Knowledge

Compellence

Source đź“ť

434:, along with the UN Security Council, used the variant 'ultimatum' by setting a deadline of January 15, 1991, for the withdrawal of Iraqi troops from Kuwait. When this deadline came and passed, without Saddam Hussein's compliance, Operation Desert Storm commenced and military force was used to remove Iraq's forces from Kuwait. Despite the massive build-up of U.S. forces along the Saudi Arabia/Kuwait border, economic sanctions, and a declared deadline for withdrawal, Saddam Hussein failed to remove his forces. In this instance, compellence failed, leading to the Gulf War, which concluded with the United States and coalition forces succeeding in removing Saddam Hussein's troops from Kuwait. Thus, when implementing compellence not only the benefits but also the aftermath must be considered. Especially in the 21st century, every nation is interdependent so other forces by state actors may affect a nation's diplomacy. 113:'Compellence', in contrast to 'deterrence', shifts the initiative for the first action to the coercer. While deterrence means waiting passively in hope of not seeing a response, compellence is active, thereby, "inducing his withdrawal, or his acquiescence, or his collaboration by an action that threatens to hurt". When differentiating between deterrence and compellence, deterrence can be described as "drawing a line in the sand" and acting only if the adversary crosses it; in contrast, compellence "requires that the punishment be administered until the other acts rather than if he acts" as in deterrence. "Coercion composed of both compellence and deterrence is about action and inaction." 129:. Unlike Schelling, George's theory of 'compellence' is different than Schelling's 'coercive warfare', in that he believed that compellence was "a subset of coercion and compellence". He viewed it as encompassing "defensive" compellent actions only: to force a target to stop or reverse action already taken, rather than an offensive goal of forcing them to do something ... Compellence essentially is the embodiment of a "carrot and stick" philosophy: motivation is used to induce a target to submit to your wishes, while appearing threatening at the same time". 244:
for compliance "is likely to be interpreted as evidence that the coercer lacks the will to implement the threat". Assurance against new demands must also be carried out for greater chance of success. Jakobsen points out that the incentive to comply with the coercer's demands will be significantly downgraded if the resisting actor fears compliance will merely invite more demands. The last requirement for successful coercion is the effective use of inducements, which are important facilitators used to give more credibility and assurance.
52:, which is a strategy aimed at maintaining the status quo (dissuading adversaries from undertaking an action), compellence entails efforts to change the status quo (persuading an opponent to change their behavior). Compellence has been characterized as harder to successfully implement than deterrence. Compellence can entail strategies to punish an adversary, raise the risk for an adversary, or deny the adversary from achieving their objectives. Successful instances of compellence in one case may have a deterrent effect on other states, 143:
government". When constructing a compellence strategy, policymakers must consider certain variables or "empty boxes" that must be filled. They must decide "what to demand of the opponent; whether and how to create a sense of urgency for compliance with demand; whether and what kind of punishment to threaten for noncompliance; and whether to rely solely on the threat of punishment or also to offer conditional inducements of a positive character to secure acceptance of the demand".
2766: 2778: 390:
conveying to Khrushchev the continued threat of a possible invasion of Cuba. As a result of Kennedy's successful use of compellence added to negotiated concessions, Khrushchev agreed to remove missiles in place and to discontinue the deployment of new missiles into Cuba while the U.S. agreed to remove its
171:'. An ultimatum itself has three distinct components: "a demand on the opponent; a time limit or sense of urgency for compliance with the demand; and a threat of punishment for noncompliance that is both credible to the opponent and sufficiently potent to impress upon him that compliance is preferable". 308:
Much of the scholarship on compellence focuses on the credibility of coercive threats as a key component of the success of compellence. According to Anne Sartori, states rarely seek to obtain goals through bluffing, because doing so undermines their reputation in future crises. Survey experiment data
243:
The first requirement in Jakobsen's 'ideal policy' is to make the threat so great that non-compliance will be too costly for the resisting actors. The second requirement demands that after maximizing the credibility of the threat, the coercer must set a specific deadline, as failure to set a deadline
336:
has argued that nuclear superiority enhances the probability of success in a bargaining dispute. Todd Sechser and Matthew Fuhrmann dispute that nuclear weapons have compellence utility, as they find no evidence in their dataset on compellent threats that nuclear weapons increase compellence success.
312:
Credibility (or reputation) refers to the degree to which an actor is expected to uphold their commitments based on past behavior. In terms of credible compellence, credibility entails that defiance will be met with punishment, and that compliance will be met with restraint. One of the main problems
142:
According to Alexander George, compellence seeks to achieve three objectives. First, it attempts to persuade an adversary to turn away from its goal. Second, it seeks to convince an adversary to reverse an action already taken. Third, it may persuade an adversary to make "fundamental changes in its
181:
Finally, the 'gradual turning of the screw' approach is similar to the 'try-and-see' method in that it makes a threat but then "relies the threat of a gradual, incremental increase of coercive pressure rather than threatening large escalation to strong, decisive military action if the opponent does
80:
define compellence as "getting the adversary to act a certain way via anything short of brute force; the adversary must still have the capacity of organized violence but choose not to exercise it". Coercion strategy "relies on the threat of future military force to influence an adversary's decision
213:
Intrawar compellence refers to compellence within the context of a war: a war has broken out but the actors are still seeking to coerce the adversary to take a certain action. According to Thomas Schelling, "War is always a bargaining process" where actors engage in threats and counter-threats, as
177:
The third variant of compellence, the 'try-and-see', addresses strictly the first component of the 'ultimatum' variant, "a demand on the opponent". There is no time limit set, no sense of urgency conveyed, instead the coercer makes a single threat or takes a single action "to persuade the opponent
437:
Some have suggested that the 2021–2022 Russo-Ukrainian crisis was an attempt at compellence, which resulted in the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine when Ukraine failed to accede to Russia's demands. The invasion was also widely regarded as a failure to achieve Putin's goals though many questions
389:
To intensify the compellence strategy, Kennedy shifted from the 'Try-and-See' approach to a hybrid of a virtual 'ultimatum' and a carrot-and-the stick approach. Kennedy addressed the sense of urgency about the growing hostile situation by standing firm and tightening the naval blockade as well as
109:
as it emerges beyond deterrence. According to Schelling, deterrence is merely a passive threat aimed at keeping an adversary from acting. It is only a threat. "Initiative is placed on the opponent to take the first action triggering a response from the coercer." Schelling believes that deterrence
385:
to persuade him that the U.S. was able and willing to use force if needed to remove this missile threat from Cuba. The blockade limited the showdown to Kennedy and Khrushchev rather than develop into all-out war. Because of Kennedy's tough naval blockade, Khrushchev "directed all Soviet vessels
320:
are effective in doing so. Other scholars dispute that audience costs enhance credibility. Military mobilizations during a crisis may bolster compellent threats, but scholars dispute whether it is because it "ties the hands of the leader" or because it alters the local military balance of power.
44:
Compellence can be more clearly described as "a political-diplomatic strategy that aims to influence an adversary's will or incentive structure. It is a strategy that combines threats of force, and, if necessary, the limited and selective use of force in discrete and controlled increments, in a
426:
placed economic sanctions by imposing an embargo on Iraq's imports and exports. This initial stage of the crisis was the United States' attempt to use the coercive diplomatic variant, 'Gradual Turning of the Screw' to apply pressure on Saddam Hussein to comply to the demands to leave Kuwait.
204:
Pape also added the strategy of decapitation, which typically entails targeting leaders. Alexander Downes and Kathryn McNabb Cochran distinguish between two punishment strategies: (i) Coercive victimization (which raises the costs of war for a government by targeting its civilians) and (ii)
380:
Instead of resorting to a strictly military strategy to forcibly remove the missiles, Kennedy decided to use compellence. He initiated this strategy by first using the 'Try-and-See' approach. The giant naval blockade, along with a massive buildup of U.S. military forces, was a message to
45:
bargaining strategy that includes positive inducements. The aim is to induce an adversary to comply with one's demands, or to negotiate the most favorable compromise possible, while simultaneously managing the crisis to prevent unwanted military escalation."
214:
well as proposals and counter-proposals. According to Schelling, the bargaining process appears most prominently in the context of "limited wars" where actors hold the full use of force in reserve so as to threaten the adversary to make concessions.
89:
it may lead to costs to the reputation of the coercing state. In general, threats are costly when they fail, not only in encouraging resistance in the target, but also in negatively influencing third parties observing the outcome."
337:
A 2023 study found that a state with nuclear weapons is less likely to be targeted by non-nuclear states, but that a state with nuclear weapons is not less likely to target other nuclear states in low-level conflict.
313:
in compellence is that it is hard to credibly signal that compliance will not lead to punishment. Scholars have argued that when great powers increase their power, their credibility to engage in restraint decreases.
1568: 309:
from Barbara Walter and Dustin Tingley confirm the findings of Sartori's study, as they find that people "invest more heavily in reputation building if they believe a game will be repeated many times."
1892: 350:
Scholars have found that compellence is less likely to be successful than deterrence. Studies have indicated that "punishment" strategies that target civilians tend to be ineffective.
422:, it did little to expel him from Kuwait. Initially, the Bush administration along with the United Nations issued sanctions to pressure Iraq to withdraw troops inside Kuwait. The 589: 942: 2120: 85:
emphasizes that compellence depends upon the credibility and the cost of the threat. "If a threat is not credible, it may fail to produce acceptance
2257: 361:
and avert possible warfare between the United States and the Soviet Union. When Kennedy learned of the Soviet Union's attempt to deploy forty-two
72:
Compellence typically entails efforts to change the decision calculus of an adversary by manipulating the costs and benefits of certain actions.
1875: 1793: 1766: 1551: 1178: 1089: 1062: 1014: 651: 542: 507: 303: 366: 226:
succinctly identifies the four key conditions the coercer must meet to maximize the chance of success to stop or undo acts of aggression:
1533: 990: 174:
The second variant of compellence, 'tacit ultimatum', is similar to 'ultimatum' except that it doesn't set forth an explicit time limit.
2072: 2040: 64: 34: 1221: 885: 38: 1399:"The Obama Administration and Syrian Chemical Weapons: Deterrence, Compellence, and the Limits of the "Resolve plus Bombs" Formula" 2722: 2153: 2026: 573: 2751: 586: 362: 1756: 1254: 723: 125:. Like Schelling before him, Alexander George worked to create a diplomatic strategy of coercion; his was the theory of 455:- the domestic equivalent of compellence directed against citizens rather than states or non-governmental organizations 2804: 2310: 1783: 418:; though the use of deterrence effectively convinced the Iraqi president that he could not invade further south into 110:
does not present "a comprehensive picture of coercion, leading Schelling to introduce the concept of compellence".
2809: 2739: 780: 993:,” in Civilians and Warfare in History, ed. Nicola Foote and Nadya Williams (Abingdon: Routledge, 2018), 288-312. 2729: 2374: 2115: 920: 2482: 2246: 2193: 2177: 2166: 2132: 2065: 332:
Scholars have debated whether nuclear weapons provide states with an advantage in compelling other states.
2577: 1004: 2214: 936:"Building a Psychological Strategy for the U.S.: Leveraging the Informational Element of National Power" 2781: 2663: 2547: 2537: 2432: 2346: 2251: 991:
It’s a Crime, but Is It a Blunder? Investigating the Military Effectiveness of Civilian Victimization
452: 358: 122: 55:
whereas a reputation for a lack of resolve may undermine general deterrence and future compellence.
2638: 2598: 2542: 2512: 2487: 2477: 2452: 2422: 2303: 2268: 2263: 2127: 423: 357:
used compellence successfully in 1962 when he was able to bring about a peaceful resolution to the
118: 114: 2769: 2696: 2658: 2653: 2633: 2628: 2623: 2608: 2572: 2467: 2442: 2437: 2381: 2298: 2278: 2058: 1920: 1846: 1838: 1698: 1651: 1643: 1596: 1514: 1506: 1379: 1329: 1282: 1235: 1227: 1184: 1149: 1141: 751: 704: 657: 513: 2273: 2701: 2669: 2603: 2567: 2562: 2557: 2507: 2497: 2492: 2457: 2447: 2401: 2386: 2209: 1990: 1912: 1871: 1830: 1789: 1762: 1737: 1690: 1635: 1588: 1547: 1498: 1459: 1420: 1371: 1321: 1274: 1217: 1174: 1133: 1085: 1058: 1010: 881: 840: 799: 743: 696: 647: 566: 538: 503: 447: 431: 382: 248: 49: 230:
A threat of force to defeat the opponent or deny him his objectives quickly with little cost.
2734: 2618: 2552: 2472: 2462: 2417: 2396: 2369: 2361: 1982: 1951: 1904: 1822: 1729: 1682: 1627: 1580: 1539: 1490: 1451: 1410: 1363: 1313: 1266: 1209: 1125: 830: 789: 735: 688: 495: 324:
Some scholars question whether credibility or reputation matters in international disputes.
102: 677:"Cautious Bully: Reputation, Resolve, and Beijing's Use of Coercion in the South China Sea" 190:
Thomas Schelling and Robert Pape distinguished between coercive strategies that sought to:
146:
Alexander George developed a framework in which a number of "variants" or methods of using
2717: 2648: 2522: 2326: 2172: 593: 354: 333: 37:
that attempts to get an actor (such as a state) to change its behavior through threats to
2643: 2613: 2502: 2351: 1538:. Cambridge Studies in International Relations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 1351: 407: 391: 374: 150:
could be deployed to achieve these objectives. These variants include the following:
77: 2798: 2527: 2517: 2226: 2221: 1924: 1850: 1702: 1655: 1600: 1383: 1333: 1317: 1239: 755: 708: 562: 317: 1811:"Nuclear Superiority and the Balance of Resolve: Explaining Nuclear Crisis Outcomes" 1518: 1440:"Gulliver Unleashed? International Order, Restraint, and The Case of Ancient Athens" 1286: 1153: 661: 641: 377:
and threatened an invasion of Cuba with force to remove the missiles already there.
117:, a scholar of international relations and former professor of political science at 1301: 1188: 1168: 419: 73: 2007:
Coercive Diplomacy in the 21st Century: A New Framework for the "Carrot and Stick"
1415: 1398: 859:
The Dynamics of Coercion: American Foreign Policy and the Limits of Military Might
386:
carrying missiles and other military equipment to Cuba to immediately turn back".
17: 1865: 1079: 1052: 875: 532: 2746: 2593: 1670: 935: 908: 2675: 2237: 2148: 1986: 1908: 1826: 1686: 1631: 1584: 1270: 1255:"The Effect of Repeated Play on Reputation Building: An Experimental Approach" 1129: 794: 775: 739: 82: 1994: 1916: 1834: 1741: 1694: 1639: 1592: 1543: 1502: 1463: 1424: 1375: 1325: 1278: 1137: 844: 803: 747: 700: 2691: 2356: 2081: 1970: 168: 1479:"Domestic Political Audiences and the Escalation of International Disputes" 1231: 1203: 517: 489: 2050: 1955: 1733: 1455: 776:"Revisiting Reputation: How Past Actions Matter in International Politics" 587:"Deterrence and Coercive Diplomacy: The Contributions of Alexander George" 222:
Among the numerous theories on compellence, Peter Viggo Jakobsen's (1998)
2391: 2085: 1971:"Strategies of coercion: Denial, punishment, and the future of air power" 1717: 819:"Sending a Message: The Reputation Effect of US Sanction Threat Behavior" 692: 403: 1842: 1810: 1647: 1615: 1213: 1145: 1113: 499: 1938:
Lee, Kyung Suk; Kim, James D.; Jin, Hwalmin; Fuhrmann, Matthew (2023).
1510: 1478: 835: 818: 676: 205:
Eliminationist victimization (which removes civilians from territory).
1939: 1439: 268:
According to Robert Art, the perquisites for compellence success are:
2532: 2158: 411: 1494: 1367: 921:"Alexander George, 'giant' in international relations, dead at 86" 1569:"Winners or Losers? Democracies in International Crisis, 1918–94" 975:
Forceful Persuasion: Coercive Diplomacy as an Alternative to War.
415: 370: 316:
To enhance the credibility of threats, some scholars argue that
167:
The first variant of the 'compellence' strategy is the classic '
2054: 2027:"Is Russia's Invasion a Case of Coercive Diplomacy Gone Wrong?" 977:
Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press. 1991
197:
Risk: Raise the probability of future costs for the adversary
97:
is differentiated from compellence. In his influential work,
1758:
Calculating Credibility: How Leaders Assess Military Threats
1397:
Bowen, Wyn; Knopf, Jeffrey W.; Moran, Matthew (2020-10-19).
1081:
Calculating Credibility: How Leaders Assess Military Threats
200:
Deny: Prevent the adversary from obtaining their objectives.
1350:
Cebul, Matthew D.; Dafoe, Allan; Monteiro, Nuno P. (2020).
1302:"Rationalist and Constructivist Perspectives on Reputation" 615:, 2nd Rev. ed. Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, Inc. 1994 534:
The Use of Force: Military Power and International Politics
81:
making but may also include limited uses of actual force".
1718:"Hand-Tying through Military Signals in Crisis Bargaining" 394:
stationed in Turkey and to call off any invasion of Cuba.
1054:
Between Peace and War: The Nature of International Crisis
909:"The Use of Pauses in Coercion: An Explanation in Theory" 1114:"Goliath's Curse: Coercive Threats and Asymmetric Power" 287:
Creation of a sense of urgency in the other state's mind
2041:"Putin's Strategic Failure and the Risk of Escalation" 537:. Rowman & Littlefield Publishers. pp. 3–5. 236:
An assurance to the adversary against future demands.
258:
A communication of that commitment to the other side
2710: 2684: 2586: 2410: 2339: 2319: 2291: 2235: 2202: 2186: 2141: 2108: 2099: 2092: 1567:Gelpi, Christopher F.; Griesdorf, Michael (2001). 724:"The Secret Success of Nonproliferation Sanctions" 67:. Some scholars conflate coercion and compellence. 1940:"Nuclear Weapons and Low-Level Military Conflict" 1671:"The Cost of Empty Threats: A Penny, Not a Pound" 989:Alexander B. Downes and Kathryn McNabb Cochran, “ 1614:Downes, Alexander B.; Sechser, Todd S. (2012). 1253:Tingley, Dustin H.; Walter, Barbara F. (2011). 969: 967: 965: 963: 961: 959: 957: 955: 290:Making the target fear unacceptable escalation 2066: 1034:Jakobsen, P.V. (2007). "Coercive Diplomacy", 643:Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War 607: 605: 603: 601: 8: 1891:Sechser, Todd S.; Fuhrmann, Matthew (2013). 1864:Sechser, Todd S.; Fuhrmann, Matthew (2017). 1352:"Coercion and the Credibility of Assurances" 531:Art, Robert J.; Greenhill, Kelly M. (2015). 178:before threatening or taking another step". 1030: 1028: 1026: 861:New York. Cambridge University Press. 2002. 2105: 2096: 2073: 2059: 2051: 903: 901: 899: 897: 774:Weisiger, Alex; Yarhi-Milo, Keren (2015). 1893:"Crisis Bargaining and Nuclear Blackmail" 1716:Post, Abigail S; Sechser, Todd S (2024). 1669:Snyder, Jack; Borghard, Erica D. (2011). 1414: 834: 793: 194:Punish: Raise the costs for the adversary 1616:"The Illusion of Democratic Credibility" 646:(1 ed.). Cornell University Press. 571:The United States and Coercive Diplomacy 261:The capability to back up the commitment 880:. New York: PublicAffairs. p. 45. 869: 867: 465: 239:An offer of inducements for compliance. 1867:Nuclear Weapons and Coercive Diplomacy 948:from the original on November 2, 2009. 611:George, Alexander and William Simons. 574:United States Institute of Peace Press 558: 556: 554: 2258:Conseiller chargĂ© des investissements 1785:Reputation and International Politics 1483:The American Political Science Review 1345: 1343: 1170:Reputation And International Politics 1107: 1105: 1103: 1101: 1046: 1044: 985: 983: 414:and move his military forces back to 367:intermediate-range ballistic missiles 304:Credibility (international relations) 7: 2777: 2016:Coercive Diplomacy: Scope and Limits 1038:, (Oxford: Oxford University Press). 769: 767: 765: 635: 633: 631: 629: 627: 625: 623: 621: 483: 481: 479: 477: 475: 473: 471: 469: 438:remain as to what those goals were. 41:or the actual use of limited force. 1057:. Johns Hopkins University Press. 857:Byman, Daniel and Matthew Waxman. 278:Domestic and international support 264:The will to back up the commitment 25: 1675:American Political Science Review 1573:American Political Science Review 406:, compellence failed to persuade 2776: 2765: 2764: 1535:Democracy and Coercive Diplomacy 1318:10.1111/j.1467-9248.2007.00643.x 613:The Limits of Coercive Diplomacy 121:, was a pioneer in the field of 105:puts forth a general concept of 2752:Xi Jinping Thought on Diplomacy 1944:International Studies Quarterly 1722:International Studies Quarterly 1444:International Studies Quarterly 823:International Studies Quarterly 1870:. Cambridge University Press. 1208:. Princeton University Press. 1: 1416:10.1080/09636412.2020.1859130 1078:Press, Daryl Grayson (2005). 1036:Contemporary Security Studies 1003:Schelling, Thomas C. (1966). 817:Peterson, Timothy M. (2013). 488:Schelling, Thomas C. (1966). 251:, a credible threat entails: 2747:Twin towns and sister cities 1969:Mueller, Karl (1998-03-01). 1788:. Cornell University Press. 1761:. Cornell University Press. 1532:Schultz, Kenneth A. (2001). 1173:. Cornell University Press. 1084:. Cornell University Press. 722:Miller, Nicholas L. (2014). 163:Gradual turning of the screw 1051:Lebow, Richard Ned (1981). 63:Compellence is one form of 2826: 2740:Plenipotentiary Conference 1897:International Organization 1815:International Organization 1620:International Organization 1259:International Organization 1118:International Organization 781:International Organization 728:International Organization 301: 233:A deadline for compliance. 133:Types of coercive strategy 2760: 1987:10.1080/09636419808429354 1909:10.1017/S0020818312000392 1827:10.1017/S0020818312000367 1809:Kroenig, Matthew (2013). 1782:Mercer, Jonathan (2010). 1687:10.1017/s000305541100027x 1632:10.1017/S0020818312000161 1585:10.1017/S0003055401003148 1477:Fearon, James D. (1994). 1271:10.1017/S0020818311000026 1167:Mercer, Jonathan (1996). 1130:10.1017/S0020818310000214 1112:Sechser, Todd S. (2010). 1009:. Yale University Press. 795:10.1017/S0020818314000393 740:10.1017/S0020818314000216 494:. Yale University Press. 2730:Parliamentary delegation 2609:Diplomatic accreditation 2375:African Diplomatic Corps 2116:Permanent representative 1755:Press, Daryl G. (2007). 1544:10.1017/cbo9780511491658 640:Pape, Robert A. (1996). 218:Requirements for success 138:Alexander George's types 2178:Deputy chief of mission 2133:Resident representative 1356:The Journal of Politics 1300:Sharman, J. C. (2007). 1205:Deterrence by Diplomacy 874:Nye, Joseph S. (2011). 293:Asymmetry in motivation 255:A formulated commitment 2624:Diplomatic credentials 1202:Sartori, Anne (2005). 907:Major Lisa A. Nemeth. 681:International Security 675:Zhang, Ketian (2019). 284:Clearly stated demands 48:As distinguished from 2215:Resident commissioner 2187:Bilateral-subnational 576:, Washington, DC 2003 137: 2347:Apostolic nunciature 2247:Agricultural attachĂ© 1450:(sqab061): 582–593. 1438:Reiter, Dan (2021). 693:10.1162/isec_a_00354 662:10.7591/j.ctt1287f6v 453:Monopoly on violence 359:Cuban Missile Crisis 209:Intrawar compellence 123:political psychology 2639:Diplomatic immunity 2599:Consular assistance 2128:Ambassador-at-large 1956:10.1093/isq/sqac067 1734:10.1093/isq/sqae028 1456:10.1093/isq/sqab061 1214:10.2307/j.ctt4cgcgz 1189:10.7591/j.ctv5rf1n9 973:George, Alexander. 934:Stephen M. Tanous. 877:The Future of Power 500:10.2307/j.ctt5vm52s 432:Bush administration 424:UN Security Council 402:During the 1990–91 373:, he established a 119:Stanford University 115:Alexander L. George 2805:Types of diplomacy 2697:Letter of credence 2659:Diplomatic uniform 2654:Diplomatic service 2634:Diplomatic illness 2629:Diplomatic history 2382:Diplomatic mission 2299:Diplomatic courier 2279:Trade commissioner 2142:Bilateral-national 1006:Arms and Influence 836:10.1111/isqu.12017 592:2011-07-20 at the 491:Arms and Influence 99:Arms and Influence 18:Coercive diplomacy 2810:Monetary hegemony 2792: 2791: 2702:Letter of protest 2670:Persona non grata 2604:Consular immunity 2402:Exclusive mandate 2335: 2334: 2287: 2286: 2252:ChargĂ© de mission 2203:Bilateral-insular 2167:ChargĂ© d'affaires 2154:High commissioner 1877:978-1-107-10694-9 1795:978-0-8014-7489-7 1768:978-0-8014-7415-6 1553:978-0-521-79227-1 1306:Political Studies 1180:978-0-8014-3055-8 1091:978-0-8014-4343-5 1064:978-0-8018-2311-4 1016:978-0-300-25348-1 653:978-0-8014-3134-0 567:Patrick M. Cronin 544:978-1-4422-3306-5 509:978-0-300-00221-8 448:Gunboat diplomacy 383:Nikita Khrushchev 281:Strong leadership 275:Strong motivation 249:Richard Ned Lebow 50:deterrence theory 16:(Redirected from 2817: 2780: 2779: 2768: 2767: 2619:Diplomatic cable 2397:Protecting power 2370:Diplomatic corps 2311:Foreign minister 2304:King's Messenger 2269:Military attachĂ© 2264:Cultural attachĂ© 2106: 2097: 2075: 2068: 2061: 2052: 2045: 2044: 2037: 2031: 2030: 2029:. 31 March 2022. 2023: 2017: 2014: 2008: 2005: 1999: 1998: 1975:Security Studies 1966: 1960: 1959: 1935: 1929: 1928: 1888: 1882: 1881: 1861: 1855: 1854: 1806: 1800: 1799: 1779: 1773: 1772: 1752: 1746: 1745: 1713: 1707: 1706: 1666: 1660: 1659: 1611: 1605: 1604: 1564: 1558: 1557: 1529: 1523: 1522: 1474: 1468: 1467: 1435: 1429: 1428: 1418: 1403:Security Studies 1394: 1388: 1387: 1347: 1338: 1337: 1297: 1291: 1290: 1250: 1244: 1243: 1199: 1193: 1192: 1164: 1158: 1157: 1109: 1096: 1095: 1075: 1069: 1068: 1048: 1039: 1032: 1021: 1020: 1000: 994: 987: 978: 971: 950: 949: 947: 940: 931: 925: 924: 917: 911: 905: 892: 891: 871: 862: 855: 849: 848: 838: 814: 808: 807: 797: 771: 760: 759: 719: 713: 712: 672: 666: 665: 637: 616: 609: 596: 583: 577: 560: 549: 548: 528: 522: 521: 485: 392:Jupiter missiles 365:and twenty-four 272:Clear objectives 103:Thomas Schelling 27:Form of coercion 21: 2825: 2824: 2820: 2819: 2818: 2816: 2815: 2814: 2795: 2794: 2793: 2788: 2756: 2718:Development aid 2706: 2680: 2649:Diplomatic rank 2582: 2406: 2387:High commission 2331: 2327:Diplomatic rank 2315: 2283: 2274:Science attachĂ© 2231: 2198: 2182: 2173:Head of mission 2137: 2101: 2088: 2079: 2049: 2048: 2039: 2038: 2034: 2025: 2024: 2020: 2015: 2011: 2006: 2002: 1968: 1967: 1963: 1937: 1936: 1932: 1890: 1889: 1885: 1878: 1863: 1862: 1858: 1808: 1807: 1803: 1796: 1781: 1780: 1776: 1769: 1754: 1753: 1749: 1715: 1714: 1710: 1668: 1667: 1663: 1613: 1612: 1608: 1566: 1565: 1561: 1554: 1531: 1530: 1526: 1495:10.2307/2944796 1476: 1475: 1471: 1437: 1436: 1432: 1396: 1395: 1391: 1349: 1348: 1341: 1299: 1298: 1294: 1252: 1251: 1247: 1224: 1201: 1200: 1196: 1181: 1166: 1165: 1161: 1111: 1110: 1099: 1092: 1077: 1076: 1072: 1065: 1050: 1049: 1042: 1033: 1024: 1017: 1002: 1001: 997: 988: 981: 972: 953: 945: 938: 933: 932: 928: 919: 918: 914: 906: 895: 888: 873: 872: 865: 856: 852: 816: 815: 811: 773: 772: 763: 721: 720: 716: 674: 673: 669: 654: 639: 638: 619: 610: 599: 594:Wayback Machine 584: 580: 561: 552: 545: 530: 529: 525: 510: 487: 486: 467: 462: 444: 400: 355:John F. Kennedy 348: 343: 334:Matthew Kroenig 330: 328:Nuclear weapons 306: 300: 220: 211: 188: 157:Tacit ultimatum 140: 135: 107:coercion theory 61: 28: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 2823: 2821: 2813: 2812: 2807: 2797: 2796: 2790: 2789: 2787: 2786: 2774: 2761: 2758: 2757: 2755: 2754: 2749: 2744: 2743: 2742: 2732: 2727: 2726: 2725: 2714: 2712: 2708: 2707: 2705: 2704: 2699: 2694: 2688: 2686: 2682: 2681: 2679: 2678: 2673: 2666: 2661: 2656: 2651: 2646: 2644:Diplomatic law 2641: 2636: 2631: 2626: 2621: 2616: 2614:Diplomatic bag 2611: 2606: 2601: 2596: 2590: 2588: 2584: 2583: 2581: 2580: 2575: 2570: 2565: 2560: 2555: 2550: 2545: 2540: 2535: 2530: 2525: 2520: 2515: 2510: 2505: 2500: 2495: 2490: 2485: 2480: 2475: 2470: 2465: 2460: 2455: 2450: 2445: 2440: 2435: 2430: 2425: 2420: 2414: 2412: 2408: 2407: 2405: 2404: 2399: 2394: 2389: 2384: 2379: 2378: 2377: 2367: 2359: 2354: 2352:Consular corps 2349: 2343: 2341: 2337: 2336: 2333: 2332: 2330: 2329: 2323: 2321: 2320:Classification 2317: 2316: 2314: 2313: 2308: 2307: 2306: 2295: 2293: 2289: 2288: 2285: 2284: 2282: 2281: 2276: 2271: 2266: 2261: 2254: 2249: 2243: 2241: 2236:By portfolio ( 2233: 2232: 2230: 2229: 2224: 2219: 2218: 2217: 2206: 2204: 2200: 2199: 2197: 2196: 2190: 2188: 2184: 2183: 2181: 2180: 2175: 2170: 2163: 2162: 2161: 2156: 2145: 2143: 2139: 2138: 2136: 2135: 2130: 2125: 2124: 2123: 2121:United Nations 2112: 2110: 2103: 2094: 2090: 2089: 2080: 2078: 2077: 2070: 2063: 2055: 2047: 2046: 2032: 2018: 2009: 2000: 1981:(3): 182–228. 1961: 1930: 1903:(1): 173–195. 1883: 1876: 1856: 1821:(1): 141–171. 1801: 1794: 1774: 1767: 1747: 1708: 1681:(3): 437–456. 1661: 1626:(3): 457–489. 1606: 1579:(3): 633–647. 1559: 1552: 1524: 1489:(3): 577–592. 1469: 1430: 1409:(5): 797–831. 1389: 1368:10.1086/711132 1362:(3): 975–991. 1339: 1292: 1265:(2): 343–365. 1245: 1222: 1194: 1179: 1159: 1124:(4): 627–660. 1097: 1090: 1070: 1063: 1040: 1022: 1015: 995: 979: 951: 926: 912: 893: 886: 863: 850: 829:(4): 672–682. 809: 788:(2): 473–495. 761: 734:(4): 913–944. 714: 687:(1): 117–159. 667: 652: 617: 597: 585:Jack S. Levy. 578: 550: 543: 523: 508: 464: 463: 461: 458: 457: 456: 450: 443: 440: 408:Saddam Hussein 399: 396: 375:naval blockade 347: 344: 342: 339: 329: 326: 318:audience costs 302:Main article: 299: 296: 295: 294: 291: 288: 285: 282: 279: 276: 273: 266: 265: 262: 259: 256: 241: 240: 237: 234: 231: 219: 216: 210: 207: 202: 201: 198: 195: 187: 184: 165: 164: 161: 158: 155: 139: 136: 134: 131: 78:Matthew Waxman 60: 57: 26: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2822: 2811: 2808: 2806: 2803: 2802: 2800: 2785: 2784: 2775: 2773: 2772: 2763: 2762: 2759: 2753: 2750: 2748: 2745: 2741: 2738: 2737: 2736: 2733: 2731: 2728: 2724: 2721: 2720: 2719: 2716: 2715: 2713: 2709: 2703: 2700: 2698: 2695: 2693: 2690: 2689: 2687: 2683: 2677: 2674: 2672: 2671: 2667: 2665: 2662: 2660: 2657: 2655: 2652: 2650: 2647: 2645: 2642: 2640: 2637: 2635: 2632: 2630: 2627: 2625: 2622: 2620: 2617: 2615: 2612: 2610: 2607: 2605: 2602: 2600: 2597: 2595: 2592: 2591: 2589: 2585: 2579: 2576: 2574: 2571: 2569: 2566: 2564: 2561: 2559: 2556: 2554: 2551: 2549: 2546: 2544: 2541: 2539: 2536: 2534: 2531: 2529: 2528:Paradiplomacy 2526: 2524: 2521: 2519: 2516: 2514: 2511: 2509: 2506: 2504: 2501: 2499: 2496: 2494: 2491: 2489: 2486: 2484: 2483:Full-spectrum 2481: 2479: 2476: 2474: 2471: 2469: 2466: 2464: 2461: 2459: 2456: 2454: 2451: 2449: 2446: 2444: 2441: 2439: 2436: 2434: 2431: 2429: 2426: 2424: 2421: 2419: 2416: 2415: 2413: 2409: 2403: 2400: 2398: 2395: 2393: 2390: 2388: 2385: 2383: 2380: 2376: 2373: 2372: 2371: 2368: 2366: 2364: 2360: 2358: 2355: 2353: 2350: 2348: 2345: 2344: 2342: 2338: 2328: 2325: 2324: 2322: 2318: 2312: 2309: 2305: 2302: 2301: 2300: 2297: 2296: 2294: 2290: 2280: 2277: 2275: 2272: 2270: 2267: 2265: 2262: 2260: 2259: 2255: 2253: 2250: 2248: 2245: 2244: 2242: 2239: 2234: 2228: 2227:Agent-general 2225: 2223: 2220: 2216: 2213: 2212: 2211: 2208: 2207: 2205: 2201: 2195: 2192: 2191: 2189: 2185: 2179: 2176: 2174: 2171: 2169: 2168: 2164: 2160: 2157: 2155: 2152: 2151: 2150: 2147: 2146: 2144: 2140: 2134: 2131: 2129: 2126: 2122: 2119: 2118: 2117: 2114: 2113: 2111: 2107: 2104: 2102:leader titles 2098: 2095: 2091: 2087: 2083: 2076: 2071: 2069: 2064: 2062: 2057: 2056: 2053: 2043:. March 2022. 2042: 2036: 2033: 2028: 2022: 2019: 2013: 2010: 2004: 2001: 1996: 1992: 1988: 1984: 1980: 1976: 1972: 1965: 1962: 1957: 1953: 1949: 1945: 1941: 1934: 1931: 1926: 1922: 1918: 1914: 1910: 1906: 1902: 1898: 1894: 1887: 1884: 1879: 1873: 1869: 1868: 1860: 1857: 1852: 1848: 1844: 1840: 1836: 1832: 1828: 1824: 1820: 1816: 1812: 1805: 1802: 1797: 1791: 1787: 1786: 1778: 1775: 1770: 1764: 1760: 1759: 1751: 1748: 1743: 1739: 1735: 1731: 1727: 1723: 1719: 1712: 1709: 1704: 1700: 1696: 1692: 1688: 1684: 1680: 1676: 1672: 1665: 1662: 1657: 1653: 1649: 1645: 1641: 1637: 1633: 1629: 1625: 1621: 1617: 1610: 1607: 1602: 1598: 1594: 1590: 1586: 1582: 1578: 1574: 1570: 1563: 1560: 1555: 1549: 1545: 1541: 1537: 1536: 1528: 1525: 1520: 1516: 1512: 1508: 1504: 1500: 1496: 1492: 1488: 1484: 1480: 1473: 1470: 1465: 1461: 1457: 1453: 1449: 1445: 1441: 1434: 1431: 1426: 1422: 1417: 1412: 1408: 1404: 1400: 1393: 1390: 1385: 1381: 1377: 1373: 1369: 1365: 1361: 1357: 1353: 1346: 1344: 1340: 1335: 1331: 1327: 1323: 1319: 1315: 1311: 1307: 1303: 1296: 1293: 1288: 1284: 1280: 1276: 1272: 1268: 1264: 1260: 1256: 1249: 1246: 1241: 1237: 1233: 1229: 1225: 1223:9780691134000 1219: 1215: 1211: 1207: 1206: 1198: 1195: 1190: 1186: 1182: 1176: 1172: 1171: 1163: 1160: 1155: 1151: 1147: 1143: 1139: 1135: 1131: 1127: 1123: 1119: 1115: 1108: 1106: 1104: 1102: 1098: 1093: 1087: 1083: 1082: 1074: 1071: 1066: 1060: 1056: 1055: 1047: 1045: 1041: 1037: 1031: 1029: 1027: 1023: 1018: 1012: 1008: 1007: 999: 996: 992: 986: 984: 980: 976: 970: 968: 966: 964: 962: 960: 958: 956: 952: 944: 937: 930: 927: 922: 916: 913: 910: 904: 902: 900: 898: 894: 889: 887:9781586488925 883: 879: 878: 870: 868: 864: 860: 854: 851: 846: 842: 837: 832: 828: 824: 820: 813: 810: 805: 801: 796: 791: 787: 783: 782: 777: 770: 768: 766: 762: 757: 753: 749: 745: 741: 737: 733: 729: 725: 718: 715: 710: 706: 702: 698: 694: 690: 686: 682: 678: 671: 668: 663: 659: 655: 649: 645: 644: 636: 634: 632: 630: 628: 626: 624: 622: 618: 614: 608: 606: 604: 602: 598: 595: 591: 588: 582: 579: 575: 572: 568: 564: 563:Robert J. Art 559: 557: 555: 551: 546: 540: 536: 535: 527: 524: 519: 515: 511: 505: 501: 497: 493: 492: 484: 482: 480: 478: 476: 474: 472: 470: 466: 459: 454: 451: 449: 446: 445: 441: 439: 435: 433: 428: 425: 421: 417: 413: 409: 405: 397: 395: 393: 387: 384: 378: 376: 372: 368: 364: 360: 356: 351: 345: 340: 338: 335: 327: 325: 322: 319: 314: 310: 305: 297: 292: 289: 286: 283: 280: 277: 274: 271: 270: 269: 263: 260: 257: 254: 253: 252: 250: 247:According to 245: 238: 235: 232: 229: 228: 227: 225: 217: 215: 208: 206: 199: 196: 193: 192: 191: 185: 183: 182:not comply". 179: 175: 172: 170: 162: 159: 156: 153: 152: 151: 149: 144: 132: 130: 128: 124: 120: 116: 111: 108: 104: 100: 96: 91: 88: 84: 79: 75: 70: 69: 66: 58: 56: 54: 51: 46: 43: 40: 36: 33:is a form of 32: 19: 2782: 2770: 2711:Other topics 2668: 2578:Wolf warrior 2427: 2362: 2256: 2165: 2109:Multilateral 2035: 2021: 2012: 2003: 1978: 1974: 1964: 1947: 1943: 1933: 1900: 1896: 1886: 1866: 1859: 1818: 1814: 1804: 1784: 1777: 1757: 1750: 1725: 1721: 1711: 1678: 1674: 1664: 1623: 1619: 1609: 1576: 1572: 1562: 1534: 1527: 1486: 1482: 1472: 1447: 1443: 1433: 1406: 1402: 1392: 1359: 1355: 1312:(1): 20–37. 1309: 1305: 1295: 1262: 1258: 1248: 1204: 1197: 1169: 1162: 1121: 1117: 1080: 1073: 1053: 1035: 1005: 998: 974: 929: 915: 876: 858: 853: 826: 822: 812: 785: 779: 731: 727: 717: 684: 680: 670: 642: 612: 581: 570: 533: 526: 490: 436: 429: 420:Saudi Arabia 401: 388: 379: 363:medium-range 352: 349: 341:Case studies 331: 323: 315: 311: 307: 267: 246: 242: 224:ideal policy 223: 221: 212: 203: 189: 180: 176: 173: 166: 147: 145: 141: 126: 112: 106: 98: 94: 92: 86: 74:Daniel Byman 71: 68: 62: 53: 47: 42: 30: 29: 2594:Appeasement 2292:Other roles 1232:j.ctt4cgcgz 518:j.ctt5vm52s 298:Credibility 186:Other types 160:Try-and-see 148:compellence 127:compellence 31:Compellence 2799:Categories 2676:Soft power 2548:Preventive 2538:Pilgrimage 2433:Commercial 2149:Ambassador 2100:Diplomatic 460:References 353:President 95:deterrence 83:Joseph Nye 59:Background 2692:Exequatur 2685:Documents 2543:Ping-pong 2513:Migration 2488:Guerrilla 2478:Freelance 2453:Debt-trap 2423:Checkbook 2357:Consulate 2086:diplomats 2082:Diplomacy 1995:0963-6412 1925:154642193 1917:0020-8183 1851:155075459 1835:0020-8183 1742:0020-8833 1703:144584619 1695:0003-0554 1656:154325372 1640:0020-8183 1601:146346368 1593:0003-0554 1503:0003-0554 1464:0020-8833 1425:0963-6412 1384:225429435 1376:0022-3816 1334:143586272 1326:0032-3217 1279:0020-8183 1240:152836191 1138:0020-8183 845:0020-8833 804:0020-8183 756:154519741 748:0020-8183 709:198952376 701:0162-2889 430:Then the 169:ultimatum 154:Ultimatum 93:The term 39:use force 2771:Category 2723:Agencies 2664:Protocol 2573:Track II 2468:Economic 2443:Culinary 2438:Cultural 2428:Coercive 2392:Legation 2363:De facto 2210:Resident 1843:43282155 1648:23279964 1519:36315471 1287:12230887 1154:46107608 1146:40930451 943:Archived 590:Archived 442:See also 410:to exit 404:Gulf War 65:coercion 35:coercion 2783:Commons 2568:Stadium 2563:Shuttle 2558:Science 2508:Medical 2498:Hostage 2493:Gunboat 2458:Digital 2448:Defence 2365:embassy 2340:Offices 2238:AttachĂ© 1511:2944796 398:Failure 346:Success 2735:Summit 2587:Topics 2553:Public 2533:Parley 2473:Energy 2463:Dollar 2418:Caviar 2194:Consul 2159:Nuncio 1993:  1923:  1915:  1874:  1849:  1841:  1833:  1792:  1765:  1740:  1701:  1693:  1654:  1646:  1638:  1599:  1591:  1550:  1517:  1509:  1501:  1462:  1423:  1382:  1374:  1332:  1324:  1285:  1277:  1238:  1230:  1220:  1187:  1177:  1152:  1144:  1136:  1088:  1061:  1013:  884:  843:  802:  754:  746:  707:  699:  660:  650:  541:  516:  506:  412:Kuwait 2523:Panda 2411:Types 2222:Envoy 2093:Roles 1950:(5). 1921:S2CID 1847:S2CID 1839:JSTOR 1728:(2). 1699:S2CID 1652:S2CID 1644:JSTOR 1597:S2CID 1515:S2CID 1507:JSTOR 1380:S2CID 1330:S2CID 1283:S2CID 1236:S2CID 1228:JSTOR 1185:JSTOR 1150:S2CID 1142:JSTOR 946:(PDF) 939:(PDF) 752:S2CID 705:S2CID 658:JSTOR 514:JSTOR 369:into 2503:Iron 2084:and 1991:ISSN 1913:ISSN 1872:ISBN 1831:ISSN 1790:ISBN 1763:ISBN 1738:ISSN 1691:ISSN 1636:ISSN 1589:ISSN 1548:ISBN 1499:ISSN 1460:ISSN 1421:ISSN 1372:ISSN 1322:ISSN 1275:ISSN 1218:ISBN 1175:ISBN 1134:ISSN 1086:ISBN 1059:ISBN 1011:ISBN 882:ISBN 841:ISSN 800:ISSN 744:ISSN 697:ISSN 648:ISBN 565:and 539:ISBN 504:ISBN 416:Iraq 371:Cuba 76:and 2518:New 1983:doi 1952:doi 1905:doi 1823:doi 1730:doi 1683:doi 1679:105 1628:doi 1581:doi 1540:doi 1491:doi 1452:doi 1411:doi 1364:doi 1314:doi 1267:doi 1210:doi 1126:doi 831:doi 790:doi 736:doi 689:doi 496:doi 87:and 2801:: 1989:. 1977:. 1973:. 1948:66 1946:. 1942:. 1919:. 1911:. 1901:67 1899:. 1895:. 1845:. 1837:. 1829:. 1819:67 1817:. 1813:. 1736:. 1726:68 1724:. 1720:. 1697:. 1689:. 1677:. 1673:. 1650:. 1642:. 1634:. 1624:66 1622:. 1618:. 1595:. 1587:. 1577:95 1575:. 1571:. 1546:. 1513:. 1505:. 1497:. 1487:88 1485:. 1481:. 1458:. 1448:65 1446:. 1442:. 1419:. 1407:29 1405:. 1401:. 1378:. 1370:. 1360:83 1358:. 1354:. 1342:^ 1328:. 1320:. 1310:55 1308:. 1304:. 1281:. 1273:. 1263:65 1261:. 1257:. 1234:. 1226:. 1216:. 1183:. 1148:. 1140:. 1132:. 1122:64 1120:. 1116:. 1100:^ 1043:^ 1025:^ 982:^ 954:^ 941:. 896:^ 866:^ 839:. 827:57 825:. 821:. 798:. 786:69 784:. 778:. 764:^ 750:. 742:. 732:68 730:. 726:. 703:. 695:. 685:44 683:. 679:. 656:. 620:^ 600:^ 569:, 553:^ 512:. 502:. 468:^ 101:, 2240:) 2074:e 2067:t 2060:v 1997:. 1985:: 1979:7 1958:. 1954:: 1927:. 1907:: 1880:. 1853:. 1825:: 1798:. 1771:. 1744:. 1732:: 1705:. 1685:: 1658:. 1630:: 1603:. 1583:: 1556:. 1542:: 1521:. 1493:: 1466:. 1454:: 1427:. 1413:: 1386:. 1366:: 1336:. 1316:: 1289:. 1269:: 1242:. 1212:: 1191:. 1156:. 1128:: 1094:. 1067:. 1019:. 923:. 890:. 847:. 833:: 806:. 792:: 758:. 738:: 711:. 691:: 664:. 547:. 520:. 498:: 20:)

Index

Coercive diplomacy
coercion
use force
deterrence theory
coercion
Daniel Byman
Matthew Waxman
Joseph Nye
Thomas Schelling
Alexander L. George
Stanford University
political psychology
ultimatum
Richard Ned Lebow
Credibility (international relations)
audience costs
Matthew Kroenig
John F. Kennedy
Cuban Missile Crisis
medium-range
intermediate-range ballistic missiles
Cuba
naval blockade
Nikita Khrushchev
Jupiter missiles
Gulf War
Saddam Hussein
Kuwait
Iraq
Saudi Arabia

Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.

↑