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Soon and Baliunas controversy

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refereed work." The EPA noted that the publisher Kinne had later agreed that the peer review process was flawed, and editors had then resigned as they could not get him to agree corrective action. The emails expressed displeasure but did not show that any action was in fact taken, and it is "expected and appropriate that researchers choose in which journals to publish, as well as recommend to their peers journals in which to publish or not publish. In this case, the bottom line is that the underlying science at issue has been shown to be flawed. The scientists' actions were focused on this lack of scientific merit and the process that lead to it, and not an attempt to distort the science or the scientific literature." The EPA considered that "If anything, their actions aimed to police the peer review process and rectify a problem that threatened its scientific integrity."
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the science of global climate change; in fact, CEQ just inserted a reference to it in the final draft chapter on global climate change contained in EPA's first "State of the Environment" report. ... With both the National Academy and IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) holding that the 20th Century is the warmest of the past thousand years (see below), this recent study begins to provide a counterbalance on the point to those two authorities. It represents an opening to potentially invigorate debate on the actual climate history of the past 1000 years and whether that history reinforces or detracts from our level of confidence regarding the potential human influence on global climate change."
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world, and they had taken as their base period for comparison mean temperatures over the whole of the 20th century, reconstructing past temperatures from proxy evidence not capable of resolving decadal trends, thus failing to show whether or not late 20th century warming was anomalous. The IPCC TAR had concluded that late 20th century northern hemisphere warmth was likely to have exceeded warmth of any time in the past 1,000 years on the basis of studies that compared temperatures for recent decades with reconstructions of earlier periods while allowing for uncertainties in the reconstructions. Soon, Baliunas and Legates published a response to this paper in the same journal.
702:, and the papers, showing research into detailed patterns of local and regional climate variability, were directly relevant to his main goal of research on physical mechanisms of the sun-climate relationship. When asked if he had been "hired by or employed by or received grants from organizations that have taken advocacy positions with respect to the Kyoto Protocol, the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, or legislation before the U.S. Congress that would affect greenhouse gas emissions", he responded "I have not knowingly been hired by, nor employed by, nor received grants from any such organizations described in this question." 639:
anti-greenhouse community, and second, if a paper is rejected, to ignore that review and seek another more 'sympathic' reviewer. In the second case he can then (with enough reviews) claim that the honest review was an outlier." Wigley supported the suggestion of an ethics committee, which he would be willing to serve on. Until then, he urged others to "dissociate themselves from Climate Research". The editors who had not resigned appeared to him to be mostly "a rogues’ gallery of skeptics", and he thought any reputable scientists still listed as editors should resign.
380:, including any period of 50 years or more that was wet, dry, warm or cold. Though "mindful" that the MWP and LIA are both defined by temperature, "we emphasize that great bias would result if those thermal anomalies were to be dissociated" from climatic conditions such as wetness and dryness, but wetness and dryness were undefined and only "referred to the standard usage in English." Their selection of a 50-year plus period excluded recent warming, which had occurred in two periods of 30 years in the 20th century, with the greatest warming in the late 20th century. 557:
the editor in chief rather than directly to individual editors as previously. While Kinne agreed that the Soon and Baliunas paper should not have been published as it was, he did not accept von Storch's proposal and wanted prior agreement from all the other editors before von Storch's editorial was published. When von Storch found that some of the other editors thought the Soon and Baliunas paper was acceptable, he "concluded that we have different standards", and suspected that "some of the
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reexamined the questions raised in the Baliunas and Soon study, but used different statistical methodology, restricted themselves to records that were validated as temperature proxies, and considered the timing of temperature anomalies in different regions to examine whether they had happened at the same time, or were from different periods reflecting local rather than global changes. They found that by far the most widespread warming had occurred after the mid 20th century.
531:, agreed to ask de Freitas for copies of the reviewer's evaluations: after studying the response, he advised the editors of his "Conclusions: 1) The reviewers consulted (4 for each ms) by the editor presented detailed, critical and helpful evaluations. 2) The editor properly analyzed the evaluations and requested appropriate revisions. 3) The authors revised their manuscripts accordingly. Summary: Chris de Freitas has done a good and correct job as editor." 277: 481:, said "Their analysis doesn't consider whether the warm/cold periods occurred at the same time". The paper would count warm or wet conditions in one region from 800 to 850 and dry conditions in a separate region from 1200 to 1250 as both demonstrating the Medieval Warm period. He noted that regional periods of warmth or cooling do not always occur at the same time as the global average warms or cools. 318:; "Our results suggest a different interpretation of the multiproxy climates compared to recent conclusions of Mann et al. (1998, 1999, 2000)." Their abstract concluded that "Across the world, many records reveal that the 20th century is probably not the warmest or a uniquely extreme climatic period of the last millennium". The paper acknowledged funding support from the 854:
to stop considering 'Climate Research' as a legitimate peer-reviewed journal. We would also need to consider what we tell or request of our more reasonable colleagues who currently sit on the editorial board. Perhaps we should encourage our colleagues in the climate research community to no longer submit to, or cite papers in, this journal."
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Soon et al. paper, "I believe it is the mainstream view of just about every scientist in my field that I have talked to that there is little that is valid in that paper. They got just about everything wrong." He later recalled that he "left that meeting having demonstrated what the mainstream views on climate science are."
538:, recalled that many of them were "somewhat confused and still very concerned about what had happened". The paper "had apparently gone to four reviewers none of whom had recommended rejection", and "The review process had apparently been correct, but a fundamentally flawed paper had been published." She and fellow editor 366:, the total solar output increases, and when there are fewer sunspots, it decreases. Soon and Baliunas attributed the Medieval warm period to such an increase in solar output, and believe that decreases in solar output led to the Little Ice Age, a period of cooling lasting until the mid-19th Century. In a statement to 657:
that the critics had mischaracterized the research in the paper. He said that he had used precipitation data because too many scientists had concentrated on temperature records which, in Soon's opinion, are not the only measures of climate. He added that "Some of the proxy information doesn't contain
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records had warmer anomalies at earlier times. He wrote "While these statements may be true, the critics point out that they cannot be concluded convincingly from the evidence provided in the paper. CR should have requested appropriate revisions of the manuscript prior to publication." Kinne told the
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On 28 July von Storch drafted an editorial stating that "the review process of CR failed to confront the authors with necessary and legitimate methodological questions which should have been addressed in the finally printed paper", and proposing a new system in which all new papers were to be sent to
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stating "The recent paper of Soon-Baliunas contradicts a dogmatic view held by many in the climate science community that the past century was the warmest in the past millennium and signals human induced "global warming". ... We plan to begin to refer to this study in Administration communications on
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to say that it "was absurd, almost laughable (if it wasn't, as is transparently evident, being used as a policy–and politics–driven publicity stunt to support the dubious positions on climate change of some prominent American politicians)", and added that the paper made no attempt to find if the past
351:. A press release dated 31 March 2003 headed "20th Century Climate Not So Hot" announced the paper with a statement lacking the caveats of the original paper; "Soon and his colleagues concluded that the 20th century is neither the warmest century over the last 1000 years, nor is it the most extreme." 853:
and trying to get de Freitas removed, leading to the resignations of editors. They quoted Phil Jones writing that "I will be e-mailing the journal to tell them I'm having nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor", and Mann's email response that "I think we have
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drafted and circulated privately a memorandum providing detailed guidance on the topic. They stated "Nothing in the paper undermines in any way the conclusion of earlier studies that the average temperature of the late twentieth century in the Northern Hemisphere was anomalous against the background
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that "I believed our only choice was to ignore this paper. They've already achieved what they wanted, the claim of a peer-reviewed paper. There is nothing we can do about that now, but the last thing we want is to bring attention to the paper." Jones replied "I think the sceptics will use this paper
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said it had not provided funds for the research. Air Force Office of Scientific Research, Grant AF49620-02-1-0194, deals with Theory and Observation of Stellar Magnetic Activity, and NASA grant NAG5-7635 studies variability of stars. When questioned during the 29 July 2003 Senate hearing, Soon said
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paper made three key points: the SB03 and Soon et al. papers had misused precipitation and drought proxies without assessing their sensitivity to temperature, they had taken regional temperature changes as global changes without any attempt to show that they had occurred at the same time across the
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expressed regrets about the resignations of von Storch, Goodess, and a third editor, Mitsuru Ando. Kinne described the main conclusions of the Soon and Baliunas paper; that the late 20th century was probably not the warmest period nor uniquely extreme in the last 2,000 years, and most of the proxy
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To meet the concerns, Kinne proposed to adopt the more common system where instead of editors acting fully independently, an editor in chief would have overall responsibility, and that Hans von Storch would be upgraded from editor to editor in chief as of 1 August 2003. At first von Storch thought
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read out an email dated 28 July. In it, von Storch announced his resignation, and stated "that the review of the Soon et al. paper failed to detect significant methodological flaws in the paper. The critique published in the Eos journal by Mann et al. is valid." In reply, Mann testified about the
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had identified Climate Research as a journal where some editors were not as rigorous in the review process as is otherwise common.". He felt that "editors used different scales for judging the validity of an article. Some editors considered the problem of the Soon & Baliunas paper as merely a
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Hans von Storch resigned on the same day, 28 July, and condemned the journal's review process in his resignation letter: "The review process had utterly failed; important questions have not been asked ... the methodological basis for such a conclusion (that the 20th century is probably not the
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wrote that von Storch "is partly to blame — he encourages the publication of crap science ‘in order to stimulate debate’. One approach is to go direct to the publishers and point out the fact that their journal is perceived as being a medium for disseminating misinformation under the guise of
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and Briffa published a paper on "The Spatial Extent of 20th-Century Warmth in the Context of the Past 1200 Years", and concluded that "comparison with instrumental temperatures shows the spatial extent of recent warmth to be of greater significance than that during the medieval period." They
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Rather than showing quantitative data, they primarily categorized research by others into those supporting, and those not supporting, the MWP and the LIA as defined by themselves. Soon said "I was stating outright that I'm not able to give too many quantitative details, especially in terms of
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Jones, P. D.; Briffa, K. R.; Osborn, T. J.; Lough, J. M.; Van Ommen, T. D.; Vinther, B. M.; Luterbacher, J.; Wahl, E. R.; Zwiers, F. W.; Mann, M. E.; Schmidt, G. A.; Ammann, C. M.; Buckley, B. M.; Cobb, K. M.; Esper, J.; Goosse, H.; Graham, N.; Jansen, E.; Kiefer, T.; Kull, C.; Kuttel, M.;
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wrote to a colleague that "I have had papers that I refereed (and soundly rejected), under De Freitas’s editorship, appear later in the journal — without me seeing any response from the authors. As I have said before to others, his strategy is first to use mainly referees that are in the
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directly the temperature information, but it fits the general description of the medieval warm climatic anomaly. This is a first-order study to try to collect as much data as possible and try not to make the pretension that we know how to separate the information in the proxy."
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back a number of years if it goes unchallenged. I will be emailing the journal to tell them I'm having nothing more to do with it until they rid themselves of this troublesome editor", referring to de Freitas. At the time the second Soon et al. paper was publicised, Mann emailed
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By this time four editors had left the journal: von Storch, Clare Goodess, Mitsuru Ando and Shardul Argawala. In mid September Andrew Comrie also withdrew, so five editors had resigned; half of the journal's editorial board. The five remaining editors included de Freitas.
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rebuttal of the paper he decided that "We should say that we have a problem here, that the manuscript was flawed, that the manuscript should not have been published in this way. The problem is that the conclusions are not supported by the evidence presented in the paper."
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in both time and global distribution, over the past six centuries In 1999 they extended their approach to 1,000 years in a study (MBH99) summarised in a graph which showed relatively little change until a sharp rise in the 20th century, earning it the nickname of the
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and the Soon and Baliunas paper in supporting his conclusion: "With all of the hysteria, all of the fear, all of the phony science, could it be that man-made global warming is the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people? It sure sounds like it."
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held on 29 July 2003, examining work by the small group of researchers saying there was no evidence of significant human-caused global warming. Three scientists were invited, Mann giving testimony supporting the consensus position, opposed by long term
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Other scientists also criticized the study's methods and argued that the authors had misrepresented or misinterpreted their data. Some of those whose work was referenced by Soon and Baliunas were particularly critical. Tim Barnett of the
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Wahl, E. R.; Ammann, C. M. (2007). "Robustness of the Mann, Bradley, Hughes reconstruction of Northern Hemisphere surface temperatures: Examination of criticisms based on the nature and processing of proxy climate evidence".
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had nothing to do with any pressure from Jones, Mann, or anyone else, but instead he "left this post on my own, with no outside pressure, because of insufficient quality control on a bad paper—a skeptic's paper, at that."
1754: 766:(CRU) and other scientists, including Michael E. Mann. Several of the emails included conversations about Soon and Baliunas' paper as the controversy was ongoing in 2003 and 2004. In an 18 December 2009 column in 1988:"EPA's Response to the Petitions to Reconsider the Endangerment and Cause or Contribute Findings for Greenhouse Gases under Section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act, Volume 3: Process Issues Raised by Petitioners" 241:
which used data from previous papers to argue that the Medieval Warm Period had been warmer than the 20th century, and that recent warming was not unusual. They sent their paper to one of the editors of
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problem of 'opinion', while it was really a problem of severe methodological flaws. Thus, I decided that I had to disconnect from that journal, which I had served proudly for about 10 years."
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deleted all references to surface temperature reconstructions showing world temperatures rising over the last 1,000 years, and on 21 April 2003 sent a memo to Kevin O'Donovan in the
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The media requested opinions from climate scientists and paleoclimatologists familiar with the issues underlying the Soon and Baliunas papers, and to help with information Mann and
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commented that "the fact that has received any attention at all is a result, again in my view, of its utility to those groups who want the global warming issue to just go away".
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Also, the additional sources of funding mentioned in the papers were apparently unrelated to the research presented in Soon and Baliunas 2003 and in Soon et al. 2003: both the
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were receiving numerous complaints and critiques of the paper from other scientists, to such an extent that they raised the issues with de Freitas and the journal's publisher
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The paper was strongly criticized by numerous scientists for its methodology and for its misuse of data from previously published studies, which prompted concerns about the
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was discussed in the paper, said the paper was "so fundamentally misconceived and contains so many egregious errors that it would take weeks to list and explain them all."
372:, Soon said that, "When you compare the 20th century to the previous nine centuries, you do not see the change in the 20th century as anything unusual or unprecedented." 478: 434: 510:
as an article "On Past Temperatures and Anomalous Late-20th Century Warmth". Most of the paper's authors had been cited in the Soon and Baliunas 2003 paper (SB03). The
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I prepared this editorial for Climate Research on 28. July 2003. It was not accepted by the publisher, and therefore I stepped down as Editor-n-Chief on the same day.
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Legates, D. R.; Idso, S.; Idso, C.; Baliunas, S.; Soon, W. (2003). "Reconstructing Climatic and Environmental Changes of the Past 1000 Years: A Reappraisal".
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had admitted that the paper had problems, and considered that Jones could not reasonably be criticised for his reaction. A paper prepared for the review by
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gave evidence that he believed the paper showed self-evident errors and the reaction was both proper and proportionate: the review noted that the publisher
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the objections to the Soon and Balunas paper should be presented in a comment which they could consider for publication, but when he saw a preprint of the
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have also received industry funding. They have been linked to Western coal interests, and the ExxonMobil Foundation provided a grant of $ 15,000 to their
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The memorandum developed into a more general position paper jointly authored by 13 climate scientists, which was published on 8 July 2003 in the journal
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Connections between the paper's authors and oil industry groups have been well documented. Soon and Baliunas were at the time paid consultants of the
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that would distribute submitted papers amongst its editors, leaving its authors free to "shop around" for one that would be friendly to their views.
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process. The review concluded that the strong reaction to the Soon and Baliunas paper "was understandable, and did not amount to undue pressure on
306:. The article reviewed 240 previously published papers and tried to find evidence for temperature anomalies in the last thousand years such as the 315: 186: 101: 41: 2028: 1491: 1447: 1141: 137:
included a "schematic diagram" of global temperature variations over the last thousand years which has been traced to a graph based loosely on
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process of the paper. The controversy resulted in the resignation of half of the editors of the journal and in the admission by its publisher,
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warmest nor a uniquely extreme climate period of the last millennium) was simply not given." Clare Goodess also resigned later that day.
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Mann, M. E.; Bradley, R. S.; Hughes, M. K. (1998). "Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries".
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Mosley-Thompson, E.; Overpeck, J. T.; Riedwyl, N.; Schulz, M.; Tudhope, A. W.; Villalba, R.; Wanner, H.; Wolff, E.; Xoplaki, E. (2009).
458: 2207: 2645: 1960: 1594:," (Press release), 31 March 2003, retrieved on 24 August 2010. Harvard press release documented in secondary source: Pearce, Fred, " 1295: 2676: 2515:"Constraints on Variability of Brightness and Surface Magnetism on Time Scales of Decades to Centuries in the Sun and Sun-like Stars" 1906: 2899: 2879: 1392: 1264: 909: 722: 653: 534:
The journal had 10 editors, who at that time each independently received and accepted manuscripts from authors. One of the editors,
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Questions have also been raised about funding for the paper. Soon and Baliunas "was in part underwritten by $ 53,000 from the
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that "I have not stood behind the paper by Soon and Baliunas. Indeed: the reviewers failed to detect methodological flaws."
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The Independent Climate Change Email Review, an independent review funded by the University of East Anglia and chaired by
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proposing restrictions on greenhouse gases was being debated in the Senate on 28 July 2003, Republican Oklahoma Senator
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In the Spring of 2003, Soon and Baliunas, with three additional co-authors, published a longer version of the paper in
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were distributed on the internet. Many of the emails included communication between climatologists in East Anglia's
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Osborn T.J., Briffa K.R. (2006). "The Spatial Extent of 20th-Century Warmth in the Context of the Past 1200 Years".
180:, Bradley and Hughes published a multiproxy study (MBH98) which used a new statistical approach to find patterns of 2671: 2514: 797: 618: 494: 397: 289: 243: 150: 35: 1479: 1433: 759: 575: 83:, that the paper should not have been published as it was. The article and responses to it featured in further 53: 2322: 2855: 2792: 2742: 2487: 805: 768: 718: 388:
Initially, the scientists whose work was being disputed by Soon and Baliunas felt it was one of a series of
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knew of three earlier papers edited by de Freitas where concerns had been raised about the review process.
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emissions were resisted by industrial interests, and political pressures increased as the international
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Hughes, M. K.; Diaz, H. F. (1994). "Was there a ?medieval warm period?, and if so, where and when?".
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argued that emails from March and April 2003 showed scientists discussing a boycott of the journal
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totalled $ 335,000 between 2005 and 2010. Other contributors to Soon's research career include the
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In November 2009, emails and documents which had been hacked from a server belonging to the
733: 470: 402: 284: 249: 2484:"Anharmonic and Standing Dynamo Waves: Theory and Observation of Stellar Magnetic Activity" 2082: 1930: 1789:"Stormy Times for Climate Research : Promoting ethical science, design and technology" 453:. In reply, de Freitas said they were "a mix of a witch-hunt and the Spanish Inquisition". 2812: 2787: 2776: 2758: 2737: 2708: 2666: 2650: 2415: 1910: 1903: 1728: 1602: 1591: 876: 690: 539: 442: 393: 355: 299: 265: 234: 222: 214: 177: 49: 31: 2367: 2284: 2265: 1948: 1337: 1228: 1173: 1100: 1040: 895: 354:
In the paper, Soon, Baliunas, and their co-authors investigated the correlation between
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warm temperatures it reported were contemporaneous or merely one-off scattered events.
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and it was published in the small refereed journal on 31 January 2003 under the title
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of the past millennium". Colleagues receiving these requests from the media included
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pressed for an international scientific panel to assess the topic. The United States
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alleged that pressure from Jones and Mann was responsible for the resignations at
225:, while Baliunas had previously been noted for disputing that man-made chemicals ( 950: 145:(SAR) of 1996 featured a graph of an early northern hemisphere reconstruction by 2747: 2697: 2423: 815: 474: 407: 396:'s words, "couldn't get published in a reputable journal". In March he wrote to 295: 257: 253: 210: 138: 76: 27: 2752:
Emails reveal strenuous efforts by climate scientists to 'censor' their critics
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Emails reveal strenuous efforts by climate scientists to 'censor' their critics
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Emails reveal strenuous efforts by climate scientists to 'censor' their critics
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Soon and Baliunas had specifically sent their paper to one Chris de Freitas at
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who sought climatologists to dissent and undermine its scientific credibility.
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to provide reports subject to detailed approval by government delegates. The
2385: 2746:, 18 December 2009; Michaels statement characterized as "allegations" in: 2555:"Climate sceptic Willie Soon received $ 1m from oil companies, papers show" 2393: 1931:"Comment on "On past temperatures and anomalous late-20th century warmth"" 1956: 221:: Soon had for a long time said that climate change was primarily due to 2625: 1181: 363: 2095:
This web-page was written in 2003, and has not been changed since then
121:. There was increasing public and political interest, and in 1987 the 2292: 904: 2173:"Congressional Record, Volume 149 Issue 113 (Monday, July 28, 2003)" 376:
aggregating all the results". They used a very loose definition of
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and other researchers. The publication was quickly taken up by the
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The Climate Files: The Battle for the Truth About Global Warming
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Proxy climatic and environmental changes of the past 1000 years
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Proxy climatic and environmental changes of the past 1000 years
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United States Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works
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made a two-hour speech in opposition. He cited a study by the
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prior to the draft being made public. The administration's
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between 2001 and 2007 totalled $ 274,000, and grants from
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After the publicity the MBH99 study had been given by the
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involved the publication in 2003 of a review study titled
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Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change
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editorial pre-published on 5 August 2003, its publisher
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Responses from other scientists, political intervention
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By the late 1980s, scientific findings indicated that
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Climate Cover-Up: The Crusade to Deny Global Warming
2621:"US climate skeptic Soon funded by oil, coal firms" 1581:
Center for Astrophysics | Harvard & Smithsonian
780:. On 22 December 2009 von Storch responded in the 698:that the NOAA grant for Soon et al. was awarded to 709:. Soon has also received multiple grants from the 87:, including questions about funding of the paper. 2210:. U.S. Government Printing Office. 29 July 2003. 2072: 2070: 1876: 1874: 1872: 875:Soon, Willie; Sallie Baliunas (31 January 2003). 479:Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research 157:and Henry F. Diaz questioning how widespread the 2667:"Foes of global warming theory have energy ties" 2202: 2200: 2198: 2022: 2020: 1782: 1780: 1778: 1776: 1774: 1772: 1131:"Working Group 1: The Science of Climate Change" 689:stated that they had provided funds for work on 2548: 2546: 1611:, 9 February 2010, retrieved on 24 August 2010. 695:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration 1652: 1650: 1648: 161:had been at any one time. Efforts to reduce CO 1995:United States Environmental Protection Agency 1511: 1509: 951:"Global Warming as a Political Issue (1980s)" 827:United States Environmental Protection Agency 8: 1936:Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 1889:. American Geophysical Union. Archived from 1706:Committee on Oversight and Government Reform 981:"Working Group 1: the Scientific Assessment" 2910:George W. Bush administration controversies 2806:The Independent Climate Change Email Review 2208:"Committee on Environment and Public Works" 2177:U.S. Government Publishing Office Home Page 2038:. Archived from the original on 3 July 2007 1982: 1980: 1978: 1919:, Volume 84, No. 27, 8 July 2003, page 256. 1814:Hoggan, James; Littlemore, Richard (2009). 1381: 1379: 1377: 1375: 1373: 1371: 1369: 1367: 256:as a "climate contrarian". Unusually for a 219:Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics 2482:Baliunas, S; et al. (29 April 2005). 1708:, United States House of Representatives, 1014: 1012: 584:Center for Energy and Economic Development 2862:The companion paper to the controversial 2375: 1845:Appell, David (2006). Human, Katy (ed.). 1549: 1474: 1472: 903: 131:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 58:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1258:Richard Monastersky (8 September 2006). 750:Climatic Research Unit email controversy 1791:. SGR Newsletter no. 28. Archived from 1386:Monastersky, Richard (September 2003). 1330:"Modern Temperature Trend; footnote 48" 867: 683:Air Force Office of Scientific Research 339:. The three additional co-authors were 324:Air Force Office of Scientific Research 153:, and noted the 1994 reconstruction by 102:Hockey stick graph (global temperature) 2858:, Volume 14, Numbers 2–3, 1 May 2003. 2731:How to Manufacture a Climate Consensus 2052: 1963:from the original on 26 September 2012 1851:. The Rosen Publishing Group. p.  1848:Critical Perspectives on World Climate 1687: 1515: 1422: 1358: 1202: 933: 2183:from the original on 29 November 2014 2153:from the original on 19 December 2013 2077:von Storch, Hans (23 November 2009). 2004:from the original on 15 December 2011 1260:"Climate Science on Trial – Research" 997:from the original on 16 December 2010 169:was opposed by lobbyists such as the 7: 2679:from the original on 5 February 2011 2463:from the original on 13 October 2017 2119:from the original on 6 December 2008 2109:"Global warming: a load of hot air?" 1494:from the original on 29 January 2010 1450:from the original on 29 January 2010 1272:from the original on 13 October 2012 1147:from the original on 15 October 2011 831:Coalition for Responsible Regulation 2586:Sanchez, Irene (13 November 2005). 2141:Revkin, Andrew C. (5 August 2003). 2107:Cauchi, Stephen (17 January 2004). 1438:"CSI | Déjà vu All Over Again" 459:Scripps Institution of Oceanography 401:to their own ends and it will set 217:. Both were astrophysicists at the 2567:from the original on 10 March 2015 2513:Baliunas, Sallie (29 April 2005). 2430:from the original on 15 April 2007 2245:from the original on 19 March 2011 2027:von Storch, Hans (4 August 2003). 1929:Soon, Willie; et al. (2003). 1712:from the original on 25 April 2012 1700:Waxman, Henry (12 December 2007), 1669:from the original on 19 March 2011 784:that his resignation as editor of 678:, the voice of the oil industry". 418:was involved in editing the first 64:as a basis for amending the first 14: 2644:Gardner, Timothy (28 June 2011). 2619:Gardner, Timothy (28 June 2011). 2420:"A New Take on an Old Millennium" 2333:from the original on 3 March 2016 2302:from the original on 7 March 2020 2233:David Appell (21 February 2005). 1404:from the original on 3 March 2011 1393:The Chronicle of Higher Education 1388:"Storm Brews Over Global Warming" 1265:The Chronicle of Higher Education 723:Electric Power Research Institute 654:The Chronicle of Higher Education 590:Inhofe convened a hearing of the 523:On 20 June 2003 the publisher of 369:The Chronicle of Higher Education 123:World Meteorological Organization 2600:from the original on 3 July 2007 2531:from the original on 20 May 2010 2449:Revkin, Andrew (5 August 2003). 2321:Revkin, Andrew (5 August 2003). 1787:Goodess, Clare (November 2003). 961:from the original on 22 May 2011 915:from the original on 30 May 2021 754:Climatic Research Unit documents 427:Council on Environmental Quality 26:, written by aerospace engineer 2214:from the original on 2 May 2009 1757:from the original on 6 May 2012 1621:Powell, Alvin (24 April 2003). 1585:20th Century Climate Not So Hot 1334:The Discovery of Global Warming 1300:The Discovery of Global Warming 955:The Discovery of Global Warming 420:Environmental Protection Agency 66:Environmental Protection Agency 1657:Appell, David (24 June 2003). 294:accepted the paper written by 46:historical temperature changes 1: 2665:Nesmith, Jeff (1 June 2003). 2264:Kinne, Otto (5 August 2003). 1138:IPCC Second Assessment Report 843:Southeastern Legal Foundation 744:Climatic Research Unit emails 441:By May the journal's editors 264:at the time did not have one 209:on global warming, including 143:IPCC Second Assessment Report 62:George W. Bush administration 34:and published in the journal 18:Soon and Baliunas controversy 2885:Climate change controversies 2553:Vidal, John (27 June 2011). 1820:. Greystone Books. pp.  988:IPCC First Assessment Report 711:American Petroleum Institute 707:George C. Marshall Institute 676:American Petroleum Institute 651:In September 2003 Soon told 435:Office of the Vice President 320:American Petroleum Institute 203:IPCC Third Assessment Report 191:IPCC Third Assessment Report 171:American Petroleum Institute 135:IPCC First Assessment Report 1881:Peter Weiss (7 July 2003). 519:Response of journal editors 96:IPCC and the Kyoto protocol 56:as was the position of the 2926: 2781:Good Science, Bad Politics 2672:Seattle Post-Intelligencer 2588:"Warming study draws fire" 1627:Harvard University Gazette 1560:10.1260/095830503765184619 990:. 1990. pp. 199–202. 747: 719:Charles G. Koch Foundation 117:emissions were leading to 99: 85:global warming controversy 2235:"Behind the Hockey Stick" 2059:: CS1 maint: unfit URL ( 1109:10.1007/s10584-006-9105-7 760:University of East Anglia 477:, a climatologist at the 423:Report on the Environment 280:Harvard & Smithsonian 70:Report on the Environment 2900:Scientific controversies 2880:Hockey stick controversy 2856:Energy & Environment 2811:14 February 2010 at the 1727:25 February 2013 at the 1530:Energy & Environment 1484:"Déjà vu All Over Again" 1049:10.1177/0959683608098952 358:and temperatures of the 54:greenhouse gas emissions 2793:The Wall Street Journal 2757:25 January 2017 at the 2743:The Wall Street Journal 2707:25 January 2017 at the 2488:United States Air Force 2386:10.1126/science.1120514 2014:pp. 48–51, 64–65, 73–76 1690:, pp. 130, 132–133 1601:25 January 2017 at the 1542:2003En&En..14..233S 769:The Wall Street Journal 612:Subsequent resignations 2890:Historical climatology 2786:27 August 2017 at the 2736:27 August 2010 at the 1997:(EPA). 14 April 2011. 1590:22 August 2010 at the 764:Climatic Research Unit 597:global warming deniers 362:. When there are more 336:Energy and Environment 281: 2905:Climate change denial 2866:paper discussed here. 2826:Pearce, Fred (2010). 1887:AGU Release No. 03-19 1482:(13 September 2004). 1436:(13 September 2004). 1157:pp. 173–176, fig 3.20 835:Ohio Coal Association 576:McCain-Lieberman bill 467:University of Arizona 279: 229:refrigerants such as 127:Reagan administration 1957:10.1029/2003EO440007 1909:30 June 2010 at the 1340:on 22 September 2020 1306:on 22 September 2020 1205:, pp. 14, 79–85 825:In petitions to the 647:Later investigations 316:hockey stick studies 308:Medieval warm period 159:Medieval Warm Period 141:'s 1965 paper. The 2830:. Random House UK. 2796:, 22 December 2009. 2593:The Harvard Crimson 2418:(9 February 2006). 2368:2006Sci...311..841O 2285:2003ClRes..24..197K 2239:Scientific American 1949:2003EOSTr..84..473S 1893:on 17 January 2010. 1663:Scientific American 1229:1998Natur.392..779M 1174:1994ClCh...26..109H 1101:2007ClCh...85...33W 1041:2009Holoc..19....3J 896:2003ClRes..23...89S 782:Wall Street Journal 670:Funding controversy 634:On 19 August 2003, 486:Michael Oppenheimer 416:Bush administration 2895:2003 controversies 2767:, 9 February 2010. 2717:, 9 February 2010. 2327:The New York Times 2147:The New York Times 1750:The New York Times 1633:on 14 October 2006 1488:Skeptical Inquirer 1443:Skeptical Inquirer 1427:Friends of Science 1361:, pp. 130–131 1182:10.1007/BF01092410 1066:on 14 October 2015 728:Soon's co-authors 499:Raymond S. Bradley 360:Earth's atmosphere 287:, as an editor at 282: 237:. They prepared a 187:hockey stick graph 147:Raymond S. Bradley 42:hockey stick graph 2837:978-0-85265-229-9 2362:(5762): 841–844. 1862:978-1-4042-0688-5 1831:978-1-55365-485-8 1328:(February 2011). 1294:(February 2011). 1223:(6678): 779–787. 691:solar variability 463:Malcolm K. Hughes 239:literature review 197:Soon and Baliunas 2917: 2864:Climate Research 2841: 2819: 2817:Sir Muir Russell 2803: 2797: 2777:Von Storch, Hans 2774: 2768: 2724: 2718: 2695: 2689: 2688: 2686: 2684: 2662: 2656: 2655: 2641: 2635: 2634: 2629:. Archived from 2616: 2610: 2609: 2607: 2605: 2583: 2577: 2576: 2574: 2572: 2550: 2541: 2540: 2538: 2536: 2530: 2519: 2510: 2504: 2503: 2501: 2499: 2490:. 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Archived from 1618: 1612: 1578: 1572: 1571: 1553: 1525: 1519: 1513: 1504: 1503: 1501: 1499: 1476: 1467: 1466: 1462:Climate Research 1457: 1455: 1420: 1414: 1413: 1411: 1409: 1383: 1362: 1356: 1350: 1349: 1347: 1345: 1336:. Archived from 1326:Spencer R. Weart 1322: 1316: 1315: 1313: 1311: 1302:. Archived from 1292:Spencer R. Weart 1288: 1282: 1281: 1279: 1277: 1255: 1249: 1248: 1212: 1206: 1200: 1194: 1193: 1168:(2–3): 109–142. 1156: 1154: 1152: 1146: 1135: 1127: 1121: 1120: 1083: 1077: 1075: 1073: 1071: 1065: 1059:. Archived from 1026: 1016: 1007: 1006: 1004: 1002: 996: 985: 977: 971: 970: 968: 966: 949:(October 2009). 947:Spencer R. Weart 943: 937: 936:, pp. 37–39 931: 925: 924: 922: 920: 914: 907: 905:10.3354/cr023089 884:Climate Research 881: 872: 851:Climate Research 820:Climate Research 794:Sir Muir Russell 786:Climate Research 778:Climate Research 734:Sherwood B. Idso 619:Climate Research 599:Willie Soon and 525:Climate Research 471:dendrochronology 469:, whose work on 392:papers that, in 290:Climate Research 285:Chris de Freitas 262:Climate Research 250:Chris de Freitas 245:Climate Research 108:greenhouse gases 48:were related to 44:and argued that 37:Climate Research 2925: 2924: 2920: 2919: 2918: 2916: 2915: 2914: 2870: 2869: 2848: 2846:Further reading 2838: 2825: 2822: 2813:Wayback Machine 2804: 2800: 2788:Wayback Machine 2775: 2771: 2759:Wayback Machine 2738:Wayback Machine 2725: 2721: 2709:Wayback Machine 2696: 2692: 2682: 2680: 2664: 2663: 2659: 2651:Chicago Tribune 2643: 2642: 2638: 2633:on 2 July 2011. 2618: 2617: 2613: 2603: 2601: 2585: 2584: 2580: 2570: 2568: 2552: 2551: 2544: 2534: 2532: 2528: 2517: 2512: 2511: 2507: 2497: 2495: 2494:on 8 April 2013 2481: 2480: 2476: 2466: 2464: 2448: 2447: 2443: 2433: 2431: 2414: 2413: 2409: 2377:10.1.1.590.2928 2351: 2350: 2346: 2336: 2334: 2320: 2319: 2315: 2305: 2303: 2299: 2268: 2263: 2262: 2258: 2248: 2246: 2232: 2231: 2227: 2217: 2215: 2206: 2205: 2196: 2186: 2184: 2171: 2170: 2166: 2156: 2154: 2140: 2139: 2132: 2122: 2120: 2106: 2105: 2101: 2088: 2086: 2085:on 19 July 2011 2076: 2075: 2068: 2051: 2041: 2039: 2031: 2026: 2025: 2018: 2007: 2005: 2001: 1990: 1986: 1985: 1976: 1966: 1964: 1943:(44): 473–476. 1928: 1927: 1923: 1911:Wayback Machine 1902: 1898: 1880: 1879: 1870: 1863: 1844: 1843: 1839: 1832: 1813: 1812: 1808: 1798: 1796: 1786: 1785: 1770: 1760: 1758: 1743:(8 June 2005). 1739: 1738: 1734: 1729:Wayback Machine 1715: 1713: 1699: 1698: 1694: 1686: 1682: 1672: 1670: 1656: 1655: 1646: 1636: 1634: 1620: 1619: 1615: 1603:Wayback Machine 1592:Wayback Machine 1579: 1575: 1551:10.1.1.124.3216 1527: 1526: 1522: 1514: 1507: 1497: 1495: 1478: 1477: 1470: 1453: 1451: 1432: 1430: 1421: 1417: 1407: 1405: 1385: 1384: 1365: 1357: 1353: 1343: 1341: 1324: 1323: 1319: 1309: 1307: 1290: 1289: 1285: 1275: 1273: 1257: 1256: 1252: 1214: 1213: 1209: 1201: 1197: 1162:Climatic Change 1159: 1158: 1150: 1148: 1144: 1133: 1129: 1128: 1124: 1089:Climatic Change 1085: 1084: 1080: 1069: 1067: 1063: 1024: 1018: 1017: 1010: 1000: 998: 994: 983: 979: 978: 974: 964: 962: 945: 944: 940: 932: 928: 918: 916: 912: 879: 874: 873: 869: 865: 756: 746: 672: 649: 614: 580:James M. Inhofe 572: 540:Hans von Storch 521: 443:Hans von Storch 429:chief of staff 386: 378:climate anomaly 356:solar variation 274: 266:editor in chief 235:ozone depletion 233:) were causing 223:solar variation 215:Sallie Baliunas 199: 164: 115: 104: 98: 93: 50:solar variation 32:Sallie Baliunas 30:and astronomer 12: 11: 5: 2923: 2921: 2913: 2912: 2907: 2902: 2897: 2892: 2887: 2882: 2872: 2871: 2868: 2867: 2847: 2844: 2843: 2842: 2836: 2821: 2820: 2798: 2769: 2719: 2690: 2657: 2636: 2611: 2578: 2542: 2505: 2474: 2456:New York Times 2441: 2407: 2344: 2313: 2256: 2225: 2194: 2164: 2130: 2099: 2066: 2016: 1974: 1921: 1896: 1868: 1861: 1837: 1830: 1806: 1795:on 25 May 2011 1768: 1732: 1692: 1680: 1644: 1613: 1573: 1520: 1505: 1468: 1415: 1363: 1351: 1317: 1283: 1268:. p. 10. 1250: 1207: 1195: 1122: 1095:(1–2): 33–69. 1078: 1008: 972: 938: 926: 866: 864: 861: 847:State of Texas 839:Peabody Energy 806:Richard Horton 745: 742: 671: 668: 648: 645: 629:New York Times 613: 610: 571: 570:Senate hearing 568: 520: 517: 385: 382: 312:Little Ice Age 310:(MWP) and the 273: 270: 207:Kyoto Protocol 198: 195: 189:. In 2001 the 182:climate change 167:Kyoto Protocol 162: 119:global warming 113: 100:Main article: 97: 94: 92: 89: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 2922: 2911: 2908: 2906: 2903: 2901: 2898: 2896: 2893: 2891: 2888: 2886: 2883: 2881: 2878: 2877: 2875: 2865: 2861: 2857: 2853: 2850: 2849: 2845: 2839: 2833: 2829: 2824: 2823: 2818: 2814: 2810: 2807: 2802: 2799: 2795: 2794: 2789: 2785: 2782: 2778: 2773: 2770: 2766: 2765: 2760: 2756: 2753: 2749: 2745: 2744: 2739: 2735: 2732: 2728: 2727:Michaels, Pat 2723: 2720: 2716: 2715: 2710: 2706: 2703: 2699: 2694: 2691: 2678: 2674: 2673: 2668: 2661: 2658: 2653: 2652: 2647: 2640: 2637: 2632: 2628: 2627: 2622: 2615: 2612: 2599: 2595: 2594: 2589: 2582: 2579: 2566: 2562: 2561: 2556: 2549: 2547: 2543: 2527: 2523: 2516: 2509: 2506: 2493: 2489: 2485: 2478: 2475: 2462: 2458: 2457: 2452: 2445: 2442: 2429: 2425: 2421: 2417: 2411: 2408: 2403: 2399: 2395: 2391: 2387: 2383: 2378: 2373: 2369: 2365: 2361: 2357: 2356: 2348: 2345: 2332: 2328: 2324: 2317: 2314: 2298: 2294: 2290: 2286: 2282: 2278: 2274: 2267: 2260: 2257: 2244: 2240: 2236: 2229: 2226: 2213: 2209: 2203: 2201: 2199: 2195: 2182: 2178: 2174: 2168: 2165: 2152: 2148: 2144: 2137: 2135: 2131: 2118: 2114: 2110: 2103: 2100: 2096: 2084: 2080: 2073: 2071: 2067: 2062: 2056: 2049: 2037: 2030: 2023: 2021: 2017: 2000: 1996: 1989: 1983: 1981: 1979: 1975: 1962: 1958: 1954: 1950: 1946: 1942: 1938: 1937: 1932: 1925: 1922: 1918: 1917: 1912: 1908: 1905: 1900: 1897: 1892: 1888: 1884: 1877: 1875: 1873: 1869: 1864: 1858: 1854: 1850: 1849: 1841: 1838: 1833: 1827: 1823: 1819: 1818: 1810: 1807: 1794: 1790: 1783: 1781: 1779: 1777: 1775: 1773: 1769: 1756: 1752: 1751: 1746: 1742: 1736: 1733: 1730: 1726: 1723: 1711: 1707: 1703: 1696: 1693: 1689: 1684: 1681: 1668: 1664: 1660: 1653: 1651: 1649: 1645: 1632: 1628: 1624: 1617: 1614: 1610: 1609: 1604: 1600: 1597: 1593: 1589: 1586: 1582: 1577: 1574: 1569: 1565: 1561: 1557: 1552: 1547: 1543: 1539: 1535: 1531: 1524: 1521: 1518:, p. 131 1517: 1512: 1510: 1506: 1493: 1489: 1485: 1481: 1480:Mooney, Chris 1475: 1473: 1469: 1465: 1463: 1449: 1445: 1444: 1439: 1435: 1428: 1424: 1419: 1416: 1403: 1399: 1395: 1394: 1389: 1382: 1380: 1378: 1376: 1374: 1372: 1370: 1368: 1364: 1360: 1355: 1352: 1339: 1335: 1331: 1327: 1321: 1318: 1305: 1301: 1297: 1293: 1287: 1284: 1271: 1267: 1266: 1261: 1254: 1251: 1246: 1242: 1238: 1237:10.1038/33859 1234: 1230: 1226: 1222: 1218: 1211: 1208: 1204: 1199: 1196: 1191: 1187: 1183: 1179: 1175: 1171: 1167: 1163: 1143: 1139: 1132: 1126: 1123: 1118: 1114: 1110: 1106: 1102: 1098: 1094: 1090: 1082: 1079: 1062: 1058: 1054: 1050: 1046: 1042: 1038: 1034: 1030: 1023: 1015: 1013: 1009: 993: 989: 982: 976: 973: 960: 956: 952: 948: 942: 939: 935: 930: 927: 911: 906: 901: 897: 893: 889: 885: 878: 871: 868: 862: 860: 857: 852: 848: 844: 840: 836: 832: 828: 823: 821: 817: 813: 812: 807: 803: 799: 795: 790: 787: 783: 779: 775: 771: 770: 765: 761: 755: 751: 743: 741: 739: 735: 731: 730:Craig D. Idso 726: 724: 720: 716: 712: 708: 703: 701: 700:David Legates 696: 692: 688: 684: 679: 677: 669: 667: 664: 659: 656: 655: 646: 644: 640: 637: 632: 630: 625: 621: 620: 611: 609: 606: 602: 601:David Legates 598: 593: 588: 585: 581: 577: 569: 567: 563: 560: 554: 551: 550: 543: 541: 537: 536:Clare Goodess 532: 530: 526: 518: 516: 513: 509: 508: 502: 500: 496: 492: 487: 482: 480: 476: 472: 468: 464: 460: 454: 452: 448: 447:Clare Goodess 444: 439: 436: 432: 431:Philip Cooney 428: 424: 421: 417: 412: 409: 404: 399: 395: 391: 383: 381: 379: 373: 371: 370: 365: 361: 357: 352: 350: 349:David Legates 346: 345:Sherwood Idso 342: 338: 337: 331: 329: 325: 321: 317: 313: 309: 305: 301: 297: 293: 291: 286: 278: 271: 269: 267: 263: 259: 258:peer reviewed 255: 251: 247: 246: 240: 236: 232: 228: 224: 220: 216: 212: 208: 204: 196: 194: 192: 188: 183: 179: 174: 172: 168: 160: 156: 152: 148: 144: 140: 136: 132: 128: 124: 120: 116: 109: 103: 95: 90: 88: 86: 82: 78: 73: 71: 67: 63: 59: 55: 51: 47: 43: 39: 38: 33: 29: 25: 24: 19: 2863: 2827: 2801: 2791: 2772: 2764:The Guardian 2762: 2748:Pearce, Fred 2741: 2722: 2714:The Guardian 2712: 2698:Pearce, Fred 2693: 2681:. 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Index

Willie Soon
Sallie Baliunas
Climate Research
hockey stick graph
historical temperature changes
solar variation
greenhouse gas emissions
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
George W. Bush administration
Environmental Protection Agency
peer review
Otto Kinne
global warming controversy
Hockey stick graph (global temperature)
greenhouse gases
CO2
global warming
World Meteorological Organization
Reagan administration
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
IPCC First Assessment Report
Hubert Lamb
IPCC Second Assessment Report
Raymond S. Bradley
Phil Jones
Hughes
Medieval Warm Period
Kyoto Protocol
American Petroleum Institute
Mann

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