36:
226:, identifying production, prices, war, innovation, investment and real wages as factors. It also identifies a longer 'hegemony cycle' of 150 years' duration. Goldstein returned to this subject in 2005 in a paper, "Predictive power of long wave theory, 1989-2004".
196:
Goldstein suggests that US hegemony may 'at an indeterminate time' be challenged and ended by China (the 'best fit'), by western Europe, Japan, or (writing in 1988) the USSR. The situation is unstable due to the continuance of
204:
and the deployment of nuclear weapons. The choice lies between 'global cooperation or global suicide'. Thus there may be 'an end to hegemony itself'.
390:
298:
272:
116:
79:
57:
238:
170:
3, Great
Britain, 1815-1945; ended by Germany's challenge in two World Wars, and the postwar settlement, including the
198:
124:
142:
Goldstein in 1988 posited a 'hegemony cycle' of 150 years' duration, the four hegemonic powers since 1494 being;
160:
2, the
Netherlands, 1648-1815; ended by the challenge from France of the revolutionary and Napoleonic wars, the
50:
44:
131:
161:
100:
395:
61:
385:
154:
120:
108:
104:
294:
278:
268:
244:
234:
207:
Goldstein speculates that
Venetian hegemony, ceded to Spain in 1494, may have begun in 1350
150:
223:
165:
201:
183:
379:
321:
JS Goldstein, 'Long Cycles; Prosperity and War in the Modern Age, 1988, available at
17:
171:
345:
333:
322:
282:
248:
115:
1986. He was appointed professor in 1993. He was on the faculty at the
370:
146:
187:
179:
291:
Winning the War on War: The
Decline of Armed Conflict Worldwide
265:
War and Gender: How Gender Shapes the War System and Vice Versa
175:
112:
29:
231:
The Real Price of War: How You Pay for the War on Terror
123:and was a research scholar in political science at
153:, in which Spain itself was the 'challenger'; the
218:Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age
8:
346:http://www.joshuagoldstein.com/jgcyc15.pdf
334:http://www.joshuagoldstein.com/jgcyc13.pdf
323:http://www.joshuagoldstein.com/jgcyc15.pdf
80:Learn how and when to remove this message
157:and the beginnings of the nation-state.
43:This article includes a list of general
314:
95:(born December 27, 1952) is professor
222:This book examines the causes of the
7:
267:. Cambridge University Press. 2009.
111:in 1981 and earned his doctorate at
233:. New York University Press. 2005.
134:, which he chaired for two years.
49:it lacks sufficient corresponding
25:
193:4, The United States, since 1945
117:University of Southern California
34:
220:. Yale University Press. 1988.
107:. He graduated with a BA from
1:
391:American political scientists
27:American academic (born 1952)
125:University of Massachusetts
412:
149:, 1494-1648; ended by the
164:and introduction of the
132:Bosnia Support Committee
130:In 1993, he founded the
257:International Relations
101:international relations
64:more precise citations.
211:Selected publications
357:Goldstein 1988 p 285
155:Treaty of Westphalia
121:American University
109:Stanford University
105:American University
93:Joshua S. Goldstein
138:Long cycles theory
18:Joshua S Goldstein
300:978-0-452-29859-0
90:
89:
82:
16:(Redirected from
403:
371:Official website
358:
355:
349:
343:
337:
331:
325:
319:
304:
286:
260:
259:. Longman. 2007.
252:
221:
162:Treaty of Vienna
151:Thirty Years War
85:
78:
74:
71:
65:
60:this article by
51:inline citations
38:
37:
30:
21:
411:
410:
406:
405:
404:
402:
401:
400:
376:
375:
367:
362:
361:
356:
352:
344:
340:
332:
328:
320:
316:
311:
301:
289:
275:
263:
255:
241:
229:
224:Kondratiev Wave
216:
213:
166:Congress System
140:
86:
75:
69:
66:
56:Please help to
55:
39:
35:
28:
23:
22:
15:
12:
11:
5:
409:
407:
399:
398:
393:
388:
378:
377:
374:
373:
366:
365:External links
363:
360:
359:
350:
338:
326:
313:
312:
310:
307:
306:
305:
299:
287:
273:
261:
253:
239:
227:
212:
209:
202:Power politics
184:United Nations
139:
136:
88:
87:
70:September 2019
42:
40:
33:
26:
24:
14:
13:
10:
9:
6:
4:
3:
2:
408:
397:
396:Living people
394:
392:
389:
387:
384:
383:
381:
372:
369:
368:
364:
354:
351:
347:
342:
339:
335:
330:
327:
324:
318:
315:
308:
302:
296:
292:
288:
284:
280:
276:
274:9780521807166
270:
266:
262:
258:
254:
250:
246:
242:
236:
232:
228:
225:
219:
215:
214:
210:
208:
205:
203:
200:
199:Machiavellian
194:
191:
189:
185:
181:
177:
173:
168:
167:
163:
158:
156:
152:
148:
143:
137:
135:
133:
128:
126:
122:
118:
114:
110:
106:
102:
98:
94:
84:
81:
73:
63:
59:
53:
52:
46:
41:
32:
31:
19:
353:
341:
336:pages 281-89
329:
317:
290:
264:
256:
230:
217:
206:
195:
192:
169:
159:
145:1, Hapsburg
144:
141:
129:
96:
92:
91:
76:
67:
48:
386:1952 births
127:, Amherst.
62:introducing
380:Categories
309:References
240:0814731627
172:World Bank
45:references
283:965910926
348:page 347
293:. 2011.
249:62726646
97:emeritus
58:improve
297:
281:
271:
247:
237:
182:, the
47:, but
147:Spain
295:ISBN
279:OCLC
269:ISBN
245:OCLC
235:ISBN
188:NATO
186:and
180:GATT
119:and
176:IMF
113:MIT
103:at
99:of
382::
277:.
243:.
190:.
178:,
174:,
303:.
285:.
251:.
83:)
77:(
72:)
68:(
54:.
20:)
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.