Knowledge (XXG)

Early 1980s recession in the United States

Source πŸ“

233: 252:
sectors through the end of 1982. Goods-producing sectors were hardest hit: 90% of all job losses in 1982 came from manufacturing, despite this sector making up only 30% of total non-farm employment. The machinery industry shed 400,000 jobs. Transportation equipment manufacturing fell by 180,000 jobs. Layoffs in electrical and electronics manufacturing exceeded 100,000. The mining sector shed 150,000 jobs, likely a result of high commodity prices and cratering demand from the recession. Construction shed a total of 385,000 jobs from July 1981 through December 1982. Non-durable goods manufacturing (e.g. textiles, rubber, apparel, plastics, tobacco, food, etc.), already under pressure since the mid-1970s, suffered some 365,000 job cuts.
38: 87: 146: 118:. Manufacturing and construction failed to recover before more aggressive inflation reducing policy was adopted by the Federal Reserve in 1981, causing a second downturn. Due to their proximity and compounded effects, they are commonly referred to as the early 1980s recession, an example of a W-shaped or " 315:
rose by 2.9 million and the unemployment rate fell by 2.5%. The auto industry had posted losses of $ 187 million in the third quarter of 1982, which turned into a gain of $ 1.2 billion during the same period in 1983. To prevent a new surge of inflation, interest and mortgage rates remained abnormally
219:
The official end of the recession was established as of July 1980. As interest rates dropped beginning in May, payrolls turned positive. Unemployment among auto workers rose from a low of 4.8% in 1979 to a record high of 24.7%, then fell to 17.4% by the end of the year. Construction unemployment rose
258:
The services sector, while not hit nearly as hard as manufacturing, shed 400,000 jobs during the recession, with sharp declines in transportation, utilities, state & local governments, and wholesale and retail trade. However, the finance, insurance, and real estate sector gained 35,000 jobs over
223:
During the final quarter of 1980, there were doubts that the economy was in recovery, and instead was experiencing a temporary respite. These concerns were fueled by poor performance in housing and auto sales in the final months of 1980, as well as a second wave of rising interest rates and stagnant
423:
through the mid-1980s. This prevented a recovery in manufacturing by undermining the competitiveness of exports of American manufactured goods (particularly automobiles and steel). It was not until 1985 that the Reagan administration and the Federal Reserve took action to correct this when the U.S.
279:
Unemployment was particularly severe amongst teenagers and racial minorities: the unemployment rates for black Americans peaked at 20% in December 1982, compared to 15% for Latinos and 9.3% for white Americans. Teen unemployment hit 24%, and was particularly severe amongst black teenagers: for most
271:
increase of 3.8%, yet still higher than the 2.9% average. Because the recession began with already elevated levels of unemployment, the increase easily pushed it higher than any other post-war recession. Overall, the recession caused the loss of 2.9 million jobs, representing a 3.0% drop in payroll
266:
Unemployment had changed very little in the period between the end of the 1980 recession and the July 1981 start of the second, never dropping below 7.2%. Unemployment rose to double digits for the first time since 1941 in September 1982, and stood at a postwar high of 10.8% by the end of the year.
251:
After failing to gain traction during the weak and brief recovery from the 1980 downturn, weakness in manufacturing and housing caused by rising interest rates began to have an expanded effect on related sectors beginning in mid-1981. Job losses resumed, this time expanding to nearly all employment
428:
with France, West Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom. As the U.S. Dollar depreciated some 50% against these major currencies, this agreement (combined with voluntary export restrictions) did help American exports recover, particularly in the automotive sector: by the early-1990s, the number of
262:
The heavy losses in manufacturing and construction, contrasted with more minor losses in services, also affected the unemployment rates for men and women differently. While the increases in unemployment for both sexes were roughly equal during the recession of 1973-1975 recession, the unemployment
376:(home to major manufacturing cities such as Gary, East Chicago, and Hammond), did not recover its 1980 employment level until 1996. And as of 2010, the county's inflation-adjusted output has stubbornly remained 15-20% below its 1978 peak. Other steel-producing regions, such as the south side of 440:
U.S. manufacturing employment peaked at 19.5 million in June 1979, before sharply declining by 2.8 million to 16.7 million before bottoming out in January 1983. Although 1.2 million manufacturing jobs would be created during the 1983-1990 period, the 1979 peak would never be reached again. The
215:
Over the course of the recession, manufacturing shed 1.1 million jobs, with the recession posting a total loss of 1.3 million jobs, representing 1.2% of payrolls. The automotive industry, already in a poor position due to weak sales in 1979, shed 310,000 jobs, representing 33% of that sector.
263:
rate for men increased 4.5 percentage points during the 1981-1982 recession, while women suffered a comparatively more mild 2.5 percentage point increase in joblessness. Between the fall of 1981 and the end of 1982, nearly 70% of the increase in unemployment came from men's unemployment.
310:
In July 1983, the official end of the recession was announced as November 1982, with the employment trough occurring in December. At the time of the announcement, output and sales had already met or exceeded levels achieved before the recession began. Through December 1983,
329:. As the third year of recovery drew to a close in 1985, payroll employment had grown by 10 million since the end of the recession. Growth continued through July 1990, creating what was at the time the longest peacetime economic expansion in U.S. history. 371:
Although the U.S. macroeconomy recovered during the 1983-1990 economic expansion period, the early-1980s recession cast a long shadow over many parts of the United States, especially those reliant on heavy industry. For example, heavily industrialized
204:, credit became more difficult to obtain for car and home loans. This caused severe contractions in manufacturing and housing, which were dependent on the availability of consumer credit. Most of the jobs lost during the recession centered around 1309: 429:
vehicles assembled by Japanese automakers in U.S. plants exceeded the number of auto exports from Japan to the U.S., a trend that still continues into the 2010s. However, many of the auto manufacturing plants were set up in states with
347:
were limited by interest rate ceilings. As a result of rising interest rates, many savings and loan institutions experienced frequent account withdrawals, as depositors moved their money to higher-earning accounts offered by
1302: 216:
Construction declined by a similar 300,000. Unemployment rose to a recession peak of 7.8% in June 1980, however, it changed very little through the end of the year, averaging 7.5% through the first quarter of 1981.
102:
remained unchanged through the start of a second recession in July 1981. The downturn ended 16 months later, in November 1982. The economy entered a strong recovery and experienced a lengthy expansion through 1990.
1295: 1121: 2213: 2218: 355:
High mortgage rates eroded the value of mortgage-backed loans, the primary asset of savings and loan associations. These fixed-rate loans were sold at a loss in order to balance withdrawals. This
192:
created his own plan for credit controls and budget cuts to beat inflation. In order to cooperate with these new priorities, the federal funds rate was lowered considerably from its April peak.
188:, the federal funds rate increased gradually from 11.5% to an eventual peak of 17.6% in April 1980. This caused an economic recession beginning in January 1980, and in March 1980, president 276:. The number of underemployed workers (those who are working part-time but want full-time work) rose to the highest number ever recorded at that time since data collection began in 1955. 137:
on the part of the Federal Reserve, with the strong recovery and long, stable period of growth that followed increasing the popularity of both concepts in political and academic circles.
2203: 232: 291: 248:
As 1981 began, the Federal Reserve reported that there would be little or no economic growth in 1981, as interest rates were to continue rising in an attempt to reduce inflation.
2193: 2183: 2188: 255:
The unemployment rate for auto workers rose from just 3.8% in early-1978 to 24% by the end of 1982; construction worker unemployment peaked at 22% during the same time.
1458: 1318: 343:
Although the economy recovered in 1983, the residual effects of high inflation and high interest rates had a profound impact on the savings and loans industry.
1701: 618: 1326: 1128: 2061: 1919: 2246: 1526: 768: 665: 1531: 1322: 1629: 1624: 1619: 1613: 1287: 1897: 696: 299: 165:
shocks of 1979 and 1980, although the core consumer price index which excludes energy and food also posted large increases. Productivity, real
1902: 1431: 965: 441:
recession heralded a sustained deindustrialisation in the United States that has since accelerated thanks to globalisation and outsourcing.
2276: 2150: 469: 787: 2271: 581: 2266: 2261: 2256: 2251: 2046: 1273: 1244: 150: 1075: 681: 287: 437:
states, particularly the auto-making states of Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana, did not always reap the full benefits of this change.
169:, and personal income remained essentially unchanged during this period, while inflation continued to rise, a phenomenon known as 1892: 295: 2110: 396:, but it was the early-1980s recession that left deep and lasting damage to local economies. Mining communities in Minnesota's 290:, a three-year tax cut plan. As the recession deepened in 1982, Reagan's approval rating also dropped. As a result, during the 286:, who had assumed office in January 1981, brought his own economic plan to the table. In August 1981, the president signed the 41: 1844: 209: 107: 858: 319:
A comparative analysis of the first six quarters of post-war economic recoveries published in the August 1984 issue of the
1872: 1588: 344: 185: 98:
entered recession in January 1980 and returned to growth six months later in July 1980. Although recovery took hold, the
1754: 1850: 1782: 2068: 1236: 1955: 1950: 1909: 2125: 2100: 1877: 1664: 1582: 626: 554: 2145: 2135: 1882: 1177: 2035: 1823: 884: 356: 1985: 1980: 1975: 2140: 2130: 2120: 2115: 2105: 1496: 360: 338: 1817: 1649: 1887: 166: 268: 2073: 2056: 2051: 2040: 2003: 1998: 1992: 1603: 1572: 1470: 1261: 302:
during the 1980 election were reversed. However, control of the Senate was retained by the Republicans.
28: 1639: 1484: 1092: 420: 373: 321: 158: 119: 111: 48: 1178:"What Was The Plaza Accord, And What Does It Have To Do With Pressure On China To Revalue The Yuan?" 704: 27:
This article is about the early 1980s recession in the United States. For its worldwide impact, see
1738: 1593: 1501: 1453: 1421: 1402: 126: 1154: 973: 2223: 2208: 2198: 2178: 2173: 2168: 2163: 2157: 1475: 1443: 792: 430: 201: 181: 115: 79: 1944: 1938: 1932: 1538: 1511: 1448: 1436: 1397: 1366: 1269: 1240: 1071: 393: 326: 273: 1122:"NORTHWEST INDIANA REGIONAL ANALYSIS: DEMOGRAPHICS, ECONOMY, ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND INNOVATION" 654: 2025: 2020: 1866: 1855: 1516: 1506: 1416: 1376: 1371: 1346: 1341: 1337: 1228: 592: 349: 312: 1356: 325:
indicated the 1983–1984 recovery was stronger than any post-war recovery since that of the
157:
Beginning in 1978, inflation began to intensify, reaching double-digit levels in 1979. The
2094: 2084: 1834: 1775: 1770: 1764: 1265: 416: 381: 352:. The already struggling savings and loans industry posted large losses in 1981 and 1982. 122:" recession; it remains the most recent example of such a recession in the United States. 176:
In order to combat rising inflation, recently appointed chairman of the Federal Reserve,
902: 161:
rose considerably between 1978 and 1980. These increases were largely attributed to the
37: 1383: 1361: 401: 415:
Although inflation subsided and interest rates began to decline starting in 1983, the
133:
economic policies. This change was primarily achieved through tax reform and stronger
86: 17: 2240: 1811: 1805: 1796: 1790: 1732: 1723: 1714: 1696: 1685: 1673: 1643: 1465: 1064: 854: 409: 283: 237: 205: 130: 95: 1555: 1548: 1543: 1412: 1407: 1351: 1030: 996: 928: 821: 734: 539: 498: 425: 189: 177: 162: 99: 44: 145: 1255: 1965: 1521: 1480: 1426: 241: 170: 1749: 465: 397: 389: 200:
A recession occurred beginning in January 1980. As a result of the increasing
134: 1560: 1491: 1392: 1388: 1202: 434: 385: 405: 497:
Bednarzik, Robert W.; Hewson, Marillyn A.; Urquhart, Michael A. (1982).
1093:"On Asset-Liability Matching and Federal Deposit and Pension Insurance" 377: 316:
high throughout 1983, delaying a recovery in construction and housing.
769:"Federal Reserve Sees Little Growth in '81 With Continued High Rates" 267:
The total increase in unemployment was 3.6%, which was less than the
231: 144: 85: 57: 36: 280:
of 1982, unemployment for black teenagers stayed at roughly 50%.
499:"The Employment Situation in 1981: New Recession Takes its Toll" 1291: 1233:
A History of the Federal Reserve – Volume 2, Book 2: 1970–1986
1102:(July/August 2006). Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis: 323–330 822:"Unemployment Continued to Rise in 1982 as Recession Deepened" 929:"Employment and Unemployment Improvements Widespread in 1983" 125:
The recession marked a shift in policy from more traditional
114:
to combat double digit inflation and residual effects of the
1155:"The Plaza Accord: The World Intervenes In Currency Markets" 466:"United States Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions" 997:"Employment in the First Half: Robust Recovery Continues" 788:"Bank Lending Rate Set at Record 14% By Federal Reserve" 540:"The 1990-1991 Recession: How Bad Was the Labor Market?" 220:
to 16.3%, and also moderated near the end of the year.
908:. National Bureau of Economic Research (July 8, 1983) 591:(Report). February 1982. pp. 1–5. Archived from 272:
employment, the largest percentage decline since the
2083: 2019: 1964: 1918: 1833: 1748: 1695: 1602: 1571: 1031:"Employment and Unemployment: Developments in 1985" 244:
outlining his plan for tax reductions in July 1981.
1063: 820:Hewson, Marillyn A.; Urquhart, Michael A. (1983). 733:Bednarzik, Robert W.; Westcott, Diane N. (1981). 106:Principal causes of the 1980 recession included 1070:. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. 1997. 735:"Employment and Unemployment: A Report on 1980" 184:. Following the October 6, 1979 meeting of the 1066:A History of the 1980s: Lessons for the Future 664:. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco: 1–4. 412:were also devastated after years of struggle. 1303: 859:"The Laffer Curve: Past, Present, and Future" 392:, had been struggling since the onset of the 8: 1127:. Cleveland State University. Archived from 728: 726: 724: 722: 1029:Shank, Susan E.; Getz, Patricia M. (1986). 964:Alexander, Charles P. (November 28, 1983). 815: 813: 811: 809: 807: 805: 803: 492: 490: 488: 486: 359:was identified as the primary cause of the 1310: 1296: 1288: 927:Becker, Eugene H.; Bowers, Norman (1984). 533: 531: 529: 527: 959: 957: 648: 646: 644: 883:Roberts, Steven V. (November 4, 1982). 691: 689: 450: 433:, primarily in the South and West. The 576: 574: 572: 460: 458: 456: 454: 1044:(2). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–12 942:(2). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–14 835:(2). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–12 748:(2). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 4–14 512:(3). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–14 7: 1010:(8). Bureau of Labor Statistics: 3–7 470:National Bureau of Economic Research 1257:Volcker: The Triumph of Persistence 885:"Democrats Regain Control in House" 767:Rattner, Steven (January 5, 1981). 653:Walsh, Carl E. (December 3, 2004). 582:The Prospects for Economic Recovery 240:gives a televised address from the 153:, a measure of inflation, 1973–1992 1614:British credit crisis of 1772–1773 619:"A "Double Dip" Recession Defined" 25: 1327:Commonwealth of Nations countries 288:Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 2247:Recessions in the United States 1323:recessions in the United States 671:from the original on 2006-02-23 617:Aversa, Jeannine (2010-07-01). 259:the duration of the recession. 90:US unemployment rate, 1973–1993 1203:"All Employees: Manufacturing" 108:contractionary monetary policy 51:in late 1970s and early 1980s 1: 786:Cowan, Edward (May 5, 1981). 538:Gardner, Jennifer M. (1994). 345:Savings and loan associations 186:Federal Open Market Committee 149:Percent annual change in the 966:"A Lusty, Lopsided Recovery" 903:"Recovery Began in November" 2277:Presidency of Ronald Reagan 2069:1997 Asian financial crisis 1702:Civil War-era United States 1254:Silber, William L. (2012). 1237:University of Chicago Press 995:Devens, Richard M. (1984). 589:Congressional Budget Office 72: 10 year minus 3 month 2293: 2272:Presidency of Jimmy Carter 1845:Post–World War I recession 1665:Post-Napoleonic Depression 555:Bureau of Labor Statistics 336: 180:, elected to increase the 66: 10 year minus 2 year 26: 2267:1980s in economic history 2262:1982 in the United States 2257:1981 in the United States 2252:1980 in the United States 1755:2nd Industrial Revolution 1688:(1836–1838 and 1839–1843) 1604:1st Industrial Revolution 1372:Price-and-wage stickiness 1333: 419:was still committed to a 212:remained largely intact. 2036:1990s United States boom 1824:Financial crisis of 1914 357:asset liability mismatch 300:House of Representatives 1851:Depression of 1920–1921 1783:Depression of 1882–1885 1697:Early Victorian Britain 1432:Real and nominal values 863:The Heritage Foundation 361:savings and loan crisis 339:Savings and loan crisis 151:US Consumer Price Index 1956:Recession of 1969–1970 1951:Recession of 1960–1961 1910:Recession of 1937–1938 1239:. pp. 1043–1131. 703:. 1980. Archived from 697:"Carter vs. Inflation" 292:1982 midterm elections 245: 208:industries, while the 167:gross national product 154: 91: 83: 18:Recession of 1981-1982 2074:Early 2000s recession 2041:Early 1990s recession 1993:Early 1980s recession 1573:Commercial revolution 1471:Nominal interest rate 662:FRBSF Economic Letter 235: 148: 89: 40: 29:Early 1980s recession 1640:Copper Panic of 1789 1038:Monthly Labor Review 1004:Monthly Labor Review 976:on December 22, 2008 936:Monthly Labor Review 829:Monthly Labor Review 742:Monthly Labor Review 547:Monthly Labor Review 506:Monthly Labor Review 421:strong-dollar policy 374:Lake County, Indiana 322:Monthly Labor Review 159:consumer price index 78: 10 year minus 49:Inverted yield curve 1976:1973–1975 recession 1920:Post–WWII expansion 1594:Great Frost of 1709 1422:Neutrality of money 1403:Classical dichotomy 1319:Economic expansions 1091:Bodie, Zvi (2006). 274:1957–1958 recession 224:unemployment rate. 129:to the adoption of 127:Keynesian economics 2158:COVID-19 recession 1818:Panic of 1910–1911 1650:Panic of 1796–1797 1476:Real interest rate 1444:Economic expansion 889:The New York Times 793:The New York Times 773:The New York Times 431:right-to-work laws 298:gains made in the 246: 202:federal funds rate 182:federal funds rate 155: 110:undertaken by the 92: 84: 80:Federal funds rate 34:Economic recession 2234: 2233: 1945:Recession of 1958 1939:Recession of 1953 1933:Recession of 1949 1630:Thirteen Colonies 1437:Velocity of money 1367:Paradox of thrift 1229:Meltzer, Allan H. 1205:. Federal Reserve 1176:Wiesenthal, Joe. 655:"October 6, 1979" 623:Huffpost Business 394:1973-75 recession 367:Long-term effects 269:1973–75 recession 100:unemployment rate 16:(Redirected from 2284: 2026:Great Regression 2021:Great Moderation 1867:Great Depression 1856:Roaring Twenties 1377:Underconsumption 1347:Effective demand 1338:Aggregate demand 1312: 1305: 1298: 1289: 1279: 1262:Bloomsbury Press 1250: 1215: 1214: 1212: 1210: 1199: 1193: 1192: 1190: 1188: 1182:Business Insider 1173: 1167: 1166: 1164: 1162: 1150: 1144: 1143: 1141: 1139: 1134:on 25 March 2016 1133: 1126: 1118: 1112: 1111: 1109: 1107: 1097: 1088: 1082: 1081: 1069: 1060: 1054: 1053: 1051: 1049: 1035: 1026: 1020: 1019: 1017: 1015: 1001: 992: 986: 985: 983: 981: 972:. Archived from 961: 952: 951: 949: 947: 933: 924: 918: 917: 915: 913: 907: 899: 893: 892: 880: 874: 873: 871: 869: 851: 845: 844: 842: 840: 826: 817: 798: 797: 783: 777: 776: 764: 758: 757: 755: 753: 739: 730: 717: 716: 714: 712: 693: 684: 680: 678: 676: 670: 659: 650: 639: 638: 636: 634: 625:. Archived from 614: 608: 607: 605: 603: 597: 586: 578: 567: 566: 564: 562: 544: 535: 522: 521: 519: 517: 503: 494: 481: 480: 478: 476: 462: 350:commercial banks 313:nonfarm payrolls 77: 71: 65: 55: 21: 2292: 2291: 2287: 2286: 2285: 2283: 2282: 2281: 2237: 2236: 2235: 2230: 2095:Great Recession 2087: 2085:Information Age 2079: 2028: 2024: 2015: 1968: 1966:Great Inflation 1960: 1922: 1914: 1837: 1835:Interwar period 1829: 1765:Long Depression 1757: 1753: 1744: 1704: 1700: 1691: 1606: 1598: 1575: 1567: 1532:U.S. recessions 1527:U.K. recessions 1459:U.S. expansions 1329: 1316: 1286: 1276: 1253: 1247: 1227: 1224: 1222:Further reading 1219: 1218: 1208: 1206: 1201: 1200: 1196: 1186: 1184: 1175: 1174: 1170: 1160: 1158: 1153:Twomey, Brian. 1152: 1151: 1147: 1137: 1135: 1131: 1124: 1120: 1119: 1115: 1105: 1103: 1095: 1090: 1089: 1085: 1078: 1062: 1061: 1057: 1047: 1045: 1033: 1028: 1027: 1023: 1013: 1011: 999: 994: 993: 989: 979: 977: 963: 962: 955: 945: 943: 931: 926: 925: 921: 911: 909: 905: 901: 900: 896: 882: 881: 877: 867: 865: 857:(1 June 2004). 853: 852: 848: 838: 836: 824: 819: 818: 801: 785: 784: 780: 766: 765: 761: 751: 749: 737: 732: 731: 720: 710: 708: 695: 694: 687: 674: 672: 668: 657: 652: 651: 642: 632: 630: 616: 615: 611: 601: 599: 595: 584: 580: 579: 570: 560: 558: 542: 537: 536: 525: 515: 513: 501: 496: 495: 484: 474: 472: 464: 463: 452: 447: 417:Federal Reserve 382:Mahoning Valley 369: 341: 335: 308: 236:U.S. President 230: 206:goods producing 198: 143: 135:monetary policy 112:Federal Reserve 82: 75: 73: 69: 67: 63: 61: 53: 47: 35: 32: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 2290: 2288: 2280: 2279: 2274: 2269: 2264: 2259: 2254: 2249: 2239: 2238: 2232: 2231: 2229: 2228: 2227: 2226: 2221: 2216: 2214:United Kingdom 2211: 2206: 2201: 2196: 2191: 2186: 2181: 2176: 2171: 2166: 2155: 2154: 2153: 2148: 2146:United Kingdom 2143: 2138: 2133: 2128: 2123: 2118: 2113: 2108: 2103: 2091: 2089: 2088:(2007–present) 2081: 2080: 2078: 2077: 2071: 2066: 2065: 2064: 2059: 2057:United Kingdom 2054: 2049: 2038: 2032: 2030: 2017: 2016: 2014: 2013: 2012: 2011: 2006: 2004:United Kingdom 2001: 1990: 1989: 1988: 1983: 1981:United Kingdom 1972: 1970: 1962: 1961: 1959: 1958: 1953: 1948: 1942: 1936: 1930: 1926: 1924: 1916: 1915: 1913: 1912: 1907: 1906: 1905: 1900: 1898:United Kingdom 1895: 1890: 1885: 1880: 1875: 1864: 1861: 1858: 1853: 1848: 1841: 1839: 1831: 1830: 1828: 1827: 1821: 1815: 1809: 1803: 1800: 1794: 1788: 1785: 1780: 1779: 1778: 1773: 1771:United Kingdom 1761: 1759: 1746: 1745: 1743: 1742: 1736: 1730: 1727: 1721: 1718: 1712: 1708: 1706: 1693: 1692: 1690: 1689: 1683: 1680: 1677: 1671: 1668: 1662: 1659: 1656: 1653: 1647: 1637: 1634: 1633: 1632: 1627: 1622: 1610: 1608: 1600: 1599: 1597: 1596: 1591: 1586: 1579: 1577: 1569: 1568: 1566: 1565: 1564: 1563: 1553: 1552: 1551: 1546: 1536: 1535: 1534: 1529: 1524: 1519: 1514: 1509: 1504: 1499: 1489: 1488: 1487: 1478: 1473: 1463: 1462: 1461: 1456: 1451: 1441: 1440: 1439: 1434: 1429: 1424: 1419: 1410: 1405: 1400: 1386: 1384:Business cycle 1381: 1380: 1379: 1374: 1369: 1364: 1362:Overproduction 1359: 1354: 1349: 1334: 1331: 1330: 1317: 1315: 1314: 1307: 1300: 1292: 1285: 1284:External links 1282: 1281: 1280: 1275:978-1608190706 1274: 1251: 1246:978-0226213514 1245: 1223: 1220: 1217: 1216: 1194: 1168: 1157:. Investopedia 1145: 1113: 1083: 1076: 1055: 1021: 987: 953: 919: 894: 875: 846: 799: 778: 759: 718: 707:on May 7, 2008 685: 640: 609: 568: 523: 482: 449: 448: 446: 443: 402:Driftless Area 400:, Wisconsin's 368: 365: 337:Main article: 334: 331: 327:1953 recession 307: 304: 229: 226: 210:service sector 197: 194: 142: 139: 74: 68: 62: 56: 30 year 52: 33: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2289: 2278: 2275: 2273: 2270: 2268: 2265: 2263: 2260: 2258: 2255: 2253: 2250: 2248: 2245: 2244: 2242: 2225: 2222: 2220: 2219:United States 2217: 2215: 2212: 2210: 2207: 2205: 2202: 2200: 2197: 2195: 2192: 2190: 2187: 2185: 2182: 2180: 2177: 2175: 2172: 2170: 2167: 2165: 2161: 2160: 2159: 2156: 2152: 2151:United States 2149: 2147: 2144: 2142: 2139: 2137: 2134: 2132: 2129: 2127: 2124: 2122: 2119: 2117: 2114: 2112: 2109: 2107: 2104: 2102: 2098: 2097: 2096: 2093: 2092: 2090: 2086: 2082: 2075: 2072: 2070: 2067: 2063: 2062:United States 2060: 2058: 2055: 2053: 2050: 2048: 2044: 2043: 2042: 2039: 2037: 2034: 2033: 2031: 2027: 2022: 2018: 2010: 2009:United States 2007: 2005: 2002: 2000: 1996: 1995: 1994: 1991: 1987: 1986:United States 1984: 1982: 1979: 1978: 1977: 1974: 1973: 1971: 1967: 1963: 1957: 1954: 1952: 1949: 1946: 1943: 1940: 1937: 1934: 1931: 1928: 1927: 1925: 1921: 1917: 1911: 1908: 1904: 1903:United States 1901: 1899: 1896: 1894: 1891: 1889: 1886: 1884: 1881: 1879: 1876: 1874: 1870: 1869: 1868: 1865: 1862: 1859: 1857: 1854: 1852: 1849: 1846: 1843: 1842: 1840: 1836: 1832: 1825: 1822: 1819: 1816: 1813: 1812:Panic of 1907 1810: 1807: 1806:Panic of 1901 1804: 1801: 1798: 1797:Panic of 1893 1795: 1792: 1791:Baring crisis 1789: 1786: 1784: 1781: 1777: 1776:United States 1774: 1772: 1768: 1767: 1766: 1763: 1762: 1760: 1756: 1751: 1747: 1740: 1737: 1734: 1733:Panic of 1866 1731: 1728: 1725: 1724:Panic of 1857 1722: 1719: 1716: 1715:Panic of 1847 1713: 1710: 1709: 1707: 1703: 1698: 1694: 1687: 1686:Panic of 1837 1684: 1681: 1678: 1675: 1674:Panic of 1825 1672: 1669: 1666: 1663: 1660: 1657: 1654: 1651: 1648: 1645: 1644:Panic of 1792 1641: 1638: 1635: 1631: 1628: 1626: 1623: 1621: 1617: 1616: 1615: 1612: 1611: 1609: 1605: 1601: 1595: 1592: 1590: 1589:Slump of 1706 1587: 1584: 1581: 1580: 1578: 1574: 1570: 1562: 1559: 1558: 1557: 1554: 1550: 1547: 1545: 1542: 1541: 1540: 1537: 1533: 1530: 1528: 1525: 1523: 1520: 1518: 1515: 1513: 1510: 1508: 1505: 1503: 1500: 1498: 1497:Balance sheet 1495: 1494: 1493: 1490: 1486: 1482: 1479: 1477: 1474: 1472: 1469: 1468: 1467: 1466:Interest rate 1464: 1460: 1457: 1455: 1452: 1450: 1447: 1446: 1445: 1442: 1438: 1435: 1433: 1430: 1428: 1425: 1423: 1420: 1418: 1414: 1411: 1409: 1406: 1404: 1401: 1399: 1396: 1395: 1394: 1390: 1387: 1385: 1382: 1378: 1375: 1373: 1370: 1368: 1365: 1363: 1360: 1358: 1355: 1353: 1350: 1348: 1345: 1344: 1343: 1339: 1336: 1335: 1332: 1328: 1324: 1320: 1313: 1308: 1306: 1301: 1299: 1294: 1293: 1290: 1283: 1277: 1271: 1267: 1263: 1259: 1258: 1252: 1248: 1242: 1238: 1234: 1230: 1226: 1225: 1221: 1204: 1198: 1195: 1183: 1179: 1172: 1169: 1156: 1149: 1146: 1130: 1123: 1117: 1114: 1101: 1094: 1087: 1084: 1079: 1077:0-9661808-0-1 1073: 1068: 1067: 1059: 1056: 1043: 1039: 1032: 1025: 1022: 1009: 1005: 998: 991: 988: 975: 971: 967: 960: 958: 954: 941: 937: 930: 923: 920: 904: 898: 895: 890: 886: 879: 876: 864: 860: 856: 855:Arthur Laffer 850: 847: 834: 830: 823: 816: 814: 812: 810: 808: 806: 804: 800: 795: 794: 789: 782: 779: 774: 770: 763: 760: 747: 743: 736: 729: 727: 725: 723: 719: 706: 702: 698: 692: 690: 686: 683: 682:alternate url 667: 663: 656: 649: 647: 645: 641: 629:on 2012-04-26 628: 624: 620: 613: 610: 598:on 2011-04-13 594: 590: 583: 577: 575: 573: 569: 556: 552: 548: 541: 534: 532: 530: 528: 524: 511: 507: 500: 493: 491: 489: 487: 483: 471: 467: 461: 459: 457: 455: 451: 444: 442: 438: 436: 432: 427: 422: 418: 413: 411: 410:West Virginia 407: 403: 399: 395: 391: 387: 383: 379: 375: 366: 364: 362: 358: 353: 351: 346: 340: 332: 330: 328: 324: 323: 317: 314: 305: 303: 301: 297: 293: 289: 285: 284:Ronald Reagan 281: 277: 275: 270: 264: 260: 256: 253: 249: 243: 239: 238:Ronald Reagan 234: 227: 225: 221: 217: 213: 211: 207: 203: 195: 193: 191: 187: 183: 179: 174: 172: 168: 164: 160: 152: 147: 140: 138: 136: 132: 128: 123: 121: 117: 116:energy crisis 113: 109: 104: 101: 97: 96:United States 88: 81: 59: 50: 46: 45:yield spreads 43: 39: 30: 19: 2136:South Africa 2008: 1893:South Africa 1739:Black Friday 1556:Unemployment 1413:Money supply 1408:Disinflation 1352:General glut 1260:. New York: 1256: 1232: 1207:. Retrieved 1197: 1185:. Retrieved 1181: 1171: 1159:. Retrieved 1148: 1136:. Retrieved 1129:the original 1116: 1104:. Retrieved 1099: 1086: 1065: 1058: 1046:. Retrieved 1041: 1037: 1024: 1012:. Retrieved 1007: 1003: 990: 978:. Retrieved 974:the original 969: 944:. Retrieved 939: 935: 922: 910:. Retrieved 897: 888: 878: 866:. Retrieved 862: 849: 837:. Retrieved 832: 828: 791: 781: 772: 762: 750:. Retrieved 745: 741: 709:. Retrieved 705:the original 700: 673:. Retrieved 661: 631:. Retrieved 627:the original 622: 612: 600:. Retrieved 593:the original 588: 559:. Retrieved 550: 546: 514:. Retrieved 509: 505: 473:. Retrieved 439: 426:Plaza Accord 414: 370: 354: 342: 320: 318: 309: 282: 278: 265: 261: 257: 254: 250: 247: 222: 218: 214: 199: 190:Jimmy Carter 178:Paul Volcker 175: 156: 124: 105: 93: 2204:New Zealand 2162:2020–2022; 2126:New Zealand 2099:2007–2009; 2045:1990–1991; 2029:(1982–2007) 1997:1980–1982; 1969:(1973–1982) 1947:(1957–1958) 1941:(1953–1954) 1935:(1948–1949) 1923:(1945–1973) 1888:New Zealand 1871:1929–1939; 1847:(1918–1919) 1838:(1918–1939) 1820:(1910–1912) 1814:(1907–1908) 1808:(1902–1904) 1799:(1893–1897) 1793:(1890–1891) 1769:1873–1879; 1758:(1870–1914) 1741:(1869–1870) 1735:(1865–1867) 1726:(1857–1858) 1717:(1847–1848) 1705:(1840–1870) 1676:(1825–1826) 1667:(1815–1821) 1652:(1796–1799) 1646:(1789–1793) 1618:1772–1774; 1607:(1760–1840) 1585:(1430–1490) 1583:Great Slump 1576:(1000–1760) 1522:Stagflation 1481:Yield curve 1427:Price level 1264:. pp.  1235:. Chicago: 424:signed the 242:Oval Office 171:stagflation 2241:Categories 2169:Bangladesh 2106:Bangladesh 1750:Gilded Age 1502:Depression 1454:Stagnation 1209:19 October 1187:19 October 1161:19 October 1138:19 October 868:5 November 445:References 404:, eastern 398:Iron Range 390:Pittsburgh 296:Republican 141:Background 131:neoliberal 120:double dip 2209:Singapore 2164:Australia 2141:Sri Lanka 2101:Australia 2047:Australia 1873:Australia 1863:1926–1927 1860:1923–1924 1826:(1913–14) 1802:1899–1900 1658:1807–1810 1655:1802–1804 1636:1785–1788 1561:Sahm rule 1492:Recession 1393:Inflation 1389:Deflation 435:Rust Belt 386:Cleveland 228:1981–1982 163:oil price 2194:Malaysia 2179:Botswana 2131:Pakistan 2121:Malaysia 1625:Scotland 1485:Inverted 1449:Recovery 1231:(2009). 1106:10 April 1048:13 April 1014:13 April 980:13 April 946:12 April 912:12 April 839:10 April 752:10 April 666:Archived 406:Kentucky 306:Recovery 42:Treasury 2199:Namibia 1787:1887–88 1729:1860–61 1720:1853–54 1711:1845–46 1682:1833–34 1679:1828–29 1670:1822–23 1620:England 1512:Rolling 1398:Chronic 1266:187–237 711:8 April 675:8 April 633:8 April 602:8 April 561:6 April 516:8 April 475:8 April 378:Chicago 60:3 month 2224:Zambia 2184:Canada 2174:Belize 2111:Canada 2076:(2001) 2052:Canada 1999:Canada 1878:Canada 1549:Supply 1544:Demand 1517:Shapes 1507:Global 1417:demand 1342:Supply 1272:  1243:  1100:Review 1074:  557:: 3–11 408:, and 388:, and 380:, the 333:Impact 76:  70:  64:  54:  2189:India 2116:India 1883:India 1539:Shock 1357:Model 1132:(PDF) 1125:(PDF) 1096:(PDF) 1034:(PDF) 1000:(PDF) 932:(PDF) 906:(PDF) 825:(PDF) 738:(PDF) 669:(PDF) 658:(PDF) 596:(PDF) 585:(PDF) 553:(6). 543:(PDF) 502:(PDF) 58:minus 1929:1945 1661:1812 1325:and 1321:and 1270:ISBN 1241:ISBN 1211:2018 1189:2018 1163:2018 1140:2018 1108:2011 1072:ISBN 1050:2011 1016:2011 982:2011 970:Time 948:2011 914:2011 870:2010 841:2011 754:2011 713:2011 701:Time 677:2011 635:2011 604:2011 563:2011 518:2011 477:2011 196:1980 94:The 1042:109 1008:107 940:107 833:106 746:104 551:117 510:105 2243:: 1268:. 1180:. 1098:. 1040:. 1036:. 1006:. 1002:. 968:. 956:^ 938:. 934:. 887:. 861:. 831:. 827:. 802:^ 790:. 771:. 744:. 740:. 721:^ 699:. 688:^ 660:. 643:^ 621:. 587:. 571:^ 549:. 545:. 526:^ 508:. 504:. 485:^ 468:. 453:^ 384:, 363:. 294:, 173:. 2023:/ 1752:/ 1699:/ 1642:/ 1483:/ 1415:/ 1391:/ 1340:/ 1311:e 1304:t 1297:v 1278:. 1249:. 1213:. 1191:. 1165:. 1142:. 1110:. 1080:. 1052:. 1018:. 984:. 950:. 916:. 891:. 872:. 843:. 796:. 775:. 756:. 715:. 679:. 637:. 606:. 565:. 520:. 479:. 31:. 20:)

Index

Recession of 1981-1982
Early 1980s recession

Treasury
yield spreads
Inverted yield curve
minus
Federal funds rate

United States
unemployment rate
contractionary monetary policy
Federal Reserve
energy crisis
double dip
Keynesian economics
neoliberal
monetary policy

US Consumer Price Index
consumer price index
oil price
gross national product
stagflation
Paul Volcker
federal funds rate
Federal Open Market Committee
Jimmy Carter
federal funds rate
goods producing

Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.

↑