144:
ICEWS has been discussed extensively in blogs related to geopolitical forecasting as well as crisis prediction. Among the topics discussed have been the utility of access to ICEWS data in improving the quality of predictions made in
67:
ICEWS was a DARPA program conceived and led by Dr. Sean P. O'Brien that launched in 2008. In March 2010, O'Brien authored an article that compared ICEWS with past efforts in the realm, including systems designed by
72:. According to the paper, the first of three phases of the ICEWS involved a competition between different groups to successfully predict events of interest based on historical data. The winning team,
401:
132:
ICEWS has been discussed in papers on conflict prediction as well as papers on the coding of political events. There has also been some research comparing ICEWS with the
73:
48:
150:
133:
428:
40:
378:
258:
Ward, Michael D.; Metternich, Nils; Carrington, Christopher; Dorff, Cassy; Gallop, Max; Hollenbach, Florian M.; Schultz, Anna; Weschle, Simon.
307:
198:
O'Brien, Sean P. (March 9, 2010). "Crisis Early
Warning and Decision Support: Contemporary Approaches and Thoughts on Future Research".
405:
349:
Arva, Bryan; Beieler, John; Fisher, Ben; Lara, Gustavo; Schrodt, Philip A.; Song, Wonjun; Sowell, Marsha; Stehle, Sam (July 3, 2013).
291:
503:
112:
52:
116:
56:
432:
146:
85:
236:
69:
36:
203:
17:
350:
97:
89:
331:
Ward, Michael D.; Beger, Andreas; Cutler, Joshua; Dickenson, Matthew; Dorff, Cassy; Radford, Ben.
313:
303:
93:
77:
332:
295:
259:
487:
455:
216:
177:
108:
101:
173:
276:
497:
44:
317:
374:
280:
299:
81:
35:) combines a database of political events and a system using these to provide
51:
are currently undergoing operational test and evaluation by the
76:, combined six different conflict modeling systems, including
402:"Prediction and Good Judgment: Can ICEWS Inform Forecasts?"
379:"Maybe Pattern Recognition Will Work Better Than I Thought"
237:"DARPA's Crisis Early Warning and Decision Support System"
351:"Improving Forecasts of International Events of Interest"
288:
481:
111:
and undergoing operational test and evaluation by the
107:
The ICEWS data and model are currently maintained by
260:"Geographical Models of Crises: Evidence from ICEWS"
174:"World-Wide Integrated Crisis Early Warning System"
230:
228:
226:
168:
166:
74:Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Laboratories
49:Lockheed Martin Advanced Technology Laboratories
149:and its similarities and differences with the
151:Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
134:Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone
8:
47:. The database as well as the model used by
239:. Conflict Early Warning and Early Response
80:such as Barry Silverman's Factionalism and
281:"Automated Coding of Political Event Data"
100:, and geo-spatial network models built by
96:and the Bayesian statistics model used by
41:Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency
88:(PSI) computational modeling platforms,
18:Integrated Conflict Early Warning System
431:. Predictive Heuristics. Archived from
404:. Predictive Heuristics. Archived from
162:
333:"Comparing GDELT and ICEWS Event Data"
212:
201:
29:Integrated Crisis Early Warning System
429:"GDELT and ICEWS, a short comparison"
427:Ward, Michael D. (October 17, 2013).
400:Dickenson, Matt (November 12, 2013).
7:
454:Beieler, John (October 28, 2013).
92:models such as those developed by
25:
235:Meier, Patrick (March 20, 2010).
292:Springer Science+Business Media
113:United States Southern Command
53:United States Southern Command
1:
279:; Van Brackle, David (2013).
117:United States Pacific Command
57:United States Pacific Command
300:10.1007/978-1-4614-5311-6_2
520:
86:Political Science-Identity
147:The Good Judgment Project
39:. It is supported by the
504:International relations
70:Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
37:conflict early warnings
377:(September 16, 2011).
211:Cite journal requires
381:. Dart-Throwing Chimp
90:logistic regression
277:Schrodt, Philip A.
140:Reception in blogs
128:Academic reception
78:agent-based models
408:on April 18, 2014
309:978-1-4614-5310-9
94:Philip A. Schrodt
16:(Redirected from
511:
485:
484:
482:Official website
467:
466:
464:
462:
456:"Noise in GDELT"
451:
445:
444:
442:
440:
435:on July 17, 2014
424:
418:
417:
415:
413:
397:
391:
390:
388:
386:
371:
365:
364:
362:
360:
355:
346:
340:
339:
337:
328:
322:
321:
285:
273:
267:
266:
264:
255:
249:
248:
246:
244:
232:
221:
220:
214:
209:
207:
199:
195:
189:
188:
186:
184:
170:
21:
519:
518:
514:
513:
512:
510:
509:
508:
494:
493:
488:Lockheed Martin
486:(maintained by
480:
479:
476:
471:
470:
460:
458:
453:
452:
448:
438:
436:
426:
425:
421:
411:
409:
399:
398:
394:
384:
382:
373:
372:
368:
358:
356:
353:
348:
347:
343:
335:
330:
329:
325:
310:
283:
275:
274:
270:
262:
257:
256:
252:
242:
240:
234:
233:
224:
210:
200:
197:
196:
192:
182:
180:
178:Lockheed Martin
172:
171:
164:
159:
142:
130:
125:
109:Lockheed Martin
102:Michael D. Ward
65:
23:
22:
15:
12:
11:
5:
517:
515:
507:
506:
496:
495:
492:
491:
475:
474:External links
472:
469:
468:
446:
419:
392:
366:
341:
323:
308:
268:
250:
222:
213:|journal=
190:
161:
160:
158:
155:
141:
138:
129:
126:
124:
121:
98:Steve Shellman
64:
61:
24:
14:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
516:
505:
502:
501:
499:
489:
483:
478:
477:
473:
457:
450:
447:
434:
430:
423:
420:
407:
403:
396:
393:
380:
376:
375:Ulfelder, Jay
370:
367:
352:
345:
342:
334:
327:
324:
319:
315:
311:
305:
301:
297:
293:
289:
282:
278:
272:
269:
261:
254:
251:
238:
231:
229:
227:
223:
218:
205:
194:
191:
179:
175:
169:
167:
163:
156:
154:
152:
148:
139:
137:
135:
127:
122:
120:
118:
114:
110:
105:
103:
99:
95:
91:
87:
83:
79:
75:
71:
62:
60:
58:
54:
50:
46:
45:United States
42:
38:
34:
30:
19:
459:. Retrieved
449:
437:. Retrieved
433:the original
422:
410:. Retrieved
406:the original
395:
383:. Retrieved
369:
357:. Retrieved
344:
326:
287:
271:
253:
241:. Retrieved
204:cite journal
193:
181:. Retrieved
143:
131:
106:
66:
32:
28:
26:
82:Ian Lustick
157:References
294:: 23–49.
153:(GDELT).
123:Reception
498:Category
461:June 21,
439:June 21,
412:June 21,
385:June 21,
359:June 21,
318:59661564
243:June 21,
183:June 21,
63:History
43:in the
316:
306:
354:(PDF)
336:(PDF)
314:S2CID
284:(PDF)
263:(PDF)
33:ICEWS
463:2014
441:2014
414:2014
387:2014
361:2014
304:ISBN
245:2014
217:help
185:2014
115:and
55:and
27:The
296:doi
84:'s
500::
312:.
302:.
290:.
286:.
225:^
208::
206:}}
202:{{
176:.
165:^
136:.
119:.
104:.
59:.
490:)
465:.
443:.
416:.
389:.
363:.
338:.
320:.
298::
265:.
247:.
219:)
215:(
187:.
31:(
20:)
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.