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Yates analysis

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obtained from the experiment directly) in Yates' order, the first two terms are added and that sum is now the first term in the new column. The next two terms are then added and that is the second term in the new column. Since the terms are added pairwise, half of the new column is now filled and should be composed entirely of the pairwise sums of the data. The second half of the column is found in an analogous manner, only the pairwise differences are taken, where the first term is subtracted from the second, the third from the fourth, and so on. Thus completes the column. Should more columns be needed, the same process is repeated, only using the new column. In other words, the nth column is generated from the (n-1)th column (Berger et al. calls this process "Yatesing the data"). In a
1435:(Adapted from Berger et al., chapter 9) Say there is a study done where one is selling some product by mail and is trying to determine the effect of three factors (postage, product price, envelope size) on people's response rate (that is, will they buy the product). Each factor has two levels: for postage (labeled A), they are third-class (low) and first-class (high), for product price (labeled B) the low level is $ 9.95 and the high level is $ 12.95, and for envelope size (labeled C) the low level is #10 and the high level is 9x12. From the experiment, the following data are acquired. Note that the response rate is given as a proportion of the people who answered the survey (favorably and unfavorably) for each treatment combination. 1757: 1765:
to produce the effect estimates for every treatment combination. Observe that the columns for A, B, and C are the same as those in the design matrix in the above Yates' order section. Observe also that the columns of the interaction effects can be produced by taking the dot product of the columns of the individual factors (i.e., multiplying the columns element-wise to produce another column of the same length). Note that all sums must divided by 4 to yield the actual effect estimate, as shown earlier. Using this table, the effect estimates are calculated as:
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factors. Instead, seven criteria are utilized to define important factors. These seven criteria are not all equally important, nor will they yield identical subsets, in which case a consensus subset or a weighted consensus subset must be extracted. In practice, some of these criteria may not apply in all situations, and some analysts may have additional criteria. These criteria are given as useful guidelines. Mosts analysts will focus on those criteria that they find most useful.
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A positive value means that an increase in the factor creates an increase in the response rate, while a negative value means that that same factor increase actually produces a decrease in the response rate. Note however that these effects have not yet been determined to be statistically significant,
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The full table of signs for a three-factor, two-level design is given to the right. Both the factors (columns) and the treatment combinations (rows) are written in Yates' order. The value of arranging the sum in Yates' order is now apparent, as only the signs need to be altered according to the table
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To determine the magnitudes, the response variables are first arranged in Yates' order, as described in the aforementioned section above. Then, terms are added and subtracted pairwise to determine the next column. More specifically, given the values of the response variables (as they should have been
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in which it is evident that the exponents in the modern notation names are simply the subscripts of the former (note that anything raised to the zeroth power is 1 and anything raised to the first power is itself). Each response variable then gets assigned row-wise to the table above. Thus, the first
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with three numeric criteria and one graphical criterion. The fifth criterion focuses on averages. The last two criteria focus on the residual standard deviation of the model. Once a tentative model has been selected, the error term should follow the assumptions for a univariate measurement process.
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From the above Yates output, one can define the potential models from the Yates analysis. An important component of a Yates analysis is selecting the best model from the available potential models. The above step lists all the potential models. From this list, we want to select the most appropriate
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To better understand and utilize the sign table above, one method of detailing the factors and treatment combinations is called modern notation. The notation is a shorthand that arises from taking the subscripts of each treatment combination, making them exponents, and then evaluating the resulting
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term was included in the model. This is not the case when the design is orthogonal, as is a 2 full factorial design. For orthogonal designs, the estimates for the previously included terms do not change as additional terms are added. This means the ranked list of effect estimates simultaneously
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In short, we want our model to include all the important factors and interactions and to omit the unimportant factors and interactions. Note that the residual standard deviation alone is insufficient for determining the most appropriate model as it will always be decreased by adding additional
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has been used. Full- and fractional-factorial designs are common in designed experiments for engineering and scientific applications. In these designs, each factor is assigned two levels, typically called the low and high levels, and referred to as "-" and "+". For computational purposes, the
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expression and using that as the new name of the treatment combination. Note that while the names look very much like algebraic expressions, they are simply names and no new values are assigned. Taking the 3-factor, 2-level model from above, in Yates' order the response variables are:
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A full factorial design contains all possible combinations of low/high levels for all the factors. A fractional factorial design contains a carefully chosen subset of these combinations. The criterion for choosing the subsets is discussed in detail in the
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This consists of a monotonically decreasing set of residual standard deviations (indicating a better fit as the number of terms in the model increases). The first cumulative residual standard deviation is for the model
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column consists of 2 minus signs (i.e., the low level of the factor) followed by 2 plus signs (i.e., the high level of the factor). For example, for a full factorial design with three factors, the design matrix is
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Singling out factor A (postage) for calculation for now, the overall estimate for A must take into account the interaction effects of B and C on it as well. The four terms for calculation are:
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The estimates for B and C can be determined in a similar fashion. Calculating the interaction effects is also similar, but the responses are averaged over all other effects not considered.
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A ranked list of important factors. That is, least squares estimated factor effects ordered from largest in magnitude (most significant) to smallest in magnitude (least significant).
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where the sum has been rearranged to have all the positive terms grouped together and the negatives together for ease of viewing. In Yates' order, the sum is written as
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In most cases of least squares fitting, the model coefficients for previously added terms change depending on what was successively added. For example, the
1204:{\displaystyle {\textrm {response}}={\textrm {constant}}+0.5\mathrm {(all\ effect\ estimates\ down\ to\ and\ including\ the\ effect\ of\ interest)} } 590:{\displaystyle a_{0}b_{0}c_{0},a_{1}b_{0}c_{0},a_{0}b_{1}c_{0},a_{1}b_{1}c_{0},a_{0}b_{0}c_{1},a_{1}b_{0}c_{1},a_{0}b_{1}c_{1},a_{1}b_{1}c_{1}} 1840:
only that there are such effects on the response rate for each factor. Statistical significance must be ascertained via other methods such as
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The residual standard deviation that results from the model with the single term only. That is, the residual standard deviation from the model
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estimates for factor effects for all factors and all relevant interactions. The Yates analysis can be used to answer the following questions:
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The cumulative residual standard deviation that results from the model using the current term plus all terms preceding that term. That is,
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A factor identifier (from Yates' order). The specific identifier will vary depending on the program used to generate the Yates analysis.
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where the constant is the overall mean of the response variable. The last cumulative residual standard deviation is for the model
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Some analysts may prefer a more graphical presentation of the Yates results. In particular, the following plots may be useful:
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Table of signs to calculate the effect estimates for a 3-level, 2-factor factorial design. Adapted from Berger et al., ch. 9
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factors are scaled so that the low level is assigned a value of -1 and the high level is assigned a value of +1.
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design, k columns will be required, and the last column is the column used to calculate the effect estimates.
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The mathematical details of the Yates analysis are given in chapter 10 of Box, Hunter, and Hunter (1978).
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The total estimate is the sum of these four terms divided by four. In other words, the estimate of A is
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What is the goodness-of-fit (as measured by the residual standard deviation) for the various models?
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Before performing a Yates analysis, the data should be arranged in "Yates' order". That is, given
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serves as the least squares coefficient estimates for progressively more complicated models.
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Statistics for Experimenters: An Introduction to Design, Data Analysis, and Model Building
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We want the model to be parsimonious. That is, the model should be as simple as possible.
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Determining the Yates' order for fractional factorial designs requires knowledge of the
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Berger, Paul D.; Maurer, Robert E.; Celli, Giovana B. (30 November 2017). "9".
2138: 48:, a Yates analysis exploits the special structure of these designs to generate 17: 2131:, The Art of Computer Programming, vol. 2 (3rd ed.), Addison-Wesley 1956: 741: 813: 816:
for the individual factor effect estimates. The t-value is computed as
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That is, the model should be validated by analyzing the residuals.
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This last model will have a residual standard deviation of zero.
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The Yates analysis is typically complemented by a number of
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Further reading can be found in Berger et al., chapter 9.
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Sum-Product Algorithms for the Analysis of Genetic Risks
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model. This requires balancing the following two goals.
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coefficient might change depending on whether or not an
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Box, G. E. P.; Hunter, W. G.; Hunter, J. S. (1978).
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We want the model to include all important factors.
2105: 1743: 1632: 1414: 1248: 1203: 934: 854: 800: 713: 693: 670: 589: 305: 278: 251: 224: 197: 170: 143: 116: 736:A Yates analysis generates the following output. 24:is an approach to analyzing data obtained from a 2161:The design and analysis of factorial experiments 1744:{\displaystyle E_{a}=(-1+a-b+ab-c+ac-bc+abc)/4} 2208:National Institute of Standards and Technology 1633:{\displaystyle E_{a}=(a+ab+ac+abc-1-b-c-bc)/4} 8: 78:("DOE" stands for "design of experiments"). 1964:Cumulative residual standard deviation plot 1527:ac โ€“ c, estimate of A with B low and C high 1524:ab โ€“ b, estimate of A with B high and C low 1769:Effect estimate for treatment combination 766:23 = interaction of factor 2 and factor 3 763:13 = interaction of factor 1 and factor 3 760:12 = interaction of factor 1 and factor 2 2085:Learn how and when to remove this message 1733: 1655: 1649: 1622: 1547: 1541: 1530:abc โ€“ bc, estimate of A with B and C high 1296: 1284: 1283: 1274: 1273: 1271: 1240: 1239: 1230: 1229: 1227: 998: 986: 985: 976: 975: 973: 926: 910: 909: 900: 899: 897: 844: 835: 827: 792: 786: 769:123 = interaction of factors 1, 2, and 3 706: 686: 606: 581: 571: 561: 548: 538: 528: 515: 505: 495: 482: 472: 462: 449: 439: 429: 416: 406: 396: 383: 373: 363: 350: 340: 330: 324: 292: 265: 238: 211: 184: 157: 130: 103: 1767: 1439:Response rate for treatment combination 1437: 1851:Parameter estimates as terms are added 7: 2023:adding citations to reliable sources 1521:a โ€“1, estimate of A with B and C low 855:{\displaystyle t={\frac {e}{s_{e}}}} 728:of the fractional factorial design. 671:{\displaystyle 1,a,b,ab,c,ac,bc,abc} 2172:Introduction to Experimental Design 871:is the estimated factor effect and 56:What is the ranked list of factors? 2174:. SpringerLink. pp. 295โ€“342. 1405: 1402: 1399: 1396: 1393: 1390: 1387: 1384: 1381: 1375: 1372: 1369: 1366: 1363: 1360: 1357: 1354: 1351: 1348: 1345: 1339: 1336: 1333: 1327: 1324: 1321: 1318: 1315: 1312: 1306: 1303: 1300: 1194: 1191: 1188: 1185: 1182: 1179: 1176: 1173: 1167: 1164: 1158: 1155: 1152: 1149: 1146: 1143: 1137: 1134: 1131: 1125: 1122: 1119: 1116: 1113: 1110: 1107: 1104: 1101: 1095: 1092: 1089: 1083: 1080: 1074: 1071: 1068: 1065: 1059: 1056: 1053: 1050: 1047: 1044: 1041: 1038: 1035: 1029: 1026: 1023: 1020: 1017: 1014: 1008: 1005: 1002: 599:which in modern notation becomes: 14: 1975:Multi-factor analysis of variance 1938:The first four criteria focus on 2202: This article incorporates 2197: 1999: 882:of the estimated factor effect. 2010:needs additional citations for 1874:Model selection and validation 1730: 1664: 1619: 1556: 1408: 1297: 1197: 999: 958:factor or interaction effect. 1: 1961:Ordered absolute effects plot 2137:Koivisto, Mikko (Jan 2004), 2127:Knuth, Donald Ervin (1997), 1931:Statistical significance of 1842:analysis of variance (ANOVA) 39:fractional factorial designs 2180:10.1007/978-3-319-64583-4_1 2154:. Here: p. 45, 96โ€“103. 1933:residual standard deviation 1927:residual standard deviation 2250: 1925:Practical significance of 2129:Seminumerical Algorithms 1908:Statistical significance 701:, the second row is for 2112:. John Wiley and Sons. 954:is the estimate of the 2204:public domain material 2166:. Here: p. 66-67. 1947:Graphical presentation 1896:Practical significance 1774:Treatmemt combination 1761: 1745: 1634: 1444:Treatmemt combination 1416: 1250: 1205: 936: 856: 802: 715: 695: 672: 591: 307: 280: 253: 226: 199: 172: 145: 118: 2234:Design of experiments 1759: 1746: 1635: 1417: 1251: 1206: 937: 857: 803: 801:{\displaystyle 2^{k}} 726:confounding structure 716: 696: 673: 592: 308: 281: 254: 227: 200: 173: 146: 119: 2133:. Here: sect. 4.3.4. 2019:improve this article 1648: 1540: 1270: 1226: 972: 896: 826: 785: 705: 685: 605: 323: 291: 264: 237: 210: 183: 156: 129: 102: 81: 68:graphical techniques 1770: 1440: 306:{\displaystyle +++} 279:{\displaystyle -++} 252:{\displaystyle +-+} 225:{\displaystyle --+} 198:{\displaystyle ++-} 171:{\displaystyle -+-} 144:{\displaystyle +--} 117:{\displaystyle ---} 26:designed experiment 2158:Yates, F. (1937), 1969:Related Techniques 1902:Order of magnitude 1768: 1762: 1741: 1630: 1438: 1412: 1246: 1201: 932: 880:standard deviation 852: 798: 711: 691: 668: 587: 303: 276: 249: 222: 195: 168: 141: 114: 2189:978-3-319-64583-4 2095: 2094: 2087: 2069: 1914:Probability plots 1837: 1836: 1515: 1514: 1380: 1344: 1332: 1311: 1287: 1277: 1243: 1233: 1172: 1163: 1142: 1130: 1100: 1088: 1079: 1064: 1034: 1013: 989: 979: 913: 903: 850: 714:{\displaystyle a} 694:{\displaystyle 1} 2241: 2201: 2200: 2193: 2165: 2153: 2132: 2123: 2111: 2090: 2083: 2079: 2076: 2070: 2068: 2034:"Yates analysis" 2027: 2003: 1995: 1990:DOE contour plot 1777:Effect estimate 1771: 1750: 1748: 1747: 1742: 1737: 1660: 1659: 1639: 1637: 1636: 1631: 1626: 1552: 1551: 1441: 1421: 1419: 1418: 1413: 1411: 1378: 1342: 1330: 1309: 1289: 1288: 1285: 1279: 1278: 1275: 1255: 1253: 1252: 1247: 1245: 1244: 1241: 1235: 1234: 1231: 1210: 1208: 1207: 1202: 1200: 1170: 1161: 1140: 1128: 1098: 1086: 1077: 1062: 1032: 1011: 991: 990: 987: 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2150:952-10-1578-0 2146: 2142: 2141: 2135: 2130: 2125: 2121: 2119:0-471-09315-7 2115: 2110: 2109: 2102: 2101: 2097: 2089: 2086: 2078: 2067: 2064: 2060: 2057: 2053: 2050: 2046: 2043: 2039: 2036: โ€“  2035: 2031: 2030:Find sources: 2024: 2020: 2014: 2013: 2008:This article 2006: 2002: 1997: 1996: 1991: 1988: 1986: 1983: 1981: 1980:DOE mean plot 1978: 1976: 1973: 1972: 1968: 1963: 1960: 1958: 1954: 1953: 1952: 1946: 1944: 1941: 1934: 1930: 1928: 1924: 1921: 1918: 1915: 1912: 1909: 1906: 1903: 1900: 1897: 1894: 1893: 1892: 1885: 1882: 1881: 1880: 1873: 1871: 1865: 1858: 1850: 1848: 1845: 1843: 1832: 1829: 1828: 1824: 1821: 1820: 1816: 1813: 1812: 1808: 1805: 1804: 1800: 1797: 1796: 1792: 1789: 1788: 1784: 1781: 1780: 1776: 1773: 1772: 1766: 1758: 1754: 1751: 1738: 1734: 1727: 1724: 1721: 1718: 1715: 1712: 1709: 1706: 1703: 1700: 1697: 1694: 1691: 1688: 1685: 1682: 1679: 1676: 1673: 1670: 1667: 1661: 1656: 1652: 1643: 1640: 1627: 1623: 1616: 1613: 1610: 1607: 1604: 1601: 1598: 1595: 1592: 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463: 459: 455: 450: 446: 440: 436: 430: 426: 422: 417: 413: 407: 403: 397: 393: 389: 384: 380: 374: 370: 364: 360: 356: 351: 347: 341: 337: 331: 327: 318: 300: 297: 294: 287: 273: 270: 267: 260: 246: 243: 240: 233: 219: 216: 213: 206: 192: 189: 186: 179: 165: 162: 159: 152: 138: 135: 132: 125: 111: 108: 105: 98: 97: 96: 93: 90:factors, the 89: 79: 77: 73: 72:DOE mean plot 69: 64: 58: 55: 54: 53: 51: 50:least squares 47: 42: 40: 34: 31: 27: 23: 19: 2196: 2171: 2160: 2139: 2128: 2107: 2081: 2072: 2062: 2055: 2048: 2041: 2029: 2017:Please help 2012:verification 2009: 1950: 1940:effect sizes 1937: 1889: 1877: 1863: 1856: 1854: 1846: 1838: 1763: 1752: 1644: 1641: 1536: 1533: 1516: 1434: 1426: 1260: 1215: 955: 948: 946: 872: 868: 866: 779: 735: 723: 679: 601: 598: 319: 315: 91: 87: 85: 82:Yates' Order 70:such as the 65: 62: 43: 35: 21: 15: 1922:of averages 1920:Youden plot 681:row is for 46:Frank Yates 2098:References 2045:newspapers 1985:Block plot 1916:of effects 1910:of effects 1904:of effects 1898:of effects 28:, where a 18:statistics 2075:June 2012 1957:data plot 1710:− 1695:− 1680:− 1668:− 1611:− 1605:− 1599:− 1593:− 268:− 244:− 217:− 214:− 193:− 166:− 160:− 139:− 136:− 112:− 109:− 106:− 41:article. 2228:Category 1955:Ordered 1833:โ€“0.0050 1801:โ€“0.0060 1793:โ€“0.0485 1286:constant 1276:response 1242:constant 1232:response 988:constant 978:response 912:constant 902:response 742:Dataplot 74:and the 2059:scholar 1825:0.0045 1817:0.0015 1809:0.0060 1785:0.0125 1431:Example 878:is the 814:t-value 2186:  2147:  2116:  2061:  2054:  2047:  2040:  2032:  1511:0.027 1503:0.024 1495:0.082 1487:0.057 1479:0.020 1471:0.010 1463:0.074 1455:0.062 1379:  1343:  1331:  1310:  1171:  1162:  1141:  1129:  1099:  1087:  1078:  1063:  1033:  1012:  947:where 867:where 732:Output 2066:JSTOR 2052:books 2184:ISBN 2145:ISBN 2114:ISBN 2038:news 1830:ABC 1508:abc 20:, a 2176:doi 2021:by 1822:BC 1814:AC 1798:AB 1500:bc 1492:ac 1476:ab 1294:0.5 996:0.5 920:0.5 16:In 2230:: 2182:. 1844:. 1806:C 1790:B 1782:A 1484:c 1468:b 1460:a 1452:1 812:A 2192:. 2178:: 2122:. 2088:) 2082:( 2077:) 2073:( 2063:ยท 2056:ยท 2049:ยท 2042:ยท 2015:. 1867:2 1864:X 1860:1 1857:X 1739:4 1735:/ 1731:) 1728:c 1725:b 1722:a 1719:+ 1716:c 1713:b 1707:c 1704:a 1701:+ 1698:c 1692:b 1689:a 1686:+ 1683:b 1677:a 1674:+ 1671:1 1665:( 1662:= 1657:a 1653:E 1628:4 1624:/ 1620:) 1617:c 1614:b 1608:c 1602:b 1596:1 1590:c 1587:b 1584:a 1581:+ 1578:c 1575:a 1572:+ 1569:b 1566:a 1563:+ 1560:a 1557:( 1554:= 1549:a 1545:E 1409:) 1406:s 1403:e 1400:t 1397:a 1394:m 1391:i 1388:t 1385:s 1382:e 1376:n 1373:o 1370:i 1367:t 1364:c 1361:a 1358:r 1355:e 1352:t 1349:n 1346:i 1340:d 1337:n 1334:a 1328:r 1325:o 1322:t 1319:c 1316:a 1313:f 1307:l 1304:l 1301:a 1298:( 1291:+ 1281:= 1237:= 1198:) 1195:t 1192:s 1189:e 1186:r 1183:e 1180:t 1177:n 1174:i 1168:f 1165:o 1159:t 1156:c 1153:e 1150:f 1147:f 1144:e 1138:e 1135:h 1132:t 1126:g 1123:n 1120:i 1117:d 1114:u 1111:l 1108:c 1105:n 1102:i 1096:d 1093:n 1090:a 1084:o 1081:t 1075:n 1072:w 1069:o 1066:d 1060:s 1057:e 1054:t 1051:a 1048:m 1045:i 1042:t 1039:s 1036:e 1030:t 1027:c 1024:e 1021:f 1018:f 1015:e 1009:l 1006:l 1003:a 1000:( 993:+ 983:= 956:i 951:i 949:X 928:i 924:X 917:+ 907:= 875:e 873:s 869:e 846:e 842:s 838:e 833:= 830:t 794:k 790:2 709:a 689:1 666:c 663:b 660:a 657:, 654:c 651:b 648:, 645:c 642:a 639:, 636:c 633:, 630:b 627:a 624:, 621:b 618:, 615:a 612:, 609:1 583:1 579:c 573:1 569:b 563:1 559:a 555:, 550:1 546:c 540:1 536:b 530:0 526:a 522:, 517:1 513:c 507:0 503:b 497:1 493:a 489:, 484:1 480:c 474:0 470:b 464:0 460:a 456:, 451:0 447:c 441:1 437:b 431:1 427:a 423:, 418:0 414:c 408:1 404:b 398:0 394:a 390:, 385:0 381:c 375:0 371:b 365:1 361:a 357:, 352:0 348:c 342:0 338:b 332:0 328:a 301:+ 298:+ 295:+ 274:+ 271:+ 247:+ 241:+ 220:+ 190:+ 187:+ 163:+ 133:+ 92:k 88:k

Index

statistics
designed experiment
factorial design
fractional factorial designs
Frank Yates
least squares
graphical techniques
DOE mean plot
DOE contour plot
confounding structure
Dataplot
t-value
standard deviation

analysis of variance (ANOVA)
Practical significance
Order of magnitude
Statistical significance
Probability plots
Youden plot
residual standard deviation
residual standard deviation
effect sizes
data plot
Multi-factor analysis of variance
DOE mean plot
Block plot
DOE contour plot

verification

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