135:
254:
1280:
111:
1854:
32:
737:
420:(10.4%). It had the highest share of: those who worked from home on census day 2013 (18.1%); those affiliated with the Ratana (Māori Christian) faith (4.7%); those affiliated with the Brethren religion (1.3%). Among general electorates in 2013, Northland had the second-lowest median family income ($ 51,400), and the lowest proportion of wage and salary workers (31.5%).
239:
231:
223:
746:
1832:
1810:
489:, stated that Peters had "zero chance" in the National Party stronghold, but softened his stance within days when the first opinion polls came out that had Peters at 35%, whilst Osborne sat at 30%.
1753:
1685:
1825:
1818:
475:
opined that Peters, aged 69 at the time of the election, would be too old for many voters to select as their new electorate MP. This was rejected by 85% of respondents to a
1844:
1721:
1635:
1264:
1514:
350:
was under investigation by police over an assault complaint. The reports were not confirmed by the New
Zealand Police, the Prime Minister or Sabin himself.
2108:
2103:
1764:
1862:
1475:
2093:
1879:
472:
353:
Sabin resigned from parliament on 30 January 2015 with immediate effect "due to personal issues that were best dealt with outside
Parliament."
1692:
2098:
319:
361:
The boundaries of the
Northland electorate are largely determined by the Northland coastline. The electorate extends from a line between
1985:
1980:
1793:
1572:
523:
519:
307:
69:
322:
on 30 January 2015. Northland was generally regarded as a safe
National seat; the party has held the seat since its creation for the
1231:
458:
323:
56:
46:
1315:
1297:
1176:
1858:
869:
508:
1962:
1913:
1203:
2054:
2008:
527:
1568:
2072:
2013:
1947:
482:
1731:
1621:
1420:
2064:
2041:
2023:
1995:
1972:
1939:
1923:
1905:
1889:
1871:
435:
confirmed that it would contest the by-election, with Mark
Osborne selected as candidate. National Party board member
1658:
1392:
2031:
1235:
1081:
804:
597:
432:
315:
278:
174:
1148:
134:
2049:
1524:
1373:
825:
621:
454:
179:
1789:
1593:
1447:
1343:
1120:
1957:
409:
334:. As Peters was already a list MP for his party, this allowed New Zealand First an additional list member,
1663:
1598:
1485:
1480:
1452:
1397:
1348:
1301:
1125:
995:
974:
953:
515:
440:
1952:
1320:
1181:
386:
1631:
1058:
450:
362:
412:(1.2%). Among general electorates Northland had the second-largest proportion of those from the
1377:
1208:
1074:
830:
781:
626:
571:
504:
464:
446:
417:
331:
293:
169:
159:
932:
408:
The
Northland electorate experienced low population growth between the censuses in 2006 and
253:
1284:
1283: This article incorporates text by the Parliamentary Library available under the
1279:
1239:
890:
500:
402:
366:
413:
1760:
786:
576:
468:
436:
327:
289:
149:
2087:
1717:
1510:
1042:
493:
110:
732:
denotes the winner of the by-election, who was a list MP prior to the by-election.
378:
1853:
1626:
1425:
1153:
374:
911:
398:
347:
311:
274:
1448:"National nightmare: Winston Peters takes aim at Mike Sabin's Northland seat"
1548:
753:
370:
727:
denotes a candidate elected from their party list prior to the by-election.
848:
486:
390:
335:
310:
on 28 March 2015. The seat had been vacated following the resignation of
394:
382:
1726:
1519:
477:
1659:"Winston Peters an early favourite for Northland byelection - poll"
1476:"Winston Peters is too 'twilight' for Northlanders - Andrew Little"
1931:
There were no by-elections during the term of the 48th
Parliament.
1897:
There were no by-elections during the term of the 46th
Parliament.
1814:
346:
In
December 2014 New Zealand media reported that Northland MP
439:
also contested
National's selection, along with Mita Harris,
453:
councillor who contested the Northland electorate for the
258:
Northland electorate boundaries used for the by-election
1177:"Sabin in the spotlight as assault allegation surfaces"
416:
ethnic group (37.1%), as well as those who could speak
1594:"Election 2014: 11 votes later, candidate's vanished"
704:
The following table shows final by-election results:
1754:"One News Colmar Brunton Northland by-election poll"
1259:
1257:
2063:
2040:
2022:
1994:
1971:
1938:
1922:
1904:
1888:
1870:
75:
67:
1232:"Mike Sabin announces resignation as Northland MP"
1149:"National MP Mike Sabin in police assault inquiry"
514:Adam Holland, Adrian Bonner and Bruce Rogan were
1722:"Northland by-election: Peters way out in front"
518:candidates. Holland had previously stood in the
265:
503:candidate. Joe Carr contested the election for
1691:. Colmar Brunton. 8 March 2015. Archived from
1204:"Police tight-lipped about assault allegation"
1826:
1563:
1561:
1559:
428:Eleven candidates contested the by-election.
8:
381:and environs. The major communities include
23:
1505:
1503:
1393:"Little joy looms for Labour in byelection"
1833:
1819:
1811:
1369:
1367:
537:
22:
471:contested the by-election. Labour leader
1790:"Northland by-election official results"
706:
1515:"Peters on track to win Northland seat"
1421:"Peters says Northland seat 'winnable'"
1111:
1419:Rutherford, Hamish (9 February 2015).
722:denotes the winner of the by-election.
1622:"Poll puts Peters ahead in Northland"
1057:
1041:
680:
663:
646:
540:
7:
511:and Rob Painting the Climate Party.
1686:"Q+A Colmar Brunton Northland poll"
1391:Armstrong, John (3 February 2015).
507:while Maki Herbert represented the
86:
1569:"Information for Northland Voters"
1267:. Parliamentary Library. June 2015
1175:Bennett, Adam (22 December 2014).
1119:Bennett, Adam (22 December 2014).
520:2013 Christchurch East by-election
14:
1638:from the original on 6 April 2015
1316:"Northland MP Mike Sabin resigns"
1147:Lomas, David (21 December 2014).
1121:"Cloud over National MP's future"
2109:Politics of the Northland Region
2104:March 2015 events in New Zealand
1852:
1657:Trevett, Claire (5 March 2015).
1344:"Northland by-election date set"
1278:
991:
970:
949:
928:
907:
886:
865:
844:
821:
800:
777:
744:
735:
509:Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party
461:, was again Labour's candidate.
252:
238:
237:
230:
229:
222:
221:
133:
109:
30:
1763:. 26 March 2015. Archived from
1298:Osborne wins National candidacy
524:2013 Ikaroa-Rawhiti by-election
1374:Hopefuls line up for Northland
1265:"Northland electorate profile"
530:at the 2014 general election.
306:A by-election was held in the
1:
2094:2015 elections in New Zealand
369:on the west coast (including
1546:"Key rethinking Northland".
756:, win or lose respectively.
481:and Reid Research poll. The
2099:By-elections in New Zealand
1859:By-elections in New Zealand
1552:. 7 March 2015. p. A2.
2125:
1880:1998 Taranaki-King Country
1236:New Zealand National Party
711:2015 Northland by-election
365:on the east coast and the
326:. The election was won by
24:2015 Northland by-election
1027:
1013:
761:
716:
709:
625:
620:
601:
596:
575:
570:
561:
556:
551:
546:
543:
263:
250:
83:
40:
28:
681:Maximum margin of error
320:House of Representatives
562:One News/Colmar Brunton
552:One News/Colmar Brunton
443:, and Karen Rolleston.
16:New Zealand by-election
1986:2013 Christchurch East
1664:The New Zealand Herald
1599:The New Zealand Herald
1486:Television New Zealand
1453:The New Zealand Herald
1398:The New Zealand Herald
1349:The New Zealand Herald
1302:The New Zealand Herald
1126:The New Zealand Herald
752:denotes status of any
492:Reuben Porter was the
338:, to join parliament.
1321:The Northern Advocate
1182:The Northern Advocate
499:Robin Grieve was the
1794:Electoral Commission
1698:on 23 September 2015
1573:Electoral Commission
357:Northland electorate
308:Northland electorate
1981:2013 Ikaroa-Rāwhiti
1963:2011 Te Tai Tokerau
1914:2004 Te Tai Hauauru
1632:Fairfax New Zealand
1602:. 22 September 2014
1059:Registered electors
25:
2055:2022 Hamilton West
2009:2016 Mount Roskill
1865:era (1996–present)
1456:. 27 February 2015
1305:, 28 February 2015
1212:. 21 December 2014
451:Far North District
270:MP before election
186:Popular vote
2081:
2080:
2073:2023 Port Waikato
2014:2017 Mount Albert
1948:2009 Mount Albert
1849:
1720:(25 March 2015).
1381:, 9 February 2015
1378:Radio New Zealand
1352:. 2 February 2015
1324:. 30 January 2015
1242:. 30 January 2015
1234:(Press release).
1209:Radio New Zealand
1100:
1099:
1029:Total Valid votes
870:Legalise Cannabis
831:Willow-Jean Prime
730:Yellow background
697:
696:
647:Other/Don't know
627:Willow-Jean Prime
557:TV3/Reid Research
547:TV3/Reid Research
505:Focus New Zealand
465:New Zealand First
447:Willow-Jean Prime
332:New Zealand First
304:
303:
300:
299:
294:New Zealand First
246:
245:
160:Willow-Jean Prime
63:
62:
2116:
1857:
1856:
1841:
1835:
1828:
1821:
1812:
1805:
1804:
1802:
1800:
1786:
1780:
1779:
1777:
1775:
1770:on 26 March 2015
1769:
1758:
1750:
1744:
1743:
1741:
1739:
1734:on 27 March 2015
1730:. Archived from
1714:
1708:
1707:
1705:
1703:
1697:
1690:
1682:
1676:
1675:
1673:
1671:
1654:
1648:
1647:
1645:
1643:
1634:. 5 March 2015.
1618:
1612:
1611:
1609:
1607:
1590:
1584:
1583:
1581:
1579:
1565:
1554:
1553:
1543:
1537:
1536:
1534:
1532:
1527:on 18 March 2015
1523:. Archived from
1513:(5 March 2015).
1507:
1498:
1497:
1495:
1493:
1472:
1466:
1465:
1463:
1461:
1444:
1438:
1437:
1435:
1433:
1416:
1410:
1409:
1407:
1405:
1388:
1382:
1371:
1362:
1361:
1359:
1357:
1340:
1334:
1333:
1331:
1329:
1312:
1306:
1295:
1289:
1282:
1276:
1274:
1272:
1261:
1252:
1251:
1249:
1247:
1228:
1222:
1221:
1219:
1217:
1200:
1194:
1193:
1191:
1189:
1172:
1166:
1165:
1163:
1161:
1144:
1138:
1137:
1135:
1133:
1116:
751:
748:
747:
742:
739:
738:
731:
726:
721:
707:
538:
266:
256:
241:
240:
233:
232:
225:
224:
156:
137:
125:
113:
85:
84:
42:
41:
35:
34:
33:
26:
2124:
2123:
2119:
2118:
2117:
2115:
2114:
2113:
2084:
2083:
2082:
2077:
2065:54th Parliament
2059:
2042:53rd Parliament
2036:
2024:52nd Parliament
2018:
1996:51st Parliament
1990:
1973:50th Parliament
1967:
1940:49th Parliament
1934:
1924:48th Parliament
1918:
1906:47th Parliament
1900:
1890:46th Parliament
1884:
1872:45th Parliament
1866:
1851:
1839:
1809:
1808:
1798:
1796:
1788:
1787:
1783:
1773:
1771:
1767:
1756:
1752:
1751:
1747:
1737:
1735:
1716:
1715:
1711:
1701:
1699:
1695:
1688:
1684:
1683:
1679:
1669:
1667:
1656:
1655:
1651:
1641:
1639:
1620:
1619:
1615:
1605:
1603:
1592:
1591:
1587:
1577:
1575:
1567:
1566:
1557:
1545:
1544:
1540:
1530:
1528:
1509:
1508:
1501:
1491:
1489:
1474:
1473:
1469:
1459:
1457:
1446:
1445:
1441:
1431:
1429:
1418:
1417:
1413:
1403:
1401:
1390:
1389:
1385:
1372:
1365:
1355:
1353:
1342:
1341:
1337:
1327:
1325:
1314:
1313:
1309:
1296:
1292:
1270:
1268:
1263:
1262:
1255:
1245:
1243:
1230:
1229:
1225:
1215:
1213:
1202:
1201:
1197:
1187:
1185:
1174:
1173:
1169:
1159:
1157:
1146:
1145:
1141:
1131:
1129:
1118:
1117:
1113:
1108:
1102:
1014:Informal votes
749:
745:
740:
736:
733:
729:
728:
725:Pink background
724:
723:
720:Blue background
719:
702:
563:
558:
553:
548:
536:
534:Opinion polling
426:
403:Mangawhai Heads
377:, but excludes
367:Kaipara Harbour
359:
344:
292:
287:
277:
272:
264:
259:
251:
154:
141:
140:
139:
138:
126:
121:
117:
116:
115:
114:
79:29,590 (64.39%)
68:
36:
31:
29:
17:
12:
11:
5:
2122:
2120:
2112:
2111:
2106:
2101:
2096:
2086:
2085:
2079:
2078:
2076:
2075:
2069:
2067:
2061:
2060:
2058:
2057:
2052:
2046:
2044:
2038:
2037:
2035:
2034:
2032:2018 Northcote
2028:
2026:
2020:
2019:
2017:
2016:
2011:
2006:
2004:2015 Northland
2000:
1998:
1992:
1991:
1989:
1988:
1983:
1977:
1975:
1969:
1968:
1966:
1965:
1960:
1955:
1950:
1944:
1942:
1936:
1935:
1933:
1932:
1928:
1926:
1920:
1919:
1917:
1916:
1910:
1908:
1902:
1901:
1899:
1898:
1894:
1892:
1886:
1885:
1883:
1882:
1876:
1874:
1868:
1867:
1840:
1838:
1837:
1830:
1823:
1815:
1807:
1806:
1781:
1761:Colmar Brunton
1745:
1718:Gower, Patrick
1709:
1677:
1649:
1613:
1585:
1555:
1538:
1511:Gower, Patrick
1499:
1488:. 3 March 2015
1467:
1439:
1411:
1383:
1363:
1335:
1307:
1290:
1253:
1223:
1195:
1167:
1139:
1110:
1109:
1107:
1104:
1098:
1097:
1095:
1092:
1089:
1084:
1072:
1069:
1068:
1066:
1064:
1061:
1055:
1054:
1051:
1048:
1045:
1039:
1038:
1036:
1034:
1031:
1025:
1024:
1021:
1018:
1015:
1011:
1010:
1007:
1004:
1001:
998:
993:
990:
989:
986:
983:
980:
979:Adrian Bonner
977:
972:
969:
968:
965:
962:
959:
956:
951:
948:
947:
944:
941:
938:
935:
930:
927:
926:
923:
920:
917:
916:Reuben Porter
914:
909:
906:
905:
902:
899:
896:
893:
888:
885:
884:
881:
878:
875:
872:
867:
864:
863:
860:
857:
854:
851:
846:
843:
842:
839:
836:
833:
828:
823:
820:
819:
816:
813:
810:
807:
802:
799:
798:
795:
792:
789:
787:Winston Peters
784:
779:
776:
775:
772:
769:
766:
763:
759:
758:
714:
713:
701:
698:
695:
694:
691:
688:
685:
682:
678:
677:
674:
671:
668:
665:
661:
660:
657:
654:
651:
648:
645:
642:
641:
638:
635:
632:
629:
624:
619:
616:
615:
612:
609:
606:
603:
600:
595:
592:
591:
588:
585:
582:
579:
577:Winston Peters
574:
569:
566:
565:
560:
555:
550:
545:
542:
535:
532:
483:Prime Minister
469:Winston Peters
437:Grant McCallum
433:National Party
425:
422:
358:
355:
343:
340:
328:Winston Peters
316:National Party
302:
301:
298:
297:
290:Winston Peters
282:
261:
260:
257:
248:
247:
244:
243:
235:
227:
219:
215:
214:
211:
208:
203:
199:
198:
195:
192:
187:
183:
182:
177:
172:
167:
163:
162:
157:
152:
150:Winston Peters
147:
143:
142:
132:
131:
130:
129:
127:
120:
118:
108:
107:
106:
105:
103:
99:
98:
95:
92:
89:
81:
80:
77:
73:
72:
65:
64:
61:
60:
54:
49:
38:
37:
15:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
2121:
2110:
2107:
2105:
2102:
2100:
2097:
2095:
2092:
2091:
2089:
2074:
2071:
2070:
2068:
2066:
2062:
2056:
2053:
2051:
2050:2022 Tauranga
2048:
2047:
2045:
2043:
2039:
2033:
2030:
2029:
2027:
2025:
2021:
2015:
2012:
2010:
2007:
2005:
2002:
2001:
1999:
1997:
1993:
1987:
1984:
1982:
1979:
1978:
1976:
1974:
1970:
1964:
1961:
1959:
1956:
1954:
1951:
1949:
1946:
1945:
1943:
1941:
1937:
1930:
1929:
1927:
1925:
1921:
1915:
1912:
1911:
1909:
1907:
1903:
1896:
1895:
1893:
1891:
1887:
1881:
1878:
1877:
1875:
1873:
1869:
1864:
1860:
1855:
1847:
1846:
1836:
1831:
1829:
1824:
1822:
1817:
1816:
1813:
1795:
1791:
1785:
1782:
1766:
1762:
1755:
1749:
1746:
1733:
1729:
1728:
1723:
1719:
1713:
1710:
1694:
1687:
1681:
1678:
1666:
1665:
1660:
1653:
1650:
1637:
1633:
1629:
1628:
1623:
1617:
1614:
1601:
1600:
1595:
1589:
1586:
1574:
1570:
1564:
1562:
1560:
1556:
1551:
1550:
1542:
1539:
1526:
1522:
1521:
1516:
1512:
1506:
1504:
1500:
1487:
1483:
1482:
1477:
1471:
1468:
1455:
1454:
1449:
1443:
1440:
1428:
1427:
1422:
1415:
1412:
1400:
1399:
1394:
1387:
1384:
1380:
1379:
1375:
1370:
1368:
1364:
1351:
1350:
1345:
1339:
1336:
1323:
1322:
1317:
1311:
1308:
1304:
1303:
1299:
1294:
1291:
1288:
1286:
1281:
1266:
1260:
1258:
1254:
1241:
1237:
1233:
1227:
1224:
1211:
1210:
1205:
1199:
1196:
1184:
1183:
1178:
1171:
1168:
1156:
1155:
1150:
1143:
1140:
1128:
1127:
1122:
1115:
1112:
1105:
1103:
1096:
1093:
1090:
1088:
1085:
1083:
1079:
1076:
1073:
1071:
1070:
1067:
1065:
1062:
1060:
1056:
1052:
1049:
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1000:Adam Holland
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984:
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895:Robin Grieve
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837:
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829:
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809:Mark Osborne
808:
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764:
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623:
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602:Mark Osborne
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583:
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568:
567:
539:
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531:
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494:Mana Movement
490:
488:
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473:Andrew Little
470:
466:
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459:2014 election
456:
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324:1996 election
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104:
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100:
96:
94:Second party
93:
90:
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78:
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59: →
58:
55:
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52:28 March 2015
50:
48:
45:←
44:
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27:
21:
19:
2003:
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1784:
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1765:the original
1748:
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1732:the original
1725:
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1693:the original
1680:
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1662:
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1625:
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1124:
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1101:
1086:
1077:
1028:
958:Bruce Rogan
717:
710:
703:
664:Sample size
564:22–25 March
559:19–22 March
513:
498:
491:
476:
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455:Labour Party
445:
430:
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407:
360:
352:
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288:
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273:
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205:
189:
155:Mark Osborne
122:
97:Third party
91:First party
57:2017 general
51:
47:2014 general
20:
18:
1958:2011 Botany
1845:(1939–1995)
1627:Stuff.co.nz
1460:27 February
1432:10 February
1426:stuff.co.nz
1271:19 December
1154:stuff.co.nz
996:Independent
975:Independent
954:Independent
516:independent
496:candidate.
375:Cape Reinga
202:Percentage
2088:Categories
1799:4 December
1404:3 February
1356:2 February
1328:30 January
1246:30 January
1216:31 January
1188:31 January
1160:31 January
1132:31 January
1106:References
912:Mana Party
765:Candidate
554:3–6 March
549:2–4 March
544:Candidate
424:Candidates
399:Dargaville
348:Mike Sabin
342:Background
312:Mike Sabin
285:Elected MP
275:Mike Sabin
146:Candidate
1953:2010 Mana
1549:The Press
1285:CC BY 3.0
853:Joe Carr
754:incumbent
441:Matt King
379:Whangārei
371:Wellsford
318:from the
70:Northland
1774:26 March
1738:25 March
1702:18 March
1636:Archived
1606:19 March
1481:One News
1287:license.
1087:Majority
1082:National
1075:NZ First
805:National
782:NZ First
598:National
572:NZ First
487:John Key
391:Kerikeri
336:Ria Bond
279:National
242:21.22pp
234:13.32pp
175:National
170:NZ First
1861:in the
1850:
1842:«
1670:5 March
1642:5 March
1578:5 March
1531:5 March
1492:5 March
1063:45,955
1053:−14.51
1047:29,590
1043:Turnout
1033:29,548
933:Climate
841:−21.22
818:−13.32
812:11,648
797:+54.45
791:16,089
718:Notes:
700:Results
526:and in
467:leader
457:at the
395:Kaikohe
387:Russell
383:Kaitaia
314:of the
226:54.5pp
194:11,648
102:
88:
76:Turnout
1848:«
1727:3 News
1520:3 News
1094:15.03
1091:4,441
1050:64.39
1023:−1.05
1009:+0.05
988:+0.06
967:+0.08
946:+0.13
925:+0.20
904:−0.35
883:+0.32
862:−4.41
835:1,380
826:Labour
815:39.42
794:54.45
768:Votes
762:Party
622:Labour
541:Party
522:, the
478:3 News
218:Swing
210:39.4%
197:1,380
190:16,089
180:Labour
166:Party
1768:(PDF)
1757:(PDF)
1696:(PDF)
1689:(PDF)
1240:Scoop
1080:from
1020:0.14
1006:0.05
985:0.06
964:0.08
943:0.13
922:0.20
901:0.23
880:0.32
859:0.38
849:Focus
838:4.67
693:4.4%
690:4.4%
687:4.4%
684:4.4%
528:Epsom
418:Māori
414:Māori
373:) to
363:Leigh
213:4.7%
206:54.5%
1801:2016
1776:2015
1740:2015
1704:2015
1672:2015
1644:2015
1608:2015
1580:2015
1533:2015
1494:2015
1462:2015
1434:2015
1406:2015
1358:2015
1330:2015
1273:2016
1248:2015
1218:2015
1190:2015
1162:2015
1134:2015
1078:gain
856:113
676:501
673:500
670:500
667:500
650:19%
637:10%
634:20%
631:16%
614:36%
611:34%
608:36%
605:30%
590:53%
587:54%
584:36%
581:35%
449:, a
431:The
410:2013
401:and
1863:MMP
1017:42
1003:16
982:17
961:24
940:39
919:60
898:68
891:ACT
877:94
774:±%
743:or
659:2%
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653:8%
640:9%
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