345:. The article's publication came as part of a month-long effort by Trump allies on media and social media to "unmask" the whistleblower, whose identity was kept confidential by the U.S. government, in accordance with whistleblower protection (anti-retaliation) laws. Most publications declined to reveal the whistleblower's identity; Tom Kuntz, editor of RealClearInvestigations, defended the site's decision to publish the article. Cannon stated that whistleblower protections did not ensure anonymity from journalism, instead guaranteeing protection from firing, prosecution, and professional punishment.
1798:
218:. McIntyre explained "it really wasn't any more complicated than there should be a place online that pulled together all this quality information." They call what they do "intelligent aggregation". The site has grown in election-season spurts since it first went online. It has expanded from a two-man operation to a full-time staff of more than two dozen employees overseeing the company's mainstay, RealClearPolitics, as well as ten smaller sites.
359:
states—specifically, Wisconsin, Michigan, and
Pennsylvania, all states that RCP had Clinton winning. Trump outperformed his polls, leading to his victory in the Electoral College. Clinton won the popular vote by over 2.8 million votes, but Trump secured the presidency with 306 electoral votes compared to Clinton's 227, marking a significant deviation from RCP's prediction.
29:
315:
gave top billing to stories that reinforced the false narrative that the president could still somehow eke out a win." Cannon responded by highlighting two articles suggesting that "Trump could somehow eke out a win" on RCP's front page by noting that 374 articles had been covered on its front page between the time of the election and
368:
Biden won 306 electoral votes to Trump's 232. The primary deviations from their forecast were that RCP had predicted Biden losing
Georgia and winning Florida, neither of which occurred. Biden also won the popular vote by more than 7 million votes, with his performance largely matching polling projections in most states.
303:
in 2020 said they never felt any pressure from the site's founders to bias their stories. Cannon stated that RCP regularly publishes perspectives from both liberal and conservative publications, saying that "the simple fact is that the amount of liberal material published in RCP every week dwarfs the
298:
published an article alleging that since 2017, when many of its "straight-news" reporting journalists were laid off, RealClearPolitics showed a pro-Trump turn with donations to its affiliated nonprofit increasing, much from entities supported by wealthy conservatives. RCP executive editor Carl Cannon
367:
In the 2020 election, RealClearPolitics projected Joe Biden winning with 319 electoral votes. RCP expected Biden to capture key battleground states, including
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which had flipped to Trump in 2016. RCP's final prediction closely aligned with the actual results, as
314:
also said that "Real Clear became one of the most prominent platforms for elevating unverified and reckless stories about the president's political opponents, through a mix of its own content and articles from across conservative media...." and that for days after the election, "Real Clear
Politics
186:
from various news publications in addition to commentary and original content from its own contributors. RCP receives its most traffic during election seasons and is known for its aggregation of polling data. In 2008, the site's founders said their goal was to give readers "ideological diversity",
382:
RealClearPolitics also owns RealClearMarkets, RealClearWorld, and RealClearSports. RealClearMarkets and RealClearSports were launched in
November 2007. RealClearWorld, the international news and politics site, was launched in August 2008. RealClearScience and RealClearReligion launched in October
358:
RealClearPolitics projected
Hillary Clinton to win the 2016 U.S. presidential election with 272 electoral votes, narrowly beating Donald Trump. Their aggregation of national polls showed Clinton consistently leading in the popular vote. However, Trump outperformed his polling in several key swing
225:
in 1991. When they launched the site, they would both start their day at 4 a.m., looking through articles from more than fifty sources. They post pieces on current events and topics, as well as news about opinion polls. The site reports on political races and projections, and features the average
285:
article described the site's commentary section as "right-leaning." By 2009, it was considered part of the conservative media spectrum, and academic texts have described it as run by conservatives while providing a range of opinion pieces. This blend of perceived nonpartisanship and conservative
450:
said that "top political analysts" raised concerns about RealClearPolitics polling averages influenced by polls skewing towards Trump and not adhering to "best practices like person-to-person phone interviews" during the 2020 presidential elections. Cannon responded by noting that RCP's polling
415:
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. In 2008,
276:
The site has shown a conservative inclination in its content and commentary, as noted by various sources over the years. In early interviews and articles, founders McIntyre and Bevan openly discussed their conservative viewpoints and criticism of mainstream media biases. A 2001
428:
and other
Republicans, although he later receded from this claim, indicating that his site and RCP had a friendly rivalry. McIntyre denied having a conservative bent, saying that the site was a business and had "no interest in screwing around with that for partisan purposes".
262:. Its founders, aiming to provide ideological diversity, curated political stories, op-eds, news analyses, and editorials to offer readers a balanced view of the political landscape. The site's utility was recognized by figures such as
391:
In addition to linking to external content, RealClearPolitics also provides original commentary and reporting, with a staff that includes White House reporter Philip
Wegmann, White House and national political correspondent
299:
disputed the newspaper's allegations of a rightward turn, saying that he had solicited donations from both conservative and liberal donors, without them "buying coverage". Several journalists who talked to
496:
379:
Media LLC bought a 51% equity interest in the site in 2007. On May 19, 2015, RealClearInvestors and Crest Media announced that they had bought out Forbes's stake for an undisclosed amount.
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In 2016, RealClearInvestigations was launched, backed by foundations associated with conservative causes, such as the Ed
Uihlein Family Foundation and
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259:
714:
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467:
In 2018, RealClear Media launched RealClear
Opinion Research, a public opinion polling group. The group has conducted public opinion polls about
1265:
1251:
407:
Former employees include Caitlin Huey-Burns, Alexis Simendinger, James Arkin, Mike Memoli, Kyle Trygstad, Reid Wilson, and Rebecca (Berg) Buck.
273:
in 2012 also acknowledged the site's balanced selection of stories, and BuzzFeed’s top editor praised its polling average as highly reliable.
1184:
432:
In 2012, Ben Smith, editor-in-chief of BuzzFeed, said "They are a huge force. Their polling average is the Dow Jones of campaign coverage."
1818:
659:
893:
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2010. RealClearHistory launched in 2012. In 2013, RealClearDefense was launched to cover military, intelligence, and veterans' issues.
1708:
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443:, "It will be a Trump tsunami" and predicting a Trump victory in every state holding a primary that day except for Texas.
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1735:"EWTN News/RealClear Opinion Research Poll No. 4 Finds Catholics Support Judge Amy Coney Barrett for the Supreme Court"
845:
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Wolinsky, Howard (September 18, 2006). "Politicking pays off: Web site a must-read for political fanatics".
330:
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807:
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The site's poll average is a "widely referenced source". Major news outlets including CNN, Fox News, and
179:
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s executive editor Jim VandeHei, who called it an essential resource for political enthusiasts. The
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across 7 battleground states, compared to 4.87 points in favor of Biden for polling conducted by
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during the 2016 presidential primaries, Bevan called Super Tuesday for Donald Trump, telling
1602:"RealClearPolitics launches accountability project to preserve public trust in good polling"
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D'Agostino, Joseph A. (March 31, 2003). "Conservative Spotlight: Real Clear Politics".
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RealClearPolitics.com scores points for its in-depth, right-leaning commentary section
526:
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result of all current presidential polls and also offers a best-guess projection of
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1500:
1235:
Trump's allies turned to online campaign in quest to unmask Ukraine whistleblower
1162:
1145:
894:"Understanding RealClearPolitics: The Go-To Site for Political News and Analysis"
1709:"National Poll by RealClear Opinion Research Shows Strong School Choice Support"
451:
average in the election was off by 1.47 points in favor of Democratic candidate
425:
417:
1298:"Crest Media And Real Clear Investors Buy Remaining Stake In RealClearPolitics"
1159:
Politics Online: Blogs, Chatrooms, and Discussion Groups in American Democracy
819:
693:
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608:
452:
1340:"New RealClear Sites Launching Today – Real Clear Politics – TIME.com"
553:
286:
tendencies has shaped its reputation and influence in political discourse.
1280:"Forbes Media Acquires Fifty-One Percent Stake in RealClearPolitics.com"
400:. Both Wegmann and Crabtree are former reporters for the conservative
28:
1300:(Press release). Crest Media. May 19, 2015 – via PRNewswire.com.
1062:"Popular, Chicago-based political news website run by two family guys"
424:
said that RealClearPolitics was rigging its averages to favor Senator
1579:
1266:"RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - 2020 Electoral College Map"
484:
376:
1450:
808:"A Popular Political Site Made a Sharp Right Turn. What Steered It?"
250:
RealClearPolitics, often referred to as nonpartisan by sources like
333:. In 2019, the site published an article by a conservative author,
1762:"Nationwide Parents' Poll on Civic Education - Jack Miller Center"
531:
337:, containing the supposed name of a U.S. intelligence officer who
183:
1791:
1252:"RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House"
101:
1357:
1088:
Cengage Advantage Books: American Government and Politics Today
737:"Obama cuts into Clinton's majority – US Election – smh.com.au"
396:, associate editor and columnist A.B. Stoddard, and columnist
1358:"RealClearDefense – Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls"
1286:(Press release). November 7, 2007 – via Business Wire.
657:"Political junkies create Web site for opinion and analysis"
187:
although in recent years it has become more associated with
497:
Historical polling for United States presidential elections
281:
article highlighted their political leanings, and a 2004
1139:
Typing Politics: The Role of Blogs in American Politics
1029:"Real Clear Politics real clear on its growth, mission"
998:"Real Clear Politics real clear on its growth, mission"
869:. The Chicago Tribune. February 7, 2008. Archived from
867:"Real Clear Politics Real Clear on its Growth, Mission"
203:
The website was founded in 2000 by McIntyre, a former
527:"RealClearPolitics.com WHOIS, DNS, & Domain Info"
1631:"Political Polling Sites Are in a Race of Their Own"
1313:"On Web, Political Junkies Make a Real Clear Choice"
766:"On Web, Political Junkies Make a Real Clear Choice"
760:
758:
1659:"What the Polls Say About Super Tuesday and Beyond"
141:
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80:
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35:
182:. It features selected political news stories and
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613:"Political site polls well with election junkies"
1684:"RealClear Opinion Research | RealClearPolitics"
1203:"A New Destination for Investigative Journalism"
577:
575:
1086:Steffen Schmidt, Mack Shelley, Barbara Bardes,
842:"Political Junkies Spawn a Real, Clear Success"
258:, emerged as a significant platform during the
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8:
972:"In projections, Obama holds electoral lead"
21:
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1233:Isaac Stanley-Becker & Craig Timberg,
1185:"The New York Times vs. RealClearPolitics"
27:
20:
16:Political news and polling data aggregator
1624:
1622:
166:. The site was formed in 2000 by former
1824:Internet properties established in 2000
1657:Williamson, Elizabeth (March 1, 2016).
920:"Polls Show Race Tightening in Florida"
806:Peters, Jeremy W. (November 17, 2020).
682:"Candidates come courting the Hoosiers"
518:
1760:Zemaitaitis, Anna (December 8, 2022).
918:Holmes, Elizabeth (October 24, 2008).
1056:
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801:
799:
797:
795:
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7:
970:Knowlton, Brian (October 16, 2008).
946:"Candidates Focus on Western States"
892:Greenberg, Kara (January 24, 2023).
840:Wolgemuth, Liz (December 12, 2007).
322:article, including 16 articles from
1629:Becker, Bernie (October 28, 2008).
1311:Gustafson, Colin (March 10, 2008).
1104:Stack, Patrick (October 14, 2004).
1027:Johnson, Steve (February 7, 2008).
996:Johnson, Steve (February 7, 2008).
363:2020 presidential general election
354:2016 presidential general election
62:RealClearInvestors and Crest Media
14:
1600:Zito, Salena (October 23, 2022).
944:Chozick, Amy (October 26, 2008).
1713:American Federation for Children
1106:"Cheat Sheet: Election Websites"
774:. March 10, 2008. Archived from
473:American Federation for Children
237:often cite its polling figures.
221:Both co-founders graduated from
1814:2000 establishments in Illinois
680:Jones, Tim (October 19, 2008).
304:annual conservative content in
715:"Obama's surge swamps Hillary"
209:Chicago Board Options Exchange
1:
502:List of polling organizations
479:to the Supreme Court for the
846:U.S. News & World Report
487:for the Jack Miller Center.
475:, the confirmation of Judge
1819:American political websites
1688:www.realclearmediagroup.com
1845:
621:: Metro, 1. Archived from
481:National Catholic Register
130:February 3, 2000
26:
411:Political poll averaging
1207:RealClearInvestigations
1161:p. 43 (2013) Routledge
1143:Oxford University Press
668:Princeton Alumni Weekly
331:Sarah Scaife Foundation
279:Princeton Alumni Weekly
252:The Wall Street Journal
164:polling data aggregator
1094:Cengage Learning, 2012
211:, and Bevan, a former
44:, political commentary
1530:Realclearpolitics.com
1430:Realclearpolitics.com
1405:Realclearpolitics.com
558:RealClearPolitics.com
343:Trump–Ukraine scandal
241:Political orientation
1766:Jack Miller Center -
1551:"Caitlin Huey-Burns"
1362:Realcleardefense.com
1346:on October 18, 2010.
625:on January 19, 2013.
611:(October 26, 2004).
1606:Washington Examiner
1241:(November 7, 2019).
1116:on October 16, 2004
950:Wall Street Journal
924:Wall Street Journal
717:. February 10, 2008
402:Washington Examiner
142:Current status
23:
1741:. October 19, 2020
1715:. December 6, 2019
1663:The New York Times
1636:The New York Times
976:The New York Times
812:The New York Times
662:2017-07-01 at the
554:"Polling Averages"
457:The New York Times
448:The New York Times
441:The New York Times
324:The New York Times
317:The New York Times
312:The New York Times
306:The New York Times
301:The New York Times
296:The New York Times
294:In November 2020,
256:The New York Times
235:The New York Times
213:advertising agency
178:account executive
176:advertising agency
92:(Executive Editor)
1066:Chicago Sun-Times
686:Los Angeles Times
639:Chicago Sun-Times
477:Amy Coney Barrett
271:Chicago Sun-Times
228:Electoral College
216:account executive
158:) is an American
152:RealClearPolitics
149:
148:
102:realclearpolitics
49:Available in
22:RealClearPolitics
1836:
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1792:Official website
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1476:"Susan Crabtree"
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1451:"Susan Crabtree"
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1401:"Philip Wegmann"
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1376:"Philip Wegmann"
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1342:. Archived from
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1191:. April 4, 2024.
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1035:. Archived from
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1004:. Archived from
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560:. April 21, 2008
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387:Original content
339:blew the whistle
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1526:"A.B. Stoddard"
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1501:"A.B. Stoddard"
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1039:on June 6, 2015
1033:Chicago Tribune
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1008:on June 6, 2015
1002:Chicago Tribune
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873:on June 6, 2015
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743:. April 9, 2008
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666:, June 6, 2001
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485:civic education
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193:political right
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81:Key people
67:Created by
42:News aggregator
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1068:. May 30, 2012
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