Knowledge

Pocock boundary

Source đź“ť

235:-value threshold is the same at each interim analysis. The disadvantages are that the number of interim analyses must be fixed at the start and it is not possible under this scheme to add analyses after the trial has started. Another disadvantage is that investigators and readers frequently do not understand how the 32:
or conventional treatment, while the other group of patients are given the treatment that is being tested. The investigators running the clinical trial will wish to stop the trial early for ethical reasons if the treatment group clearly shows evidence of benefit. In other words, "when early results
55:
threshold for each interim analysis which guides the data monitoring committee on whether to stop the trial. The boundary used depends on the number of interim analyses.
299: 239:-values are reported: for example, if there are five interim analyses planned, but the trial is stopped after the third interim analysis because the 33:
proved so promising it was no longer fair to keep patients on the older drugs for comparison, without giving them the opportunity to change."
431: 441: 40:
in 1977. The many reasons underlying when to stop a clinical trial for benefit were discussed in his editorial from 2005.
277: 256: 379: 436: 407: 360: 399: 322: 391: 352: 314: 25: 21: 395: 425: 340: 295: 37: 411: 343:(1977). "Group sequential methods in the design and analysis of clinical trials". 356: 318: 403: 326: 364: 49: 29: 380:"Multiplicity in randomised trials II: subgroup and interim analyses" 247:-value for the trial is still reported as <0.05 and not as 0.01. 63:-values used at each interim analysis, assuming the overall 36:
The concept was introduced by the medical statistician
28:
compares two groups of patients. One group are given a
300:"When (not) to stop a clinical trial for benefit" 231:The Pocock boundary is simple to use in that the 20:is a method for determining whether to stop a 8: 57: 268: 7: 278:"Heart attacks may be cut by half" 243:-value was 0.01, then the overall 14: 1: 396:10.1016/S0140-6736(05)66516-6 378:Schulz KF, Grimes DA (2005). 67:-value for the trial is 0.05 48:The Pocock boundary gives a 276:Hall C (5 September 2005). 72:Number of planned analyses 458: 24:prematurely. The typical 319:10.1001/jama.294.17.2228 357:10.1093/biomet/64.2.191 257:Haybittle–Peto boundary 432:Sequential experiments 442:Design of experiments 390:(9471): 1657–1661. 68: 58: 437:Clinical research 313:(17): 2228–2230. 229: 228: 81:-value threshold 75:Interim analysis 449: 416: 415: 375: 369: 368: 337: 331: 330: 304: 292: 286: 285: 273: 69: 457: 456: 452: 451: 450: 448: 447: 446: 422: 421: 420: 419: 377: 376: 372: 339: 338: 334: 302: 294: 293: 289: 282:Daily Telegraph 275: 274: 270: 265: 253: 46: 18:Pocock boundary 12: 11: 5: 455: 453: 445: 444: 439: 434: 424: 423: 418: 417: 370: 332: 287: 267: 266: 264: 261: 260: 259: 252: 249: 227: 226: 223: 220: 217: 216: 213: 210: 207: 206: 203: 200: 197: 196: 193: 190: 187: 186: 183: 180: 176: 175: 172: 169: 166: 165: 162: 159: 156: 155: 152: 149: 146: 145: 142: 139: 135: 134: 131: 128: 125: 124: 121: 118: 115: 114: 111: 108: 104: 103: 100: 97: 94: 93: 90: 87: 83: 82: 76: 73: 45: 42: 26:clinical trial 22:clinical trial 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 454: 443: 440: 438: 435: 433: 430: 429: 427: 413: 409: 405: 401: 397: 393: 389: 385: 381: 374: 371: 366: 362: 358: 354: 350: 346: 342: 336: 333: 328: 324: 320: 316: 312: 308: 301: 297: 291: 288: 283: 279: 272: 269: 262: 258: 255: 254: 250: 248: 246: 242: 238: 234: 224: 221: 219: 218: 214: 211: 209: 208: 204: 201: 199: 198: 194: 191: 189: 188: 184: 181: 178: 177: 173: 170: 168: 167: 163: 160: 158: 157: 153: 150: 148: 147: 143: 140: 137: 136: 132: 129: 127: 126: 122: 119: 117: 116: 112: 109: 106: 105: 101: 98: 96: 95: 91: 88: 85: 84: 80: 77: 74: 71: 70: 66: 62: 56: 54: 52: 43: 41: 39: 38:Stuart Pocock 34: 31: 27: 23: 19: 387: 383: 373: 351:(2): 191–9. 348: 344: 335: 310: 306: 290: 284:. p. 1. 281: 271: 244: 240: 236: 232: 230: 78: 64: 60: 50: 47: 35: 17: 15: 426:Categories 345:Biometrika 263:References 341:Pocock SJ 222:5 (final) 171:4 (final) 130:3 (final) 99:2 (final) 412:26299736 404:15885299 327:16264167 298:(2005). 296:Pocock S 251:See also 59:List of 365:2335684 225:0.0158 215:0.0158 205:0.0158 195:0.0158 185:0.0158 174:0.0182 164:0.0182 154:0.0182 144:0.0182 133:0.0221 123:0.0221 113:0.0221 102:0.0294 92:0.0294 44:Details 30:placebo 410:  402:  384:Lancet 363:  325:  53:-value 408:S2CID 361:JSTOR 303:(PDF) 400:PMID 323:PMID 307:JAMA 16:The 392:doi 388:365 353:doi 315:doi 311:294 428:: 406:. 398:. 386:. 382:. 359:. 349:64 347:. 321:. 309:. 305:. 280:. 414:. 394:: 367:. 355:: 329:. 317:: 245:p 241:p 237:p 233:p 212:4 202:3 192:2 182:1 179:5 161:3 151:2 141:1 138:4 120:2 110:1 107:3 89:1 86:2 79:p 65:p 61:p 51:p

Index

clinical trial
clinical trial
placebo
Stuart Pocock
p-value
Haybittle–Peto boundary
"Heart attacks may be cut by half"
Pocock S
"When (not) to stop a clinical trial for benefit"
doi
10.1001/jama.294.17.2228
PMID
16264167
Pocock SJ
doi
10.1093/biomet/64.2.191
JSTOR
2335684
"Multiplicity in randomised trials II: subgroup and interim analyses"
doi
10.1016/S0140-6736(05)66516-6
PMID
15885299
S2CID
26299736
Categories
Sequential experiments
Clinical research
Design of experiments

Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.

↑