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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

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348: 171:. On the other hand, Klaus Solberg Søilen reviewing the book for the Journal of Intelligence Studies in Business was very critical, saying that the book did not give enough information on how the Good Judgment Project beat other forecasters. 36: 318: 247:
I think Philip Tetlock's "Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction," ..., is the most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow."
328: 135:, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters (and the confidence they had in their forecasts) were often more accurately tuned than experts. According to 389: 204: 231: 423: 287:"Book review: Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Crown Publishers, New York, NY. Tetlock. E. Philip, Gardner, Dan (2015)" 408: 81: 413: 382: 131:
are clever (with a good mental attitude), but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from
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Daily catch-up: dart-throwing chimpanzees and how to predict the future | Comment | Voices | The Independent
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This article is about the book by Tetlock and Gardner. For superforecasters and superforecasting, see
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Book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner released in 2015
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How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
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is "The most important book on decision making since
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
87: 75: 67: 55: 45: 383: 8: 28: 291:Journal of Intelligence Studies in Business 390: 376: 110:and Dan Gardner. It details findings from 34: 27: 196: 7: 344: 342: 362:. You can help Knowledge (XXG) by 14: 324:SUPERFORECASTING | Kirkus Reviews 346: 285:Søilen, Klaus Solberg (2018). 1: 424:Crown Publishing Group books 445: 409:American non-fiction books 341: 18: 133:The Good Judgment Project 112:The Good Judgment Project 33: 265:Harvard Business Review 236:The Wall Street Journal 158:Harvard Business Review 152:Thinking, Fast and Slow 138:The Wall Street Journal 414:2015 non-fiction books 161:paired it to the book 354:This article about a 261:"Question Certainty" 211:. September 26, 2015 358:-related book is a 334:Good Judgment® Open 30: 429:Science book stubs 205:"Unclouded vision" 106:is a 2015 book by 371: 370: 108:Philip E. Tetlock 99: 98: 95:HB3730 .T47X 2015 50:Philip E. Tetlock 29:Superforecasting 436: 392: 385: 378: 350: 343: 307: 306: 304: 302: 282: 276: 275: 273: 271: 256: 250: 249: 244: 242: 227: 221: 220: 218: 216: 201: 169:Jordan Ellenberg 143:Superforecasting 129:superforecasters 91: 61:Crown Publishers 38: 31: 444: 443: 439: 438: 437: 435: 434: 433: 399: 398: 397: 396: 339: 315: 310: 300: 298: 284: 283: 279: 269: 267: 259:Frick, Walter. 258: 257: 253: 240: 238: 229: 228: 224: 214: 212: 203: 202: 198: 194: 177: 147:Daniel Kahneman 120: 41: 24: 21:Superforecaster 17: 12: 11: 5: 442: 440: 432: 431: 426: 421: 416: 411: 401: 400: 395: 394: 387: 380: 372: 369: 368: 351: 337: 336: 331: 326: 321: 314: 313:External links 311: 309: 308: 277: 251: 230:Zweig, Jason. 222: 195: 193: 190: 189: 188: 183: 176: 173: 119: 116: 97: 96: 93: 85: 84: 79: 73: 72: 69: 65: 64: 57: 53: 52: 47: 43: 42: 39: 15: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 441: 430: 427: 425: 422: 420: 417: 415: 412: 410: 407: 406: 404: 393: 388: 386: 381: 379: 374: 373: 367: 365: 361: 357: 352: 349: 345: 340: 335: 332: 330: 327: 325: 322: 320: 317: 316: 312: 296: 292: 288: 281: 278: 270:September 26, 266: 262: 255: 252: 248: 241:September 25, 237: 233: 226: 223: 215:September 26, 210: 209:The Economist 206: 200: 197: 191: 187: 186:Fermi problem 184: 182: 179: 178: 174: 172: 170: 166: 165: 160: 159: 154: 153: 148: 144: 140: 139: 134: 130: 127:reports that 126: 125: 124:The Economist 117: 115: 113: 109: 105: 104: 94: 92: 90:LC Class 86: 83: 82:9780804136693 80: 78: 74: 70: 66: 62: 58: 54: 51: 48: 44: 40:First edition 37: 32: 26: 22: 364:expanding it 353: 338: 299:. Retrieved 294: 290: 280: 268:. Retrieved 264: 254: 246: 239:. Retrieved 235: 225: 213:. Retrieved 208: 199: 162: 156: 150: 142: 136: 122: 121: 102: 101: 100: 25: 419:Forecasting 181:Guesstimate 403:Categories 297:(1): 46–53 192:References 301:April 19, 56:Published 175:See also 356:science 155:." The 118:Reviews 59:2015 ( 46:Author 68:Pages 360:stub 303:2024 272:2015 243:2015 217:2015 77:ISBN 167:by 149:'s 71:340 405:: 293:. 289:. 263:. 245:. 234:. 207:. 141:, 114:. 391:e 384:t 377:v 366:. 305:. 295:8 274:. 219:. 63:) 23:.

Index

Superforecaster

Philip E. Tetlock
Crown Publishers
ISBN
9780804136693
LC Class
Philip E. Tetlock
The Good Judgment Project
The Economist
superforecasters
The Good Judgment Project
The Wall Street Journal
Daniel Kahneman
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Harvard Business Review
How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
Jordan Ellenberg
Guesstimate
Fermi problem
"Unclouded vision"
"Can You See the Future? Probably Better Than Professional Forecasters"
"Question Certainty"
"Book review: Superforecasting: The art and science of prediction. Crown Publishers, New York, NY. Tetlock. E. Philip, Gardner, Dan (2015)"
Daily catch-up: dart-throwing chimpanzees and how to predict the future | Comment | Voices | The Independent
SUPERFORECASTING | Kirkus Reviews
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Good Judgment® Open
Stub icon
science

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