Knowledge (XXG)

Climate change in Ethiopia

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132: 25: 42: 128:. It has rainfall from February to November (which is decreasing to the north), and has peak rainfall from June to September. Southern Ethiopia has a rainfall pattern similar to the one in East Africa. There are two distinct wet seasons every year, February to May, and October to November. Central and eastern Ethiopia has some rainfall between February and November, with a smaller peak in rainfall from March to May and a second higher peak from June to September. 143: 112: 1980: 252:. Agriculture suffers as a result. This means even regions where overall rainfall is expected to remain relatively stable will experience these impacts. These regions include central and northern Europe. Without climate change mitigation, around one third of land areas are likely to experience moderate or more severe drought by 2100. Due to global warming droughts are more frequent and intense than in the past. 2002: 673:(without irrigation systems). This applies to around 98% of total cropland as of 2012. So changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change will reduce economic activities in the basin. Rainfall shocks have a direct impact on agriculture. A rainfall decrease in the Awash basin could lead to a 5% decline in the basin's overall GDP. The agricultural GDP could even drop by as much as 10%. 1991: 902: 189:
The exact attribution of climate change to the occurrence of droughts and floods in Ethiopia is difficult. One study from 2022 stated for Ethiopia: "While regional models predict increase in rainfall, higher resolution analyses for Ethiopia suggest spatial variations in which there are both increases
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again. Warming over land increases the severity and frequency of droughts around much of the world. In some tropical and subtropical regions of the world, there will probably be less rain due to global warming. This will make them more prone to drought. Droughts are set to worsen in many regions of
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Schuur, Edward A.G.; Abbott, Benjamin W.; Commane, Roisin; Ernakovich, Jessica; Euskirchen, Eugenie; Hugelius, Gustaf; Grosse, Guido; Jones, Miriam; Koven, Charlie; Leshyk, Victor; Lawrence, David; Loranty, Michael M.; Mauritz, Marguerite; Olefeldt, David; Natali, Susan; Rodenhizer, Heidi; Salmon,
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Rainfall regimes vary across Ethiopia. Left figure: Annual average rainfall in mm/day with the interquartile range (25th–75th) of monthly rainfall in mm/day indicated by black contours (1981–2020). Right figure: Three rainfall zones in Ethiopia with different seasonal rainfall patterns. The green
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Medium-range estimates of Arctic carbon emissions could result from moderate climate emission mitigation policies that keep global warming below 3°C (e.g., RCP4.5). This global warming level most closely matches country emissions reduction pledges made for the Paris Climate
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are likely to become more severe when they do occur. The interactions between rainfall and flooding are complex. There are some regions in which flooding is expected to become rarer. This depends on several factors. These include changes in rain and snowmelt, but also
223:. Climate change leaves soils drier in some areas, so they may absorb rainfall more quickly. This leads to less flooding. Dry soils can also become harder. In this case heavy rainfall runs off into rivers and lakes. This increases risks of flooding. 85:
will reduce economic activities in the basin. Rainfall shocks have a direct impact on agriculture. A rainfall decrease in the Awash basin could lead to a 5% decline in the basin's overall GDP. The agricultural GDP could even drop by as much as 10%.
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and decreases in the overall rainfall averages. An increase in the rainfall variability is also predicted, with a rising frequency of both extreme flooding and droughts that could seriously affect agricultural production."
186:, and 4.4 million people needed help to access water. Food prices have increased a lot due to the drought conditions. Many people in the affected area have experienced food shortages due to the water insecurity situation. 953:
World Bank. A Country Study on the Economic Impacts of Climate Change, Environment and Natural Resource Management, Sustainable Development Department, Africa Region, Development Prospects Group. 2008 Report No.
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the world. These include Central America, the Amazon and south-western South America. They also include West and Southern Africa. The Mediterranean and south-western Australia are also some of these regions.
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Douville, H., K. Raghavan, J. Renwick, R.P. Allan, P.A. Arias, M. Barlow, R. Cerezo-Mota, A. Cherchi, T.Y. Gan, J. Gergis, D. Jiang, A. Khan, W. Pokam Mba, D. Rosenfeld, J. Tierney, and O. Zolina, 2021:
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Climate-Resilient Green Economy (CRGE); CRGE. Green economy strategy of Ethiopia, editor. Ethiopia's Climate-Resilient Green Economy Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia
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per year. It rains in the spring and summer. These seasonal patterns of rainfall vary a lot across the country. Western Ethiopia has a seasonal rainfall pattern that is similar to the
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Significant droughts lead to drying of water resources and eventually water scarcity. Subsequent outcomes include poor hygiene and can lead to faeco-oral transmission of disease.
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in the last forty years. It came about due to four consecutive rainy seasons which did not produce enough rain. This drought increased water insecurity for more than 8 million
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Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
2332: 2231: 287: 878:"The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia" 2554: 2038: 1836: 2777: 1964: 876:
Borgomeo, Edoardo; Vadheim, Bryan; Woldeyes, Firew B.; Alamirew, Tena; Tamru, Seneshaw; Charles, Katrina J.; Kebede, Seifu; Walker, Oliver (2018).
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Conway D, Schipper ELF. Adaptation to climate change in Africa: Challenges and opportunities identified from Ethiopia. Global Environmental Change
330: 2214: 1278: 788: 1907: 1088:"Evaluating the CMIP5 ensemble in Ethiopia: Creating a reduced ensemble for rainfall and temperature in Northwest Ethiopia and the Awash basin" 376: 179: 70: 997:"Potential predictability of the Ethiopian summer rains: Understanding local variations and their implications for water management decisions" 2435: 1917: 951: 614: 2147: 407: 2174: 1881: 48: 199:, leaving at least 200 people dead and over 200,000 people homeless as seasonal rains came early to the country. Causes for floods can be 1635: 2848: 2803: 2051: 335: 2843: 2248: 1846: 1753: 1163: 802: 2219: 809:
predicts 2.5 to 2.9°C of warming based on current policies and action, with pledges and government agreements taking this to 2.1°C.
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Several impacts make their impacts worse. These are increased water demand, population growth and urban expansion in many areas.
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World Bank. License: CC BY 30 Unported. Washington DC: 2010. Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change, Ethiopia
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Between 1960 and 2006, the mean annual temperature increased by 1.3°C. On average, the rate would be 0.28°C in
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per decade. A study from 2008 predicted further warming of 0.7°C and 2.3°C by 2020s and 1.4°C by 2050s.
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zone has two separate rainy seasons, and the red zone has a single peak in rainfall in Jun to September.
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Simane, B.; Beyene, H.; Deressa, W.; Kumie, A.; Berhane, K.; Samet, J. (23 June 2022).
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in central Ethiopia floods and droughts are common. Agriculture in the basin is mainly
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in central Ethiopia floods and droughts are common. Agriculture in the basin is mainly
662:(GDP) of the country by reducing between 0.5% and 2.5% each year (estimate for 2010). 2827: 2737: 2114: 1121: 1038: 220: 200: 167: 1264: 1021: 996: 740:
Verity; Schädel, Christina; Strauss, Jens; Treat, Claire; Turetsky, Merritt (2022).
1059:"Future climate of Ethiopia from PRECIS Regional Climate Model Experimental Design" 894: 877: 259: 1324: 666: 241: 159: 136: 100: 74: 995:
Taye, Meron Teferi; Dyer, Ellen; Charles, Katrina J.; Hirons, Linda C. (2021).
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Higher temperatures increase evaporation. This dries the soil and increases
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Cook, Benjamin I.; Mankin, Justin S.; Anchukaitis, Kevin J. (2018-05-12).
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The Ethiopian Journal of Health Development = Ya'ityopya Tena Lemat Mashet
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Daniel Tsegai, Miriam Medel, Patrick Augenstein, Zhuojing Huang (2022)
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Emissions, impacts and responses of Ethiopia related to climate change
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Mishra, A. K.; Singh, V. P. (2011). "Drought modeling – A review".
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Drought in Numbers 2022 - restoration for readiness and resilience
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Dyer, Ellen; Washington, Richard; Teferi Taye, Meron (May 2020).
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can help reduce the impact of droughts. One example of this is
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Text was copied from this source, which is available under a
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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
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Climate change affects many factors associated with
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Vol. 21. 2011. pp. 227–37. 791:from the original on 20 September 2023 377:2009 Angola, Namibia and Zambia floods 759:10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-011847 7: 1990: 1092:International Journal of Climatology 823: 821: 819: 817: 230:Effects of climate change § Droughts 197:In 2016, deadly floods hit Ethiopia 209:Effects of climate change § Floods 182:. About 7.2 million people needed 14: 803:The Australian Academy of Science 90:Impact on the natural environment 49:the worst climate change scenario 2000: 1989: 1979: 1978: 1001:Science of the Total Environment 900: 777:Phiddian, Ellen (5 April 2022). 658:Climate change also affects the 408:2010–2011 Southern Africa floods 228:This section is an excerpt from 207:This section is an excerpt from 40: 23: 1022:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142604 575:2023 African Great Lakes floods 532:2022 Kasese District landslides 95:Temperature and weather changes 1229:Current Climate Change Reports 1200:Chapter 8: Water Cycle Changes 895:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.11.038 33:map for Ethiopia for 1980–2016 1: 1325:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.03.049 107:Rainfall, droughts and floods 31:Köppen climate classification 1351:Bank, World (January 2010). 458:2019–2020 Congo River floods 418:2015 Southeast Africa floods 392:Early 2000 Madagascar floods 2205:Federal Democratic Republic 779:"Explainer: IPCC Scenarios" 135:Cattle herd in riverbed of 61:is affecting the people in 2865: 717:10.1038/d41586-020-00177-3 227: 206: 59:Climate change in Ethiopia 2849:Climate change by country 2790: 2611: 2517: 2380: 2266: 1973: 1403: 1249:10.1007/s40641-018-0093-2 1212:10.1017/9781009157896.010 542:2022 KwaZulu-Natal floods 474:2020 African Sahel floods 453:2019 Durban Easter floods 443:2016–2017 Zimbabwe floods 311:1908 Port Elizabeth flood 146:Gilgel Abbay during flood 65:due to increased floods, 2844:Climate change in Africa 2227:War in Somalia (2006–09) 1406:Greenhouse gas emissions 585:2023 Western Cape floods 580:2023 South Africa floods 527:2022 Eastern Cape floods 512:2022 Antananarivo floods 321:1987 South Africa floods 2834:Environment of Ethiopia 479:2020 East Africa floods 433:2016 Johannesburg flood 382:2009 West Africa floods 2555:Industrial development 2469:National Defense Force 2210:Eritrean–Ethiopian War 1960:Small island countries 807:Climate Action Tracker 660:gross domestic product 147: 139: 120:Ethiopia has two main 117: 2839:Geography of Ethiopia 2249:Territorial evolution 2144:Italo-Ethiopian wars 1057:Abebe, Dawit (2010). 840:(1 Spec Iss): 28–41. 362:2007 Mozambican flood 352:2000 Mozambique flood 316:1981 Laingsburg flood 145: 134: 114: 2778:World Heritage Sites 2715:Water and sanitation 2140:Menelik's Expansions 1305:Journal of Hydrology 940:. 2011. p. 188. 882:Ecological Economics 537:2022 Kinshasa floods 428:2016 Ethiopian flood 47:2071–2100 map under 1317:2011JHyd..403..157M 1241:2018CCCR....4..164C 1166:. VOA. 5 April 2016 1104:2020IJCli..40.2964D 1013:2021ScTEn.755n2604T 708:2020Natur.577..618H 630:Arbaat Dam collapse 547:2022 Nigeria floods 372:2008 Namibia floods 357:2007 African floods 71:infectious diseases 2575:Telecommunications 2489:Army of the Empire 2170:Italian occupation 2125:Ethiopian–Adal War 2083:Kingdom of Wolaita 596:2024 Africa floods 567:2023 Africa floods 552:2022 Rwanda floods 517:2022 Bukavu floods 499:2022 Africa floods 180:South-West regions 148: 140: 118: 2821: 2820: 2786: 2785: 2685:Human trafficking 2598: 2597: 2504: 2503: 2446:Foreign relations 2436:Political parties 2367: 2366: 2363: 2362: 2220:2018 peace summit 2110:Solomonic dynasty 2014: 2013: 1995:Wikimedia Commons 1636:the United States 645: 644: 557:2022 Sudan floods 507:2022 Accra floods 489:2021 Niger floods 484:2020 Sudan floods 448:2018 Sudan floods 423:2016 Accra floods 413:2013 Sudan floods 387:2008 Benin floods 367:2007 Sudan floods 326:1988 Sudan floods 164:agro-pastoralists 2856: 2806: 2799: 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1953:Other regions 1951: 1945: 1942: 1940: 1937: 1936: 1934: 1932:Polar regions 1930: 1924: 1921: 1919: 1916: 1914: 1911: 1909: 1906: 1904: 1901: 1899: 1896: 1895: 1893: 1889: 1883: 1880: 1878: 1875: 1873: 1870: 1868: 1865: 1863: 1860: 1858: 1855: 1853: 1850: 1848: 1845: 1843: 1840: 1838: 1835: 1833: 1830: 1828: 1825: 1823: 1820: 1818: 1815: 1813: 1810: 1808: 1805: 1803: 1800: 1799: 1797: 1795: 1791: 1785: 1782: 1780: 1777: 1775: 1772: 1770: 1767: 1765: 1762: 1760: 1757: 1755: 1752: 1750: 1747: 1745: 1742: 1740: 1737: 1735: 1732: 1730: 1727: 1725: 1722: 1720: 1717: 1715: 1712: 1710: 1707: 1705: 1702: 1700: 1697: 1695: 1692: 1690: 1687: 1685: 1682: 1680: 1677: 1675: 1672: 1670: 1667: 1665: 1662: 1660: 1657: 1656: 1654: 1652: 1648: 1642: 1639: 1637: 1634: 1632: 1629: 1627: 1624: 1622: 1619: 1617: 1614: 1612: 1609: 1607: 1604: 1602: 1599: 1597: 1596:the Caribbean 1594: 1592: 1589: 1587: 1584: 1582: 1579: 1578: 1576: 1572: 1566: 1563: 1561: 1558: 1556: 1553: 1551: 1548: 1546: 1543: 1541: 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In 1118:S2CID 1062:(PDF) 1035:S2CID 958:(PDF) 938:(PDF) 625:Sudan 401:2010s 345:2000s 126:Sahel 2747:wine 2678:LGBT 2646:Flag 2494:Navy 2419:list 2407:list 2190:Derg 2098:list 1903:Fiji 1699:Iraq 1694:Iran 1651:Asia 1416:and 1253:ISSN 1172:2016 1073:2022 1027:PMID 852:PMID 797:2023 722:PMID 178:and 176:SNNP 162:and 69:and 2738:Art 1321:doi 1309:403 1245:doi 1208:doi 1108:doi 1017:doi 1005:755 890:doi 886:146 842:PMC 754:doi 712:doi 700:577 2830:: 1412:, 1408:, 1319:. 1307:. 1281:. 1259:. 1251:. 1243:. 1231:. 1227:. 1180:^ 1141:. 1130:^ 1116:. 1106:. 1096:40 1094:. 1090:. 1064:. 1047:^ 1033:. 1025:. 1015:. 1003:. 999:. 974:. 884:. 880:. 864:^ 850:. 838:30 836:. 832:. 816:^ 799:. 787:. 781:. 762:. 750:47 748:. 744:. 720:. 710:. 698:. 694:. 174:, 170:, 2749:) 2745:( 2040:e 2033:t 2026:v 1388:e 1381:t 1374:v 1357:. 1327:. 1323:: 1315:: 1292:. 1267:. 1247:: 1239:: 1233:4 1210:: 1174:. 1152:. 1124:. 1110:: 1102:: 1075:. 1041:. 1019:: 1011:: 984:. 960:. 898:. 892:: 858:. 756:: 728:. 714:: 706:: 289:e 282:t 275:v 262:. 232:. 211:.

Index


Köppen climate classification

the worst climate change scenario
Ethiopia
heat waves
infectious diseases
Awash basin
rainfed
climate change
temperature

wet seasons
Sahel

Afar Region

La Niña
droughts
pastoralists
agro-pastoralists
Somali
Oromia
SNNP
South-West regions
food aid
In 2016, deadly floods hit Ethiopia
deforestation
Effects of climate change § Floods
floods

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