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Sudden stratospheric warming

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that the winter westerlies turn easterly. At this point planetary waves may no longer penetrate into the stratosphere ). Hence further upward transfer of energy is completely blocked and a very rapid easterly acceleration and the polar warming occur at this critical level, which must then move downward until eventually the warming and zonal wind reversal affect the entire polar stratosphere. The upward propagation of planetary waves and their interaction with the stratospheric mean flow is traditionally diagnosed via so-called Eliassen-Palm fluxes.
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The radiative cycle in the stratosphere means that during winter the mean flow is westerly and during summer it is easterly (westward). A final warming occurs on this transition, so that the polar vortex winds change direction for the warming and do not change back until the following winter. This is
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a stratospheric warming is called minor if a significant temperature increase is observed (that is, at least 25 degrees in a period of week or less) at any stratospheric level in any area of winter time hemisphere. The polar vortex is not broken down and the wind reversal from westerly to easterly is
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typically classify vortex breakdown into three categories: major, minor, and final. No unambiguous standard definition of these has so far been adopted. However, differences in the methodology to detect SSWs are not relevant as long as circulation in the polar stratosphere reverses. "Major SSWs occur
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weakens and simultaneously becomes distorted by the growing planetary waves. Because the wave amplitude increases with decreasing density this easterly acceleration process is not effective at fairly high levels. If the waves are sufficiently strong the mean zonal flow may decelerate sufficiently so
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a stratospheric warming can be said to be major if at 10 mb or below the latitudinal mean temperature increases poleward from 60 degree latitude and an associated circulation reversal is observed (that is, the prevailing mean westerly winds poleward of 60 latitude are succeeded by mean easterlies in
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Although sudden stratospheric warmings are mainly forced by planetary scale waves which propagate up from the lower atmosphere, there is also a subsequent return effect of sudden stratospheric warmings on surface weather. Following a sudden stratospheric warming, the high altitude westerly winds
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and are dissipated there, decelerating the westerly winds and warming the Arctic. This is the reason that major warmings are only observed in the northern-hemisphere, with two exceptions. In 2002 and 2019, southern-hemisphere major warmings were observed. These events are not fully understood.
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reverse and are replaced by easterlies. The easterly winds progress down through the atmosphere, often leading to a weakening of the tropospheric westerly winds, resulting in dramatic reductions in temperature in Northern Europe. This process can take a few days to a few weeks to occur.
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when the winter polar stratospheric westerlies reverse to easterlies. In minor warmings, the polar temperature gradient reverses but the circulation does not, and in final warmings, the vortex breaks down and remains easterly until the following boreal autumn".
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establishes in the troposphere. This blocking pattern causes Rossby waves with zonal wavenumber 1 and/or 2 to grow to unusually large amplitudes. The growing wave propagates into the stratosphere and decelerates the westerly mean zonal winds. Thus the
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In a usual northern-hemisphere winter, several minor warming events occur, with a major event occurring roughly every two years. One reason for major stratospheric warmings to occur in the Northern hemisphere is because
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Canadian warmings occur in early winter in the stratosphere of the Northern Hemisphere, typically from mid November to early December. They have no counterpart in the southern hemisphere.
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Minor warmings are similar to major warmings however they are less dramatic, the westerly winds are slowed, however do not reverse. Therefore, a breakdown of the vortex is never observed.
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because the stratosphere has entered the summer easterly phase. It is final because another warming cannot occur over the summer, so it is the final warming of the current winter.
265:(up to increases of about 50 °C (90 °F)) over the course of a few days. The warming is preceded by a slowing then reversal of the westerly winds in the stratospheric 2057:
Manney, Gloria L.; Sabutis, Joseph L.; Allen, Douglas R.; Lahoz, William A.; Scaife, Adam A.; Randall, Cora E.; Pawson, Steven; Naujokat, Barbara; Swinbank, Richard (2005).
269:. SSWs occur about six times per decade in the northern hemisphere, and about once every 20-30 years in the southern hemisphere. Only two southern SSWs have been observed. 2638:
Charlton, Andrew J.; Polvani, Lorenzo M.; Perlwitz, Judith; Sassi, Fabrizio; Manzini, Elisa; Shibata, Kiyotaka; Pawson, Steven; Nielsen, J. Eric; Rind, David (2007).
2793: 94: 49: 2764: 2456: 141: 200: 113: 289:(~40 km) and he became the first to observe stratospheric warming on 27 January 1952. After his discovery, he assembled a team of 2799:
GEOS-5 Analyses and Forecasts of the Major Stratospheric Sudden Warming of January 2013 NASA Global Modelling and Assimilation Office
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Sometimes a fourth category, the Canadian warming, is included because of its unique and distinguishing structure and evolution.
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Charney, J. G.; Drazin, P. G. (1961). "Propagation of planetary-scale disturbances from the lower into the upper atmosphere".
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is observed and the vortex will either be split into daughter vortices, or displaced from its normal location over the pole.
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Pedatella, N.; Chau, J.; Schmidt, H.; Goncharenko, L.; Stolle, C.; Hocke, K.; Harvey, L.; Funke, B.; Siddiqui, T. (2018).
2506:"Climate Prediction Center - Monitoring & Data: Current Monthly Atmospheric and Sea Surface Temperatures Index Values" 2251:"Planetary waves in horizontal and vertical shear: the generalized Eliassen-Palm relation and the mean zonal acceleration" 109: 2533:
Butler, Amy H.; Seidel, Dian J.; Hardiman, Steven C.; Butchart, Neal; Birner, Thomas; Match, Aaron (1 November 2015).
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These occur when the westerly winds at 60N and 10 hPa reverse, i.e. become easterly. A complete disruption of the
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Lu, Qian; Rao, Jian; Liang, Zhuoqi; Guo, Dong; Luo, Jingjia; Liu, Siming; Wang, Chun; Wang, Tian (2021-07-28).
1962: 134: 465: 2685:"A New Look at Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Part III: Polar Vortex Evolution and Vertical Structure" 278: 2696: 2684: 2651: 2639: 2616: 2604: 2581: 2420: 2344: 2303: 2262: 2211: 2168: 2119: 2070: 2015: 1916: 1864: 1805: 1756: 1715: 2246: 1649: 448: 298: 2383: 2714: 2640:"A New Look at Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Part II: Evaluation of Numerical Model Simulations" 2227: 2184: 2088: 2039: 1940: 1833: 512: 2556: 2438: 2137: 2031: 1882: 1774: 1702:
Butler, Amy H.; Sjoberg, Jeremiah P.; Seidel, Dian J.; Rosenlof, Karen H. (9 February 2017).
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Weather and Climate Discussion, Reading Meteorology WCD Blog: Sudden Stratospheric Stirrings
2749: 2739: 2704: 2669: 2659: 2624: 2589: 2546: 2428: 2362: 2352: 2333:"Observed Relationships Between Sudden Stratospheric Warmings and European Climate Extremes" 2311: 2270: 2219: 2176: 2156: 2127: 2078: 2023: 1932: 1924: 1872: 1823: 1813: 1764: 1723: 532: 527: 517: 2765:"The air above Antarctica is suddenly getting warmer – here's what it means for Australia" 2674: 2605:"A New Look at Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Part I: Climatology and Modeling Benchmarks" 1901: 453: 2059:"Simulations of Dynamics and Transport during the September 2002 Antarctic Major Warming" 1794:"How frequent are Antarctic sudden stratospheric warmings in present and future climate?" 2700: 2655: 2620: 2585: 2424: 2348: 2307: 2266: 2215: 2172: 2123: 2074: 2019: 1920: 1900:
Palmeiro, Froila M; Barriopedro, David; Garcia-Herrera, Ricardo; Calvo, Natalia (2015).
1868: 1809: 1760: 1719: 2457:"On the sudden stratospheric warming and polar vortex of early 2021 | NOAA Climate.gov" 1987:
Eliassen, A; Palm, T (1960). "On the transfer of energy in stationary mountain waves".
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and this group continued to map the northern-hemisphere stratospheric temperature and
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Table of Major mid-winter Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events in Reanalyses Products
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Butler, Amy H.; Sjoberg, Jeremiah P.; Seidel, Dian J.; Rosenlof, Karen H. (2017).
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Wang, L; Hardiman, S C; Bett, P E; Comer, R E; Kent, C; Scaife, A A (2020-09-24).
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Ripesi, Patrizio; Ciciulla, Fabrizio; Maimone, Filippo; Pelino, Vinizio (2012).
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Matthewman, N. J.; Esler, J. G.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Polvani, L. M. (2009).
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and land-sea temperature contrasts are responsible for the generation of long (
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Hendon, Harry; Watkins, Andrew B.; Lim, Eun-Pa; Young, Griffith (2019-09-06).
2551: 2534: 2505: 428: 329: 302: 282: 2560: 2442: 2157:"The February 2010 Arctic Oscillation Index and its stratospheric connection" 1928: 1778: 2223: 424: 325: 317: 313: 2709: 2594: 2569: 2141: 2035: 1886: 1745:"What chance of a sudden stratospheric warming in the southern hemisphere?" 1728: 1703: 316:
era began, meteorological measurements became far more frequent. Although
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Varotsos, C. (2002). "The southern hemisphere ozone hole split in 2002".
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Stratospheric warmings: Synoptic, dynamic and general-circulation aspects
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King, A.D.; Butler, A.H.; Jucker, M.; Earl, N.O.; Rudeva, I. (2019).
2316: 2291: 262: 2180: 2108:"Rare warming over Antarctica reveals power of stratospheric models" 277:
The first continued measurements of the stratosphere were taken by
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There exists a link between sudden stratospheric warmings and the
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Mclnturff cites the WMOs's Commission for Atmospheric Sciences:
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UK Met Office: What is a sudden stratospheric warming (SSW)?
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10.1175/1520-0469(1976)033<2031:PWIHAV>2.0.CO;2
1968:(Report). NASA Scientific and Technical Information Office 324:
they also recorded data for the stratosphere. Today both
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Jucker, Martin; Reichler, Thomas; Waugh, Darryn (2021).
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Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
2384:"NOAA CSL: Chemistry & Climate Processes: SSWC" 285:to take reliable temperature readings in the upper 101:. Unsourced material may be challenged and removed. 2409:"The sudden stratospheric warming in January 2021" 468:is modified in such a way that upward-propagating 2603:Charlton, Andrew J.; Polvani, Lorenzo M. (2007). 1851:Shen, Xiaocen; Wang, Lin; Osprey, Scott (2020). 2539:Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 293:specifically to study the stratosphere at the 8: 2337:Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2008:Environmental Science and Pollution Research 1697: 1695: 1693: 1691: 1672: 1670: 464:: If the QBO is in its easterly phase, the 2570:"A sudden stratospheric warming compendium" 1956: 1954: 1704:"A sudden stratospheric warming compendium" 64:Learn how and when to remove these messages 2382:Laboratory (CSL), NOAA Chemical Sciences. 2753: 2743: 2708: 2673: 2663: 2628: 2593: 2550: 2432: 2366: 2356: 2315: 2274: 2131: 2082: 1876: 1827: 1817: 1768: 1727: 241:Learn how and when to remove this message 223:Learn how and when to remove this message 161:Learn how and when to remove this message 2535:"Defining Sudden Stratospheric Warmings" 503: 378:'s Commission for Atmospheric Sciences: 186:This article includes a list of general 2292:"Scaling of Eliassen-Palm flux vectors" 1666: 332:are used to take measurements of the 261:temperatures rise by several tens of 7: 99:adding citations to reliable sources 2480:Center, NOAA's Climate Prediction. 2255:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 2063:Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 1961:McInturff, Raymond M., ed. (1978). 439:. These waves travel upward to the 2482:"NOAA's Climate Prediction Center" 192:it lacks sufficient corresponding 25: 449:blocking-type circulation pattern 376:World Meteorological Organization 257:(SSW) is an event in which polar 45:This article has multiple issues. 177: 75: 34: 2204:Journal of Geophysical Research 344:SSW is closely associated with 86:needs additional citations for 53:or discuss these issues on the 2675:11858/00-001M-0000-002E-2383-7 2413:Environmental Research Letters 1755:(10). IOP Publishing: 104038. 1749:Environmental Research Letters 1678:"Sudden Stratospheric Warming" 340:Classification and description 110:"Sudden stratospheric warming" 1: 18:Sudden stratospheric warmings 1798:Geophysical Research Letters 320:were primarily used for the 255:sudden stratospheric warming 2296:Atmospheric Science Letters 2830: 2133:10.1038/d41586-019-02985-8 1878:10.1016/j.scib.2020.06.028 462:quasi-biennial oscillation 2755:21.11116/0000-0000-E6F7-6 2574:Earth System Science Data 2552:10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00173.1 1708:Earth System Science Data 295:Free University of Berlin 27:Meteorological phenomenon 2486:origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov 2434:10.1088/1748-9326/ac12f4 1989:Geofysiske Publikasjoner 1929:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0004.1 1770:10.1088/1748-9326/aba8c1 2290:Jucker, Martin (2021). 2224:10.1029/JZ066i001p00083 207:more precise citations. 2710:10.1175/2008JCLI2365.1 2595:10.5194/essd-9-63-2017 1729:10.5194/essd-9-63-2017 346:polar vortex breakdown 2510:www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov 2106:Lewis, Dyani (2019). 1829:1959.4/unsworks_79028 466:atmospheric waveguide 447:At an initial time a 301:for many years using 2814:Atmospheric dynamics 2745:10.1029/2018EO092441 2358:10.1029/2019JD030480 1819:10.1029/2021GL093215 95:improve this article 2701:2009JCli...22.1566M 2656:2007JCli...20..470C 2621:2007JCli...20..449C 2586:2017ESSD....9...63B 2425:2021ERL....16h4029L 2349:2019JGRD..12413943K 2343:(24): 13943–13961. 2308:2021AtScL..22E1020J 2267:1976JAtS...33.2031A 2216:1961JGR....66...83C 2173:2012QJRMS.138.1961R 2124:2019Natur.574..160L 2075:2005JAtS...62..690M 2020:2002ESPR....9..375V 1921:2015JCli...28.6823P 1869:2020SciBu..65.1800S 1810:2021GeoRL..4893215J 1761:2020ERL....15j4038W 1720:2017ESSD....9...63B 1650:Polar amplification 505: 472:are focused on the 299:geopotential height 2689:Journal of Climate 2665:10.1175/JCLI3994.1 2644:Journal of Climate 2630:10.1175/JCLI3996.1 2609:Journal of Climate 2167:(669): 1961–1969. 2084:10.1175/JAS-3313.1 2028:10.1007/BF02987584 1909:Journal of Climate 504: 328:and stratospheric 2545:(11): 1913–1928. 2261:(11): 2031–2048. 2118:(7777): 160–161. 1915:(17): 6823–6840. 1863:(21): 1800–1802. 1641: 1640: 374:According to the 312:In 1979 when the 251: 250: 243: 233: 232: 225: 171: 170: 163: 145: 68: 16:(Redirected from 2821: 2778: 2776: 2775: 2769:The Conversation 2759: 2757: 2747: 2722: 2712: 2679: 2677: 2667: 2634: 2632: 2599: 2597: 2564: 2554: 2520: 2519: 2517: 2516: 2502: 2496: 2495: 2493: 2492: 2477: 2471: 2470: 2468: 2467: 2453: 2447: 2446: 2436: 2404: 2398: 2397: 2395: 2394: 2379: 2373: 2372: 2370: 2360: 2328: 2322: 2321: 2319: 2317:10.1002/asl.1020 2287: 2281: 2280: 2278: 2242: 2236: 2235: 2199: 2193: 2192: 2152: 2146: 2145: 2135: 2103: 2097: 2096: 2086: 2054: 2048: 2047: 2003: 1997: 1996: 1984: 1978: 1977: 1975: 1973: 1967: 1958: 1949: 1948: 1906: 1897: 1891: 1890: 1880: 1857:Science Bulletin 1848: 1842: 1841: 1831: 1821: 1789: 1783: 1782: 1772: 1740: 1734: 1733: 1731: 1699: 1686: 1685: 1674: 506: 501: 500: 496: 279:Richard Scherhag 246: 239: 228: 221: 217: 214: 208: 203:this article by 194:inline citations 181: 180: 173: 166: 159: 155: 152: 146: 144: 103: 79: 71: 60: 38: 37: 30: 21: 2829: 2828: 2824: 2823: 2822: 2820: 2819: 2818: 2804: 2803: 2785: 2773: 2771: 2762: 2725: 2682: 2637: 2602: 2567: 2532: 2529: 2527:Further reading 2524: 2523: 2514: 2512: 2504: 2503: 2499: 2490: 2488: 2479: 2478: 2474: 2465: 2463: 2461:www.climate.gov 2455: 2454: 2450: 2406: 2405: 2401: 2392: 2390: 2381: 2380: 2376: 2330: 2329: 2325: 2289: 2288: 2284: 2245:Andrews, D.G.; 2244: 2243: 2239: 2201: 2200: 2196: 2181:10.1002/qj.1935 2154: 2153: 2149: 2105: 2104: 2100: 2056: 2055: 2051: 2005: 2004: 2000: 1986: 1985: 1981: 1971: 1969: 1965: 1960: 1959: 1952: 1904: 1899: 1898: 1894: 1850: 1849: 1845: 1791: 1790: 1786: 1742: 1741: 1737: 1701: 1700: 1689: 1676: 1675: 1668: 1663: 1646: 502: 498: 494: 492: 491: 482: 480:Weather effects 454:polar night jet 420: 412: 403: 396:less extensive. 388: 381:the same area). 365: 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