Knowledge (XXG)

Loss of load

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for the electrical generation are based on the loss of load being observed/calculated over a long interval (one or multiple years) in relatively small increments (an hour or a day). The total number of increments inside the long interval is designated as
236:) is sometimes used. Since LOLE uses the daily peak value for the whole day, LOLH (that uses different peak values for each hour) cannot be obtained by simply multiplying LOLE by 24; although in practice the relationship is close to 427: 64:) that characterizes a probability of a loss of load occurring within a year. Loss of load events are calculated before the mitigating actions (purchasing electricity from other systems, 328: 226: 807: 155: 814: 129: 365: 975: 103: 1153: 944: 892: 846: 789: 742: 713: 684: 651: 164:
is a probability of an occurrence of an increment with a loss of load condition. LOLP can also be considered as a probability of involuntary
434: 1034: 374: 1177: 910: 1182: 961: 968: 1146: 1172: 237: 267: 258:) is the number of loss of load events within the interval (an event can occupy several contiguous increments); 1139: 1093: 177: 53: 1003: 760:
Ela, Erik; Milligan, Michael; Bloom, Aaron; Botterud, Audun; Townsend, Aaron; Levin, Todd (2018).
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Term for when the available generation capacity in an electrical grid is less than the system load
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is a term used to describe the situation when the available generation capacity is less than the
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2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
228:. Frequently LOLE is specified in days, if the increment is an hour, not a day, a term 88: 927:. In Antônio José da Silva Neto; Orestes Llanes Santiago; Geraldo Nunes Silva (eds.). 1166: 441:
resources will be planned in such a manner that ... the probability of disconnecting
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Mathematical Modeling and Computational Intelligence in Engineering Applications
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is the total duration of increments when the loss of load is expected to occur,
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2006 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems
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are using loss of load in their definitions, with the more popular being
1115: 953: 856: 768:. Vol. 144. Springer International Publishing. pp. 129–164. 1062: 1088: 1057: 1052: 1048: 1043: 1039: 808:"Probabilistic Adequacy and Measures: Technical Reference Report" 1098: 1083: 1078: 1029: 998: 957: 923:
Duarte, Yorlandys Salgado; Serpa, Alfredo del Castillo (2016).
422:{\displaystyle {LOLP}={\frac {1}{10\cdot 365}}\approx 0.000274} 482: 480: 731:
Wang, Xi-Fan; Song, Yonghua; Irving, Malcolm (7 June 2010).
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characterizes the average duration of a loss of load event:
68:) are taken, so a loss of load does not necessarily cause a 925:"Assessment of the Reliability of Electrical Power Systems" 873:"Basic Concepts in Generating Capacity Adequacy Evaluation" 534: 1127: 669:
Arteconi, Alessia; Bruninx, Kenneth (7 February 2018).
593: 591: 737:. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 151. 646:. Springer Science & Business Media. p. 174. 643:
New Computational Methods in Power System Reliability
608: 606: 377: 344: 270: 180: 137: 111: 91: 1071: 1022: 991: 630:"Loss of Load Probability: Application to Montana" 421: 359: 322: 220: 149: 123: 97: 705:Electric Power Systems: A Conceptual Introduction 822:Ibanez, Eduardo; Milligan, Michael (July 2014), 486: 240:, the coefficients vary from network to network; 582: 439: 558: 546: 522: 1147: 969: 8: 510: 323:{\displaystyle {LOLD}={\frac {LOLE}{LOLF}}} 1154: 1140: 976: 962: 954: 871:Billinton, Roy; Huang, Dange (June 2006), 429:. In the US, the threshold is set by the 395: 378: 376: 343: 288: 271: 269: 198: 181: 179: 136: 110: 90: 766:Studies in Systems, Decision and Control 498: 476: 1122:This electricity-related article is a 708:. John Wiley & Sons. p. 230. 679:. Vol. 5. Elsevier. p. 140. 445:will be no more than once in ten years 371:" a.k.a. "1 in 10"), corresponding to 76:Loss-of-load-based reliability indices 918:. Stanford Washington Research Group. 702:Meier, Alexandra von (30 June 2006). 612: 597: 338:A typically accepted design goal for 7: 1112: 1110: 570: 435:Northeast Power Coordinating Council 221:{\displaystyle {LOLE}={LOLP}\cdot N} 671:"Energy Reliability and Management" 640:David Elmakias, ed. (7 July 2008). 1126:. You can help Knowledge (XXG) by 912:Resource Adequacy - Alphabet Soup! 909:Tezak, Christine (June 24, 2005). 25: 1114: 172:Loss of load expectation (LOLE) 162:Loss of load probability (LOLP) 105:(e.g., for a yearlong interval 369:one-day-in-ten-years criterion 334:One-day-in-ten-years criterion 157:if the increment is an hour): 18:One-day-in-ten-years criterion 1: 734:Modern Power Systems Analysis 937:10.1007/978-3-319-38869-4_11 817:. February 2018. p. 13. 676:Comprehensive Energy Systems 523:Wang, Song & Irving 2010 262:Loss of load duration (LOLD) 774:10.1007/978-3-319-74263-2_6 583:Arteconi & Bruninx 2018 443:non-interruptible customers 131:if the increment is a day, 1199: 1109: 839:10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960610 559:Ibanez & Milligan 2014 547:Billinton & Huang 2006 29: 885:10.1109/PMAPS.2006.360431 635:. Ascend Analytics. 2019. 48:. Multiple probabilistic 1023:Electricity distribution 58:Loss of Load Probability 30:Not to be confused with 511:Duarte & Serpa 2016 1178:Electrical engineering 1072:Electricity generation 879:, IEEE, pp. 1–6, 833:, IEEE, pp. 1–6, 456: 423: 367:is 0.1 day per year (" 361: 324: 252:loss of load frequency 222: 151: 150:{\displaystyle N=8760} 125: 99: 487:Ascend Analytics 2019 424: 362: 325: 223: 152: 126: 124:{\displaystyle N=365} 100: 375: 360:{\displaystyle LOLE} 342: 268: 178: 135: 109: 89: 1183:Reliability indices 985:Reliability indices 452:generation adequacy 244:Loss of load events 82:reliability indices 50:reliability indices 465:Value of lost load 419: 357: 320: 230:loss of load hours 218: 147: 121: 95: 54:generation systems 1173:Electricity stubs 1135: 1134: 1107: 1106: 946:978-3-319-38868-7 894:978-91-7178-585-5 848:978-1-4799-3561-1 791:978-3-319-74261-8 744:978-0-387-72853-7 715:978-0-470-03640-2 686:978-0-12-814925-6 653:978-3-540-77810-3 450:NPCC criteria on 431:regional entities 411: 318: 98:{\displaystyle N} 16:(Redirected from 1190: 1156: 1149: 1142: 1118: 1111: 978: 971: 964: 955: 950: 919: 917: 905: 867: 828: 818: 812: 803: 756: 727: 698: 665: 636: 634: 616: 610: 601: 595: 586: 580: 574: 568: 562: 556: 550: 544: 538: 532: 526: 520: 514: 508: 502: 496: 490: 484: 454: 428: 426: 425: 420: 412: 410: 396: 391: 366: 364: 363: 358: 329: 327: 326: 321: 319: 317: 303: 289: 284: 227: 225: 224: 219: 211: 194: 156: 154: 153: 148: 130: 128: 127: 122: 104: 102: 101: 96: 21: 1198: 1197: 1193: 1192: 1191: 1189: 1188: 1187: 1163: 1162: 1161: 1160: 1108: 1103: 1067: 1018: 987: 982: 947: 922: 915: 908: 895: 870: 849: 826: 821: 810: 806: 792: 759: 745: 730: 716: 701: 687: 668: 654: 639: 632: 628: 625: 620: 619: 611: 604: 596: 589: 581: 577: 569: 565: 557: 553: 545: 541: 535:Ela et al. 2018 533: 529: 521: 517: 509: 505: 497: 493: 485: 478: 473: 461: 455: 449: 400: 373: 372: 340: 339: 336: 304: 290: 266: 265: 176: 175: 133: 132: 107: 106: 87: 86: 78: 42:electrical grid 35: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 1196: 1194: 1186: 1185: 1180: 1175: 1165: 1164: 1159: 1158: 1151: 1144: 1136: 1133: 1132: 1119: 1105: 1104: 1102: 1101: 1096: 1091: 1086: 1081: 1075: 1073: 1069: 1068: 1066: 1065: 1060: 1055: 1046: 1037: 1032: 1026: 1024: 1020: 1019: 1017: 1016: 1011: 1006: 1001: 995: 993: 989: 988: 983: 981: 980: 973: 966: 958: 952: 951: 945: 920: 906: 893: 868: 847: 819: 804: 790: 757: 743: 728: 714: 699: 685: 666: 652: 637: 624: 621: 618: 617: 602: 600:, p. 230. 587: 585:, p. 140. 575: 563: 551: 539: 537:, p. 134. 527: 525:, p. 151. 515: 513:, p. 157. 503: 501:, p. 174. 491: 475: 474: 472: 469: 468: 467: 460: 457: 447: 418: 415: 409: 406: 403: 399: 394: 390: 387: 384: 381: 356: 353: 350: 347: 335: 332: 331: 330: 316: 313: 310: 307: 302: 299: 296: 293: 287: 283: 280: 277: 274: 259: 241: 217: 214: 210: 207: 204: 201: 197: 193: 190: 187: 184: 169: 146: 143: 140: 120: 117: 114: 94: 77: 74: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1195: 1184: 1181: 1179: 1176: 1174: 1171: 1170: 1168: 1157: 1152: 1150: 1145: 1143: 1138: 1137: 1131: 1129: 1125: 1120: 1117: 1113: 1100: 1097: 1095: 1092: 1090: 1087: 1085: 1082: 1080: 1077: 1076: 1074: 1070: 1064: 1061: 1059: 1056: 1054: 1050: 1047: 1045: 1041: 1038: 1036: 1033: 1031: 1028: 1027: 1025: 1021: 1015: 1012: 1010: 1007: 1005: 1002: 1000: 997: 996: 994: 990: 986: 979: 974: 972: 967: 965: 960: 959: 956: 948: 942: 938: 934: 930: 926: 921: 914: 913: 907: 904: 900: 896: 890: 886: 882: 878: 874: 869: 866: 862: 858: 854: 850: 844: 840: 836: 832: 825: 820: 816: 809: 805: 801: 797: 793: 787: 783: 779: 775: 771: 767: 763: 758: 754: 750: 746: 740: 736: 735: 729: 725: 721: 717: 711: 707: 706: 700: 696: 692: 688: 682: 678: 677: 672: 667: 663: 659: 655: 649: 645: 644: 638: 631: 627: 626: 622: 614: 609: 607: 603: 599: 594: 592: 588: 584: 579: 576: 573:, p. 13. 572: 567: 564: 560: 555: 552: 548: 543: 540: 536: 531: 528: 524: 519: 516: 512: 507: 504: 500: 499:Elmakias 2008 495: 492: 488: 483: 481: 477: 470: 466: 463: 462: 458: 453: 446: 444: 438: 436: 432: 416: 413: 407: 404: 401: 397: 392: 388: 385: 382: 379: 370: 354: 351: 348: 345: 333: 314: 311: 308: 305: 300: 297: 294: 291: 285: 281: 278: 275: 272: 263: 260: 257: 253: 249: 245: 242: 239: 235: 231: 215: 212: 208: 205: 202: 199: 195: 191: 188: 185: 182: 173: 170: 167: 166:load shedding 163: 160: 159: 158: 144: 141: 138: 118: 115: 112: 92: 83: 75: 73: 71: 67: 66:load shedding 63: 59: 55: 51: 47: 43: 39: 33: 19: 1128:expanding it 1121: 931:. Springer. 928: 911: 876: 830: 765: 733: 704: 675: 642: 615:, p. 2. 578: 566: 561:, p. 4. 554: 549:, p. 1. 542: 530: 518: 506: 494: 440: 368: 337: 261: 255: 251: 247: 243: 233: 229: 171: 161: 79: 61: 57: 38:Loss of load 37: 36: 46:system load 1167:Categories 753:1012499302 724:1039149555 695:1027476919 662:1050955963 613:Tezak 2005 598:Meier 2006 471:References 800:2198-4182 782:2198-4190 571:NERC 2018 414:≈ 405:⋅ 250:) a.k.a. 213:⋅ 80:Multiple 32:Load loss 903:25841586 459:See also 448:—  417:0.000274 70:blackout 52:for the 992:Generic 865:3135204 857:1127287 623:Sources 433:, like 1063:CTAIDI 943:  901:  891:  863:  855:  845:  798:  788:  780:  751:  741:  722:  712:  693:  683:  660:  650:  238:linear 40:in an 1089:LOLEV 1058:MAIFI 1053:SAIFI 1049:CAIFI 1044:SAIDI 1040:CAIDI 916:(PDF) 899:S2CID 861:S2CID 827:(PDF) 811:(PDF) 778:eISSN 633:(PDF) 248:LOLEV 1124:stub 1099:LOLH 1094:LOLF 1084:LOLE 1079:LOLP 1035:ASAI 1030:ASUI 1014:EFOR 1004:MTTR 999:MTBF 941:ISBN 889:ISBN 853:OSTI 843:ISBN 815:NERC 796:ISSN 786:ISBN 749:OCLC 739:ISBN 720:OCLC 710:ISBN 691:OCLC 681:ISBN 658:OCLC 648:ISBN 256:LOLF 234:LOLH 145:8760 62:LOLP 1009:FOR 933:doi 881:doi 835:doi 770:doi 408:365 119:365 1169:: 939:. 897:, 887:, 875:, 859:, 851:, 841:, 829:, 813:. 794:. 784:. 776:. 764:. 747:. 718:. 689:. 673:. 656:. 605:^ 590:^ 479:^ 437:: 402:10 72:. 1155:e 1148:t 1141:v 1130:. 1051:/ 1042:/ 977:e 970:t 963:v 949:. 935:: 883:: 837:: 802:. 772:: 755:. 726:. 697:. 664:. 489:. 398:1 393:= 389:P 386:L 383:O 380:L 355:E 352:L 349:O 346:L 315:F 312:L 309:O 306:L 301:E 298:L 295:O 292:L 286:= 282:D 279:L 276:O 273:L 254:( 246:( 232:( 216:N 209:P 206:L 203:O 200:L 196:= 192:E 189:L 186:O 183:L 168:; 142:= 139:N 116:= 113:N 93:N 60:( 34:. 20:)

Index

One-day-in-ten-years criterion
Load loss
electrical grid
system load
reliability indices
generation systems
load shedding
blackout
reliability indices
load shedding
linear
regional entities
Northeast Power Coordinating Council
non-interruptible customers
generation adequacy
Value of lost load


Ascend Analytics 2019
Elmakias 2008
Duarte & Serpa 2016
Wang, Song & Irving 2010
Ela et al. 2018
Billinton & Huang 2006
Ibanez & Milligan 2014
NERC 2018
Arteconi & Bruninx 2018


Meier 2006

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