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Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning

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114:. The first problem in the first chapter is to guess the rule according to which the successive terms of the following sequence are chosen: 11, 31, 41, 61, 71, 101, 131, . . . In the next chapter the techniques of generalization, specialization and analogy are presented as possible strategies for plausible reasoning. In the remaining chapters, these ideas are illustrated by discussing the discovery of several results in various fields of mathematics like number theory, geometry, etc. and also in physical sciences. 35: 106:, but as a way of guessing new results. He shows how the chance observations of a few results of the form 4 = 2 + 2, 6 = 3 + 3, 8 = 3 + 5, 10 = 3 + 7, etc., may prompt a sharp mind to formulate the conjecture that every even number greater than 4 can be represented as the sum of two odd 126:. The relation of these patterns with the calculus of probability are also investigated. Their relation to mathematical invention and instruction are also discussed. The following are some of the patterns of plausible inference discussed by Polya. 80:
describing various methods for being a good guesser of new mathematical results. In the Preface to Volume 1 of the book Pólya exhorts all interested students of mathematics thus: "Certainly, let us learn proving, but also let us learn guessing."
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Alexanderson, G. L. (1979-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning: Vol. I: Induction and Analogy in Mathematics; Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning: Vol. II: Patterns of Plausible Inference, George Polya".
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Meserve, Bruce E. (1955-01-01). "Review of Induction and Analogy in Mathematics, Vol. I, and Patterns of Plausible Inference, Vol. II, of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning".
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Savage, Leonard J. (1955-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning. Volume I, Induction and Analogy in Mathematics. Volume II, Patterns of Plausible Inference".
807:פ., א. י. י. (1957-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning. Volume I: Induction and Analogy in Mathematics; Volume II: Patterns of Plausible Reasoning". 736:
Prager, W. (1955-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and plausible reasoning. Volume I: Induction and analogy. Volume II: Patterns of plausible inference".
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Stein, Robert G. (1991-01-01). "Review of Patterns of Plausible Inference. Vol. 2 of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning (R), George Pólya".
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reviewing the book summarised the central thesis of the book thus: ". . . a good guess is as important as a good proof."
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Van Dantzig, D. (1959-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning, G. Pólya".
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Johansson, I. (1955-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and plausible reasoning, I and II".
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Broadbent, T. A. A. (1956-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning".
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Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning Volume I: Induction and Analogy in Mathematics
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Bernhart, Arthur (1958-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning".
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Bush, Robert R. (1956-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning".
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Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning Volume II: Patterns of Plausible Inference
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Rado, Tibor (1956-01-01). "Review of Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning".
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Iyyun: The Jerusalem Philosophical Quarterly / עיון: רבעון פילוסופי
584: 925:"Review: G. Pólya, Mathematics and plausible reasoning" 122:
This volume attempts to formulate certain patterns of
59: 51: 41: 780:Journal of the American Statistical Association 94:Volume I: Induction and analogy in mathematics 929:Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society 8: 27: 98:Polya begins Volume I with a discussion on 118:Volume II: Patterns of Plausible Inference 76:is a two-volume book by the mathematician 33: 26: 697: 658: 545: 852:The Two-Year College Mathematics Journal 128: 885: 7: 28:Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning 73:Mathematics and Plausible Reasoning 18:Mathematics and plausible reasoning 678:The American Journal of Psychology 25: 526:The American Mathematical Monthly 738:Quarterly of Applied Mathematics 941:10.1090/s0002-9904-1955-09904-x 395:is just a little more credible 286:formerly verified consequences 207:formerly verified consequences 1: 912:. Princeton University Press. 897:. Princeton University Press. 717:Nordisk Matematisk Tidskrift 351:is very improbable in itself 331:just a little more credible 383:is quite probable in itself 994: 453:is somewhat more credible 205:is very different from the 110:. This is the well known 32: 923:Halmos, Paul R. (1955). 639:The Mathematical Gazette 363:very much more credible 830:The Mathematics Teacher 759:The Mathematics Teacher 699:2027/mdp.39015008206248 660:2027/mdp.39015008206248 547:2027/mdp.39015008206248 908:Polya, George (1954). 893:Polya, George (1954). 284:is very similar to the 104:mathematical induction 935:(3 Part 1): 243–245. 573:Philosophy of Science 493:is incompatible with 144:plausible conclusion 112:Goldbach's conjecture 252:much more credible 124:plausible reasoning 29: 786:(272): 1352–1354. 614:10.1007/bf00486196 173:is more credible. 968:Mathematics books 515: 514: 511:is more credible 482:is less credible 424:is more credible 69: 68: 16:(Redirected from 985: 952: 951: 949: 947: 920: 914: 913: 905: 899: 898: 890: 875: 845: 824: 803: 774: 753: 732: 711: 701: 672: 662: 645:(333): 233–234. 633: 596: 567: 549: 444:is more credible 129: 61:Publication date 37: 30: 21: 993: 992: 988: 987: 986: 984: 983: 982: 958: 957: 956: 955: 945: 943: 922: 921: 917: 907: 906: 902: 892: 891: 887: 882: 864:10.2307/3027025 848: 827: 806: 792:10.2307/2281238 777: 756: 735: 714: 690:10.2307/1418146 675: 651:10.2307/3608848 636: 599: 570: 538:10.2307/2310741 523: 520: 324: 309: 300: 293: 287: 285: 283: 272: 245: 230: 221: 214: 208: 206: 204: 193: 120: 96: 91: 62: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 991: 989: 981: 980: 975: 970: 960: 959: 954: 953: 915: 900: 884: 883: 881: 878: 877: 876: 858:(2): 119–122. 846: 825: 804: 775: 754: 744:(3): 344–345. 733: 712: 684:(1): 166–167. 673: 634: 608:(4): 353–358. 597: 585:10.1086/287478 568: 532:(6): 456–457. 519: 516: 513: 512: 506: 503: 497: 488: 484: 483: 477: 474: 468: 464:is implied by 459: 455: 454: 448: 445: 439: 430: 426: 425: 419: 416: 410: 401: 397: 396: 390: 384: 378: 369: 365: 364: 358: 352: 346: 337: 333: 332: 326: 319: 314: 305: 298: 291: 278: 273: 267: 258: 254: 253: 247: 240: 235: 226: 219: 212: 199: 194: 188: 179: 175: 174: 168: 165: 159: 150: 146: 145: 142: 139: 136: 133: 119: 116: 95: 92: 90: 87: 67: 66: 63: 60: 57: 56: 53: 49: 48: 43: 39: 38: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 990: 979: 976: 974: 971: 969: 966: 965: 963: 942: 938: 934: 930: 926: 919: 916: 911: 904: 901: 896: 889: 886: 879: 873: 869: 865: 861: 857: 853: 847: 843: 839: 835: 831: 826: 822: 818: 815:(א'): 48–49. 814: 810: 805: 801: 797: 793: 789: 785: 781: 776: 772: 768: 764: 760: 755: 751: 747: 743: 739: 734: 730: 726: 722: 718: 713: 709: 705: 700: 695: 691: 687: 683: 679: 674: 670: 666: 661: 656: 652: 648: 644: 640: 635: 631: 627: 623: 619: 615: 611: 607: 603: 598: 594: 590: 586: 582: 578: 574: 569: 565: 561: 557: 553: 548: 543: 539: 535: 531: 527: 522: 521: 517: 510: 507: 504: 501: 498: 496: 492: 489: 486: 485: 481: 478: 475: 472: 469: 467: 463: 460: 457: 456: 452: 449: 446: 443: 440: 438: 435:analogous to 434: 431: 428: 427: 423: 420: 417: 414: 411: 409: 406:analogous to 405: 402: 399: 398: 394: 391: 388: 385: 382: 379: 377: 373: 370: 367: 366: 362: 359: 356: 353: 350: 347: 345: 341: 338: 335: 334: 330: 327: 322: 318: 315: 313: 308: 304: 297: 290: 281: 277: 274: 270: 266: 262: 259: 256: 255: 251: 248: 243: 239: 236: 234: 229: 225: 218: 211: 202: 198: 195: 191: 187: 183: 180: 177: 176: 172: 169: 166: 163: 160: 158: 154: 151: 148: 147: 143: 140: 137: 134: 131: 130: 127: 125: 117: 115: 113: 109: 108:prime numbers 105: 101: 93: 88: 86: 84: 79: 75: 74: 64: 58: 54: 50: 47: 44: 40: 36: 31: 19: 944:. 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Halmos 78:George Pólya 72: 71: 70: 46:George Pólya 946:16 February 55:Mathematics 962:Categories 880:References 836:(7): 574. 765:(4): 272. 579:(2): 167. 301:, . . . , 222:, . . . , 978:Inference 973:Reasoning 564:121427033 141:Premise 3 138:Premise 2 135:Premise 1 100:induction 842:27967294 821:23301574 771:27954884 750:43634251 729:24524537 630:46957889 622:20114312 602:Synthese 502:is false 473:is false 374:implies 342:implies 263:implies 184:implies 155:implies 872:3027025 800:2281238 708:1418146 669:3608848 556:2310741 518:Reviews 415:is true 389:is true 357:is true 164:is true 132:Sl. 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Index

Mathematics and plausible reasoning

George Pólya
George Pólya
P. R. Halmos
induction
mathematical induction
prime numbers
Goldbach's conjecture
plausible reasoning
doi
10.2307/2310741
hdl
2027/mdp.39015008206248
JSTOR
2310741
S2CID
121427033
doi
10.1086/287478
JSTOR
185607
doi
10.1007/bf00486196
JSTOR
20114312
S2CID
46957889
doi
10.2307/3608848

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