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Richard D. Gill

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further invalidated the testimony by showing that the data had been collected to support the conviction of de Berk. After a campaign in which Gill helped, a retrial was ordered and de Berk was found not guilty; she received a public apology from the Dutch government, which also began negotiating financial compensation.
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De Berk was sentenced in the Netherlands to life imprisonment in 2003, after a legal psychologist gave testimony that there was great likelihood that de Berk committed a string of murders. Gill and other professional statisticians showed this statistical testimony to be fallacious. Continued scrutiny
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is innocent, and in a 2020 paper said the case "deserves fresh study". Gill states that his original involvement in campaigning for nurses stemmed from his wife encouraging him to get involved in the de Berk case, recounting her saying "They’re using statistics; you should get involved, do something
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Gill has said that he was "not much of an activist" as a student, but now feels guilty about not speaking up more at the time about perceived injustices, saying that this is partly because of an incident when working as a statistician in the 1970s when he helped on an experiment that severed the
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front legs of rats to investigate whether it would lead to the reshaping of their skulls. Gill said that this incident has stayed with him, as "what upset me most is that I didn’t have the strength of character to refuse to do that job".
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Benjamin Geen's applications for a retrial have been rejected and in 2013 and 2015 Gill and other statisticians asked the Criminal Cases Review Commission (CCRC) to look into his case. The appeals were unsuccessful.
145:. He is also known for his consulting and advocacy on behalf of alleged victims of statistical misrepresentation, including the reversal of the murder conviction of a Dutch nurse who had been jailed for six years. 316: 863:[CWI Press Release: Hirsch Ballin and Albayrak accept petition in case of Lucia de B.] (in Dutch). Centrum voor Wiskunde en Informatica – Amsterdam. 1 November 2007. Archived from 878: 1011: 1209: 312: 1179: 1174: 900: 1244: 1239: 1229: 1204: 1234: 935: 1169: 1164: 157:(1970–1973), and subsequently followed the Diploma of Statistics course there (1973–1974). He obtained a Ph.D. in mathematics in 1979, with the thesis 1107: 917: 860: 320: 1249: 1219: 780: 1224: 1199: 610: 372: 1214: 987: 516: 1119: 682: 138: 961: 200: 674: 33: 886: 1194: 211:. After receiving his Ph.D., he continued to collaborate with Danish and Norwegian statisticians for ten years, co-authoring 1091: 494: 261:
Gill has lobbied for retrials for nurses whose criminal convictions were based in part on statistical evidence, including
1189: 587: 1063: 544: 904: 1038: 293: 699: 391: 517:"Unlucky numbers: Richard Gill is fighting the shoddy statistics that put nurses in prison for serial murder" 223: 154: 61: 1159: 864: 881:[Expert on the most important proof in the Lucia de B. case: 'This baby has not been poisoned']. 303:, on multiple charges of murder and attempted murder in 2023, Gill has expressed doubt over her guilt. 1154: 816: 162: 799: 842: 227: 173: 100: 78: 578: 344: 1123: 834: 678: 606: 574: 438: 368: 247: 239: 184: 110: 82: 757: 824: 807: 400: 282: 235: 180: 142: 95: 620: 1095: 879:"Deskundige Over Belangrijkste Bewijs In Zaak Lucia De B.: 'Deze Baby Is Niet Vergiftigd'" 729: 616: 570: 382: 270: 243: 114: 820: 340: 1098:, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research. Accessed 23 January 2010 637: 250:, where he held the chair of mathematical statistics. He retired from Leiden in 2017. 1148: 666: 360: 266: 262: 216: 167: 133:(born 1951) is a British-Dutch mathematician. He has held academic positions in the 846: 662: 104: 936:"Another acquittal: how Richard Gill once again saved a nurse from bad statistics" 861:"Persbericht CWI: Hirsch Ballin en Albayrak nemen petitie aan in zaak Lucia de B." 459: 1088: 434: 231: 134: 387:"Kaplan-Meier estimators of distance distributions for spatial point processes" 605:. Springer series in statistics. New York: Springer-Verlag. pp. xii+767. 601:
Andersen, Per Kragh; Borgan, Ørnulf; Gill, Richard D.; Keiding, Niels (1993).
300: 962:"Statisticians question evidence used to convict nurse of murdering patients" 405: 386: 1012:"RSS publishes report on dealing with uncertainty in medical "murder" cases" 490: 208: 838: 1067: 1066:(in Dutch). Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences. Archived from 901:"Nurse Lucia de Berk finally found not guilty of murdering seven patients" 321:
Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study in Humanities and Social Sciences
319:. Gill was selected as the 2010–2011 Distinguished Lorentz Fellow by the 988:"Unlucky numbers: Fighting murder convictions that rest on shoddy stats" 580:
Statistics as both a purely mathematical activity and an applied science
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on statistical issues in investigation of suspected medical misconduct.
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at CWI in 1983. In 1988, Gill moved to the Department of Mathematics of
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Gill's challenge of statistical evidence played a role in securing
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During his career Gill has supervised 24 Ph.D. students including
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Members of the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences
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From killer nurses to quantum entanglement, and back (Part 1)
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In 2022 Gill contributed to a peer reviewed report from the
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Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research
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VVSOR - Vereniging voor Statistiek en Operations Research
781:"Did statistics damn Lucia de Berk?: Behind the numbers" 918:"Apology for nurse jailed for murdering seven patients" 700:"From killer nurses to quantum entanglement, and back" 359:
Andersen, Per K.; Borgan, Ornulf; Gill, Richard D.;
269:. Gill also said in a 2021 lecture that he suspects 1120:
Richard Gill Distinguished Lorentz Fellow 2010–2011
88: 74: 57: 47: 39: 23: 253:Gill became a citizen of the Netherlands in 1996. 730:"Statistical Issues in Serial Killer Nurse Cases" 285:'s acquittal on murder charges in Italy in 2021. 161:, which was supervised by Jacobus Oosterhoff and 1018:. Royal Statistical Society. 26 September 2022 632: 630: 603:Statistical models based on counting processes 365:Statistical Models Based on Counting Processes 313:Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences 213:Statistical models based on counting processes 885:(in Dutch). 29 September 2007. Archived from 8: 1139:Richard Gill's homepage at Leiden University 539: 537: 1110:, Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study. 429: 427: 425: 423: 230:, where he held the chair in mathematical 31: 20: 828: 774: 772: 510: 508: 506: 504: 502: 404: 367:. Springer Science & Business Media. 419: 299:Since the conviction of another nurse, 222:Gill became head of the Department of 141:and statistician, Gill has researched 1210:Alumni of the University of Cambridge 986:O'Grady, Cathleen (19 January 2023), 515:O'Grady, Cathleen (19 January 2023). 486: 484: 482: 7: 1180:Academic staff of Utrecht University 1175:British emigrants to the Netherlands 1245:20th-century British mathematicians 1240:21st-century British mathematicians 1230:Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam alumni 1205:Academic staff of Leiden University 1037:Steafel, Eleanor (24 August 2023). 960:Devlin, Hannah (15 February 2015). 800:"Statistics: conviction by numbers" 1235:British mathematical statisticians 798:Buchanan, Mark (18 January 2007). 545:"Richard Gill appointed professor" 435:"Short biography: Richard D. Gill" 205:Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica 199:In 1974 Gill was appointed at the 159:Censoring and Stochastic Integrals 14: 1170:21st-century Dutch mathematicians 1165:20th-century Dutch mathematicians 756:Gill, Richard (14 January 2020), 671:Selected Works of Peter J. Bickel 215:, by Andersen, Borgan, Gill, and 333: 315:. He is a past president of the 153:Gill studied mathematics at the 903:. 14 April 2010. Archived from 779:Hawkes, Nigel (10 April 2010). 675:Springer Science+Business Media 176:, which awarded the doctorate. 1250:British civil rights activists 1220:British operations researchers 765:, Leiden University, p. 7 728:Gill, Richard (13 June 2021). 1: 495:Mathematics Genealogy Project 1225:Wrongful conviction advocacy 1200:Dutch operations researchers 1108:Distinguished Lorentz Fellow 934:Reid, Mark (19 April 2022). 1215:People from Redhill, Surrey 1126:. Accessed 23 January 2010. 588:Nieuw Archief voor Wiskunde 385:; Gill, Richard D. (1997). 234:. His PhD students include 43:1951 (age 72–73) 1266: 294:Royal Statistical Society 124: 67: 30: 1094:13 November 2009 at the 677:. pp. xxxi–xxxiii. 392:The Annals of Statistics 311:Gill is a member of the 224:Mathematical Statistics 155:University of Cambridge 62:University of Cambridge 406:10.1214/aos/1034276629 1195:Probability theorists 327:Selected publications 16:British mathematician 638:"Richard David Gill" 139:probability theorist 51:British (Since 1951) 1190:Dutch statisticians 821:2007Natur.445..254B 383:Baddeley, Adrian J. 201:Mathematical Centre 889:on 4 October 2008. 665:; Ritov, Ya'acov; 575:van der Vaart, Aad 491:Richard David Gill 343:has a profile for 228:Utrecht University 174:Vrije Universiteit 143:counting processes 131:Richard David Gill 101:Linda van der Gaag 79:Utrecht University 53:Dutch (Since 1996) 25:Richard David Gill 1124:Leiden University 815:(7125): 254–255. 612:978-0-387-97872-7 573:; van Mill, Jan; 549:Leiden University 439:Leiden University 374:978-1-4612-4348-9 349: 248:Leiden University 240:Mark van der Laan 185:Mark van der Laan 128: 127: 111:Mark van der Laan 89:Doctoral students 83:Leiden University 69:Scientific career 1257: 1127: 1122:, News release, 1117: 1111: 1105: 1099: 1086: 1080: 1079: 1077: 1075: 1060: 1054: 1053: 1051: 1049: 1034: 1028: 1027: 1025: 1023: 1008: 1002: 1001: 1000: 998: 983: 977: 976: 974: 972: 957: 951: 950: 948: 946: 931: 925: 915: 909: 908: 907:on 24 July 2011. 897: 891: 890: 875: 869: 868: 867:on 8 April 2008. 857: 851: 850: 832: 804: 795: 789: 788: 776: 767: 766: 764: 753: 747: 746: 744: 742: 725: 719: 718: 716: 714: 704: 695: 689: 688: 659: 653: 652: 650: 648: 634: 625: 624: 598: 592: 591: 590:, pp. 55–60 586:, vol. 18, 585: 571:Groeneboom, Piet 567: 561: 560: 558: 556: 541: 532: 531: 529: 527: 512: 497: 488: 477: 476: 474: 472: 460:"Richard D. Gil" 456: 450: 449: 447: 445: 431: 410: 408: 378: 347: 346:Richard D. Gill 337: 336: 283:Daniela Poggiali 236:Sara van de Geer 181:Sara van de Geer 171: 96:Sara van de Geer 35: 21: 1265: 1264: 1260: 1259: 1258: 1256: 1255: 1254: 1145: 1144: 1135: 1130: 1118: 1114: 1106: 1102: 1096:Wayback Machine 1087: 1083: 1073: 1071: 1070:on 15 July 2015 1062: 1061: 1057: 1047: 1045: 1036: 1035: 1031: 1021: 1019: 1010: 1009: 1005: 996: 994: 985: 984: 980: 970: 968: 959: 958: 954: 944: 942: 933: 932: 928: 922:The Independent 916: 912: 899: 898: 894: 877: 876: 872: 859: 858: 854: 830:10.1038/445254a 802: 797: 796: 792: 785:The Independent 778: 777: 770: 762: 755: 754: 750: 740: 738: 727: 726: 722: 712: 710: 702: 698:Gill, Richard. 697: 696: 692: 685: 669:, eds. (2012). 661: 660: 656: 646: 644: 636: 635: 628: 613: 600: 599: 595: 583: 569: 568: 564: 554: 552: 543: 542: 535: 525: 523: 514: 513: 500: 489: 480: 470: 468: 458: 457: 453: 443: 441: 433: 432: 421: 417: 381: 375: 358: 355: 354: 353: 338: 334: 329: 309: 271:Beverley Allitt 259: 242:(co-advised by 203:(later renamed 197: 165: 151: 120: 113:(co-advised by 103:(co-advised by 81: 58:Alma mater 52: 26: 17: 12: 11: 5: 1263: 1261: 1253: 1252: 1247: 1242: 1237: 1232: 1227: 1222: 1217: 1212: 1207: 1202: 1197: 1192: 1187: 1182: 1177: 1172: 1167: 1162: 1157: 1147: 1146: 1143: 1142: 1134: 1133:External links 1131: 1129: 1128: 1112: 1100: 1081: 1064:"Richard Gill" 1055: 1029: 1003: 978: 952: 926: 924:14 April 2010. 910: 892: 870: 852: 790: 768: 748: 720: 690: 683: 654: 626: 611: 593: 562: 533: 498: 478: 451: 418: 416: 413: 412: 411: 379: 373: 361:Keiding, Niels 339: 332: 331: 330: 328: 325: 308: 305: 258: 255: 196: 193: 163:Carel Scheffer 150: 147: 126: 125: 122: 121: 119: 118: 108: 98: 92: 90: 86: 85: 76: 72: 71: 65: 64: 59: 55: 54: 49: 45: 44: 41: 37: 36: 28: 27: 24: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1262: 1251: 1248: 1246: 1243: 1241: 1238: 1236: 1233: 1231: 1228: 1226: 1223: 1221: 1218: 1216: 1213: 1211: 1208: 1206: 1203: 1201: 1198: 1196: 1193: 1191: 1188: 1186: 1183: 1181: 1178: 1176: 1173: 1171: 1168: 1166: 1163: 1161: 1160:Living people 1158: 1156: 1153: 1152: 1150: 1140: 1137: 1136: 1132: 1125: 1121: 1116: 1113: 1109: 1104: 1101: 1097: 1093: 1090: 1085: 1082: 1069: 1065: 1059: 1056: 1044: 1043:The Telegraph 1040: 1033: 1030: 1017: 1013: 1007: 1004: 993: 989: 982: 979: 967: 963: 956: 953: 941: 937: 930: 927: 923: 919: 914: 911: 906: 902: 896: 893: 888: 884: 880: 874: 871: 866: 862: 856: 853: 848: 844: 840: 836: 831: 826: 822: 818: 814: 810: 809: 801: 794: 791: 786: 782: 775: 773: 769: 761: 760: 752: 749: 737: 736: 731: 724: 721: 708: 701: 694: 691: 686: 684:9781461455448 680: 676: 672: 668: 664: 663:Fan, Jianqing 658: 655: 643: 639: 633: 631: 627: 622: 618: 614: 608: 604: 597: 594: 589: 582: 581: 576: 572: 566: 563: 551:. 6 July 2006 550: 546: 540: 538: 534: 522: 518: 511: 509: 507: 505: 503: 499: 496: 492: 487: 485: 483: 479: 467: 466: 461: 455: 452: 440: 436: 430: 428: 426: 424: 420: 414: 407: 402: 398: 394: 393: 388: 384: 380: 376: 370: 366: 362: 357: 356: 351: 350: 342: 326: 324: 322: 318: 314: 306: 304: 302: 297: 295: 290: 286: 284: 279: 275: 272: 268: 267:Benjamin Geen 264: 263:Lucia de Berk 256: 254: 251: 249: 245: 241: 237: 233: 229: 225: 220: 218: 214: 210: 207:, or CWI) of 206: 202: 194: 192: 188: 186: 182: 177: 175: 169: 164: 160: 156: 148: 146: 144: 140: 136: 132: 123: 116: 112: 109: 106: 102: 99: 97: 94: 93: 91: 87: 84: 80: 77: 73: 70: 66: 63: 60: 56: 50: 46: 42: 38: 34: 29: 22: 19: 1115: 1103: 1084: 1072:. 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Index


University of Cambridge
Utrecht University
Leiden University
Sara van de Geer
Linda van der Gaag
Jan Bergstra
Mark van der Laan
Peter Bickel
Netherlands
probability theorist
counting processes
University of Cambridge
Carel Scheffer
nl
Vrije Universiteit
Sara van de Geer
Mark van der Laan
Mathematical Centre
Amsterdam
Keiding
Mathematical Statistics
Utrecht University
stochastics
Sara van de Geer
Mark van der Laan
Peter Bickel
Leiden University
Lucia de Berk
Benjamin Geen

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