: 381: 374: 373: 370: 367: 364: 355: 354: 351: 348: 345: 336: 335: 332: 329: 326: 312: 311: 308: 303: 300: 296: 295: 292: 289: 286: 280: 279: 276: 273: 270: 264: 263: 260: 255: 252: 248: 247: 244: 241: 238: 232: 231: 228: 225: 222: 216: 215: 212: 209: 206: 196: 193: 137: 134: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1042: 1031: 1028: 1026: 1023: 1022: 1020: 1005: 1002: 1000: 997: 995: 992: 990: 987: 985: 982: 980: 977: 975: 972: 970: 967: 965: 964:Mark Glickman 962: 961: 959: 955: 949: 946: 944: 941: 939: 936: 934: 931: 929: 926: 924: 921: 920: 918: 914: 904: 901: 899: 896: 894: 891: 889: 886: 884: 881: 880: 878: 875: 871: 865: 862: 860: 857: 855: 852: 850: 847: 845: 842: 840: 837: 835: 832: 830: 827: 825: 822: 820: 817: 815: 812: 811: 809: 805: 799: 796: 794: 791: 789: 786: 784: 781: 780: 778: 774: 770: 763: 758: 756: 751: 749: 744: 743: 740: 733: 730: 727: 724: 723: 719: 703: 702:CBSSports.com 699: 692: 689: 684: 683: 678: 671: 668: 662: 659: 646: 639: 637: 635: 631: 626: 622: 616: 613: 601: 600:CBSSports.com 597: 590: 588: 586: 584: 580: 568: 564: 557: 555: 553: 549: 537: 533: 526: 523: 507: 501: 498: 491: 487: 484: 483: 479: 477: 473: 466: 464: 458: 455: 452: 449: 446: 443: 442: 441: 434: 432: 426: 423: 420: 417: 416: 415: 413: 405: 403: 396: 393: 390: 388:UConn: 0.7066 387: 386: 385: 379: 378: 377: 371: 368: 365: 362: 361: 360: 359: 352: 349: 346: 343: 342: 341: 340: 333: 330: 327: 324: 323: 322: 321: 317: 309: 307: 304: 301: 298: 297: 293: 290: 287: 285: 282: 281: 277: 274: 271: 269: 266: 265: 261: 259: 256: 253: 250: 249: 245: 242: 239: 237: 234: 233: 229: 226: 223: 221: 218: 217: 213: 210: 207: 204: 203: 200: 194: 192: 189: 186: 183: 180: 177: 173: 169: 166: 162: 158: 154: 150: 147: 144: 141: 135: 133: 131: 127: 122: 117: 111: 109: 103: 99: 97: 93: 88: 86: 82: 78: 74: 70: 66: 62: 58: 54: 51: 47: 43: 39: 35: 30: 19: 989:Jeff Sagarin 938:Legends Poll 883:Chessmetrics 858: 788:Sabermetrics 705:. Retrieved 701: 691: 680: 670: 665:rpistats.com 661: 651:November 16, 649:. Retrieved 625:the original 615: 603:. Retrieved 599: 570:. Retrieved 566: 539:. Retrieved 535: 525: 515:February 26, 513:. Retrieved 500: 486:Bracketology 474: 470: 462: 444:Game results 438: 430: 409: 400: 394:Duke: 0.4340 383: 375: 357: 356: 338: 337: 319: 318: 315: 305: 283: 267: 257: 235: 219: 198: 190: 187: 184: 181: 178: 174: 170: 167: 163: 159: 155: 151: 148: 145: 142: 139: 112: 104: 100: 89: 37: 33: 31: 29: 1004:Peter Wolfe 994:Nate Silver 984:Ken Pomeroy 732:RPIForecast 506:"NCAA News" 1019:Categories 999:Jeff Sonas 974:Bill James 707:August 22, 647:. NCAA.com 605:August 22, 572:August 22, 492:References 299:Wisconsin 291:Wisconsin 251:Wisconsin 77:volleyball 53:basketball 903:Universal 864:TrueSkill 541:March 17, 406:Quadrants 116:mid-major 48:by which 776:Concepts 567:ESPN.com 536:NCAA.com 480:See also 172:0.0000. 73:lacrosse 61:softball 57:baseball 923:AP poll 227:Kansas 957:People 898:Glicko 876:family 410:Since 306:Kansas 275:UConn 268:Kansas 214:Score 208:Score 130:CNN/SI 75:, and 69:soccer 65:hockey 509:(PDF) 258:UConn 243:Duke 236:UConn 220:UConn 211:Away 205:Home 844:Log5 709:2018 653:2011 607:2018 574:2018 543:2022 517:2014 412:2018 358:OOWP 284:Duke 126:ESPN 50:NCAA 38:RPI, 32:The 893:Elo 888:DWZ 874:Elo 339:OWP 310:62 302:52 294:70 288:81 278:62 272:69 262:72 254:71 246:68 240:82 230:57 224:64 128:or 1021:: 700:. 679:. 633:^ 598:. 582:^ 565:. 551:^ 534:. 320:WP 98:. 71:, 67:, 63:, 59:, 55:, 761:e 754:t 747:v 711:. 685:. 655:. 609:. 576:. 545:. 519:. 20:)

Index

Rating Percentage Index
strength of schedule
sports rating systems
NCAA
basketball
baseball
softball
hockey
soccer
lacrosse
volleyball
NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament
women's tournament
selection process
NCAA Evaluation Tool (NET)
the margin of victory has been manipulated
mid-major
Missouri Valley Conference
ESPN
CNN/SI
2018
Bracketology
"NCAA News"
"NCAA Evaluation Tool to replace RPI as team sorting tool for women's college basketball"



"New ranking system developed for NCAA tournament, replacing RPI"

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