Knowledge (XXG)

Predictability

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cases like this, it has been proven that individuals smell better to someone with complementary immunity genes, leading to more physical attraction. Genetics can be examined to determine if an individual is predisposed to any diseases, and behavioral disorders can most often be explained by analyzing defects in genetic code. Scientist who focus on examples like these argue that human behavior is entirely predictable. Those on the other side of the debate argue that genetics can only provide a predisposition to act a certain way and that, ultimately, humans possess the free will to choose whether or not to act.
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squirrels about predators. If a ground squirrel sees a predator on land it will elicit a trill after it gets to safety, which signals to nearby squirrels that they should stand up on their hind legs and attempt to locate the predator. When a predator is seen in the air, a ground squirrel will immediately call out a long whistle, putting himself in danger but signaling for nearby squirrels to run for cover. Through experimentation and examination scientists have been able to chart behaviors like this and very accurately predict how animals behave in certain situations.
1516: 4358: 215:, and other experimental methods indicates that in addition to integrating each subsequent word into the context formed by previously encountered words, language users may, under certain conditions, try to predict upcoming words. Predictability has been shown to affect both text and speech processing, as well as speech production. Further, predictability has been shown to have an effect on syntactic, semantic and pragmatic comprehension. 1508: 165:, which claims that a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil can cause a tornado in Texas. The nature of chaos theory suggests that the predictability of any system is limited because it is impossible to know all of the minutiae of a system at the present time. In principle, the deterministic systems that chaos theory attempts to analyze can be predicted, but uncertainty in a forecast increases exponentially with elapsed time. 4344: 85:
in the universe from the beginning of time, it would be possible to predict the behavior of every atom into the future. Laplace's determinism is usually thought to be based on his mechanics, but he could not prove mathematically that mechanics is deterministic. Rather, his determinism is based on general philosophical principles, specifically on the principle of sufficient reason and the law of continuity.
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chaotic solutions, recent studies using a generalized Lorenz model have focused on the coexistence of chaotic and regular solutions that appear within the same model using the same modeling configurations but different initial conditions. The results, with attractor coexistence, suggest that the entirety of weather possesses a dual nature of chaos and order with distinct predictability.
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not limited to Consumption, Investment, Real GNP, and Capital Stock. Factors that are involved in the predictability of an economic system include the range of the forecast (is the forecast two years "out" or twenty) and the variability of estimates. Mathematical processes for assessing the predictability of macroeconomic trends are still in development.
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Using a slowly varying, periodic heating parameter within a generalized Lorenz model, Shen and his co-authors suggested a revised view: “The atmosphere possesses chaos and order; it includes, as examples, emerging organized systems (such as tornadoes) and time varying forcing from recurrent seasons”.
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Animals have significantly more predictable behavior than humans. Driven by natural selection, animals develop mating calls, predator warnings, and communicative dances. One example of these engrained behaviors is the Belding's ground squirrel, which developed a specific set of calls that warn nearby
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is a supreme intelligence who could completely predict the one possible future given the Newtonian dynamical laws of classical physics and perfect knowledge of the positions and velocities of all the particles in the world. In other words, if it were possible to have every piece of data on every atom
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Predictability in macroeconomics refers most frequently to the degree to which an economic model accurately reflects quarterly data and the degree to which one might successfully identify the internal propagation mechanisms of models. Examples of US macroeconomic series of interest include but are
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A contemporary example of human-computer interaction manifests in the development of computer vision algorithms for collision-avoidance software in self-driving cars. Researchers at NVIDIA Corporation, Princeton University, and other institutions are leveraging deep learning to teach computers to
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Over 50 years since Lorenz's 1963 study and a follow-up presentation in 1972, the statement “weather is chaotic” has been well accepted. Such a view turns our attention from regularity associated with Laplace's view of determinism to irregularity associated with chaos. In contrast to single-type
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Significant debate exists in the scientific community over whether or not a person's behavior is completely predictable based on their genetics. Studies such as the one in Israel, which showed that judges were more likely to give a lighter sentence if they had eaten more recently. In addition to
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Another example of human-computer interaction are computer simulations meant to predict human behavior based on algorithms. For example, MIT has recently developed an incredibly accurate algorithm to predict the behavior of humans. When tested against television shows, the algorithm was able to
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As documented in, three major kinds of butterfly effects within Lorenz studies include: the sensitive dependence on initial conditions, the ability of a tiny perturbation to create an organized circulation at large distances, and the hypothetical role of small-scale processes in contributing to
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has a strong relationship with predictability. Perfect predictability implies strict determinism, but lack of predictability does not necessarily imply lack of determinism. Limitations on predictability could be caused by factors such as a lack of information or excessive complexity.
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focuses on the behavior of systems that are highly sensitive to initial conditions. It suggests that a small change in an initial condition can completely alter the progression of a system. This phenomenon is known as the
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The study of predictability often sparks debate between those who believe humans maintain complete control over their free-will and those who believe our actions are predetermined. However, it is likely that neither
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predict with great accuracy the subsequent actions of characters. Algorithms and computer simulations like these show great promise for the future of artificial intelligence.
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Shen, Bo-Wen; Pielke, Roger; Zeng, Xubin; Cui, Jialin; Faghih-Naini, Sara; Paxson, Wei; Kesarkar, Amit; Zeng, Xiping; Atlas, Robert (2022-11-12).
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In experimental physics, there are always observational errors determining variables such as positions and velocities. So perfect prediction is
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is difficult. It is unknown why it is difficult, although many theories have been proposed. There is some thought that the cause is due to the
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occurring whenever information about a word or other linguistic unit is activated before that unit is actually encountered. Evidence from
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notes that our ability to predict future detailed climate interactions is difficult, however, long term climate forecasts are possible.
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The spring predictability barrier refers to a period of time early in the year when making summer weather predictions about the
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Shen, Bo-Wen; Pielke, Roger A.; Zeng, Xubin; Baik, Jong-Jin; Faghih-Naini, Sara; Cui, Jialin; Atlas, Robert (2021-01-01).
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Sherman, Paul W (1985). "Alarm calls of Belding's ground squirrels to aerial predators: Nepotism or self-preservation?".
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Shen, Bo-Wen; Pielke, Roger A.; Zeng, Xubin; Cui, Jialin; Faghih-Naini, Sara; Paxson, Wei; Atlas, Robert (2022-07-04).
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Shen, Bo-Wen; Pielke Sr., R. A.; Zeng, X.; Baik, J.-J.; Faghih-Naini, S.; Cui, J.; Atlas, R.; Reyes, T. A. L. (2021).
181:, predictability is the property to forecast the consequences of a user action given the current state of the system. 4091: 4058: 1743: 1810: 4063: 3806: 3565: 3471: 3451: 3359: 3070: 2888: 2371: 2243: 1268: 278:
and other weather phenomenon become more common, the predictability of climate systems becomes more important. The
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Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H. L. Miller Jr., Eds (2007).
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puts limits on the accuracy with which such quantities can be known. So such perfect predictability is also
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anticipate subsequent road scenarios based on visual information about current and previous states.
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finite predictability. The three kinds of butterfly effects are not exactly the same.
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can sometimes be predicted, there exists no general rule to predict the
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Degree to which a correct prediction of a system's state can be made
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if it is possible to know the next state from the present time.
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Text was derived from this source, which is available under a
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13th Chaotic Modeling and Simulation International Conference
909:"Aggregated Negative Feedback in a Generalized Lorenz Model" 256:
saw the study of predictability as relating to determinism.
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Shen, Bo-Wen; Pielke, Roger A.; Zeng, Xubin (2022-05-07).
361:"On the origins and foundations of Laplacian determinism" 1023:. In Skiadas, Christos H.; Dimotikalis, Yiannis (eds.). 492:
10.1175/1520-0469(1963)020<0130:DNF>2.0.CO;2
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transition where conditions are more rapidly shifting.
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
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can be made, either qualitatively or quantitatively.
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Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH)
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Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part A
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(1979-09-01). 880:Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis 409:Sync: The Emerging Science of Spontaneous Order 913:International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos 2088: 1269: 8: 892:: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list ( 708:"The AI Car Computer for Autonomous Driving" 286:The dual nature with distinct predictability 113:of systems distanced from equilibrium, e.g. 4142: 4129: 4046: 3852: 3721: 3696: 3467: 3443: 3171: 2954: 2755: 2742: 2525: 2512: 2151: 2142: 2129: 2095: 2081: 2073: 1581: 1295: 1276: 1262: 1254: 784:"Gene research finds opposites do attract" 1156: 1089: 932: 756:"Teaching machines to predict the future" 683: 579: 490: 438: 203:Linguistic prediction is a phenomenon in 351: 223:In the study of biology – particularly 4059:Kaplan–Meier estimator (product limit) 885: 853:"Predictability of the Climate System" 857:Working Group I: The Scientific Basis 731:"Deep Learning for Self -driving Car" 7: 4369: 4069:Accelerated failure time (AFT) model 512: 510: 460: 458: 199:Prediction in language comprehension 4381: 3664:Analysis of variance (ANOVA, anova) 1416:Measure-preserving dynamical system 805:Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology 471:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 156:The branch of mathematics known as 3759:Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel statistics 2385:Pearson product-moment correlation 270:Butterfly effect § In weather 101:that a system will evolve to, and 14: 1984:Oleksandr Mykolayovych Sharkovsky 22:is the degree to which a correct 4380: 4368: 4356: 4343: 4342: 1514: 1506: 1112: 554:Lorenz, Edward N. (1969-01-01). 467:"Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow" 465:Lorenz, Edward N. (1963-03-01). 359:van Strien, Marij (2014-03-01). 57:impossible. Moreover, in modern 4018:Least-squares spectral analysis 1216:Journal of Applied Econometrics 2999:Mean-unbiased minimum-variance 1749:Rabinovich–Fabrikant equations 970:Journal of Statistical Physics 1: 4312:Geographic information system 3528:Simultaneous equations models 532:Lorenz, Edward (2022-08-17). 299:Spring predictability barrier 173:In human–computer interaction 3495:Coefficient of determination 3106:Uniformly most powerful test 1207:Diebold, Francis X. (2001). 1033:10.1007/978-3-030-70795-8_57 305:El Niño–Southern Oscillation 193:In human sentence processing 95:second law of thermodynamics 42:Predictability and causality 4064:Proportional hazards models 4008:Spectral density estimation 3990:Vector autoregression (VAR) 3424:Maximum posterior estimator 2656:Randomized controlled trial 1484:PoincarĂ© recurrence theorem 907:Shen, Bo-Wen (2019-03-01). 629:10.1088/0951-7715/27/9/r123 605:"The real butterfly effect" 581:10.3402/tellusa.v21i3.10086 440:10.3390/encyclopedia2030084 388:10.1016/j.shpsa.2013.12.003 4430: 3824:Multivariate distributions 2244:Average absolute deviation 1479:Poincaré–Bendixson theorem 263: 196: 179:human–computer interaction 4338: 4141: 4128: 3812:Structural equation model 3720: 3695: 3466: 3442: 3174: 3148:Score/Lagrange multiplier 2754: 2741: 2563:Sample size determination 2524: 2511: 2141: 2128: 2110: 1831:Swinging Atwood's machine 1504: 1474:Krylov–Bogolyubov theorem 1351: 934:10.1142/S0218127419500378 4307:Environmental statistics 3829:Elliptical distributions 3622:Generalized linear model 3551:Simple linear regression 3321:Hodges–Lehmann estimator 2778:Probability distribution 2687:Stochastic approximation 2249:Coefficient of variation 1739:Lotka–Volterra equations 1563:Synchronization of chaos 1366:axiom A dynamical system 1091:10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0165.1 266:Potential predictability 213:event-related potentials 127:Kolmogorov–Sinai entropy 3967:Cross-correlation (XCF) 3575:Non-standard predictors 3009:Lehmann–ScheffĂ© theorem 2682:Adaptive clinical trial 1724:Double scroll attractor 1489:Stable manifold theorem 1396:False nearest neighbors 517:Lorenz, Edward (1993). 374:(Supplement C): 24–31. 67:indeterminacy principle 4363:Mathematics portal 4184:Engineering statistics 4092:Nelson–Aalen estimator 3669:Analysis of covariance 3556:Ordinary least squares 3480:Pearson product-moment 2884:Statistical functional 2795:Empirical distribution 2628:Controlled experiments 2357:Frequency distribution 2135:Descriptive statistics 1764:Van der Pol oscillator 1744:Mackey–Glass equations 1376:Box-counting dimension 919:(3): 1950037–1950091. 736:. Princeton University 260:In weather and climate 89:In statistical physics 4414:Statistical mechanics 4279:Population statistics 4221:System identification 3955:Autocorrelation (ACF) 3883:Exponential smoothing 3797:Discriminant analysis 3792:Canonical correlation 3656:Partition of variance 3518:Regression validation 3362:(Jonckheere–Terpstra) 3261:Likelihood-ratio test 2950:Frequentist inference 2862:Location–scale family 2783:Sampling distribution 2748:Statistical inference 2715:Cross-sectional study 2702:Observational studies 2661:Randomized experiment 2490:Stem-and-leaf display 2292:Central limit theorem 1914:Svetlana Jitomirskaya 1821:Multiscroll attractor 1666:Interval exchange map 1619:Dyadic transformation 1604:Complex quadratic map 1446:Topological conjugacy 1381:Correlation dimension 1356:Anosov diffeomorphism 1180:L'Heureux, Michelle. 1158:10.3390/atmos13111892 685:10.3390/atmos13050753 76: 4202:Probabilistic design 3787:Principal components 3630:Exponential families 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1609:Coupled map lattice 1469:Liouville's theorem 1401:Hausdorff dimension 1386:Conservative system 1371:Bifurcation diagram 1149:2022Atmos..13.1892S 1082:2021BAMS..102E.148S 982:1979JSP....21..263Y 925:2019IJBC...2950037S 676:2022Atmos..13..753S 621:2014Nonli..27R.123P 572:1969Tell...21..289L 483:1963JAtS...20..130L 380:2014SHPSA..45...24V 151:predictable process 143:stochastic analysis 107:dissipative systems 4294:Spatial statistics 4174:Medical statistics 4074:First hitting time 4028:Whittle likelihood 3679:Degrees of freedom 3674:Multivariate ANOVA 3607:Heteroscedasticity 3419:Bayesian estimator 3384:Bayesian inference 3233:Kolmogorov–Smirnov 3118:Randomization test 3088:Testing hypotheses 3061:Tolerance interval 2972:Maximum likelihood 2867:Exponential family 2800:Density estimation 2760:Statistical theory 2720:Natural experiment 2666:Scientific control 2583:Survey methodology 2269:Standard deviation 2062:Santa Fe Institute 1929:Aleksandr Lyapunov 1759:Three-body problem 1646:Gingerbreadman map 1533:Bifurcation theory 1411:Lyapunov stability 990:10.1007/BF01011469 817:10.1007/BF00293209 243:In popular culture 131:Lyapunov exponents 97:can determine the 47:Causal determinism 4396: 4395: 4334: 4333: 4330: 4329: 4269:National accounts 4239:Actuarial science 4231:Social statistics 4124: 4123: 4120: 4119: 4116: 4115: 4051:Survival function 4036: 4035: 3898:Granger causality 3739:Contingency table 3714:Survival analysis 3691: 3690: 3687: 3686: 3543:Linear regression 3438: 3437: 3434: 3433: 3409:Credible interval 3378: 3377: 3161: 3160: 2977:Method of moments 2846:Parametric family 2807:Statistical model 2737: 2736: 2733: 2732: 2651:Random assignment 2573:Statistical power 2507: 2506: 2503: 2502: 2352:Contingency table 2322: 2321: 2189:Generalized/power 2070: 2069: 1934:BenoĂźt Mandelbrot 1899:Martin Gutzwiller 1889:Peter Grassberger 1772: 1771: 1754:Rössler attractor 1502: 1501: 1406:Invariant measure 1328:Lyapunov exponent 1042:978-3-030-70795-8 315:In macroeconomics 205:psycholinguistics 125:can be measured ( 99:equilibrium state 63:Werner Heisenberg 59:quantum mechanics 4421: 4384: 4383: 4372: 4371: 4361: 4360: 4346: 4345: 4249:Crime statistics 4143: 4130: 4047: 4013:Fourier analysis 4000:Frequency domain 3980: 3927: 3893:Structural break 3853: 3802:Cluster analysis 3749:Log-linear model 3722: 3697: 3638: 3612:Homoscedasticity 3468: 3444: 3363: 3355: 3347: 3346:(Kruskal–Wallis) 3331: 3316: 3271:Cross validation 3256: 3238:Anderson–Darling 3185: 3172: 3143:Likelihood-ratio 3135:Parametric tests 3113:Permutation test 3096:1- & 2-tails 2987:Minimum distance 2959:Point estimation 2955: 2906:Optimal decision 2857: 2756: 2743: 2725:Quasi-experiment 2675:Adaptive designs 2526: 2513: 2390:Rank correlation 2152: 2143: 2130: 2097: 2090: 2083: 2074: 2042:Butterfly effect 1954:Itamar Procaccia 1904:Brosl Hasslacher 1801:Elastic pendulum 1729:Duffing equation 1676:Kaplan–Yorke map 1594:Arnold's cat map 1582: 1558:Stability theory 1543:Dynamical system 1538:Control of chaos 1518: 1510: 1494:Takens's theorem 1426:PoincarĂ© section 1296: 1278: 1271: 1264: 1255: 1248: 1247: 1213: 1204: 1198: 1197: 1195: 1193: 1177: 1171: 1170: 1160: 1128: 1122: 1116: 1111: 1093: 1076:(1): E148–E158. 1061: 1055: 1054: 1016: 1010: 1009: 961: 955: 954: 936: 904: 898: 897: 891: 883: 875: 869: 868: 866: 864: 849: 843: 842: 839:"Predictability" 835: 829: 828: 800: 794: 793: 780: 774: 773: 766: 760: 759: 752: 746: 745: 743: 741: 735: 726: 720: 719: 717: 715: 704: 698: 697: 687: 655: 649: 648: 615:(9): R123–R141. 600: 594: 593: 583: 551: 545: 544: 538: 529: 523: 522: 514: 505: 504: 494: 462: 453: 452: 442: 433:(3): 1250–1259. 418: 412: 406: 400: 399: 365: 356: 177:In the study of 163:butterfly effect 4429: 4428: 4424: 4423: 4422: 4420: 4419: 4418: 4399: 4398: 4397: 4392: 4355: 4326: 4288: 4225: 4211:quality control 4178: 4160:Clinical trials 4137: 4112: 4096: 4084:Hazard function 4078: 4032: 3994: 3978: 3941: 3937:Breusch–Godfrey 3925: 3902: 3842: 3817:Factor analysis 3763: 3744:Graphical model 3716: 3683: 3650: 3636: 3616: 3570: 3537: 3499: 3462: 3461: 3430: 3374: 3361: 3353: 3345: 3329: 3314: 3293:Rank statistics 3287: 3266:Model selection 3254: 3212:Goodness of fit 3206: 3183: 3157: 3129: 3082: 3027: 3016:Median unbiased 2944: 2855: 2788:Order statistic 2750: 2729: 2696: 2670: 2622: 2577: 2520: 2518:Data collection 2499: 2411: 2366: 2340: 2318: 2278: 2230: 2147:Continuous data 2137: 2124: 2106: 2101: 2071: 2066: 2034: 2028: 1974:Caroline Series 1869:Mary Cartwright 1851: 1845: 1796:Double pendulum 1778: 1768: 1717: 1710: 1636:Exponential map 1587: 1573: 1567: 1525: 1519: 1512: 1498: 1464:Ergodic theorem 1457: 1450: 1441:Stable manifold 1431:Recurrence plot 1347: 1301: 1287: 1282: 1252: 1251: 1228:10.1002/jae.619 1211: 1206: 1205: 1201: 1191: 1189: 1179: 1178: 1174: 1130: 1129: 1125: 1063: 1062: 1058: 1043: 1018: 1017: 1013: 963: 962: 958: 906: 905: 901: 884: 877: 876: 872: 862: 860: 851: 850: 846: 837: 836: 832: 802: 801: 797: 789:TheGuardian.com 782: 781: 777: 768: 767: 763: 758:. 21 June 2016. 754: 753: 749: 739: 737: 733: 728: 727: 723: 713: 711: 706: 705: 701: 657: 656: 652: 602: 601: 597: 553: 552: 548: 536: 531: 530: 526: 516: 515: 508: 464: 463: 456: 420: 419: 415: 407: 403: 363: 358: 357: 353: 348: 326: 317: 301: 288: 272: 262: 245: 221: 201: 195: 175: 139: 115:chaotic systems 91: 82:Laplace's demon 79: 77:Laplace's demon 44: 17: 12: 11: 5: 4427: 4425: 4417: 4416: 4411: 4401: 4400: 4394: 4393: 4391: 4390: 4378: 4366: 4352: 4339: 4336: 4335: 4332: 4331: 4328: 4327: 4325: 4324: 4319: 4314: 4309: 4304: 4298: 4296: 4290: 4289: 4287: 4286: 4281: 4276: 4271: 4266: 4261: 4256: 4251: 4246: 4241: 4235: 4233: 4227: 4226: 4224: 4223: 4218: 4213: 4204: 4199: 4194: 4188: 4186: 4180: 4179: 4177: 4176: 4171: 4166: 4157: 4155:Bioinformatics 4151: 4149: 4139: 4138: 4133: 4126: 4125: 4122: 4121: 4118: 4117: 4114: 4113: 4111: 4110: 4104: 4102: 4098: 4097: 4095: 4094: 4088: 4086: 4080: 4079: 4077: 4076: 4071: 4066: 4061: 4055: 4053: 4044: 4038: 4037: 4034: 4033: 4031: 4030: 4025: 4020: 4015: 4010: 4004: 4002: 3996: 3995: 3993: 3992: 3987: 3982: 3974: 3969: 3964: 3963: 3962: 3960:partial (PACF) 3951: 3949: 3943: 3942: 3940: 3939: 3934: 3929: 3921: 3916: 3910: 3908: 3907:Specific tests 3904: 3903: 3901: 3900: 3895: 3890: 3885: 3880: 3875: 3870: 3865: 3859: 3857: 3850: 3844: 3843: 3841: 3840: 3839: 3838: 3837: 3836: 3821: 3820: 3819: 3809: 3807:Classification 3804: 3799: 3794: 3789: 3784: 3779: 3773: 3771: 3765: 3764: 3762: 3761: 3756: 3754:McNemar's test 3751: 3746: 3741: 3736: 3730: 3728: 3718: 3717: 3700: 3693: 3692: 3689: 3688: 3685: 3684: 3682: 3681: 3676: 3671: 3666: 3660: 3658: 3652: 3651: 3649: 3648: 3632: 3626: 3624: 3618: 3617: 3615: 3614: 3609: 3604: 3599: 3594: 3592:Semiparametric 3589: 3584: 3578: 3576: 3572: 3571: 3569: 3568: 3563: 3558: 3553: 3547: 3545: 3539: 3538: 3536: 3535: 3530: 3525: 3520: 3515: 3509: 3507: 3501: 3500: 3498: 3497: 3492: 3487: 3482: 3476: 3474: 3464: 3463: 3460: 3459: 3454: 3448: 3447: 3440: 3439: 3436: 3435: 3432: 3431: 3429: 3428: 3427: 3426: 3416: 3411: 3406: 3405: 3404: 3399: 3388: 3386: 3380: 3379: 3376: 3375: 3373: 3372: 3367: 3366: 3365: 3357: 3349: 3333: 3330:(Mann–Whitney) 3325: 3324: 3323: 3310: 3309: 3308: 3297: 3295: 3289: 3288: 3286: 3285: 3284: 3283: 3278: 3273: 3263: 3258: 3255:(Shapiro–Wilk) 3250: 3245: 3240: 3235: 3230: 3222: 3216: 3214: 3208: 3207: 3205: 3204: 3196: 3187: 3175: 3169: 3167:Specific tests 3163: 3162: 3159: 3158: 3156: 3155: 3150: 3145: 3139: 3137: 3131: 3130: 3128: 3127: 3122: 3121: 3120: 3110: 3109: 3108: 3098: 3092: 3090: 3084: 3083: 3081: 3080: 3079: 3078: 3073: 3063: 3058: 3053: 3048: 3043: 3037: 3035: 3029: 3028: 3026: 3025: 3020: 3019: 3018: 3013: 3012: 3011: 3006: 2991: 2990: 2989: 2984: 2979: 2974: 2963: 2961: 2952: 2946: 2945: 2943: 2942: 2937: 2932: 2931: 2930: 2920: 2915: 2914: 2913: 2903: 2902: 2901: 2896: 2891: 2881: 2876: 2871: 2870: 2869: 2864: 2859: 2843: 2842: 2841: 2836: 2831: 2821: 2820: 2819: 2814: 2804: 2803: 2802: 2792: 2791: 2790: 2780: 2775: 2770: 2764: 2762: 2752: 2751: 2746: 2739: 2738: 2735: 2734: 2731: 2730: 2728: 2727: 2722: 2717: 2712: 2706: 2704: 2698: 2697: 2695: 2694: 2689: 2684: 2678: 2676: 2672: 2671: 2669: 2668: 2663: 2658: 2653: 2648: 2643: 2638: 2632: 2630: 2624: 2623: 2621: 2620: 2618:Standard error 2615: 2610: 2605: 2604: 2603: 2598: 2587: 2585: 2579: 2578: 2576: 2575: 2570: 2565: 2560: 2555: 2550: 2548:Optimal design 2545: 2540: 2534: 2532: 2522: 2521: 2516: 2509: 2508: 2505: 2504: 2501: 2500: 2498: 2497: 2492: 2487: 2482: 2477: 2472: 2467: 2462: 2457: 2452: 2447: 2442: 2437: 2432: 2427: 2421: 2419: 2413: 2412: 2410: 2409: 2404: 2403: 2402: 2397: 2387: 2382: 2376: 2374: 2368: 2367: 2365: 2364: 2359: 2354: 2348: 2346: 2345:Summary tables 2342: 2341: 2339: 2338: 2332: 2330: 2324: 2323: 2320: 2319: 2317: 2316: 2315: 2314: 2309: 2304: 2294: 2288: 2286: 2280: 2279: 2277: 2276: 2271: 2266: 2261: 2256: 2251: 2246: 2240: 2238: 2232: 2231: 2229: 2228: 2223: 2218: 2217: 2216: 2211: 2206: 2201: 2196: 2191: 2186: 2181: 2179:Contraharmonic 2176: 2171: 2160: 2158: 2149: 2139: 2138: 2133: 2126: 2125: 2123: 2122: 2117: 2111: 2108: 2107: 2102: 2100: 2099: 2092: 2085: 2077: 2068: 2067: 2065: 2064: 2059: 2057:Predictability 2054: 2049: 2044: 2038: 2036: 2030: 2029: 2027: 2026: 2024:Lai-Sang Young 2021: 2019:James A. Yorke 2016: 2014:Amie Wilkinson 2011: 2006: 2001: 1996: 1991: 1986: 1981: 1976: 1971: 1966: 1961: 1956: 1951: 1949:Henri PoincarĂ© 1946: 1941: 1936: 1931: 1926: 1921: 1916: 1911: 1906: 1901: 1896: 1891: 1886: 1881: 1876: 1871: 1866: 1861: 1855: 1853: 1847: 1846: 1844: 1843: 1838: 1833: 1828: 1823: 1818: 1816:Kicked rotator 1813: 1808: 1803: 1798: 1793: 1788: 1786:Chua's circuit 1782: 1780: 1774: 1773: 1770: 1769: 1767: 1766: 1761: 1756: 1751: 1746: 1741: 1736: 1731: 1726: 1720: 1718: 1715: 1712: 1711: 1709: 1708: 1706:Zaslavskii map 1703: 1701:Tinkerbell map 1698: 1693: 1688: 1683: 1678: 1673: 1668: 1663: 1658: 1653: 1648: 1643: 1638: 1633: 1632: 1631: 1621: 1616: 1611: 1606: 1601: 1596: 1590: 1588: 1585: 1579: 1569: 1568: 1566: 1565: 1560: 1555: 1550: 1548:Ergodic theory 1545: 1540: 1535: 1529: 1527: 1521: 1520: 1505: 1503: 1500: 1499: 1497: 1496: 1491: 1486: 1481: 1476: 1471: 1466: 1460: 1458: 1455: 1452: 1451: 1449: 1448: 1443: 1438: 1433: 1428: 1423: 1418: 1413: 1408: 1403: 1398: 1393: 1388: 1383: 1378: 1373: 1368: 1363: 1358: 1352: 1349: 1348: 1346: 1345: 1340: 1338:Periodic point 1335: 1330: 1325: 1320: 1315: 1310: 1304: 1302: 1299: 1293: 1289: 1288: 1283: 1281: 1280: 1273: 1266: 1258: 1250: 1249: 1222:(6): 657–669. 1199: 1172: 1123: 1056: 1041: 1011: 976:(3): 263–277. 956: 899: 870: 844: 830: 811:(4): 313–323. 795: 792:. 24 May 2009. 775: 761: 747: 729:Chen, Chenyi. 721: 699: 650: 595: 566:(3): 289–307. 546: 524: 506: 477:(2): 130–141. 454: 413: 401: 350: 349: 347: 344: 343: 342: 337: 332: 325: 322: 316: 313: 300: 297: 287: 284: 276:climate change 261: 258: 244: 241: 220: 217: 197:Main article: 194: 191: 174: 171: 147:random process 138: 137:In mathematics 135: 111:time evolution 90: 87: 78: 75: 43: 40: 20:Predictability 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 4426: 4415: 4412: 4410: 4407: 4406: 4404: 4389: 4388: 4379: 4377: 4376: 4367: 4365: 4364: 4359: 4353: 4351: 4350: 4341: 4340: 4337: 4323: 4320: 4318: 4317:Geostatistics 4315: 4313: 4310: 4308: 4305: 4303: 4300: 4299: 4297: 4295: 4291: 4285: 4284:Psychometrics 4282: 4280: 4277: 4275: 4272: 4270: 4267: 4265: 4262: 4260: 4257: 4255: 4252: 4250: 4247: 4245: 4242: 4240: 4237: 4236: 4234: 4232: 4228: 4222: 4219: 4217: 4214: 4212: 4208: 4205: 4203: 4200: 4198: 4195: 4193: 4190: 4189: 4187: 4185: 4181: 4175: 4172: 4170: 4167: 4165: 4161: 4158: 4156: 4153: 4152: 4150: 4148: 4147:Biostatistics 4144: 4140: 4136: 4131: 4127: 4109: 4108:Log-rank test 4106: 4105: 4103: 4099: 4093: 4090: 4089: 4087: 4085: 4081: 4075: 4072: 4070: 4067: 4065: 4062: 4060: 4057: 4056: 4054: 4052: 4048: 4045: 4043: 4039: 4029: 4026: 4024: 4021: 4019: 4016: 4014: 4011: 4009: 4006: 4005: 4003: 4001: 3997: 3991: 3988: 3986: 3983: 3981: 3979:(Box–Jenkins) 3975: 3973: 3970: 3968: 3965: 3961: 3958: 3957: 3956: 3953: 3952: 3950: 3948: 3944: 3938: 3935: 3933: 3932:Durbin–Watson 3930: 3928: 3922: 3920: 3917: 3915: 3914:Dickey–Fuller 3912: 3911: 3909: 3905: 3899: 3896: 3894: 3891: 3889: 3888:Cointegration 3886: 3884: 3881: 3879: 3876: 3874: 3871: 3869: 3866: 3864: 3863:Decomposition 3861: 3860: 3858: 3854: 3851: 3849: 3845: 3835: 3832: 3831: 3830: 3827: 3826: 3825: 3822: 3818: 3815: 3814: 3813: 3810: 3808: 3805: 3803: 3800: 3798: 3795: 3793: 3790: 3788: 3785: 3783: 3780: 3778: 3775: 3774: 3772: 3770: 3766: 3760: 3757: 3755: 3752: 3750: 3747: 3745: 3742: 3740: 3737: 3735: 3734:Cohen's kappa 3732: 3731: 3729: 3727: 3723: 3719: 3715: 3711: 3707: 3703: 3698: 3694: 3680: 3677: 3675: 3672: 3670: 3667: 3665: 3662: 3661: 3659: 3657: 3653: 3647: 3643: 3639: 3633: 3631: 3628: 3627: 3625: 3623: 3619: 3613: 3610: 3608: 3605: 3603: 3600: 3598: 3595: 3593: 3590: 3588: 3587:Nonparametric 3585: 3583: 3580: 3579: 3577: 3573: 3567: 3564: 3562: 3559: 3557: 3554: 3552: 3549: 3548: 3546: 3544: 3540: 3534: 3531: 3529: 3526: 3524: 3521: 3519: 3516: 3514: 3511: 3510: 3508: 3506: 3502: 3496: 3493: 3491: 3488: 3486: 3483: 3481: 3478: 3477: 3475: 3473: 3469: 3465: 3458: 3455: 3453: 3450: 3449: 3445: 3441: 3425: 3422: 3421: 3420: 3417: 3415: 3412: 3410: 3407: 3403: 3400: 3398: 3395: 3394: 3393: 3390: 3389: 3387: 3385: 3381: 3371: 3368: 3364: 3358: 3356: 3350: 3348: 3342: 3341: 3340: 3337: 3336:Nonparametric 3334: 3332: 3326: 3322: 3319: 3318: 3317: 3311: 3307: 3306:Sample median 3304: 3303: 3302: 3299: 3298: 3296: 3294: 3290: 3282: 3279: 3277: 3274: 3272: 3269: 3268: 3267: 3264: 3262: 3259: 3257: 3251: 3249: 3246: 3244: 3241: 3239: 3236: 3234: 3231: 3229: 3227: 3223: 3221: 3218: 3217: 3215: 3213: 3209: 3203: 3201: 3197: 3195: 3193: 3188: 3186: 3181: 3177: 3176: 3173: 3170: 3168: 3164: 3154: 3151: 3149: 3146: 3144: 3141: 3140: 3138: 3136: 3132: 3126: 3123: 3119: 3116: 3115: 3114: 3111: 3107: 3104: 3103: 3102: 3099: 3097: 3094: 3093: 3091: 3089: 3085: 3077: 3074: 3072: 3069: 3068: 3067: 3064: 3062: 3059: 3057: 3054: 3052: 3049: 3047: 3044: 3042: 3039: 3038: 3036: 3034: 3030: 3024: 3021: 3017: 3014: 3010: 3007: 3005: 3002: 3001: 3000: 2997: 2996: 2995: 2992: 2988: 2985: 2983: 2980: 2978: 2975: 2973: 2970: 2969: 2968: 2965: 2964: 2962: 2960: 2956: 2953: 2951: 2947: 2941: 2938: 2936: 2933: 2929: 2926: 2925: 2924: 2921: 2919: 2916: 2912: 2911:loss function 2909: 2908: 2907: 2904: 2900: 2897: 2895: 2892: 2890: 2887: 2886: 2885: 2882: 2880: 2877: 2875: 2872: 2868: 2865: 2863: 2860: 2858: 2852: 2849: 2848: 2847: 2844: 2840: 2837: 2835: 2832: 2830: 2827: 2826: 2825: 2822: 2818: 2815: 2813: 2810: 2809: 2808: 2805: 2801: 2798: 2797: 2796: 2793: 2789: 2786: 2785: 2784: 2781: 2779: 2776: 2774: 2771: 2769: 2766: 2765: 2763: 2761: 2757: 2753: 2749: 2744: 2740: 2726: 2723: 2721: 2718: 2716: 2713: 2711: 2708: 2707: 2705: 2703: 2699: 2693: 2690: 2688: 2685: 2683: 2680: 2679: 2677: 2673: 2667: 2664: 2662: 2659: 2657: 2654: 2652: 2649: 2647: 2644: 2642: 2639: 2637: 2634: 2633: 2631: 2629: 2625: 2619: 2616: 2614: 2613:Questionnaire 2611: 2609: 2606: 2602: 2599: 2597: 2594: 2593: 2592: 2589: 2588: 2586: 2584: 2580: 2574: 2571: 2569: 2566: 2564: 2561: 2559: 2556: 2554: 2551: 2549: 2546: 2544: 2541: 2539: 2536: 2535: 2533: 2531: 2527: 2523: 2519: 2514: 2510: 2496: 2493: 2491: 2488: 2486: 2483: 2481: 2478: 2476: 2473: 2471: 2468: 2466: 2463: 2461: 2458: 2456: 2453: 2451: 2448: 2446: 2443: 2441: 2440:Control chart 2438: 2436: 2433: 2431: 2428: 2426: 2423: 2422: 2420: 2418: 2414: 2408: 2405: 2401: 2398: 2396: 2393: 2392: 2391: 2388: 2386: 2383: 2381: 2378: 2377: 2375: 2373: 2369: 2363: 2360: 2358: 2355: 2353: 2350: 2349: 2347: 2343: 2337: 2334: 2333: 2331: 2329: 2325: 2313: 2310: 2308: 2305: 2303: 2300: 2299: 2298: 2295: 2293: 2290: 2289: 2287: 2285: 2281: 2275: 2272: 2270: 2267: 2265: 2262: 2260: 2257: 2255: 2252: 2250: 2247: 2245: 2242: 2241: 2239: 2237: 2233: 2227: 2224: 2222: 2219: 2215: 2212: 2210: 2207: 2205: 2202: 2200: 2197: 2195: 2192: 2190: 2187: 2185: 2182: 2180: 2177: 2175: 2172: 2170: 2167: 2166: 2165: 2162: 2161: 2159: 2157: 2153: 2150: 2148: 2144: 2140: 2136: 2131: 2127: 2121: 2118: 2116: 2113: 2112: 2109: 2105: 2098: 2093: 2091: 2086: 2084: 2079: 2078: 2075: 2063: 2060: 2058: 2055: 2053: 2052:Edge of chaos 2050: 2048: 2045: 2043: 2040: 2039: 2037: 2031: 2025: 2022: 2020: 2017: 2015: 2012: 2010: 2009:Marcelo Viana 2007: 2005: 2002: 2000: 1999:Audrey Terras 1997: 1995: 1994:Floris Takens 1992: 1990: 1987: 1985: 1982: 1980: 1977: 1975: 1972: 1970: 1967: 1965: 1962: 1960: 1957: 1955: 1952: 1950: 1947: 1945: 1942: 1940: 1937: 1935: 1932: 1930: 1927: 1925: 1922: 1920: 1917: 1915: 1912: 1910: 1907: 1905: 1902: 1900: 1897: 1895: 1894:Celso Grebogi 1892: 1890: 1887: 1885: 1882: 1880: 1877: 1875: 1874:Chen Guanrong 1872: 1870: 1867: 1865: 1862: 1860: 1859:Michael Berry 1857: 1856: 1854: 1848: 1842: 1839: 1837: 1834: 1832: 1829: 1827: 1824: 1822: 1819: 1817: 1814: 1812: 1809: 1807: 1804: 1802: 1799: 1797: 1794: 1792: 1789: 1787: 1784: 1783: 1781: 1775: 1765: 1762: 1760: 1757: 1755: 1752: 1750: 1747: 1745: 1742: 1740: 1737: 1735: 1734:Lorenz system 1732: 1730: 1727: 1725: 1722: 1721: 1719: 1713: 1707: 1704: 1702: 1699: 1697: 1694: 1692: 1689: 1687: 1684: 1682: 1681:Langton's ant 1679: 1677: 1674: 1672: 1669: 1667: 1664: 1662: 1659: 1657: 1656:Horseshoe map 1654: 1652: 1649: 1647: 1644: 1642: 1639: 1637: 1634: 1630: 1627: 1626: 1625: 1622: 1620: 1617: 1615: 1612: 1610: 1607: 1605: 1602: 1600: 1597: 1595: 1592: 1591: 1589: 1583: 1580: 1577: 1570: 1564: 1561: 1559: 1556: 1554: 1553:Quantum chaos 1551: 1549: 1546: 1544: 1541: 1539: 1536: 1534: 1531: 1530: 1528: 1522: 1517: 1513: 1509: 1495: 1492: 1490: 1487: 1485: 1482: 1480: 1477: 1475: 1472: 1470: 1467: 1465: 1462: 1461: 1459: 1453: 1447: 1444: 1442: 1439: 1437: 1434: 1432: 1429: 1427: 1424: 1422: 1419: 1417: 1414: 1412: 1409: 1407: 1404: 1402: 1399: 1397: 1394: 1392: 1389: 1387: 1384: 1382: 1379: 1377: 1374: 1372: 1369: 1367: 1364: 1362: 1361:Arnold tongue 1359: 1357: 1354: 1353: 1350: 1344: 1341: 1339: 1336: 1334: 1331: 1329: 1326: 1324: 1321: 1319: 1316: 1314: 1311: 1309: 1306: 1305: 1303: 1297: 1294: 1290: 1286: 1279: 1274: 1272: 1267: 1265: 1260: 1259: 1256: 1245: 1241: 1237: 1233: 1229: 1225: 1221: 1217: 1210: 1203: 1200: 1187: 1183: 1176: 1173: 1168: 1164: 1159: 1154: 1150: 1146: 1142: 1138: 1134: 1127: 1124: 1120: 1115: 1109: 1105: 1101: 1097: 1092: 1087: 1083: 1079: 1075: 1071: 1067: 1060: 1057: 1052: 1048: 1044: 1038: 1034: 1030: 1026: 1022: 1015: 1012: 1007: 1003: 999: 995: 991: 987: 983: 979: 975: 971: 967: 960: 957: 952: 948: 944: 940: 935: 930: 926: 922: 918: 914: 910: 903: 900: 895: 889: 881: 874: 871: 858: 854: 848: 845: 840: 834: 831: 826: 822: 818: 814: 810: 806: 799: 796: 791: 790: 785: 779: 776: 771: 765: 762: 757: 751: 748: 732: 725: 722: 709: 703: 700: 695: 691: 686: 681: 677: 673: 669: 665: 661: 654: 651: 646: 642: 638: 634: 630: 626: 622: 618: 614: 610: 606: 599: 596: 591: 587: 582: 577: 573: 569: 565: 561: 557: 550: 547: 542: 535: 528: 525: 520: 513: 511: 507: 502: 498: 493: 488: 484: 480: 476: 472: 468: 461: 459: 455: 450: 446: 441: 436: 432: 428: 424: 417: 414: 410: 405: 402: 397: 393: 389: 385: 381: 377: 373: 369: 362: 355: 352: 345: 341: 338: 336: 333: 331: 328: 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Chua 1836:Tilt-A-Whirl 1806:FPUT problem 1691:Standard map 1686:Logistic map 1511: 1285:Chaos theory 1219: 1215: 1202: 1192:26 September 1190:. Retrieved 1185: 1175: 1143:(11): 1892. 1140: 1136: 1126: 1073: 1069: 1059: 1024: 1014: 973: 969: 959: 916: 912: 902: 879: 873: 863:26 September 861:. Retrieved 856: 847: 833: 808: 804: 798: 787: 778: 764: 750: 740:27 September 738:. Retrieved 724: 714:27 September 712:. 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Index

prediction
forecast
system
state
Causal determinism
quantum mechanics
Werner Heisenberg
indeterminacy principle
Laplace's demon
second law of thermodynamics
equilibrium state
steady states
dissipative systems
time evolution
chaotic systems
trajectories
phase space
Kolmogorov–Sinai entropy
Lyapunov exponents
stochastic analysis
random process
predictable process
Chaos Theory
butterfly effect
human–computer interaction
Prediction in language comprehension
psycholinguistics
eyetracking
event-related potentials
genetics

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