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Talk:Three-point estimation

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74: 53: 22: 484: 163:
In the first case, the SD referred to {"SD = (b − a) / 6"} is the SD of the triangular distribution not the the standard error of the mean (which is unknown in this example). In the second case, this summation only works if all tasks times are independent, identically distributed, and normally
323: 318: 243: 479:{\displaystyle \operatorname {SD} ({\text{project}})={\sqrt {{1 \over n}\left(\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}}_{1})^{2}+\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}}_{2})^{2}+\cdots +\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}}_{n})^{2}\right)}}} 124: 248: 178: 513: 114: 518: 508: 90: 486: 81: 58: 157:
Technically, what is being referred to here is not the 'confidence level in E', the following is also technically incorrect:
33: 313:{\displaystyle {\sqrt {\sum {\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}})^{2}}}}=\sum {\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}})}} 21: 238:{\displaystyle \operatorname {SD} ({\text{project}})={\sqrt {\sum {\operatorname {SD} ({\text{task}})^{2}}}}} 490: 39: 73: 52: 89:
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160:"Calculates the SD value for the total project work as SD (Project Work) = √(Σ SD (Task) 2)" 164:
distributed - plainly not often the case, otherwise you wouldn't be using 3pt estimates.
502: 494: 86: 154:"Confidence level in E value +/- SD is approximately 68%... etc" 15: 245:
makes no sense; square root of a square is the value itself:
326: 320:. It's probably supposed to be the root mean square: 251: 181: 85:, a collaborative effort to improve the coverage of 478: 312: 237: 8: 19: 47: 463: 453: 448: 423: 413: 408: 389: 379: 374: 349: 347: 336: 325: 301: 291: 276: 267: 257: 252: 250: 226: 217: 207: 202: 191: 180: 49: 7: 79:This article is within the scope of 38:It is of interest to the following 514:Low-importance Statistics articles 14: 146:Typos everywhere. That is all 99:Knowledge:WikiProject Statistics 72: 51: 20: 519:WikiProject Statistics articles 509:Start-Class Statistics articles 119:This article has been rated as 102:Template:WikiProject Statistics 495:21:44, 25 September 2022 (UTC) 460: 444: 420: 404: 386: 370: 341: 333: 306: 298: 273: 264: 223: 214: 196: 188: 1: 93:and see a list of open tasks. 535: 171:Sum of standard deviations 118: 67: 46: 480: 314: 239: 82:WikiProject Statistics 28:This article is rated 481: 315: 240: 324: 249: 179: 150:Factually incorrect 142:riddled with typos. 105:Statistics articles 476: 310: 235: 34:content assessment 474: 451: 411: 377: 357: 339: 304: 283: 270: 233: 220: 194: 167:Needs updating. 139: 138: 135: 134: 131: 130: 526: 485: 483: 482: 477: 475: 473: 469: 468: 467: 458: 457: 452: 449: 428: 427: 418: 417: 412: 409: 394: 393: 384: 383: 378: 375: 358: 350: 348: 340: 337: 319: 317: 316: 311: 309: 305: 302: 284: 282: 281: 280: 271: 268: 253: 244: 242: 241: 236: 234: 232: 231: 230: 221: 218: 203: 195: 192: 125:importance scale 107: 106: 103: 100: 97: 76: 69: 68: 63: 55: 48: 31: 25: 24: 16: 534: 533: 529: 528: 527: 525: 524: 523: 499: 498: 459: 447: 419: 407: 385: 373: 363: 359: 322: 321: 272: 247: 246: 222: 177: 176: 173: 161: 155: 152: 144: 104: 101: 98: 95: 94: 61: 32:on Knowledge's 29: 12: 11: 5: 532: 530: 522: 521: 516: 511: 501: 500: 472: 466: 462: 456: 446: 443: 440: 437: 434: 431: 426: 422: 416: 406: 403: 400: 397: 392: 388: 382: 372: 369: 366: 362: 356: 353: 346: 343: 335: 332: 329: 308: 300: 297: 294: 290: 287: 279: 275: 266: 263: 260: 256: 229: 225: 216: 213: 210: 206: 201: 198: 190: 187: 184: 172: 169: 159: 153: 151: 148: 143: 140: 137: 136: 133: 132: 129: 128: 121:Low-importance 117: 111: 110: 108: 91:the discussion 77: 65: 64: 62:Low‑importance 56: 44: 43: 37: 26: 13: 10: 9: 6: 4: 3: 2: 531: 520: 517: 515: 512: 510: 507: 506: 504: 497: 496: 492: 488: 470: 464: 454: 441: 438: 435: 432: 429: 424: 414: 401: 398: 395: 390: 380: 367: 364: 360: 354: 351: 344: 330: 327: 295: 292: 288: 285: 277: 261: 258: 254: 227: 211: 208: 204: 199: 185: 182: 170: 168: 165: 158: 149: 147: 141: 126: 122: 116: 113: 112: 109: 92: 88: 84: 83: 78: 75: 71: 70: 66: 60: 57: 54: 50: 45: 41: 35: 27: 23: 18: 17: 487:91.153.55.81 175:The formula 174: 166: 162: 156: 145: 120: 80: 40:WikiProjects 30:Start-class 503:Categories 96:Statistics 87:statistics 59:Statistics 338:project 193:project 123:on the 36:scale. 491:talk 450:task 410:task 376:task 303:task 269:task 219:task 115:Low 505:: 493:) 442:⁡ 439:SD 433:⋯ 402:⁡ 399:SD 368:⁡ 365:SD 331:⁡ 328:SD 296:⁡ 293:SD 289:∑ 262:⁡ 259:SD 255:∑ 212:⁡ 209:SD 205:∑ 186:⁡ 183:SD 489:( 471:) 465:2 461:) 455:n 445:( 436:+ 430:+ 425:2 421:) 415:2 405:( 396:+ 391:2 387:) 381:1 371:( 361:( 355:n 352:1 345:= 342:) 334:( 307:) 299:( 286:= 278:2 274:) 265:( 228:2 224:) 215:( 200:= 197:) 189:( 127:. 42::

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91.153.55.81
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21:44, 25 September 2022 (UTC)
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