35:
471:"... he (Modis) does cite the relationship of his 'overall' 56-year cycles and evidence on the associated clustering of technological innovations to prior work by Kondratieff and Schumpeter (in my opinion, Modisâ evidence on these topics is more extensive and compelling than that of either of these scholars.)" -
454:"You must read this book. It is the most delightful one on forecasting I have encountered in a very long time. Written for the enjoyment of both layperson and professional, it is fascinating and provocative." -
193:
or S-curve to forecast markets, product sales, primary-energy substitutions, the diffusion of technologies, and generally any process that grows in competition. He is a vehement critic of the concept of the
189:, and international consultant. He specializes in applying fundamental scientific concepts to predicting social phenomena. In particular, he uses the law of natural growth in competition as expressed by the
461:"We have the technology now to forecast many social phenomena ... . I follow the work of Theodore Modis, who nicely sums up the case for utility and believability of predictions." -
863:
Modis, Theodore (2022). "Links between entropy, complexity, and the technological singularity". Technological
Forecasting and Social Change. Volume 176, 2022-3, p. 121457.
760:
Debecker, Alain, and Modis, Theodore (1994). âDetermination of the
Uncertainties in S-curve Logistic Fitsâ. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 46 (2): 153-173.
413:
407:
294:
1264:
1259:
495:. Together with Vasco Almeida they created applications that forecast stock prices like species by treating the stock market as an ecosystem:
954:
812:
780:
1254:
929:
736:
565:
Natural Laws in the
Service of the Decision Maker - How to Use Science-Based Methodologies to See more Clearly further into the Future
729:
Natural Laws in the
Service of the Decision Maker: How to Use Science-Based Methodologies to See more Clearly further into the Future
1047:
987:
258:
877:
751:
Modis, Theodore (2007). âStrengths and
Weaknesses of S-Curvesâ. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 74, (6): 866-872.
478:"Can a well-known mathematical equation be used to predict a wide range of human activity? Maybe." - Vernon Church, NEWSWEEK.
266:
149:
571:
Decision-Making for a New World: Natural Laws of
Evolution and Competition as a Road Map to Revolutionary New Management
541:
Conquering
Uncertainty: Understanding Corporate Cycles and Positioning Your Company to Survive the Changing Environment
301:, a Swiss-based organization specializing in business strategy, strategic forecasting and management consulting.
195:
106:
828:
Modis, Theodore (2006). âThe
Singularity Mythâ. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 73 (2): 104-112.
322:
269:
for more than a decade as the head of a management science consultants group. He has on occasion taught at
1249:
1244:
660:
309:
He has published about one hundred articles in scientific and in business journals, as well as ten books:
230:
382:
378:
1239:
851:
610:
462:
274:
145:
419:
270:
226:
131:
90:
769:
Modis, Theodore (2020). âForecasting the Growth of
Complexity and ChangeâAn Updateâ. Published in
683:
441:
278:
293:, Mexico between 1998 and 2001. He has been in the advisory board of the international journal
1095:
1043:
1039:
1032:
983:
950:
925:
808:
776:
732:
366:
286:
190:
101:
702:
1128:
1087:
1012:
675:
425:
254:
238:
234:
166:
86:
1215:
799:
635:
455:
362:
17:
1208:
1146:
976:
908:
838:
639:
406:
2017 Certificate of
Outstanding Contribution in Reviewing by the international journal
386:
370:
34:
1233:
1016:
547:
Predictions - Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future,
535:
An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street - Survival of the Fittest Reigns at the Stock Market
687:
597:
679:
472:
242:
1091:
864:
631:
448:
214:
127:
76:
1178:
577:
447:"A lot of highly selective fun re-invoking much in my own past experiences." -
1222:
1164:
618:
203:
440:"Interesting, well written, enjoyable, controversial, thought-provoking." -
326:
290:
186:
182:
1099:
796:
Modis, Theodore (2012). âWhy the Singularity Cannot Happenâ. Published in
589:
947:
Science with Street Value: A Physicist's Wanderings off the Beaten Track
598:
Science with Street Value: A Physicistâs Wanderings off the Beaten Track
355:
Science with Street Value: A Physicist's Wanderings off the Beaten Track
289:, and was a professor at DUXX Graduate School of Business Leadership in
1183:
458:, Editor in Chief; Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 1992.
199:
123:
922:
Fortune Favors the Bold: A Woman's Odyssey through a Turbulent Century
578:
Fortune Favors the Bold: A Womanâs Odyssey through a Turbulent Century
412:
1997 Outstanding-Paper-of-the-Year Award by the international journal
391:
Fortune Favors the Bold: A Womanâs Odyssey through a Turbulent Century
351:
Fortune Favors the Bold: A Womanâs Odyssey through a Turbulent Century
504:
282:
210:
72:
61:
854:â. Technological Forecasting & Social Change. 69 (4): 377-404.
1201:
1179:"The funeral of the Theodoros Modi in the Monastir(FYROM) IN 1904"
891:
153:
731:(1 ed.). Lugano, Switzerland: Growth Dynamics. p. 246.
593:, Livani Publishing Organizations, Athens, Greece, November 2020.
703:"Life Cycles - Forecasting the Rise and Fall of Almost Anything"
516:
262:
141:
468:"A fascinating technique for making forecasts." - THE FUTURIST.
587:
Press, Stuttgart, October 2018. Greek edition under the title
198:. He has suggested a simple mathematical relationship between
878:"Technological Forecasting and Social Change Editorial Board"
451:, professor emeritus of biology at Harvard, Nobel Prize 1967.
393:
has been translated into Greek and published under the title
771:
Korotayev, Andrey; LePoire, David (Eds.) (January 3, 2020).
357:. His books have appeared in a number of other languages;
181:(born August 11, 1943) is a strategic business analyst,
1165:"Stocks' Futures by Theodore Modis & Vasco Almeida"
206:
as the latter being the time derivative of the former.
661:"Long-Term GDP Forecasts and the Prospects for Growth"
531:, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, November 2014.
555:, Growth Dynamics, Geneva, Switzerland, October 2000.
543:
BusinessWeek Books, McGraw-Hill, New York, June 1998.
909:
http://ch.linkedin.com/pub/theodore-modis/0/222/140/
573:, Campus Verlag-edition MALIK, Frankfurt, July 2018.
529:
An S-Shaped Adventure - "Predictions" 20 Years Later
537:, Growth Dynamics, Geneva, Switzerland, April 1999.
347:
An S-shaped Adventure: "Predictions" 20 Years Later
229:, New York, where he received a master's degree in
162:
137:
119:
96:
82:
68:
44:
25:
1031:
975:
567:, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, July 2013.
487:He has created two applications for iPhone/iPad,
339:Natural Laws in the Service of the Decision Maker
1078:Land, Kenneth C. (1993). "S-Curves Everywhere".
1063:"A fascinating technique for making forecasts".
617:, 69, No 4, 2002 - an essay about the growth of
852:Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change
773:The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures
611:Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change
1113:Church, Vernon. "A New Kind of Crystal Ball".
865:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.121457
1005:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
668:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
615:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
561:, Growth Dynamics, Lugano, Switzerland, 2005.
414:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
408:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
295:Technological Forecasting & Social Change
233:and a Ph.D. in High Energy Physics, (sponsor
8:
1003:Linstone, Harold (1992). "Editor-in-chief".
237:). His secondary education was in Greece at
33:
22:
968:
966:
651:
297:since 1991. He is also the founder of
880:– via www.journals.elsevier.com.
1038:. New York: Addison Wesley. pp.
775:(1 ed.). Springer. p. 620.
549:Simon & Schuster, New York, 1992.
424:First in class during High School at
7:
798:Eden, Amnon H. et al (Eds.) (2012).
418:Dean's List during undergraduate at
839:The Limits of Complexity and Change
807:. New York: Springer. p. 311.
1217:List of articles by Theodore Modis
982:. New York: Simon & Schuster.
837:Modis, Theodore (MayâJune 2003). â
14:
727:Modis, Theodore (July 1, 2013).
319:An S-Shaped Trail to Wall Street
281:, the European business schools
259:Brookhaven National Laboratories
1210:List of books by Theodore Modis
841:â. The Futurist. 37 (3): 26-32.
607:Press, Stuttgart, October 2020.
343:Decision-Making for a New World
680:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.02.010
444:, Physicist, Nobel Prize 1984.
253:Modis carried out research in
1:
1265:Swiss people of Greek descent
1260:20th-century Greek physicists
1092:10.1126/science.259.5099.1349
1086:(26 February 1993): 1349â50.
553:Predictions: - 10 Years Later
267:Digital Equipment Corporation
150:Digital Equipment Corporation
1167:– via www.youtube.com.
1017:10.1016/0040-1625(92)90040-Z
465:, Executive Editor of WIRED.
1255:People associated with CERN
331:Predictions: 10 Years Later
1281:
15:
1067:. NovemberâDecember 1992.
850:Modis, Theodore (2002). â
377:has been translated into
361:has been translated into
265:before moving to work at
196:Technological Singularity
172:
112:
107:Technological Singularity
32:
974:Modis, Theodore (1992).
945:Modis, Theodore (2020).
920:Modis, Theodore (2018).
701:Modis, Theodore (1994).
659:Modis, Theodore (2013).
483:iPhone/iPad Applications
16:Not to be confused with
1151:www.growth-dynamics.com
1133:www.growth-dynamics.com
972:From the back cover in
630:Modis is the father of
323:New York Stock Exchange
801:Singularity Hypothesis
375:Conquering Uncertainty
315:Conquering Uncertainty
231:Electrical Engineering
209:He currently lives in
1030:Kelly, Kevin (1994).
1129:"iPhone Application"
523:Partial bibliography
463:Kevin Kelly (editor)
275:University of Geneva
146:University of Geneva
896:growth-dynamics.com
420:Columbia University
271:Columbia University
227:Columbia University
132:business consulting
91:Columbia University
1147:"iPad Application"
1117:(26 October 1992).
634:, the grandson of
442:Simon van der Meer
383:Chinese Short Form
279:Webster University
956:978-3-8382-1447-4
814:978-3-642-32560-1
782:978-3-030-33730-8
559:Bestseller Driven
493:Biorhythm_Science
379:Chinese Long Form
335:Bestseller Driven
191:logistic function
176:
175:
163:Academic advisors
114:Scientific career
105:Criticism of the
1272:
1224:iPad application
1189:
1188:
1175:
1169:
1168:
1161:
1155:
1154:
1143:
1137:
1136:
1125:
1119:
1118:
1110:
1104:
1103:
1075:
1069:
1068:
1060:
1054:
1053:
1037:
1027:
1021:
1020:
1000:
994:
993:
981:
970:
961:
960:
949:. ibidem Press.
942:
936:
935:
924:. ibidem Press.
917:
911:
906:
900:
899:
888:
882:
881:
874:
868:
861:
855:
848:
842:
835:
829:
826:
820:
818:
806:
794:
788:
786:
767:
761:
758:
752:
749:
743:
742:
724:
718:
717:
707:
698:
692:
691:
665:
656:
638:, and nephew of
621:in the universe.
426:Anatolia College
255:particle physics
239:Anatolia College
167:Jack Steinberger
87:Anatolia College
58:
54:
52:
37:
23:
1280:
1279:
1275:
1274:
1273:
1271:
1270:
1269:
1230:
1229:
1203:Growth Dynamics
1198:
1193:
1192:
1177:
1176:
1172:
1163:
1162:
1158:
1145:
1144:
1140:
1127:
1126:
1122:
1112:
1111:
1107:
1077:
1076:
1072:
1062:
1061:
1057:
1050:
1029:
1028:
1024:
1002:
1001:
997:
990:
973:
971:
964:
957:
944:
943:
939:
932:
919:
918:
914:
907:
903:
890:
889:
885:
876:
875:
871:
862:
858:
849:
845:
836:
832:
827:
823:
815:
804:
797:
795:
791:
783:
770:
768:
764:
759:
755:
750:
746:
739:
726:
725:
721:
705:
700:
699:
695:
663:
658:
657:
653:
648:
636:Theodoros Modis
628:
525:
513:2Stocks' Future
509:Stocks' Futures
485:
456:Harold Linstone
437:
403:
307:
299:Growth Dynamics
251:
223:
158:
155:Growth Dynamics
152:
148:
144:
104:
89:
83:Alma mater
64:
59:
56:
55:August 11, 1943
50:
48:
40:
28:
21:
18:Theodoros Modis
12:
11:
5:
1278:
1276:
1268:
1267:
1262:
1257:
1252:
1247:
1242:
1232:
1231:
1228:
1227:
1220:
1213:
1206:
1197:
1196:External links
1194:
1191:
1190:
1170:
1156:
1138:
1120:
1105:
1070:
1055:
1048:
1034:Out of Control
1022:
1011:(3): 317â319.
995:
988:
962:
955:
937:
931:978-3838211978
930:
912:
901:
883:
869:
856:
843:
830:
821:
813:
789:
781:
762:
753:
744:
738:978-2970021681
737:
719:
693:
650:
649:
647:
644:
640:Georgios Modis
627:
624:
623:
622:
608:
594:
574:
568:
562:
556:
550:
544:
538:
532:
524:
521:
484:
481:
480:
479:
476:
469:
466:
459:
452:
445:
436:
430:
429:
428:
422:
416:
410:
402:
399:
321:(treating the
306:
303:
250:
247:
235:J. Steinberger
222:
219:
179:Theodore Modis
174:
173:
170:
169:
164:
160:
159:
139:
135:
134:
121:
117:
116:
110:
109:
98:
97:Known for
94:
93:
84:
80:
79:
70:
66:
65:
60:
46:
42:
41:
38:
30:
29:
27:Theodore Modis
26:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
1277:
1266:
1263:
1261:
1258:
1256:
1253:
1251:
1250:Futurologists
1248:
1246:
1245:Living people
1243:
1241:
1238:
1237:
1235:
1226:
1225:
1221:
1219:
1218:
1214:
1212:
1211:
1207:
1205:
1204:
1200:
1199:
1195:
1186:
1185:
1180:
1174:
1171:
1166:
1160:
1157:
1152:
1148:
1142:
1139:
1134:
1130:
1124:
1121:
1116:
1109:
1106:
1101:
1097:
1093:
1089:
1085:
1081:
1074:
1071:
1066:
1059:
1056:
1051:
1049:0-201-48340-8
1045:
1041:
1036:
1035:
1026:
1023:
1018:
1014:
1010:
1006:
999:
996:
991:
989:0-671-75917-5
985:
980:
979:
969:
967:
963:
958:
952:
948:
941:
938:
933:
927:
923:
916:
913:
910:
905:
902:
897:
893:
887:
884:
879:
873:
870:
866:
860:
857:
853:
847:
844:
840:
834:
831:
825:
822:
816:
810:
803:
802:
793:
790:
784:
778:
774:
766:
763:
757:
754:
748:
745:
740:
734:
730:
723:
720:
715:
711:
704:
697:
694:
689:
685:
681:
677:
673:
669:
662:
655:
652:
645:
643:
641:
637:
633:
626:Personal life
625:
620:
616:
612:
609:
606:
605:
600:
599:
595:
592:
591:
586:
585:
580:
579:
575:
572:
569:
566:
563:
560:
557:
554:
551:
548:
545:
542:
539:
536:
533:
530:
527:
526:
522:
520:
518:
514:
510:
506:
502:
498:
494:
490:
482:
477:
474:
470:
467:
464:
460:
457:
453:
450:
446:
443:
439:
438:
435:
431:
427:
423:
421:
417:
415:
411:
409:
405:
404:
400:
398:
396:
392:
388:
385:, Greek, and
384:
380:
376:
372:
368:
364:
360:
356:
352:
348:
344:
340:
336:
332:
328:
324:
320:
316:
312:
304:
302:
300:
296:
292:
288:
284:
280:
276:
272:
268:
264:
260:
256:
248:
246:
244:
240:
236:
232:
228:
220:
218:
216:
212:
207:
205:
201:
197:
192:
188:
184:
180:
171:
168:
165:
161:
157:
156:
151:
147:
143:
140:
136:
133:
129:
125:
122:
118:
115:
111:
108:
103:
100:Expertise in
99:
95:
92:
88:
85:
81:
78:
74:
71:
67:
63:
57:(age 81)
47:
43:
39:Modis in 2020
36:
31:
24:
19:
1223:
1216:
1209:
1202:
1182:
1173:
1159:
1150:
1141:
1132:
1123:
1114:
1108:
1083:
1079:
1073:
1065:The Futurist
1064:
1058:
1033:
1025:
1008:
1004:
998:
977:
946:
940:
921:
915:
904:
895:
886:
872:
859:
846:
833:
824:
800:
792:
772:
765:
756:
747:
728:
722:
713:
710:The Futurist
709:
696:
671:
667:
654:
629:
614:
603:
602:
596:
588:
583:
582:
576:
570:
564:
558:
552:
546:
540:
534:
528:
512:
508:
501:2Stock Fcsts
500:
496:
492:
488:
486:
473:Kenneth Land
433:
401:Distinctions
394:
390:
374:
358:
354:
350:
346:
342:
338:
334:
330:
318:
314:
310:
308:
305:Publications
298:
252:
243:Thessaloniki
224:
208:
178:
177:
154:
138:Institutions
113:
1240:1943 births
978:Predictions
819:pp 311-339.
674:(8): 1557.
632:Yorgo Modis
497:Stock Fcsts
489:The S_Curve
449:George Wald
434:Predictions
432:Praise for
359:Predictions
311:Predictions
225:He went to
215:Switzerland
128:forecasting
69:Nationality
1234:Categories
787:pp 101-104
646:References
619:complexity
475:, SCIENCE.
245:, Greece.
204:Complexity
51:1943-08-11
327:ecosystem
291:Monterrey
221:Education
187:physicist
1115:Newsweek
1100:17732257
716:(5): 20.
688:55535180
590:ÎÎÎÎÎÎŁÎÎ
515:for the
503:for the
395:ÎÎÎÎÎÎŁÎÎ
367:Japanese
183:futurist
1184:YouTube
1080:Science
1040:436â437
200:Entropy
124:Physics
102:S-Curve
1098:
1046:
986:
953:
928:
892:"Home"
811:
779:
735:
686:
604:ibidem
584:ibidem
505:iPhone
373:, and
369:, and
363:German
353:, and
325:as an
283:INSEAD
273:, the
249:Career
211:Lugano
120:Fields
62:Greece
805:(PDF)
706:(PDF)
684:S2CID
664:(PDF)
387:Dutch
371:Greek
77:Swiss
73:Greek
1096:PMID
1044:ISBN
984:ISBN
951:ISBN
926:ISBN
809:ISBN
777:ISBN
733:ISBN
517:iPad
511:and
507:and
499:and
491:and
285:and
263:CERN
261:and
202:and
142:CERN
45:Born
1088:doi
1084:259
1013:doi
676:doi
329:),
287:IMD
257:at
241:in
1236::
1181:.
1149:.
1131:.
1094:.
1082:.
1042:.
1009:42
1007:.
965:^
894:.
714:28
712:.
708:.
682:.
672:80
670:.
666:.
642:.
613:,
601:,
581:,
519:.
397:.
389:.
381:,
365:,
349:,
345:,
341:,
337:,
333:,
317:,
313:,
277:,
217:.
213:,
185:,
130:,
126:,
75:,
53:)
1187:.
1153:.
1135:.
1102:.
1090::
1052:.
1019:.
1015::
992:.
959:.
934:.
898:.
867:.
817:.
785:.
741:.
690:.
678::
49:(
20:.
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.
