40:
evidence is at best mixed. Vincent Mor's "The
Compression of Morbidity Hypothesis: A Review of Research and Prospects for the Future" argues that "Cross-national evidence for the validity of the compression of morbidity hypothesis originally proposed by Fries is generally accepted. Generational improvements in education and the increased availability of adaptive technologies and even medical treatments that enhance quality of life have facilitated continued independence of older persons in the industrialized world. Whether this trend continues may depend upon the effect of the obesity epidemic on the next generation of older people." See also "Mortality and Morbidity Trends: Is There Compression of Morbidity?" for recent evidence against the hypothesis. There may also be age versus cohort effects.
39:
Fries posited that if the hypothesis is confirmed, healthcare costs and patient health overall will be improved. In order to confirm this hypothesis, the evidence must show that it is possible to delay the onset of infirmity, and that corresponding increases in longevity will at least be modest. The
35:
Fries' hypothesis is that the burden of lifetime illness may be compressed into a shorter period before the time of death, if the age of onset of the first chronic infirmity can be postponed. This hypothesis contrasts to the view that as the age of countries' populations tends to increase over time,
227:"The compression of morbidity was prophetic in the sense that Jim looked at the reduction of morbidity and disability at a time when most gerontologists and epidemiologists thought we would see a pandemic of disability." —Richard Suzman, quoted in
25:
70:
413:
444:
36:
they will become increasingly infirm and consume an ever-larger proportion of the national budget in healthcare costs.
240:
Mor, Vincent (2005). "The
Compression of Morbidity Hypothesis: A Review of Research and Prospects for the Future".
29:
434:
449:
439:
417:
265:
389:
322:
304:
257:
210:
158:
103:
379:
371:
312:
296:
249:
200:
192:
148:
111:
93:
85:
49:
402:
414:
Gretchen
Reynolds (8 February 2017) "Lessons on Aging Well from a 105-Year-Old Cyclist"
384:
359:
317:
284:
205:
180:
98:
428:
375:
253:
21:
269:
340:
153:
136:
89:
135:
Vita, Anthony J.; Terry, Richard B.; Hubert, Helen B.; Fries, James F. (1998).
308:
196:
300:
393:
326:
261:
214:
162:
107:
285:"Mortality and Morbidity Trends: Is There Compression of Morbidity?"
24:
is a hypothesis put forth by James Fries, professor of medicine at
283:
Crimmins, Eileen M.; Beltrán-Sánchez, Hiram (2011-01-01).
71:"Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity"
28:. The hypothesis was supported by a 1998 study of 1700
137:"Aging, Health Risks, and Cumulative Disability"
8:
403:"Living Longer, in Good Health to the End"
242:Journal of the American Geriatrics Society
383:
316:
204:
152:
97:
174:
172:
61:
228:
26:Stanford University School of Medicine
289:The Journals of Gerontology: Series B
7:
181:"James Fries: Healthy Aging Pioneer"
401:Brody, Jane E. (August 25, 2008).
32:alumni over a period of 20 years.
14:
185:American Journal of Public Health
376:10.1111/j.1468-0009.2005.00401.x
254:10.1111/j.1532-5415.2005.53496.x
141:New England Journal of Medicine
78:New England Journal of Medicine
360:"The Compression of Morbidity"
1:
154:10.1056/NEJM199804093381506
90:10.1056/NEJM198007173030304
466:
30:University of Pennsylvania
445:Medical aspects of death
358:Fries, James F. (2005).
197:10.2105/AJPH.2008.135731
69:Fries, James F. (1980).
18:compression of morbidity
179:Swartz, Aimee (2008).
421:accessdate=2017-02-14
364:The Milbank Quarterly
301:10.1093/geronb/gbq088
418:The New York Times
407:The New York Times
248:(9s): S308–S309.
457:
410:
397:
387:
345:
344:
337:
331:
330:
320:
280:
274:
273:
237:
231:
225:
219:
218:
208:
176:
167:
166:
156:
132:
126:
125:
123:
122:
116:
110:. Archived from
101:
75:
66:
50:Successful aging
465:
464:
460:
459:
458:
456:
455:
454:
425:
424:
400:
357:
354:
352:Further reading
349:
348:
339:
338:
334:
282:
281:
277:
239:
238:
234:
226:
222:
178:
177:
170:
147:(15): 1035–41.
134:
133:
129:
120:
118:
114:
73:
68:
67:
63:
58:
46:
12:
11:
5:
463:
461:
453:
452:
447:
442:
437:
427:
426:
423:
422:
411:
398:
353:
350:
347:
346:
332:
275:
232:
220:
168:
127:
60:
59:
57:
54:
53:
52:
45:
42:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
462:
451:
448:
446:
443:
441:
438:
436:
435:Public health
433:
432:
430:
420:
419:
415:
412:
409:. p. D7.
408:
404:
399:
395:
391:
386:
381:
377:
373:
370:(4): 801–23.
369:
365:
361:
356:
355:
351:
342:
341:"APA PsycNet"
336:
333:
328:
324:
319:
314:
310:
306:
302:
298:
294:
290:
286:
279:
276:
271:
267:
263:
259:
255:
251:
247:
243:
236:
233:
230:
224:
221:
216:
212:
207:
202:
198:
194:
191:(7): 1163–6.
190:
186:
182:
175:
173:
169:
164:
160:
155:
150:
146:
142:
138:
131:
128:
117:on 2011-08-11
113:
109:
105:
100:
95:
91:
87:
83:
79:
72:
65:
62:
55:
51:
48:
47:
43:
41:
37:
33:
31:
27:
23:
22:public health
19:
416:
406:
367:
363:
335:
295:(1): 75–86.
292:
288:
278:
245:
241:
235:
223:
188:
184:
144:
140:
130:
119:. Retrieved
112:the original
84:(3): 130–5.
81:
77:
64:
38:
34:
17:
15:
229:Swartz 2008
450:Senescence
440:Hypotheses
429:Categories
121:2011-03-31
56:References
309:1079-5014
394:16279968
327:21135070
270:24003528
262:16131359
215:18511711
44:See also
385:2690269
318:3001754
206:2424092
163:9535669
108:7383070
99:2567746
392:
382:
325:
315:
307:
268:
260:
213:
203:
161:
106:
96:
266:S2CID
115:(PDF)
74:(PDF)
390:PMID
323:PMID
305:ISSN
258:PMID
211:PMID
159:PMID
104:PMID
16:The
380:PMC
372:doi
313:PMC
297:doi
293:66B
250:doi
201:PMC
193:doi
149:doi
145:338
94:PMC
86:doi
82:303
20:in
431::
405:.
388:.
378:.
368:83
366:.
362:.
321:.
311:.
303:.
291:.
287:.
264:.
256:.
246:53
244:.
209:.
199:.
189:98
187:.
183:.
171:^
157:.
143:.
139:.
102:.
92:.
80:.
76:.
396:.
374::
343:.
329:.
299::
272:.
252::
217:.
195::
165:.
151::
124:.
88::
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.