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The Discovery of the Future

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compared to the future. But he argues that the inference from this attitude that the future is essentially unknowable does not square with "modern science, that is to say the relentless systematic criticism of phenomena." Not only has science made us knowledgeable about a distant, impersonal past, it also regards the ability successfully to predict to be a criterion of validity. Though the unpredictability of human behavior complicates the problem, the fact that "as individuals increase in number they begin to average out" means that "an inductive knowledge of a great number of things in the future is becoming a human possibility." Confessing himself to be among "those who believe entirely in the forces behind the individual" rather than in individuals themselves as determining causes, Wells argues that there is "no reason why we should not aspire to, and discover and use, safe and servicable, generalizations upon countless issues in the human destiny." But personal prophecy and fortune-telling will never be possible; "the knowledge of the future we may hope to gain will be general and not individual."
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Wells devotes the last part of his text to speculations about "the question what is to come after man," considering it "the most persistently fascinating and the most insoluble question in the whole world." He concludes with a statement of personal faith "in the coherency and purpose in the world and
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Observing that these two minds reach "divergent and incompatible consequences" in the spheres of morality and public affairs, Wells analyzes the reasons for which the past-oriented mind predominates and asserts that this is principally due to the evidently greater knowability of the personal past as
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Wells begins by distinguishing between "two divergent types of mind," one that judges and attaches importance principally to what has happened in the past and one that judges and attaches importance principally to what will happen in the future. To the former he attributes the adjectives "legal or
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submissive," "passive," and "oriental," and to the latter the adjectives "legislative, creative, organizing, or masterful," and "active," calling it "a more modern and much less abundant type of mind."
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Anticipations of the Reaction of Mechanical and Scientific Progress Upon Human Life and Thought
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The Discovery of the Future: A Discourse Delivered to the Royal Institution on January 24, 1902
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that argues for the knowability of the future. It was originally delivered to the
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Wells's lecture followed on the heels of the great success of his recent book,
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on January 24, 1902. Before appearing in book form, it was published by
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on February 6, 1902, and was also published as part of the
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Travels of a Republican Radical in Search of Hot Water
1434: 1407: 1186: 1133: 898: 479: 130: 117: 109: 101: 91: 81: 71: 61: 53: 43: 33: 1012:Mr. Belloc Objects to "The Outline of History" 568:The Food of the Gods and How It Came to Earth 448: 8: 19: 309:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), pp. 39; 33. 1142:The Country of the Blind and Other Stories 455: 441: 433: 296:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), pp. 27-28. 25: 18: 1110:The Work, Wealth and Happiness of Mankind 16:1902 philosophical lecture by H. G. Wells 283:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), pp. 6-7. 1335:The Queer Story of Brownlow's Newspaper 1163:The Stolen Bacillus and Other Incidents 230: 361:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), p. 56. 348:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), p. 50. 335:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), p. 46. 322:(New York: B.W. Huebsch, 1913), p. 40. 1516:Contemporary philosophical literature 241:(Simon & Schuster, 1973), p. 161. 7: 197:in the greatness of human destiny." 1156:Select Conversations with an Uncle 784:Mr. Blettsworthy on Rampole Island 14: 1075:The Story of a Great Schoolmaster 935:An Englishman Looks at the World 416: 389:H.G. Wells: Another Kind of Life 252:H.G. Wells: Another Kind of Life 1424:The Man Who Could Work Miracles 1307:The Man Who Could Work Miracles 391:(Peter Owen, 2010), pp. 154-55. 736:The Secret Places of the Heart 1: 1149:The Plattner Story and Others 1005:Mind at the End of Its Tether 768:The World of William Clissold 370:Norman and Jeanne Mackenzie, 237:Norman and Jeanne Mackenzie, 1462:Simon Wells (great-grandson) 1068:A Short History of the World 704:Mr. Britling Sees It Through 664:The Wife of Sir Isaac Harman 20:The Discovery of the Future 1370:A Story of the Days to Come 942:Experiment in Autobiography 928:The Discovery of the Future 808:The Shape of Things to Come 792:The Autocracy of Mr. Parham 504:The Island of Doctor Moreau 426:public domain audiobook at 423:The Discovery of the Future 406:The Discovery of the Future 359:The Discovery of the Future 346:The Discovery of the Future 333:The Discovery of the Future 320:The Discovery of the Future 307:The Discovery of the Future 294:The Discovery of the Future 281:The Discovery of the Future 266:The Discovery of the Future 254:(Peter Owen, 2010), p. 154. 147:The Discovery of the Future 1532: 1177:Twelve Stories and a Dream 1103:The Way the World Is Going 872:Babes in the Darkling Wood 760:Christina Alberta's Father 1384:Triumphs of a Taxidermist 552:The First Men in the Moon 470: 24: 1391:The Truth About Pyecraft 1377:A Story of the Stone Age 1293:Mr. Ledbetter's Vacation 1230:The Country of the Blind 1202:The Argonauts of the Air 914:Certain Personal Matters 888:You Can't Be Too Careful 696:The Research Magnificent 592:In the Days of the Comet 76:Philosophical literature 1300:The Lord of the Dynamos 1170:Tales of Space and Time 624:The History of Mr Polly 372:H.G. Wells: A Biography 239:H.G. Wells: A Biography 178:Smithsonian Institution 1501:1902 non-fiction books 1272:The Empire of the Ants 1047:The Outline of History 977:God the Invisible King 840:The Camford Visitation 800:The Bulpington of Blup 656:The Passionate Friends 536:When the Sleeper Wakes 269:. B. W. Huebsch. 1913. 1511:Futures studies media 1457:Joseph Wells (father) 1265:A Dream of Armageddon 1216:The Chronic Argonauts 1124:A Year of Prophesying 1054:Russia in the Shadows 998:Mankind in the Making 970:The Future in America 956:First and Last Things 880:All Aboard for Ararat 528:The War of the Worlds 152:philosophical lecture 1506:Books by H. G. Wells 1398:A Vision of Judgment 1258:The Door in the Wall 1082:This Misery of Boots 712:The Soul of a Bishop 544:Love and Mr Lewisham 512:The Wheels of Chance 180:. Available online. 1467:H. G. Wells Society 1314:The New Accelerator 1244:A Deal in Ostriches 1061:The Science of Life 1040:The Open Conspiracy 1026:The New World Order 640:The New Machiavelli 496:The Wonderful Visit 387:Michael Sherborne, 250:Michael Sherborne, 44:Original title 21: 1452:Anthony West (son) 1328:The Plattner Story 1286:The Land Ironclads 1209:The Beautiful Suit 1096:War and the Future 1033:New Worlds for Old 984:In the Fourth Year 848:Apropos of Dolores 816:The Croquet Player 672:The World Set Free 632:The Sleeper Awakes 600:The War in the Air 212:Fortnightly Review 1488: 1487: 1321:The Pearl of Love 1251:The Diamond Maker 520:The Invisible Man 411:Project Gutenberg 160:Royal Institution 143: 142: 102:Publication place 1523: 728:The Undying Fire 488:The Time Machine 457: 450: 443: 434: 420: 419: 413: 392: 385: 379: 368: 362: 355: 349: 342: 336: 329: 323: 316: 310: 303: 297: 290: 284: 277: 271: 270: 261: 255: 248: 242: 235: 131:Followed by 118:Preceded by 93:Publication date 29: 22: 1531: 1530: 1526: 1525: 1524: 1522: 1521: 1520: 1491: 1490: 1489: 1484: 1478:Time After Time 1442:Political views 1430: 1403: 1363:The Stolen Body 1349:The Sea Raiders 1237:The Crystal Egg 1195:Æpyornis Island 1182: 1129: 1019:The New America 949:The Fate of Man 894: 864:The Holy Terror 584:A Modern Utopia 475: 466: 461: 417: 403: 400: 395: 386: 382: 369: 365: 356: 352: 343: 339: 330: 326: 317: 313: 304: 300: 291: 287: 278: 274: 263: 262: 258: 249: 245: 236: 232: 228: 203: 186: 164:Richard Gregory 94: 86:T. Fisher Unwin 17: 12: 11: 5: 1529: 1527: 1519: 1518: 1513: 1508: 1503: 1493: 1492: 1486: 1485: 1483: 1482: 1474: 1469: 1464: 1459: 1454: 1449: 1444: 1438: 1436: 1432: 1431: 1429: 1428: 1420: 1416:Things to Come 1411: 1409: 1405: 1404: 1402: 1401: 1394: 1387: 1380: 1373: 1366: 1359: 1352: 1345: 1338: 1331: 1324: 1317: 1310: 1303: 1296: 1289: 1282: 1275: 1268: 1261: 1254: 1247: 1240: 1233: 1226: 1219: 1212: 1205: 1198: 1190: 1188: 1184: 1183: 1181: 1180: 1173: 1166: 1159: 1152: 1145: 1137: 1135: 1131: 1130: 1128: 1127: 1120: 1113: 1106: 1099: 1092: 1085: 1078: 1071: 1064: 1057: 1050: 1043: 1036: 1029: 1022: 1015: 1008: 1001: 994: 987: 980: 973: 966: 959: 952: 945: 938: 931: 924: 917: 910: 902: 900: 896: 895: 893: 892: 884: 876: 868: 860: 852: 844: 836: 828: 820: 812: 804: 796: 788: 780: 772: 764: 756: 748: 740: 732: 724: 720:Joan and Peter 716: 708: 700: 692: 684: 676: 668: 660: 652: 644: 636: 628: 620: 612: 604: 596: 588: 580: 572: 564: 556: 548: 540: 532: 524: 516: 508: 500: 492: 483: 481: 477: 476: 471: 468: 467: 462: 460: 459: 452: 445: 437: 431: 430: 414: 399: 398:External links 396: 394: 393: 380: 363: 350: 337: 324: 311: 298: 285: 272: 256: 243: 229: 227: 224: 202: 199: 185: 182: 141: 140: 132: 128: 127: 119: 115: 114: 111: 107: 106: 105:United Kingdom 103: 99: 98: 95: 92: 89: 88: 83: 79: 78: 73: 69: 68: 63: 59: 58: 55: 51: 50: 45: 41: 40: 35: 31: 30: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1528: 1517: 1514: 1512: 1509: 1507: 1504: 1502: 1499: 1498: 1496: 1480: 1479: 1475: 1473: 1470: 1468: 1465: 1463: 1460: 1458: 1455: 1453: 1450: 1448: 1445: 1443: 1440: 1439: 1437: 1433: 1426: 1425: 1421: 1418: 1417: 1413: 1412: 1410: 1406: 1399: 1395: 1392: 1388: 1385: 1381: 1378: 1374: 1371: 1367: 1364: 1360: 1357: 1353: 1350: 1346: 1343: 1339: 1336: 1332: 1329: 1325: 1322: 1318: 1315: 1311: 1308: 1304: 1301: 1297: 1294: 1290: 1287: 1283: 1280: 1276: 1273: 1269: 1266: 1262: 1259: 1255: 1252: 1248: 1245: 1241: 1238: 1234: 1231: 1227: 1224: 1220: 1217: 1213: 1210: 1206: 1203: 1199: 1196: 1192: 1191: 1189: 1187:Short stories 1185: 1179: 1178: 1174: 1172: 1171: 1167: 1165: 1164: 1160: 1158: 1157: 1153: 1151: 1150: 1146: 1144: 1143: 1139: 1138: 1136: 1132: 1126: 1125: 1121: 1119: 1118: 1114: 1112: 1111: 1107: 1105: 1104: 1100: 1098: 1097: 1093: 1091: 1090: 1086: 1084: 1083: 1079: 1077: 1076: 1072: 1070: 1069: 1065: 1063: 1062: 1058: 1056: 1055: 1051: 1049: 1048: 1044: 1042: 1041: 1037: 1035: 1034: 1030: 1028: 1027: 1023: 1021: 1020: 1016: 1014: 1013: 1009: 1007: 1006: 1002: 1000: 999: 995: 993: 992: 988: 986: 985: 981: 979: 978: 974: 972: 971: 967: 965: 964: 960: 958: 957: 953: 951: 950: 946: 944: 943: 939: 937: 936: 932: 930: 929: 925: 923: 922: 918: 916: 915: 911: 909: 908: 907:Anticipations 904: 903: 901: 897: 890: 889: 885: 882: 881: 877: 874: 873: 869: 866: 865: 861: 858: 857: 853: 850: 849: 845: 842: 841: 837: 834: 833: 832:Star Begotten 829: 826: 825: 821: 818: 817: 813: 810: 809: 805: 802: 801: 797: 794: 793: 789: 786: 785: 781: 778: 777: 773: 770: 769: 765: 762: 761: 757: 754: 753: 749: 746: 745: 744:Men Like Gods 741: 738: 737: 733: 730: 729: 725: 722: 721: 717: 714: 713: 709: 706: 705: 701: 698: 697: 693: 690: 689: 685: 682: 681: 677: 674: 673: 669: 666: 665: 661: 658: 657: 653: 650: 649: 645: 642: 641: 637: 634: 633: 629: 626: 625: 621: 618: 617: 613: 610: 609: 605: 602: 601: 597: 594: 593: 589: 586: 585: 581: 578: 577: 573: 570: 569: 565: 562: 561: 557: 554: 553: 549: 546: 545: 541: 538: 537: 533: 530: 529: 525: 522: 521: 517: 514: 513: 509: 506: 505: 501: 498: 497: 493: 490: 489: 485: 484: 482: 478: 474: 469: 465: 458: 453: 451: 446: 444: 439: 438: 435: 429: 425: 424: 415: 412: 408: 407: 402: 401: 397: 390: 384: 381: 377: 373: 367: 364: 360: 354: 351: 347: 341: 338: 334: 328: 325: 321: 315: 312: 308: 302: 299: 295: 289: 286: 282: 276: 273: 268: 267: 260: 257: 253: 247: 244: 240: 234: 231: 225: 223: 221: 220:Graham Wallas 218:According to 216: 214: 213: 208: 207:Anticipations 200: 198: 194: 190: 183: 181: 179: 175: 174:Annual Report 171: 170: 165: 161: 157: 153: 149: 148: 139: 137: 133: 129: 126: 124: 123:Anticipations 120: 116: 112: 108: 104: 100: 96: 90: 87: 84: 80: 77: 74: 70: 67: 64: 60: 56: 52: 49: 46: 42: 39: 36: 32: 28: 23: 1476: 1472:Lunar crater 1422: 1414: 1342:The Red Room 1279:In the Abyss 1175: 1168: 1161: 1154: 1147: 1140: 1122: 1115: 1108: 1101: 1094: 1087: 1080: 1073: 1066: 1059: 1052: 1045: 1038: 1031: 1024: 1017: 1010: 1003: 996: 989: 982: 975: 968: 961: 954: 947: 940: 933: 927: 926: 919: 912: 905: 886: 878: 870: 862: 856:The Brothers 854: 846: 838: 830: 822: 814: 806: 798: 790: 782: 774: 766: 758: 750: 742: 734: 726: 718: 710: 702: 694: 686: 678: 670: 662: 654: 646: 638: 630: 622: 616:Ann Veronica 614: 606: 598: 590: 582: 574: 566: 560:The Sea Lady 558: 550: 542: 534: 526: 518: 510: 502: 494: 486: 473:Bibliography 422: 404: 388: 383: 375: 371: 366: 358: 357:H.G. Wells, 353: 345: 344:H.G. Wells, 340: 332: 331:H.G. Wells, 327: 319: 318:H.G. Wells, 314: 306: 305:H.G. Wells, 301: 293: 292:H.G. Wells, 288: 280: 279:H.G. Wells, 275: 265: 259: 251: 246: 238: 233: 217: 210: 206: 204: 195: 191: 187: 173: 167: 146: 145: 144: 136:The Sea Lady 134: 121: 47: 1481:(1979 film) 1447:G. P. Wells 1408:Screenplays 1134:Collections 1117:World Brain 991:Little Wars 963:Floor Games 921:Crux Ansata 608:Tono-Bungay 464:H. G. Wells 156:H. G. Wells 38:H. G. Wells 1495:Categories 899:Nonfiction 226:References 201:Background 150:is a 1902 776:Meanwhile 752:The Dream 82:Publisher 1356:The Star 1223:The Cone 824:Brynhild 648:Marriage 428:LibriVox 184:Synopsis 54:Language 1435:Related 176:of the 62:Subject 57:English 1427:(1937) 1419:(1936) 891:(1941) 883:(1940) 875:(1940) 867:(1939) 859:(1938) 851:(1938) 843:(1937) 835:(1937) 827:(1937) 819:(1936) 811:(1933) 803:(1932) 795:(1930) 787:(1928) 779:(1927) 771:(1926) 763:(1925) 755:(1924) 747:(1923) 739:(1922) 731:(1919) 723:(1918) 715:(1917) 707:(1916) 699:(1915) 691:(1915) 683:(1915) 680:Bealby 675:(1914) 667:(1914) 659:(1913) 651:(1912) 643:(1911) 635:(1910) 627:(1910) 619:(1909) 611:(1909) 603:(1908) 595:(1906) 587:(1905) 579:(1905) 571:(1904) 563:(1902) 555:(1901) 547:(1900) 539:(1899) 531:(1898) 523:(1897) 515:(1896) 507:(1896) 499:(1895) 491:(1895) 480:Novels 169:Nature 138:  125:  66:Future 34:Author 576:Kipps 110:Pages 72:Genre 688:Boon 97:1902 409:at 166:in 154:by 1497:: 113:95 1400:" 1396:" 1393:" 1389:" 1386:" 1382:" 1379:" 1375:" 1372:" 1368:" 1365:" 1361:" 1358:" 1354:" 1351:" 1347:" 1344:" 1340:" 1337:" 1333:" 1330:" 1326:" 1323:" 1319:" 1316:" 1312:" 1309:" 1305:" 1302:" 1298:" 1295:" 1291:" 1288:" 1284:" 1281:" 1277:" 1274:" 1270:" 1267:" 1263:" 1260:" 1256:" 1253:" 1249:" 1246:" 1242:" 1239:" 1235:" 1232:" 1228:" 1225:" 1221:" 1218:" 1214:" 1211:" 1207:" 1204:" 1200:" 1197:" 1193:" 456:e 449:t 442:v 378:.

Index


H. G. Wells
Future
Philosophical literature
T. Fisher Unwin
Anticipations
The Sea Lady
philosophical lecture
H. G. Wells
Royal Institution
Richard Gregory
Nature
Smithsonian Institution
Fortnightly Review
Graham Wallas
The Discovery of the Future
The Discovery of the Future
Project Gutenberg
The Discovery of the Future
LibriVox
v
t
e
H. G. Wells
Bibliography
The Time Machine
The Wonderful Visit
The Island of Doctor Moreau
The Wheels of Chance
The Invisible Man

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