433:, predicted that 'catastrophic' shortages of water and energy supply would become increasingly harder to overcome, plunging the planet into war by 2020. Schwarz and Randall further claimed that major European cities would be sunk beneath rising seas as Britain is plunged into a 'Siberian' climate by 2020. At the time of the report's publishing, it became notable for its link to Marshall and its accusations that leadership of the Pentagon purportedly "covered up" the report for four months until it was obtained by the British weekly
475:, "There was every reason for Marshall to expect that Chinese modes of thought would be even more alien to American ways of thinking than the Soviet leadership's had been, and that some insight into the thinking of China's political and military leaders could be gleaned from surveying open source writings. Pillsbury's work on China, which Marshall had encouraged and supported since the early 1970s, illustrates both points." According to
31:
512:(R-TX) announced his death during a hearing, saying, "I can think of fewer people who have had a bigger impact of focusing our defense efforts, our national security, in the right direction than Mr. Marshall. He has been before our committee I don’t know how many times over the years. So I wanted to note that passing, but also to honor his memory because he made such a difference."
424:
In 2003, Marshall commissioned a report for the
Pentagon predicting that abrupt climate change could bring the planet to the edge of anarchy as countries develop a nuclear threat to defend and secure dwindling food, water and energy supplies. The report, authored by
412:
Marshall has been noted for fostering talent in younger associates, who then proceed to influential positions in and out of the federal government: "a slew of
Marshall's former staffers have gone on to industry, academia and military think tanks."
487:
obituary about
Marshall stated, "He had an uncanny ability to pick out only the most significant questions, then to drill down deeply," Pillsbury, a colleague of 45 years, said in an interview. "He developed an iconoclastic, contrarian image."
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and personally oversaw the creation of the Office of Net
Assessment where Marshall would become the first director. The original main task of the office was to provide strategic evaluations on nuclear war issues.
296:, students who were not enrolled in the generalist "Chicago Plan" undergraduate program pursued a course of study that led to a master's degree instead of the baccalaureate. Strongly influenced by
635:
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1214:
edited by
Jeffrey S. McKitrick and Robert G. Angevine (Jaffrey, NH : Andrew W. Marshall Foundation; Alexandria, VA : Institute for Defense Analyses, 2022). 331 pp.
336:, Marshall soon gained the cachet of being part of "a cadre of strategic thinkers" that coalesced at the RAND Corporation in the 1950s and 1960s, a group that also included
320:
After electing to defer his studies in favor of eventually pursuing a Ph.D. in statistics (a program not yet offered by the
University of Chicago), Marshall joined the
1089:
1285:
233:, Marshall remained in office during all successive administrations that followed until his retirement on January 2, 2015. He was succeeded in the role by
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in 1949. While he would briefly return to academia to cover Wallis's courses during the 1953-1954 term and continued to take statistics courses at
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253:, Marshall pursued autodidactic interests in history, literature and the natural and social sciences from a young age. He graduated from
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312:'s econometric model of the US economy; influential for its methodology, it has never been published except for a short abstract.
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Andrew
Marshall was consulted for the 1992 draft of Defense Planning Guidance (DPG), created by then-Defense Department staffers
954:
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March 26, 2019, obituary of
Marshall, "His gift was the framing of the question, the discovery of the critical question," said
981:
907:
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450:, stated that Marshall was one of the most important figures in changing Chinese defence thinking in the 1990s and 2000s.
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Biography about Andrew W. Marshall from the view of net assessment capability and disability with near-peer comparison
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and received the second-highest score on a citywide aptitude test for honors students similar in provenance to the
254:
281:, Marshall continued to work at Murray for the remainder of the war. He eventually resumed his formal studies at
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43:
218:(September 13, 1921 – March 26, 2019) was an American foreign policy strategist who served as director of the
293:
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named
Marshall one of its 2012 Top 100 Global Thinkers, "for thinking way, way outside the Pentagon box".
282:
178:
1232:- pdf file format - by John Schutte, Andrew W. Marshall and the Epistemic Community of the Cold War, 2015
881:
1148:"Andrew Marshall, RAND Researcher Who Founded Department of Defense's 'Internal Think-Tank,' Dies at 97"
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exhaustively. Our great hero was Andy
Marshall in the Pentagon. We translated every word he wrote.
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856:"An Abrupt Climate Change Scenario and its Implications for United States National Security"
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579:"Yoda still standing: Office of Pentagon futurist Andrew Marshall, 92, survives budget ax"
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716:(1994). "The Cowles Commission's Contributions to Econometrics at Chicago, 1939–1955".
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636:"DoD Announces Appointment of James Baker as Director of the Office of Net Assessment"
483:, a China expert who advised and worked with Mr. Marshall throughout his career." The
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The Last Warrior: Andrew Marshall and the Shaping of Modern American Defense Strategy
1018:
The Last Warrior: Andrew Marshall and the Shaping of Modern American Defense Strategy
554:"Pentagon weighs future of its inscrutable nonagenarian futurist, Andrew W. Marshall"
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The Last Warrior: Andrew Marshall and the Shaping of Modern American Defense Strategy
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Marshall, A. W. (1950). "A Test of Klein's Model III for Changes of Structure".
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1065:"Andrew Marshall, Pentagon's gnomic 'Yoda' of long-range planning, dies at 97"
325:
615:
421:, and Wolfowitz, among others, have been cited as Marshall "star protégés."
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Reflections on Net Assessment : Interviews with Andrew W. Marshall,
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508:, at the age of 97. House Armed Services Committee ranking member Rep.
246:
142:
468:
The Hundred-Year Marathon: China's Secret Strategy to Replace America
304:
in economics from the institution in 1949. His master's thesis was a
908:"Leaked Pentagon Report Warns Climate Change May Bring Famine, War"
453:
Andrew Marshall funded and published three best selling books by
265:) in 1939. After briefly working in a factory and attending the
202:
262:
882:"Now the Pentagon tells Bush: climate change will destroy us"
352:. Notably, he worked with Kahn on developing and advancing
292:
with graduate standing in 1945; under the chancellery of
1121:"Andrew Marshall, Pentagon's Threat Expert, Dies at 97"
1040:"Andrew Marshall, Pentagon's Threat Expert, Dies at 97"
690:
The Formation of Econometrics: A Historical Perspective
1174:"Andy Marshall, the Pentagon's 'Yoda,' dies at age 97"
269:
for a year, he dropped out to take a position at the
858:. Jet Propulsion Laboratory Pasadena, CA. Oct 2003.
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1016:Andrew F. Krepinevich Jr., Barry D. Watts (2015).
761:Assessing George W. Bush's Legacy: The Right Man?
226:from 1973 to 2015. Appointed to the position by
399:
1246:United States Department of Defense officials
974:China Debates the Future Security Environment
463:China Debates the Future Security Environment
8:
465:, and in 2015 an international bestseller,
56:January 14, 1973 – January 2, 2015
1225:Journalism coverage of Andrew W. Marshall.
446:, the main author of four Chinese defence
29:
18:
744:Lehman, Nicholas. "Dreaming About War."
381:, worked for Marshall during the 1970s.
364:Schlesinger would later become the U.S.
1205:(New York: Basic Books, 2015). 337 pp.
1201:Andrew F. Krepinevich, Barry D. Watts.
862:from the original on September 25, 2019
520:
442:In an interview in 2012, Major General
997:French, Howard W. (27 February 2015).
810:Silverstein, Ken. "The Man from ONA."
764:. Palgrave Macmillan US. p. 135.
758:I. Morgan and P. Davies, ed. (2010).
692:. Clarendon Press. pp. 137–138.
7:
1119:Barnes, Julian E. (March 26, 2019).
972:Pillsbury, Michael (December 2004).
504:Marshall died on March 26, 2019, in
1286:George Washington University alumni
976:. University Press of the Pacific.
530:Federal Staff Directory 2009/Winter
220:United States Department of Defense
1296:University of Detroit Mercy alumni
1096:. 26 November 2012. Archived from
16:American foreign policy strategist
14:
1306:Cass Technical High School alumni
1020:. Basic Books. pp. 239–240.
955:"Chinese Views of Future Warfare"
824:McGray, Douglas (February 2003).
1090:"The FP Top 100 Global Thinkers"
459:Chinese Views of Future Warfare
719:Journal of Economic Literature
1:
1301:Wayne State University alumni
999:"Panda Hugger Turned Slugger"
288:Marshall was admitted to the
1291:University of Chicago alumni
471:. According to a biography,
334:George Washington University
192:George Washington University
328:," at the behest of mentor
1322:
640:U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE
532:. CQ Press. p. 1395.
375:Secretary of the Air Force
255:Cass Technical High School
377:in the administration of
209:
120:
49:
37:
28:
1281:Economists from Michigan
786:"The dragon's new teeth"
407:—General Chen Zhou, PLA
360:Office of Net Assessment
241:Early life and education
224:Office of Net Assessment
44:Office of Net Assessment
1276:RAND Corporation people
1271:American game theorists
1251:American civil servants
294:Robert Maynard Hutchins
409:
283:Wayne State University
179:Wayne State University
528:Perry, Penny (2008).
290:University of Chicago
267:University of Detroit
257:(where he trained in
183:University of Chicago
175:University of Detroit
171:University of Chicago
1266:Writers from Detroit
930:"The quiet American"
604:"The quiet American"
366:Secretary of Defense
306:sensitivity analysis
160:Alexandria, Virginia
1069:The Washington Post
1003:Wall Street Journal
910:. AFP. Feb 24, 2004
836:on 6 September 2014
826:"The Marshall Plan"
506:Arlington, Virginia
354:Monte Carlo methods
271:Murray Body Company
1126:The New York Times
1044:The New York Times
560:. October 28, 2013
477:The New York Times
216:Andrew W. Marshall
140:September 13, 1921
104:Office established
814:October 25, 1999.
688:Qin, Duo (1993).
585:. 4 December 2013
481:Michael Pillsbury
455:Michael Pillsbury
346:James Schlesinger
213:
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143:Detroit, Michigan
81:George H. W. Bush
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338:Charles J. Hitch
324:, the original "
322:RAND Corporation
316:RAND Corporation
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125:Personal details
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485:Washington Post
419:Donald Rumsfeld
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350:Daniel Ellsberg
330:W. Allen Wallis
318:
300:, he earned an
298:Friedrich Hayek
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1182:. Retrieved
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1098:the original
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886:The Guardian
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436:The Observer
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431:Doug Randall
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383:
363:
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279:heart murmur
275:World War II
244:
215:
214:
155:(2019-03-26)
110:Succeeded by
93:Barack Obama
85:Bill Clinton
73:Jimmy Carter
51:
1261:2019 deaths
1256:1921 births
1104:28 November
812:The Nation,
415:Dick Cheney
401:We studied
371:James Roche
342:Herman Kahn
100:Preceded by
69:Gerald Ford
1240:Categories
1075:2019-03-27
1050:2019-03-26
1026:0465030009
983:1410218562
940:2019-04-01
914:January 3,
892:January 3,
866:January 3,
669:(3): 291.
645:2016-01-01
621:2015-07-21
589:2013-12-10
564:2013-12-10
516:References
326:think tank
245:Raised in
136:1921-09-13
1184:March 26,
1158:March 26,
1132:March 28,
616:0013-0613
461:in 1998,
444:Chen Zhou
285:in 1943.
277:due to a
259:machining
228:President
167:Education
61:President
52:In office
860:Archived
796:April 6,
251:Michigan
198:Nickname
840:20 July
732:2728422
675:1905802
247:Detroit
1024:
980:
768:
730:
696:
673:
614:
536:
392:, and
162:, U.S.
145:, U.S.
830:Wired
728:JSTOR
671:JSTOR
500:Death
348:and
1186:2019
1160:2019
1152:RAND
1134:2019
1106:2012
1022:ASIN
978:ISBN
916:2020
894:2020
868:2020
842:2015
798:2012
766:ISBN
694:ISBN
612:ISSN
534:ISBN
429:and
302:M.A.
203:Yoda
150:Died
130:Born
403:RMA
308:of
263:SAT
222:'s
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