Knowledge (XXG)

Post–earnings-announcement drift

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Once a firm's current earnings become known, the information content should be quickly digested by investors and incorporated into the efficient market price. However, it has long been known that this is not exactly what happens. For firms that report good news in quarterly earnings, their abnormal
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Bernard & Thomas (1989) and Bernard & Thomas (1990) provided a comprehensive summary of PEAD research. According to Bernard & Thomas (1990), PEAD patterns can be viewed as including two components. The first component is a positive autocorrelation between seasonal difference (i.e.,
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security returns tend to drift upwards for at least 60 days following their earnings announcement. Similarly, firms that report bad news in earnings tend to have their abnormal security returns drift downwards for a similar period. This phenomenon is called post-announcement drift.
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forecast errors – the difference between the actual returns and forecasted returns) that is strongest for adjacent quarters, being positive over the first three lag quarters. Second, there is a negative auto correlation between seasonal differences that are four quarters apart.
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Bernard, V. L., & Thomas, J. K. (1990). Evidence that stock prices do not fully reflect the implications of current earnings for future earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 13(4), 305-340
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The phenomenon can be explained with a number of hypotheses. The most widely accepted explanation for the effect is investor under-reaction to earnings announcements.
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Bernard, V. L., & Thomas, J. K. (1989). Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: Delayed Price Response or Risk Premium? Journal of Accounting Research, 27, 1-36.
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Dharmesh, V. K., & Nakul, S. (1995). contemporary issues in accounting. Post earnings announcement drift., ed 5th, p. 269.
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Do Individual Investors Drive Post Earnings Announcement Drift? OSU Finance
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for several weeks (even several months) following an earnings announcement.
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This was initially proposed by the information content study of
272: 8: 311:) is the tendency for a stock’s cumulative 279: 265: 26: 369: 29: 7: 189:Journal of Accounting and Economics 129:Convergence of accounting standards 25: 315:to drift in the direction of an 301:post–earnings-announcement drift 184:Contemporary Accounting Research 154:Post-earnings announcement drift 37: 18:Post-earnings announcement drift 337:Journal of Accounting Research 194:Journal of Accounting Research 56:Accounting information systems 1: 407:Earnings response coefficient 199:Review of Accounting Studies 463: 341:market efficiency theory 179:The Accounting Review 76:Management accounting 252:Part of a series on 159:Voluntary disclosure 66:Financial accounting 437:Financial economics 427:Accounting research 297:accounting research 293:financial economics 222:Academic publishing 172:Accounting journals 149:Positive accounting 134:Earnings management 31:Accounting research 442:Behavioral finance 447:Financial markets 317:earnings surprise 289: 288: 237:Scientific method 144:Earnings surprise 16:(Redirected from 454: 386: 383: 377: 374: 323:Cause and effect 313:abnormal returns 307:(also named the 281: 274: 267: 139:Earnings quality 41: 27: 21: 462: 461: 457: 456: 455: 453: 452: 451: 417: 416: 403: 390: 389: 384: 380: 375: 371: 366: 349: 325: 285: 253: 247: 246: 212: 204: 203: 174: 164: 163: 124: 123:Specific topics 116: 115: 96: 86: 85: 51: 23: 22: 15: 12: 11: 5: 460: 458: 450: 449: 444: 439: 434: 429: 419: 418: 415: 414: 409: 402: 399: 398: 397: 394: 388: 387: 378: 368: 367: 365: 362: 348: 345: 324: 321: 287: 286: 284: 283: 276: 269: 261: 258: 257: 249: 248: 245: 244: 242:Social science 239: 234: 229: 224: 219: 213: 211:Related topics 210: 209: 206: 205: 202: 201: 196: 191: 186: 181: 175: 170: 169: 166: 165: 162: 161: 156: 151: 146: 141: 136: 131: 125: 122: 121: 118: 117: 114: 113: 108: 103: 97: 92: 91: 88: 87: 84: 83: 81:Tax accounting 78: 73: 68: 63: 58: 52: 49:Research areas 47: 46: 43: 42: 34: 33: 24: 14: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 459: 448: 445: 443: 440: 438: 435: 433: 430: 428: 425: 424: 422: 413: 410: 408: 405: 404: 400: 395: 392: 391: 382: 379: 373: 370: 363: 361: 358: 352: 346: 344: 342: 338: 334: 329: 322: 320: 318: 314: 310: 306: 302: 298: 294: 282: 277: 275: 270: 268: 263: 262: 260: 259: 256: 251: 250: 243: 240: 238: 235: 233: 230: 228: 225: 223: 220: 218: 215: 214: 208: 207: 200: 197: 195: 192: 190: 187: 185: 182: 180: 177: 176: 173: 168: 167: 160: 157: 155: 152: 150: 147: 145: 142: 140: 137: 135: 132: 130: 127: 126: 120: 119: 112: 109: 107: 104: 102: 99: 98: 95: 94:Methodologies 90: 89: 82: 79: 77: 74: 72: 69: 67: 64: 62: 59: 57: 54: 53: 50: 45: 44: 40: 36: 35: 32: 28: 19: 432:Stock market 381: 372: 353: 350: 336: 330: 326: 308: 304: 300: 290: 227:Econometrics 111:Experimental 357:random walk 333:Ray J. Ball 421:Categories 364:References 347:Hypotheses 309:SUE effect 255:Accounting 101:Analytical 71:Governance 355:seasonal 232:Economics 412:Momentum 401:See also 217:Academia 106:Archival 61:Auditing 305:PEAD 295:and 303:or 291:In 423:: 299:, 280:e 273:t 266:v 20:)

Index

Post-earnings announcement drift
Accounting research
Portrait of Luca Pacioli
Research areas
Accounting information systems
Auditing
Financial accounting
Governance
Management accounting
Tax accounting
Methodologies
Analytical
Archival
Experimental
Convergence of accounting standards
Earnings management
Earnings quality
Earnings surprise
Positive accounting
Post-earnings announcement drift
Voluntary disclosure
Accounting journals
The Accounting Review
Contemporary Accounting Research
Journal of Accounting and Economics
Journal of Accounting Research
Review of Accounting Studies
Academia
Academic publishing
Econometrics

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