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Financial risk modeling

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proposal for all the major international banking institutions by the various national depository institution regulators. In the past, risk analysis was done qualitatively but now with the advent of powerful computing software, quantitative risk analysis can be done quickly and effortlessly.
214:. There are several approaches to deal with model uncertainty. Jokhadze and Schmidt (2018) propose practical model risk measurement framework based on Bayesian calculation. They introduce 93:(EVT) in order to analyze a portfolio and make forecasts of the likely losses that would be incurred for a variety of risks. As above, such risks are typically grouped into 285: 545: 210:
Rapid development of financial innovations lead to sophisticated models that are based on a set of assumptions. These models are usually prone to
992: 382: 354: 309: 520:, Antonio Dalessandro, Matthias Neugebauer and Fares Triki, explaining how to use different stochastic processes for risk measurement. 204: 274: 1208: 860: 86: 1139: 942: 402: 456:
Jokhadze, Valeriane; Schmidt, Wolfgang M. (2018). "Measuring model risk in financial risk management and pricing". SSRN.
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Many large financial intermediary firms use risk modeling to help portfolio managers assess the amount of
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Modeling the changes by distributions with finite variance is now known to be inappropriate.
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found in the 1960s that changes in prices in financial markets do not follow a
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to maintain, and to help guide their purchases and sales of various classes of
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The Crash of 2008 and What it Means: The New Paradigm for Financial Markets
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The Misbehavior of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence
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that enables consistent market and model risk measurement.
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a bit more than 1/2. Large changes up or down, also called
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is a web site devoted to risk, with a collection of books.
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and its modeling have been under question in the light of
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Machina, Mark J., and Michael Rothschild (1987). "Risk,"
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Risk modeling uses a variety of techniques including
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Financial economics § Challenges and criticism
514:A Stochastic Processes toolkit for Risk Management 297: 41:techniques to measure, monitor and control the 539: 8: 429:"Financial economics: Efficiency and beyond" 403:"We will never have a perfect model of risk" 267:An Introduction to Risk Management (2nd ed.) 331: 329: 286:The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics 127:Formal risk modeling is required under the 569: 546: 532: 524: 325: 203:, and for their failure to predict the 150:Financial engineering § Criticisms 486: 475: 142:Financial mathematics § Criticism 191:in the past few years (most notably, 7: 516:at SSNR.com is a tutorial paper by 162:, but are rather modeled better by 25: 446:From The Economist print edition. 821:Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) 199:, the revised FAS 123R and the 1140:Strategic financial management 943:Asset and liability management 373:and Richard L. Hudson (2006). 1: 718:Operational risk management 1230: 890:Proportional hazards model 841:Interest rate immunization 253:Managerial risk accounting 139: 1173: 559:financial risk management 289:, v. 4, pp. 201–206. 233:Financial risk management 164:LĂ©vy stable distributions 63:Financial risk management 27:Modelling financial risks 836:First-hitting-time model 801:Arbitrage pricing theory 265:Crockford, Neil (1986). 216:superposed risk measures 61:'s portfolio value; see 1209:Financial risk modeling 1145:Stress test (financial) 851:Modern portfolio theory 205:financial crash of 2008 31:Financial risk modeling 485:Cite journal requires 1183:Investment management 1085:Investment management 811:Replicating portfolio 587:Sovereign credit risk 337:Nassim Nicholas Taleb 269:. Woodhead-Faulkner. 238:Knightian uncertainty 160:Gaussian distribution 87:historical simulation 33:is the use of formal 1188:Mathematical finance 1120:Risk-return spectrum 1110:Mathematical finance 1065:Fundamental analysis 998:Exchange traded fund 582:Consumer credit risk 462:10.2139/ssrn.3113139 91:extreme value theory 1178:Financial economics 1135:Statistical finance 901:Value-at-Risk (VaR) 806:Black–Scholes model 646:Holding period risk 228:Black–Scholes model 1155:Structured product 1150:Structured finance 1130:Speculative attack 816:Cash flow matching 779:Non-financial risk 676:Interest rate risk 602:Concentration risk 243:Financial modeling 201:Sarbanes–Oxley Act 189:corporate scandals 178:standard deviation 67:financial modeling 1214:Actuarial science 1196: 1195: 968:Corporate finance 963:Capital structure 917:Cash flow at risk 913:Liquidity at risk 886:Survival analysis 787: 786: 733:Reputational risk 607:Credit derivative 384:978-0-465-04357-6 371:BenoĂ®t Mandelbrot 356:978-1-4000-6351-2 311:978-1-58648-699-0 304:. PublicAffairs. 156:BenoĂ®t Mandelbrot 16:(Redirected from 1221: 1070:Growth investing 988:Enterprise value 938:Asset allocation 921:Earnings at risk 903:and extensions ( 846:Market portfolio 710:Operational risk 695:Refinancing risk 570: 548: 541: 534: 525: 495: 494: 488: 483: 481: 473: 453: 447: 445: 443: 442: 425: 419: 418: 416: 415: 395: 389: 388: 367: 361: 360: 333: 315: 303: 280: 122:financial assets 118:capital reserves 111:operational risk 51:operational risk 21: 1229: 1228: 1224: 1223: 1222: 1220: 1219: 1218: 1199: 1198: 1197: 1192: 1169: 1105:Systematic risk 1003:Expected return 983:Economic bubble 978:Diversification 973:Cost of capital 926: 783: 752: 704: 686:Volatility risk 650:Price area risk 616: 592:Settlement risk 561: 552: 504: 499: 498: 484: 474: 455: 454: 450: 440: 438: 427: 426: 422: 413: 411: 408:Financial Times 397: 396: 392: 385: 377:. Basic Books. 369: 368: 364: 357: 335: 334: 327: 322: 312: 292: 277: 264: 261: 224: 152: 138: 75: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1227: 1225: 1217: 1216: 1211: 1201: 1200: 1194: 1193: 1191: 1190: 1185: 1180: 1174: 1171: 1170: 1168: 1167: 1162: 1157: 1152: 1147: 1142: 1137: 1132: 1127: 1122: 1117: 1112: 1107: 1102: 1097: 1092: 1087: 1082: 1077: 1072: 1067: 1062: 1061: 1060: 1055: 1050: 1045: 1040: 1035: 1030: 1025: 1020: 1015: 1005: 1000: 995: 990: 985: 980: 975: 970: 965: 960: 955: 950: 945: 940: 934: 932: 931:Basic concepts 928: 927: 925: 924: 909:Margin at risk 905:Profit at risk 898: 896:Tracking error 893: 883: 878: 873: 868: 866:Risk-free rate 863: 858: 853: 848: 843: 838: 833: 828: 823: 818: 813: 808: 803: 797: 795: 789: 788: 785: 784: 782: 781: 776: 771: 766: 764:Execution risk 760: 758: 754: 753: 751: 750: 745: 743:Political risk 740: 735: 730: 725: 720: 714: 712: 706: 705: 703: 702: 691:Liquidity risk 688: 683: 681:Inflation risk 678: 673: 671:Margining risk 668: 663: 661:Valuation risk 658: 653: 630:Commodity risk 626: 624: 618: 617: 615: 614: 612:Securitization 609: 604: 599: 594: 589: 584: 578: 576: 567: 563: 562: 555:Financial risk 553: 551: 550: 543: 536: 528: 522: 521: 511: 503: 502:External links 500: 497: 496: 487:|journal= 448: 420: 401:(2008-03-17). 399:Alan Greenspan 390: 383: 362: 355: 324: 323: 321: 318: 317: 316: 310: 290: 281: 275: 260: 257: 256: 255: 250: 245: 240: 235: 230: 223: 220: 137: 134: 107:liquidity risk 74: 71: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1226: 1215: 1212: 1210: 1207: 1206: 1204: 1189: 1186: 1184: 1181: 1179: 1176: 1175: 1172: 1166: 1163: 1161: 1160:Systemic risk 1158: 1156: 1153: 1151: 1148: 1146: 1143: 1141: 1138: 1136: 1133: 1131: 1128: 1126: 1123: 1121: 1118: 1116: 1113: 1111: 1108: 1106: 1103: 1101: 1098: 1096: 1093: 1091: 1088: 1086: 1083: 1081: 1078: 1076: 1073: 1071: 1068: 1066: 1063: 1059: 1056: 1054: 1051: 1049: 1046: 1044: 1041: 1039: 1036: 1034: 1031: 1029: 1026: 1024: 1021: 1019: 1016: 1014: 1011: 1010: 1009: 1006: 1004: 1001: 999: 996: 994: 991: 989: 986: 984: 981: 979: 976: 974: 971: 969: 966: 964: 961: 959: 958:Capital asset 956: 954: 951: 949: 948:Asset pricing 946: 944: 941: 939: 936: 935: 933: 929: 922: 918: 914: 910: 906: 902: 899: 897: 894: 891: 887: 884: 882: 881:Sortino ratio 879: 877: 874: 872: 869: 867: 864: 862: 859: 857: 854: 852: 849: 847: 844: 842: 839: 837: 834: 832: 829: 827: 824: 822: 819: 817: 814: 812: 809: 807: 804: 802: 799: 798: 796: 794: 790: 780: 777: 775: 774:Systemic risk 772: 770: 767: 765: 762: 761: 759: 755: 749: 746: 744: 741: 739: 736: 734: 731: 729: 726: 724: 723:Business risk 721: 719: 716: 715: 713: 711: 707: 700: 696: 692: 689: 687: 684: 682: 679: 677: 674: 672: 669: 667: 664: 662: 659: 657: 654: 651: 647: 643: 639: 635: 631: 628: 627: 625: 623: 619: 613: 610: 608: 605: 603: 600: 598: 595: 593: 590: 588: 585: 583: 580: 579: 577: 575: 571: 568: 564: 560: 556: 549: 544: 542: 537: 535: 530: 529: 526: 519: 518:Damiano Brigo 515: 512: 509: 506: 505: 501: 492: 479: 471: 467: 463: 459: 452: 449: 436: 435: 434:The Economist 430: 424: 421: 410: 409: 404: 400: 394: 391: 386: 380: 376: 372: 366: 363: 358: 352: 348: 344: 343: 338: 332: 330: 326: 319: 313: 307: 302: 301: 295: 291: 288: 287: 282: 278: 276:0-85941-332-2 272: 268: 263: 262: 258: 254: 251: 249: 248:Value-at-Risk 246: 244: 241: 239: 236: 234: 231: 229: 226: 225: 221: 219: 217: 213: 208: 206: 202: 198: 194: 190: 186: 185:risk analysis 183:Quantitative 181: 179: 175: 174: 169: 165: 161: 157: 151: 147: 143: 135: 133: 130: 125: 123: 119: 114: 112: 108: 104: 100: 96: 92: 88: 84: 83:value at risk 80: 72: 70: 68: 64: 60: 56: 55:balance sheet 52: 48: 44: 40: 36: 32: 19: 18:Risk modeling 1115:Moral hazard 1100:Risk of ruin 876:Sharpe ratio 792: 738:Country risk 699:Deposit risk 597:Default risk 478:cite journal 451: 439:. Retrieved 437:. 2009-07-16 432: 423: 412:. Retrieved 406: 393: 374: 365: 347:Random House 341: 299: 294:George Soros 284: 266: 259:Bibliography 209: 182: 171: 153: 126: 115: 113:categories. 76: 59:fund manager 53:on a firm's 35:mathematical 30: 29: 1165:Toxic asset 1125:Speculation 1058:social work 1043:engineering 871:Risk parity 856:Omega ratio 769:Profit risk 656:Equity risk 634:Volume risk 622:Market risk 574:Credit risk 99:market risk 95:credit risk 79:market risk 73:Application 47:credit risk 43:market risk 39:econometric 1203:Categories 748:Legal risk 728:Model risk 642:Shape risk 638:Basis risk 566:Categories 508:Risk World 441:2009-07-18 414:2009-07-18 320:References 212:model risk 140:See also: 103:model risk 1095:Risk pool 1008:Financial 470:169594252 173:fat tails 136:Criticism 89:(HS), or 1018:analysis 953:Bad debt 831:Drawdown 793:Modeling 339:(2007). 296:(2009). 222:See also 197:Basel II 129:Basel II 1033:betting 1023:analyst 1013:adviser 666:FX risk 85:(VaR), 1075:Hazard 826:Copula 693:(e.g. 632:(e.g. 468:  381:  353:  308:  273:  148:, and 109:, and 49:, and 1080:Hedge 1038:crime 1028:asset 861:RAROC 757:Other 466:S2CID 193:Enron 168:power 1090:Risk 1053:risk 557:and 491:help 379:ISBN 351:ISBN 306:ISBN 271:ISBN 37:and 1048:law 993:ESG 458:doi 195:), 1205:: 919:, 915:, 911:, 907:, 697:, 648:, 644:, 640:, 636:, 482:: 480:}} 476:{{ 464:. 431:. 405:. 349:. 345:. 328:^ 207:. 180:. 144:, 124:. 105:, 101:, 97:, 81:, 69:. 45:, 923:) 892:) 888:( 701:) 652:) 547:e 540:t 533:v 493:) 489:( 472:. 460:: 444:. 417:. 387:. 359:. 314:. 279:. 20:)

Index

Risk modeling
mathematical
econometric
market risk
credit risk
operational risk
balance sheet
fund manager
Financial risk management
financial modeling
market risk
value at risk
historical simulation
extreme value theory
credit risk
market risk
model risk
liquidity risk
operational risk
capital reserves
financial assets
Basel II
Financial mathematics § Criticism
Financial economics § Challenges and criticism
Financial engineering § Criticisms
Benoît Mandelbrot
Gaussian distribution
LĂ©vy stable distributions
power
fat tails

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