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p-value

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Easwaran, Kenny; Efferson, Charles; Fehr, Ernst; Fidler, Fiona; Field, Andy P.; Forster, Malcolm; George, Edward I.; Gonzalez, Richard; Goodman, Steven; Green, Edwin; Green, Donald P.; Greenwald, Anthony G.; Hadfield, Jarrod D.; Hedges, Larry V.; Held, Leonhard; Hua Ho, Teck; Hoijtink, Herbert; Hruschka, Daniel J.; Imai, Kosuke; Imbens, Guido; Ioannidis, John P. A.; Jeon, Minjeong; Jones, James Holland; Kirchler, Michael; Laibson, David; List, John; Little, Roderick; Lupia, Arthur; Machery, Edouard; Maxwell, Scott E.; McCarthy, Michael; Moore, Don A.; Morgan, Stephen L.; Munafó, Marcus; Nakagawa, Shinichi; Nyhan, Brendan; Parker, Timothy H.; Pericchi, Luis; Perugini, Marco; Rouder, Jeff; Rousseau, Judith; Savalei, Victoria; Schönbrodt, Felix D.; Sellke, Thomas; Sinclair, Betsy; Tingley, Dustin; Van Zandt, Trisha; Vazire, Simine; Watts, Duncan J.; Winship, Christopher; Wolpert, Robert L.; Xie, Yu; Young, Cristobal; Zinman, Jonathan; Johnson, Valen E. (1 September 2017).
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Easwaran, Kenny; Efferson, Charles; Fehr, Ernst; Fidler, Fiona; Field, Andy P.; Forster, Malcolm; George, Edward I.; Gonzalez, Richard; Goodman, Steven; Green, Edwin; Green, Donald P.; Greenwald, Anthony G.; Hadfield, Jarrod D.; Hedges, Larry V.; Held, Leonhard; Hua Ho, Teck; Hoijtink, Herbert; Hruschka, Daniel J.; Imai, Kosuke; Imbens, Guido; Ioannidis, John P. A.; Jeon, Minjeong; Jones, James Holland; Kirchler, Michael; Laibson, David; List, John; Little, Roderick; Lupia, Arthur; Machery, Edouard; Maxwell, Scott E.; McCarthy, Michael; Moore, Don A.; Morgan, Stephen L.; Munafó, Marcus; Nakagawa, Shinichi; Nyhan, Brendan; Parker, Timothy H.; Pericchi, Luis; Perugini, Marco; Rouder, Jeff; Rousseau, Judith; Savalei, Victoria; Schönbrodt, Felix D.; Sellke, Thomas; Sinclair, Betsy; Tingley, Dustin; Van Zandt, Trisha; Vazire, Simine; Watts, Duncan J.; Winship, Christopher; Wolpert, Robert L.; Xie, Yu; Young, Cristobal; Zinman, Jonathan; Johnson, Valen E. (1 September 2017).
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hypothesis test does not tell us which non-zero values of the mean are now most plausible. The more independent observations from the same probability distribution one has, the more accurate the test will be, and the higher the precision with which one will be able to determine the mean value and show that it is not equal to zero; but this will also increase the importance of evaluating the real-world or scientific relevance of this deviation.
7710: 2417:) could distinguish by taste how tea is prepared (first adding the milk to the cup, then the tea, or first tea, then milk), she was sequentially presented with 8 cups: 4 prepared one way, 4 prepared the other, and asked to determine the preparation of each cup (knowing that there were 4 of each). In that case, the null hypothesis was that she had no special ability, the test was 7748: 7736: 1423:-values are helpful in assessing how incompatible the data are with a specified statistical model, contextual factors must also be considered, such as "the design of a study, the quality of the measurements, the external evidence for the phenomenon under study, and the validity of assumptions that underlie the data analysis". Another concern is that the 1936: 2226: 2206: 2601:-value can be used, and the strength of evidence can and will be revised with further experimentation. In contrast, decision procedures require a clear-cut decision, yielding an irreversible action, and the procedure is based on costs of error, which, he argues, are inapplicable to scientific research. 5316:
Benjamin, Daniel J.; Berger, James O.; Johannesson, Magnus; Nosek, Brian A.; Wagenmakers, E.-J.; Berk, Richard; Bollen, Kenneth A.; Brembs, Björn; Brown, Lawrence; Camerer, Colin; Cesarini, David; Chambers, Christopher D.; Clyde, Merlise; Cook, Thomas D.; De Boeck, Paul; Dienes, Zoltan; Dreber, Anna;
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Benjamin, Daniel J.; Berger, James O.; Johannesson, Magnus; Nosek, Brian A.; Wagenmakers, E.-J.; Berk, Richard; Bollen, Kenneth A.; Brembs, Björn; Brown, Lawrence; Camerer, Colin; Cesarini, David; Chambers, Christopher D.; Clyde, Merlise; Cook, Thomas D.; De Boeck, Paul; Dienes, Zoltan; Dreber, Anna;
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It is usual and convenient for experimenters to take 5 per cent as a standard level of significance, in the sense that they are prepared to ignore all results which fail to reach this standard, and, by this means, to eliminate from further discussion the greater part of the fluctuations which chance
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studied this question in 1710, and examined birth records in London for each of the 82 years from 1629 to 1710. In every year, the number of males born in London exceeded the number of females. Considering more male or more female births as equally likely, the probability of the observed outcome is
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The error that a practising statistician would consider the more important to avoid (which is a subjective judgment) is called the error of the first kind. The first demand of the mathematical theory is to deduce such test criteria as would ensure that the probability of committing an error of the
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is not normally distributed. Different tests of the same null hypothesis would be more or less sensitive to different alternatives. However, even if we do manage to reject the null hypothesis for all 3 alternatives, and even if we know that the distribution is normal and variance is 1, the null
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The Pr(no. of heads ≀ 14 heads) = 1 − Pr(no. of heads ≄ 14 heads) + Pr(no. of head = 14) = 1 − 0.058 + 0.036 = 0.978; however, the symmetry of this binomial distribution makes it an unnecessary computation to find the smaller of the two probabilities. Here, the calculated
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of yet another statistic for hypotheses concerning the variance. For data of other nature, for instance, categorical (discrete) data, test statistics might be constructed whose null hypothesis distribution is based on normal approximations to appropriate statistics obtained by invoking the
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For the important case in which the data are hypothesized to be a random sample from a normal distribution, depending on the nature of the test statistic and the hypotheses of interest about its distribution, different null hypothesis tests have been developed. Some such tests are the
104:-value, or statistical significance, does not measure the size of an effect or the importance of a result" or "evidence regarding a model or hypothesis". That said, a 2019 task force by ASA has issued a statement on statistical significance and replicability, concluding with: " 2251:-value. This is vanishingly small, leading Arbuthnot that this was not due to chance, but to divine providence: "From whence it follows, that it is Art, not Chance, that governs." In modern terms, he rejected the null hypothesis of equally likely male and female births at the 155:
is the default hypothesis under which that property does not exist. The null hypothesis is typically that some parameter (such as a correlation or a difference between means) in the populations of interest is zero. Our hypothesis might specify the probability distribution of
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Benjamini, Yoav; De Veaux, Richard D.; Efron, Bradley; Evans, Scott; Glickman, Mark; Graubard, Barry I.; He, Xuming; Meng, Xiao-Li; Reid, Nancy M.; Stigler, Stephen M.; Vardeman, Stephen B.; Wikle, Christopher K.; Wright, Tommy; Young, Linda J.; Kafadar, Karen (2021-10-02).
1700: 1595:(CDF) is often a difficult problem. Today, this computation is done using statistical software, often via numeric methods (rather than exact formulae), but, in the early and mid 20th century, this was instead done via tables of values, and one interpolated or extrapolated 2040:
The difference between the two meanings of "extreme" appear when we consider a sequential hypothesis testing, or optional stopping, for the fairness of the coin. In general, optional stopping changes how p-value is calculated. Suppose we design the experiment as follows:
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of heads. The null hypothesis is that the coin is fair, and coin tosses are independent of one another. If a right-tailed test is considered, which would be the case if one is actually interested in the possibility that the coin is biased towards falling heads, then the
1174:-value less than or equal to any number between 0 and 1 is still less than or equal to that number. In other words, it remains the case that very small values are relatively unlikely if the null-hypothesis is true, and that a significance test at level 2255: = 1/2 significance level. This and other work by Arbuthnot is credited as "
 the first use of significance tests 
" the first example of reasoning about statistical significance, and "
 perhaps the first published report of a 2629:
number of times that one expects to obtain a test statistic at least as extreme as the one that was actually observed if one assumes that the null hypothesis is true. This expect-value is the product of the number of tests and the
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so Fisher was willing to reject the null hypothesis (consider the outcome highly unlikely to be due to chance) if all were classified correctly. (In the actual experiment, Bristol correctly classified all 8 cups.)
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Pearson, Karl (1914). "On the probability that two independent distributions of frequency are really samples of the same population, with special reference to recent work on the identity of Trypanosome strains".
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The statistical significance of a result does not imply that the result also has real-world relevance. For instance, a medication might have a statistically significant effect that is too small to be interesting.
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the parameter's value is given by a set of numbers. When the null-hypothesis is composite (or the distribution of the statistic is discrete), then when the null-hypothesis is true the probability of obtaining a
1279:-value is defined by taking the least favorable null-hypothesis case, which is typically on the border between null and alternative. This definition ensures the complementarity of p-values and alpha-levels: 2597:-value for statistical inference in science with the Neyman–Pearson method, which he terms "Acceptance Procedures". Fisher emphasizes that while fixed levels such as 5%, 2%, and 1% are convenient, the exact 1931:{\displaystyle {\begin{aligned}&\Pr(14{\text{ heads}})+\Pr(15{\text{ heads}})+\cdots +\Pr(20{\text{ heads}})\\&={\frac {1}{2^{20}}}\left={\frac {60\,460}{1\,048\,576}}\approx 0.058.\end{aligned}}} 4426:"On the criterion that a given system of deviations from the probable in the case of a correlated system of variables is such that it can be reasonably supposed to have arisen from random sampling" 1454:-values the prior probability of a real effect that would be required to obtain a false positive risk (i.e. the probability that there is no real effect) below a pre-specified threshold (e.g. 5%). 2493: 2377:-values, specifically 0.99, 0.98, 0.95, 0,90, 0.80, 0.70, 0.50, 0.30, 0.20, 0.10, 0.05, 0.02, and 0.01. That allowed computed values of χ to be compared against cutoffs and encouraged the use of 144:. If we state one hypothesis only and the aim of the statistical test is to see whether this hypothesis is tenable, but not to investigate other specific hypotheses, then such a test is called a 2830:= 0.05 corresponds to about 1.96 standard deviations for a normal distribution (two-tailed test), and 2 standard deviations corresponds to about a 1 in 22 chance of being exceeded by chance, or 1705: 4895:. There is growing determination to reform statistical analysis... Some suggest changing statistical methods, whereas others would do away with a threshold for defining "significant" results. 3752: 2023:-value exceeds 0.05, meaning that the data falls within the range of what would happen 95% of the time, if the coin were fair. Hence, the null hypothesis is not rejected at the 0.05 level. 4222: 2089: 813: 2584: 1054: 614: 558: 2354:, and applied this to a normal distribution (as a two-tailed test), thus yielding the rule of two standard deviations (on a normal distribution) for statistical significance (see 308: 1258: 1221:
For example, when testing the null hypothesis that a distribution is normal with a mean less than or equal to zero against the alternative that the mean is greater than zero (
1461:-values, and their connection to replicability. It states that "Different measures of uncertainty can complement one another; no single measure serves all purposes", citing 2286:
In the 1770s Laplace considered the statistics of almost half a million births. The statistics showed an excess of boys compared to girls. He concluded by calculation of a
1303: 392:-value is the probability under the null hypothesis of obtaining a real-valued test statistic at least as extreme as the one obtained. Consider an observed test-statistic 1523:. As such, the test statistic follows a distribution determined by the function used to define that test statistic and the distribution of the input observational data. 2512:
He also applies this threshold to the design of experiments, noting that had only 6 cups been presented (3 of each), a perfect classification would have only yielded a
1591:), and data. Even though computing the test statistic on given data may be easy, computing the sampling distribution under the null hypothesis, and then computing its 1216: 1192: 1074: 930: 910: 885: 825:
first kind would equal (or approximately equal, or not exceed) a preassigned number α, such as α = 0.05 or 0.01, etc. This number is called the level of significance.
2121: 1109: 860: 501: 2880: 2164: 1351: 1327: 6845: 5012: 7350: 1679: 1659: 1499: 1260:, variance known), the null hypothesis does not specify the exact probability distribution of the appropriate test statistic. In this example that would be the 1005: 981: 736: 474: 454: 430: 410: 372: 352: 328: 263: 225: 194: 174: 138: 60: 940:". In 2018, a group of statisticians led by Daniel Benjamin proposed the adoption of the 0.005 value as standard value for statistical significance worldwide. 100:-values do not measure the probability that the studied hypothesis is true, or the probability that the data were produced by random chance alone" and that "a 7500: 7124: 5051: 3912: 3153: 5765: 2052:
This experiment has 7 types of outcomes: 2 heads, 2 tails, 5 heads 1 tail, ..., 1 head 5 tails. We now calculate the
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That said, in 2019 a task force by ASA had convened to consider the use of statistical methods in scientific studies, specifically hypothesis tests and
1469:-values can provide valuable information when considering the specific value as well as when compared to some threshold. In general, it stresses that " 1446:, but there is heated debate on the feasibility of these alternatives. Others have suggested to remove fixed significance thresholds and to interpret 176:
precisely, or it might only specify that it belongs to some class of distributions. Often, we reduce the data to a single numerical statistic, e.g.,
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that is of the median's sign, typically varying between 50% and 100%, and representing the certainty with which an effect is positive or negative.
7774: 1415:-values are often misused and misinterpreted. One practice that has been particularly criticized is accepting the alternative hypothesis for any 932:
is commonly set to 0.05, though lower alpha levels are sometimes used. The 0.05 value (equivalent to 1/20 chances) was originally proposed by R.
2014:= 2 × min(Pr(no. of heads ≄ 14 heads), Pr(no. of heads ≀ 14 heads)) = 2 × min(0.058, 0.978) = 2 Ă— 0.058 = 0.115. 621: 5036: 4987: 4965: 4358: 4296: 4271: 4197: 3190: 3152:(1976). "The Emergence of Mathematical Statistics: A Historical Sketch with Particular Reference to the United States". In Owen, D.B. (ed.). 948: 4838:
An Introduction to Second-Generation p-Values Jeffrey D. Blume, Robert A. Greevy, Valerie F. Welty, Jeffrey R. Smith &William D. Dupont
1393:-value does not, in itself, establish probabilities of hypotheses. Rather, it is a tool for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis. 5760: 5460: 4402: 4325: 1130:-value is interpreted by a significance test, and no effort is made to estimate the distribution it was drawn from. When a collection of 6364: 5512: 7752: 4678: 2242:
at birth, and used to compute statistical significance compared to the null hypothesis of equal probability of male and female births.
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If we consider every outcome that has equal or lower probability than "3 heads 3 tails" as "at least as extreme", then the
7147: 7039: 5104: 3735: 1369:, specifically in null hypothesis significance testing. In this method, before conducting the study, one first chooses a model (the 1081: 7325: 7199: 2801: 1592: 1408: 2030:-value (two-tailed) would have been 0.0414 (4.14%), in which case the null hypothesis would be rejected at the 0.05 level. 1450:-values as continuous indices of the strength of evidence against the null hypothesis. Yet others suggested to report alongside 7383: 7044: 6789: 6160: 5750: 1620: 1473:-values and significance tests, when properly applied and interpreted, increase the rigor of the conclusions drawn from data". 108:-values and significance tests, when properly applied and interpreted, increase the rigor of the conclusions drawn from data". 6374: 7434: 6646: 6453: 6342: 6300: 1366: 145: 38: 5539: 2168:
However, suppose we have planned to simply flip the coin 6 times no matter what happens, then the second definition of
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would be a sequence of twenty times the symbol "H" or "T". The statistic on which one might focus could be the total number
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Denworth L (October 2019). "A Significant Problem: Standard scientific methods are under fire. Will anything change?".
1115:-value is not fixed; if the same test is repeated independently with fresh data, one will typically obtain a different 7572: 7373: 6352: 6021: 5485: 1553:
of a suitable statistic for hypotheses concerning the mean of a normal distribution when the variance is unknown, the
7457: 7424: 2744: 1949:. However, one might be interested in deviations in either direction, favoring either heads or tails. The two-tailed 1546: 231:-value is, the lower the probability of getting that result if the null hypothesis were true. A result is said to be 2340:-value in statistics, with it playing a central role in his approach to the subject. In his highly influential book 7429: 7172: 6931: 6837: 6817: 6725: 6436: 6254: 5737: 5609: 5424: 5413: 2062: 1641:
Suppose that the experimental results show the coin turning up heads 14 times out of 20 total flips. The full data
1583:-value requires a null hypothesis, a test statistic (together with deciding whether the researcher is performing a 741: 6603: 6369: 6227: 2519: 7189: 6957: 6678: 6532: 6461: 6381: 6239: 6220: 5928: 5649: 5092: 2398: 1946: 65: 7302: 2686: 1146:-curve can be used to assess the reliability of scientific literature, such as by detecting publication bias or 1010: 7672: 7439: 6987: 6952: 6916: 6701: 6143: 6052: 6011: 5923: 5614: 5453: 4876: 2664: 2355: 2351: 2315: 2307: 889: 204: 117: 6709: 6693: 565: 509: 3753:"Replacing p-values with Bayes-Factors: A Miracle Cure for the Replicability Crisis in Psychological Science" 2855: 7581: 7194: 7134: 7071: 6431: 6293: 6283: 6133: 6047: 4215:"An argument for Divine Providence, taken from the constant regularity observed in the births of both sexes" 2626: 2590:
as the long-run proportion of values at least as extreme as the data, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
1638:(equal chance of landing heads or tails) or unfairly biased (one outcome being more likely than the other). 1603:-values, Fisher instead inverted the CDF, publishing a list of values of the test statistic for given fixed 1389:
for the null hypothesis to be rejected. However, that does not prove that the null hypothesis is false. The
196:, whose marginal probability distribution is closely connected to a main question of interest in the study. 7342: 7279: 1076:
is the only parameter), and if that distribution is continuous, then when the null-hypothesis is true, the
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Loosely speaking, rejection of the null hypothesis implies that there is sufficient evidence against it.
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refers to a hypothesis where the parameter's value is assumed to be a single number. In contrast, in a
5404:-values can give quite misleading impressions about the truth or falsity of the hypothesis under test. 4088: 2361:
He then computed a table of values, similar to Elderton but, importantly, reversed the roles of χ and
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can refer to two concepts, both of which are related to the p-value and both of which play a role in
2271: 2209: 1953:-value, which considers deviations favoring either heads or tails, may instead be calculated. As the 1691: 1506: 1439: 1435: 2205: 456:
is what the prior probability would be of observing a test-statistic value at least as "extreme" as
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which would not have met this level of significance. Fisher also underlined the interpretation of
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As our statistical hypothesis will, by definition, state some property of the distribution, the
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Bhattacharya B, Habtzghi D (2002). "Median of the p value under the alternative hypothesis".
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is not derived from the data, but rather is set by the researcher before examining the data.
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extend the concept of p-values by not considering extremely small, practically irrelevant
2239: 2141: 1588: 1584: 1386: 1370: 1336: 1312: 984: 152: 69: 5139: 4622: 4587: 3335:-Curve and Effect Size: Correcting for Publication Bias Using Only Significant Results". 2381:-values (especially 0.05, 0.02, and 0.01) as cutoffs, instead of computing and reporting 1427:-value is often misunderstood as being the probability that the null hypothesis is true. 5291:"The ASA President's Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability" 4746: 4649: 4647: 3991:, Greenland S (January 2018). "Remove, rather than redefine, statistical significance". 3878: 3539: 3480: 7525: 7520: 5983: 5913: 5559: 5383: 5266: 5224: 5199: 4816: 4789: 4492: 4459: 4104: 4064: 4035: 3965: 3934: 3838: 3813: 3695: 3670: 3605: 3580: 3556: 3513: 3308: 3281: 3024: 2997: 2996:, Nosek BA, Bishop DV, Button KS, Chambers CD, du Sert NP, et al. (January 2017). 2993: 2414: 2243: 2199: 2195: 1664: 1644: 1630:
As an example of a statistical test, an experiment is performed to determine whether a
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As a particular example, if a null hypothesis states that a certain summary statistic
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function of all the observations. This statistic provides a single number, such as a
1443: 1385:, that is taken to mean that the observed data is sufficiently inconsistent with the 933: 235:
if it allows us to reject the null hypothesis. All other things being equal, smaller
5835: 5088: 4571: 4517:"P values and multivariate distributions: Non-orthogonal terms in regression models" 4020: 3514:"An investigation of the false discovery rate and the misinterpretation of p-values" 3399: 3364: 3110:"ASA President's Task Force Statement on Statistical Significance and Replicability" 96:. In 2016, the American Statistical Association (ASA) made a formal statement that " 7624: 7557: 7534: 7449: 6779: 6075: 5973: 5908: 5850: 5772: 5727: 5393: 5274: 4532: 4421: 3460: 3149: 3041: 2625:
of experiments. Second, it is also used to abbreviate "expect value", which is the
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Values Are Not a Useful Measure of Evidence in Statistical Significance Testing".
2937: 2920: 2225: 203:-value is used in the context of null hypothesis testing in order to quantify the 3777:
Marden JI (December 2000). "Hypothesis Testing: From p Values to Bayes Factors".
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Values Are Not a Useful Measure of Evidence in Statistical Significance Testing"
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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
3646: 3629: 3596: 2396:-values to the design and interpretation of experiments, in his following book 6513: 5993: 5693: 5624: 5574: 5549: 5469: 5418: 5407: 5334: 5278: 5215: 5178: 5161: 4880: 4698:"The positive false discovery rate: a Bayesian interpretation and the q-value" 4475: 4444: 4135: 4004: 3814:"A Test by Any Other Name: P Values, Bayes Factors, and Statistical Inference" 3686: 3630:"Why the P-value culture is bad and confidence intervals a better alternative" 3229: 3170: 947:-values based on independent sets of data can be combined, for instance using 5342: 5127: 5070: 4943: 4921: 4806: 4714: 4697: 4483: 4159: 4112: 3348: 3237: 3135: 3082: 2971: 2784:
Italicisation, capitalisation and hyphenation of the term vary. For example,
2238:-value computations date back to the 1700s, where they were computed for the 6666: 6518: 6138: 5933: 5845: 5830: 5825: 5790: 5318: 4884: 4755: 3939:> 0.05): significance thresholds and the crisis of unreplicable research" 3213: 3014: 2793: 2785: 2264: 2260: 1945:-value, considering only extreme results that favor heads. This is called a 1635: 1419:-value nominally less than 0.05 without other supporting evidence. Although 1147: 5360: 5233: 5027:
The history of statistics : the measurement of uncertainty before 1900
4825: 4774: 4623:
IV. Tests of Goodness of Fit, Independence and Homogeneity; with Table of χ
4501: 4236: 4120: 4073: 4012: 3974: 3894: 3847: 3704: 3655: 3614: 3565: 3498: 3356: 3317: 3255: 3033: 2247:
1/2, or about 1 in 4,836,000,000,000,000,000,000,000; in modern terms, the
310:
then the rejection of this null hypothesis could mean that (i) the mean of
4606: 4563: 3446: 6182: 5800: 5677: 5672: 5667: 5639: 5188: 3391: 3177:, Springer Series in Statistics, New York, NY: Springer, pp. 66–70, 2618: 2045:
Flip the coin twice. If both comes up heads or tails, end the experiment.
331: 207:
of a result, the result being the observed value of the chosen statistic
31: 5351: 5307: 5290: 4790:"Indices of Effect Existence and Significance in the Bayesian Framework" 4055: 3547: 3246: 2350:= 0.05, or a 1 in 20 chance of being exceeded by chance, as a limit for 711:{\displaystyle p=2\min\{\Pr(T\geq t\mid H_{0}),\Pr(T\leq t\mid H_{0})\}} 80:
would be very unlikely under the null hypothesis. Even though reporting
64:
is the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the
7687: 7388: 5400:, including a Java applet that illustrates how the numerical values of 4892: 4869: 4151: 3955: 3798: 3438: 17: 3886: 3671:"Sifting the evidence. Likelihood ratios are alternatives to P values" 7609: 6590: 6564: 6544: 5795: 5586: 4391:
The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty Before 1900
4374:
Hald A (1998). "Chapter 4. Chance or Design: Tests of Significance".
4314:
The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty Before 1900
3718:
Royall R (2004). "The Likelihood Paradigm for Statistical Evidence".
3415:"The behavior of the P-value when the alternative hypothesis is true" 3158:. Textbooks and Monographs. New York: Marcel Dekker Inc. p. 161. 1554: 1539: 1528: 1517: 5079: 4999:
Statistical tables for biological, agricultural and medical research
4905: 4546:
Hubbard R, Bayarri MJ (2003), "Confusion Over Measures of Evidence (
3790: 3489: 3464: 3430: 3414: 1686:-value of this result is the chance of a fair coin landing on heads 718:
for a two-sided test-statistic distribution. If the distribution of
239:-values are taken as stronger evidence against the null hypothesis. 5434:-values can be manipulated and an interactive tool to visualize it. 4788:
Makowski D, Ben-Shachar MS, Chen SH, LĂŒdecke D (10 December 2019).
3862: 2619:
it corresponds to a generic, more robust alternative to the p-value
2385:-values themselves. The same type of tables were then compiled in ( 1434:-values and focusing more on other inferential statistics, such as 120:
of a collection of random variables representing the observed data
4840:
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00031305.2018.1537893
3530: 2754: 867: 5242: 4906:"Tables for Testing the Goodness of Fit of Theory to Observation" 3280:
Head ML, Holman L, Lanfear R, Kahn AT, Jennions MD (March 2015).
2318:(for various values of χ and degrees of freedom), now notated as 2183:-value is deeply contextual and depends on what the experimenter 1599:-values from these discrete values. Rather than using a table of 5529: 5273:; Evans, Scott; Glickman, Mark; Graubard, Barry I.; He, Xuming; 4458:
Biau, David Jean; Jolles, Brigitte M.; Porcher, Raphaël (2010).
2921:"The ASA's Statement on p-Values: Context, Process, and Purpose" 1690:
14 times out of 20 flips. That probability can be computed from
7498: 7065: 6812: 6111: 5881: 5498: 5442: 5390:
for various specific tests (chi-square, Fisher's F-test, etc.).
3169:
Fisher, R. A. (1992), Kotz, Samuel; Johnson, Norman L. (eds.),
3057:"The ASA Statement on p -Values: Context, Process, and Purpose" 2593:
In later editions, Fisher explicitly contrasted the use of the
987:. If the null hypothesis fixes the probability distribution of 5031:. Cambridge, Mass: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press. 4668:, Section 12.1 Scientific Inference and Acceptance Procedures. 4598: 4596: 4036:"The reproducibility of research and the misinterpretation of 3581:"Alternatives to P value: confidence interval and effect size" 5438: 866:-value is less than or equal to a predefined threshold value 4136:"A practical solution to the pervasive problems of p values" 2091:, then under the null hypothesis is exactly 1 for two-sided 1271:-test. For each possible value of the theoretical mean, the 277: 92:
is widespread and has been a major topic in mathematics and
4550:â€Čs) Versus Errors (αâ€Čs) in Classical Statistical Testing", 2290:-value that the excess was a real, but unexplained, effect. 4223:
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London
3175:
Breakthroughs in Statistics: Methodology and Distribution
1989:
Alpha level (designated threshold of significance): 0.05.
1961:-value is simply twice the above calculated single-sided 4180:(2007). "Physico-Theology and Mathematics (1710–1794)". 2026:
However, had one more head been obtained, the resulting
830:
Jerzy Neyman, "The Emergence of Mathematical Statistics"
3055:
Wasserstein, Ronald L.; Lazar, Nicole A. (2016-04-02).
2508:
causes have introduced into their experimental results.
2503:= 0.05 threshold and explained its rationale, stating: 1465:-value as one of these measures. They also stress that 1377:(most commonly 0.05). After analyzing the data, if the 560:
for a one-sided right-tail test-statistic distribution.
116:
In statistics, every conjecture concerning the unknown
4376:
A History of Mathematical Statistics from 1750 to 1930
2808:-value". In all cases, the "p" stands for probability. 616:
for a one-sided left-tail test-statistic distribution.
3331:
Simonsohn U, Nelson LD, Simmons JP (November 2014). "
3282:"The extent and consequences of p-hacking in science" 2522: 2431: 2144: 2101: 2065: 1703: 1667: 1647: 1487: 1339: 1315: 1285: 1227: 1204: 1180: 1090: 1062: 1013: 993: 969: 918: 898: 873: 841: 744: 724: 624: 568: 512: 482: 462: 442: 418: 398: 360: 340: 316: 274: 251: 213: 182: 162: 126: 48: 7351:
Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH)
3413:
Hung HM, O'Neill RT, Bauer P, Köhne K (March 1997).
2488:{\displaystyle 1/{\binom {8}{4}}=1/70\approx 0.014,} 2176:-value of "3 heads 3 tails" is exactly 1. 1194:
is obtained by rejecting the null-hypothesis if the
1126:-value relating to a hypothesis is observed, so the 7658: 7595: 7548: 7511: 7466: 7448: 7415: 7406: 7364: 7311: 7272: 7221: 7212: 7133: 7090: 7020: 6986: 6940: 6907: 6869: 6836: 6748: 6657: 6576: 6531: 6499: 6452: 6397: 6323: 6314: 6124: 6066: 6040: 5992: 5947: 5894: 5781: 5736: 5710: 5692: 5648: 5600: 5520: 5511: 2656:to maintain statistical power while minimizing the 2406:experiment, which is the archetypal example of the 2056:-value of the "3 heads 3 tails" outcome. 88:of many quantitative fields, misinterpretation and 84:-values of statistical tests is common practice in 5420:StatQuest: P-value pitfalls and power calculations 5244:Statistics Done Wrong: The Woefully Complete Guide 5024: 4188:. Springer Science & Business Media. pp.  2578: 2487: 2369:for different values of χ (and degrees of freedom 2158: 2115: 2083: 1930: 1673: 1653: 1493: 1345: 1321: 1305:means one only rejects the null hypothesis if the 1297: 1252: 1210: 1186: 1103: 1068: 1048: 999: 975: 963:-value is a function of the chosen test statistic 924: 904: 879: 854: 807: 730: 710: 608: 552: 495: 468: 448: 424: 404: 366: 346: 322: 302: 257: 219: 188: 168: 132: 54: 4731:"Statistical significance for genomewide studies" 4262:Conover WJ (1999). "Chapter 3.4: The Sign Test". 2881:"Not Even Scientists Can Easily Explain P-values" 2547: 2534: 2456: 2443: 1878: 1865: 1847: 1834: 1822: 1809: 2679:-value. It corresponds to the proportion of the 2373:), he computed values of χ that yield specified 2278:test, modeling the number of male births with a 1757: 1731: 1711: 1084:between 0 and 1. Regardless of the truth of the 751: 674: 640: 634: 575: 519: 6899:Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) 4521:Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 3779:Journal of the American Statistical Association 2505: 2284: 822: 4416: 4414: 4257: 4255: 4089:"A Dirty Dozen: Twelve P-Value Misconceptions" 2179:Thus, the "at least as extreme" definition of 1957:is symmetrical for a fair coin, the two-sided 5454: 2187:to do even in situations that did not occur. 2084:{\displaystyle {\text{heads}}/{\text{tails}}} 1329:, and the hypothesis test will indeed have a 1161:In parametric hypothesis testing problems, a 888:, which is referred to as the alpha level or 808:{\displaystyle p=\Pr(|T|\geq |t|\mid H_{0}).} 8: 5198:Biau DJ, Jolles BM, Porcher R (March 2010). 3155:On the History of Statistics and Probability 2579:{\displaystyle 1/{\binom {6}{3}}=1/20=0.05,} 1430:Some statisticians have proposed abandoning 835:In a significance test, the null hypothesis 705: 637: 5190:The Little Handbook of Statistical Practice 4266:(Third ed.). Wiley. pp. 157–176. 4095:. Interpretation of Quantitative Research. 3275: 3273: 2834:≈ 0.045; Fisher notes these approximations. 2386: 2330:, pp. xxxi–xxxiii, 26–28, Table XII). 1607:-values; this corresponds to computing the 76:-value means that such an extreme observed 7508: 7495: 7412: 7218: 7087: 7062: 6833: 6809: 6537: 6320: 6121: 6108: 5891: 5878: 5517: 5508: 5495: 5461: 5447: 5439: 5204:Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research 5011:: CS1 maint: location missing publisher ( 4960:. Edinburgh, Scotland: Oliver & Boyd. 4883:results has contributed to an illusion of 4464:Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research 3171:"Statistical Methods for Research Workers" 2336:formalized and popularized the use of the 2127:-value, and same for one-sided right-tail 1983:): The coin is fair, with Pr(heads) = 0.5. 1049:{\displaystyle H_{0}:\theta =\theta _{0},} 5350: 5306: 5223: 5177: 5078: 4815: 4805: 4764: 4754: 4713: 4491: 4341:Bellhouse P (2001). "John Arbuthnot". In 4289:Applied Nonparametric Statistical Methods 4235: 4063: 3964: 3954: 3837: 3694: 3645: 3604: 3555: 3529: 3488: 3307: 3297: 3245: 3125: 3102: 3100: 3072: 3023: 3013: 2936: 2919:Wasserstein RL, Lazar NA (7 March 2016). 2559: 2546: 2533: 2531: 2526: 2521: 2468: 2455: 2442: 2440: 2435: 2430: 2392:As an illustration of the application of 2270:The same question was later addressed by 2148: 2143: 2105: 2100: 2076: 2071: 2066: 2064: 1911: 1907: 1898: 1892: 1877: 1864: 1862: 1846: 1833: 1831: 1821: 1808: 1806: 1793: 1784: 1766: 1740: 1720: 1704: 1702: 1666: 1646: 1486: 1338: 1314: 1284: 1232: 1226: 1203: 1179: 1095: 1089: 1061: 1037: 1018: 1012: 992: 968: 917: 897: 872: 846: 840: 793: 781: 773: 765: 757: 743: 723: 696: 662: 623: 597: 567: 541: 511: 487: 481: 461: 441: 417: 397: 359: 339: 315: 276: 275: 273: 250: 212: 181: 161: 125: 47: 4957:Statistical Methods for Research Workers 2343:Statistical Methods for Research Workers 2323: 2298:-value was first formally introduced by 2224: 2214: 2204: 2194: 1534:for hypotheses concerning the mean of a 938:Statistical Methods for Research Workers 609:{\displaystyle p=\Pr(T\leq t\mid H_{0})} 553:{\displaystyle p=\Pr(T\geq t\mid H_{0})} 4729:Storey JD, Tibshirani R (August 2003). 4291:(Second ed.). Chapman & Hall. 4184:The Descent of Human Sex Ratio at Birth 3465:"Scientific method: statistical errors" 2847: 2777: 2327: 27:Function of the observed sample results 7425:Kaplan–Meier estimator (product limit) 5430:Science Isn’t Broken - Article on how 5409:StatQuest: P Values, clearly explained 5004: 4665: 4656:, Section 7. The Test of Significance. 4653: 4638: 4618: 4602: 4583: 4134:Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan (October 2007). 3933:, Korner-Nievergelt F, Roth T (2017). 3728:10.7208/chicago/9780226789583.003.0005 2998:"A manifesto for reproducible science" 1505:. A test statistic is the output of a 1267:belonging to the one-sided one-sample 4316:. Harvard University Press. pp.  3337:Perspectives on Psychological Science 2914: 2912: 2910: 2908: 2906: 2413:To evaluate a lady's claim that she ( 1572:for large samples, as in the case of 1411:, there is widespread agreement that 1157:Distribution for composite hypothesis 936:in 1925 in his famous book entitled " 7: 7735: 7435:Accelerated failure time (AFT) model 4393:. Harvard University Press. p.  303:{\displaystyle {\mathcal {N}}(0,1),} 39:null-hypothesis significance testing 7747: 7030:Analysis of variance (ANOVA, anova) 5319:"Redefine statistical significance" 4875:for nearly a century to determine 3214:"Redefine statistical significance" 2952:Hubbard R, Lindsay RM (2008). "Why 2865:. American Statistical Association. 7125:Cochran–Mantel–Haenszel statistics 5751:Pearson product-moment correlation 4264:Practical Nonparametric Statistics 4105:10.1053/j.seminhematol.2008.04.003 2538: 2447: 2346:(1925), Fisher proposed the level 1869: 1838: 1813: 949:Fisher's combined probability test 25: 4140:Psychonomic Bulletin & Review 3720:The Nature of Scientific Evidence 2048:Else, flip the coin 4 more times. 7746: 7734: 7722: 7709: 7708: 3818:Multivariate Behavioral Research 3585:Korean Journal of Anesthesiology 3120:(4). Informa UK Limited: 10–11. 2802:American Statistical Association 2389:), which cemented the approach. 1986:Test statistic: Number of heads. 1593:cumulative distribution function 1309:-value is less than or equal to 1253:{\displaystyle H_{0}:\mu \leq 0} 1198:-value is less than or equal to 68:, under the assumption that the 7384:Least-squares spectral analysis 2365:That is, rather than computing 1621:Checking whether a coin is fair 7775:Statistical hypothesis testing 6365:Mean-unbiased minimum-variance 5103:Hubbard R, Lindsay RM (2008). 5059:Journal of Marketing Education 4621:, pp. 78–79, 98, Chapter 4533:10.1016/j.chemolab.2021.104264 4351:Statisticians of the Centuries 4087:Goodman, Steven (2008-07-01). 2310:and notated as capital P. The 1771: 1760: 1745: 1734: 1725: 1714: 1626:Testing the fairness of a coin 1367:statistical hypothesis testing 1138:-values is sometimes called a 799: 782: 774: 766: 758: 754: 738:is symmetric about zero, then 702: 677: 668: 643: 603: 578: 547: 522: 294: 282: 1: 7678:Geographic information system 6894:Simultaneous equations models 4683:National Institutes of Health 4515:Brereton, Richard G. (2021). 4034:Colquhoun D (December 2017). 3830:10.1080/00273171.2015.1099032 3812:Stern HS (16 February 2016). 3751:Schimmack U (30 April 2015). 3512:Colquhoun D (November 2014). 3127:10.1080/09332480.2021.2003631 3074:10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108 2938:10.1080/00031305.2016.1154108 2718:Fisher's method of combining 2650:positive false discovery rate 2402:(1935), Fisher presented the 2059:If we use the test statistic 379:Definition and interpretation 6861:Coefficient of determination 6472:Uniformly most powerful test 5295:Annals of Applied Statistics 4353:. Springer. pp. 39–42. 3634:Osteoarthritis and Cartilage 3299:10.1371/journal.pbio.1002106 2750:Multiple comparisons problem 2675:numerical equivalent of the 1298:{\displaystyle \alpha =0.05} 30:Not to be confused with the 7430:Proportional hazards models 7374:Spectral density estimation 7356:Vector autoregression (VAR) 6790:Maximum posterior estimator 6022:Randomized controlled trial 4997:Fisher RA, Yates F (1938). 4982:(9th ed.). Macmillan. 3183:10.1007/978-1-4612-4380-9_6 2654:multiple hypothesis testing 2648:-value with respect to the 2172:-value would mean that the 1996:: 14 heads out of 20 flips. 7791: 7190:Multivariate distributions 5610:Average absolute deviation 4044:Royal Society Open Science 3861:Murtaugh PA (March 2014). 3647:10.1016/j.joca.2012.04.001 3597:10.4097/kjae.2016.69.6.555 3518:Royal Society Open Science 2687:Second-generation p-values 2665:Probability of Direction ( 2304:Pearson's chi-squared test 1618: 1574:Pearson's chi-squared test 1400: 1163:simple or point hypothesis 1119:-value in each iteration. 412:from unknown distribution 140:in some study is called a 29: 7704: 7507: 7494: 7178:Structural equation model 7086: 7061: 6832: 6808: 6540: 6514:Score/Lagrange multiplier 6120: 6107: 5929:Sample size determination 5890: 5877: 5507: 5494: 5476: 5335:10.1038/s41562-017-0189-z 5216:10.1007/s11999-009-1164-4 5179:10.1007/s00144-008-0033-3 5162:"Fisher and the 5% level" 4980:The Design of Experiments 4552:The American Statistician 4476:10.1007/s11999-009-1164-4 4445:10.1080/14786440009463897 4005:10.1038/s41562-017-0224-0 3687:10.1136/bmj.322.7295.1184 3628:Ranstam J (August 2012). 3380:The American Statistician 3230:10.1038/s41562-017-0189-z 3061:The American Statistician 2925:The American Statistician 2826:To be more specific, the 2399:The Design of Experiments 1538:with known variance, the 1365:-value is widely used in 233:statistically significant 72:is correct. A very small 7673:Environmental statistics 7195:Elliptical distributions 6988:Generalized linear model 6917:Simple linear regression 6687:Hodges–Lehmann estimator 6144:Probability distribution 6053:Stochastic approximation 5615:Coefficient of variation 5269:; De Veaux, Richard D.; 5128:10.1177/0959354307086923 5071:10.1177/0273475306288399 4877:statistical significance 4807:10.3389/fpsyg.2019.02767 4702:The Annals of Statistics 3863:"In defense of P values" 3669:Perneger TV (May 2001). 3579:Lee DK (December 2016). 3421:(Submitted manuscript). 3349:10.1177/1745691614553988 2972:10.1177/0959354307086923 2352:statistical significance 2316:chi-squared distribution 2308:chi-squared distribution 2265:Sign test § History 2123:for one-sided left-tail 1941:This probability is the 205:statistical significance 118:probability distribution 66:result actually observed 7333:Cross-correlation (XCF) 6941:Non-standard predictors 6375:Lehmann–ScheffĂ© theorem 6048:Adaptive clinical trial 5116:Theory & Psychology 4794:Frontiers in Psychology 4756:10.1073/pnas.1530509100 4679:"Definition of E-value" 3015:10.1038/s41562-016-0021 2959:Theory & Psychology 2387:Fisher & Yates 1938 1211:{\displaystyle \alpha } 1187:{\displaystyle \alpha } 1069:{\displaystyle \theta } 925:{\displaystyle \alpha } 905:{\displaystyle \alpha } 880:{\displaystyle \alpha } 7729:Mathematics portal 7550:Engineering statistics 7458:Nelson–Aalen estimator 7035:Analysis of covariance 6922:Ordinary least squares 6846:Pearson product-moment 6250:Statistical functional 6161:Empirical distribution 5994:Controlled experiments 5723:Frequency distribution 5501:Descriptive statistics 5323:Nature Human Behaviour 4944:10.1093/biomet/10.1.85 4922:10.1093/biomet/1.2.155 4889:reproducibility crises 4715:10.1214/aos/1074290335 4586:, p. 47, Chapter 4433:Philosophical Magazine 4237:10.1098/rstl.1710.0011 4093:Seminars in Hematology 3993:Nature Human Behaviour 3218:Nature Human Behaviour 3002:Nature Human Behaviour 2745:Holm–Bonferroni method 2681:posterior distribution 2580: 2510: 2499:Fisher reiterated the 2489: 2292: 2232: 2222: 2212: 2202: 2160: 2117: 2085: 2003:-value of observation 1972:In the above example: 1965:-value: the two-sided 1932: 1675: 1655: 1495: 1373:) and the alpha level 1347: 1323: 1299: 1254: 1212: 1188: 1122:Usually only a single 1105: 1070: 1050: 1001: 977: 926: 906: 881: 856: 833: 809: 732: 712: 610: 554: 497: 470: 450: 426: 406: 368: 348: 330:is not 0, or (ii) the 324: 304: 259: 221: 190: 170: 142:statistical hypothesis 134: 56: 7645:Population statistics 7587:System identification 7321:Autocorrelation (ACF) 7249:Exponential smoothing 7163:Discriminant analysis 7158:Canonical correlation 7022:Partition of variance 6884:Regression validation 6728:(Jonckheere–Terpstra) 6627:Likelihood-ratio test 6316:Frequentist inference 6228:Location–scale family 6149:Sampling distribution 6114:Statistical inference 6081:Cross-sectional study 6068:Observational studies 6027:Randomized experiment 5856:Stem-and-leaf display 5658:Central limit theorem 4627:Table III. Table of χ 4564:10.1198/0003130031856 2708:Bonferroni correction 2644:is the analog of the 2623:optional continuation 2581: 2490: 2280:binomial distribution 2274:, who instead used a 2259:
", specifically the 2228: 2218: 2208: 2198: 2161: 2118: 2116:{\displaystyle 19/32} 2086: 1955:binomial distribution 1933: 1692:binomial coefficients 1676: 1656: 1570:central limit theorem 1496: 1348: 1333:type-1 error rate of 1324: 1300: 1255: 1213: 1189: 1106: 1104:{\displaystyle H_{0}} 1082:uniformly distributed 1071: 1051: 1002: 978: 927: 907: 882: 857: 855:{\displaystyle H_{0}} 810: 733: 713: 611: 555: 498: 496:{\displaystyle H_{0}} 471: 451: 427: 407: 369: 349: 325: 305: 265:follows the standard 260: 222: 191: 171: 135: 86:academic publications 57: 7568:Probabilistic design 7153:Principal components 6996:Exponential families 6948:Nonlinear regression 6927:General linear model 6889:Mixed effects models 6879:Errors and residuals 6856:Confounding variable 6758:Bayesian probability 6736:Van der Waerden test 6726:Ordered alternative 6491:Multiple comparisons 6370:Rao–Blackwellization 6333:Estimating equations 6289:Statistical distance 6007:Factorial experiment 5540:Arithmetic-Geometric 4378:. Wiley. p. 65. 4230:(325–336): 186–190. 4213:Arbuthnot J (1710). 3935:"The earth is flat ( 3722:. pp. 119–152. 3392:10.1198/000313002146 2891:on 25 September 2019 2520: 2429: 2322:were calculated in ( 2272:Pierre-Simon Laplace 2210:Pierre-Simon Laplace 2159:{\displaystyle 1/2.} 2142: 2099: 2095:-value, and exactly 2063: 1701: 1665: 1645: 1485: 1436:confidence intervals 1381:-value is less than 1346:{\displaystyle 0.05} 1337: 1322:{\displaystyle 0.05} 1313: 1283: 1225: 1202: 1178: 1167:composite hypothesis 1088: 1060: 1011: 991: 967: 916: 896: 871: 839: 742: 722: 622: 566: 510: 503:were true. That is: 480: 460: 440: 416: 396: 358: 338: 314: 272: 249: 211: 180: 160: 146:null hypothesis test 124: 46: 7640:Official statistics 7563:Methods engineering 7244:Seasonal adjustment 7012:Poisson regressions 6932:Bayesian regression 6871:Regression analysis 6851:Partial correlation 6823:Regression analysis 6422:Prediction interval 6417:Likelihood interval 6407:Confidence interval 6399:Interval estimation 6360:Unbiased estimators 6178:Model specification 6058:Up-and-down designs 5746:Partial correlation 5702:Index of dispersion 5620:Interquartile range 5388:-values calculators 5308:10.1214/21-AOAS1501 5283:Stigler, Stephen M. 5241:Reinhart A (2015). 4859:Scientific American 4747:2003PNAS..100.9440S 4389:Stigler SM (1986). 4312:Stigler SM (1986). 4056:10.1098/rsos.171085 3879:2014Ecol...95..611M 3757:Replicability-Index 3681:(7295): 1184–1185. 3548:10.1098/rsos.140216 3540:2014RSOS....140216C 3481:2014Natur.506..150N 2658:false positive rate 2621:that can deal with 2419:Fisher's exact test 1536:normal distribution 983:and is therefore a 862:is rejected if the 476:if null hypothesis 354:is not 1, or (iii) 267:normal distribution 7660:Spatial statistics 7540:Medical statistics 7440:First hitting time 7394:Whittle likelihood 7045:Degrees of freedom 7040:Multivariate ANOVA 6973:Heteroscedasticity 6785:Bayesian estimator 6750:Bayesian inference 6599:Kolmogorov–Smirnov 6484:Randomization test 6454:Testing hypotheses 6427:Tolerance interval 6338:Maximum likelihood 6233:Exponential family 6166:Density estimation 6126:Statistical theory 6086:Natural experiment 6032:Scientific control 5949:Survey methodology 5635:Standard deviation 5187:Dallal GE (2012). 5001:. London, England. 4696:Storey JD (2003). 4588:III. Distributions 4152:10.3758/BF03194105 3956:10.7717/peerj.3544 3785:(452): 1316–1320. 2576: 2485: 2257:nonparametric test 2233: 2223: 2213: 2203: 2156: 2138:-value is exactly 2113: 2081: 1928: 1926: 1671: 1651: 1491: 1403:Misuse of p-values 1343: 1319: 1295: 1250: 1208: 1184: 1101: 1066: 1046: 997: 973: 922: 902: 890:significance level 877: 852: 805: 728: 708: 606: 550: 493: 466: 446: 422: 402: 364: 344: 320: 300: 255: 217: 186: 166: 130: 90:misuse of p-values 52: 7762: 7761: 7700: 7699: 7696: 7695: 7635:National accounts 7605:Actuarial science 7597:Social statistics 7490: 7489: 7486: 7485: 7482: 7481: 7417:Survival function 7402: 7401: 7264:Granger causality 7105:Contingency table 7080:Survival analysis 7057: 7056: 7053: 7052: 6909:Linear regression 6804: 6803: 6800: 6799: 6775:Credible interval 6744: 6743: 6527: 6526: 6343:Method of moments 6212:Parametric family 6173:Statistical model 6103: 6102: 6099: 6098: 6017:Random assignment 5939:Statistical power 5873: 5872: 5869: 5868: 5718:Contingency table 5688: 5687: 5555:Generalized/power 5160:(December 2008). 5038:978-0-674-40340-6 4989:978-0-02-844690-5 4967:978-0-05-002170-5 4893:scientific fields 4866:(4): 62–67 (63). 4741:(16): 9440–9445. 4360:978-0-387-95329-8 4298:978-0-412-44980-2 4287:Sprent P (1989). 4273:978-0-471-16068-7 4199:978-1-4020-6036-6 3887:10.1890/13-0590.1 3475:(7487): 150–152. 3463:(February 2014). 3192:978-1-4612-4380-9 2856:"ASA House Style" 2545: 2454: 2326:), collected in ( 2263:; see details at 2079: 2069: 2034:Optional stopping 1976:Null hypothesis ( 1969:-value is 0.115. 1916: 1876: 1845: 1820: 1799: 1769: 1743: 1723: 1674:{\displaystyle T} 1654:{\displaystyle X} 1609:quantile function 1579:Thus computing a 1494:{\displaystyle T} 1440:likelihood ratios 1407:According to the 1000:{\displaystyle T} 976:{\displaystyle T} 731:{\displaystyle T} 469:{\displaystyle t} 449:{\displaystyle p} 425:{\displaystyle T} 405:{\displaystyle t} 367:{\displaystyle T} 347:{\displaystyle T} 323:{\displaystyle T} 258:{\displaystyle T} 220:{\displaystyle T} 189:{\displaystyle T} 169:{\displaystyle X} 133:{\displaystyle X} 55:{\displaystyle p} 16:(Redirected from 7782: 7750: 7749: 7738: 7737: 7727: 7726: 7712: 7711: 7615:Crime statistics 7509: 7496: 7413: 7379:Fourier analysis 7366:Frequency domain 7346: 7293: 7259:Structural break 7219: 7168:Cluster analysis 7115:Log-linear model 7088: 7063: 7004: 6978:Homoscedasticity 6834: 6810: 6729: 6721: 6713: 6712:(Kruskal–Wallis) 6697: 6682: 6637:Cross validation 6622: 6604:Anderson–Darling 6551: 6538: 6509:Likelihood-ratio 6501:Parametric tests 6479:Permutation test 6462:1- & 2-tails 6353:Minimum distance 6325:Point estimation 6321: 6272:Optimal decision 6223: 6122: 6109: 6091:Quasi-experiment 6041:Adaptive designs 5892: 5879: 5756:Rank correlation 5518: 5509: 5496: 5463: 5456: 5449: 5440: 5421: 5410: 5372: 5354: 5312: 5310: 5301:(3): 1084–1085. 5262: 5237: 5227: 5194: 5183: 5181: 5153: 5151: 5150: 5144: 5138:. Archived from 5113: 5099: 5098:on May 18, 2006. 5097: 5091:. Archived from 5082: 5056: 5042: 5030: 5016: 5010: 5002: 4993: 4971: 4947: 4925: 4897: 4842: 4836: 4830: 4829: 4819: 4809: 4785: 4779: 4778: 4768: 4758: 4726: 4720: 4719: 4717: 4708:(6): 2013–2035. 4693: 4687: 4686: 4675: 4669: 4663: 4657: 4651: 4642: 4636: 4630: 4616: 4610: 4600: 4591: 4581: 4575: 4574: 4543: 4537: 4536: 4512: 4506: 4505: 4495: 4455: 4449: 4448: 4439:(302): 157–175. 4430: 4418: 4409: 4408: 4404:978-0-67440341-3 4386: 4380: 4379: 4371: 4365: 4364: 4338: 4332: 4331: 4327:978-0-67440341-3 4309: 4303: 4302: 4284: 4278: 4277: 4259: 4250: 4249: 4239: 4219: 4210: 4204: 4203: 4187: 4170: 4164: 4163: 4131: 4125: 4124: 4084: 4078: 4077: 4067: 4031: 4025: 4024: 3985: 3979: 3978: 3968: 3958: 3927: 3921: 3920: 3911:(7 March 2016). 3905: 3899: 3898: 3858: 3852: 3851: 3841: 3809: 3803: 3802: 3774: 3768: 3767: 3765: 3763: 3748: 3742: 3741: 3715: 3709: 3708: 3698: 3666: 3660: 3659: 3649: 3625: 3619: 3618: 3608: 3576: 3570: 3569: 3559: 3533: 3509: 3503: 3502: 3492: 3457: 3451: 3450: 3410: 3404: 3403: 3375: 3369: 3368: 3328: 3322: 3321: 3311: 3301: 3277: 3268: 3267: 3249: 3208: 3202: 3201: 3200: 3199: 3166: 3160: 3159: 3146: 3140: 3139: 3129: 3104: 3095: 3094: 3076: 3052: 3046: 3045: 3027: 3017: 2990: 2984: 2983: 2949: 2943: 2942: 2940: 2916: 2901: 2900: 2898: 2896: 2887:. Archived from 2873: 2867: 2866: 2860: 2852: 2835: 2824: 2818: 2815: 2809: 2800:value", and the 2782: 2703:Student's t-test 2693:as significant. 2652:. It is used in 2615:multiple testing 2585: 2583: 2582: 2577: 2563: 2552: 2551: 2550: 2537: 2530: 2494: 2492: 2491: 2486: 2472: 2461: 2460: 2459: 2446: 2439: 2404:lady tasting tea 2314:-values for the 2165: 2163: 2162: 2157: 2152: 2122: 2120: 2119: 2114: 2109: 2090: 2088: 2087: 2082: 2080: 2077: 2075: 2070: 2067: 1937: 1935: 1934: 1929: 1927: 1917: 1915: 1902: 1893: 1888: 1884: 1883: 1882: 1881: 1868: 1852: 1851: 1850: 1837: 1827: 1826: 1825: 1812: 1800: 1798: 1797: 1785: 1777: 1770: 1767: 1744: 1741: 1724: 1721: 1707: 1680: 1678: 1677: 1672: 1660: 1658: 1657: 1652: 1500: 1498: 1497: 1492: 1352: 1350: 1349: 1344: 1328: 1326: 1325: 1320: 1304: 1302: 1301: 1296: 1259: 1257: 1256: 1251: 1237: 1236: 1217: 1215: 1214: 1209: 1193: 1191: 1190: 1185: 1110: 1108: 1107: 1102: 1100: 1099: 1075: 1073: 1072: 1067: 1055: 1053: 1052: 1047: 1042: 1041: 1023: 1022: 1007:precisely (e.g. 1006: 1004: 1003: 998: 982: 980: 979: 974: 931: 929: 928: 923: 911: 909: 908: 903: 886: 884: 883: 878: 861: 859: 858: 853: 851: 850: 831: 814: 812: 811: 806: 798: 797: 785: 777: 769: 761: 737: 735: 734: 729: 717: 715: 714: 709: 701: 700: 667: 666: 615: 613: 612: 607: 602: 601: 559: 557: 556: 551: 546: 545: 502: 500: 499: 494: 492: 491: 475: 473: 472: 467: 455: 453: 452: 447: 431: 429: 428: 423: 411: 409: 408: 403: 373: 371: 370: 365: 353: 351: 350: 345: 329: 327: 326: 321: 309: 307: 306: 301: 281: 280: 264: 262: 261: 256: 227:. The lower the 226: 224: 223: 218: 195: 193: 192: 187: 175: 173: 172: 167: 139: 137: 136: 131: 61: 59: 58: 53: 21: 7790: 7789: 7785: 7784: 7783: 7781: 7780: 7779: 7765: 7764: 7763: 7758: 7721: 7692: 7654: 7591: 7577:quality control 7544: 7526:Clinical trials 7503: 7478: 7462: 7450:Hazard function 7444: 7398: 7360: 7344: 7307: 7303:Breusch–Godfrey 7291: 7268: 7208: 7183:Factor analysis 7129: 7110:Graphical model 7082: 7049: 7016: 7002: 6982: 6936: 6903: 6865: 6828: 6827: 6796: 6740: 6727: 6719: 6711: 6695: 6680: 6659:Rank statistics 6653: 6632:Model selection 6620: 6578:Goodness of fit 6572: 6549: 6523: 6495: 6448: 6393: 6382:Median unbiased 6310: 6221: 6154:Order statistic 6116: 6095: 6062: 6036: 5988: 5943: 5886: 5884:Data collection 5865: 5777: 5732: 5706: 5684: 5644: 5596: 5513:Continuous data 5503: 5490: 5472: 5467: 5419: 5408: 5380: 5375: 5315: 5267:Benjamini, Yoav 5265: 5259: 5251:. p. 176. 5249:No Starch Press 5240: 5197: 5186: 5156: 5148: 5146: 5142: 5111: 5102: 5095: 5054: 5045: 5039: 5019: 5003: 4996: 4990: 4974: 4968: 4950: 4928: 4900: 4855: 4851: 4849:Further reading 4846: 4845: 4837: 4833: 4787: 4786: 4782: 4728: 4727: 4723: 4695: 4694: 4690: 4677: 4676: 4672: 4664: 4660: 4652: 4645: 4637: 4633: 4617: 4613: 4601: 4594: 4582: 4578: 4558:(3): 171–178 , 4545: 4544: 4540: 4514: 4513: 4509: 4457: 4456: 4452: 4428: 4420: 4419: 4412: 4405: 4388: 4387: 4383: 4373: 4372: 4368: 4361: 4340: 4339: 4335: 4328: 4311: 4310: 4306: 4299: 4286: 4285: 4281: 4274: 4261: 4260: 4253: 4217: 4212: 4211: 4207: 4200: 4172: 4171: 4167: 4133: 4132: 4128: 4086: 4085: 4081: 4033: 4032: 4028: 3987: 3986: 3982: 3929: 3928: 3924: 3917:FiveThirtyEight 3907: 3906: 3902: 3860: 3859: 3855: 3811: 3810: 3806: 3791:10.2307/2669779 3776: 3775: 3771: 3761: 3759: 3750: 3749: 3745: 3738: 3717: 3716: 3712: 3668: 3667: 3663: 3627: 3626: 3622: 3578: 3577: 3573: 3511: 3510: 3506: 3490:10.1038/506150a 3459: 3458: 3454: 3431:10.2307/2533093 3412: 3411: 3407: 3377: 3376: 3372: 3330: 3329: 3325: 3292:(3): e1002106. 3279: 3278: 3271: 3210: 3209: 3205: 3197: 3195: 3193: 3168: 3167: 3163: 3148: 3147: 3143: 3106: 3105: 3098: 3054: 3053: 3049: 2992: 2991: 2987: 2951: 2950: 2946: 2918: 2917: 2904: 2894: 2892: 2885:FiveThirtyEight 2875: 2874: 2870: 2858: 2854: 2853: 2849: 2844: 2839: 2838: 2825: 2821: 2816: 2812: 2783: 2779: 2774: 2699: 2607: 2605:Related indices 2532: 2518: 2517: 2441: 2427: 2426: 2356:68–95–99.7 rule 2240:human sex ratio 2193: 2140: 2139: 2097: 2096: 2061: 2060: 2036: 2013: 1982: 1947:one-tailed test 1925: 1924: 1903: 1894: 1863: 1832: 1807: 1805: 1801: 1789: 1775: 1774: 1699: 1698: 1663: 1662: 1643: 1642: 1628: 1623: 1617: 1611:(inverse CDF). 1589:two-tailed test 1585:one-tailed test 1483: 1482: 1479: 1405: 1399: 1387:null hypothesis 1371:null hypothesis 1359: 1335: 1334: 1311: 1310: 1281: 1280: 1228: 1223: 1222: 1200: 1199: 1176: 1175: 1159: 1091: 1086: 1085: 1058: 1057: 1033: 1014: 1009: 1008: 989: 988: 985:random variable 965: 964: 957: 914: 913: 894: 893: 869: 868: 842: 837: 836: 832: 829: 821: 819:Interpretations 789: 740: 739: 720: 719: 692: 658: 620: 619: 593: 564: 563: 537: 508: 507: 483: 478: 477: 458: 457: 438: 437: 414: 413: 394: 393: 386: 381: 356: 355: 336: 335: 312: 311: 270: 269: 247: 246: 209: 208: 178: 177: 158: 157: 153:null hypothesis 122: 121: 114: 70:null hypothesis 44: 43: 35: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 7788: 7786: 7778: 7777: 7767: 7766: 7760: 7759: 7757: 7756: 7744: 7732: 7718: 7705: 7702: 7701: 7698: 7697: 7694: 7693: 7691: 7690: 7685: 7680: 7675: 7670: 7664: 7662: 7656: 7655: 7653: 7652: 7647: 7642: 7637: 7632: 7627: 7622: 7617: 7612: 7607: 7601: 7599: 7593: 7592: 7590: 7589: 7584: 7579: 7570: 7565: 7560: 7554: 7552: 7546: 7545: 7543: 7542: 7537: 7532: 7523: 7521:Bioinformatics 7517: 7515: 7505: 7504: 7499: 7492: 7491: 7488: 7487: 7484: 7483: 7480: 7479: 7477: 7476: 7470: 7468: 7464: 7463: 7461: 7460: 7454: 7452: 7446: 7445: 7443: 7442: 7437: 7432: 7427: 7421: 7419: 7410: 7404: 7403: 7400: 7399: 7397: 7396: 7391: 7386: 7381: 7376: 7370: 7368: 7362: 7361: 7359: 7358: 7353: 7348: 7340: 7335: 7330: 7329: 7328: 7326:partial (PACF) 7317: 7315: 7309: 7308: 7306: 7305: 7300: 7295: 7287: 7282: 7276: 7274: 7273:Specific tests 7270: 7269: 7267: 7266: 7261: 7256: 7251: 7246: 7241: 7236: 7231: 7225: 7223: 7216: 7210: 7209: 7207: 7206: 7205: 7204: 7203: 7202: 7187: 7186: 7185: 7175: 7173:Classification 7170: 7165: 7160: 7155: 7150: 7145: 7139: 7137: 7131: 7130: 7128: 7127: 7122: 7120:McNemar's test 7117: 7112: 7107: 7102: 7096: 7094: 7084: 7083: 7066: 7059: 7058: 7055: 7054: 7051: 7050: 7048: 7047: 7042: 7037: 7032: 7026: 7024: 7018: 7017: 7015: 7014: 6998: 6992: 6990: 6984: 6983: 6981: 6980: 6975: 6970: 6965: 6960: 6958:Semiparametric 6955: 6950: 6944: 6942: 6938: 6937: 6935: 6934: 6929: 6924: 6919: 6913: 6911: 6905: 6904: 6902: 6901: 6896: 6891: 6886: 6881: 6875: 6873: 6867: 6866: 6864: 6863: 6858: 6853: 6848: 6842: 6840: 6830: 6829: 6826: 6825: 6820: 6814: 6813: 6806: 6805: 6802: 6801: 6798: 6797: 6795: 6794: 6793: 6792: 6782: 6777: 6772: 6771: 6770: 6765: 6754: 6752: 6746: 6745: 6742: 6741: 6739: 6738: 6733: 6732: 6731: 6723: 6715: 6699: 6696:(Mann–Whitney) 6691: 6690: 6689: 6676: 6675: 6674: 6663: 6661: 6655: 6654: 6652: 6651: 6650: 6649: 6644: 6639: 6629: 6624: 6621:(Shapiro–Wilk) 6616: 6611: 6606: 6601: 6596: 6588: 6582: 6580: 6574: 6573: 6571: 6570: 6562: 6553: 6541: 6535: 6533:Specific tests 6529: 6528: 6525: 6524: 6522: 6521: 6516: 6511: 6505: 6503: 6497: 6496: 6494: 6493: 6488: 6487: 6486: 6476: 6475: 6474: 6464: 6458: 6456: 6450: 6449: 6447: 6446: 6445: 6444: 6439: 6429: 6424: 6419: 6414: 6409: 6403: 6401: 6395: 6394: 6392: 6391: 6386: 6385: 6384: 6379: 6378: 6377: 6372: 6357: 6356: 6355: 6350: 6345: 6340: 6329: 6327: 6318: 6312: 6311: 6309: 6308: 6303: 6298: 6297: 6296: 6286: 6281: 6280: 6279: 6269: 6268: 6267: 6262: 6257: 6247: 6242: 6237: 6236: 6235: 6230: 6225: 6209: 6208: 6207: 6202: 6197: 6187: 6186: 6185: 6180: 6170: 6169: 6168: 6158: 6157: 6156: 6146: 6141: 6136: 6130: 6128: 6118: 6117: 6112: 6105: 6104: 6101: 6100: 6097: 6096: 6094: 6093: 6088: 6083: 6078: 6072: 6070: 6064: 6063: 6061: 6060: 6055: 6050: 6044: 6042: 6038: 6037: 6035: 6034: 6029: 6024: 6019: 6014: 6009: 6004: 5998: 5996: 5990: 5989: 5987: 5986: 5984:Standard error 5981: 5976: 5971: 5970: 5969: 5964: 5953: 5951: 5945: 5944: 5942: 5941: 5936: 5931: 5926: 5921: 5916: 5914:Optimal design 5911: 5906: 5900: 5898: 5888: 5887: 5882: 5875: 5874: 5871: 5870: 5867: 5866: 5864: 5863: 5858: 5853: 5848: 5843: 5838: 5833: 5828: 5823: 5818: 5813: 5808: 5803: 5798: 5793: 5787: 5785: 5779: 5778: 5776: 5775: 5770: 5769: 5768: 5763: 5753: 5748: 5742: 5740: 5734: 5733: 5731: 5730: 5725: 5720: 5714: 5712: 5711:Summary tables 5708: 5707: 5705: 5704: 5698: 5696: 5690: 5689: 5686: 5685: 5683: 5682: 5681: 5680: 5675: 5670: 5660: 5654: 5652: 5646: 5645: 5643: 5642: 5637: 5632: 5627: 5622: 5617: 5612: 5606: 5604: 5598: 5597: 5595: 5594: 5589: 5584: 5583: 5582: 5577: 5572: 5567: 5562: 5557: 5552: 5547: 5545:Contraharmonic 5542: 5537: 5526: 5524: 5515: 5505: 5504: 5499: 5492: 5491: 5489: 5488: 5483: 5477: 5474: 5473: 5468: 5466: 5465: 5458: 5451: 5443: 5437: 5436: 5427: 5416: 5405: 5394:Understanding 5391: 5379: 5378:External links 5376: 5374: 5373: 5313: 5287:Kafadar, Karen 5271:Efron, Bradley 5263: 5258:978-1593276201 5257: 5238: 5210:(3): 885–892. 5195: 5184: 5154: 5100: 5065:(2): 114–120. 5043: 5037: 5017: 4994: 4988: 4972: 4966: 4948: 4926: 4916:(2): 155–163. 4898: 4852: 4850: 4847: 4844: 4843: 4831: 4780: 4721: 4688: 4670: 4658: 4643: 4631: 4611: 4592: 4576: 4538: 4507: 4470:(3): 885–892. 4450: 4410: 4403: 4381: 4366: 4359: 4333: 4326: 4304: 4297: 4279: 4272: 4251: 4205: 4198: 4165: 4146:(5): 779–804. 4126: 4099:(3): 135–140. 4079: 4050:(12): 171085. 4026: 3980: 3922: 3900: 3873:(3): 611–617. 3853: 3804: 3769: 3743: 3736: 3710: 3661: 3640:(8): 805–808. 3620: 3591:(6): 555–562. 3571: 3504: 3452: 3405: 3370: 3343:(6): 666–681. 3323: 3269: 3203: 3191: 3161: 3141: 3096: 3067:(2): 129–133. 3047: 2985: 2944: 2931:(2): 129–133. 2902: 2879:(2015-11-24). 2868: 2846: 2845: 2843: 2840: 2837: 2836: 2819: 2810: 2776: 2775: 2773: 2770: 2769: 2768: 2766:-value fallacy 2760: 2752: 2747: 2742: 2736:Harmonic mean 2733: 2724: 2715: 2710: 2705: 2698: 2695: 2606: 2603: 2575: 2572: 2569: 2566: 2562: 2558: 2555: 2549: 2544: 2541: 2536: 2529: 2525: 2484: 2481: 2478: 2475: 2471: 2467: 2464: 2458: 2453: 2450: 2445: 2438: 2434: 2415:Muriel Bristol 2244:John Arbuthnot 2200:John Arbuthnot 2192: 2189: 2155: 2151: 2147: 2112: 2108: 2104: 2074: 2050: 2049: 2046: 2035: 2032: 2016: 2015: 2011: 1997: 1990: 1987: 1984: 1980: 1939: 1938: 1923: 1920: 1914: 1910: 1906: 1901: 1897: 1891: 1887: 1880: 1875: 1872: 1867: 1861: 1858: 1855: 1849: 1844: 1841: 1836: 1830: 1824: 1819: 1816: 1811: 1804: 1796: 1792: 1788: 1783: 1780: 1778: 1776: 1773: 1765: 1762: 1759: 1756: 1753: 1750: 1747: 1739: 1736: 1733: 1730: 1727: 1719: 1716: 1713: 1710: 1708: 1706: 1670: 1650: 1627: 1624: 1619:Main article: 1616: 1613: 1503:test statistic 1490: 1478: 1475: 1401:Main article: 1398: 1395: 1358: 1355: 1342: 1318: 1294: 1291: 1288: 1249: 1246: 1243: 1240: 1235: 1231: 1207: 1183: 1158: 1155: 1098: 1094: 1065: 1045: 1040: 1036: 1032: 1029: 1026: 1021: 1017: 996: 972: 956: 953: 921: 901: 876: 849: 845: 827: 820: 817: 816: 815: 804: 801: 796: 792: 788: 784: 780: 776: 772: 768: 764: 760: 756: 753: 750: 747: 727: 707: 704: 699: 695: 691: 688: 685: 682: 679: 676: 673: 670: 665: 661: 657: 654: 651: 648: 645: 642: 639: 636: 633: 630: 627: 617: 605: 600: 596: 592: 589: 586: 583: 580: 577: 574: 571: 561: 549: 544: 540: 536: 533: 530: 527: 524: 521: 518: 515: 490: 486: 465: 445: 421: 401: 385: 382: 380: 377: 363: 343: 319: 299: 296: 293: 290: 287: 284: 279: 254: 216: 185: 165: 129: 113: 112:Basic concepts 110: 51: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 7787: 7776: 7773: 7772: 7770: 7755: 7754: 7745: 7743: 7742: 7733: 7731: 7730: 7725: 7719: 7717: 7716: 7707: 7706: 7703: 7689: 7686: 7684: 7683:Geostatistics 7681: 7679: 7676: 7674: 7671: 7669: 7666: 7665: 7663: 7661: 7657: 7651: 7650:Psychometrics 7648: 7646: 7643: 7641: 7638: 7636: 7633: 7631: 7628: 7626: 7623: 7621: 7618: 7616: 7613: 7611: 7608: 7606: 7603: 7602: 7600: 7598: 7594: 7588: 7585: 7583: 7580: 7578: 7574: 7571: 7569: 7566: 7564: 7561: 7559: 7556: 7555: 7553: 7551: 7547: 7541: 7538: 7536: 7533: 7531: 7527: 7524: 7522: 7519: 7518: 7516: 7514: 7513:Biostatistics 7510: 7506: 7502: 7497: 7493: 7475: 7474:Log-rank test 7472: 7471: 7469: 7465: 7459: 7456: 7455: 7453: 7451: 7447: 7441: 7438: 7436: 7433: 7431: 7428: 7426: 7423: 7422: 7420: 7418: 7414: 7411: 7409: 7405: 7395: 7392: 7390: 7387: 7385: 7382: 7380: 7377: 7375: 7372: 7371: 7369: 7367: 7363: 7357: 7354: 7352: 7349: 7347: 7345:(Box–Jenkins) 7341: 7339: 7336: 7334: 7331: 7327: 7324: 7323: 7322: 7319: 7318: 7316: 7314: 7310: 7304: 7301: 7299: 7298:Durbin–Watson 7296: 7294: 7288: 7286: 7283: 7281: 7280:Dickey–Fuller 7278: 7277: 7275: 7271: 7265: 7262: 7260: 7257: 7255: 7254:Cointegration 7252: 7250: 7247: 7245: 7242: 7240: 7237: 7235: 7232: 7230: 7229:Decomposition 7227: 7226: 7224: 7220: 7217: 7215: 7211: 7201: 7198: 7197: 7196: 7193: 7192: 7191: 7188: 7184: 7181: 7180: 7179: 7176: 7174: 7171: 7169: 7166: 7164: 7161: 7159: 7156: 7154: 7151: 7149: 7146: 7144: 7141: 7140: 7138: 7136: 7132: 7126: 7123: 7121: 7118: 7116: 7113: 7111: 7108: 7106: 7103: 7101: 7100:Cohen's kappa 7098: 7097: 7095: 7093: 7089: 7085: 7081: 7077: 7073: 7069: 7064: 7060: 7046: 7043: 7041: 7038: 7036: 7033: 7031: 7028: 7027: 7025: 7023: 7019: 7013: 7009: 7005: 6999: 6997: 6994: 6993: 6991: 6989: 6985: 6979: 6976: 6974: 6971: 6969: 6966: 6964: 6961: 6959: 6956: 6954: 6953:Nonparametric 6951: 6949: 6946: 6945: 6943: 6939: 6933: 6930: 6928: 6925: 6923: 6920: 6918: 6915: 6914: 6912: 6910: 6906: 6900: 6897: 6895: 6892: 6890: 6887: 6885: 6882: 6880: 6877: 6876: 6874: 6872: 6868: 6862: 6859: 6857: 6854: 6852: 6849: 6847: 6844: 6843: 6841: 6839: 6835: 6831: 6824: 6821: 6819: 6816: 6815: 6811: 6807: 6791: 6788: 6787: 6786: 6783: 6781: 6778: 6776: 6773: 6769: 6766: 6764: 6761: 6760: 6759: 6756: 6755: 6753: 6751: 6747: 6737: 6734: 6730: 6724: 6722: 6716: 6714: 6708: 6707: 6706: 6703: 6702:Nonparametric 6700: 6698: 6692: 6688: 6685: 6684: 6683: 6677: 6673: 6672:Sample median 6670: 6669: 6668: 6665: 6664: 6662: 6660: 6656: 6648: 6645: 6643: 6640: 6638: 6635: 6634: 6633: 6630: 6628: 6625: 6623: 6617: 6615: 6612: 6610: 6607: 6605: 6602: 6600: 6597: 6595: 6593: 6589: 6587: 6584: 6583: 6581: 6579: 6575: 6569: 6567: 6563: 6561: 6559: 6554: 6552: 6547: 6543: 6542: 6539: 6536: 6534: 6530: 6520: 6517: 6515: 6512: 6510: 6507: 6506: 6504: 6502: 6498: 6492: 6489: 6485: 6482: 6481: 6480: 6477: 6473: 6470: 6469: 6468: 6465: 6463: 6460: 6459: 6457: 6455: 6451: 6443: 6440: 6438: 6435: 6434: 6433: 6430: 6428: 6425: 6423: 6420: 6418: 6415: 6413: 6410: 6408: 6405: 6404: 6402: 6400: 6396: 6390: 6387: 6383: 6380: 6376: 6373: 6371: 6368: 6367: 6366: 6363: 6362: 6361: 6358: 6354: 6351: 6349: 6346: 6344: 6341: 6339: 6336: 6335: 6334: 6331: 6330: 6328: 6326: 6322: 6319: 6317: 6313: 6307: 6304: 6302: 6299: 6295: 6292: 6291: 6290: 6287: 6285: 6282: 6278: 6277:loss function 6275: 6274: 6273: 6270: 6266: 6263: 6261: 6258: 6256: 6253: 6252: 6251: 6248: 6246: 6243: 6241: 6238: 6234: 6231: 6229: 6226: 6224: 6218: 6215: 6214: 6213: 6210: 6206: 6203: 6201: 6198: 6196: 6193: 6192: 6191: 6188: 6184: 6181: 6179: 6176: 6175: 6174: 6171: 6167: 6164: 6163: 6162: 6159: 6155: 6152: 6151: 6150: 6147: 6145: 6142: 6140: 6137: 6135: 6132: 6131: 6129: 6127: 6123: 6119: 6115: 6110: 6106: 6092: 6089: 6087: 6084: 6082: 6079: 6077: 6074: 6073: 6071: 6069: 6065: 6059: 6056: 6054: 6051: 6049: 6046: 6045: 6043: 6039: 6033: 6030: 6028: 6025: 6023: 6020: 6018: 6015: 6013: 6010: 6008: 6005: 6003: 6000: 5999: 5997: 5995: 5991: 5985: 5982: 5980: 5979:Questionnaire 5977: 5975: 5972: 5968: 5965: 5963: 5960: 5959: 5958: 5955: 5954: 5952: 5950: 5946: 5940: 5937: 5935: 5932: 5930: 5927: 5925: 5922: 5920: 5917: 5915: 5912: 5910: 5907: 5905: 5902: 5901: 5899: 5897: 5893: 5889: 5885: 5880: 5876: 5862: 5859: 5857: 5854: 5852: 5849: 5847: 5844: 5842: 5839: 5837: 5834: 5832: 5829: 5827: 5824: 5822: 5819: 5817: 5814: 5812: 5809: 5807: 5806:Control chart 5804: 5802: 5799: 5797: 5794: 5792: 5789: 5788: 5786: 5784: 5780: 5774: 5771: 5767: 5764: 5762: 5759: 5758: 5757: 5754: 5752: 5749: 5747: 5744: 5743: 5741: 5739: 5735: 5729: 5726: 5724: 5721: 5719: 5716: 5715: 5713: 5709: 5703: 5700: 5699: 5697: 5695: 5691: 5679: 5676: 5674: 5671: 5669: 5666: 5665: 5664: 5661: 5659: 5656: 5655: 5653: 5651: 5647: 5641: 5638: 5636: 5633: 5631: 5628: 5626: 5623: 5621: 5618: 5616: 5613: 5611: 5608: 5607: 5605: 5603: 5599: 5593: 5590: 5588: 5585: 5581: 5578: 5576: 5573: 5571: 5568: 5566: 5563: 5561: 5558: 5556: 5553: 5551: 5548: 5546: 5543: 5541: 5538: 5536: 5533: 5532: 5531: 5528: 5527: 5525: 5523: 5519: 5516: 5514: 5510: 5506: 5502: 5497: 5493: 5487: 5484: 5482: 5479: 5478: 5475: 5471: 5464: 5459: 5457: 5452: 5450: 5445: 5444: 5441: 5435: 5433: 5428: 5426: 5422: 5417: 5415: 5411: 5406: 5403: 5399: 5397: 5392: 5389: 5387: 5382: 5381: 5377: 5370: 5366: 5362: 5358: 5353: 5348: 5344: 5340: 5336: 5332: 5328: 5324: 5320: 5314: 5309: 5304: 5300: 5296: 5292: 5288: 5284: 5280: 5276: 5275:Meng, Xiao-Li 5272: 5268: 5264: 5260: 5254: 5250: 5246: 5245: 5239: 5235: 5231: 5226: 5221: 5217: 5213: 5209: 5205: 5201: 5196: 5192: 5191: 5185: 5180: 5175: 5171: 5167: 5163: 5159: 5155: 5145:on 2016-10-21 5141: 5137: 5133: 5129: 5125: 5121: 5117: 5110: 5108: 5101: 5094: 5090: 5086: 5081: 5076: 5072: 5068: 5064: 5060: 5053: 5049: 5044: 5040: 5034: 5029: 5028: 5022: 5018: 5014: 5008: 5000: 4995: 4991: 4985: 4981: 4977: 4973: 4969: 4963: 4959: 4958: 4953: 4949: 4945: 4941: 4937: 4933: 4927: 4923: 4919: 4915: 4911: 4907: 4903: 4899: 4896: 4894: 4890: 4886: 4882: 4878: 4874: 4872: 4865: 4861: 4860: 4854: 4853: 4848: 4841: 4835: 4832: 4827: 4823: 4818: 4813: 4808: 4803: 4799: 4795: 4791: 4784: 4781: 4776: 4772: 4767: 4762: 4757: 4752: 4748: 4744: 4740: 4736: 4732: 4725: 4722: 4716: 4711: 4707: 4703: 4699: 4692: 4689: 4684: 4680: 4674: 4671: 4667: 4662: 4659: 4655: 4650: 4648: 4644: 4640: 4635: 4632: 4628: 4624: 4620: 4615: 4612: 4608: 4604: 4599: 4597: 4593: 4589: 4585: 4580: 4577: 4573: 4569: 4565: 4561: 4557: 4553: 4549: 4542: 4539: 4534: 4530: 4526: 4522: 4518: 4511: 4508: 4503: 4499: 4494: 4489: 4485: 4481: 4477: 4473: 4469: 4465: 4461: 4454: 4451: 4446: 4442: 4438: 4434: 4427: 4423: 4417: 4415: 4411: 4406: 4400: 4396: 4392: 4385: 4382: 4377: 4370: 4367: 4362: 4356: 4352: 4348: 4344: 4337: 4334: 4329: 4323: 4319: 4315: 4308: 4305: 4300: 4294: 4290: 4283: 4280: 4275: 4269: 4265: 4258: 4256: 4252: 4247: 4243: 4238: 4233: 4229: 4225: 4224: 4216: 4209: 4206: 4201: 4195: 4191: 4186: 4185: 4179: 4175: 4169: 4166: 4161: 4157: 4153: 4149: 4145: 4141: 4137: 4130: 4127: 4122: 4118: 4114: 4110: 4106: 4102: 4098: 4094: 4090: 4083: 4080: 4075: 4071: 4066: 4061: 4057: 4053: 4049: 4045: 4041: 4039: 4030: 4027: 4022: 4018: 4014: 4010: 4006: 4002: 3998: 3994: 3990: 3984: 3981: 3976: 3972: 3967: 3962: 3957: 3952: 3948: 3944: 3940: 3938: 3932: 3926: 3923: 3918: 3914: 3910: 3904: 3901: 3896: 3892: 3888: 3884: 3880: 3876: 3872: 3868: 3864: 3857: 3854: 3849: 3845: 3840: 3835: 3831: 3827: 3823: 3819: 3815: 3808: 3805: 3800: 3796: 3792: 3788: 3784: 3780: 3773: 3770: 3758: 3754: 3747: 3744: 3739: 3737:9780226789576 3733: 3729: 3725: 3721: 3714: 3711: 3706: 3702: 3697: 3692: 3688: 3684: 3680: 3676: 3672: 3665: 3662: 3657: 3653: 3648: 3643: 3639: 3635: 3631: 3624: 3621: 3616: 3612: 3607: 3602: 3598: 3594: 3590: 3586: 3582: 3575: 3572: 3567: 3563: 3558: 3553: 3549: 3545: 3541: 3537: 3532: 3527: 3524:(3): 140216. 3523: 3519: 3515: 3508: 3505: 3500: 3496: 3491: 3486: 3482: 3478: 3474: 3470: 3466: 3462: 3456: 3453: 3448: 3444: 3440: 3436: 3432: 3428: 3424: 3420: 3416: 3409: 3406: 3401: 3397: 3393: 3389: 3385: 3381: 3374: 3371: 3366: 3362: 3358: 3354: 3350: 3346: 3342: 3338: 3334: 3327: 3324: 3319: 3315: 3310: 3305: 3300: 3295: 3291: 3287: 3283: 3276: 3274: 3270: 3265: 3261: 3257: 3253: 3248: 3243: 3239: 3235: 3231: 3227: 3223: 3219: 3215: 3207: 3204: 3194: 3188: 3184: 3180: 3176: 3172: 3165: 3162: 3157: 3156: 3151: 3150:Neyman, Jerzy 3145: 3142: 3137: 3133: 3128: 3123: 3119: 3115: 3111: 3103: 3101: 3097: 3092: 3088: 3084: 3080: 3075: 3070: 3066: 3062: 3058: 3051: 3048: 3043: 3039: 3035: 3031: 3026: 3021: 3016: 3011: 3007: 3003: 2999: 2995: 2989: 2986: 2981: 2977: 2973: 2969: 2965: 2961: 2960: 2955: 2948: 2945: 2939: 2934: 2930: 2926: 2922: 2915: 2913: 2911: 2909: 2907: 2903: 2890: 2886: 2882: 2878: 2872: 2869: 2864: 2857: 2851: 2848: 2841: 2833: 2829: 2823: 2820: 2814: 2811: 2807: 2803: 2799: 2795: 2791: 2787: 2781: 2778: 2771: 2767: 2765: 2761: 2759: 2757: 2753: 2751: 2748: 2746: 2743: 2741: 2739: 2734: 2732: 2730: 2725: 2723: 2721: 2716: 2714: 2711: 2709: 2706: 2704: 2701: 2700: 2696: 2694: 2692: 2688: 2684: 2682: 2678: 2674: 2670: 2668: 2661: 2659: 2655: 2651: 2647: 2643: 2641: 2635: 2633: 2628: 2624: 2620: 2616: 2612: 2604: 2602: 2600: 2596: 2591: 2589: 2573: 2570: 2567: 2564: 2560: 2556: 2553: 2542: 2539: 2527: 2523: 2515: 2509: 2504: 2502: 2497: 2482: 2479: 2476: 2473: 2469: 2465: 2462: 2451: 2448: 2436: 2432: 2424: 2420: 2416: 2411: 2409: 2405: 2401: 2400: 2395: 2390: 2388: 2384: 2380: 2376: 2372: 2368: 2364: 2359: 2357: 2353: 2349: 2345: 2344: 2339: 2335: 2334:Ronald Fisher 2331: 2329: 2325: 2324:Elderton 1902 2321: 2317: 2313: 2309: 2305: 2301: 2297: 2291: 2289: 2283: 2281: 2277: 2273: 2268: 2266: 2262: 2258: 2254: 2250: 2245: 2241: 2237: 2231: 2230:Ronald Fisher 2227: 2221: 2217: 2211: 2207: 2201: 2197: 2190: 2188: 2186: 2182: 2177: 2175: 2171: 2166: 2153: 2149: 2145: 2137: 2132: 2130: 2126: 2110: 2106: 2102: 2094: 2072: 2057: 2055: 2047: 2044: 2043: 2042: 2038: 2033: 2031: 2029: 2024: 2022: 2010: 2006: 2002: 1998: 1995: 1991: 1988: 1985: 1979: 1975: 1974: 1973: 1970: 1968: 1964: 1960: 1956: 1952: 1948: 1944: 1921: 1918: 1912: 1908: 1904: 1899: 1895: 1889: 1885: 1873: 1870: 1859: 1856: 1853: 1842: 1839: 1828: 1817: 1814: 1802: 1794: 1790: 1786: 1781: 1779: 1763: 1754: 1751: 1748: 1737: 1728: 1717: 1709: 1697: 1696: 1695: 1693: 1689: 1685: 1668: 1648: 1639: 1637: 1633: 1625: 1622: 1614: 1612: 1610: 1606: 1602: 1598: 1594: 1590: 1586: 1582: 1577: 1575: 1571: 1566: 1565:-distribution 1564: 1560:based on the 1559: 1557: 1552: 1551:-distribution 1550: 1544: 1542: 1537: 1533: 1531: 1524: 1522: 1520: 1515: 1513: 1508: 1504: 1488: 1476: 1474: 1472: 1468: 1464: 1460: 1455: 1453: 1449: 1445: 1444:Bayes factors 1441: 1437: 1433: 1428: 1426: 1422: 1418: 1414: 1410: 1404: 1396: 1394: 1392: 1388: 1384: 1380: 1376: 1372: 1368: 1364: 1356: 1354: 1340: 1332: 1316: 1308: 1292: 1289: 1286: 1278: 1274: 1270: 1266: 1264: 1247: 1244: 1241: 1238: 1233: 1229: 1219: 1205: 1197: 1181: 1173: 1168: 1164: 1156: 1154: 1152: 1150: 1145: 1141: 1137: 1133: 1129: 1125: 1120: 1118: 1114: 1096: 1092: 1083: 1079: 1063: 1043: 1038: 1034: 1030: 1027: 1024: 1019: 1015: 994: 986: 970: 962: 954: 952: 950: 946: 941: 939: 935: 919: 899: 891: 887: 874: 865: 847: 843: 826: 818: 802: 794: 790: 786: 778: 770: 762: 748: 745: 725: 697: 693: 689: 686: 683: 680: 671: 663: 659: 655: 652: 649: 646: 631: 628: 625: 618: 598: 594: 590: 587: 584: 581: 572: 569: 562: 542: 538: 534: 531: 528: 525: 516: 513: 506: 505: 504: 488: 484: 463: 443: 435: 419: 399: 391: 383: 378: 376: 361: 341: 333: 317: 297: 291: 288: 285: 268: 252: 243: 240: 238: 234: 230: 214: 206: 202: 197: 183: 163: 154: 149: 147: 143: 127: 119: 111: 109: 107: 103: 99: 95: 91: 87: 83: 79: 75: 71: 67: 63: 49: 40: 33: 19: 7751: 7739: 7720: 7713: 7625:Econometrics 7575: / 7558:Chemometrics 7535:Epidemiology 7528: / 7501:Applications 7343:ARIMA model 7290:Q-statistic 7239:Stationarity 7135:Multivariate 7078: / 7074: / 7072:Multivariate 7070: / 7010: / 7006: / 6780:Bayes factor 6679:Signed rank 6591: 6565: 6557: 6545: 6240:Completeness 6076:Cohort study 5974:Opinion poll 5909:Missing data 5896:Study design 5851:Scatter plot 5773:Scatter plot 5766:Spearman's ρ 5728:Grouped data 5431: 5401: 5395: 5385: 5384:Free online 5352:10281/184094 5326: 5322: 5298: 5294: 5243: 5207: 5203: 5189: 5169: 5165: 5147:. Retrieved 5140:the original 5122:(1): 69–88. 5119: 5115: 5106: 5093:the original 5062: 5058: 5048:Armstrong JS 5026: 4998: 4979: 4956: 4935: 4931: 4913: 4909: 4881:experimental 4870: 4867: 4863: 4857: 4834: 4797: 4793: 4783: 4738: 4734: 4724: 4705: 4701: 4691: 4682: 4673: 4661: 4634: 4614: 4579: 4555: 4551: 4547: 4541: 4524: 4520: 4510: 4467: 4463: 4453: 4436: 4435:. Series 5. 4432: 4390: 4384: 4375: 4369: 4350: 4336: 4313: 4307: 4288: 4282: 4263: 4227: 4221: 4208: 4183: 4168: 4143: 4139: 4129: 4096: 4092: 4082: 4047: 4043: 4037: 4029: 3996: 3992: 3983: 3946: 3942: 3936: 3925: 3916: 3909:Aschwanden C 3903: 3870: 3866: 3856: 3824:(1): 23–29. 3821: 3817: 3807: 3782: 3778: 3772: 3760:. Retrieved 3756: 3746: 3719: 3713: 3678: 3674: 3664: 3637: 3633: 3623: 3588: 3584: 3574: 3521: 3517: 3507: 3472: 3468: 3455: 3425:(1): 11–22. 3422: 3418: 3408: 3386:(3): 202–6. 3383: 3379: 3373: 3340: 3336: 3332: 3326: 3289: 3286:PLOS Biology 3285: 3247:10281/184094 3221: 3217: 3206: 3196:, retrieved 3174: 3164: 3154: 3144: 3117: 3113: 3064: 3060: 3050: 3005: 3001: 2988: 2966:(1): 69–88. 2963: 2957: 2953: 2947: 2928: 2924: 2893:. 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Index

P-Value
P-factor
null-hypothesis significance testing
result actually observed
null hypothesis
outcome
academic publications
misuse of p-values
metascience
probability distribution
null hypothesis test
null hypothesis
statistical significance
normal distribution
variance
α {\displaystyle \alpha }
significance level
Fisher
Statistical Methods for Research Workers
Fisher's combined probability test
random variable
uniformly distributed
p-hacking
Z-statistic
statistical hypothesis testing
null hypothesis
null hypothesis
Misuse of p-values
ASA
confidence intervals

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