Knowledge (XXG)

talk:WikiProject COVID-19/Case Count Task Force - Knowledge (XXG)

Source 📝

158: 140: 168: 431:: I have not included Worldometer as a recommended source in this page for a reason, discussed extensively in other talk pages. They do not cite exact sources for every update and they have reported incorrect figures repeatedly without a cited source, citing a dubious source, or without a rollback when a source was proven incorrect. I do use it to check if we are missing updates though. For the US, it seems 1point3acres is gaining some more traction as a source. -- 1701:, in addition to the current "Cases" and "Suspected cases" labels, have added to it "Infections" and "Suspected infections". The concern I had was in the meaningful difference between these terms and wanted to ensure the change was supported by consensus and said to be accurate before it is implemented. I presume this WikiProject / WP Medicine will have the best insight on this question. Some more of my thoughts are in the template talk discussion linked. 109: 413:
which is then apparently being used to assume no recoveries in Ohio since worldometers is also reporting a "recovered" number for the country as a whole, so they must be aggregating stuff that can't be aggregated. At best they should be reporting "reported recoveries" and "cases reported as active" if they're getting that level of detail from some depts of health.
1740:- Early on, "Confirmed Cases" would be lab confirmed (mostly PCR) tests, with a higher number for "Suspected cases" which includes clinical diagnoses during test shortages. Later, moving the "Confirmed Cases" and "Suspected Infections" as we learned how many asymptomatic infections there were, and clinical diagnoses became a vanishingly small proportion of cases. 1251: 1528: 1812:, but not sure if it is the best approach: shall we keep it as a Knowledge (XXG) article page that works only on a single language and have challenge to move and share in other WP languages and articles of EN Knowledge (XXG), or shall we use WikiData or other open source relational data and transclude them into EN Knowledge (XXG)? 1720:
Infections" from "Suspected Cases". COVID provides a good example of this, with some early cases prior to widespread lab testing being diagnosed through clinical exam and/or epidemiology (close contact with a lab confirmed case), and these cases almost by definition only being symptomatic infections. So the way I see it:
763:: We are tracking officially confirmed cases, deaths and recoveries. By definition, official sources are reliable for this. Why do you say Venezuela has no reliable sources in this case? Even the most biased state-run media outlets around the world are generally valid to cite government officials' claims. -- 1719:
I think that, in terms of how they're being used, "Infections" and "Suspected Infections" are synonymous. The reason an infection isn't a case is that it wasn't confirmed via a laboratory test, meaning by definition it's an estimate. Of course, this brings up the question of why we need to separate "
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field structure does not yet account for this focus on 'infections', allowing only 'Suspected cases' — which currently contains the 'Infection' text quoted in the preceding paragraph. In view of 1) the CDC distinction (noted above) between IFR and CFR and 2) the WHO speakihg (also above) in terms of
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I heard a rumor that the SF Chronicle was sourcing data to a Feature Layer in ESRI's arcgis system, which was build from the California state data from the WP template. ! Now switching to JHU because it is more regularly updated... But we should confirm this + work with thowever it was making that
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Just a reminder that the WMF wikis and Google are fundamentally different projects. Knowledge (XXG) is fully transparent and community run, while Alphabet Inc is an authoritarian centralised secretive corporation that is trying to retain close to totalitarian control over information. As a member of
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to any potential partner (see Collaboration section) who is interested in using this data. The decision to use data from Knowledge (XXG)/Wikimedia projects ultimately rests with them, not us, but we're definitely excited and eager to assist any major search engine or other partner that wants to get
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lede (lab tests, confirmed, deaths). Feel free to list them on this project page too. The Ministry of Health or equivalent institution is usually the only source for this information. You will find secondary sources citing them, but reliable sources using different underlying data are rare, except
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All four of these parameters are epidemiologically useful. (For example: what fractions of each of the first three groups are likely to be SARS-CoV-2 positive? what fractions will fall ill with COVID-19? what fractions have seasonal influenza instead? is it a wise strategy to quarantine people and
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I've said this elsewhere, but reporting by worldometers of Ohio's stats is definitely suspicious -- they say they're sourcing to Ohio Department of Health, but ODH is reporting only cumulative cases and deaths, and worldometers is doing arithmetic to arrive at a number for "active cases" for Ohio,
1601:… as a new parameter value for disease severity, replacing the Symptomatic Case Fatality Ratio and the Symptomatic Case Hospitalization Ratio. IFR takes into account both symptomatic and asymptomatic cases and may therefore be a more directly measurable parameter for disease severity for COVID-19. 692:
maybe that was for a moment while CA and NY were going through process changes. It is usually ~1 day ahead of CDC, and reflects reports at the state level -- which is always lagging a bit behind county-level reports. But we should work with them to coordinate updates -- they are hand-reviewing
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quarantined - this means legal quarantining, with police visits to check, and had a big jump when border closures became strict and all people entering Poland started having compulsory 14-day quarantines; these values mix home quarantines (with random police checks) and quarantines in buildings
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and occasionally on some country-specific articles. Some editors are doing the same, while others are focusing on a single country-specific article. I think we can be more efficient if some editors are committed to update, at least, some subset of countries. In my case, I can be faster sourcing
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I don't think that individuals really need to take responsibility for one country. What happens is that people continuously edit to update. Once a day I check all entries to see if a change has been missed. This can take a while so there may be no point in time where everything is updated. If
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If there are many (are there any?) other territories providing these daily statistics, then we might want to consider something more systematic than just a note for these territories. (Does Sweden provide daily statistics of the number of elderly people self-isolating, for example?)
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I think you need to focus on a core group of articles and templates you seek to keep accurate because case counting is happening on hundreds of articles now and it would be difficult to impose order on an aspect that experienced, casual and brand new editors are contributing to.
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If you look at the Venezuela COVID-19 article's talk page, there's discussion there. And the Ministry of Health is known to lie and hide statistics. It's not just that you can't trust the state-run media, you can't trust the government. That's kind of the issue.
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and sticking to the Illinois Department of Public Health's official numbers that come out daily. However, their information is typically a day behind the local county health departments official numbers. Should we include both the local and the state numbers?
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An important unknown during the COVID-19 pandemic has been the infection-fatality rate (IFR). This differs from the case-fatality rate (CFR) as an estimate of the number of deaths as a proportion of the total number of cases, including those who are
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Please remember that Wikipedians are volunteers. It's quite likely that most of us would prefer a priority for cooperation with non-authoritarian, privacy-respecting organisations rather than with authoritarian, privacy-violating organisations.
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a) is rather vague. Have you or have you not directly reached out to Duckduckgo and Qwant? Did you do so before my message? Did you directly reach out to Bing - the search engine of an organisation focussed on authoritarian control and privacy
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There is an amazing amount of data being assembled and collated here. I'd love to find a way for us to share it with the world as a machine-readable API. Is the best way to scrape it from the tables in the templates, or could we move it to
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in at least some periods. Generally, the more infections a country has, the more noisy (super-Poissonian) the daily counts are. With a few exceptions. This theme might become WP-notable if mainstream media take it up. (Disclaimer: COI)
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Data (cases/deaths) per population are useful to assess the spreads of impacts on countries. Since COVID mostly kill old people total deaths divided by population over 65 (for instance, because there are open data:
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Despite constant community criticism of the Polish Ministry of Health data, and whatever the true accuracy of the data may be, the Ministry appears to be the only state health agency that publishes daily values of:
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This task force has a noble goal but case counts are being constantly updated on hundreds of COVID-19 articles. There is no way I can see to make every editor abide by the guidelines a task force can come up with.
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that an 'Infections' field be added to allow for clearer presentation of this new metric relevant to COVID–19 and any other future outbreak where a substantive fraction of infections are asymptomatic or mild.
1842:. The reasons and possible alternatives are not trivial issues, which is why I think an essay is appropriate to see if arguments for and against possible ways to handle this disinformation can emerge. 982: 978: 1691: 1404:
for small daily incremental updates for cases, deaths and recoveries. The focus on confirmed cases, deaths and recovery is just because that is what we are trying to track for every territory at
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suspected/hospitalised cases - people who are ill and their illness is suspected to be COVID-19 and so they are hospitalised, but not (yet) SARS-CoV-2 positive in terms of lab tests;
34: 296:: Indeed, in practice I think a lot of us are just trying to catch latest updates. I'm working on script to automate alerts for updates. As you know, I'm posting a report daily at 1614:. While the CFR is extremely valuable for experts, IFR is increasingly being called for by policy-makers and the lay public as an estimate of the overall mortality from COVID-19. 1242:: we reached out to Duckduckgo last week to see how/if we could support them. We also just learned that Bing is using Knowledge (XXG) stats, among other sources of data, for 1145:
the WMF board, you could at least tell us what efforts you have made to cooperate with community-based search engines that aim at user privacy right from the beginning, like
486:, I agree. It's one thing to use them as an easy way to find the other sources already easily grouped, but we shouldn't source to them directly, their arithmetic is suspect. 646:
Consider including covidtracking.com as a US source -- it's a curated synth of other available sources, with source and fact-checking from the Atlantic and other outlets.
1746:- Move "Suspected Cases" to "Suspected Infections" to match the terminology used by the source. Potential to estimate symptomatic illness in the "Suspected Cases" field. 1835: 1171:, quick clarification: I am not a member of the Board of the Wikimedia Foundation; I work as a staff member for the Wikimedia Foundation on the Partnerships team :) 363: 1408: 714: 466: 297: 258: 1439:) would be useful. Eventually the target would be to get the death rate within the ages over 65. It is somthing different an dsimplier as the case fatality rate. 960: 667:: Their approach to sources is amazing, with clear source citations, grades, screenshots, etc. However, I see it is currently lagging a lot, even behind the CDC ( 190: 84: 807: 1120:
To be clear, this is just to give you an idea of the case data Google is already displaying and wants to display based on what readers are searching for.
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To answer your question: my team has a) directly reached out to all partners who we think might be interested in using this data, and b) publicly
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For those of us that have been updating pages with the confirmed cases (active, recovered, and deaths), should we include all official sources?
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and "official" versus "reliable" data. It seems to me that we are currently providing disinformation for several countries, even though this is
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There's no reason not to sum the county health figures, that I can see, as long as we don't mix the two series in the same list. All the best:
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These data start on 19 Feb, which by coincidence happens to be exactly two weeks before the first official SARS-CoV-2 detection on 4 March.
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monitored - health agency employees are supposed to telephone regularly, and/or the monitored people install programs on smartphones;
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Thanks! I'd like to see them all in one place, then we can generate multilingual assets, among other things. All the best:
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Sounds great! Whatever solution we use, it should be easy to update and it should allow maintaining references properly. --
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A great updated archive of day-by-day testing (positive and negative) data for Colorado and other states in the US is
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has mentioned in a more recent thread, covidtracking.com is not as up-to-date as other trackers such as 1Point3Acres.
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Wikipedia_talk:WikiProject_COVID-19#Data_on_most-trafficked_COVID_stats_in_Google_+_sneak_peek_at_stats_card_roadmap
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Information is limited to a small number of countries. Google is hoping to get this information for all countries.
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Information is limited to a small number of countries. Google is hoping to get this information for all countries.
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suggested I advertise here for further input. Other participants to-date in this and related discussion include
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the roadmap table rendered poorly via the mailing list, so posting here in a wikitable so it's easier to read:
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changes for countries with Spanish (and most Romance languages) sources than, let's say, Slavic languages. --
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in a country, the more likely that the noise is low, i.e. the less likely it is that the data are reliable.
1729:"Suspected Infections" - Estimate of all infections, symptomatic or not, often through serological surveys. 1007:
Coverage is not available in all countries. Google is hoping to get info on at least the top 50 countries.
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Wikipedia_talk:WikiProject_COVID-19#Google_using_Wikipedia_pages_to_power_sidebar_stats_panel_in_search
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We provide additional epidemiolodical indicators in many country-specific articles. See, for example,
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There seems to be some additional distinction between "cases" and "infections" (reading from the CDC
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Though I'd update here that there's discussions at the Venezuela article about how the country has
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diagnosed clinically or epidemiologically but laboratory testing is inconclusive or not available.
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The CDC, in response to COVID–19, added 'Infection Fatality Ratio (IFR)' on 7/20/2020 to their
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responsibility is needed it would be for little known places that do not appear in the news.
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Information is currently only a snapshot view. Google is still looking for tests over time.
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this Knowledge (XXG) WikiProject C19CCTF (COVID-19 Case Count Task Force) dataset snapshot
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Question: using WikiData or better solution than a WikiText article on a single language?
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confirmed by laboratory testing irrespective of severity of clinical signs or symptoms
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feature layer to help normalize / speed up updates + help make them more visible.
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I've started copying data from these templates to the Data namespace on Commons. --
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Thanks for the clarification about WMF Board vs WMFPartnerships employeeship. :)
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This reply is just to let you know that your suggestion has not been forgotten.
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Talk:2020 coronavirus pandemic in Venezuela § Ministerio de la Salud as source
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re: whether or not translation work should be done at separate task force. ---
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but that does not mean we cannot add further indicators to other articles. --
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And in case it's interesting/helpful, Google is sharing some data back. See
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lab-tested - this presumably is for tests, not the number of tested people.
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Total Tests, Positive Tests, Tests/Million People, Positive/Thousand Tests
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_by_country_and_territory#covid19-container
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_by_country_and_territory#covid19-container
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_by_country_and_territory#covid19-container
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_by_country_and_territory#covid19-container
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Template:2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_data/United_States_medical_cases
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Template:2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_data/United_States_medical_cases
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not "waste" money/time testing them if they remain asymptomatic?)
1150: 469:. Although I think we should stop using Worldometer there too. -- 189:-related articles. If you would like to help, you are invited to 516:. I'm the Product Manager for APIs at the Wikimedia Foundation. 521: 1656:
that the field label should be 'Suspected infections' because
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Wikipedia_talk:WikiProject_COVID-19 § Translation_Task_Force?
745:, and how to deal with that, if anyone here was interested. 448:, but it's listed for the US as a source we're relying on? 1781:
This taxonomy is straightforward and satisfies the need.
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and 'Suspected cases' aligns with UO7.1 plus WHO's UO7.2
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_deaths/WHO_situation_reports
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To word the request how I see it, it was requested that
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2019–20_coronavirus_pandemic_cases/WHO_situation_reports
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https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.POP.65UP.TO.ZS
1399:(cases, hospitalizations, ICU, deaths, recoveries) or 1256:
wikimedia.org if they're interested in collaborating!
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Template talk:COVID-19 testing by country subdivision
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Anyways, hope that addresses your concerns. Cheers.
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for the moment a preprint submitted for peer review
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US testing data by date by state: covidtracking.com
1734:Some examples of how this would be used on pages: 1723:"Confirmed Cases" - Lab test confirmed infections. 1620:About 10% of the global population may have been 1096:Distribution of cases by age, gender and severity 1074:Distribution of cases by age, gender and severity 1056:Distribution of cases by age, gender and severity 590:Questions on Official Sources for Confirmed Cases 185:, a project to coordinate efforts to improve all 1589:'Suspected cases' vs 'Infections' — an issue re 1570:still needed? The data is quite out of date and 1397:2020 coronavirus pandemic in Spain § Statistics 119:does not require a rating on Knowledge (XXG)'s 37:and anything related to its purposes and tasks. 1641:‘infections’ rather than ‘suspected cases’, I 961:2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_the_United_States 713:: I see. It might be worth to discuss this at 1454:Unusually un-noisy national daily case counts 8: 1016:Daily Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 995:Daily Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 972:Daily Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 954:Total Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 935:Total Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 917:Total Cases, Total Recoveries, Total Deaths 715:Template:2019–20 coronavirus pandemic data 467:Template:2019–20 coronavirus pandemic data 298:Template:2019–20 coronavirus pandemic data 259:Template:2019–20 coronavirus pandemic data 134: 35:WikiProject COVID-19/Case Count Task Force 1572:Template talk:COVID-19 testing by country 1496: 1302:. I have transfer your contact to Qwant. 597:For example, I have mainly been updating 382:: As another and more experienced editor 18:Knowledge (XXG) talk:WikiProject COVID-19 1326:CA data used as source for SF Chronicle? 893: 1826:(Un)reliability of open government data 1179:these stats out to a broader audience! 1105:, Pages linked from the main page table 1083:, Pages linked from the main page table 1025:, Pages linked from the main page table 1004:, Pages linked from the main page table 693:sources in a very wiki-compatible way. 136: 1778: 1774: 1657: 1619: 1608: 1600: 1658:the numbers are large-scale estimates 599:2020 coronavirus pandemic in Illinois 359:See also graphs based on the data at 7: 630:(the apparently calm and reasonable) 562:(the apparently calm and reasonable) 203:Knowledge (XXG):WikiProject COVID-19 108: 106: 1836:reliability of open government data 1605:Meyerowitz-Katz & Merone (2020) 1401:2020 coronavirus pandemic in Norway 524:and everyone uses it from there? -- 125:It is of interest to the following 1349:Complementary epidemiological data 24: 1755:) that may prove useful as well. 1409:2019–20 coronavirus pandemic data 987:Missing daily recoveries numbers 743:no reliable reporting on medicine 179:This page is within the scope of 55:New to Knowledge (XXG)? Welcome! 1769:After further review, I support 1526: 1249: 166: 156: 138: 107: 50:Click here to start a new topic. 1871:NA-importance COVID-19 articles 1866:Project-Class COVID-19 articles 1808:I just try to start a page for 1574:is significantly more current. 1852:23:24, 16 September 2021 (UTC) 1: 1876:WikiProject COVID-19 articles 1810:tracking COVID-19 vaccination 1791:06:25, 23 November 2020 (UTC) 1765:15:24, 16 November 2020 (UTC) 1711:17:57, 14 November 2020 (UTC) 1692:08:04, 14 November 2020 (UTC) 1633:from seroprevalence studies. 206:Template:WikiProject COVID-19 47:Put new text under old text. 1821:21:14, 11 January 2021 (UTC) 1618:The WHO, on 10/5, indicated 737:Sources for Venezuelan cases 1556:19:29, 28 August 2021 (UTC) 1285:Thanks for the details. :) 1892: 1584:02:23, 2 August 2020 (UTC) 1312:09:20, 20 April 2020 (UTC) 854:18:14, 31 March 2020 (UTC) 820:18:12, 29 March 2020 (UTC) 795:18:08, 29 March 2020 (UTC) 773:18:03, 29 March 2020 (UTC) 755:15:22, 28 March 2020 (UTC) 680:19:08, 29 March 2020 (UTC) 659:17:59, 26 March 2020 (UTC) 633:10:28, 26 March 2020 (UTC) 616:09:54, 25 March 2020 (UTC) 582:10:52, 26 March 2020 (UTC) 565:10:29, 26 March 2020 (UTC) 549:12:03, 25 March 2020 (UTC) 534:20:20, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 496:14:00, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 479:13:55, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 458:12:03, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 441:11:01, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 423:10:53, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 402:18:05, 31 March 2020 (UTC) 374:23:00, 23 March 2020 (UTC) 357:https://covidtracking.com/ 346:20:01, 23 March 2020 (UTC) 319: 310:18:34, 29 March 2020 (UTC) 288:05:05, 24 March 2020 (UTC) 272:21:44, 22 March 2020 (UTC) 249:21:09, 22 March 2020 (UTC) 1699:Template:Infobox outbreak 1638:Template:Infobox outbreak 1591:Template:Infobox outbreak 1520:15:32, 24 July 2020 (UTC) 1449:10:08, 15 June 2020 (UTC) 1424:12:36, 6 April 2020 (UTC) 1390:00:17, 5 April 2020 (UTC) 1344:05:38, 1 April 2020 (UTC) 1295:19:21, 6 April 2020 (UTC) 1266:17:00, 6 April 2020 (UTC) 1250: 1227:16:33, 6 April 2020 (UTC) 1189:15:37, 6 April 2020 (UTC) 1163:00:01, 5 April 2020 (UTC) 1130:17:40, 3 April 2020 (UTC) 873:17:02, 3 April 2020 (UTC) 727:09:59, 1 April 2020 (UTC) 706:05:36, 1 April 2020 (UTC) 151: 133: 85:Be welcoming to newcomers 1603:That document relied on 1013:State/ Territory (Daily) 951:State/ Territory (Total) 806:: Ok. I'll reply there: 1744:2009 swine flu pandemic 1362:temporarily repurposed; 642:CovidTracking in the US 1176:offered our assistance 1092:State/ Territory : --> 508:APIs for COVID-19 Data 193:and to participate in 80:avoid personal attacks 1805:Hi wise Wikipedians, 1703:ProcrastinatingReader 1664:ProcrastinatingReader 1649:In prior discussion, 1612:mild and asymptomatic 1093:Age, Gender, Severity 1071:Age, Gender, Severity 1053:Age, Gender, Severity 1562:Templates by country 1039:In Progress (Apr-05) 1019:In Progress (Apr-05) 998:In Progress (Apr-05) 182:WikiProject COVID-19 1244:their COVID tracker 512:Hi, all. My name's 195:project discussions 1598:Planning Scenarios 257:: I'm focusing on 121:content assessment 91:dispute resolution 52: 1738:COVID-19 pandemic 1477:The following is 1111: 1110: 909:Notes / Feedback 897:Statistic Segment 851: 830:Google want you ? 636: 568: 225: 224: 221: 220: 217: 216: 209:COVID-19 articles 101: 100: 71:Assume good faith 48: 1883: 1830:I've started an 1818: 1540:open peer review 1534: 1530: 1529: 1500: 1476: 1413: 1407: 1342: 1340: 1255: 1254: 1253: 1252: 1143: 1099:Planned (Apr-12) 1077:Planned (Apr-12) 1059:Planned (Apr-12) 1043:COVID-19_testing 894: 850: 847: 805: 783: 704: 702: 691: 657: 655: 631: 611: 563: 541:EProdromou (WMF) 526:EProdromou (WMF) 341: 334: 333:Another Believer 247: 211: 210: 207: 204: 201: 176: 171: 170: 160: 153: 152: 142: 135: 112: 111: 110: 103: 26: 1891: 1890: 1886: 1885: 1884: 1882: 1881: 1880: 1856: 1855: 1828: 1816: 1803: 1594: 1564: 1527: 1525: 1458: 1456: 1441:PourStephen2020 1432: 1411: 1405: 1351: 1338: 1332: 1328: 1248: 1247: 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Index

Knowledge (XXG) talk:WikiProject COVID-19
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Liz
21:09, 22 March 2020 (UTC)
Liz
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MarioGom
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21:44, 22 March 2020 (UTC)
Graeme Bartlett

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