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Atlantification of the Arctic

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enough change the ecological systems of the Arctic. As a result, Arctic shelf fish are being expelled and retract Northwards as well. For some species, depth might limit their options and this will induce changes in the biodiversity of the Arctic Ocean. This change in marine ecosystem also influences the bird and mammal species living in the Arctic region.
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in summer. The loss of winter sea-ice means that in summer, the colder layer of freshwater at the surface is less replenished by melting ice, lessening the temperature difference between the layers. Also, a lack of sea-ice increases the influence of wind on the sea surface, mixing the layers further.
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At the moment, the largest part of inflowing heat from the Atlantic Ocean is lost to the atmosphere within the Barents Sea. It is expected though, that the temperature in the Barents Sea will increase due to changes in the interaction with the atmosphere. As a result, the water flowing out from the
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However observations show a regime shift from winter sea ice cover to open water in the southern Barents Sea in response to the warming of the inflowing Atlantic water. Observations also reveal the increasing influence of Atlantic water heat further to the east, in the eastern Eurasian Basin, where
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causes the warm Atlantic water to mix with the fresh water at the surface. As can be seen in the figure below, the halocline weakens and therefore heat from the Atlantic water reaches the surface. This warming of the surface water causes a retreat in sea-ice in winter and a total absence of sea-ice
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The largest part of the Arctic Ocean has a strong division between ocean layers. At the top is a mixed layer of fresh water with a temperature near the freezing point and a salinity of around 30 psu (practical salinity unit). This water is fed by rivers and melting of sea-ice. Underneath this fresh
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blooms are moving further into the Eurasian Basin each year. Typical species have moved 5 degrees further North compared to 1989. Also, fish communities are moving Northward at the pace of the local climate change, a process called borealization. Some predators that reach areas previously not warm
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than the surface layer. The cold freshwater therefore floats on top and the halocline across which mixing tends to be weak even under ice free conditions and therefore protects the surface from the heat in the Atlantic water. Under the Atlantic water layer is a deep layer of Arctic bottom water
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Model predictions do not show an upward trend in volume transport into the Arctic from the North Atlantic nor an increase in the temperature of the inflowing water leading some to conclude that the Atlantification of the Arctic is not caused by a process in the Atlantic Ocean but rather by
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in recent years the heat flux from the Atlantic water towards the surface has overtaken the atmospheric contribution in this region. Furthermore, an observed weakening of the halocline over this period coincided increasing wind driven upper ocean currents, pointing to increased mixing.
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Polyakov, Igor V.; Pnyushkov, Andrey V.; Alkire, Matthew B.; Ashik, Igor M.; Baumann, Till M.; Carmack, Eddy C.; Goszczko, Ilona; Guthrie, John; Ivanov, Vladimir V.; Kanzow, Torsten; Krishfield, Richard; Kwok, Ronald; Sundfjord, Arild; Morison, James; Rember, Robert (2017-04-21).
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Process of Atlantification in the Eurasian Basin of the Barents Sea. Red arrows indicate heat transfer, the blue arrow indicated inflow of Atlantic water. The red and blue colors indicate warm and cold water respectively. Recreated from Polyakov et
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Polyakov, Igor V.; Rippeth, Tom P.; Fer, Ilker; Alkire, Matthew B.; Baumann, Till M.; Carmack, Eddy C.; Ingvaldsen, Randi; Ivanov, Vladimir V.; Janout, Markus; Lind, Sigrid; Padman, Laurie; Pnyushkov, Andrey V.; Rember, Robert (2020-09-15).
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is disappearing as a result. The process can be seen on the figure on the far right, where the sea surface temperature change in the past 50 years is shown, which is up to 5 degrees in some places. This change in the
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C in 2080. This shows that warm Atlantic water will penetrate further into the Arctic Ocean, ultimately extending throughout the Eurasian basin, leading to reduction in sea-ice thickness in this region.
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Polyakov, Igor V.; Rippeth, Tom P.; Fer, Ilker; Baumann, Till M.; Carmack, Eddy C.; Ivanov, Vladimir V.; Janout, Markus; Padman, Laurie; Pnyushkov, Andrey V.; Rember, Robert (2020-08-28).
238:, meaning that if a critical point is reached, the system will settle around a different equilibrium state. In the Arctic this different state could be one with much less or no sea-ice. 500:
Lenn, Y. D.; Wiles, P. J.; Torres-Valdes, S.; Abrahamsen, E. P.; Rippeth, T. P.; Simpson, J. H.; Bacon, S.; Laxon, S. W.; Polyakov, I.; Ivanov, V.; Kirillov, S. (2009-03-03).
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Descamps, SĂ©bastien; Aars, Jon; Fuglei, Eva; Kovacs, Kit M.; Lydersen, Christian; Pavlova, Olga; Pedersen, Åshild Ø.; Ravolainen, Virve; StrĂžm, Hallvard (2016-06-02).
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Wang, Qiang; Wekerle, Claudia; Wang, Xuezhu; Danilov, Sergey; Koldunov, Nikolay; Sein, Dmitry; Sidorenko, Dmitry; Appen, Wilken‐Jon; Jung, Thomas (2020-02-16).
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layer. Below this layer, the temperature increases with depth to above the freezing point. This layer which holds this temperature gradient is called the
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Atlantification as part of the climate changing in the Arctic has major consequences for all organisms living there. Due to the warming of Barents Sea,
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Ivanov, Vladimir; Alexeev, Vladimir; Koldunov, Nikolay V.; Repina, Irina; SandĂž, Anne Britt; Smedsrud, Lars Henrik; Smirnov, Alexander (2016-05-01).
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Fossheim, Maria; Primicerio, Raul; Johannesen, Edda; Ingvaldsen, Randi B.; Aschan, Michaela M.; Dolgov, Andrey V. (2015-05-18).
65: 728:"Intensification of the Atlantic Water Supply to the Arctic Ocean Through Fram Strait Induced by Arctic Sea Ice Decline" 57:, where sea-ice is disappearing faster than in any other Arctic region, impacting the local and global ecosystem. 985:"Increased intrusion of warming Atlantic water leads to rapid expansion of temperate phytoplankton in the Arctic" 563:"Wind-driven mixing at intermediate depths in an ice-free Arctic Ocean: WIND MIXING IN AN ICE-FREE ARCTIC OCEAN" 428: 403: 144:
Barents Sea in between Franz Josef Land and Novaya Zemlya (Barents Sea exit) will warm significantly from -0.2
646:"Observed Atlantification of the Barents Sea Causes the Polar Front to Limit the Expansion of Winter Sea Ice" 1202: 558: 1197: 785: 1051: 996: 929: 862: 797: 739: 657: 615: 513: 415: 358: 285: 114: 404:"A One-Dimensional Time-Dependent Model for the Vertical Stratification of the Upper Arctic Ocean" 1116: 1020: 965: 898: 831: 765: 683: 584: 539: 482: 384: 327: 80:
water is a layer where the salinity increases strongly but the temperature remains low: the cold
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water in the Arctic. Warmer and saltier Atlantic water is extending its reach northward into the
786:"Weakening of Cold Halocline Layer Exposes Sea Ice to Oceanic Heat in the Eastern Arctic Ocean" 254:
Data provided by Physical Sciences Laboratory, NOAA, Boulder, Colorado, from their Web site at
173: 147: 1173: 1155: 1108: 1067: 1012: 957: 890: 823: 757: 675: 531: 474: 433: 376: 319: 311: 274:"Greater role for Atlantic inflows on sea-ice loss in the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean" 1163: 1147: 1098: 1059: 1004: 947: 937: 880: 870: 813: 805: 747: 665: 623: 574: 521: 464: 423: 366: 301: 293: 20:
Sea surface temperature difference between the decades 1960-1970 and 2010-2020 in degrees C.
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The increasing influence of Atlantic water flowing into the Arctic Ocean and the loss of
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layer. The water underneath is warm and salty, carried in from the Atlantic Ocean by the
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There are growing concerns that the Arctic climate might be moving to a so-called
1040:"Recent warming leads to a rapid borealization of fish communities in the Arctic" 851:"Intensification of Near‐Surface Currents and Shear in the Eastern Arctic Ocean" 703:"Explainer: How 'Atlantification' is making the Arctic Ocean saltier and warmer" 223: 69:
Temperature and salinity profiles in the Arctic Ocean. Image created by Brn-Bld.
54: 50: 1039: 469: 452: 347:"Arctic Ocean Heat Impact on Regional Ice Decay: A Suggested Positive Feedback" 1151: 85: 24: 1159: 1071: 961: 942: 917: 894: 827: 809: 761: 679: 535: 478: 453:"Stability of the arctic halocline: a new indicator of arctic climate change" 437: 380: 315: 273: 1135: 670: 645: 371: 346: 297: 215: 211: 81: 1177: 1112: 1016: 323: 918:"The Role of Atlantic Heat Transport in Future Arctic Winter Sea Ice Loss" 1063: 885: 875: 850: 752: 727: 603: 579: 562: 526: 501: 226:
live on seals and are also strongly dependant on the sea-ice to live on.
93: 33: 818: 502:"Vertical mixing at intermediate depths in the Arctic boundary current" 101: 97: 92:(AMOC). This layer is warmer than the surface layer but because of its 41: 1103: 1086: 1008: 952: 627: 644:
Barton, Benjamin I.; Lenn, Yueng-Djern; Lique, Camille (2018-08-01).
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Polyakov, Igor V; Pnyushkov, Andrey V; Carmack, Eddy C (2018-12-17).
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atmospheric forcing in the Arctic region, amplified by sea-ice loss.
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Neukermans, Griet; Oziel, Laurent; Babin, Marcel (2018-02-02).
916:Årthun, Marius; Eldevik, Tor; Smedsrud, Lars H. (2019-06-01). 429:
10.1175/1520-0485(1989)019<0052:AODTDM>2.0.CO;2
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depend directly on the fish populations. Land mammals like
604:"Retreat of the cold halocline layer in the Arctic Ocean" 255: 40:. The Arctic Ocean is becoming warmer and saltier and 561:; Williams, William J.; Bacon, Sheldon (2016-09-28). 557:
Lincoln, Ben J.; Rippeth, Tom P.; Lenn, Yueng-Djern;
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than the water above. This means this layer is less
188: 162: 28:Location of the Barents Sea in the Arctic Ocean. 32:Atlantification is the increasing influence of 602:Steele, Michael; Boyd, Timothy (1998-05-15). 8: 90:Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 1167: 1102: 951: 941: 884: 874: 817: 751: 669: 578: 525: 468: 427: 370: 305: 180: 175: 154: 149: 608:Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 247: 105:extending to the bottom of the ocean. 7: 639: 637: 266: 264: 1208:Climate change and the environment 14: 1134:Lenton, Timothy M. (2012-02-01). 650:Journal of Physical Oceanography 408:Journal of Physical Oceanography 351:Journal of Physical Oceanography 1136:"Arctic Climate Tipping Points" 53:, a shallow shelf sea north of 457:Environmental Research Letters 1: 61:Structure of the Arctic Ocean 855:Geophysical Research Letters 732:Geophysical Research Letters 567:Geophysical Research Letters 506:Geophysical Research Letters 701:Dunne, Daisy (2020-01-16). 402:Björk, Göran (1989-01-01). 1224: 109:Process of Atlantification 72: 1152:10.1007/s13280-011-0221-x 189:{\displaystyle ^{\circ }} 163:{\displaystyle ^{\circ }} 49:is most prominent in the 943:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0750.1 810:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0976.1 470:10.1088/1748-9326/aaec1e 671:10.1175/JPO-D-18-0003.1 559:Timmermans, Mary Louise 372:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0144.1 298:10.1126/science.aai8204 190: 164: 135: 70: 29: 21: 1091:Global Change Biology 1044:Nature Climate Change 989:Global Change Biology 256:https://psl.noaa.gov/ 191: 165: 132: 68: 27: 19: 1064:10.1038/nclimate2647 876:10.1029/2020GL089469 753:10.1029/2019GL086682 580:10.1002/2016GL070454 527:10.1029/2008GL036792 174: 148: 1056:2015NatCC...5..673F 1001:2018GCBio..24.2545N 934:2019JCli...32.3327A 867:2020GeoRL..4789469P 802:2020JCli...33.8107P 744:2020GeoRL..4786682W 662:2018JPO....48.1849B 620:1998JGR...10310419S 614:(C5): 10419–10435. 518:2009GeoRL..36.5601L 420:1989JPO....19...52B 363:2016JPO....46.1437I 290:2017Sci...356..285P 922:Journal of Climate 790:Journal of Climate 186: 160: 136: 71: 30: 22: 1104:10.1111/gcb.13381 1009:10.1111/gcb.14075 928:(11): 3327–3341. 796:(18): 8107–8123. 628:10.1029/98JC00580 573:(18): 9749–9756. 284:(6335): 285–291. 1215: 1182: 1181: 1171: 1131: 1125: 1124: 1106: 1082: 1076: 1075: 1035: 1029: 1028: 995:(6): 2545–2553. 980: 974: 973: 955: 945: 913: 907: 906: 888: 878: 846: 840: 839: 821: 780: 774: 773: 755: 723: 717: 716: 714: 713: 698: 692: 691: 673: 656:(8): 1849–1866. 641: 632: 631: 599: 593: 592: 582: 554: 548: 547: 529: 497: 491: 490: 472: 448: 442: 441: 431: 399: 393: 392: 374: 357:(5): 1437–1456. 342: 336: 335: 309: 268: 259: 252: 195: 193: 192: 187: 185: 184: 169: 167: 166: 161: 159: 158: 96:it has a higher 1223: 1222: 1218: 1217: 1216: 1214: 1213: 1212: 1188: 1187: 1186: 1185: 1133: 1132: 1128: 1084: 1083: 1079: 1037: 1036: 1032: 982: 981: 977: 915: 914: 910: 848: 847: 843: 782: 781: 777: 725: 724: 720: 711: 709: 700: 699: 695: 643: 642: 635: 601: 600: 596: 556: 555: 551: 499: 498: 494: 450: 449: 445: 401: 400: 396: 344: 343: 339: 270: 269: 262: 253: 249: 244: 232: 203: 177: 172: 171: 151: 146: 145: 141: 111: 77: 63: 12: 11: 5: 1221: 1219: 1211: 1210: 1205: 1203:Atlantic Ocean 1200: 1190: 1189: 1184: 1183: 1126: 1097:(2): 490–502. 1077: 1050:(7): 673–677. 1030: 975: 908: 841: 775: 718: 693: 633: 594: 549: 492: 463:(12): 125008. 443: 394: 337: 260: 246: 245: 243: 240: 231: 228: 202: 199: 183: 179: 157: 153: 140: 137: 115:stratification 110: 107: 62: 59: 47:Arctic climate 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1220: 1209: 1206: 1204: 1201: 1199: 1196: 1195: 1193: 1179: 1175: 1170: 1165: 1161: 1157: 1153: 1149: 1145: 1141: 1137: 1130: 1127: 1122: 1118: 1114: 1110: 1105: 1100: 1096: 1092: 1088: 1081: 1078: 1073: 1069: 1065: 1061: 1057: 1053: 1049: 1045: 1041: 1034: 1031: 1026: 1022: 1018: 1014: 1010: 1006: 1002: 998: 994: 990: 986: 979: 976: 971: 967: 963: 959: 954: 949: 944: 939: 935: 931: 927: 923: 919: 912: 909: 904: 900: 896: 892: 887: 886:11250/2733427 882: 877: 872: 868: 864: 860: 856: 852: 845: 842: 837: 833: 829: 825: 820: 815: 811: 807: 803: 799: 795: 791: 787: 779: 776: 771: 767: 763: 759: 754: 749: 745: 741: 737: 733: 729: 722: 719: 708: 704: 697: 694: 689: 685: 681: 677: 672: 667: 663: 659: 655: 651: 647: 640: 638: 634: 629: 625: 621: 617: 613: 609: 605: 598: 595: 590: 586: 581: 576: 572: 568: 564: 560: 553: 550: 545: 541: 537: 533: 528: 523: 519: 515: 512:(5): L05601. 511: 507: 503: 496: 493: 488: 484: 480: 476: 471: 466: 462: 458: 454: 447: 444: 439: 435: 430: 425: 421: 417: 413: 409: 405: 398: 395: 390: 386: 382: 378: 373: 368: 364: 360: 356: 352: 348: 341: 338: 333: 329: 325: 321: 317: 313: 308: 303: 299: 295: 291: 287: 283: 279: 275: 267: 265: 261: 257: 251: 248: 241: 239: 237: 236:tipping point 230:Tipping point 229: 227: 225: 221: 217: 213: 208: 207:phytoplankton 200: 198: 181: 178: 155: 152: 138: 131: 127: 123: 119: 116: 108: 106: 103: 99: 95: 91: 87: 83: 76: 67: 60: 58: 56: 52: 48: 43: 39: 35: 26: 18: 1198:Arctic Ocean 1146:(1): 10–22. 1143: 1139: 1129: 1094: 1090: 1080: 1047: 1043: 1033: 992: 988: 978: 925: 921: 911: 858: 854: 844: 793: 789: 778: 735: 731: 721: 710:. 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Index



Atlantic
Arctic Ocean
sea-ice
Arctic climate
Barents Sea
Scandinavia

Arctic Ocean
halocline
pycnocline
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
salinity
density
buoyant
stratification

phytoplankton
Sea birds
seals
whales
polar bears
tipping point
https://psl.noaa.gov/


"Greater role for Atlantic inflows on sea-ice loss in the Eurasian Basin of the Arctic Ocean"
Bibcode
2017Sci...356..285P

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