991:; I don't think credible sources are willing to make definitive statements about 2024 candidacies until they know who wins the 2020 election. However, there seems to be enough other coverage to have something. After the elections next week, the initial 2024 Senate map will be set, and there will be enough for at least one article on the 2024 US elections; that first article should be
849:. As I said before, an article on the next presidential election (2020) is fine, and I might even be convinced about an article on the next next election (2024) as we get to within a year of the previous one provided that the depth of sources are there, but the having an article at this point is just silly. Keep it as a draft until at least late 2019. --
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has criteria for inclusion of speculation: potential candidates require two recent substantive reliable sources that the individual may run that year, not a kitchen-sink lists of names ruminating about the distant future – many sources used are speculating about both 2020 and 2024 together. If people
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I thought it obvious to return this to mainspace, and I still do. The article is about the
Reliably published political planning and speculation for the election. WP follows the sources, not our opinion., The sources are already writing about the election, and about these candidates in terms of the
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they are about equally probable. We could abolish the US Constitution, or we could abolish the
Gregorian calendar. There are some less likely possibilities, but I cannot think of any more likely. It's much more likely there will be an election than that WP will be around to record it, especially if
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No, that XfD closed to keep it as a draft, it was not a consensus to move the page to mainspace. It is bad form to recreate a deleted article without a clear change in consensus to overturn the previous one (perhaps including those who weighed in before), which that did not provide; this even falls
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years in advance: there's virtually nothing of substance to be said about it yet, and we have no idea what the issues are going to be or who the serious candidates are going to be (Kanye West, my ass). There's a longstanding consensus to permit articles about the immediate next election, yes, but
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until after the 2020 election, so it is disappointing that this has been recreated. Convention for election articles has been that there should not be articles for events beyond the next election, as there is not substantive information beyond speculation about the event due to, for example, the
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speculation on potential candidates be banned until after the 2020 election. As was noted in the previous AFD, the demographic changes sources are not connected to this election itself, and neither that section nor the popular culture section even have corresponding content in the 2016 or 2020
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election, so there is basis for an article. It's hardly indiscriminate There are about 160 million potential candidates (US-born, over 35)--most of them are not included. Only the 1 in ten million about whom there are sources. We can add those others as the sources talk about them.
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Seems to me we have two votes that have decided this is to stay off mainspace - one that voted for it to be deleted, another voting for it to be kept off mainspace as a draft. I think it should remain off mainspace, and peeps can work on the draft if need be.
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closed as keep, but the participants there were voting to keep the draft, not to move it to mainspace against the prior consensus. Should for some reason this be closed differently from the previous discussion, I would beg that
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extremely bad form to take a page to XfD immediately after it was kept at XfD. There is clearly significant public discourse in reliable sources about candidates following an (assumed) Trump 2nd term.
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And the reason why I don't think moving this to the draft namespace it is okay either is because it can mislead new editors into thinking that this is appropriate for
Knowledge.
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with stipulation that most of the speculation of candidates be removed, if it is determined that the information in this section is sufficient for a stand-alone article.--
52:. There's consensus not to keep this in mainspace. It's doubtful whether there's sufficient support to move it to draft space, but I guess anybody can request that via
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if it is determined that the information presented in the demographic changes section is insufficient for a stand-alone article at this time.
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Back to draft. Too early to have an article like this over 6 years in advance. Having a good one prepared should be a priority however.
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for 2024. The only thing we know for sure about the year 2024 is that it will have 12 months and 366 days.
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and none of them are actually running for president in 2024 at this time. Also, this is basically a
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We can justify keeping this as a draft. But as of now, the article would be pure speculation. ~
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The following discussion is an archived debate of the proposed deletion of the article below.
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Subsequent comments should be made on the appropriate discussion page (such as the article's
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Knowledge:Articles for deletion/United States presidential election, 2024 (2nd nomination)
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the immediate next election, and I see no credible reason to overturn that now.
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Articles for deletion/United States presidential election, 2024 (3rd nomination)
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articles, leaving negligible content actually about the 2024 election itself.
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There is no guarantee that an election will be held in 2024. An election is
623:- It's too early to have this article on mainspace. We've yet to have the
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Blatant misrepresentation of an MfD this user did not participate in.
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we devote ourselves to rejecting atricles ofn that sort of basis.
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The above discussion is preserved as an archive of the debate.
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Articles for deletion/United States presidential election, 2024
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Why did you think I nominated the draft for deletion? A pure
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list of United States of
America-related deletion discussions
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item at the moment. I guess draftifying is a viable option.
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want a list of people that are being theorized about,
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1021:Lets first bother about 2020, it is too early now.
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Knowledge:Articles for deletion/Log/2018 October 25
272:, the article was deleted and the title salted (by
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676:Note: This discussion has been included in the
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870:Too much speculation right now. I agree with
748:. The names there are only guesses which are
646:list of Politics-related deletion discussions
393:Pinging participants in previous discussion:
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338:Republican Party presidential primaries, 2020
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56:if they want to work on it.
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680:. ~
650:Amory
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