177:
31:
39:
230:
the Tokai
Earthquake bulletins to allow emergency measures for earthquake disaster prevention. These are categorized into three types: Investigation Report on Tokai Earthquake Prediction, Tokai Earthquake Watch, and Explanatory Information on Tokai Earthquake Warning. Each report indicates the level of danger using a color code of blue, yellow and red.
94:, 7. Emergency planners are anticipating and preparing for potential scenarios after such an earthquake, including the possibility of thousands of deaths and hundreds of thousands of injuries, millions of damaged buildings, and cities that include Nagoya and Shizuoka devastated. Concern has been expressed over the presence of the
153:
with predicting the next one. There is now a dense array of instruments placed to accumulate a continuous stream of data related to seismicity, strain, crustal expansion, tilt, tidal variations, ground water fluctuations and other variables. They are watching for an anomaly in this data which might
229:
To support predictions, JMA has developed a seismic and crustal deformation observation network covering the region in conjunction with related organizations, and observes related data around-the-clock basis. After monthly assessments, or when anomalous data are detected, JMA issues
Information on
401:
On all but one occasion, rupture of segment C (±D ±E) has been followed by rupture of segments A+B within a few years. This behavior has been reproduced by modeling the viscoelastic response of the megathrust fault plane with lateral variations in both convergence rate and frictional properties.
377:
The pattern of historical seismicity reveals that the megathrust surface is segmented, with five separate zones of rupturing identified, conventionally labeled A–E, from west to east. Earthquakes involving the A+B segments are generally referred to as
117:. The reports stated that if a 9.0 earthquake occurred on the Nankai Trough, the effects would be very serious. The quake itself would likely kill thousands, and a series of 34-meter (112-foot) tall tsunamis would impact areas from the
220:
to support the prediction of its occurrence. As pre-slip may be too slight to be detected by the observation systems currently in place, it is not possible to say that the Tokai
Earthquake will be predicted without fail.
365:. If the Committee concludes that the Tokai Earthquake is imminent, the Director-General of JMA will report this conclusion to the Prime Minister, who will then hold a Cabinet meeting and issue a warning statement (
145:
with a magnitude of around 8. The Tokai region will be subjected to extremely strong shaking with seismic intensity of 6-lower or greater, and huge tsunamis are expected to hit the
Pacific coast in the region.
579:
187:
Information on future quakes is published irregularly. Since
November 2017, this information limited to Tokai earthquakes has not been announced, and "Information on the Nankai megathrust earthquake (
188:
353:
To determine whether anomalous phenomena are precursors to the Tokai
Earthquake, JMA convenes the Earthquake Assessment Committee for Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster (
1204:
113:
Shortly after the 2011 Tōhoku earthquake, new reports were released which indicated the significant likelihood of another magnitude 9 earthquake occurring elsewhere in Japan, this time on the
354:
335:
310:
184:
As serious damage from strong shaking and huge tsunamis is expected, the
Japanese government has designated this region as Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster.
176:
30:
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1755:
646:
erupted 49 days after this earthquake and the Hōei crater was created. About 20,000 people were killed and 60,000 houses collapsed, the Tosa area was affected by the tsunami.
91:
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161:(CCEP) designated the Tōkai region as an Area of Specific Observation in 1970, and upgraded it to an Area of Intensified Observation in 1974. Following the passing of the
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74:. The Tōkai segment has been struck by earthquakes in 1498, 1605, 1707, and 1854. Given the historic regularity of these earthquakes,
1219:
107:
1485:
1025:
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Following the prediction of an earthquake in the relatively near future, and in order to try to predict when it would occur, the
1601:
99:
1279:
1013:
Hirahara, K.; Kato N.; Miyatake T.; Hori T.; Hyodo M.; Inn J.; Mitsui N.; Sasaki T.; Miyamura T.; Nakama Y.; Kanai T. (2004).
78:
in 1969 pointed out that another great shallow earthquake was possible in the "near future" (i.e., in the next few decades).
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ranged from Suruga Bay to the deep ocean, and struck primarily in the Tōkai region, but destroyed houses as far away as
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173:(EAC) was set up to warn the Prime Minister, via the Japan Meteorological Agency, if the next quake is imminent.
824:
The shaking caused by an earthquake is not the same as, and not totally determined by, the energy released. See
81:
Given the magnitude of the last two earthquakes, the next is expected to have at least a magnitude scale of 8.0
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When it is considered that the Tokai
Earthquake may occur and the prime minister issues a warning declaration (
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When there is increased likelihood that an observed phenomenon is a precursor to the Tokai
Earthquake.
1052:(大江戸歴史百科, "Historical Encyclopedia of Great Edo"). Tokyo: Kawade Shobō Shinsha Publishers, 2007. p253.
1681:
1676:
1561:
1169:
1048:
Kawade Shobō Shinsha
Editorial Team (eds.). "Ansei Daijishin" (安政大地震, "Great Earthquakes of Ansei").
683:
614:, 1,500 people died in Shishikui Awa, 350 deaths in Tosa Nishinoura, and 400 in the vicinity of Cape
606:
The tsunami struck from the Pacific coast of Kyushu, Miyazaki, led to the deaths of 57 on the island
398:) earthquakes. These earthquakes repeat at intervals generally in the range of 90 – 200 years.
270:
Response warning declaration from the prime minister and local-government disaster management plans.
916:
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1259:
847:
695:
126:
792:
1717:
379:
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264:
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38:
723:
578:, 26,000 people died. Nankai earthquakes also occurred around the same time, according to the
51:
294:
Response to notification from the government and local-government disaster management plans.
687:
615:
961:
973:
504:
642:
Tōkai, Tōnankai and Nankai earthquakes occurred at the same time with magnitude 8.4–8.6.
607:
118:
67:
149:
The Japanese government is taking the Tōkai earthquakes seriously and has charged the
1744:
825:
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611:
416:
358:
114:
63:
570:
1,000 households were destroyed with 5,000 people drowned. 10,000 people drowned in
567:
555:
141:
The Tokai Earthquake is expected to occur in the near future along the trench near
559:
122:
500:
217:
1074:
643:
180:
Areas under Intensified Measures against Earthquake Disaster (shown in yellow)
142:
75:
59:
758:
671:
571:
1015:"Simulation of Earthquake Generation Process in a Complex System of Faults"
563:
213:
1079:
843:"Japan Tsunami Could Happen Again If Powerful Earthquake Hits: Experts"
679:
130:
1065:
198:
Future Tokai earthquakes are expected to occur with the sequence of
1022:
Annual Report of the Earth Simulator Center April 2004 - March 2005
71:
273:
Establishment of Headquarters for Earthquake Disaster Prevention
1083:
675:
98:, close to the expected epicentre of a Tōkai earthquake. The
793:"Two grave issues concerning the expected Tokai Earthquake"
341:
When the Earthquake Assessment Committee (Regular) meets.
507:
split houses, and 400 shrines and temples were damaged.
451:
Landslides. Many houses, shrines and temples collapsed.
90:, with large areas shaken at the highest level in the
125:, adding thousands to the death toll, and destroying
1075:
Tokai earthquake preparedness in Shizuoka prefecture
212:
JMA monitors unusual deformation that may accompany
1695:
1509:
1308:
1117:
253:
Explanatory Information on Tokai Earthquake Warning
330:Investigation Report on Tokai Earthquake (Regular)
719:Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction
610:, destroyed 700 houses in a village west of the
305:Investigation Report on Tokai Earthquake (Extra)
159:Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction
562:(altitude 7m) were swept away by a tsunami. In
682:caused damage along the entire coast from the
1095:
473:Many people were killed by collapsing houses.
297:Preparatory action based on prevention plans
8:
1008:
1006:
786:
784:
782:
780:
316:When any anomalous phenomena are observed.
245:Action to be taken by public organizations
42:Nankai, Tōnankai and Tōkai earthquake areas
1756:Earthquake clusters, swarms, and sequences
1102:
1088:
1080:
558:was severely shaken. The buildings around
409:
133:, and other areas with large populations.
242:Action to be taken by the general public
163:Large-Scale Earthquake Countermeasure Act
154:precede the next major Tōkai earthquake.
83:
18:Large-Scale Earthquake Countermeasure Act
232:
175:
104:earthquake followed by a tsunami in 2011
37:
34:Anticipated area of the Tokai Earthquake
29:
745:
499:was damaged, and the big bell of the
394:) earthquakes and E Tōkai (literally
7:
883:
881:
879:
877:
875:
873:
871:
869:
867:
865:
62:that have occurred regularly with a
888:Information on the Tokai Earthquake
841:Elaine Kurtenbach (April 1, 2012).
576:Shida District, Shizuoka Prefecture
373:Relation to other major earthquakes
102:was severely damaged after a large
1024:. pp. 121–126. Archived from
938:"気象庁｜東海地震について | 東海地震に関連する情報の種類と流れ"
25:
430:Years since previous earthquake
1751:Megathrust earthquakes in Japan
599:1605 Keichō Nankaidō earthquake
171:Earthquake Assessment Committee
100:Fukushima I Nuclear Power Plant
755:"The Tokai Earthquake of 20xx"
1:
1703:Nankai megathrust earthquakes
734:Nankai megathrust earthquakes
193:Nankai megathrust earthquakes
27:Class of earthquakes in Japan
1066:Tokai earthquake information
940:. 2014-03-18. Archived from
915:. 2014-03-18. Archived from
913:"気象庁｜東海地震について | 東海地震に関連する情報"
729:List of earthquakes in Japan
560:the great Buddha of Kamakura
406:Historical Tōkai earthquakes
344:No further action required.
319:No further action required.
110:, the highest on the scale.
1730:Matsushiro earthquake swarm
1647:2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi
1070:Japan Meteorological Agency
151:Japan Meteorological Agency
96:Hamaoka Nuclear Power Plant
66:of 100 to 150 years in the
1772:
580:Geological Survey of Japan
503:fell down. The tsunami in
363:governmental organizations
322:Collection of Information
236:Information issued by JMA
495:The main building of the
55:
830:Mercalli intensity scale
714:1944 Tōnankai earthquake
108:nuclear event of level 7
92:Japanese intensity scale
1725:South Kantō earthquakes
974:「南海トラフ地震に関連する情報」の発表について
195:has been in operation.
663:Ansei-Tōkai earthquake
281:Tokai Earthquake Watch
225:Prediction information
208:earthquake occurrence.
181:
43:
35:
1486:1994 offshore Sanriku
1441:1973 Nemuro Peninsula
976:気象庁報道発表資料（2017年9月26日）
900:気象庁が発表する「東海地震に関連する情報」
357:), which consists of
179:
137:Earthquake prediction
41:
33:
1713:Tōnankai earthquakes
1111:Earthquakes in Japan
1050:Ō-Edo Rekishi Hyakka
765:on February 24, 2012
531:Considerable damage.
239:Announcement timing
202:strain accumulation,
848:The Huffington Post
800:Earth Planets Space
791:Kiyoo Mogi (2004).
678:. The accompanying
386:) earthquakes, C+D
1718:Nankai earthquakes
1557:2007 Kuril Islands
1547:2006 Kuril Islands
1446:1974 Izu Peninsula
1416:1963 Kuril Islands
1215:1771 Great Yaeyama
991:www.data.jma.go.jp
540:September 11, 1498
191:) " targeting the
182:
44:
36:
1738:
1737:
1708:Tōkai earthquakes
1567:2008 Iwate–Miyagi
1466:1983 Sea of Japan
1341:1925 North Tajima
1321:1911 Kikai Island
724:Kanto earthquakes
705:
704:
655:December 23, 1854
524:Shohei earthquake
482:December 11, 1096
444:Hakuhō earthquake
351:
350:
48:Tōkai earthquakes
16:(Redirected from
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1696:Related articles
1496:2000 Izu Islands
1346:1927 North Tango
1336:1923 Great Kantō
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761:. Archived from
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696:Kōchi Prefecture
688:Chiba prefecture
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627:October 28, 1707
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591:February 3, 1605
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1687:2024 Hyūga-nada
1505:
1451:1978 Izu Ōshima
1431:1968 Hyūga-nada
1411:1961 North Mino
1376:1941 Hyūga-nada
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1280:1891 Mino–Owari
1185:1662 Hyūga-nada
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548:Meiō earthquake
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501:Tōdai-ji temple
497:imperial palace
489:Kōwa earthquake
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169:) in 1978, the
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987:"気象庁｜東海地震について"
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1173:
1171:
1168:
1166:
1163:
1161:
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1153:
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1146:
1143:
1141:
1140:1293 Kamakura
1138:
1136:
1133:
1131:
1128:
1126:
1123:
1122:
1120:
1116:
1112:
1105:
1100:
1098:
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1086:
1085:
1082:
1076:
1073:
1071:
1067:
1064:
1063:
1059:
1051:
1045:
1042:
1031:on 2011-09-27
1027:
1023:
1016:
1009:
1007:
1003:
992:
988:
982:
979:
975:
970:
967:
963:
958:
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944:on 2014-03-18
943:
939:
933:
930:
919:on 2014-03-18
918:
914:
908:
905:
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893:
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868:
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850:
849:
844:
837:
834:
831:
827:
826:Seismic scale
821:
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805:
801:
794:
787:
785:
783:
781:
777:
764:
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756:
749:
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712:
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692:Tosa province
689:
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612:Kii Peninsula
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588:
584:
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516:July 26, 1361
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405:
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399:
397:
393:
392:Southeast Sea
389:
385:
381:
372:
370:
368:
364:
360:
359:seismologists
356:
355:地震防災対策強化地域判定会
346:
343:
340:
337:
336:東海地震に関連する調査情報
326:
325:
321:
318:
315:
312:
311:東海地震に関連する調査情報
301:
300:
296:
293:
290:
288:
277:
276:
272:
269:
266:
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260:
249:
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244:
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160:
155:
152:
147:
144:
136:
134:
132:
128:
124:
120:
116:
115:Nankai Trough
111:
109:
106:, causing a
105:
101:
97:
93:
89:
79:
77:
73:
69:
65:
64:return period
61:
53:
49:
40:
32:
19:
1707:
1632:2016 Tottori
1612:2012 Sanriku
1552:2007 Chūetsu
1537:2005 Fukuoka
1532:2004 Chūetsu
1527:2003 Tokachi
1510:21st century
1501:2000 Tottori
1491:1995 Hanshin
1476:1993 Kushiro
1461:1982 Urakawa
1436:1968 Tokachi
1421:1964 Niigata
1406:1952 Tokachi
1381:1943 Tottori
1356:1933 Sanriku
1326:1914 Senboku
1316:1909 Anegawa
1309:20th century
1295:1896 Sanriku
1240:1847 Zenkoji
1195:1703 Genroku
1175:1611 Sanriku
1160:1596 Fushimi
1125:679 Tsukushi
1049:
1044:
1033:. Retrieved
1026:the original
1021:
994:. Retrieved
990:
981:
969:
957:
946:. Retrieved
942:the original
932:
921:. Retrieved
917:the original
907:
895:
852:. Retrieved
846:
836:
820:
808:. Retrieved
806:(8): li–lxvi
803:
799:
767:. Retrieved
763:the original
748:
694:(modern-day
608:Hachijō-jima
427:Description
400:
395:
391:
383:
376:
352:
333:
328:
308:
303:
284:
279:
256:
251:
228:
218:strainmeters
211:
205:pre-slip and
197:
186:
183:
167:大規模地震対策特別措置法
156:
148:
140:
119:Kantō region
112:
80:
68:Tōkai region
58:) are major
47:
45:
1662:2021 Miyagi
1617:2014 Nagano
1597:2011 Miyagi
1587:2011 Nagano
1582:2011 Tōhoku
1542:2005 Miyagi
1522:2003 Miyagi
1471:1984 Nagano
1456:1978 Miyagi
1396:1946 Nankai
1391:1945 Mikawa
1361:1936 Miyagi
1290:1894 Shōnai
1270:1872 Hamada
1265:1858 Hietsu
1250:1854 Nankai
1235:1833 Shōnai
1210:1751 Takada
1180:1662 Kanbun
1165:1605 Keichō
1155:1586 Tenshō
1145:1361 Shōhei
962:南海トラフ地震について
574:, while in
454:No records
390:(literally
382:(literally
60:earthquakes
1745:Categories
1667:2021 Chiba
1642:2018 Osaka
1607:2012 Chiba
1572:2008 Iwate
1517:2001 Geiyo
1426:1968 Ebino
1401:1948 Fukui
1300:1896 Rikuu
1285:1894 Tokyo
1255:1854 Tōkai
1230:1828 Sanjō
1220:1792 Unzen
1205:1741 Kampo
1130:684 Hakuho
1118:Historical
1035:2009-11-14
996:2021-05-02
948:2021-05-02
923:2021-05-02
740:References
644:Mount Fuji
143:Suruga Bay
76:Kiyoo Mogi
1682:2024 Noto
1677:2023 Noto
1562:2007 Noto
1200:1707 Hōei
1190:1677 Bōsō
1170:1611 Aizu
1150:1498 Meiō
1135:869 Jōgan
810:March 11,
759:About.com
672:epicenter
572:Ise-Shima
417:Magnitude
384:South Sea
1366:1939 Oga
1260:1855 Edo
708:See also
396:East Sea
388:Tōnankai
287:東海地震注意情報
259:東海地震予知情報
214:pre-slip
127:Shizuoka
52:Japanese
854:May 19,
769:May 19,
680:tsunami
564:Ōminato
528:unknown
492:unknown
470:unknown
448:unknown
131:Shikoku
639:20,000
616:Muroto
552:40,000
505:Suruga
380:Nankai
216:using
123:Kyūshū
1068:from
1029:(PDF)
1018:(PDF)
902:- JMA
890:- JMA
796:(PDF)
667:3,000
603:2,300
421:Name
413:Date
347:None
338:(定例)
313:(臨時)
72:Japan
856:2012
812:2011
771:2012
701:147
670:The
649:102
621:107
585:137
534:265
510:209
476:203
369:) .
367:警戒宣言
267:) .
265:警戒宣言
56:東海地震
46:The
964:気象庁
690:to
676:Edo
659:8.4
631:8.4
595:7.9
568:Ise
556:Kai
544:8.4
520:8.5
486:8.4
464:8.5
440:8.3
121:to
70:of
1747::
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1005:^
989:.
864:^
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828:,
804:56
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779:^
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1103:e
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1038:.
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951:.
926:.
858:.
814:.
773:.
618:.
582:.
165:(
86:w
84:M
50:(
20:)
Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License. Additional terms may apply.
