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Vector autoregression

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148: 32: 8395: 2705: 2275: 8381: 1223: 1918: 8419: 2700:{\displaystyle {\begin{bmatrix}1&B_{0;1,2}\\B_{0;2,1}&1\end{bmatrix}}{\begin{bmatrix}y_{1,t}\\y_{2,t}\end{bmatrix}}={\begin{bmatrix}c_{0;1}\\c_{0;2}\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}B_{1;1,1}&B_{1;1,2}\\B_{1;2,1}&B_{1;2,2}\end{bmatrix}}{\begin{bmatrix}y_{1,t-1}\\y_{2,t-1}\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}\epsilon _{1,t}\\\epsilon _{2,t}\end{bmatrix}},} 8407: 903: 4163: 1687: 5618:. Sims advocated VAR models as providing a theory-free method to estimate economic relationships, thus being an alternative to the "incredible identification restrictions" in structural models. VAR models are also increasingly used in health research for automatic analyses of diary data or sensor data. 4993:
Vector autoregression models often involve the estimation of many parameters. For example, with seven variables and four lags, each matrix of coefficients for a given lag length is 7 by 7, and the vector of constants has 7 elements, so a total of 49×4 + 7 = 203 parameters are estimated, substantially
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From an economic point of view, if the joint dynamics of a set of variables can be represented by a VAR model, then the structural form is a depiction of the underlying, "structural", economic relationships. Two features of the structural form make it the preferred candidate to represent the
2834: 3584: 1218:{\displaystyle {\begin{bmatrix}y_{1,t}\\y_{2,t}\end{bmatrix}}={\begin{bmatrix}c_{1}\\c_{2}\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}a_{1,1}&a_{1,2}\\a_{2,1}&a_{2,2}\end{bmatrix}}{\begin{bmatrix}y_{1,t-1}\\y_{2,t-1}\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}e_{1,t}\\e_{2,t}\end{bmatrix}},} 3758: 4724: 4601: 4983: 4427: 3300:, which implies zero correlation between error terms as a desired property. This is helpful for separating out the effects of economically unrelated influences in the VAR. For instance, there is no reason why an oil price shock (as an example of a 3198: 2119: 1913:{\displaystyle {\begin{bmatrix}y_{t}\\y_{t-1}\end{bmatrix}}={\begin{bmatrix}c\\0\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}A_{1}&A_{2}\\I&0\end{bmatrix}}{\begin{bmatrix}y_{t-1}\\y_{t-2}\end{bmatrix}}+{\begin{bmatrix}e_{t}\\0\end{bmatrix}},} 4859: 466: 294:, which refers to the number of earlier time periods the model will use. Continuing the above example, a 5th-order VAR would model each year's wheat price as a linear combination of the last five years of wheat prices. A 3909: 3973: 1537: 1385: 2264: 2716: 3350: 5437: 2974: 2903: 3595: 654: 1674: 4998:
of the regression (the number of data points minus the number of parameters to be estimated). This can hurt the accuracy of the parameter estimates and hence of the forecasts given by the model.
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van der Krieke; et al. (2016). "Temporal Dynamics of Health and Well-Being: A Crowdsourcing Approach to Momentary Assessments and Automated Generation of Personalized Feedback (2016)".
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lags can always be equivalently rewritten as a VAR with only one lag by appropriately redefining the dependent variable. The transformation amounts to stacking the lags of the VAR(
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infinitely far forward in time, although the effect will become smaller and smaller over time assuming that the AR process is stable — that is, that all the
9518: 9474: 8171: 7795: 4743: 6436: 5130:-th element of the state vector 2 periods later, which is a particular impulse response, first write the above equation of evolution one period lagged: 2209:) satisfy the conditions (1) - (3) in the definition above, with the particularity that all the elements in the off diagonal of the covariance matrix 328: 7569: 5588:, and the quality of the forecasts can be judged, in ways that are completely analogous to the methods used in univariate autoregressive modelling. 8008: 4158:{\displaystyle \Omega =\mathrm {E} (e_{t}e_{t}')=\mathrm {E} (B_{0}^{-1}\epsilon _{t}\epsilon _{t}'(B_{0}^{-1})')=B_{0}^{-1}\Sigma (B_{0}^{-1})'\,} 3775: 1391: 1242: 6036: 5989: 2829:{\displaystyle \Sigma =\mathrm {E} (\epsilon _{t}\epsilon _{t}')={\begin{bmatrix}\sigma _{1}^{2}&0\\0&\sigma _{2}^{2}\end{bmatrix}};} 6431: 6131: 3579:{\displaystyle y_{t}=B_{0}^{-1}c_{0}+B_{0}^{-1}B_{1}y_{t-1}+B_{0}^{-1}B_{2}y_{t-2}+\cdots +B_{0}^{-1}B_{p}y_{t-p}+B_{0}^{-1}\epsilon _{t},} 53: 8457: 7035: 6183: 8423: 5810:"Can the LR test be helpful in choosing the optimal lag order in the VAR model when information criteria suggest different lag orders?" 2212: 6004:
Holtz-Eakin, D., Newey, W., and Rosen, H. S. (1988). Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data. Econometrica, 56(6):1371–1395.
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Like the autoregressive model, each variable has an equation modelling its evolution over time. This equation includes the variable's
5319: 9548: 7818: 7710: 6077: 6055: 199: 75: 2916: 2846: 1546:) observation of each variable depends on its own lagged values as well as on the lagged values of each other variable in the VAR. 3753:{\displaystyle B_{0}^{-1}c_{0}=c,\quad B_{0}^{-1}B_{i}=A_{i}{\text{ for }}i=1,\dots ,p{\text{ and }}B_{0}^{-1}\epsilon _{t}=e_{t}} 7996: 7870: 3273: 95:) is a statistical model used to capture the relationship between multiple quantities as they change over time. VAR is a type of 8054: 7715: 7460: 6831: 6421: 4995: 7045: 8956: 8105: 7317: 7124: 7013: 6971: 5699: 3967:, thus creating contemporaneous movement in all endogenous variables. Consequently, the covariance matrix of the reduced VAR 1575: 6210: 9137: 8926: 8916: 8609: 8348: 7307: 5781: 5639: 4479:
As the explanatory variables are the same in each equation, the multivariate least squares estimator is equivalent to the
7357: 4182: 891: 871: 601: 9076: 9049: 7899: 7848: 7833: 7823: 7692: 7564: 7531: 7312: 7142: 5219: 4493: 131: 127: 7968: 7269: 160: 9543: 9503: 9484: 9061: 8906: 8872: 8857: 8836: 8831: 8243: 8044: 7023: 6692: 6156: 6089: 5814: 4457: 1566:) variable in the new VAR(1) dependent variable and appending identities to complete the precise number of equations. 8128: 8095: 676: 170: 164: 156: 134:. The only prior knowledge required is a list of variables which can be hypothesized to affect each other over time. 46: 40: 9478: 9054: 8744: 8734: 8100: 7843: 7602: 7508: 7488: 7396: 7107: 6925: 6408: 6280: 825: 223: 7274: 7040: 6898: 8624: 7860: 7628: 7349: 7203: 7132: 7052: 6910: 6891: 6599: 6320: 5714: 7973: 4719:{\displaystyle {\hat {\Sigma }}={\frac {1}{T-kp-1}}\sum _{t=1}^{T}{\hat {\epsilon }}_{t}{\hat {\epsilon }}_{t}'} 259:) The vector is modelled as a linear function of its previous value. The vector's components are referred to as 181: 57: 9508: 9454: 9197: 9152: 8991: 8862: 8739: 8343: 8110: 7658: 7623: 7587: 7372: 6814: 6723: 6682: 6594: 6285: 6124: 5704: 5627: 5136: 4239: 3297: 668: 9212: 7380: 7364: 1936:
The equivalent VAR(1) form is more convenient for analytical derivations and allows more compact statements.
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includes functions for VAR models. Other R packages are listed in the CRAN Task View: Time Series Analysis.
5017: 4596:{\displaystyle {\hat {\Sigma }}={\frac {1}{T}}\sum _{t=1}^{T}{\hat {\epsilon }}_{t}{\hat {\epsilon }}_{t}'} 9332: 9177: 9037: 8980: 8936: 8899: 8649: 8589: 8564: 8534: 8519: 8290: 8220: 7705: 7592: 6589: 6486: 6393: 6272: 6171: 5900: 5723: 5547: 4480: 3277: 796: 9147: 8411: 7289: 4978:{\displaystyle {\widehat {\mbox{Cov}}}({\mbox{Vec}}({\hat {B}}))=({ZZ'})^{-1}\otimes {\hat {\Sigma }}.\,} 3304:) should be related to a shift in consumers' preferences towards a style of clothing (as an example of a 280:
th variable. For example, if the first variable in the model measures the price of wheat over time, then
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Asteriou, Dimitrios; Hall, Stephen G. (2011). "Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Models and Causality Tests".
5611: 3193:{\displaystyle y_{1,t}=c_{0;1}-B_{0;1,2}y_{2,t}+B_{1;1,1}y_{1,t-1}+B_{1;1,2}y_{2,t-1}+\epsilon _{1,t}\,} 8394: 7284: 3296:. The structural, economic shocks which drive the dynamics of the economic variables are assumed to be 9513: 9217: 8961: 8931: 8884: 8847: 8773: 8724: 8689: 8629: 8594: 8529: 8238: 7813: 7762: 7738: 7700: 7618: 7597: 7549: 7428: 7406: 7375: 7161: 7112: 7030: 7003: 6959: 6915: 6677: 6453: 6333: 5579: 5575: 4422:{\displaystyle \operatorname {Vec} ({\hat {B}})=((ZZ')^{-1}Z\otimes I_{k})\ \operatorname {Vec} (Y),} 770: 256: 100: 20: 5905: 9443: 9252: 9112: 9071: 8971: 8951: 8911: 8867: 8852: 8808: 8749: 8674: 8664: 8634: 8557: 8385: 8310: 8233: 7914: 7678: 7671: 7633: 7541: 7521: 7493: 7226: 7092: 7087: 7077: 7069: 6887: 6848: 6738: 6728: 6637: 6416: 6372: 6290: 6215: 6117: 6065: 5886: 5596: 7960: 5966: 9498: 9469: 9427: 9232: 8941: 8921: 8889: 8803: 8798: 8778: 8729: 8669: 8659: 8604: 8599: 8443: 8399: 8210: 8064: 7909: 7785: 7682: 7666: 7643: 7420: 7154: 7137: 7097: 7008: 6903: 6865: 6836: 6796: 6756: 6702: 6619: 6305: 6300: 5918: 5809: 4472: 4168:
can have non-zero off-diagonal elements, thus allowing non-zero correlation between error terms.
746: 96: 5776: 5745: 9362: 9337: 9287: 9247: 9127: 9015: 8818: 8754: 8719: 8709: 8579: 8305: 8275: 8267: 8087: 8078: 8003: 7934: 7790: 7775: 7750: 7638: 7579: 7445: 7433: 7059: 6976: 6920: 6843: 6687: 6609: 6388: 6262: 6073: 6051: 6032: 5985: 5949: 5833: 5709: 4453: 4435: 4191: 2114:{\displaystyle B_{0}y_{t}=c_{0}+B_{1}y_{t-1}+B_{2}y_{t-2}+\cdots +B_{p}y_{t-p}+\epsilon _{t},} 834: 657: 5449: 9412: 9357: 9342: 9327: 9312: 9292: 9242: 9222: 9202: 9157: 8764: 8714: 8684: 8679: 8569: 8507: 8330: 8285: 8049: 8036: 7929: 7904: 7838: 7770: 7648: 7256: 7149: 7082: 6995: 6942: 6761: 6632: 6426: 6225: 6192: 6098: 5941: 5910: 5865: 5790: 5757: 5517: 126:. VAR models do not require as much knowledge about the forces influencing a variable as do 5486: 9523: 9417: 9382: 9347: 9282: 9207: 9192: 9086: 9042: 8879: 8813: 8788: 8783: 8759: 8502: 8487: 8247: 7991: 7853: 7780: 7455: 7329: 7302: 7279: 7248: 6875: 6870: 6824: 6554: 6205: 3235: 2987: 1930: 777:
All the variables are I(0) (stationary): this is in the standard case, i.e. a VAR in level
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has advocated VAR models, criticizing the claims and performance of earlier modeling in
4496:(MLE) of the covariance matrix differs from the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator. 3321:. This is a desirable feature especially when using low frequency data. For example, an 3284:
parameter estimates. This problem can be overcome by rewriting the VAR in reduced form.
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Statistical model to calculate the value of multiple quantities as they change over time
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the day the decision is announced, but one could find an effect in that quarter's data.
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Note that in the reduced form all right hand side variables are predetermined at time
806:: first, the variables have to be differenced d times and one has a VAR in difference. 795:: the error correction term has to be included in the VAR. The model becomes a Vector 9537: 9402: 9392: 9367: 9307: 9302: 9297: 9277: 9267: 9237: 9227: 9132: 9032: 9005: 8769: 8353: 8320: 8183: 8144: 7955: 7924: 7388: 7342: 6947: 6649: 6476: 6240: 6235: 6102: 5600: 2176: 803: 792: 6506: 5011:
Consider the first-order case (i.e., with only one lag), with equation of evolution
4854:{\displaystyle {\hat {\Sigma }}={\frac {1}{T-kp-1}}(Y-{\hat {B}}Z)(Y-{\hat {B}}Z)'.} 3929:
However, the error terms in the reduced VAR are composites of the structural shocks
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A VAR(1) in two variables can be written in matrix form (more compact notation) as
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Hyndman, Rob J; Athanasopoulos, George (2018). "11.2: Vector Autoregressions".
461:{\displaystyle y_{t}=c+A_{1}y_{t-1}+A_{2}y_{t-2}+\cdots +A_{p}y_{t-p}+e_{t},\,} 9317: 9117: 8894: 7184: 6664: 6364: 6295: 6245: 6220: 6140: 5967:
Bernhard Pfaff VAR, SVAR and SVEC Models: Implementation Within R Package vars
5794: 5746:"Multivariate tests for autocorrelation in the stable and unstable VAR models" 5718: 5607: 5555: 2910: 822: 122:(past) values, the lagged values of the other variables in the model, and an 9167: 9097: 8544: 8474: 8466: 7337: 7189: 6809: 6604: 6516: 6501: 6496: 6461: 4468: 4464: 3904:{\displaystyle y_{t}=c+A_{1}y_{t-1}+A_{2}y_{t-2}+\cdots +A_{p}y_{t-p}+e_{t}} 3308:); therefore one would expect these factors to be statistically independent. 3281: 758: 108: 5953: 5606:. He recommended VAR models, which had previously appeared in time series 1532:{\displaystyle y_{2,t}=c_{2}+a_{2,1}y_{1,t-1}+a_{2,2}y_{2,t-1}+e_{2,t}.\,} 8946: 6853: 6471: 6348: 6343: 6338: 6310: 2840: 1380:{\displaystyle y_{1,t}=c_{1}+a_{1,1}y_{1,t-1}+a_{1,2}y_{2,t-1}+e_{1,t}\,} 1236:
equal to 1), or, equivalently, as the following system of two equations
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is the value of a variable in a previous time period. So in general a
8280: 7261: 7235: 7215: 6466: 6257: 6031:(Third ed.). New York: John Wiley & Sons. pp. 272–355. 5677: 5665: 5914: 5313:
then repeat using the twice lagged equation of evolution, to obtain
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can potentially lead to the occurrence of shocks in all error terms
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th-order VAR refers to a VAR model which includes lags for the last
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For multivariate tests for autocorrelation in the VAR models, see
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Autoregressive model § Evaluating the quality of forecasts
5432:{\displaystyle y_{t}=A^{3}y_{t-3}+A^{2}e_{t-2}+Ae_{t-1}+e_{t}.} 3922:
endogenous variables on the right hand side, no variable has a
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Each variable in the model has one equation. The current (time
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process that any shock will have an effect on the elements of
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model. VAR models generalize the single-variable (univariate)
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The covariance matrix of the parameters can be estimated as
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package's tsa (time series analysis) module supports VARs.
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Starting from the concise matrix notation (for details see
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are zero. That is, the structural shocks are uncorrelated.
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Use this in the original equation of evolution to obtain
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By premultiplying the structural VAR with the inverse of
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contemporaneous effect on other variables in the model.
6050:. New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 162–213. 1669:{\displaystyle y_{t}=c+A_{1}y_{t-1}+A_{2}y_{t-2}+e_{t}} 761:
is dependent on correctness of the selected lag order.
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matrix appears because this example has a maximum lag
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terms. The error terms must satisfy three conditions:
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Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH)
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Autoregressive model § n-step-ahead forecasting
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in the VAR model requires special attention because
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would indicate the price of wheat in the year 1998.
251:(Equivalently, this vector might be described as a ( 9453: 9095: 8829: 8578: 8543: 8473: 8329: 8266: 8219: 8182: 8137: 8119: 8086: 8077: 8035: 7982: 7943: 7892: 7883: 7804: 7761: 7691: 7657: 7611: 7578: 7540: 7507: 7419: 7328: 7247: 7202: 7170: 7123: 7068: 6994: 6985: 6795: 6737: 6711: 6663: 6618: 6565: 6452: 6407: 6381: 6363: 6319: 6271: 6191: 6182: 6087:Qin, Duo (2011). "Rise of VAR Modelling Approach". 649:{\displaystyle \mathrm {E} (e_{t}e_{t}')=\Omega \,} 5536: 5502: 5471: 5431: 5303:{\displaystyle y_{t}=A^{2}y_{t-2}+Ae_{t-1}+e_{t};} 5302: 5202: 5114: 5094: 5071: 4977: 4853: 4718: 4595: 4444: 4421: 4301: 4216: 4157: 3903: 3752: 3578: 3227:is not zero. This is different from the case when 3192: 2979:Writing the first equation explicitly and passing 2968: 2897: 2828: 2699: 2269:For example, a two variable structural VAR(1) is: 2258: 2113: 1912: 1668: 1531: 1379: 1217: 859: 817:One can stack the vectors in order to write a VAR( 729: 648: 584: 460: 6070:New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis 4488:Estimation of the covariance matrix of the errors 217:A VAR model describes the evolution of a set of 169:but its sources remain unclear because it lacks 7570:Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) 5857:Journal of the American Statistical Association 4865:Estimation of the estimator's covariance matrix 3953:. Thus, the occurrence of one structural shock 769:Note that all variables have to be of the same 730:{\displaystyle \mathrm {E} (e_{t}e_{t-k}')=0\,} 4483:estimator applied to each equation separately. 228:, over time. Each period of time is numbered, 8451: 6125: 5126:-th element of the vector of shocks upon the 4471:. It is furthermore equal to the conditional 3280:estimation of the structural VAR would yield 799:(VECM) which can be seen as a restricted VAR. 8: 5122:of shocks. To find, say, the effect of the 8458: 8444: 8436: 8179: 8166: 8083: 7889: 7758: 7733: 7504: 7480: 7208: 6991: 6792: 6779: 6562: 6549: 6188: 6179: 6166: 6132: 6118: 6110: 5840:. Princeton University Press. p. 293. 485:time periods earlier and are called the "i 5904: 5525: 5519: 5494: 5488: 5457: 5451: 5420: 5401: 5379: 5369: 5350: 5340: 5327: 5321: 5291: 5272: 5250: 5240: 5227: 5221: 5203:{\displaystyle y_{t-1}=Ay_{t-2}+e_{t-1}.} 5185: 5166: 5144: 5138: 5107: 5087: 5060: 5041: 5025: 5019: 4974: 4960: 4959: 4947: 4930: 4907: 4906: 4896: 4880: 4879: 4877: 4826: 4825: 4799: 4798: 4762: 4748: 4747: 4745: 4707: 4696: 4695: 4688: 4677: 4676: 4669: 4658: 4627: 4613: 4612: 4610: 4584: 4573: 4572: 4565: 4554: 4553: 4546: 4535: 4521: 4507: 4506: 4504: 4437: 4389: 4370: 4332: 4331: 4320: 4302:{\displaystyle {\hat {B}}=YZ'(ZZ')^{-1}.} 4287: 4244: 4243: 4241: 4213: 4193: 4154: 4137: 4132: 4113: 4108: 4081: 4076: 4060: 4050: 4037: 4032: 4020: 4005: 3995: 3983: 3975: 3895: 3876: 3866: 3841: 3831: 3812: 3802: 3783: 3777: 3744: 3731: 3718: 3713: 3704: 3678: 3672: 3659: 3646: 3641: 3621: 3608: 3603: 3597: 3567: 3554: 3549: 3530: 3520: 3507: 3502: 3477: 3467: 3454: 3449: 3430: 3420: 3407: 3402: 3389: 3376: 3371: 3358: 3352: 3189: 3177: 3152: 3130: 3105: 3083: 3064: 3042: 3023: 3004: 2998: 2951: 2938: 2920: 2918: 2889: 2884: 2868: 2850: 2848: 2809: 2804: 2780: 2775: 2763: 2748: 2738: 2726: 2718: 2674: 2654: 2642: 2613: 2587: 2575: 2549: 2525: 2499: 2475: 2463: 2440: 2420: 2408: 2385: 2365: 2353: 2322: 2296: 2279: 2277: 2238: 2228: 2216: 2214: 2102: 2083: 2073: 2048: 2038: 2019: 2009: 1996: 1983: 1973: 1967: 1886: 1874: 1851: 1831: 1819: 1793: 1781: 1769: 1740: 1717: 1703: 1691: 1689: 1660: 1641: 1631: 1612: 1602: 1583: 1577: 1528: 1513: 1488: 1472: 1447: 1431: 1418: 1399: 1393: 1376: 1364: 1339: 1323: 1298: 1282: 1269: 1250: 1244: 1192: 1172: 1160: 1131: 1105: 1093: 1073: 1055: 1035: 1017: 1005: 988: 974: 962: 939: 919: 907: 905: 856: 836: 726: 702: 692: 680: 678: 645: 627: 617: 605: 603: 581: 566: 554: 552: 457: 448: 429: 419: 394: 384: 365: 355: 336: 330: 200:Learn how and when to remove this message 76:Learn how and when to remove this message 5570:Forecasting using an estimated VAR model 753:The process of choosing the maximum lag 745:across time. In particular, there is no 39:This article includes a list of general 5735: 5650:has support for VARs and Bayesian VARs. 5584:An estimated VAR model can be used for 4232:(MLS) approach for estimating B yields: 4177:Estimation of the regression parameters 585:{\displaystyle \mathrm {E} (e_{t})=0\,} 8096:Kaplan–Meier estimator (product limit) 5889:(1980). "Macroeconomics and Reality". 5881: 5879: 4312:This can be written alternatively as: 3259:and subsequent future values, but not 290:VAR models are characterized by their 5072:{\displaystyle y_{t}=Ay_{t-1}+e_{t},} 3213:can have a contemporaneous effect on 2843:of the structural shocks are denoted 765:Order of integration of the variables 7: 8406: 8106:Accelerated failure time (AFT) model 5981:Forecasting: Principles and Practice 5808:Hatemi-J, A.; Hacker, R. S. (2009). 5775:Hacker, R. S.; Hatemi-J, A. (2008). 2135: Ă— 1 vector of constants, 773:. The following cases are distinct: 504:-vector of constants serving as the 314:)" and sometimes called "a VAR with 8418: 7701:Analysis of variance (ANOVA, anova) 892:General matrix notation of a VAR(p) 236:. The variables are collected in a 7796:Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel statistics 6422:Pearson product-moment correlation 5684:Regression analysis of time series 4962: 4750: 4737:In a matrix notation, this gives: 4615: 4509: 4122: 4021: 3984: 3977: 2927: 2924: 2921: 2857: 2854: 2851: 2727: 2720: 2253: 2217: 1679:can be recast as the VAR(1) model 828:, with a concise matrix notation: 681: 642: 606: 555: 272:, meaning the observation at time 45:it lacks sufficient corresponding 14: 5002:Interpretation of estimated model 4864: 870:Details of the matrices are in a 322:th-order VAR model is written as 8981:neoclassical–Keynesian synthesis 8417: 8405: 8393: 8380: 8379: 6103:10.1111/j.1467-6419.2010.00637.x 5717:, an extension of VAR models to 3274:parameter identification problem 2186:matrix (the coefficients on the 146: 30: 8055:Least-squares spectral analysis 6029:Applied Econometric Time Series 3636: 3325:rate increase would not affect 882:For a general example of a VAR( 481:indicate that variable's value 107:. VAR models are often used in 7036:Mean-unbiased minimum-variance 5870:10.1080/01621459.1962.10480664 5700:Bayesian vector autoregression 4965: 4944: 4927: 4921: 4918: 4912: 4903: 4893: 4841: 4831: 4816: 4813: 4804: 4789: 4753: 4701: 4682: 4618: 4578: 4559: 4512: 4413: 4407: 4395: 4367: 4352: 4349: 4343: 4337: 4328: 4284: 4269: 4249: 4147: 4125: 4098: 4091: 4069: 4025: 4014: 3988: 3294:Error terms are not correlated 2957: 2931: 2874: 2861: 2757: 2731: 2247: 2221: 1569:For example, the VAR(2) model 717: 685: 636: 610: 572: 559: 1: 8917:Critique of political economy 8349:Geographic information system 7565:Simultaneous equations models 5782:Journal of Applied Statistics 5762:10.1016/j.econmod.2003.09.005 5614:, a statistical specialty in 5442:From this, the effect of the 5082:for evolving (state) vector 4726:for a model with a constant, 4492:As in the standard case, the 310:th-order VAR is denoted "VAR( 103:by allowing for multivariate 19:For other uses of "Var", see 7532:Coefficient of determination 7143:Uniformly most powerful test 5984:. OTexts. pp. 333–335. 5946:10.1097/PSY.0000000000000378 4494:maximum likelihood estimator 4473:maximum likelihood estimator 669:positive-semidefinite matrix 8101:Proportional hazards models 8045:Spectral density estimation 8027:Vector autoregression (VAR) 7461:Maximum posterior estimator 6693:Randomized controlled trial 6090:Journal of Economic Surveys 5715:Panel vector autoregression 2194:equation) are scaled to 1. 1940:Structural vs. reduced form 9565: 9055:Real business-cycle theory 7861:Multivariate distributions 6281:Average absolute deviation 5573: 4230:multivariate least squares 1952:structural VAR with p lags 826:matrix difference equation 749:in individual error terms. 471:The variables of the form 18: 9495: 8375: 8178: 8165: 7849:Structural equation model 7757: 7732: 7503: 7479: 7211: 7185:Score/Lagrange multiplier 6791: 6778: 6600:Sample size determination 6561: 6548: 6178: 6165: 6147: 6048:Applied Macroeconometrics 6046:Favero, Carlo A. (2001). 5795:10.1080/02664760801920473 5546:It can be seen from this 4460:of the indicated matrix. 2171: Ă— 1 vector of 592:. Every error term has a 9549:Multivariate time series 8344:Environmental statistics 7866:Elliptical distributions 7659:Generalized linear model 7588:Simple linear regression 7358:Hodges–Lehmann estimator 6815:Probability distribution 6724:Stochastic approximation 6286:Coefficient of variation 5705:Convergent cross mapping 4469:asymptotically efficient 4445:{\displaystyle \otimes } 4217:{\displaystyle Y=BZ+U\,} 1228:(in which only a single 860:{\displaystyle Y=BZ+U\,} 784:) (non-stationary) with 780:All the variables are I( 155:This section includes a 8695:Industrial organization 8525:Computational economics 8004:Cross-correlation (XCF) 7612:Non-standard predictors 7046:Lehmann–ScheffĂ© theorem 6719:Adaptive clinical trial 6027:Enders, Walter (2010). 5472:{\displaystyle e_{t-2}} 3918:. As there are no time 1955:(sometimes abbreviated 813:Concise matrix notation 184:more precise citations. 60:more precise citations. 8900:Modern monetary theory 8565:Experimental economics 8535:Pluralism in economics 8520:Mathematical economics 8400:Mathematics portal 8221:Engineering statistics 8129:Nelson–Aalen estimator 7706:Analysis of covariance 7593:Ordinary least squares 7517:Pearson product-moment 6921:Statistical functional 6832:Empirical distribution 6665:Controlled experiments 6394:Frequency distribution 6172:Descriptive statistics 5938:Psychosomatic Medicine 5724:Variance decomposition 5538: 5537:{\displaystyle A^{2}.} 5514:element of the matrix 5504: 5473: 5433: 5304: 5204: 5116: 5096: 5073: 4979: 4855: 4720: 4674: 4597: 4551: 4481:ordinary least squares 4446: 4423: 4303: 4218: 4159: 3905: 3754: 3580: 3317:contemporaneous impact 3288:underlying relations: 3278:ordinary least squares 3194: 2970: 2899: 2830: 2701: 2260: 2115: 1914: 1670: 1533: 1381: 1219: 861: 802:The variables are not 797:error correction model 731: 656:. The contemporaneous 650: 586: 462: 132:simultaneous equations 8316:Population statistics 8258:System identification 7992:Autocorrelation (ACF) 7920:Exponential smoothing 7834:Discriminant analysis 7829:Canonical correlation 7693:Partition of variance 7555:Regression validation 7399:(Jonckheere–Terpstra) 7298:Likelihood-ratio test 6987:Frequentist inference 6899:Location–scale family 6820:Sampling distribution 6785:Statistical inference 6752:Cross-sectional study 6739:Observational studies 6698:Randomized experiment 6527:Stem-and-leaf display 6329:Central limit theorem 5744:Hatemi-J, A. (2004). 5612:system identification 5539: 5505: 5503:{\displaystyle y_{t}} 5474: 5434: 5305: 5205: 5117: 5097: 5074: 4980: 4856: 4721: 4654: 4598: 4531: 4447: 4424: 4304: 4219: 4160: 3906: 3755: 3581: 3315:Variables can have a 3195: 2971: 2900: 2831: 2702: 2261: 2116: 1915: 1671: 1534: 1382: 1220: 862: 732: 651: 587: 463: 247:, which is of length 89:Vector autoregression 8774:Social choice theory 8530:Behavioral economics 8239:Probabilistic design 7824:Principal components 7667:Exponential families 7619:Nonlinear regression 7598:General linear model 7560:Mixed effects models 7550:Errors and residuals 7527:Confounding variable 7429:Bayesian probability 7407:Van der Waerden test 7397:Ordered alternative 7162:Multiple comparisons 7041:Rao–Blackwellization 7004:Estimating equations 6960:Statistical distance 6678:Factorial experiment 6211:Arithmetic-Geometric 6072:. Berlin: Springer. 6020:Applied Econometrics 5838:Time Series Analysis 5518: 5487: 5450: 5320: 5220: 5137: 5106: 5086: 5018: 4876: 4744: 4609: 4503: 4436: 4319: 4240: 4192: 3974: 3776: 3768:th order reduced VAR 3596: 3351: 3248:can impact directly 2997: 2917: 2847: 2717: 2276: 2213: 1966: 1688: 1576: 1392: 1243: 904: 835: 771:order of integration 677: 660:of error terms is a 602: 551: 329: 101:autoregressive model 21:Var (disambiguation) 8858:American (National) 8558:Economic statistics 8311:Official statistics 8234:Methods engineering 7915:Seasonal adjustment 7683:Poisson regressions 7603:Bayesian regression 7542:Regression analysis 7522:Partial correlation 7494:Regression analysis 7093:Prediction interval 7088:Likelihood interval 7078:Confidence interval 7070:Interval estimation 7031:Unbiased estimators 6849:Model specification 6729:Up-and-down designs 6417:Partial correlation 6373:Index of dispersion 6291:Interquartile range 5562:are less than 1 in 4715: 4592: 4145: 4121: 4089: 4068: 4045: 4013: 3726: 3654: 3616: 3562: 3515: 3462: 3415: 3384: 2894: 2814: 2785: 2756: 2246: 788: > 0: 716: 635: 9544:Time series models 8331:Spatial statistics 8211:Medical statistics 8111:First hitting time 8065:Whittle likelihood 7716:Degrees of freedom 7711:Multivariate ANOVA 7644:Heteroscedasticity 7456:Bayesian estimator 7421:Bayesian inference 7270:Kolmogorov–Smirnov 7155:Randomization test 7125:Testing hypotheses 7098:Tolerance interval 7009:Maximum likelihood 6904:Exponential family 6837:Density estimation 6797:Statistical theory 6757:Natural experiment 6703:Scientific control 6620:Survey methodology 6306:Standard deviation 5834:Hamilton, James D. 5750:Economic Modelling 5534: 5500: 5469: 5429: 5300: 5200: 5112: 5092: 5069: 4996:degrees of freedom 4989:Degrees of freedom 4975: 4901: 4886: 4851: 4716: 4694: 4593: 4571: 4463:This estimator is 4442: 4419: 4299: 4214: 4155: 4128: 4104: 4072: 4056: 4028: 4001: 3901: 3750: 3709: 3637: 3599: 3576: 3545: 3498: 3445: 3398: 3367: 3319:on other variables 3190: 2966: 2895: 2880: 2826: 2817: 2800: 2771: 2744: 2697: 2688: 2633: 2569: 2454: 2399: 2347: 2256: 2234: 2150:matrix (for every 2111: 1910: 1901: 1865: 1813: 1760: 1731: 1666: 1529: 1377: 1215: 1206: 1151: 1087: 996: 953: 857: 791:The variables are 747:serial correlation 727: 698: 646: 623: 582: 458: 221:variables, called 157:list of references 97:stochastic process 9531: 9530: 9062:New institutional 8433: 8432: 8371: 8370: 8367: 8366: 8306:National accounts 8276:Actuarial science 8268:Social statistics 8161: 8160: 8157: 8156: 8153: 8152: 8088:Survival function 8073: 8072: 7935:Granger causality 7776:Contingency table 7751:Survival analysis 7728: 7727: 7724: 7723: 7580:Linear regression 7475: 7474: 7471: 7470: 7446:Credible interval 7415: 7414: 7198: 7197: 7014:Method of moments 6883:Parametric family 6844:Statistical model 6774: 6773: 6770: 6769: 6688:Random assignment 6610:Statistical power 6544: 6543: 6540: 6539: 6389:Contingency table 6359: 6358: 6226:Generalized/power 6066:LĂŒtkepohl, Helmut 6038:978-0-470-50539-7 5991:978-0-9875071-1-2 5887:Sims, Christopher 5815:Applied Economics 5710:Granger causality 5483:-th component of 5446:-th component of 5115:{\displaystyle e} 5095:{\displaystyle y} 4968: 4915: 4900: 4890: 4885: 4834: 4807: 4787: 4756: 4704: 4685: 4652: 4621: 4581: 4562: 4529: 4515: 4454:Kronecker product 4400: 4340: 4252: 3707: 3681: 2206:structural shocks 2197:The error terms Δ 737:for any non-zero 658:covariance matrix 210: 209: 202: 128:structural models 86: 85: 78: 9556: 8735:Natural resource 8570:Economic history 8508:Mechanism design 8460: 8453: 8446: 8437: 8421: 8420: 8409: 8408: 8398: 8397: 8383: 8382: 8286:Crime statistics 8180: 8167: 8084: 8050:Fourier analysis 8037:Frequency domain 8017: 7964: 7930:Structural break 7890: 7839:Cluster analysis 7786:Log-linear model 7759: 7734: 7675: 7649:Homoscedasticity 7505: 7481: 7400: 7392: 7384: 7383:(Kruskal–Wallis) 7368: 7353: 7308:Cross validation 7293: 7275:Anderson–Darling 7222: 7209: 7180:Likelihood-ratio 7172:Parametric tests 7150:Permutation test 7133:1- & 2-tails 7024:Minimum distance 6996:Point estimation 6992: 6943:Optimal decision 6894: 6793: 6780: 6762:Quasi-experiment 6712:Adaptive designs 6563: 6550: 6427:Rank correlation 6189: 6180: 6167: 6134: 6127: 6120: 6111: 6106: 6083: 6061: 6042: 6023: 6005: 6002: 5996: 5995: 5975: 5969: 5964: 5958: 5957: 5933: 5927: 5926: 5908: 5883: 5874: 5873: 5864:(298): 348–368. 5848: 5842: 5841: 5830: 5824: 5823: 5805: 5799: 5798: 5772: 5766: 5765: 5740: 5597:Christopher Sims 5543: 5541: 5540: 5535: 5530: 5529: 5509: 5507: 5506: 5501: 5499: 5498: 5478: 5476: 5475: 5470: 5468: 5467: 5438: 5436: 5435: 5430: 5425: 5424: 5412: 5411: 5390: 5389: 5374: 5373: 5361: 5360: 5345: 5344: 5332: 5331: 5309: 5307: 5306: 5301: 5296: 5295: 5283: 5282: 5261: 5260: 5245: 5244: 5232: 5231: 5209: 5207: 5206: 5201: 5196: 5195: 5177: 5176: 5155: 5154: 5121: 5119: 5118: 5113: 5101: 5099: 5098: 5093: 5078: 5076: 5075: 5070: 5065: 5064: 5052: 5051: 5030: 5029: 5007:Impulse response 4984: 4982: 4981: 4976: 4970: 4969: 4961: 4955: 4954: 4942: 4941: 4917: 4916: 4908: 4902: 4898: 4892: 4891: 4883: 4881: 4860: 4858: 4857: 4852: 4847: 4836: 4835: 4827: 4809: 4808: 4800: 4788: 4786: 4763: 4758: 4757: 4749: 4725: 4723: 4722: 4717: 4711: 4706: 4705: 4697: 4693: 4692: 4687: 4686: 4678: 4673: 4668: 4653: 4651: 4628: 4623: 4622: 4614: 4602: 4600: 4599: 4594: 4588: 4583: 4582: 4574: 4570: 4569: 4564: 4563: 4555: 4550: 4545: 4530: 4522: 4517: 4516: 4508: 4451: 4449: 4448: 4443: 4428: 4426: 4425: 4420: 4398: 4394: 4393: 4378: 4377: 4365: 4342: 4341: 4333: 4308: 4306: 4305: 4300: 4295: 4294: 4282: 4268: 4254: 4253: 4245: 4223: 4221: 4220: 4215: 4164: 4162: 4161: 4156: 4153: 4144: 4136: 4120: 4112: 4097: 4088: 4080: 4064: 4055: 4054: 4044: 4036: 4024: 4009: 4000: 3999: 3987: 3910: 3908: 3907: 3902: 3900: 3899: 3887: 3886: 3871: 3870: 3852: 3851: 3836: 3835: 3823: 3822: 3807: 3806: 3788: 3787: 3763:one obtains the 3759: 3757: 3756: 3751: 3749: 3748: 3736: 3735: 3725: 3717: 3708: 3705: 3682: 3679: 3677: 3676: 3664: 3663: 3653: 3645: 3626: 3625: 3615: 3607: 3585: 3583: 3582: 3577: 3572: 3571: 3561: 3553: 3541: 3540: 3525: 3524: 3514: 3506: 3488: 3487: 3472: 3471: 3461: 3453: 3441: 3440: 3425: 3424: 3414: 3406: 3394: 3393: 3383: 3375: 3363: 3362: 3334:Reduced-form VAR 3199: 3197: 3196: 3191: 3188: 3187: 3169: 3168: 3147: 3146: 3122: 3121: 3100: 3099: 3075: 3074: 3059: 3058: 3034: 3033: 3015: 3014: 2975: 2973: 2972: 2967: 2956: 2955: 2943: 2942: 2930: 2909:= 1, 2) and the 2904: 2902: 2901: 2896: 2893: 2888: 2873: 2872: 2860: 2835: 2833: 2832: 2827: 2822: 2821: 2813: 2808: 2784: 2779: 2752: 2743: 2742: 2730: 2706: 2704: 2703: 2698: 2693: 2692: 2685: 2684: 2665: 2664: 2638: 2637: 2630: 2629: 2604: 2603: 2574: 2573: 2566: 2565: 2542: 2541: 2516: 2515: 2492: 2491: 2459: 2458: 2451: 2450: 2431: 2430: 2404: 2403: 2396: 2395: 2376: 2375: 2352: 2351: 2339: 2338: 2313: 2312: 2265: 2263: 2262: 2257: 2242: 2233: 2232: 2220: 2190:variable in the 2120: 2118: 2117: 2112: 2107: 2106: 2094: 2093: 2078: 2077: 2059: 2058: 2043: 2042: 2030: 2029: 2014: 2013: 2001: 2000: 1988: 1987: 1978: 1977: 1919: 1917: 1916: 1911: 1906: 1905: 1891: 1890: 1870: 1869: 1862: 1861: 1842: 1841: 1818: 1817: 1798: 1797: 1786: 1785: 1765: 1764: 1736: 1735: 1728: 1727: 1708: 1707: 1675: 1673: 1672: 1667: 1665: 1664: 1652: 1651: 1636: 1635: 1623: 1622: 1607: 1606: 1588: 1587: 1538: 1536: 1535: 1530: 1524: 1523: 1505: 1504: 1483: 1482: 1464: 1463: 1442: 1441: 1423: 1422: 1410: 1409: 1386: 1384: 1383: 1378: 1375: 1374: 1356: 1355: 1334: 1333: 1315: 1314: 1293: 1292: 1274: 1273: 1261: 1260: 1224: 1222: 1221: 1216: 1211: 1210: 1203: 1202: 1183: 1182: 1156: 1155: 1148: 1147: 1122: 1121: 1092: 1091: 1084: 1083: 1066: 1065: 1046: 1045: 1028: 1027: 1001: 1000: 993: 992: 979: 978: 958: 957: 950: 949: 930: 929: 866: 864: 863: 858: 736: 734: 733: 728: 712: 697: 696: 684: 655: 653: 652: 647: 631: 622: 621: 609: 591: 589: 588: 583: 571: 570: 558: 467: 465: 464: 459: 453: 452: 440: 439: 424: 423: 405: 404: 389: 388: 376: 375: 360: 359: 341: 340: 306:time periods. A 255: Ă— 1)- 205: 198: 194: 191: 185: 180:this section by 171:inline citations 150: 149: 142: 113:natural sciences 81: 74: 70: 67: 61: 56:this article by 47:inline citations 34: 33: 26: 9564: 9563: 9559: 9558: 9557: 9555: 9554: 9553: 9534: 9533: 9532: 9527: 9524:Business portal 9491: 9490: 9489: 9449: 9213:von Böhm-Bawerk 9101: 9100: 9091: 8863:Ancient thought 8841: 8840: 8834: 8825: 8824: 8823: 8574: 8539: 8503:Contract theory 8488:Decision theory 8469: 8464: 8434: 8429: 8392: 8363: 8325: 8262: 8248:quality control 8215: 8197:Clinical trials 8174: 8149: 8133: 8121:Hazard function 8115: 8069: 8031: 8015: 7978: 7974:Breusch–Godfrey 7962: 7939: 7879: 7854:Factor analysis 7800: 7781:Graphical model 7753: 7720: 7687: 7673: 7653: 7607: 7574: 7536: 7499: 7498: 7467: 7411: 7398: 7390: 7382: 7366: 7351: 7330:Rank statistics 7324: 7303:Model selection 7291: 7249:Goodness of fit 7243: 7220: 7194: 7166: 7119: 7064: 7053:Median unbiased 6981: 6892: 6825:Order statistic 6787: 6766: 6733: 6707: 6659: 6614: 6557: 6555:Data collection 6536: 6448: 6403: 6377: 6355: 6315: 6267: 6184:Continuous data 6174: 6161: 6143: 6138: 6086: 6080: 6064: 6058: 6045: 6039: 6026: 6017: 6014: 6012:Further reading 6009: 6008: 6003: 5999: 5992: 5977: 5976: 5972: 5965: 5961: 5935: 5934: 5930: 5915:10.2307/1912017 5906:10.1.1.163.5425 5885: 5884: 5877: 5852:Zellner, Arnold 5850: 5849: 5845: 5832: 5831: 5827: 5822:(9): 1489–1500. 5807: 5806: 5802: 5774: 5773: 5769: 5743: 5741: 5737: 5732: 5696: 5624: 5594: 5582: 5574:Main articles: 5572: 5521: 5516: 5515: 5490: 5485: 5484: 5453: 5448: 5447: 5416: 5397: 5375: 5365: 5346: 5336: 5323: 5318: 5317: 5287: 5268: 5246: 5236: 5223: 5218: 5217: 5181: 5162: 5140: 5135: 5134: 5104: 5103: 5084: 5083: 5056: 5037: 5021: 5016: 5015: 5009: 5004: 4991: 4943: 4934: 4874: 4873: 4867: 4840: 4767: 4742: 4741: 4675: 4632: 4607: 4606: 4605:OLS estimator: 4552: 4501: 4500: 4499:MLE estimator: 4490: 4434: 4433: 4385: 4366: 4358: 4317: 4316: 4283: 4275: 4261: 4238: 4237: 4190: 4189: 4179: 4174: 4146: 4090: 4046: 3991: 3972: 3971: 3965: 3958: 3952: 3944: 3937: 3891: 3872: 3862: 3837: 3827: 3808: 3798: 3779: 3774: 3773: 3740: 3727: 3706: and  3680: for  3668: 3655: 3617: 3594: 3593: 3563: 3526: 3516: 3473: 3463: 3426: 3416: 3385: 3354: 3349: 3348: 3344: 3336: 3272:Because of the 3268: 3258: 3247: 3236:identity matrix 3233: 3226: 3218: 3212: 3173: 3148: 3126: 3101: 3079: 3060: 3038: 3019: 3000: 2995: 2994: 2988:right hand side 2984: 2947: 2934: 2915: 2914: 2864: 2845: 2844: 2816: 2815: 2798: 2792: 2791: 2786: 2764: 2734: 2715: 2714: 2687: 2686: 2670: 2667: 2666: 2650: 2643: 2632: 2631: 2609: 2606: 2605: 2583: 2576: 2568: 2567: 2545: 2543: 2521: 2518: 2517: 2495: 2493: 2471: 2464: 2453: 2452: 2436: 2433: 2432: 2416: 2409: 2398: 2397: 2381: 2378: 2377: 2361: 2354: 2346: 2345: 2340: 2318: 2315: 2314: 2292: 2290: 2280: 2274: 2273: 2224: 2211: 2210: 2201: 2185: 2166: 2140: 2130: 2098: 2079: 2069: 2044: 2034: 2015: 2005: 1992: 1979: 1969: 1964: 1963: 1947: 1942: 1931:identity matrix 1900: 1899: 1893: 1892: 1882: 1875: 1864: 1863: 1847: 1844: 1843: 1827: 1820: 1812: 1811: 1806: 1800: 1799: 1789: 1787: 1777: 1770: 1759: 1758: 1752: 1751: 1741: 1730: 1729: 1713: 1710: 1709: 1699: 1692: 1686: 1685: 1656: 1637: 1627: 1608: 1598: 1579: 1574: 1573: 1556: 1509: 1484: 1468: 1443: 1427: 1414: 1395: 1390: 1389: 1360: 1335: 1319: 1294: 1278: 1265: 1246: 1241: 1240: 1205: 1204: 1188: 1185: 1184: 1168: 1161: 1150: 1149: 1127: 1124: 1123: 1101: 1094: 1086: 1085: 1069: 1067: 1051: 1048: 1047: 1031: 1029: 1013: 1006: 995: 994: 984: 981: 980: 970: 963: 952: 951: 935: 932: 931: 915: 908: 902: 901: 890:variables, see 880: 833: 832: 815: 767: 688: 675: 674: 613: 600: 599: 562: 549: 548: 535: 513: 496:. The variable 495: 480: 444: 425: 415: 390: 380: 361: 351: 332: 327: 326: 286: 271: 245: 215: 206: 195: 189: 186: 175: 161:related reading 151: 147: 140: 82: 71: 65: 62: 52:Please help to 51: 35: 31: 24: 17: 12: 11: 5: 9562: 9560: 9552: 9551: 9546: 9536: 9535: 9529: 9528: 9526: 9521: 9516: 9511: 9506: 9501: 9496: 9493: 9492: 9488: 9487: 9482: 9472: 9467: 9461: 9460: 9459: 9457: 9451: 9450: 9448: 9447: 9440: 9435: 9430: 9425: 9420: 9415: 9410: 9405: 9400: 9395: 9390: 9385: 9380: 9375: 9370: 9365: 9360: 9355: 9350: 9345: 9340: 9335: 9330: 9325: 9320: 9315: 9310: 9305: 9300: 9295: 9290: 9285: 9280: 9275: 9270: 9265: 9260: 9255: 9250: 9245: 9240: 9235: 9230: 9225: 9220: 9215: 9210: 9205: 9200: 9195: 9190: 9185: 9180: 9175: 9170: 9165: 9160: 9155: 9150: 9145: 9140: 9135: 9130: 9125: 9120: 9115: 9110: 9104: 9102: 9096: 9093: 9092: 9090: 9089: 9084: 9079: 9074: 9069: 9064: 9059: 9058: 9057: 9047: 9046: 9045: 9035: 9030: 9025: 9024: 9023: 9013: 9008: 9003: 9002: 9001: 9000: 8999: 8989: 8984: 8969: 8964: 8959: 8954: 8949: 8944: 8939: 8934: 8929: 8927:Disequilibrium 8924: 8919: 8914: 8909: 8904: 8903: 8902: 8892: 8887: 8882: 8877: 8876: 8875: 8865: 8860: 8855: 8850: 8844: 8842: 8830: 8827: 8826: 8822: 8821: 8816: 8811: 8806: 8801: 8796: 8791: 8786: 8781: 8776: 8767: 8762: 8757: 8752: 8747: 8742: 8740:Organizational 8737: 8732: 8727: 8722: 8717: 8712: 8707: 8702: 8697: 8692: 8687: 8682: 8677: 8672: 8667: 8662: 8657: 8652: 8647: 8642: 8637: 8632: 8627: 8622: 8617: 8612: 8607: 8602: 8597: 8592: 8586: 8585: 8584: 8582: 8576: 8575: 8573: 8572: 8567: 8562: 8561: 8560: 8549: 8547: 8541: 8540: 8538: 8537: 8532: 8527: 8522: 8517: 8515:Macroeconomics 8512: 8511: 8510: 8505: 8500: 8495: 8490: 8483:Microeconomics 8479: 8477: 8471: 8470: 8465: 8463: 8462: 8455: 8448: 8440: 8431: 8430: 8428: 8427: 8415: 8403: 8389: 8376: 8373: 8372: 8369: 8368: 8365: 8364: 8362: 8361: 8356: 8351: 8346: 8341: 8335: 8333: 8327: 8326: 8324: 8323: 8318: 8313: 8308: 8303: 8298: 8293: 8288: 8283: 8278: 8272: 8270: 8264: 8263: 8261: 8260: 8255: 8250: 8241: 8236: 8231: 8225: 8223: 8217: 8216: 8214: 8213: 8208: 8203: 8194: 8192:Bioinformatics 8188: 8186: 8176: 8175: 8170: 8163: 8162: 8159: 8158: 8155: 8154: 8151: 8150: 8148: 8147: 8141: 8139: 8135: 8134: 8132: 8131: 8125: 8123: 8117: 8116: 8114: 8113: 8108: 8103: 8098: 8092: 8090: 8081: 8075: 8074: 8071: 8070: 8068: 8067: 8062: 8057: 8052: 8047: 8041: 8039: 8033: 8032: 8030: 8029: 8024: 8019: 8011: 8006: 8001: 8000: 7999: 7997:partial (PACF) 7988: 7986: 7980: 7979: 7977: 7976: 7971: 7966: 7958: 7953: 7947: 7945: 7944:Specific tests 7941: 7940: 7938: 7937: 7932: 7927: 7922: 7917: 7912: 7907: 7902: 7896: 7894: 7887: 7881: 7880: 7878: 7877: 7876: 7875: 7874: 7873: 7858: 7857: 7856: 7846: 7844:Classification 7841: 7836: 7831: 7826: 7821: 7816: 7810: 7808: 7802: 7801: 7799: 7798: 7793: 7791:McNemar's test 7788: 7783: 7778: 7773: 7767: 7765: 7755: 7754: 7737: 7730: 7729: 7726: 7725: 7722: 7721: 7719: 7718: 7713: 7708: 7703: 7697: 7695: 7689: 7688: 7686: 7685: 7669: 7663: 7661: 7655: 7654: 7652: 7651: 7646: 7641: 7636: 7631: 7629:Semiparametric 7626: 7621: 7615: 7613: 7609: 7608: 7606: 7605: 7600: 7595: 7590: 7584: 7582: 7576: 7575: 7573: 7572: 7567: 7562: 7557: 7552: 7546: 7544: 7538: 7537: 7535: 7534: 7529: 7524: 7519: 7513: 7511: 7501: 7500: 7497: 7496: 7491: 7485: 7484: 7477: 7476: 7473: 7472: 7469: 7468: 7466: 7465: 7464: 7463: 7453: 7448: 7443: 7442: 7441: 7436: 7425: 7423: 7417: 7416: 7413: 7412: 7410: 7409: 7404: 7403: 7402: 7394: 7386: 7370: 7367:(Mann–Whitney) 7362: 7361: 7360: 7347: 7346: 7345: 7334: 7332: 7326: 7325: 7323: 7322: 7321: 7320: 7315: 7310: 7300: 7295: 7292:(Shapiro–Wilk) 7287: 7282: 7277: 7272: 7267: 7259: 7253: 7251: 7245: 7244: 7242: 7241: 7233: 7224: 7212: 7206: 7204:Specific tests 7200: 7199: 7196: 7195: 7193: 7192: 7187: 7182: 7176: 7174: 7168: 7167: 7165: 7164: 7159: 7158: 7157: 7147: 7146: 7145: 7135: 7129: 7127: 7121: 7120: 7118: 7117: 7116: 7115: 7110: 7100: 7095: 7090: 7085: 7080: 7074: 7072: 7066: 7065: 7063: 7062: 7057: 7056: 7055: 7050: 7049: 7048: 7043: 7028: 7027: 7026: 7021: 7016: 7011: 7000: 6998: 6989: 6983: 6982: 6980: 6979: 6974: 6969: 6968: 6967: 6957: 6952: 6951: 6950: 6940: 6939: 6938: 6933: 6928: 6918: 6913: 6908: 6907: 6906: 6901: 6896: 6880: 6879: 6878: 6873: 6868: 6858: 6857: 6856: 6851: 6841: 6840: 6839: 6829: 6828: 6827: 6817: 6812: 6807: 6801: 6799: 6789: 6788: 6783: 6776: 6775: 6772: 6771: 6768: 6767: 6765: 6764: 6759: 6754: 6749: 6743: 6741: 6735: 6734: 6732: 6731: 6726: 6721: 6715: 6713: 6709: 6708: 6706: 6705: 6700: 6695: 6690: 6685: 6680: 6675: 6669: 6667: 6661: 6660: 6658: 6657: 6655:Standard error 6652: 6647: 6642: 6641: 6640: 6635: 6624: 6622: 6616: 6615: 6613: 6612: 6607: 6602: 6597: 6592: 6587: 6585:Optimal design 6582: 6577: 6571: 6569: 6559: 6558: 6553: 6546: 6545: 6542: 6541: 6538: 6537: 6535: 6534: 6529: 6524: 6519: 6514: 6509: 6504: 6499: 6494: 6489: 6484: 6479: 6474: 6469: 6464: 6458: 6456: 6450: 6449: 6447: 6446: 6441: 6440: 6439: 6434: 6424: 6419: 6413: 6411: 6405: 6404: 6402: 6401: 6396: 6391: 6385: 6383: 6382:Summary tables 6379: 6378: 6376: 6375: 6369: 6367: 6361: 6360: 6357: 6356: 6354: 6353: 6352: 6351: 6346: 6341: 6331: 6325: 6323: 6317: 6316: 6314: 6313: 6308: 6303: 6298: 6293: 6288: 6283: 6277: 6275: 6269: 6268: 6266: 6265: 6260: 6255: 6254: 6253: 6248: 6243: 6238: 6233: 6228: 6223: 6218: 6216:Contraharmonic 6213: 6208: 6197: 6195: 6186: 6176: 6175: 6170: 6163: 6162: 6160: 6159: 6154: 6148: 6145: 6144: 6139: 6137: 6136: 6129: 6122: 6114: 6108: 6107: 6097:(1): 156–174. 6084: 6078: 6062: 6056: 6043: 6037: 6024: 6013: 6010: 6007: 6006: 5997: 5990: 5970: 5959: 5928: 5875: 5843: 5825: 5800: 5789:(6): 601–615. 5767: 5756:(4): 661–683. 5734: 5733: 5731: 5728: 5727: 5726: 5721: 5712: 5707: 5702: 5695: 5692: 5691: 5690: 5687: 5681: 5675: 5669: 5663: 5657: 5651: 5637: 5630:: The package 5623: 5620: 5616:control theory 5593: 5590: 5571: 5568: 5564:absolute value 5558:of the matrix 5533: 5528: 5524: 5497: 5493: 5466: 5463: 5460: 5456: 5440: 5439: 5428: 5423: 5419: 5415: 5410: 5407: 5404: 5400: 5396: 5393: 5388: 5385: 5382: 5378: 5372: 5368: 5364: 5359: 5356: 5353: 5349: 5343: 5339: 5335: 5330: 5326: 5311: 5310: 5299: 5294: 5290: 5286: 5281: 5278: 5275: 5271: 5267: 5264: 5259: 5256: 5253: 5249: 5243: 5239: 5235: 5230: 5226: 5211: 5210: 5199: 5194: 5191: 5188: 5184: 5180: 5175: 5172: 5169: 5165: 5161: 5158: 5153: 5150: 5147: 5143: 5111: 5091: 5080: 5079: 5068: 5063: 5059: 5055: 5050: 5047: 5044: 5040: 5036: 5033: 5028: 5024: 5008: 5005: 5003: 5000: 4990: 4987: 4986: 4985: 4973: 4967: 4964: 4958: 4953: 4950: 4946: 4940: 4937: 4933: 4929: 4926: 4923: 4920: 4914: 4911: 4905: 4895: 4889: 4866: 4863: 4862: 4861: 4850: 4846: 4843: 4839: 4833: 4830: 4824: 4821: 4818: 4815: 4812: 4806: 4803: 4797: 4794: 4791: 4785: 4782: 4779: 4776: 4773: 4770: 4766: 4761: 4755: 4752: 4730:variables and 4714: 4710: 4703: 4700: 4691: 4684: 4681: 4672: 4667: 4664: 4661: 4657: 4650: 4647: 4644: 4641: 4638: 4635: 4631: 4626: 4620: 4617: 4591: 4587: 4580: 4577: 4568: 4561: 4558: 4549: 4544: 4541: 4538: 4534: 4528: 4525: 4520: 4514: 4511: 4489: 4486: 4485: 4484: 4441: 4430: 4429: 4418: 4415: 4412: 4409: 4406: 4403: 4397: 4392: 4388: 4384: 4381: 4376: 4373: 4369: 4364: 4361: 4357: 4354: 4351: 4348: 4345: 4339: 4336: 4330: 4327: 4324: 4310: 4309: 4298: 4293: 4290: 4286: 4281: 4278: 4274: 4271: 4267: 4264: 4260: 4257: 4251: 4248: 4234: 4233: 4225: 4224: 4212: 4209: 4206: 4203: 4200: 4197: 4178: 4175: 4173: 4170: 4166: 4165: 4152: 4149: 4143: 4140: 4135: 4131: 4127: 4124: 4119: 4116: 4111: 4107: 4103: 4100: 4096: 4093: 4087: 4084: 4079: 4075: 4071: 4067: 4063: 4059: 4053: 4049: 4043: 4040: 4035: 4031: 4027: 4023: 4019: 4016: 4012: 4008: 4004: 3998: 3994: 3990: 3986: 3982: 3979: 3963: 3956: 3948: 3942: 3933: 3912: 3911: 3898: 3894: 3890: 3885: 3882: 3879: 3875: 3869: 3865: 3861: 3858: 3855: 3850: 3847: 3844: 3840: 3834: 3830: 3826: 3821: 3818: 3815: 3811: 3805: 3801: 3797: 3794: 3791: 3786: 3782: 3761: 3760: 3747: 3743: 3739: 3734: 3730: 3724: 3721: 3716: 3712: 3703: 3700: 3697: 3694: 3691: 3688: 3685: 3675: 3671: 3667: 3662: 3658: 3652: 3649: 3644: 3640: 3635: 3632: 3629: 3624: 3620: 3614: 3611: 3606: 3602: 3587: 3586: 3575: 3570: 3566: 3560: 3557: 3552: 3548: 3544: 3539: 3536: 3533: 3529: 3523: 3519: 3513: 3510: 3505: 3501: 3497: 3494: 3491: 3486: 3483: 3480: 3476: 3470: 3466: 3460: 3457: 3452: 3448: 3444: 3439: 3436: 3433: 3429: 3423: 3419: 3413: 3410: 3405: 3401: 3397: 3392: 3388: 3382: 3379: 3374: 3370: 3366: 3361: 3357: 3342: 3335: 3332: 3331: 3330: 3310: 3309: 3263: 3252: 3242: 3231: 3224: 3216: 3207: 3201: 3200: 3186: 3183: 3180: 3176: 3172: 3167: 3164: 3161: 3158: 3155: 3151: 3145: 3142: 3139: 3136: 3133: 3129: 3125: 3120: 3117: 3114: 3111: 3108: 3104: 3098: 3095: 3092: 3089: 3086: 3082: 3078: 3073: 3070: 3067: 3063: 3057: 3054: 3051: 3048: 3045: 3041: 3037: 3032: 3029: 3026: 3022: 3018: 3013: 3010: 3007: 3003: 2982: 2965: 2962: 2959: 2954: 2950: 2946: 2941: 2937: 2933: 2929: 2926: 2923: 2892: 2887: 2883: 2879: 2876: 2871: 2867: 2863: 2859: 2856: 2853: 2837: 2836: 2825: 2820: 2812: 2807: 2803: 2799: 2797: 2794: 2793: 2790: 2787: 2783: 2778: 2774: 2770: 2769: 2767: 2762: 2759: 2755: 2751: 2747: 2741: 2737: 2733: 2729: 2725: 2722: 2708: 2707: 2696: 2691: 2683: 2680: 2677: 2673: 2669: 2668: 2663: 2660: 2657: 2653: 2649: 2648: 2646: 2641: 2636: 2628: 2625: 2622: 2619: 2616: 2612: 2608: 2607: 2602: 2599: 2596: 2593: 2590: 2586: 2582: 2581: 2579: 2572: 2564: 2561: 2558: 2555: 2552: 2548: 2544: 2540: 2537: 2534: 2531: 2528: 2524: 2520: 2519: 2514: 2511: 2508: 2505: 2502: 2498: 2494: 2490: 2487: 2484: 2481: 2478: 2474: 2470: 2469: 2467: 2462: 2457: 2449: 2446: 2443: 2439: 2435: 2434: 2429: 2426: 2423: 2419: 2415: 2414: 2412: 2407: 2402: 2394: 2391: 2388: 2384: 2380: 2379: 2374: 2371: 2368: 2364: 2360: 2359: 2357: 2350: 2344: 2341: 2337: 2334: 2331: 2328: 2325: 2321: 2317: 2316: 2311: 2308: 2305: 2302: 2299: 2295: 2291: 2289: 2286: 2285: 2283: 2255: 2252: 2249: 2245: 2241: 2237: 2231: 2227: 2223: 2219: 2199: 2183: 2162: 2138: 2128: 2122: 2121: 2110: 2105: 2101: 2097: 2092: 2089: 2086: 2082: 2076: 2072: 2068: 2065: 2062: 2057: 2054: 2051: 2047: 2041: 2037: 2033: 2028: 2025: 2022: 2018: 2012: 2008: 2004: 1999: 1995: 1991: 1986: 1982: 1976: 1972: 1946: 1945:Structural VAR 1943: 1941: 1938: 1923: 1922: 1921: 1920: 1909: 1904: 1898: 1895: 1894: 1889: 1885: 1881: 1880: 1878: 1873: 1868: 1860: 1857: 1854: 1850: 1846: 1845: 1840: 1837: 1834: 1830: 1826: 1825: 1823: 1816: 1810: 1807: 1805: 1802: 1801: 1796: 1792: 1788: 1784: 1780: 1776: 1775: 1773: 1768: 1763: 1757: 1754: 1753: 1750: 1747: 1746: 1744: 1739: 1734: 1726: 1723: 1720: 1716: 1712: 1711: 1706: 1702: 1698: 1697: 1695: 1677: 1676: 1663: 1659: 1655: 1650: 1647: 1644: 1640: 1634: 1630: 1626: 1621: 1618: 1615: 1611: 1605: 1601: 1597: 1594: 1591: 1586: 1582: 1555: 1548: 1540: 1539: 1527: 1522: 1519: 1516: 1512: 1508: 1503: 1500: 1497: 1494: 1491: 1487: 1481: 1478: 1475: 1471: 1467: 1462: 1459: 1456: 1453: 1450: 1446: 1440: 1437: 1434: 1430: 1426: 1421: 1417: 1413: 1408: 1405: 1402: 1398: 1387: 1373: 1370: 1367: 1363: 1359: 1354: 1351: 1348: 1345: 1342: 1338: 1332: 1329: 1326: 1322: 1318: 1313: 1310: 1307: 1304: 1301: 1297: 1291: 1288: 1285: 1281: 1277: 1272: 1268: 1264: 1259: 1256: 1253: 1249: 1226: 1225: 1214: 1209: 1201: 1198: 1195: 1191: 1187: 1186: 1181: 1178: 1175: 1171: 1167: 1166: 1164: 1159: 1154: 1146: 1143: 1140: 1137: 1134: 1130: 1126: 1125: 1120: 1117: 1114: 1111: 1108: 1104: 1100: 1099: 1097: 1090: 1082: 1079: 1076: 1072: 1068: 1064: 1061: 1058: 1054: 1050: 1049: 1044: 1041: 1038: 1034: 1030: 1026: 1023: 1020: 1016: 1012: 1011: 1009: 1004: 999: 991: 987: 983: 982: 977: 973: 969: 968: 966: 961: 956: 948: 945: 942: 938: 934: 933: 928: 925: 922: 918: 914: 913: 911: 879: 876: 868: 867: 855: 852: 849: 846: 843: 840: 814: 811: 810: 809: 808: 807: 800: 778: 766: 763: 751: 750: 741:. There is no 725: 722: 719: 715: 711: 708: 705: 701: 695: 691: 687: 683: 672: 644: 641: 638: 634: 630: 626: 620: 616: 612: 608: 597: 580: 577: 574: 569: 565: 561: 557: 531: 517:time-invariant 511: 508:of the model. 493: 475: 469: 468: 456: 451: 447: 443: 438: 435: 432: 428: 422: 418: 414: 411: 408: 403: 400: 397: 393: 387: 383: 379: 374: 371: 368: 364: 358: 354: 350: 347: 344: 339: 335: 284: 263: 243: 214: 211: 208: 207: 165:external links 154: 152: 145: 139: 136: 84: 83: 38: 36: 29: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 9561: 9550: 9547: 9545: 9542: 9541: 9539: 9525: 9522: 9520: 9517: 9515: 9512: 9510: 9507: 9505: 9502: 9500: 9497: 9494: 9486: 9483: 9480: 9476: 9473: 9471: 9468: 9466: 9463: 9462: 9458: 9456: 9452: 9446: 9445: 9441: 9439: 9436: 9434: 9431: 9429: 9426: 9424: 9421: 9419: 9416: 9414: 9411: 9409: 9406: 9404: 9401: 9399: 9396: 9394: 9391: 9389: 9386: 9384: 9381: 9379: 9376: 9374: 9371: 9369: 9366: 9364: 9361: 9359: 9356: 9354: 9351: 9349: 9346: 9344: 9341: 9339: 9336: 9334: 9331: 9329: 9326: 9324: 9321: 9319: 9316: 9314: 9311: 9309: 9306: 9304: 9301: 9299: 9296: 9294: 9291: 9289: 9286: 9284: 9281: 9279: 9276: 9274: 9271: 9269: 9266: 9264: 9261: 9259: 9256: 9254: 9251: 9249: 9246: 9244: 9241: 9239: 9236: 9234: 9231: 9229: 9226: 9224: 9221: 9219: 9216: 9214: 9211: 9209: 9206: 9204: 9201: 9199: 9196: 9194: 9191: 9189: 9186: 9184: 9181: 9179: 9176: 9174: 9171: 9169: 9166: 9164: 9161: 9159: 9156: 9154: 9151: 9149: 9146: 9144: 9141: 9139: 9136: 9134: 9131: 9129: 9126: 9124: 9121: 9119: 9116: 9114: 9111: 9109: 9108:de Mandeville 9106: 9105: 9103: 9099: 9094: 9088: 9085: 9083: 9080: 9078: 9075: 9073: 9070: 9068: 9065: 9063: 9060: 9056: 9053: 9052: 9051: 9050:New classical 9048: 9044: 9041: 9040: 9039: 9036: 9034: 9031: 9029: 9026: 9022: 9019: 9018: 9017: 9014: 9012: 9009: 9007: 9006:Malthusianism 9004: 8998: 8995: 8994: 8993: 8990: 8988: 8985: 8982: 8978: 8975: 8974: 8973: 8970: 8968: 8967:Institutional 8965: 8963: 8960: 8958: 8955: 8953: 8950: 8948: 8945: 8943: 8940: 8938: 8935: 8933: 8930: 8928: 8925: 8923: 8920: 8918: 8915: 8913: 8910: 8908: 8905: 8901: 8898: 8897: 8896: 8893: 8891: 8888: 8886: 8883: 8881: 8878: 8874: 8871: 8870: 8869: 8866: 8864: 8861: 8859: 8856: 8854: 8851: 8849: 8846: 8845: 8843: 8838: 8833: 8828: 8820: 8817: 8815: 8812: 8810: 8807: 8805: 8802: 8800: 8797: 8795: 8792: 8790: 8787: 8785: 8782: 8780: 8777: 8775: 8771: 8770:Public choice 8768: 8766: 8763: 8761: 8758: 8756: 8753: 8751: 8748: 8746: 8745:Participation 8743: 8741: 8738: 8736: 8733: 8731: 8728: 8726: 8723: 8721: 8718: 8716: 8713: 8711: 8708: 8706: 8705:Institutional 8703: 8701: 8698: 8696: 8693: 8691: 8688: 8686: 8683: 8681: 8678: 8676: 8673: 8671: 8668: 8666: 8663: 8661: 8658: 8656: 8655:Expeditionary 8653: 8651: 8648: 8646: 8645:Environmental 8643: 8641: 8638: 8636: 8633: 8631: 8628: 8626: 8623: 8621: 8618: 8616: 8613: 8611: 8608: 8606: 8603: 8601: 8598: 8596: 8593: 8591: 8588: 8587: 8583: 8581: 8577: 8571: 8568: 8566: 8563: 8559: 8556: 8555: 8554: 8551: 8550: 8548: 8546: 8542: 8536: 8533: 8531: 8528: 8526: 8523: 8521: 8518: 8516: 8513: 8509: 8506: 8504: 8501: 8499: 8496: 8494: 8491: 8489: 8486: 8485: 8484: 8481: 8480: 8478: 8476: 8472: 8468: 8461: 8456: 8454: 8449: 8447: 8442: 8441: 8438: 8426: 8425: 8416: 8414: 8413: 8404: 8402: 8401: 8396: 8390: 8388: 8387: 8378: 8377: 8374: 8360: 8357: 8355: 8354:Geostatistics 8352: 8350: 8347: 8345: 8342: 8340: 8337: 8336: 8334: 8332: 8328: 8322: 8321:Psychometrics 8319: 8317: 8314: 8312: 8309: 8307: 8304: 8302: 8299: 8297: 8294: 8292: 8289: 8287: 8284: 8282: 8279: 8277: 8274: 8273: 8271: 8269: 8265: 8259: 8256: 8254: 8251: 8249: 8245: 8242: 8240: 8237: 8235: 8232: 8230: 8227: 8226: 8224: 8222: 8218: 8212: 8209: 8207: 8204: 8202: 8198: 8195: 8193: 8190: 8189: 8187: 8185: 8184:Biostatistics 8181: 8177: 8173: 8168: 8164: 8146: 8145:Log-rank test 8143: 8142: 8140: 8136: 8130: 8127: 8126: 8124: 8122: 8118: 8112: 8109: 8107: 8104: 8102: 8099: 8097: 8094: 8093: 8091: 8089: 8085: 8082: 8080: 8076: 8066: 8063: 8061: 8058: 8056: 8053: 8051: 8048: 8046: 8043: 8042: 8040: 8038: 8034: 8028: 8025: 8023: 8020: 8018: 8016:(Box–Jenkins) 8012: 8010: 8007: 8005: 8002: 7998: 7995: 7994: 7993: 7990: 7989: 7987: 7985: 7981: 7975: 7972: 7970: 7969:Durbin–Watson 7967: 7965: 7959: 7957: 7954: 7952: 7951:Dickey–Fuller 7949: 7948: 7946: 7942: 7936: 7933: 7931: 7928: 7926: 7925:Cointegration 7923: 7921: 7918: 7916: 7913: 7911: 7908: 7906: 7903: 7901: 7900:Decomposition 7898: 7897: 7895: 7891: 7888: 7886: 7882: 7872: 7869: 7868: 7867: 7864: 7863: 7862: 7859: 7855: 7852: 7851: 7850: 7847: 7845: 7842: 7840: 7837: 7835: 7832: 7830: 7827: 7825: 7822: 7820: 7817: 7815: 7812: 7811: 7809: 7807: 7803: 7797: 7794: 7792: 7789: 7787: 7784: 7782: 7779: 7777: 7774: 7772: 7771:Cohen's kappa 7769: 7768: 7766: 7764: 7760: 7756: 7752: 7748: 7744: 7740: 7735: 7731: 7717: 7714: 7712: 7709: 7707: 7704: 7702: 7699: 7698: 7696: 7694: 7690: 7684: 7680: 7676: 7670: 7668: 7665: 7664: 7662: 7660: 7656: 7650: 7647: 7645: 7642: 7640: 7637: 7635: 7632: 7630: 7627: 7625: 7624:Nonparametric 7622: 7620: 7617: 7616: 7614: 7610: 7604: 7601: 7599: 7596: 7594: 7591: 7589: 7586: 7585: 7583: 7581: 7577: 7571: 7568: 7566: 7563: 7561: 7558: 7556: 7553: 7551: 7548: 7547: 7545: 7543: 7539: 7533: 7530: 7528: 7525: 7523: 7520: 7518: 7515: 7514: 7512: 7510: 7506: 7502: 7495: 7492: 7490: 7487: 7486: 7482: 7478: 7462: 7459: 7458: 7457: 7454: 7452: 7449: 7447: 7444: 7440: 7437: 7435: 7432: 7431: 7430: 7427: 7426: 7424: 7422: 7418: 7408: 7405: 7401: 7395: 7393: 7387: 7385: 7379: 7378: 7377: 7374: 7373:Nonparametric 7371: 7369: 7363: 7359: 7356: 7355: 7354: 7348: 7344: 7343:Sample median 7341: 7340: 7339: 7336: 7335: 7333: 7331: 7327: 7319: 7316: 7314: 7311: 7309: 7306: 7305: 7304: 7301: 7299: 7296: 7294: 7288: 7286: 7283: 7281: 7278: 7276: 7273: 7271: 7268: 7266: 7264: 7260: 7258: 7255: 7254: 7252: 7250: 7246: 7240: 7238: 7234: 7232: 7230: 7225: 7223: 7218: 7214: 7213: 7210: 7207: 7205: 7201: 7191: 7188: 7186: 7183: 7181: 7178: 7177: 7175: 7173: 7169: 7163: 7160: 7156: 7153: 7152: 7151: 7148: 7144: 7141: 7140: 7139: 7136: 7134: 7131: 7130: 7128: 7126: 7122: 7114: 7111: 7109: 7106: 7105: 7104: 7101: 7099: 7096: 7094: 7091: 7089: 7086: 7084: 7081: 7079: 7076: 7075: 7073: 7071: 7067: 7061: 7058: 7054: 7051: 7047: 7044: 7042: 7039: 7038: 7037: 7034: 7033: 7032: 7029: 7025: 7022: 7020: 7017: 7015: 7012: 7010: 7007: 7006: 7005: 7002: 7001: 6999: 6997: 6993: 6990: 6988: 6984: 6978: 6975: 6973: 6970: 6966: 6963: 6962: 6961: 6958: 6956: 6953: 6949: 6948:loss function 6946: 6945: 6944: 6941: 6937: 6934: 6932: 6929: 6927: 6924: 6923: 6922: 6919: 6917: 6914: 6912: 6909: 6905: 6902: 6900: 6897: 6895: 6889: 6886: 6885: 6884: 6881: 6877: 6874: 6872: 6869: 6867: 6864: 6863: 6862: 6859: 6855: 6852: 6850: 6847: 6846: 6845: 6842: 6838: 6835: 6834: 6833: 6830: 6826: 6823: 6822: 6821: 6818: 6816: 6813: 6811: 6808: 6806: 6803: 6802: 6800: 6798: 6794: 6790: 6786: 6781: 6777: 6763: 6760: 6758: 6755: 6753: 6750: 6748: 6745: 6744: 6742: 6740: 6736: 6730: 6727: 6725: 6722: 6720: 6717: 6716: 6714: 6710: 6704: 6701: 6699: 6696: 6694: 6691: 6689: 6686: 6684: 6681: 6679: 6676: 6674: 6671: 6670: 6668: 6666: 6662: 6656: 6653: 6651: 6650:Questionnaire 6648: 6646: 6643: 6639: 6636: 6634: 6631: 6630: 6629: 6626: 6625: 6623: 6621: 6617: 6611: 6608: 6606: 6603: 6601: 6598: 6596: 6593: 6591: 6588: 6586: 6583: 6581: 6578: 6576: 6573: 6572: 6570: 6568: 6564: 6560: 6556: 6551: 6547: 6533: 6530: 6528: 6525: 6523: 6520: 6518: 6515: 6513: 6510: 6508: 6505: 6503: 6500: 6498: 6495: 6493: 6490: 6488: 6485: 6483: 6480: 6478: 6477:Control chart 6475: 6473: 6470: 6468: 6465: 6463: 6460: 6459: 6457: 6455: 6451: 6445: 6442: 6438: 6435: 6433: 6430: 6429: 6428: 6425: 6423: 6420: 6418: 6415: 6414: 6412: 6410: 6406: 6400: 6397: 6395: 6392: 6390: 6387: 6386: 6384: 6380: 6374: 6371: 6370: 6368: 6366: 6362: 6350: 6347: 6345: 6342: 6340: 6337: 6336: 6335: 6332: 6330: 6327: 6326: 6324: 6322: 6318: 6312: 6309: 6307: 6304: 6302: 6299: 6297: 6294: 6292: 6289: 6287: 6284: 6282: 6279: 6278: 6276: 6274: 6270: 6264: 6261: 6259: 6256: 6252: 6249: 6247: 6244: 6242: 6239: 6237: 6234: 6232: 6229: 6227: 6224: 6222: 6219: 6217: 6214: 6212: 6209: 6207: 6204: 6203: 6202: 6199: 6198: 6196: 6194: 6190: 6187: 6185: 6181: 6177: 6173: 6168: 6164: 6158: 6155: 6153: 6150: 6149: 6146: 6142: 6135: 6130: 6128: 6123: 6121: 6116: 6115: 6112: 6104: 6100: 6096: 6092: 6091: 6085: 6081: 6079:3-540-40172-5 6075: 6071: 6067: 6063: 6059: 6057:0-19-829685-1 6053: 6049: 6044: 6040: 6034: 6030: 6025: 6021: 6016: 6015: 6011: 6001: 5998: 5993: 5987: 5983: 5982: 5974: 5971: 5968: 5963: 5960: 5955: 5951: 5947: 5943: 5939: 5932: 5929: 5924: 5920: 5916: 5912: 5907: 5902: 5898: 5894: 5893: 5888: 5882: 5880: 5876: 5871: 5867: 5863: 5859: 5858: 5853: 5847: 5844: 5839: 5835: 5829: 5826: 5821: 5817: 5816: 5811: 5804: 5801: 5796: 5792: 5788: 5784: 5783: 5778: 5771: 5768: 5763: 5759: 5755: 5751: 5747: 5739: 5736: 5729: 5725: 5722: 5720: 5716: 5713: 5711: 5708: 5706: 5703: 5701: 5698: 5697: 5693: 5688: 5685: 5682: 5679: 5676: 5673: 5670: 5667: 5664: 5661: 5658: 5655: 5652: 5649: 5645: 5641: 5638: 5635: 5634: 5629: 5626: 5625: 5621: 5619: 5617: 5613: 5609: 5605: 5602: 5601:macroeconomic 5598: 5591: 5589: 5587: 5581: 5577: 5569: 5567: 5565: 5561: 5557: 5553: 5549: 5544: 5531: 5526: 5522: 5513: 5495: 5491: 5482: 5464: 5461: 5458: 5454: 5445: 5426: 5421: 5417: 5413: 5408: 5405: 5402: 5398: 5394: 5391: 5386: 5383: 5380: 5376: 5370: 5366: 5362: 5357: 5354: 5351: 5347: 5341: 5337: 5333: 5328: 5324: 5316: 5315: 5314: 5297: 5292: 5288: 5284: 5279: 5276: 5273: 5269: 5265: 5262: 5257: 5254: 5251: 5247: 5241: 5237: 5233: 5228: 5224: 5216: 5215: 5214: 5197: 5192: 5189: 5186: 5182: 5178: 5173: 5170: 5167: 5163: 5159: 5156: 5151: 5148: 5145: 5141: 5133: 5132: 5131: 5129: 5125: 5109: 5089: 5066: 5061: 5057: 5053: 5048: 5045: 5042: 5038: 5034: 5031: 5026: 5022: 5014: 5013: 5012: 5006: 5001: 4999: 4997: 4994:lowering the 4988: 4971: 4956: 4951: 4948: 4938: 4935: 4931: 4924: 4909: 4887: 4872: 4871: 4870: 4848: 4844: 4837: 4828: 4822: 4819: 4810: 4801: 4795: 4792: 4783: 4780: 4777: 4774: 4771: 4768: 4764: 4759: 4740: 4739: 4738: 4735: 4733: 4729: 4712: 4708: 4698: 4689: 4679: 4670: 4665: 4662: 4659: 4655: 4648: 4645: 4642: 4639: 4636: 4633: 4629: 4624: 4603: 4589: 4585: 4575: 4566: 4556: 4547: 4542: 4539: 4536: 4532: 4526: 4523: 4518: 4497: 4495: 4487: 4482: 4478: 4477: 4476: 4474: 4470: 4466: 4461: 4459: 4458:vectorization 4455: 4439: 4416: 4410: 4404: 4401: 4390: 4386: 4382: 4379: 4374: 4371: 4362: 4359: 4355: 4346: 4334: 4325: 4322: 4315: 4314: 4313: 4296: 4291: 4288: 4279: 4276: 4272: 4265: 4262: 4258: 4255: 4246: 4236: 4235: 4231: 4227: 4226: 4210: 4207: 4204: 4201: 4198: 4195: 4188: 4187: 4186: 4184: 4176: 4171: 4169: 4150: 4141: 4138: 4133: 4129: 4117: 4114: 4109: 4105: 4101: 4094: 4085: 4082: 4077: 4073: 4065: 4061: 4057: 4051: 4047: 4041: 4038: 4033: 4029: 4017: 4010: 4006: 4002: 3996: 3992: 3980: 3970: 3969: 3968: 3966: 3959: 3951: 3947: 3941: 3936: 3932: 3927: 3925: 3921: 3917: 3896: 3892: 3888: 3883: 3880: 3877: 3873: 3867: 3863: 3859: 3856: 3853: 3848: 3845: 3842: 3838: 3832: 3828: 3824: 3819: 3816: 3813: 3809: 3803: 3799: 3795: 3792: 3789: 3784: 3780: 3772: 3771: 3770: 3769: 3767: 3745: 3741: 3737: 3732: 3728: 3722: 3719: 3714: 3710: 3701: 3698: 3695: 3692: 3689: 3686: 3683: 3673: 3669: 3665: 3660: 3656: 3650: 3647: 3642: 3638: 3633: 3630: 3627: 3622: 3618: 3612: 3609: 3604: 3600: 3592: 3591: 3590: 3589:and denoting 3573: 3568: 3564: 3558: 3555: 3550: 3546: 3542: 3537: 3534: 3531: 3527: 3521: 3517: 3511: 3508: 3503: 3499: 3495: 3492: 3489: 3484: 3481: 3478: 3474: 3468: 3464: 3458: 3455: 3450: 3446: 3442: 3437: 3434: 3431: 3427: 3421: 3417: 3411: 3408: 3403: 3399: 3395: 3390: 3386: 3380: 3377: 3372: 3368: 3364: 3359: 3355: 3347: 3346: 3345: 3341: 3333: 3328: 3324: 3320: 3318: 3312: 3311: 3307: 3303: 3299: 3295: 3291: 3290: 3289: 3285: 3283: 3279: 3275: 3270: 3267: 3262: 3256: 3251: 3246: 3241: 3237: 3230: 3223: 3219: 3211: 3206: 3184: 3181: 3178: 3174: 3170: 3165: 3162: 3159: 3156: 3153: 3149: 3143: 3140: 3137: 3134: 3131: 3127: 3123: 3118: 3115: 3112: 3109: 3106: 3102: 3096: 3093: 3090: 3087: 3084: 3080: 3076: 3071: 3068: 3065: 3061: 3055: 3052: 3049: 3046: 3043: 3039: 3035: 3030: 3027: 3024: 3020: 3016: 3011: 3008: 3005: 3001: 2993: 2992: 2991: 2989: 2985: 2977: 2963: 2960: 2952: 2948: 2944: 2939: 2935: 2912: 2908: 2890: 2885: 2881: 2877: 2869: 2865: 2842: 2839:that is, the 2823: 2818: 2810: 2805: 2801: 2795: 2788: 2781: 2776: 2772: 2765: 2760: 2753: 2749: 2745: 2739: 2735: 2723: 2713: 2712: 2711: 2694: 2689: 2681: 2678: 2675: 2671: 2661: 2658: 2655: 2651: 2644: 2639: 2634: 2626: 2623: 2620: 2617: 2614: 2610: 2600: 2597: 2594: 2591: 2588: 2584: 2577: 2570: 2562: 2559: 2556: 2553: 2550: 2546: 2538: 2535: 2532: 2529: 2526: 2522: 2512: 2509: 2506: 2503: 2500: 2496: 2488: 2485: 2482: 2479: 2476: 2472: 2465: 2460: 2455: 2447: 2444: 2441: 2437: 2427: 2424: 2421: 2417: 2410: 2405: 2400: 2392: 2389: 2386: 2382: 2372: 2369: 2366: 2362: 2355: 2348: 2342: 2335: 2332: 2329: 2326: 2323: 2319: 2309: 2306: 2303: 2300: 2297: 2293: 2287: 2281: 2272: 2271: 2270: 2267: 2250: 2243: 2239: 2235: 2229: 2225: 2208: 2207: 2202: 2195: 2193: 2189: 2182: 2179:terms of the 2178: 2177:main diagonal 2174: 2170: 2165: 2161: 2157: 2153: 2149: 2146: Ă—  2145: 2141: 2134: 2127: 2108: 2103: 2099: 2095: 2090: 2087: 2084: 2080: 2074: 2070: 2066: 2063: 2060: 2055: 2052: 2049: 2045: 2039: 2035: 2031: 2026: 2023: 2020: 2016: 2010: 2006: 2002: 1997: 1993: 1989: 1984: 1980: 1974: 1970: 1962: 1961: 1960: 1958: 1954: 1953: 1944: 1939: 1937: 1934: 1932: 1928: 1907: 1902: 1896: 1887: 1883: 1876: 1871: 1866: 1858: 1855: 1852: 1848: 1838: 1835: 1832: 1828: 1821: 1814: 1808: 1803: 1794: 1790: 1782: 1778: 1771: 1766: 1761: 1755: 1748: 1742: 1737: 1732: 1724: 1721: 1718: 1714: 1704: 1700: 1693: 1684: 1683: 1682: 1681: 1680: 1661: 1657: 1653: 1648: 1645: 1642: 1638: 1632: 1628: 1624: 1619: 1616: 1613: 1609: 1603: 1599: 1595: 1592: 1589: 1584: 1580: 1572: 1571: 1570: 1567: 1565: 1561: 1553: 1549: 1547: 1545: 1525: 1520: 1517: 1514: 1510: 1506: 1501: 1498: 1495: 1492: 1489: 1485: 1479: 1476: 1473: 1469: 1465: 1460: 1457: 1454: 1451: 1448: 1444: 1438: 1435: 1432: 1428: 1424: 1419: 1415: 1411: 1406: 1403: 1400: 1396: 1388: 1371: 1368: 1365: 1361: 1357: 1352: 1349: 1346: 1343: 1340: 1336: 1330: 1327: 1324: 1320: 1316: 1311: 1308: 1305: 1302: 1299: 1295: 1289: 1286: 1283: 1279: 1275: 1270: 1266: 1262: 1257: 1254: 1251: 1247: 1239: 1238: 1237: 1235: 1231: 1212: 1207: 1199: 1196: 1193: 1189: 1179: 1176: 1173: 1169: 1162: 1157: 1152: 1144: 1141: 1138: 1135: 1132: 1128: 1118: 1115: 1112: 1109: 1106: 1102: 1095: 1088: 1080: 1077: 1074: 1070: 1062: 1059: 1056: 1052: 1042: 1039: 1036: 1032: 1024: 1021: 1018: 1014: 1007: 1002: 997: 989: 985: 975: 971: 964: 959: 954: 946: 943: 940: 936: 926: 923: 920: 916: 909: 900: 899: 898: 895: 893: 889: 885: 877: 875: 873: 872:separate page 853: 850: 847: 844: 841: 838: 831: 830: 829: 827: 824: 820: 812: 805: 801: 798: 794: 790: 789: 787: 783: 779: 776: 775: 774: 772: 764: 762: 760: 756: 748: 744: 740: 723: 720: 713: 709: 706: 703: 699: 693: 689: 673: 670: 667: 664: Ă—  663: 659: 639: 632: 628: 624: 618: 614: 598: 595: 578: 575: 567: 563: 547: 546: 545: 543: 539: 534: 530: 527:)-matrix and 526: 523: Ă—  522: 518: 514: 507: 503: 499: 492: 488: 484: 478: 474: 454: 449: 445: 441: 436: 433: 430: 426: 420: 416: 412: 409: 406: 401: 398: 395: 391: 385: 381: 377: 372: 369: 366: 362: 356: 352: 348: 345: 342: 337: 333: 325: 324: 323: 321: 317: 313: 309: 305: 301: 297: 293: 288: 283: 279: 275: 270: 266: 262: 258: 254: 250: 246: 239: 235: 231: 227: 225: 220: 212: 204: 201: 193: 190:February 2012 183: 179: 173: 172: 166: 162: 158: 153: 144: 143: 138:Specification 137: 135: 133: 129: 125: 121: 116: 114: 110: 106: 102: 98: 94: 90: 80: 77: 69: 66:February 2012 59: 55: 49: 48: 42: 37: 28: 27: 22: 9519:Publications 9475:Publications 9442: 9038:Neoclassical 9028:Mercantilism 8937:Evolutionary 8799:Sociological 8772: / 8670:Geographical 8650:Evolutionary 8625:Digitization 8590:Agricultural 8553:Econometrics 8493:Price theory 8422: 8410: 8391: 8384: 8296:Econometrics 8246: / 8229:Chemometrics 8206:Epidemiology 8199: / 8172:Applications 8026: 8014:ARIMA model 7961:Q-statistic 7910:Stationarity 7806:Multivariate 7749: / 7745: / 7743:Multivariate 7741: / 7681: / 7677: / 7451:Bayes factor 7350:Signed rank 7262: 7236: 7228: 7216: 6911:Completeness 6747:Cohort study 6645:Opinion poll 6580:Missing data 6567:Study design 6522:Scatter plot 6444:Scatter plot 6437:Spearman's ρ 6399:Grouped data 6094: 6088: 6069: 6047: 6028: 6019: 6000: 5980: 5973: 5962: 5937: 5931: 5896: 5892:Econometrica 5890: 5861: 5855: 5846: 5837: 5828: 5819: 5813: 5803: 5786: 5780: 5770: 5753: 5749: 5738: 5647: 5643: 5631: 5604:econometrics 5595: 5592:Applications 5583: 5559: 5551: 5545: 5511: 5480: 5443: 5441: 5312: 5212: 5127: 5123: 5081: 5010: 4992: 4868: 4736: 4731: 4727: 4604: 4498: 4491: 4462: 4456:and Vec the 4452:denotes the 4431: 4311: 4180: 4167: 3961: 3954: 3949: 3945: 3939: 3934: 3930: 3928: 3923: 3919: 3915: 3913: 3765: 3764: 3762: 3588: 3339: 3337: 3327:tax revenues 3323:indirect tax 3314: 3306:demand shock 3302:supply shock 3293: 3286: 3282:inconsistent 3271: 3265: 3260: 3254: 3249: 3244: 3239: 3228: 3221: 3214: 3209: 3204: 3202: 2990:one obtains 2980: 2978: 2906: 2838: 2709: 2268: 2205: 2204: 2198: 2196: 2191: 2187: 2180: 2168: 2163: 2159: 2155: 2151: 2147: 2143: 2136: 2132: 2125: 2123: 1956: 1951: 1950: 1948: 1935: 1926: 1924: 1678: 1568: 1563: 1559: 1557: 1551: 1550:Writing VAR( 1543: 1541: 1233: 1229: 1227: 896: 887: 883: 881: 869: 818: 816: 804:cointegrated 793:cointegrated 785: 781: 768: 754: 752: 738: 665: 661: 537: 532: 528: 524: 520: 509: 501: 497: 490: 486: 482: 476: 472: 470: 319: 315: 311: 307: 303: 299: 295: 291: 289: 281: 277: 273: 268: 264: 260: 252: 248: 241: 233: 229: 222: 218: 216: 196: 187: 176:Please help 168: 117: 92: 88: 87: 72: 63: 44: 9313:von Neumann 9082:Supply-side 9067:Physiocracy 9011:Marginalism 8700:Information 8640:Engineering 8620:Development 8615:Demographic 8498:Game theory 8475:Theoretical 8424:WikiProject 8339:Cartography 8301:Jurimetrics 8253:Reliability 7984:Time domain 7963:(Ljung–Box) 7885:Time-series 7763:Categorical 7747:Time-series 7739:Categorical 7674:(Bernoulli) 7509:Correlation 7489:Correlation 7285:Jarque–Bera 7257:Chi-squared 7019:M-estimator 6972:Asymptotics 6916:Sufficiency 6683:Interaction 6595:Replication 6575:Effect size 6532:Violin plot 6512:Radar chart 6492:Forest plot 6482:Correlogram 6432:Kendall's τ 5899:(1): 1–48. 5644:statsmodels 5586:forecasting 5556:eigenvalues 5102:and vector 3298:independent 2175:terms. The 1558:A VAR with 1554:) as VAR(1) 743:correlation 540:-vector of 182:introducing 105:time series 58:introducing 9538:Categories 9470:Economists 9343:Schumacher 9248:Schumpeter 9218:von Wieser 9138:von ThĂŒnen 9098:Economists 8997:Circuitism 8962:Humanistic 8957:Historical 8932:Ecological 8922:Democratic 8895:Chartalism 8885:Behavioral 8848:Mainstream 8809:Statistics 8804:Solidarity 8725:Managerial 8690:Humanistic 8685:Historical 8630:Ecological 8595:Behavioral 8291:Demography 8009:ARMA model 7814:Regression 7391:(Friedman) 7352:(Wilcoxon) 7290:Normality 7280:Lilliefors 7227:Student's 7103:Resampling 6977:Robustness 6965:divergence 6955:Efficiency 6893:(monotone) 6888:Likelihood 6805:Population 6638:Stratified 6590:Population 6409:Dependence 6365:Count data 6296:Percentile 6273:Dispersion 6206:Arithmetic 6141:Statistics 5719:panel data 5686:: "SYSTEM" 5608:statistics 4465:consistent 4183:this annex 4172:Estimation 3203:Note that 2911:covariance 2154:= 0, ..., 823:stochastic 671:denoted Ω. 232:= 1, ..., 224:endogenous 213:Definition 124:error term 41:references 9388:Greenspan 9353:Samuelson 9333:Galbraith 9303:Tinbergen 9243:von Mises 9238:Heckscher 9198:Edgeworth 9077:Stockholm 9072:Socialist 8972:Keynesian 8952:Happiness 8912:Classical 8873:Mutualism 8868:Anarchist 8853:Heterodox 8750:Personnel 8710:Knowledge 8675:Happiness 8665:Financial 8635:Education 8610:Democracy 8545:Empirical 8467:Economics 7672:Logistic 7439:posterior 7365:Rank sum 7113:Jackknife 7108:Bootstrap 6926:Bootstrap 6861:Parameter 6810:Statistic 6605:Statistic 6517:Run chart 6502:Pie chart 6497:Histogram 6487:Fan chart 6462:Bar chart 6344:L-moments 6231:Geometric 5901:CiteSeerX 5548:induction 5479:upon the 5462:− 5406:− 5384:− 5355:− 5277:− 5255:− 5190:− 5171:− 5149:− 5046:− 4966:^ 4963:Σ 4957:⊗ 4949:− 4913:^ 4888:^ 4832:^ 4823:− 4805:^ 4796:− 4781:− 4772:− 4754:^ 4751:Σ 4702:^ 4699:ϵ 4683:^ 4680:ϵ 4656:∑ 4646:− 4637:− 4619:^ 4616:Σ 4579:^ 4576:ϵ 4560:^ 4557:ϵ 4533:∑ 4513:^ 4510:Σ 4440:⊗ 4405:⁡ 4383:⊗ 4372:− 4338:^ 4326:⁡ 4289:− 4250:^ 4139:− 4123:Σ 4115:− 4083:− 4058:ϵ 4048:ϵ 4039:− 3978:Ω 3881:− 3857:⋯ 3846:− 3817:− 3729:ϵ 3720:− 3696:… 3648:− 3610:− 3565:ϵ 3556:− 3535:− 3509:− 3493:⋯ 3482:− 3456:− 3435:− 3409:− 3378:− 3175:ϵ 3163:− 3116:− 3036:− 2949:ϵ 2936:ϵ 2882:σ 2866:ϵ 2841:variances 2802:σ 2773:σ 2746:ϵ 2736:ϵ 2721:Σ 2672:ϵ 2652:ϵ 2624:− 2598:− 2254:Σ 2236:ϵ 2226:ϵ 2100:ϵ 2088:− 2064:⋯ 2053:− 2024:− 1856:− 1836:− 1722:− 1646:− 1617:− 1499:− 1458:− 1350:− 1309:− 1142:− 1116:− 759:inference 707:− 643:Ω 506:intercept 434:− 410:⋯ 399:− 370:− 318:lags". A 226:variables 109:economics 9499:Category 9479:journals 9465:Glossary 9418:Stiglitz 9383:Rothbard 9363:Buchanan 9348:Friedman 9338:Koopmans 9328:Leontief 9308:Robinson 9193:Marshall 9043:Lausanne 8947:Georgism 8942:Feminist 8890:Buddhist 8880:Austrian 8779:Regional 8755:Planning 8730:Monetary 8660:Feminist 8605:Cultural 8600:Business 8386:Category 8079:Survival 7956:Johansen 7679:Binomial 7634:Isotonic 7221:(normal) 6866:location 6673:Blocking 6628:Sampling 6507:Q–Q plot 6472:Box plot 6454:Graphics 6349:Skewness 6339:Kurtosis 6311:Variance 6241:Heronian 6236:Harmonic 6068:(2005). 5954:27551988 5836:(1994). 5694:See also 5680:: "varm" 5656:: VARMAX 5622:Software 4939:′ 4845:′ 4713:′ 4590:′ 4363:′ 4280:′ 4266:′ 4151:′ 4095:′ 4066:′ 4011:′ 2754:′ 2244:′ 714:′ 633:′ 596:of zero. 489:lag" of 111:and the 9514:Outline 9485:Schools 9477: ( 9438:Piketty 9433:Krugman 9298:Kuznets 9288:Kalecki 9263:Polanyi 9153:Cournot 9148:Bastiat 9133:Ricardo 9123:Malthus 9113:Quesnay 9016:Marxian 8907:Chicago 8837:history 8832:Schools 8819:Welfare 8789:Service 8580:Applied 8412:Commons 8359:Kriging 8244:Process 8201:studies 8060:Wavelet 7893:General 7060:Plug-in 6854:L space 6633:Cluster 6334:Moments 6152:Outline 5923:1912017 5674:: "var" 5668:: "VAR" 5662:: "var" 5610:and in 5510:is the 3234:is the 2986:to the 1929:is the 886:) with 878:Example 821:) as a 276:of the 257:matrix. 178:improve 54:improve 9423:Thaler 9403:Ostrom 9398:Becker 9393:Sowell 9373:Baumol 9278:Myrdal 9273:Sraffa 9268:Frisch 9258:Knight 9253:Keynes 9228:Fisher 9223:Veblen 9208:Pareto 9188:Menger 9183:George 9178:Jevons 9173:Walras 9163:Gossen 9087:Thermo 8765:Public 8760:Policy 8715:Labour 8680:Health 8281:Census 7871:Normal 7819:Manova 7639:Robust 7389:2-way 7381:1-way 7219:-test 6890:  6467:Biplot 6258:Median 6251:Lehmer 6193:Center 6076:  6054:  6035:  5988:  5952:  5921:  5903:  5678:Matlab 5666:EViews 5648:PyFlux 5642:: The 5640:Python 5578:, and 4734:lags. 4432:where 4399:  3924:direct 2710:where 2158:) and 2124:where 1925:where 285:1,1998 238:vector 120:lagged 43:, but 9509:Lists 9504:Index 9455:Lists 9428:Hoppe 9413:Lucas 9378:Solow 9368:Arrow 9358:Simon 9323:Lange 9318:Hicks 9293:Röpke 9283:Hayek 9233:Pigou 9203:Clark 9118:Smith 9033:Mixed 8992:Post- 8814:Urban 8794:Socio 8784:Rural 7905:Trend 7434:prior 7376:anova 7265:-test 7239:-test 7231:-test 7138:Power 7083:Pivot 6876:shape 6871:scale 6321:Shape 6301:Range 6246:Heinz 6221:Cubic 6157:Index 5940:: 1. 5919:JSTOR 5730:Notes 5672:Gretl 5660:Stata 3225:0;1,2 2173:error 2167:is a 2142:is a 2131:is a 1959:) is 542:error 536:is a 515:is a 500:is a 292:order 163:, or 130:with 9444:more 9168:Marx 9158:Mill 9143:List 9021:Neo- 8977:Neo- 8138:Test 7338:Sign 7190:Wald 6263:Mode 6201:Mean 6074:ISBN 6052:ISBN 6033:ISBN 5986:ISBN 5950:PMID 5633:vars 5512:i, j 4467:and 4228:The 1957:SVAR 594:mean 9408:Sen 9128:Say 8987:New 8720:Law 7318:BIC 7313:AIC 6099:doi 5942:doi 5911:doi 5866:doi 5791:doi 5758:doi 5689:LDT 5654:SAS 4899:Vec 4884:Cov 4402:Vec 4323:Vec 4185:): 3964:j,t 3957:i,t 3313:2. 3292:1. 3220:if 3217:1,t 2983:2,t 2913:is 296:lag 93:VAR 9540:: 6095:25 6093:. 5948:. 5917:. 5909:. 5897:48 5895:. 5878:^ 5862:57 5860:. 5820:41 5818:. 5812:. 5787:35 5785:. 5779:. 5754:21 5752:. 5748:. 5566:. 4475:. 3938:= 3276:, 3269:. 3264:1, 3257:+1 3253:1, 3243:2, 3208:2, 2976:. 1949:A 1933:. 894:. 874:. 487:th 479:−i 249:k. 240:, 167:, 159:, 115:. 9481:) 8983:) 8979:( 8839:) 8835:( 8459:e 8452:t 8445:v 7263:G 7237:F 7229:t 7217:Z 6936:V 6931:U 6133:e 6126:t 6119:v 6105:. 6101:: 6082:. 6060:. 6041:. 5994:. 5956:. 5944:: 5925:. 5913:: 5872:. 5868:: 5797:. 5793:: 5764:. 5760:: 5628:R 5560:A 5552:y 5532:. 5527:2 5523:A 5496:t 5492:y 5481:i 5465:2 5459:t 5455:e 5444:j 5427:. 5422:t 5418:e 5414:+ 5409:1 5403:t 5399:e 5395:A 5392:+ 5387:2 5381:t 5377:e 5371:2 5367:A 5363:+ 5358:3 5352:t 5348:y 5342:3 5338:A 5334:= 5329:t 5325:y 5298:; 5293:t 5289:e 5285:+ 5280:1 5274:t 5270:e 5266:A 5263:+ 5258:2 5252:t 5248:y 5242:2 5238:A 5234:= 5229:t 5225:y 5198:. 5193:1 5187:t 5183:e 5179:+ 5174:2 5168:t 5164:y 5160:A 5157:= 5152:1 5146:t 5142:y 5128:i 5124:j 5110:e 5090:y 5067:, 5062:t 5058:e 5054:+ 5049:1 5043:t 5039:y 5035:A 5032:= 5027:t 5023:y 4972:. 4952:1 4945:) 4936:Z 4932:Z 4928:( 4925:= 4922:) 4919:) 4910:B 4904:( 4894:( 4849:. 4842:) 4838:Z 4829:B 4820:Y 4817:( 4814:) 4811:Z 4802:B 4793:Y 4790:( 4784:1 4778:p 4775:k 4769:T 4765:1 4760:= 4732:p 4728:k 4709:t 4690:t 4671:T 4666:1 4663:= 4660:t 4649:1 4643:p 4640:k 4634:T 4630:1 4625:= 4586:t 4567:t 4548:T 4543:1 4540:= 4537:t 4527:T 4524:1 4519:= 4417:, 4414:) 4411:Y 4408:( 4396:) 4391:k 4387:I 4380:Z 4375:1 4368:) 4360:Z 4356:Z 4353:( 4350:( 4347:= 4344:) 4335:B 4329:( 4297:. 4292:1 4285:) 4277:Z 4273:Z 4270:( 4263:Z 4259:Y 4256:= 4247:B 4211:U 4208:+ 4205:Z 4202:B 4199:= 4196:Y 4148:) 4142:1 4134:0 4130:B 4126:( 4118:1 4110:0 4106:B 4102:= 4099:) 4092:) 4086:1 4078:0 4074:B 4070:( 4062:t 4052:t 4042:1 4034:0 4030:B 4026:( 4022:E 4018:= 4015:) 4007:t 4003:e 3997:t 3993:e 3989:( 3985:E 3981:= 3962:e 3955:Δ 3950:t 3946:Δ 3943:0 3940:B 3935:t 3931:e 3920:t 3916:t 3897:t 3893:e 3889:+ 3884:p 3878:t 3874:y 3868:p 3864:A 3860:+ 3854:+ 3849:2 3843:t 3839:y 3833:2 3829:A 3825:+ 3820:1 3814:t 3810:y 3804:1 3800:A 3796:+ 3793:c 3790:= 3785:t 3781:y 3766:p 3746:t 3742:e 3738:= 3733:t 3723:1 3715:0 3711:B 3702:p 3699:, 3693:, 3690:1 3687:= 3684:i 3674:i 3670:A 3666:= 3661:i 3657:B 3651:1 3643:0 3639:B 3634:, 3631:c 3628:= 3623:0 3619:c 3613:1 3605:0 3601:B 3574:, 3569:t 3559:1 3551:0 3547:B 3543:+ 3538:p 3532:t 3528:y 3522:p 3518:B 3512:1 3504:0 3500:B 3496:+ 3490:+ 3485:2 3479:t 3475:y 3469:2 3465:B 3459:1 3451:0 3447:B 3443:+ 3438:1 3432:t 3428:y 3422:1 3418:B 3412:1 3404:0 3400:B 3396:+ 3391:0 3387:c 3381:1 3373:0 3369:B 3365:= 3360:t 3356:y 3343:0 3340:B 3266:t 3261:y 3255:t 3250:y 3245:t 3240:y 3232:0 3229:B 3222:B 3215:y 3210:t 3205:y 3185:t 3182:, 3179:1 3171:+ 3166:1 3160:t 3157:, 3154:2 3150:y 3144:2 3141:, 3138:1 3135:; 3132:1 3128:B 3124:+ 3119:1 3113:t 3110:, 3107:1 3103:y 3097:1 3094:, 3091:1 3088:; 3085:1 3081:B 3077:+ 3072:t 3069:, 3066:2 3062:y 3056:2 3053:, 3050:1 3047:; 3044:0 3040:B 3031:1 3028:; 3025:0 3021:c 3017:= 3012:t 3009:, 3006:1 3002:y 2981:y 2964:0 2961:= 2958:) 2953:2 2945:, 2940:1 2932:( 2928:v 2925:o 2922:c 2907:i 2905:( 2891:2 2886:i 2878:= 2875:) 2870:i 2862:( 2858:r 2855:a 2852:v 2824:; 2819:] 2811:2 2806:2 2796:0 2789:0 2782:2 2777:1 2766:[ 2761:= 2758:) 2750:t 2740:t 2732:( 2728:E 2724:= 2695:, 2690:] 2682:t 2679:, 2676:2 2662:t 2659:, 2656:1 2645:[ 2640:+ 2635:] 2627:1 2621:t 2618:, 2615:2 2611:y 2601:1 2595:t 2592:, 2589:1 2585:y 2578:[ 2571:] 2563:2 2560:, 2557:2 2554:; 2551:1 2547:B 2539:1 2536:, 2533:2 2530:; 2527:1 2523:B 2513:2 2510:, 2507:1 2504:; 2501:1 2497:B 2489:1 2486:, 2483:1 2480:; 2477:1 2473:B 2466:[ 2461:+ 2456:] 2448:2 2445:; 2442:0 2438:c 2428:1 2425:; 2422:0 2418:c 2411:[ 2406:= 2401:] 2393:t 2390:, 2387:2 2383:y 2373:t 2370:, 2367:1 2363:y 2356:[ 2349:] 2343:1 2336:1 2333:, 2330:2 2327:; 2324:0 2320:B 2310:2 2307:, 2304:1 2301:; 2298:0 2294:B 2288:1 2282:[ 2251:= 2248:) 2240:t 2230:t 2222:( 2218:E 2203:( 2200:t 2192:i 2188:i 2184:0 2181:B 2169:k 2164:t 2160:Δ 2156:p 2152:i 2148:k 2144:k 2139:i 2137:B 2133:k 2129:0 2126:c 2109:, 2104:t 2096:+ 2091:p 2085:t 2081:y 2075:p 2071:B 2067:+ 2061:+ 2056:2 2050:t 2046:y 2040:2 2036:B 2032:+ 2027:1 2021:t 2017:y 2011:1 2007:B 2003:+ 1998:0 1994:c 1990:= 1985:t 1981:y 1975:0 1971:B 1927:I 1908:, 1903:] 1897:0 1888:t 1884:e 1877:[ 1872:+ 1867:] 1859:2 1853:t 1849:y 1839:1 1833:t 1829:y 1822:[ 1815:] 1809:0 1804:I 1795:2 1791:A 1783:1 1779:A 1772:[ 1767:+ 1762:] 1756:0 1749:c 1743:[ 1738:= 1733:] 1725:1 1719:t 1715:y 1705:t 1701:y 1694:[ 1662:t 1658:e 1654:+ 1649:2 1643:t 1639:y 1633:2 1629:A 1625:+ 1620:1 1614:t 1610:y 1604:1 1600:A 1596:+ 1593:c 1590:= 1585:t 1581:y 1564:p 1560:p 1552:p 1544:t 1526:. 1521:t 1518:, 1515:2 1511:e 1507:+ 1502:1 1496:t 1493:, 1490:2 1486:y 1480:2 1477:, 1474:2 1470:a 1466:+ 1461:1 1455:t 1452:, 1449:1 1445:y 1439:1 1436:, 1433:2 1429:a 1425:+ 1420:2 1416:c 1412:= 1407:t 1404:, 1401:2 1397:y 1372:t 1369:, 1366:1 1362:e 1358:+ 1353:1 1347:t 1344:, 1341:2 1337:y 1331:2 1328:, 1325:1 1321:a 1317:+ 1312:1 1306:t 1303:, 1300:1 1296:y 1290:1 1287:, 1284:1 1280:a 1276:+ 1271:1 1267:c 1263:= 1258:t 1255:, 1252:1 1248:y 1234:p 1230:A 1213:, 1208:] 1200:t 1197:, 1194:2 1190:e 1180:t 1177:, 1174:1 1170:e 1163:[ 1158:+ 1153:] 1145:1 1139:t 1136:, 1133:2 1129:y 1119:1 1113:t 1110:, 1107:1 1103:y 1096:[ 1089:] 1081:2 1078:, 1075:2 1071:a 1063:1 1060:, 1057:2 1053:a 1043:2 1040:, 1037:1 1033:a 1025:1 1022:, 1019:1 1015:a 1008:[ 1003:+ 998:] 990:2 986:c 976:1 972:c 965:[ 960:= 955:] 947:t 944:, 941:2 937:y 927:t 924:, 921:1 917:y 910:[ 888:k 884:p 854:U 851:+ 848:Z 845:B 842:= 839:Y 819:p 786:d 782:d 755:p 739:k 724:0 721:= 718:) 710:k 704:t 700:e 694:t 690:e 686:( 682:E 666:k 662:k 640:= 637:) 629:t 625:e 619:t 615:e 611:( 607:E 579:0 576:= 573:) 568:t 564:e 560:( 556:E 538:k 533:t 529:e 525:k 521:k 519:( 512:i 510:A 502:k 498:c 494:t 491:y 483:i 477:t 473:y 455:, 450:t 446:e 442:+ 437:p 431:t 427:y 421:p 417:A 413:+ 407:+ 402:2 396:t 392:y 386:2 382:A 378:+ 373:1 367:t 363:y 357:1 353:A 349:+ 346:c 343:= 338:t 334:y 320:p 316:p 312:p 308:p 304:p 300:p 282:y 278:i 274:t 269:t 267:, 265:i 261:y 253:k 244:t 242:y 234:T 230:t 219:k 203:) 197:( 192:) 188:( 174:. 91:( 79:) 73:( 68:) 64:( 50:. 23:.

Index

Var (disambiguation)
references
inline citations
improve
introducing
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stochastic process
autoregressive model
time series
economics
natural sciences
lagged
error term
structural models
simultaneous equations
list of references
related reading
external links
inline citations
improve
introducing
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endogenous
vector
matrix.
intercept
time-invariant
error
mean
covariance matrix

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