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Horace Secrist

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120:, which ensured the observed effect given the method of grouping of the observed results that Secrist had used. Secrist stated in his preface that in addition to exhaustive testing of his results on different areas of business, he had asked 38 American and European statisticians and economists to review them. The book has since been frequently used as a bad example in publications on statistics. 61:
He began his teaching career at Brigham Young University, and later was an instructor at the University of Wisconsin. In 1918 he joined Northwestern University, where he spent most of his career, becoming a professor of economics and statistics and director of the Bureau of Economic Research. He
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and of businesses in 73 other fields, he argued that over time, competitive forces under free enterprise cause the success of better-run businesses to decline and that of weaker businesses to increase, leading to an inevitable predominance of mediocrity in American business; Secrist recommended
456:, July 3, 1933, p. 6: "So long as competition is free, neither superiority nor inferiority will tend to persist. Rather mediocrity tends to become the rule." "Complete freedom to enter trade, and continuation of competition, mean the perpetuation of mediocrity." 1262: 58:, where he earned a bachelor's degree in economics in 1907 and a PhD in 1911 with a dissertation titled "An Economic Analysis of the Constitutional Restrictions Upon Public Indebtedness in the United States". 1303: 296:
Horace Secrist, "An Economic Analysis of the Constitutional Restrictions upon Public Indebtedness in the United States", PhD dissertation, University of Wisconsin, 1911,
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Banking Ratios: A Study of the Operating Results of Member Banks with Special Reference to the Twelfth Federal Reserve District and to California
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Banking Ratios: A Study of the Operating Results of Member Banks with Special Reference to the Twelfth Federal Reserve District and to California
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pointed out in a review, and in a subsequent rebuttal of Secrist's response, that this argument constituted a misunderstanding of
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Secrist published thirteen textbooks in statistics and economics. In several of his publications on economics, particularly in
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An Introduction to Statistical Methods: A Textbook for College Students, a Manual for Statisticians and Business Executives
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held various positions for the federal government: as Commissioner on Industrial Relations in 1914, statistician for the
431: 448:"Mediocrity Brands Business Life Of Nation, Economist Findsβ€”Too Many in Trade, All Held To Average, He Asserts" 51: 227: 55: 31: 284: 117: 47: 1288: 1283: 395: 324:
An Economic Analysis of the Constitutional Restrictions upon Public Indebtedness in the United States
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Secrist married May Alexander in 1904; they had two sons. He died at 61 following an operation in
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Costs, Merchandising Practices, Advertising and Sales in the Retail Distribution of Clothing
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Costs, Merchandising Practices, Advertising and Sales in the Retail Distribution of Clothing
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Costs, Merchandising Practices, Advertising and Sales in the Retail Distribution of Clothing
113: 104: 43: 402: 136: 63: 1277: 109: 427: 103:(1933), the result of a decade's investigation by Secrist and his assistants of 49 23: 386:, Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology, retrieved August 17, 2017. 383: 384:"Horace Secrist’s (1933) Theory of Organizational Mediocrity: A Cautionary Tale" 261: 240: 222: 447: 27: 309: 112:
of the better businesses to offset this effect. Mathematical statistician
940:, 6 Vol by Horace Secrist, The National Association of Retail Clothiers" 526:
Statistics on the Table: The History of Statistical Concepts and Methods
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Expenses, Profits and Losses in Retail Meat Stores: How Much and Why
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Expenses, Profits and Losses in Retail Meat Stores: How Much and Why
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The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
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The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
528:, 1999, repr. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University, 2002, 354:
What the Luck? The Surprising Role of Chance in Our Everyday Lives
241:"Utah-Born U. S. Economist Gained Renown In Filling Federal Posts" 1219:
National Bank Failures and Non-Failures; An Autopsy and Diagnosis
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Stigler, "Regression Towards the Mean, Historically Considered",
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National Bank Failures and Non-Failures: An Autopsy and Diagnosis
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Quarterly Publications of the American Statistical Association
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Quarterly Publications of the American Statistical Association
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637, Economics and Political Science Series 6.1, April 1914,
154:– 1921, with The National Association of Retail Clothiers 854:
Statistics in Business.β€”Their Analysis, Charting and Use
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Statistics in Business: Their Analysis, Charting and Use
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Margins, Expenses and Profits in Retail Hardware Stores
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The Widening Retail Market and Consumers' Buying Habits
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The Widening Retail Market and Consumers' Buying Habits
653:, Cambridge,. Massachusetts: Harvard University, 2016, 493:
How Not to be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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Margins, Expenses and Profits in Retail Hardware Stores
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The Widening Retail Market and Consumers' Buying Habits
304:, electronic reproduction Getzville, New York: Hein, 1204:
The Journal of Business of the University of Chicago
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The Journal of Business of the University of Chicago
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Publications of the American Statistical Association
1110:Banking Standards under the Federal Reserve System 1089:Banking Standards under the Federal Reserve System 626:Statistics Done Wrong: The Woefully Complete Guide 176:Banking Standards under the Federal Reserve System 22:(October 9, 1881 – March 5, 1943) was an American 1304:Fellows of the American Statistical Association 1225:Journal of the American Statistical Association 1053:Journal of the American Statistical Association 965:by North Western University School of Commerce" 613:Journal of the American Statistical Association 597:Journal of the American Statistical Association 560:Volumes 1–5, ed. Neil J Salkind, London: SAGE, 420:Journal of the American Statistical Association 262:"Another Native Son Closes a Brilliant Career" 89:, from the effects of a long-term disability. 75:Fellow of the American Statistical Association 66:in 1918, and supervising statistician of the 8: 917:Readings and Problems in Statistical Methods 896:Readings and Problems in Statistical Methods 580: 578: 484: 482: 257: 255: 146:Readings and Problems in Statistical Methods 628:, San Francisco: No Starch-O'Reilly, 2015, 464: 462: 378: 376: 374: 372: 370: 517: 515: 513: 558:SAGE Directions in Educational Psychology 276: 274: 969:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 923:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 709:Journal of the Royal Statistical Society 701:by William B. Bailey and John Cummings; 1240:National Bank Failures and Non-Failures 1198:National Bank Failures and Non-Failures 1173:National Bank Failures and Non-Failures 651:The Seven Pillars of Statistical Wisdom 554:Statistical Methods in Medical Research 548: 546: 298:Bulletin of the University of Wisconsin 218: 216: 214: 212: 210: 206: 1183:Appraising the Social Security Program 829:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 808:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 787:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 766:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 724:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 703:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 697:"Reviews: Statistics and Its Methods: 678:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 348: 346: 344: 342: 340: 338: 130:An Introduction to Statistical Methods 948:Industrial Relations and the Churches 591:The Triumph of Mediocrity in Business 188:The Triumph of Mediocrity in Business 100:The Triumph of Mediocrity in Business 7: 1133:by Horace Secrist, Keith Powlison" 1070:by Horace Secrist and J. A. Folse" 356:, New York: Overlook-Mayer, 2016, 14: 684:The American Mathematical Monthly 1294:20th-century American economists 992:35. No. 137 (March 1925) 138–40. 422:38.223 (September 1943) 365–66, 46:, and received his education at 1227:34.208 (December 1939) 770–71. 1055:22.160 (December 1927) 544–45. 1034:37.148 (December 1927) 639–41. 599:28.184 (December 1933) 463–65. 428:10.1080/01621459.1943.10501821 223:"Horace Secrist Dies, Aged 61" 1: 795:26.10 (December 1918) 986–87. 1299:People from Farmington, Utah 1137:The American Economic Review 1076:38.1 (February 1930) 119–20. 1074:Journal of Political Economy 1011:The American Economic Review 881:Journal of Political Economy 793:Journal of Political Economy 730:The American Economic Review 332:24.5 (May 1916), pp. 511–12. 330:Journal of Political Economy 249:, March 6, 1943, p. 17. 904:17.133 (March 1921) 668–70. 816:36.141 (March 1926) 115–16. 495:, New York: Penguin, 2014, 416:"Horace Secrist, 1881–1943" 268:, March 8, 1943, p. 5. 231:, March 6, 1943, p. 6. 184:– 1930, with Keith Powlison 1325: 1118:42.165 (March 1932) 86–89. 1097:39.154 (June 1929) 272–74. 1005:The Widening Retail Market 971:86.1 (January 1923) 76–78. 841:18 (November 1926) 373–74. 774:16.122 (June 1918) 113–14. 753:28.110 (June 1918) 218–20. 615:29.186 (June 1934) 196–99. 1246:Southern Economic Journal 1206:12.2 (April 1939) 213–15. 1139:21.1 (March 1931) 156–58. 925:84.2 (March 1921) 279–80. 883:29.3 (March 1921) 255–56. 686:25.4 (April 1918) 167–68. 476:23.4 (April 1959) 419–20. 470:"Mediocrity in Retailing" 281:Wisconsin Alumni Magazine 1248:6.4 (April 1940) 526–27. 1160:4.2 (April 1931) 212–13. 1013:17.2 (June 1927) 314–16. 950:(September 1922) 147–48. 871:J. Anderson Fitzgerald, 172:– 1928, with J. A. Folse 132:– 1917, revised ed. 1925 52:Brigham Young University 862:17.130 (June 1920) 215. 732:8.2 (June 1918) 401–04. 711:81.3 (May 1918) 521–22. 556:6 (1997) 103–14, repr. 228:Ogden Standard-Examiner 110:governmental protection 56:University of Wisconsin 32:Northwestern University 1001:Norman J. Silberling, 875:Statistics in Business 833:Elements of Statistics 118:regression to the mean 81:Private life and death 892:William O. Weyforth, 405:, accessed 2017-08-21 124:Selected publications 48:Brigham Young College 1309:Economists from Utah 1185:(March 1939) 225–26. 1116:The Economic Journal 1095:The Economic Journal 1032:The Economic Journal 990:The Economic Journal 835:by Arthur L. Bowley" 814:The Economic Journal 751:The Economic Journal 474:Journal of Marketing 436:Taylor & Francis 141:. McGraw-Hill. 1920. 73:In 1918 he became a 42:Secrist was born in 1085:Henry W. Macrosty, 831:by Horace Secrist; 453:Cincinnati Enquirer 68:Railway Labor Board 1242:by Horace Secrist" 1221:by Horace Secrist" 1215:C. Daniel Bremer, 1200:by Horace Secrist" 1194:Ralph R. Pickett, 1175:by Horace Secrist" 1154:by Horace Secrist" 1112:by Horace Secrist" 1028:by Horace Secrist" 1007:by Horace Secrist" 986:by Horace Secrist" 919:by Horace Secrist" 877:by Horace Secrist" 856:by Horace Secrist" 810:by Horace Secrist" 789:by Horace Secrist" 768:by Horace Secrist" 747:by Horace Secrist" 726:by Horace Secrist" 705:by Horace Secrist" 680:by Horace Secrist" 593:by Horace Secrist" 522:Stephen M. Stigler 401:2017-12-01 at the 364:, pp. 173–81. 326:by Horace Secrist" 283:, Volume 9, 1907, 87:Evanston, Illinois 16:American economist 1127:John M. Chapman, 934:Herbert W. Hess, 898:by Horace Secrist 566:978-0-85702-178-6 382:Scott Highhouse, 362:978-1-4683-1375-8 266:Salt Lake Tribune 246:Salt Lake Tribune 105:department stores 1316: 1270: 1263:"Horace Secrist" 1249: 1236:James Holladay, 1234: 1228: 1213: 1207: 1192: 1186: 1169:Lucile Bagwell, 1167: 1161: 1146: 1140: 1125: 1119: 1104: 1098: 1083: 1077: 1064:Kemper Simpson, 1062: 1056: 1041: 1035: 1020: 1014: 999: 993: 978: 972: 957: 951: 932: 926: 911: 905: 890: 884: 869: 863: 848: 842: 823: 817: 802: 796: 781: 775: 760: 754: 739: 733: 718: 712: 693: 687: 672: 666: 647: 641: 622: 616: 606: 600: 585:Harold Hotelling 582: 573: 550: 541: 519: 508: 489:Jordan Ellenberg 486: 477: 468:P. D. Converse, 466: 457: 445: 439: 412: 406: 396:ASA Fellows list 393: 387: 380: 365: 350: 333: 319: 313: 294: 288: 285:pp. 58, 229 278: 269: 259: 250: 238: 232: 220: 142: 114:Harold Hotelling 44:Farmington, Utah 1324: 1323: 1319: 1318: 1317: 1315: 1314: 1313: 1274: 1273: 1261: 1258: 1253: 1252: 1235: 1231: 1214: 1210: 1193: 1189: 1168: 1164: 1147: 1143: 1126: 1122: 1105: 1101: 1084: 1080: 1063: 1059: 1042: 1038: 1021: 1017: 1000: 996: 979: 975: 958: 954: 933: 929: 912: 908: 891: 887: 870: 866: 849: 845: 824: 820: 803: 799: 782: 778: 761: 757: 740: 736: 720:Edmund E. Day, 719: 715: 694: 690: 673: 669: 663:pp. 139–40 648: 644: 624:Alex Reinhart, 623: 619: 607: 603: 583: 576: 570:pp. 147–48 551: 544: 538:pp. 162–70 520: 511: 505:pp. 295–98 487: 480: 467: 460: 446: 442: 414:F. S. Deibler, 413: 409: 403:Wayback Machine 394: 390: 381: 368: 351: 336: 320: 316: 295: 291: 279: 272: 260: 253: 239: 235: 221: 208: 203: 135: 126: 95: 83: 70:in 1920–1921. 40: 38:Life and career 17: 12: 11: 5: 1322: 1320: 1312: 1311: 1306: 1301: 1296: 1291: 1286: 1276: 1275: 1272: 1271: 1257: 1256:External links 1254: 1251: 1250: 1229: 1208: 1187: 1162: 1152:Banking Ratios 1141: 1120: 1106:E. C. Rhodes, 1099: 1078: 1057: 1043:Isador Lubin, 1036: 1015: 994: 980:A. L. Bowley, 973: 952: 927: 906: 885: 864: 843: 818: 804:A. L. Bowley, 797: 783:F. H. Knight, 776: 755: 734: 713: 688: 667: 642: 617: 609:"Open Letters" 601: 574: 542: 509: 478: 458: 440: 407: 388: 366: 334: 314: 302:pp. 1–132 289: 270: 251: 233: 205: 204: 202: 199: 198: 197: 191: 185: 179: 173: 167: 161: 155: 149: 143: 133: 125: 122: 94: 91: 82: 79: 64:Shipping Board 39: 36: 20:Horace Secrist 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 1321: 1310: 1307: 1305: 1302: 1300: 1297: 1295: 1292: 1290: 1287: 1285: 1282: 1281: 1279: 1268: 1264: 1260: 1259: 1255: 1247: 1243: 1241: 1233: 1230: 1226: 1222: 1220: 1212: 1209: 1205: 1201: 1199: 1191: 1188: 1184: 1180: 1176: 1174: 1166: 1163: 1159: 1155: 1153: 1148:Ivan Wright, 1145: 1142: 1138: 1134: 1132: 1124: 1121: 1117: 1113: 1111: 1103: 1100: 1096: 1092: 1090: 1082: 1079: 1075: 1071: 1069: 1061: 1058: 1054: 1050: 1048: 1040: 1037: 1033: 1029: 1027: 1022:J. G. Smith, 1019: 1016: 1012: 1008: 1006: 998: 995: 991: 987: 985: 977: 974: 970: 966: 964: 956: 953: 949: 945: 941: 939: 931: 928: 924: 920: 918: 910: 907: 903: 899: 897: 889: 886: 882: 878: 876: 868: 865: 861: 857: 855: 850:R. L. White, 847: 844: 840: 836: 834: 830: 822: 819: 815: 811: 809: 801: 798: 794: 790: 788: 780: 777: 773: 769: 767: 759: 756: 752: 748: 746: 738: 735: 731: 727: 725: 717: 714: 710: 706: 704: 700: 692: 689: 685: 681: 679: 674:H. L. Rietz, 671: 668: 664: 660: 659:9780674088917 656: 652: 646: 643: 639: 635: 634:9781593276201 631: 627: 621: 618: 614: 610: 605: 602: 598: 594: 592: 586: 581: 579: 575: 571: 567: 563: 559: 555: 549: 547: 543: 539: 535: 534:9780674009790 531: 527: 523: 518: 516: 514: 510: 506: 502: 501:9780143127536 498: 494: 490: 485: 483: 479: 475: 471: 465: 463: 459: 455: 454: 449: 444: 441: 437: 433: 429: 425: 421: 417: 411: 408: 404: 400: 397: 392: 389: 385: 379: 377: 375: 373: 371: 367: 363: 359: 355: 349: 347: 345: 343: 341: 339: 335: 331: 327: 325: 318: 315: 311: 307: 303: 299: 293: 290: 286: 282: 277: 275: 271: 267: 263: 258: 256: 252: 248: 247: 242: 237: 234: 230: 229: 224: 219: 217: 215: 213: 211: 207: 200: 195: 192: 189: 186: 183: 180: 177: 174: 171: 168: 165: 162: 159: 156: 153: 150: 147: 144: 140: 139: 134: 131: 128: 127: 123: 121: 119: 115: 111: 106: 102: 101: 92: 90: 88: 80: 78: 76: 71: 69: 65: 59: 57: 53: 49: 45: 37: 35: 33: 29: 25: 21: 1245: 1239: 1232: 1224: 1218: 1211: 1203: 1197: 1190: 1182: 1178: 1172: 1165: 1157: 1151: 1144: 1136: 1130: 1123: 1115: 1109: 1102: 1094: 1088: 1081: 1073: 1067: 1060: 1052: 1046: 1039: 1031: 1025: 1018: 1010: 1004: 997: 989: 983: 976: 968: 962: 959:A. Les. B., 955: 947: 943: 937: 930: 922: 916: 909: 901: 895: 888: 880: 874: 867: 859: 853: 846: 838: 832: 828: 821: 813: 807: 800: 792: 786: 779: 771: 765: 758: 750: 744: 741:G. U. Yule, 737: 729: 723: 716: 708: 702: 698: 691: 683: 677: 670: 650: 645: 625: 620: 612: 604: 596: 590: 568:, Volume 5, 557: 553: 525: 492: 473: 451: 443: 419: 410: 391: 353: 352:Gary Smith, 329: 323: 317: 297: 292: 280: 265: 244: 236: 226: 193: 187: 181: 175: 169: 163: 157: 151: 145: 137: 129: 99: 98: 96: 93:Publications 84: 72: 60: 41: 24:statistician 19: 18: 1289:1943 deaths 1284:1881 births 432:also online 1278:Categories 913:G. U. Y., 762:J. H. P., 699:Statistics 695:E. C. S., 638:p. 68 201:References 54:, and the 1238:"Review: 1217:"Review: 1196:"Review: 1171:"Review: 1150:"Review: 1129:"Review: 1108:"Review: 1087:"Review: 1066:"Review: 1045:"Review: 1024:"Review: 1003:"Review: 982:"Review: 961:"Review: 936:"Review: 915:"Review: 894:"Review: 873:"Review: 852:"Review: 839:Economica 827:"Review: 806:"Review: 785:"Review: 764:"Review: 743:"Review: 722:"Review: 676:"Review: 649:Stigler, 589:"Review: 322:"Review: 310:982085927 28:economist 399:Archived 825:F. B., 657:  632:  564:  532:  499:  360:  308:  196:– 1938 190:– 1933 178:– 1928 166:– 1926 160:– 1924 148:– 1920 1267:JSTOR 1181:202, 946:103, 655:ISBN 630:ISBN 562:ISBN 530:ISBN 497:ISBN 358:ISBN 306:OCLC 26:and 900:", 434:at 424:doi 1280:: 1265:. 1244:, 1223:, 1202:, 1177:, 1156:, 1135:, 1114:, 1093:, 1072:, 1051:, 1030:, 1009:, 988:, 967:, 942:, 921:, 879:, 858:, 837:, 812:, 791:, 770:, 749:, 728:, 707:, 682:, 661:, 636:, 611:, 595:, 587:, 577:^ 545:^ 536:, 524:, 512:^ 503:, 491:, 481:^ 472:, 461:^ 450:, 430:, 418:, 369:^ 337:^ 328:, 273:^ 264:, 254:^ 243:, 225:, 209:^ 77:. 50:, 34:. 1269:. 1091:" 1049:" 665:. 640:. 572:. 540:. 507:. 438:. 426:: 312:. 287:.

Index

statistician
economist
Northwestern University
Farmington, Utah
Brigham Young College
Brigham Young University
University of Wisconsin
Shipping Board
Railway Labor Board
Fellow of the American Statistical Association
Evanston, Illinois
department stores
governmental protection
Harold Hotelling
regression to the mean
Statistics in Business: Their Analysis, Charting and Use





"Horace Secrist Dies, Aged 61"
Ogden Standard-Examiner
"Utah-Born U. S. Economist Gained Renown In Filling Federal Posts"
Salt Lake Tribune


"Another Native Son Closes a Brilliant Career"

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