Knowledge (XXG)

Gerd Gigerenzer

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372:. They proved analytically conditions under which semi-ignorance (lack of recognition) can lead to better inferences than with more knowledge. These results were experimentally confirmed in many experiments, e.g., by showing that semi-ignorant people who rely on recognition are as good as or better than the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP) Rankings and experts at predicting the outcomes of the Wimbledon tennis tournaments. Similarly, decisions by experienced experts (e.g., police, professional burglars, airport security) were found to follow the take-the-best heuristic rather than weight and add all information, while inexperienced students tend to do the latter. A third class of heuristics, 42: 407:, Gigerenzer argues that heuristics should not lead us to conceive of human thinking as riddled with irrational cognitive biases, but rather to conceive rationality as an adaptive tool that is not identical to the rules of formal logic or the probability calculus. He and his collaborators have theoretically and experimentally shown that many cognitive fallacies are better understood as adaptive responses to a world of uncertainty—such as the 2404: 2430: 2417: 1552: 461:, which helps people make Bayesian inferences correctly without any outside help. Later it was shown that with this method, even 4th graders were able to make correct inferences. Once again, the problem is not simply in the human mind, but in the representation of the information. Gigerenzer has taught risk literacy to some 1,000 doctors in their CMU and some 50 US federal judges, and 1524: 1564: 295:
situations in which "less is more", that is, where heuristics make more accurate decisions with less effort. This contradicts the traditional view that more information is always better or at least can never hurt if it is free. Less-is-more effects have been shown experimentally, analytically, and by computer simulations.
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probabilities and utilities with that of a bounded mind reaching into an adaptive toolbox filled with fast and frugal heuristics". These heuristics would equip humans to deal more specifically with the many situations they face in which not all alternatives and probabilities are known, and surprises can happen.
352:. In 1995 he became director of the Max Planck Institute for Psychological Research in Munich, and in 1997 director of the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin. Since 2009 he has been director of the Harding Center for Risk Literacy in Berlin, which moved in 2020 to the University of Potsdam. 530:, for an extensive list of honors and awards.) He is a member of the Science Council of the ERC, the 22 scientists who oversee the European Research Council, and Vice President of the ERC. The Swiss Duttweiler Institute has distinguished Gigerenzer as one of the top-100 Global Thought Leaders worldwide. 525:
for the best article in the behavioral sciences, the Association of American Publishers Prize for the best book in the social and behavioral sciences, the German Psychology Prize, and the Communicator Award of the German Research Association (DFG), among others. (See the German Knowledge (XXG) entry,
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in situations where risks can actually be calculated or precisely estimated. He has developed an ecological approach to risk communication where the key is the match between cognition and the presentation of the information in the environment. For instance, lay people as well as professionals often
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The basic idea of the adaptive toolbox is that different domains of thought require different specialized cognitive mechanisms instead of one universal strategy. The analysis of the adaptive toolbox and its evolution is descriptive research with the goal of specifying the core cognitive capacities
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Gigerenzer argues that heuristics are not irrational or always second-best to optimization, as the accuracy-effort trade-off view assumes, in which heuristics are seen as short-cuts that trade less effort for less accuracy. In contrast, his and associated researchers' studies have identified
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Gigerenzer and colleagues write of the mid-17th century "probabilistic revolution", "the demise of the dream of certainty and the rise of a calculus of uncertainty – probability theory". Gigerenzer calls for a second revolution, "replacing the image of an omniscient mind computing intricate
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has now entered the vocabulary of evidence-based medicine. In recent years, medical schools around the world have begun to teach tools such as natural frequencies to help young doctors understand test results.
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Gigerenzer investigates how humans make inferences about their world with limited time and knowledge. He proposes that, in an uncertain world, probability theory is not sufficient; people also use smart
388:(2020, MIT Press), uses examples such as how American citizens decide to vote for their president or how paramedics prioritise treatment at a medical emergency, to show how to build heuristics such as 2331: 2492: 2477: 1645: 2306: 668: 2326: 2472: 628: 486:
views of cognition, where adaptive function and success is central, as opposed to logical structure and consistency, although the latter can be means towards function.
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Gigerenzer, G., Gaissmaier, W., Kurz-Milcke, E., Schwartz, L. M., & Woloshin, S. W. (2007). Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics.
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models, as well as how to test and compare their accuracy and transparency with state-of-the art algorithms from other fields, including machine learning.
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and other heuristics, Gigerenzer and his colleagues use the strategy of mapping its concepts onto those of well-understood optimization theories, such as
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Gigerenzer is a jazz and Dixieland musician. He was part of The Munich Beefeaters Dixieland Band which performed in a TV ad for the
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in the cognitive illusions literature. Gigerenzer and Ulrich Hoffrage were the first to develop and test a representation called
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around the time it came out in 1974. The ad can be viewed on YouTube, with Gigerenzer at the steering wheel and on the banjo.
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Gigerenzer, G., Multmeier, J., Föhring, A., & Wegwarth, O.  (2021). Do children have Bayesian intuitions?
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Gigerenzer, G., & Garcia-Retamero, R. (2017). Cassandra’s regret. The psychology of not wanting to know.
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Gigerenzer, G., Reb, J., & Luan, S. (2022). Smart heuristics for individuals, teams, and organizations.
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Luan, S., Schooler, L., & Gigerenzer, G. (2011). A signal detection analysis of fast-and-frugal trees.
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Gigerenzer, G. (2006). Out of the frying pan into the fire: Behavioral reactions to terrorist attacks.
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Gigerenzer, G., & Brighton, H. (2009). Homo heuristicus: Why biased minds make better inferences.
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Gigerenzer, G (1991). "How to make cognitive illusions disappear: Beyond "heuristics and biases"".
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Artinger, F., Gigerenzer, G. & Jacobs, P. (2022). Satisficing: Integrating two traditions.
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Smart management: How simple heuristics help leaders make good decisions in an uncertain world.
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Gigerenzer, G. (2010). Moral satisficing. Rethinking moral behavior as bounded rationality.
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Gigerenzer, G. (2018). Statistical rituals: The replication delusion and how we got there.
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Gigerenzer, G., Swijtink, Z., Porter, T., Daston, L., Beatty, J., & KrĂĽger, L. (1989).
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and has been the John M. Olin Distinguished Visiting Professor, School of Law at the
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Nonmetrische multidimensionale Skalierung als Modell des Urteilverhaltens (German)
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Arkes, H. R., Gigerenzer, G., & Hertwig, R. (2016). How bad is incoherence?
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Gerd Gigerenzer & Nicholas Taleb: The dichotomy of behavioral economics.
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Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior, 9
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Katsikopoulos, K., ĹžimĹźek, Ă–., Buckmann, M., & Gigerenzer, G. (2020).
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Article: Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight
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Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision-making.
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Previously working at the University of Munich, Gigerenzer moved to the
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The empire of chance. How probability changed science and everyday life
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in 1974 and 1977, respectively. He received the postdoctoral degree of
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Bauer, T. K., Gigerenzer, G., Krämer, W., & Schüller, K. (2022).
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to the degree that it is adapted to the structure of an environment.
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Original TV ad for VW Golf with The Munich Beefeaters Dixieland Band
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Gigerenzer, G., Todd, P. M., & the ABC Research Group. (1999).
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Gigerenzer, G. (2022). Simple heuristics to run a research group.
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in 1990. From 1992 to 1995 he was Professor of Psychology at the
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Advances in Methods and Practices in Psychological Science, 1,
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Gigerenzer, G. (2018). The bias bias in behavioral economics.
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Alongside his research on heuristics, Gigerenzer investigates
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Gigerenzer, G., Hertwig, R., & Pachur, T. (Eds.) (2011).
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Gigerenzer, G., Mousavi, S., & Viale, R. (Eds.) (2024).
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Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences
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Communicator Award of the German Research Association (DFG)
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Rationality for mortals: How people cope with uncertainty.
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Bauer, T. K., Gigerenzer, G., & Krämer, W. (2014).
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Calculated risks: How to know when numbers deceive you
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Gigerenzer, G. (2017). A theory integration program.
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TEDx Talk: How do smart people make smart decisions?
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Warum dick nicht doof macht und Genmais nicht tötet:
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Gigerenzer was awarded honorary doctorates from the
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Simply rational: Decision making in the real world.
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(2024). 453:, typically committing what has been called the 511:Max Planck Institute for the History of Science 474:Intellectually, Gigerenzer's work is rooted in 896:107–143. doi:10.1111/j.1756-8765.2008.01006.x 887:528–554. doi:10.1111/j.1756-8765.2010.01094.x 624:GrĂĽne fahren SUV und Joggen macht unsterblich. 2493:Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich alumni 2478:Members of the American Philosophical Society 1639: 8: 919:Gigerenzer, G. (2004). Mindless statistics. 765:Gigerenzer, G., & Murray, D. J. (1987). 948:TED-Ed Why do people fear the wrong things? 1646: 1632: 1624: 1230:Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox. 986:Heuristics in judgment and decision-making 523:AAAS Prize for Behavioral Science Research 269:Max Planck Institute for Human Development 179:Max Planck Institute for Human Development 131:AAAS Prize for Behavioral Science Research 40: 29: 1450:"University celebrates the class of 2024" 1277: 1245:Todd, Peter M.; Gigerenzer, Gerd (2000). 1205: 1052:"Harding Center for Risk Literacy (Team)" 732:Bounded rationality: The adaptive toolbox 513:and has one daughter, Thalia Gigerenzer. 2473:Fellows of the Cognitive Science Society 1423:"Honorary Awards Faculty of Psychology" 1025: 675:Risk savvy: How to make good decisions. 833:198–218. doi:10.1177/2515245918771329 543:Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences 2337:New England Complex Systems Institute 1103:Perspectives on Psychological Science 551:American Academy of Arts and Sciences 547:German Academy of Sciences Leopoldina 7: 2322:Human Behavior and Evolution Society 1249:Simple heuristics that make us smart 1240: 1238: 1194:European Review of Social Psychology 744:Simple heuristics that make us smart 251:(born 3 September 1947) is a German 2317:Center for Evolutionary Psychology 1352:www.deutscher-psychologie-preis.de 824:303–336. doi:10.1561/105.00000092 822:Review of Behavioral Economics, 5, 815:1041–1070. doi:10.1037/xge0000979 804:Journal of Economic Literature, 60 612:How to stay smart in a smart world 25: 2518:21st-century German psychologists 1402:GDI Gottlieb Duttweiler Institute 768:Cognition as intuitive statistics 2428: 2415: 2403: 2402: 2382:Evolutionary Behavioral Sciences 2368:The Evolution of Human Sexuality 1609:Harding Center for Risk Literacy 1562: 1550: 1522: 1115:10.1111/j.1745-6916.2008.00058.x 876:Annual Review of Psychology, 62. 851:179–196. doi:10.1037/rev0000055 587:Elgar Companion to Herbert Simon 185:Harding Center for Risk Literacy 921:Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, 894:Topics in Cognitive Science, 1, 885:Topics in Cognitive Science, 2, 653: Oxford University Press. 521:Gigerenzer is recipient of the 2508:Max Planck Institute directors 2503:University of Virginia faculty 1398:"A global thought leaders map" 1279:11858/00-001M-0000-0025-999B-B 869:316–338. doi:10.1037/a0022684 797:275–280. doi:10.1002/pchj.533 601:The intelligence of intuition. 555:American Philosophical Society 1: 2498:University of Chicago faculty 2488:People from Dingolfing-Landau 2375:Evolution, Mind and Behaviour 1258:Behavioral and Brain Sciences 27:German cognitive psychologist 2361:Evolution and Human Behavior 1169:"Classification in the Wild" 779:Journal articles (selection) 760:Cambridge University Press. 604:Cambridge University Press. 2436:Evolutionary biology portal 981:Frequency format hypothesis 637:Classification in the wild. 255:who has studied the use of 2534: 1655:Evolutionary psychologists 867:Psychological Review, 118, 849:Psychological Review, 124, 386:Classification in the Wild 2513:Max Planck Society people 2398: 2263:Literary theorists / 1661: 1270:10.1017/s0140525x00003447 1216:10.1080/14792779143000033 748:Oxford University Press. 700:Oxford University Press. 689:Oxford University Press. 218: 149: 39: 991:Great Rationality Debate 938:TEDx Talk: Risk literacy 399:A critic of the work of 2483:Cognitive psychologists 2410:Evolutionary psychology 2389:Evolutionary Psychology 1767:Mary Jane West-Eberhard 1665:Evolutionary psychology 1618:German National Library 1228:Gigerenzer and Selten: 717:Gigerenzer, G. (2002). 705:Gigerenzer, G. (2007). 694:Gigerenzer, G. (2008). 672:Gigerenzer, G. (2014). 647:Gigerenzer, G. (2015). 609:Gigerenzer, G. (2022). 598:Gigerenzer, G. (2023). 470:Intellectual background 382:signal-detection theory 370:take-the-best heuristic 364:he first theorized the 137:German Psychology Prize 2006:Aurelio JosĂ© Figueredo 1555:Quotations related to 1149:www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de 1038:www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de 1006:Ecological rationality 966:Bias–variance tradeoff 724:Simon & Schuster. 350:University of Virginia 342:University of Salzburg 338:University of Konstanz 308:Gigerenzer received a 46:Gerd Gigerenzer (2014) 2249:Dominic D. P. Johnson 1883:Pierre van den Berghe 1454:www.southampton.ac.uk 449:have problems making 434:recognition heuristic 390:Fast-And-Frugal trees 378:Fast-And-Frugal trees 374:Fast-And-Frugal trees 366:recognition heuristic 346:University of Chicago 289:ecologically rational 187:(Director since 2008) 182:(Director since 1997) 2468:German psychologists 1894:cognitive scientists 1892:Psychologists / 1571:at Wikimedia Commons 1499:search.amphilsoc.org 1495:"APS Member History" 423:The adaptive toolbox 322:University of Munich 314:doctor of philosophy 84:University of Munich 2229:Christopher Badcock 2151:Todd K. Shackelford 1428:University of Basel 1001:Bounded rationality 976:Conjunction fallacy 535:University of Basel 463:natural frequencies 459:natural frequencies 451:Bayesian inferences 409:conjunction fallacy 340:in 1984 and to the 257:bounded rationality 2086:Michael T. McGuire 2066:Douglas T. Kenrick 2051:Judith Rich Harris 1966:Donald T. Campbell 1926:David F. Bjorklund 1782:David Sloan Wilson 1777:George C. Williams 1742:Giacomo Rizzolatti 1592:2008-03-27 at the 1580:2004-08-07 at the 1145:"Curriculum Vitae" 1011:Social rationality 912:Risk Analysis, 26, 795:PsyCH Journal, 11, 509:, director at the 446:risk communication 440:Risk communication 430:recognition memory 2445: 2444: 2423:Psychology portal 2307:Research centers/ 2222:social scientists 2186:Michael Tomasello 2106:Randolph M. Nesse 1911:Justin L. Barrett 1906:Simon Baron-Cohen 1813:Christopher Boehm 1567:Media related to 1034:"Gerd Gigerenzer" 566:Books (selection) 505:He is married to 455:base-rate fallacy 413:base rate fallacy 384:. The short book 246: 245: 209:Doctoral students 188: 183: 151:Scientific career 145: 140: 135: 122:Thalia Gigerenzer 96: 62:September 3, 1947 16:(Redirected from 2525: 2432: 2419: 2406: 2405: 2354:The Adapted Mind 2141:David P. Schmitt 2101:Katherine Nelson 2081:Brian MacWhinney 2021:Gordon G. Gallup 2011:Diana Fleischman 1971:Peter Carruthers 1828:Napoleon Chagnon 1808:Jerome H. Barkow 1792:Richard Wrangham 1772:Wolfgang Wickler 1757:Carel van Schaik 1648: 1641: 1634: 1625: 1566: 1554: 1526: 1525: 1509: 1508: 1506: 1505: 1491: 1485: 1484: 1482: 1481: 1470: 1464: 1463: 1461: 1460: 1446: 1440: 1439: 1437: 1435: 1419: 1413: 1412: 1410: 1409: 1394: 1388: 1387: 1385: 1383: 1369: 1363: 1362: 1360: 1358: 1344: 1338: 1337: 1335: 1333: 1323: 1317: 1311: 1306: 1300: 1299: 1281: 1255: 1242: 1233: 1226: 1220: 1219: 1209: 1189: 1183: 1182: 1180: 1179: 1165: 1159: 1158: 1156: 1155: 1141: 1135: 1134: 1098: 1092: 1091: 1089: 1088: 1073: 1067: 1066: 1064: 1063: 1054:. Archived from 1048: 1042: 1041: 1030: 362:Daniel Goldstein 285:adaptive toolbox 242: 240:/gerd-gigerenzer 239: 237: 235: 233: 231: 229: 213:Daniel Goldstein 204: 186: 181: 143: 138: 133: 104:Adaptive toolbox 86: 65: 61: 59: 44: 30: 21: 2533: 2532: 2528: 2527: 2526: 2524: 2523: 2522: 2448: 2447: 2446: 2441: 2394: 2341: 2308: 2301: 2264: 2258: 2221: 2215: 2176:Anthony Stevens 2161:Irwin Silverman 2091:Geoffrey Miller 2056:Martie Haselton 2031:Gerd Gigerenzer 1946:Joseph Bulbulia 1893: 1887: 1868:Stephen Shennan 1823:Donald E. Brown 1801:Anthropologists 1796: 1747:Randy Thornhill 1737:Peter Richerson 1717:Peter Kropotkin 1697:Richard Dawkins 1675:neuroscientists 1674: 1668: 1657: 1652: 1614:Gerd Gigerenzer 1594:Wayback Machine 1582:Wayback Machine 1569:Gerd Gigerenzer 1557:Gerd Gigerenzer 1547: 1546: 1545: 1540:Gerd Gigerenzer 1527: 1523: 1518: 1513: 1512: 1503: 1501: 1493: 1492: 1488: 1479: 1477: 1472: 1471: 1467: 1458: 1456: 1448: 1447: 1443: 1433: 1431: 1421: 1420: 1416: 1407: 1405: 1396: 1395: 1391: 1381: 1379: 1371: 1370: 1366: 1356: 1354: 1346: 1345: 1341: 1331: 1329: 1325: 1324: 1320: 1309: 1307: 1303: 1253: 1244: 1243: 1236: 1227: 1223: 1207:10.1.1.336.9826 1191: 1190: 1186: 1177: 1175: 1167: 1166: 1162: 1153: 1151: 1143: 1142: 1138: 1100: 1099: 1095: 1086: 1084: 1075: 1074: 1070: 1061: 1059: 1050: 1049: 1045: 1032: 1031: 1027: 1022: 1017: 961: 934: 781: 667:Campus Verlag. 627:Campus Verlag. 568: 563: 528:Gerd Gigerenzer 519: 507:Lorraine Daston 496: 472: 442: 425: 401:Daniel Kahneman 358: 334: 332:Academic career 306: 301: 265:decision making 249:Gerd Gigerenzer 226: 202: 184: 169:Decision theory 167: 163: 141: 136: 113:Lorraine Daston 80:Alma mater 75: 66: 63: 57: 55: 47: 35: 34:Gerd Gigerenzer 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 2531: 2529: 2521: 2520: 2515: 2510: 2505: 2500: 2495: 2490: 2485: 2480: 2475: 2470: 2465: 2460: 2450: 2449: 2443: 2442: 2440: 2439: 2426: 2413: 2399: 2396: 2395: 2393: 2392: 2385: 2378: 2371: 2364: 2357: 2349: 2347: 2343: 2342: 2340: 2339: 2334: 2329: 2324: 2319: 2313: 2311: 2303: 2302: 2300: 2299: 2294: 2289: 2284: 2282:Daniel Dennett 2279: 2277:Joseph Carroll 2274: 2268: 2266: 2260: 2259: 2257: 2256: 2251: 2246: 2244:Herbert Gintis 2241: 2236: 2231: 2225: 2223: 2217: 2216: 2214: 2213: 2208: 2203: 2198: 2193: 2188: 2183: 2181:Frank Sulloway 2178: 2173: 2168: 2166:Peter K. 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O. Wilson 1673:Biologists / 1663: 1599:Edge.org bio 1559:at Wikiquote 1538: 1537: 1536:profile for 1533: 1502:. Retrieved 1498: 1489: 1478:. Retrieved 1476:. 2024-07-18 1468: 1457:. Retrieved 1453: 1444: 1432:. Retrieved 1426: 1417: 1406:. Retrieved 1404:. 2011-12-31 1401: 1392: 1380:. Retrieved 1376: 1367: 1355:. Retrieved 1351: 1342: 1330:. Retrieved 1321: 1304: 1261: 1257: 1248: 1229: 1224: 1197: 1193: 1187: 1176:. Retrieved 1172: 1163: 1152:. Retrieved 1148: 1139: 1109:(1): 20–29. 1106: 1102: 1096: 1085:. Retrieved 1083:. 2024-01-24 1080: 1071: 1060:. 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Index

Gigerenzer

Wallersdorf
Germany
University of Munich
MA
PhD
Lorraine Daston
AAAS Prize for Behavioral Science Research
Risk
Psychology
Decision theory
Max Planck Institute for Human Development
Thesis
Daniel Goldstein
www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de/en/staff/gerd-gigerenzer
psychologist
bounded rationality
heuristics
decision making
Max Planck Institute for Human Development
heuristics
rules of thumb
ecologically rational
master of arts
doctor of philosophy
psychology
University of Munich
habilitation
University of Konstanz

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